W1-2-60-1-6
JOMO KENYATTA UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY
EXAMTNARE AND
UNI
NIVERSITY 2019/2020
SECOND YEAR FIRST SEMESTER EXAMINATION FOR THE DEGREE OF BACHELOR OF
SCIENCE IN: ACTUARIAL SCIENCE, BIOSTATISTICS, BUSINESS COMPUTING,
COMPUTER SCIENCE, FINANCIAL ENGINEERING INEFORMATION TECHNOLOGY,
MATHEMATICS &COMPUTER SCIENCE. STATISTICS AND OPERATIONS RESEARCH
STA 2200 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS II
DATE DECEMBER, 2019 TIME 2HOURS
Instructions i) Answerquestion one and any other two questions.
in) Strictly submit this question paper together with the answer booklet
QUESTION ONE(30 MARKS)
a) The probability distribution of adiscrete random variable Zis given by the table below. If
E(94-10Z) =25, find the values of the constants pand q hence obtain Var(Z) (5 marks
3 5 7 11 13
P(Z=) P0.15 90.25 9 P
b) The queuing time, Tminutes, of a customer at atillof asupermarket has aprobability
0sxsk
density function f() =Jk-), where k is a constant.
0, elsewhere
i) Show that k=4 hence find the probability that the queuing time for arandomly(Smarksy
chosen k=
customer is at most 1.5 minutes.
i) Write down the value of E(T) and also find Var(T) (5 marks)
i) Find the probability that a randomly chosen customer's queuing time will differ from the
mean by at least halfa minute. (2pafks)
c) Amanufacture filljarswith coffee. The weight of coffee, Wgrams, in ajar can be modelled
by a normal distribution with mean 232 grams standard deviation of 5 grams.
i) Find P(W S 224) and the value of w such that P(232 < WS w) = 0.20 (5 marks)
i) Ten jars of coffer are selected at random what is the probability that their average coffee
content is between 228 and 235
(3 marks)
S6 d) The high school athletic director is asked if football players are doing as well academically as
the other student athletes. We know from a previous study that the average GPA for the
student athletes is 3.10. After an initiative to help improve the GPA of student athletes. the
athletic director randomly samples 40 football players and finds that the average GPA ofthe
2.015
ampie ts 3.18 with a sample standard deviation of 0.54. Is there a
Use p value approach with a 0,05 significant improvement?
significance level. (5 marks)
a) Adiscrete random variable XhasQUESTION TWOD20 MARKS)
a probability mass function given by
l+x), 0s xs4
0 elsewhere Determine the value of the constant Kand the probability mass
function of Y=\x-2 (4 marks)
b) The distribution function of arandom
variable Xis given by, F(c) 0sxs4
F(x) =0 xs0and F()-1, x>4 Obtain the upper
quartile and P(x23). (2 macks)
0stsl
o) Arandom variable Thas a probability density
function given by f()=-1stse
where c is a positive constant 0, elsewhere
i) Sketch f() hence using geometric shapes or otherwise show that cuy
(4 marks)
ii) Write down the median'ofT and the mode of T hence
deseribe the skewness of the
distribution. (Give a reason for your answer)
d) Abotanist is studying the distribution of daisiesiin a ficld. The field is divided into a(3 marks)
of equal sized Ihe averape
mumber
daisies are iste number of daisies per square is estimated to be 3the
randomly throughout the field.
i) Find the probability that in.a randomly chose square there will bemore than2 daisies.
ii) The botanist decided to count the number of daisies, x, in each of the 80 randomly
selected squares within the field. The results are summarized asx-295 and
S=1386. Find the mean and variance of the number of daisies per square for the 80
squares. Give your answer to 2 decimal places. (2 marks)
iii) Using your mean in part ii estimate the probability that exactly 4 daisies will be found in
a randomly selected square.
(2 marksy
QUESTION THREE (20 MARKS)
a) Consider the electron of aparticle. The function F)1-(2r+r+)eis the CDFof
the distance r,of the electron in a hydrogen atom from centre of the atom. The distance is
measured in Bohr radi where 1Bohr radius=5.29 [Link] to two decimal places
the value of F(), and interpret its meaning. (3marks)
b) The random variable Xhas an exponential distribution with parameter 8. Use the change
of variable technique to find the probability density function of the random variable
W=In X
(7 marks)
Show that E[X'] = 600. Find the value of E[X*] (6 marks)
c) An insurance policy pays 100 per day up to 3days of hospitalization and ie50 nper day for
discrete each
random
day of hospitalization thereafter. The number of days of hospitalization, X, is
variable with probability function
k= 1,2,3,4,5
otherwise
Determine the expected payment for hospitalization under this policy. (4 marks)
QUESTION FOUR (20 MARKS)
ja) Explain the following terms as used in hypothesis testing
a. Type Ierror and type II error (2 marks)
(2 marks)
b. Level of significance and [Link]
b) Given the expected value of the following probability distribution is 7,determine the(5 values
marks)
of r andthence find the variance ofX
X 5 67 89
POX-x)0.20 r2r |0.15 t
Employees
o) year, in a large manufacturing plant worked an average of 62.0 hours of overtime last
with a standard deviation of 15.0 hours. Suppose the union president and the human
resources director jointly select a simple random sample of 36 employees to engage in a
discussion with regard to thc companyy's work rules and overtime policies. What is the
probability that the average number of overtime hours last year for members of this sample
would have been
Less than 65.0 hours? (2 marks)
ii. Between 55.0 and 65.0 hours? (3 marks)
d) Arandom sample of 80 light bulbs supplicd to an appliance company by company A had an
average lifetime of 1258 hours with a standard deviation of 94 hours, while a random sanple
of 60light bulbs supplied by company Bhad an average lifetime of 1029 hours with a
standard deviation of 68 hours. Because of the high cost of bulbs from company A, the
appliance company is inclined to buy from company B unless the bulbs f company A
will last over 200 hours longer on the average than those from company B. Run a test using
alpha =19%, to determine from whom the appliance company should buy bulbs.(6 marks)
