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Lance Roberts

  • Analysis & Comment

Lance Roberts's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Lance Roberts's articles, including current analysis & comment.

Friedman Was Right, Just Mostly Misquoted
By Lance Roberts - Jun 26, 2026
Milton Friedman’s famous one-liner that anchors half the inflation debates on financial television leaves out the part where the actual economics live. Once you put it back in, the doomist case...
Earnings Growth Today but at What Cost?
By Lance Roberts - Jun 25, 20261
A recent article by the Wall Street Journal entitled "Turbocharged Earnings Are Pushing Stocks Higher". There’s a Catch raises an important issue for investors of the megacap AI-tech companies....
Greenspan Passes But His Put Lives On
By Lance Roberts - Jun 24, 2026
Alan Greenspan, the Federal Reserve chairman from 1987 to 2006, died on Monday at the age of 100. Most of the media’s obituaries are flattering to Greenspan, but many seem to omit his most...
El Nino Is Coming: Are Food Markets Ready?
By Lance Roberts - Jun 23, 2026
Rapidly warming ocean waters almost ensure an El Niño condition by July. El Nino is a periodic warming of ocean surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean that disrupts normal...
Here’s the setup most investors are underrating right now. Over the next two weeks, the tape will trade on plumbing rather than fundamentals. We just cleared the largest options expiration in...
The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index just printed 44.8 in May. That’s the worst reading since the survey began in 1952. That print was lower than in 2008 and the 1980...
Warsh and the FOMC Hold Steady
By Lance Roberts - Jun 18, 20261
Presiding over his first Fed meeting, Kevin Warsh and the FOMC held rates at 3.50%-3.75%. Such was the fourth consecutive hold following a series of rate cuts. The decision for Warsh to hold rates...
Are Equity Markets Priced for a Rate Hike?
By Lance Roberts - Jun 17, 2026
The equity market spent early 2026 with wavering odds of a rate cut before year-end. With improving labor data and high inflation, that assumption is becoming untenable. While the Fed Funds futures...
Gold Investors Are Likely Confused
By Lance Roberts - Jun 16, 2026
Since the Iranian conflict started on February 28, 2026, gold has fallen by about 25%. The decline is shown in the graphic below, but more importantly, we highlight FinViz’s rationale for why...
Key TakeawaysAfter nine straight up weeks, the bull market pullback we flagged finally arrived, and it stopped cold at the 50-day moving average. The selloff reset an overbought tape without breaking...