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Chic Café Sales Projections Overview

This document provides a menu mix analysis for Chic Café. It includes a breakdown of individual menu items showing the number sold, food cost, menu price, food cost percentage, contribution margin, total food costs, total menu revenue, average check, and potential food cost percentage. It then provides projections for weekly sales volumes based on capacity, occupancy rates, number of turns, and total covers. Adjustments are made to the first fiscal year revenue projections to account for holidays, special events, and gradually increasing occupancy rates.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
1K views4 pages

Chic Café Sales Projections Overview

This document provides a menu mix analysis for Chic Café. It includes a breakdown of individual menu items showing the number sold, food cost, menu price, food cost percentage, contribution margin, total food costs, total menu revenue, average check, and potential food cost percentage. It then provides projections for weekly sales volumes based on capacity, occupancy rates, number of turns, and total covers. Adjustments are made to the first fiscal year revenue projections to account for holidays, special events, and gradually increasing occupancy rates.

Uploaded by

api-246082792
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
  • Menu Mix Analysis: Analyzes menu items for check average and food cost, detailing each item's cost, sales percentage, and profitability.
  • Weekly Sales Projections: Provides forecasted weekly sales calculations based on projected occupancy and cover estimates, including food and beverage check averages.
  • Forecasted Sales - First Fiscal Year: Forecasts sales by month for the first fiscal year, adjusting for special days and estimating monthly revenues.
  • Forecasted Sales - Second Fiscal Year: Projects sales and adjusts for special days across the second fiscal year, with monthly and quarterly totals provided.

Chic Caf

Menu Mix for Check Average and Food Cost


Menu Item

Number Sold
Menu Mix

Food Cost

Menu Price

Item's Food
Cost %

Item's
Contribution
Margin

Menu Costs

Menu
Revenue

(from cost
sheets)

(from menu)

Food Cost /
Menu Price

Menu Price Food Cost

Food Cost X
Number Sold

Menu Price X
Number Sold

Peacan honey pancakes

$3.22

$3.25

99.1%

$0.03

$6.44

$6.50

French toast roll ups

17

$0.51

$3.75

13.6%

$3.24

$8.67

$63.75

lemon poppy seed waffles

$1.94

$2.50

77.6%

$0.56

$7.76

$10.00

chocolate pancakes

$0.36

$4.00

9.0%

$3.64

$1.80

$20.00

egg quiche with spinach&tomato

$1.05

$3.25

32.3%

$2.20

$2.10

$6.50

bacon quiche

11

$0.76

$4.00

19.0%

$3.24

$8.36

$44.00

BLT croissant

$1.52

$5.25

29.0%

$3.73

$13.68

$47.25

croissants

34

$0.46

$2.00

23.0%

$1.54

$15.64

$68.00

sourdough slices

$0.28

$0.99

28.3%

$0.71

$2.52

$8.91

kaiser rolls

$0.24

$2.00

12.0%

$1.76

$1.68

$14.00

strawberry cinnamon rolls

20

$0.57

$3.75

15.2%

$3.18

$11.40

$75.00

apple turnovers

$0.78

$3.00

26.0%

$2.22

$4.68

$18.00

blueberry muffins

19

$0.56

$2.25

24.9%

$1.69

$10.64

$42.75

cake pops

$0.96

$3.50

27.4%

$2.54

$4.80

$17.50

summer squash pasta

$2.12

$7.50

28.3%

$5.38

$10.60

$37.50

vegetable panini

$2.92

$9.00

32.4%

$6.08

$20.44

$63.00

couscous

$0.63

$4.00

15.8%

$3.37

$2.52

$16.00

chicken sandwich on kaiser

14

$1.56

$6.50

24.0%

$4.94

$21.84

$91.00

caprese panini

$2.67

$5.25

50.9%

$2.58

$24.03

$47.25

berry croissant

11

$1.73

$5.25

33.0%

$3.52

$19.03

$57.75

Total Menu
Food Cost
$198.63

Total Menu
Revenue
$754.66
26.3%

Totals

Total Number
of Covers
50

Potential Food Cost %

Total Menu Food Cost


Total Menu Revenue

Average Check

Total Menu Revenue


Total Number of Covers

15.09

Chic Caf
Sales Projections: Forecasted Weekly Sales Calculation

Monday
Capacity
X % Full
Occupied Seats

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sunday

120
80%
96

120
80%
96

120
80%
96

###
80%
96

120
100%
120

120
100%
120

120
100%
120

X Turns

0.8

0.9

1.3

1.9

2.5

3.0

2.0

Total Covers

77

86

125

182

300

360

240

Total Covers

1,370

Food
Check
Average

Beverage
Check
Average
(85/15)

Total
Check
Average

15.09

2.66

17.76

Average
Weekly
Revenue

Notes:
This projection is based on occupancy rates once the restaurant is established. These rates will be reduced in the early forecasts and will gradually increase over time to reach this
projection by the end of the first year of operations. See the first and second year detailed sales projections for those adjustments.
Food is calculated at 85% of total check average; beverage is calculated as 15% of total check average.

24,334

Chic Caf
Forecasted Sales - First Fiscal Year
Adjustments to Revenue

Week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
Totals

Forecasted
Beginning
Average
Holidays &
Date
Weekly
Decreased
Special
(Monday)
Revenue
Occupancy
Days
1/1/07 $
24,334
10%
$
600
1/8/07
1/15/07
1/22/07
1/29/07
2/5/07 $
24,334
2/12/07 $
24,334
25%
$
700
2/19/07 $
24,334
25%
$
600
2/26/07
3/5/07
3/12/07 $
24,334
20%
$
250
3/19/07
3/26/07
4/2/07 $
24,334
25%
$
850
4/9/07
4/16/07
4/23/07 $
24,334
-30%
$
100
4/30/07 $
24,334
20%
$
400
5/7/07 $
24,334
50%
$
1,000
5/14/07
5/21/07
5/28/07 $
24,334
10%
$
250
6/4/07
6/11/07 $
24,334
10%
$
400
6/18/07
6/25/07
7/2/07 $
24,334
20%
$
550
7/9/07
7/16/07
7/23/07
7/30/07
8/6/07
8/13/07
8/20/07
8/27/07
9/3/07 $
24,334
-10%
$
150
9/10/07 $
24,334
-5%
$
100
9/17/07 $
24,334
-5%
$
100
9/24/07
10/1/07
10/8/07
10/15/07 $
24,334
-5%
$
100
10/22/07
10/29/07 $
24,334
25%
$
350
11/5/07 $
24,334
25%
$
250
11/12/07
11/19/07 $
24,334
25%
$
500
11/26/07
12/3/07 $
24,334
10%
$
300
12/10/07
12/17/07
12/24/07 $
24,334
30%
$
1,000
$

511,010

Notes on Special Days


New Year's Day

Valentine's Day
Mardi Gras

St. Patrick's Day

Good Friday/ Easter / Passover

Administrative Professional's Day


Cinco de Mayo
Mother's Day

Memorial Day
Father's Day

Independence Day

Labor Day / Grandparents' Day


Rosh Hashanah / Ramadan begins
Yom Kippur

Boss's Day
Halloween
Veteran's Day
Thanksgiving
Hanukkah

Christmas / New Year's

8,550

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Adjusted
Revenue
27,367
24,334
31,117
31,017
29,451
31,267
17,134
29,601
37,501
27,017
27,167
29,751
22,050
23,217
23,217
23,217
30,767
30,667
30,917
27,067
32,634

586,478

Notes:
Decreased Occupancy: This business plan assumes that the business will open at 50% of the occupancy rates used in the
weekly revenue projection and then grow by 5% every four weeks. The revenue is adjusted each week to reflect that growth in
business toward full occupancy.
Holidays/Special Days: It is assumed that certain holidays/special days will either increase/decrease business. Those days are
noted with the +/- change in expected revenue.
Revenue by Month: This balance is carried to the Income Statement for Monthly Sales.

Revenue by Month

27,367 January

86,468 February

29,451 March

52,630 April

78,311 May

38,746 June

29,751 July

- August

68,485 September

36,403 October

79,166 November

59,701 December

586,478

Restaurant Name
Forecasted Sales - Second Fiscal Year

Month
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Total

Forecasted
Monthly Revenue
$
107,764
$
97,335
$
107,764
$
104,288
$
107,764
$
104,288
$
107,764
$
107,764
$
104,288
$
107,764
$
104,288
$
107,764
$

Adjustments for
Special Days
$
20,289.00
$
63,946.00
$
21,729.00
$
38,978.00
$
57,995.00
$
28,634.00
$
22,029.00
$
$
50,467.00
$
26,842.00
$
58,482.00
$
44,257.00

1,268,833 $

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

433,648 $

Adjusted
Forecasted
Revenue
128,053
161,281
129,493
143,266
165,759
132,922
129,793
107,764
154,755
134,606
162,770
152,021

Quarterly
Total Sales

418,827

441,946

392,312

449,397

1,702,481 $ 1,702,481

Notes:
Forecasted Monthly Revenue is calculated as: Projected Weekly Revenue divided by 7 for an
average daily revenue. The average daily revenue is then multiplied by 28, 30, or 31 for the
number of days in the month.
The Quarterly Total Sales are carried to the second year Income Statement.

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