Probabilistic Forecasting of Localized Wildfire Spread Based on Conditional Flow Matching.

James Haley

Bryan Shaddy Haitong Qin Brianna Binder James Haley Riya Duddalwar Kyle Hilburn Assad A. Oberai Probabilistic Forecasting of Localized Wildfire Spread Based on Conditional Flow Matching. 2026 March abs/2603.26975 CoRR https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.26975 db/journals/corr/corr2603.html#abs-2603-26975 streams/journals/corr

Daniel Rosendo Stephen DeWitt Renan Souza 0001 Phillipe Austria Tirthankar Ghosal Marshall T. McDonnell Ross Miller Tyler J. Skluzacek James Haley Bruno Turcksin Jesse McGaha Benjamin Mintz Feiyi Wang Mallikarjun Shankar Sarp Oral Rafael Ferreira da Silva AI Agents for Enabling Autonomous Experiments at ORNL's HPC and Manufacturing User Facilities. 2354-2361 2025 SC Workshops https://doi.org/10.1145/3731599.3767592 conf/sc/2025w db/conf/sc/sc2025w.html#RosendoD0AGMMSH25

Bryan Shaddy Brianna Binder Agnimitra Dasgupta Haitong Qin James Haley Angel Farguell Kyle Hilburn Derek V. Mallia Adam K. Kochanski Jan Mandel Assad A. Oberai Generative Algorithms for Wildfire Progression Reconstruction from Multi-Modal Satellite Active Fire Measurements and Terrain Height. 2025 June abs/2506.10404 CoRR https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.10404 db/journals/corr/corr2506.html#abs-2506-10404 streams/journals/corr

S. V. Venkatakrishnan 0001 Chris M. Fancher Maxim A. Ziatdinov Rama K. Vasudevan Kyle Saleeby James Haley Dunji Yu Ke An Alex Plotkowski Adaptive sampling for accelerating neutron diffraction-based strain mapping <sup>*</sup>. 25001 2023 June 4 Mach. Learn. Sci. Technol. 2 https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-2153/acc512 db/journals/mlst/mlst4.html#VenkatakrishnanFZVSHYAP23

Jan Mandel Jonathon Hirschi Adam K. Kochanski Angel Farguell James Haley Derek V. Mallia Bryan Shaddy Assad A. Oberai Kyle A. Hilburn Building a Fuel Moisture Model for the Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Model WRF-SFIRE from Data: From Kalman Filters to Recurrent Neural Networks. 2023 abs/2301.05427 CoRR https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2301.05427 db/journals/corr/corr2301.html#abs-2301-05427

Bryan Shaddy Deep Ray Angel Farguell Valentina Calaza Jan Mandel James Haley Kyle Hilburn Derek V. Mallia Adam K. Kochanski Assad A. Oberai Generative Algorithms for Fusion of Physics-Based Wildfire Spread Models with Satellite Data for Initializing Wildfire Forecasts. 2023 abs/2309.02615 CoRR https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2309.02615 db/journals/corr/corr2309.html#abs-2309-02615

Angel Farguell Jan Mandel James Haley Derek V. Mallia Adam K. Kochanski Kyle Hilburn Machine Learning Estimation of Fire Arrival Time from Level-2 Active Fires Satellite Data. 2203 2021 13 Remote. Sens. 11 https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13112203 db/journals/remotesensing/remotesensing13.html#FarguellMHMKH21

Jan Mandel Martin Vejmelka Adam K. Kochanski Angel Farguell James Haley Derek V. Mallia Kyle Hilburn An Interactive Data-Driven HPC System for Forecasting Weather, Wildland Fire, and Smoke. 35-44 2019 UrgentHPC@SC https://doi.org/10.1109/UrgentHPC49580.2019.00010 conf/sc/2019urgenthpc db/conf/sc/urgenthpc2019.html#MandelVKFHMH19 Angel Farguell Caus James Haley Adam K. Kochanski Ana Cortés Fité Jan Mandel Assimilation of Fire Perimeters and Satellite Detections by Minimization of the Residual in a Fire Spread Model. 711-723 2018 ICCS (2) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-93701-4_56 conf/iccS/2018-2 db/conf/iccS/iccS2018-2.html#CausHKFM18

Angel Farguell Caus James Haley Adam K. Kochanski Ana Cortés Fité Jan Mandel Assimilation of fire perimeters and satellite detections by minimization of the residual in a fire spread model. 2018 abs/1804.03995 CoRR http://arxiv.org/abs/1804.03995 db/journals/corr/corr1804.html#abs-1804-03995

James Haley Angel Farguell Caus Adam K. Kochanski Sher Schranz Jan Mandel Data Likelihood of Active Fires Satellite Detection and Applications to Ignition Estimation and Data Assimilation. 2018 abs/1808.03318 CoRR http://arxiv.org/abs/1808.03318 db/journals/corr/corr1808.html#abs-1808-03318

Ke An Phillipe Austria Brianna Binder Valentina Calaza Angel Farguell CausAngel Farguell Ana CortésAna Cortés Fité Agnimitra Dasgupta Stephen DeWitt Riya Duddalwar Chris M. Fancher Tirthankar Ghosal Kyle HilburnKyle A. Hilburn Jonathon Hirschi Adam K. Kochanski Derek V. Mallia Jan Mandel Marshall T. McDonnell Jesse McGaha Ross Miller Benjamin Mintz Assad A. Oberai Sarp Oral Alex Plotkowski Haitong Qin Deep Ray Daniel Rosendo Kyle Saleeby Sher Schranz Bryan Shaddy Mallikarjun Shankar Rafael Ferreira da Silva Tyler J. Skluzacek Renan Souza 0001 Bruno Turcksin Rama K. Vasudevan Martin Vejmelka S. V. Venkatakrishnan 0001 Feiyi Wang Dunji Yu Maxim A. Ziatdinov