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Weekly Market Update: Nov 15, 2013

The weekly market wrap up document provides a summary of market performance and statistics for the week ending 15-11-2013. Key points include: - The ASPI and S&P SL20 indexes declined 1.0% and 2.1% respectively over the week. Turnover and volume on the CSE also declined. - Foreign activity declined with foreign purchases down 61.5% and sales down 66.9% resulting in a net foreign outflow of LKR 116 million compared to LKR 572 million the previous week. - Top gainers for the week included S M B Leasing and Samson International up over 25%. Top losers were Maskeliya and Madulsima down

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
51 views12 pages

Weekly Market Update: Nov 15, 2013

The weekly market wrap up document provides a summary of market performance and statistics for the week ending 15-11-2013. Key points include: - The ASPI and S&P SL20 indexes declined 1.0% and 2.1% respectively over the week. Turnover and volume on the CSE also declined. - Foreign activity declined with foreign purchases down 61.5% and sales down 66.9% resulting in a net foreign outflow of LKR 116 million compared to LKR 572 million the previous week. - Top gainers for the week included S M B Leasing and Samson International up over 25%. Top losers were Maskeliya and Madulsima down

Uploaded by

Randora Lk
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

2013

Issue 46

Week Ending 15-11-2013

Weekly Market Wrap Up


Stat Page
Weekly Stock Trends
S&P SL20 Watch

Pg 02
Pg 03
Pg 04

Local Economy in Brief


Currency Moves
Inflation & Interest Rates
Colombo Tea Auction
Tourism

Pg 05
Pg 06
Pg 06
Pg 06

Global Market
Equity Market Outlook
Global Commodity Trend

Pg 07
Pg 08

Research Chat:
Sampath Bank - Quick View

Pg 09

Our Core Coverage

Pg 10- Pg 11

Weekly Stat Page


Weekly Market Statistics

Weekly Turnover and Volume

Daily Index Movement


6,000

5,000

5,950

350
300

4,000

5,850
5,800

5,750

250
3,000

200

2,000

150
100

1,000

5,700

('Mn)

LKR ('Mn)

5,900

50

0
25-Oct

ASPI

1-Nov

Turnover (LHS)

8-Nov

15-Nov

Volume (RHS)

Weekly Foreign Purchases and Sales

Daily Foreign Activity

ASPI
S&P SL20
Turnover (LKR 'bn)
Volume ('mn)
Market Cap. (LKR 'bn)

70%
60%

Net Foreign 675

50%
40%

2,000

445

-572

WoW %
-1.0%
-2.1%
-36.5%
-10.9%
-0.7%

Weekly Foreign Flow


LKR ('mn)
Foreign Purchases
Foreign Sales
Net Foreign Inflow
Foreign Participation

Current Previous
520.0
1,351.0
636.3
1,923.0
-116.3
-572.0
22%
23%

WoW %
-61.5%
-66.9%
-79.7%
-4.2%

-116

Weekly Market Valuations

2,500

Current Previous
15.2
15.5
2.0
2.1
3.0
2.8

PER
PBV
DY

LKR ('Mn)

30%
20%
10%
0%

Current Previous
5810.97
5870.47
3174.68
3243.71
2,247.7
3538.19
131.1
147.21
2,417.4
2435.04

1,500
1,000

WoW %
-2.0%
-2.2%
7.1%

500

Weekly Sector Statistics

0
25-Oct

Foreign Activity

Linear (Foreign Activity)

1-Nov

Foreign Buying

8-Nov

15-Nov

Foreign Sales

Change in Foreign Holding


Growth in Foreign Holding

Growth in Growth in
Value
Foreign Decline in Foreign Holding
LKR 'mn
Holding

JKH
C T HOLDINGS
NESTLE (+)
HNB[X.0000] (+)
AITKEN SPENCE

12815.0
114.7
32.1
26.3
24.8

12.41%
4.37%
0.0%
0.75%
0.12%

RICHARD PIERIS
TEXTURED JERSEY
TOKYO CEMENT
PCH HOLDINGS
NATION LANKA

Decline in
Value
LKR 'mn
-13.8
-6.3
-6.0
-3.0
-2.8

Decline in
Foreign
Holding
-0.18%
-0.15%
-0.40%
-36.5%
-2.81%

BANKS FINANCE & INS.


BEV. FOOD & TOBACCO
CHEM. & PHARMA.
CONS. & ENG.
DIVERSIFIED
HEALTH CARE
HOTELS & TRAVELS
LAND & PROPERTY
MANUFACTURING
MOTORS
PLANTATIONS
TELECOM

Current Previous
12,596.2 12,699.9
18,870.1 18,960.2
6,429.8
6,459.5
2,803.8
2,789.3
1,733.3
1,785.7
707.5
683.3
3,213.3
3,201.9
548.5
552.9
2,867.1
2,884.9
14,767.1 14,656.0
706.9
728.9
158.6
158.9

WoW %
-0.8%
-0.5%
-0.5%
0.5%
-2.9%
3.5%
0.4%
-0.8%
-0.6%
0.8%
-3.0%
-0.2%
Page | 2

Weekly Stock Trends


Weekly Top Gainers
Company

Current

S M B LEASING[NON VOTING]

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

0.40

0.30

33.33%

0.40

0.30

1,889,750

613,710

0.50

0.30

SAMSON INTERNAT.

102.00

80.50

26.71%

103.00

81.50

8,175

763,425

104.90

70.50

THREE ACRE FARMS

36.00

30.70

17.26%

39.20

29.90

341,189

12,389,965

57.00

24.50

ASIRI CENTRAL

290.00

251.00

15.54%

295.00

252.20

147

42,783

329.90

205.00

S M B LEASING

0.80

0.70

14.29%

0.90

0.70

2,782,764

2,214,916

1.10

0.50

Volume

Turnover

Weekly Top Losers


Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

52 High

52 Low

MASKELIYA

10.30

12.70

-18.90%

12.70

10.10

92,620

962,353

16.20

9.70

MADULSIMA

11.20

13.00

-13.85%

12.50

11.20

6,905

80,891

18.60

9.30

MIRAMAR

45.80

53.00

-13.58%

50.50

45.50

892

43,026

100.90

38.00

TOUCHWOOD

3.30

3.80

-13.16%

3.90

3.20

4,492,922

15,687,538

15.70

0.90

MALWATTE[NON VOTING]

4.00

4.60

-13.04%

5.30

4.00

1,004,102

4,394,517

5.30

3.10

Volume

Turnover

Weekly Top Performers


Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

52 High

52 Low

JKH

210.40

219.40

-4.10%

220.00

206.50

2,774,972

578,637,630

299.80

204.00

CEYLON GUARDIAN

198.90

191.90

3.65%

199.90

190.00

732,903

145,238,913

211.50

149.90

9.10

9.00

1.11%

9.20

8.90

15,866,609

142,852,308

9.90

7.90

C T HOLDINGS

149.90

149.70

0.13%

150.00

143.00

766,935

114,980,764

160.00

120.00

SAMPATH

165.00

171.20

-3.62%

170.50

164.60

641,470

106,523,157

242.00

164.60

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

DIALOG

Weekly Top Volume


Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

DIALOG

9.10

9.00

1.11%

9.20

8.90

15,866,609

142,852,308

9.90

7.90

PCH HOLDINGS

1.50

1.50

0.00%

1.60

1.30

8,897,438

12,907,654

9.20

0.50

TOUCHWOOD

3.30

3.80

-13.16%

3.90

3.20

4,492,922

15,687,538

15.70

0.90

15.90

15.30

3.92%

15.90

15.10

3,993,806

63,100,263

16.00

10.50

2.50

2.50

0.00%

2.50

2.40

3,800,605

9,495,162

3.10

2.20

ASIRI
PANASIAN POWER

Page | 3

S & P SL20 Debrief

Announcements
DIVIDENDS

Daily Index Movement

Company

3,350
3,300
3,250
3,200
3,150

Dividend (LKR)

27-11-2013

Hemas Holdings PLC

0.30

18-11-2013

27-11-2013

Ceylon Tobacco Company PLC

12.40

19-11-2013

27-11-2013

Odel PLC

0.12

19-11-2013

28-11-2013

Metropolitan Resource Holdings PLC

0.58

21-11-2013

29-11-2013

The Nuwara Eliya Hotels Company PLC

22.50

21-11-2013

02-12-2013

Office Equipment PLC

30.00

28-11-2013

06-12-2013

0.00

00-01-1900

00-01-1900

RIGHTS ISSUE
Company
S&P SL20

S&P SL20 Companies


JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS
COMMERCIAL BANK
THE BUKIT DARAH
HATTON NATIONAL BANK
CARSONS CUMBERBATCH
SAMPATH BANK
CEYLON TOBACCO COMPANY
DFCC BANK
AITKEN SPENCE
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK
C T HOLDINGS
DISTILLERIES
HAYLEYS
CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA
DIALOG AXIATA
CARGILLS (CEYLON)
AITKEN SPENCE HOTEL HOLDINGS
NESTLE LANKA
ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES
SRI LANKA TELECOM

Payment

John Keells Holdings PLC (On the enhanced capital1.00


post the Rights Issues)
18-11-2013

0-Jan-1900

3,100

XD Date

Current
210.40
113.00
675.00
144.30
375.00
165.00
1,055.00
119.60
110.10
150.20
149.90
184.00
291.00
265.50
9.10
150.00
68.40
1,931.70
68.00
37.50

Previous
219.40
115.40
690.00
145.00
385.00
171.20
1,061.30
122.00
113.60
152.00
149.70
181.70
290.00
265.00
9.00
152.50
65.60
1,939.20
68.00
38.10

WoW %
-4.10%
-2.08%
-2.17%
-0.48%
-2.60%
-3.62%
-0.59%
-1.97%
-3.08%
-1.18%
0.13%
1.27%
0.34%
0.19%
1.11%
-1.64%
4.27%
-0.39%
0.00%
-1.57%

Turnover
578,637,630
11,485,361
911,940
13,587,280
2,068,147
106,523,157
11,807,766
8,733,283
26,946,721
8,149,358
114,980,764
12,336,413
180,532
8,107,845
142,852,308
2,734,678
4,478,407
32,527,919
668,944
506,996

Proportion

XR Date

Renunciation

Taprobane Holdings

01 for 03 @ LKR3.0

11-11-2013

28-11-2013

Senkadagala Finance

01 for 10 @ LKR40.0

25-11-2013

12-12-2013

Nanda Investments & Finance

01 for 20 @ LKR9.0

28-11-2013

18-12-2013

Pelawatte Sugar

1 for 4 @ LKR18.0

To Be Notified

To Be Notified

Proportion

EGM Date

XD Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

XC Date

01 for 03 @ LKR1.0

20-12-2013

23-12-2013

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

###
SCRIP DIVIDEND
Company

CAPITALIZATION OF RESERVES
Company
Tess Agro [V & NV]

SUBDIVISION OF SHARES
Company

CONSOLIDATION OF SHARES
Company

Page | 4

Local Economy
CURRENCY MOVES

LKR
134

USD : LKR

LKR
182
180

133

178

132

176

131

174

130

172

129

170

LKR
1.38
1.36
1.34
1.32
1.30

EURO : LKR

Japanese Yen : LKR

LKR
107
106
105
104

1.28

103

1.26

102

Singapore Dollar : LKR

LKR
216
214
212
210
208
206
204
202

LKR
2.20
2.15
2.10
2.05
2.00
1.95
1.90
1.85
1.80

GBP : LKR

Indian Rupee : LKR

Page | 5

Local Economy
BALANCE OF TRADE

TOURISM

Balance of Trade

Tourist Arrivals

140,000
120,000

2,000
1,600
1,200
800
400
0
-400
-800
-1,200

100,000
80,000

60,000
40,000
20,000
Jan

Exports

Imports

Balance of Trade

Sep-13

Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade

Aug-13
918
1,616
-698

MoM %
-3%
0%
-4%

Sep-12
802
1,315
-513

Apr

May

Jun

2011

Jul

Aug

2012

Sep

Oct

Dec

Sep-13
2013
89,761
801,210

Sep-13
YTD

Nov

2013

For the Month Ending:

YoY %
11%
23%
-41%

INFLATION & INTEREST RATE

2012 Change %
71,111
26%
693,772
15%

COLOMBO TEA AUCTION STATISTICS

Inflation and Treasury Bill Rate

14%

Mar

2010

For the Month Ending:


Sep-13
890
1,614
-724

Feb

Elevation

12%

10%

High Grown
Mid Grown
Low Grown
Total

8%
6%
4%

Sale of
06-Nov-13
446.38
442.19
515.18
492.46

Sale of
30-Oct-13
443.39
448.76
559.38
521.10

WoW %
0.67%
-1.46%
-7.90%
-5.50%

Corres. 2012
426.83
370.83
392.02
396.08

WoW %
-11.30%
1.20%

Sale of
15-Aug-13
411.50
410.00

YoY %
4.58%
19.24%
31.42%
24.33%

2%
Oct-12

1-Yr T-Bill

Dec-12

Feb-13

Point to Point

Apr-13

Jun-13

For the Month Ending:


Point to Point
Annual Average Change
1-Yr T-Bill

Aug-13

Annual Average Change

Oct-13

COLOMBO RUBBER AUCTION STATISTICS

Oct-2013
Sep-13
6.2%
7.8%
10.52%

Oct-13
6.7%
7.6%
11.30%

Basis Points
-50
20
-78

Elevation
RSS 1
Brown Crepe 1X

Sale of
22-Oct-13
365.00
420.00

Sale of
26-Sep-13
411.50
415.00

WoW %
-11.30%
2.44%
Page | 6

Global Markets
EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK

Index
16,000

Dow Jones Industrial Average

15,500
15,000
14,500
14,000

Index
7,000

FTSE 100 Index

Index
1,850
1,800
1,750
1,700
1,650
1,600
1,550

Index
17,000

6,800

15,000

6,600

13,000

6,400

11,000

6,200

9,000

6,000

7,000

S&P 500 Index

Nikkei 225

Index
3,100
3,000
2,900
2,800
2,700
2,600
2,500

Index
24,000
23,500
23,000
22,500
22,000
21,500
21,000
20,500

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

Page | 7

Global Markets
GLOBAL COMMODITY TREND

USD/bbl
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80

WTI CRUDE FUTURE

USD/t oz.
1,450
1,400
1,350
1,300
1,250
1,200
1,150

GOLD 100 OZ FUTURE

USd/lb.
90

COTTON NO.2 FUTURE

USd/bu.
720
700
680
660
640
620
600

WHEAT FUTURE(CBT)

85
80
75
70

USd/lb.
340
335
330
325
320
315
310
305

COPPER FUTURE

Commodity
WTI Crude

USD/bbl

Gold
Copper

USD/t oz.
USd/lb.

Cotton
Wheat

USd/lb.
USd/bu.

This
Week

Last
Week

WoW
Change

93.88

94.44

-0.6%

1,280.80
316.45

1,283.70
326.65

-0.2%
-3.1%

77.79
648.00

78.75
654.00

-1.2%
-0.9%

Page | 8

SAMP recorded net earnings of LKR859.2mn in3Q2013, 19%YoY dip, owing to a significant impairment provisioning which resulted in the rise in collective impairment by a
considerable 1861%%YoY to LKR1.1bn due to the dip in global gold prices. However, amidst this challenging environment SAMP recorded a healthy 44%YoY growth in its Net
Interest Income.
Quarterly Performance
3Q2012
YoY %
2Q2013 QoQ %
3,049
45%
3,848 15%
3,824
49%
5,174 10%
1,645
-9%
1,113 34%
1,645
-9%
902 65%
1,064
-19%
652 32%

Notable drop in earnings due to pawning impairments: SAMP reported a significant 20%YoY dip in earnings in 3Q2013 due to
an impairment provisioning of LKR1.1bn which was a notable 1862%YoY rise primarily resulted from the provisions made on
pawning portfolio. SAMP also recorded 33.6%YoY decline in earnings for the first 9 months in 2013 due to revaluation losses
resulted from rupee fluctuations and a pawning impairment provisioning of LKR2.0bn which resulted in a 1096%YoY increase in
collective impairment provision to LKR2.3bn. This pawning provisioning covered both fallen due more than 12 months LKR11bn
and current pawning advances which are not yet fallen due less than 12 months LKR47.7bn. The bank had a 25% exposure to
pawning advances as at 30-09-2013.

LKR ('mn)
Net Interest Income
Total Operating Income
Operating profit before VAT
Profit before tax
Profit for equity holders

Core operations of the banks denoted healthy improvements: Amidst all these challenges SAMP made a healthy 45%YoY
growth in NII in 3Q2013 and a 33%YoY growth in 1st 9 months in 2013 led by a healthy expansion in the loan book of 18.2% and
30 basis point improvements in NIMs to 4.5% cf. to the base date at 31-12-2012 owing to effective management of fund base
through ALCO and reduction in interest rate economy which favorably affected the banks maturity mismatch. In addition, fee
and commission income grew by 25%YoY in 3Q2013 to support the bottom line. Furthermore cost-to-income ratio denoted a
healthy improvement to 49.8% in 3Q2013 cf. 62.5% in the comparative quarter.

9 Month Performance
LKR ('mn)
1-3Q2013 1-3Q2012 YoY %
Net Interest Income
11,580
8,706
33%
Total Operating Income
15,328 13,900
10%
Operating profit before VAT
4,376
6,430
-32%
Profit before tax
3,644
5,521
-34%
Profit for equity holders
2,567
3,867
-34%

We expect SAMP to record net earnings of LKR4.0bn (-23.7%YoY) in 2013E driven primarily by the healthy
loan book expansion and the positive impact of the interest rate cut which would further favourably
impact SAMP in the final quarter and hence set-off some of the hit resulted from impairment provisioning.
In 2014E we forecast a net earnings of LKR6.2bn. (+53%YoY) with the expected increase in NII resulting
from loan book expansion leveraging on its rapid branch expansion in the last few years and highly likely
absence of significant impairment provisioning. This translates to a forward PER of 7.0x in 2013E and 4.5x
in 2014E at a market price of LKR169.1. We rate BUY.

Softlogic Equity Research

3Q2013
4,409
5,689
1,492
1,492
859

Y/E Dec (LKR mn)


Net Profit
Adjusted EPS (LKR)
% Growth
PER (x)
PBV (x)

2011
3,683
22.0
5.7%
7.7
1.2

2012
5,343
31.8
45.1%
5.3
1.0

2013E
4,074
24.3
-23.7%
7.0
0.9

2014E
6,241
37.2
53.2%
4.5
0.8

2015E
7,609
45.4
21.9%
3.7
0.7

NAVPS (LKR)
Adjusted DPS
Div Yield (%)
Dividend Payout

136.0
9.0
5.3%
39.7%

162.2
12.0
7.1%
36.5%

178.4
8.3
4.9%
34.0%

202.3
13.4
7.9%
36.0%

231.3
16.3
9.7%
36.0%

Page | 9

Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price Book Val.

Share

Market

15-Nov-13

Cap.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

('Mn)

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E

Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E

EPS Growth (%)

4Q

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Trailing

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

3,098

25.51

29.00

2,014

57.08

73.94

4Q

PER

DPS

Mar'12

Mar'13 Mar'14E Mar'14E

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12 Dec'13E Dec'13E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

Mar'13
Dec'12

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Banking, Finance & Insurance


Centra l Fi na nce

CFIN.N0000

Ceyl i nco Ins ura nce

CINS.N0000

Commerci a l Ba nk

COMB.N0000 D

Commerci a l Ba nk [X]

COMB.X0000

DFCC Ba nk

Buy

180.00

17,646

104.9

18,879 168.24

1.07

2,675

3,041

1,333.20

14,123

26.4

35,216 534.67

2.49

1,508

1,953

3,437

3,829

32.77

Buy

113.00

55,572

849.0

95,936

65.46

1.73

8,048

10,080

10,685

12,591

9,223

9.48

11.87

12.59

Buy

89.20

55,572

849.0

75,730

65.46

1.36

8,048

10,080

10,685

12,591

9,223

9.48

11.87

DFCC.N0000

MTB

119.60

36,565

265.1

31,706 137.93

0.87

2,900

3,523

3,453

3,915

3,436

10.94

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk

HNB.N0000

Buy

144.30

53,980

399.4

57,636 135.15

1.07

6,149

8,111

9,258

11,113

8,257

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk [X]

Buy

111.50

53,980

399.4

44,535 135.15

0.83

6,149

8,111

9,258

10,908

63.10

20,735

475.2

29,985

43.63

1.45

2,933

1,863

7,127

80.43

1.28

1,714

1,703

2,114

36.51

29.54

46

14

76.24

57

30

7.1

6.2

23.4

18.0

14.83

10.86

46

25

18

11.9

9.5

9.0

12.59

14.83

10.86

46

25

18

9.4

7.5

13.29

13.02

14.77

12.96

(43)

21

(2)

13

10.9

15.39

20.31

23.18

27.82

20.67

28

32

14

20

9.4

8,257

15.39

20.31

23.18

27.82

20.67

1,985

6.17

3.92

4.18

28

32

14

20

(24)

(36)

2,494

1,566

24.75

24.58

30.52

36.01

22.61

68

(1)

24

HNB.X0000

La nka Ori x Lea s i ng Compa ny LOLC.N0000

LB Fi na nce

LFIN.N0000

Buy

102.90

5,571

69.3

Na ti ona l Devel opment Ba nk NDB.N0000

Buy

150.20

23,785

164.7

24,737 144.42

1.04

2,706

8,854

3,533

4,286

8,817

16.43

53.76

21.45

26.03

53.53

26

227

Na ti ons Trus t Ba nk

NTB.N0000

Buy

60.60

10,591

230.6

13,975

45.93

1.32

1,534

1,951

2,438

2,990

2,002

6.65

8.46

10.57

12.96

8.68

41

Pa n As i a Ba nk

PABC.N0000

Buy

16.10

4,100

295.0

4,750

13.89

1.16

824

811

859

995

617

2.79

2.75

2.91

3.37

2.09

Peopl e's Lea s i ng

PLC.N0000

Buy

13.50

18,942

1,579.9

21,328

11.99

1.13

4,542

3,073

3,015

3,590

3,016

2.87

1.95

1.91

2.27

Sa mpa th Ba nk

SAMP.N0000

Buy

165.00

27,971

167.8

27,685 166.70

0.99

4,151

5,212

3,500

5,339

4,066

24.74

31.06

20.86

31.82

Seyl a n Ba nk

SEYB.N0000

65.00

20,343

345.0

22,422

58.97

1.10

1,006

2,063

2,042

2.92

5.98

La nka Ori x Fi na nce

LOFC.N0000

2.80

5,479

2,800.0

7,840

1.96

1.43

1,246

686

705

0.44

0.25

315,401

7,772.2

399,222

40.58

1.27

41,935

52,924

68,324

5.40

6.81

Sample Sector (16)


Full Sector (60)

521,752

898

1,026

0.32

0.37

13

11

5.5

6.1

2.9

1.6

15.2

17.5

12.5

0.9

10.7

7.6

10.4

4.5

4.0

14.5

7.1

6.0

8.2

4.5

5.0

14.5

9.0

9.2

8.1

9.2

5.0

4.2

7.9

7.1

6.2

5.2

7.0

8.5

5.9

11.4

4.8

4.0

7.2

5.5

10.2

16.1

18

4.2

4.2

3.4

(60)

21

9.1

2.8

27

25

23

9.1

128

(2)

16

1.91

74

(32)

(2)

24.23

19

26

(33)

5.92

(17)

105

0.25

(0)

(45)

8.79

19

26

31

4.9

5.4

8.5

7.6

11.4

15.1

0.5

0.8

14.1

2.9

4.6

6.5

6.3

30.8

7.0

5.8

2.8

15.0

10.0

11.4

7.2

5.7

4.7

7.0

2.1

3.5

14.5

5.8

5.9

5.5

4.8

7.7

1.0

6.2

20.1

19

4.7

6.9

7.1

5.9

7.1

1.3

9.3

24.0

53

6.7

5.3

7.9

5.2

6.8

6.0

3.6

14.8

22.3

10.9

11.0

1.0

1.5

4.9

6.3

11.4

11.1

22.7

9.5

7.5

14

8.7

7.6

5.8

1.35

13.3

7.9

Beverage, Food and Tobacco


Ca rgi l l s

CARG.N0000

150.00

12,008

224.0

33,600

Ceyl on Toba cco Compa ny

CTC.N0000

1,055.00

5,041

187.3

197,627

Di s ti l l eri es

DIST.N0000

184.00

50,390

300.0

55,200 167.97

Li on Brewery

LION.N0000

348.00

5,878

80.0

27,840

Nes tl e (La nka )

NEST.N0000

1,931.70

2,569

53.7

75,887

845.0

LTB

Sample Sector (5)


Full Sector (20)

53.61

2.80

1,079

578

453

4.82

2.58

2.02

(1)

(46)

26.91 39.20

6,569

8,176

8,734

9,545

8,570

35.07

43.65

46.63

50.95

45.75

29

24

1.10

5,675

5,520

5,816

6,452

5,701

18.92

18.40

19.39

21.51

19.00

(30)

(3)

4.74

1,262

1,046

1,121

1,465

1,020

15.78

13.07

14.01

18.31

12.76

25

(17)

103,781

47.82 40.39

2,633

2,994

3,513

3,822

3,449

49.01

55.73

65.39

71.14

64.21

39

14

17

418,048

89.80

17,219

18,313

19,194

20.38

21.67

22.71

73.47

473,703

5.51

31.1

58.2

30.1

24.2

11

9.7

10.0

9.5

31

22.1

26.6

24.8

39.4

34.7

29.5

27.2

24.3

22.8

22.6

74.2

2.0

1.3

9.0

23.1

45.2

4.3

130.3

8.6

9.7

3.0

1.6

11.3

19.0

27.3

4.0

1.1

21.5

30.1

54.0

2.8

102.5

20.7

21.8

3.79

22.7

19.6

Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals


CIC Hol di ngs

CIC.N0000

52.00

7,685

94.8

4,928

81.09

0.64

863

231

181

9.11

2.44

1.91

(7)

(73)

5.7

21.3

27.3

1.6

3.1

11.2

La nkem Ceyl on

LCEY.N0000

136.90

3,612

24.0

3,286 150.48

0.91

513

297

194

21.39

12.36

8.10

(55)

(42)

6.4

11.1

16.9

1.5

1.1

14.2

11,296

118.8

8,214

0.73

1,376

528

375

11.59

4.44

3.16

(33)

(62)

6.0

15.6

21.9

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (10)

95.11

17,897

0.89

12.2

12.5

Construction & Engineering


Col ombo Dockya rd

DOCK.N0000

182.40

Sample Sector (1)

10,172

71.9

13,107 141.55

1.29

1,804

1,977

1,229

25.10

27.51

17.11

(13)

10

7.3

6.6

10.7

10,172

71.9

13,107 141.55

1.29

1,804

1,977

1,229

25.10

27.51

17.11

(13)

10

7.3

6.6

10.7

39,753

2.61

Full Sector (4)

8.0

4.4

17.7
17.7

9.1

Diversified Holdings
Ai tken Spence

SPEN.N0000

110.10

28,215

406.0

44,700

69.50

1.58

3,488

3,267

3,293

8.59

8.05

8.11

38

(6)

12.8

13.7

13.6

1.5

1.4

CT Hol di ngs

CTHR.N0000

149.90

16,957

183.1

27,446

92.61

1.62

1,159

1,150

1,619

6.33

6.28

8.84

34

(1)

23.7

23.9

17.0

0.7

0.4

6.8

Ca rs ons Cumberba tch

CARS.N0000

375.00

35,229

196.4

73,645 179.38

2.09

7,017

4,570

4,692

35.73

23.27

23.89

55

(35)

10.5

16.1

15.7

2.0

0.5

19.9

Expol a nka Hol di ngs

EXPO.N0000

7.40

9,359

1,954.9

14,466

Ha yl eys

HAYL.N0000

291.00

22,638

75.0

Hema s Hol di ngs

HHL.N0000

32.60

12,374

John Keel l s Hol di ngs

JKH.N0000

210.40

Ri cha rd Pei ri s

RICH.N0000

Softl ogi c Hol di ngs

SHL.N0000

Va l l i bel One

VONE.N0000

LTB

Buy

4.79

1.55

1,033

1,061

1,100

0.53

0.54

0.56

(33)

14.0

13.6

13.2

0.1

1.6

11.0

21,825 301.84

0.96

1,038

1,854

2,054

13.84

24.72

27.39

43

79

21.0

11.8

10.6

4.5

1.5

4.6

515.3

16,798

24.01

1.36

1,165

1,658

1,600

2.26

3.22

3.11

(4)

42

14.4

10.1

10.5

0.8

2.3

9.4

90,686

990.0

208,291

91.60

2.30

9,687

12,201

12,129

9.78

12.32

12.25

17

26

21.5

17.1

17.2

3.5

1.7

10.7

6.50

8,257

1,958.1

12,728

4.22

1.54

2,575

1,903

1,642

1.32

0.97

0.84

53

(26)

4.9

6.7

7.7

0.2

3.1

31.2

8.50

7,384

779.0

6,622

9.48

0.90

483

301

269

0.62

0.39

0.35

(42)

(38)

13.7

22.0

24.6

0.3

3.5

6.5

17.00

30,980

1,086.6

18,472

28.51

0.60

2,025

1,403

1,550

1.86

1.29

1.43

250

(31)

9.1

13.2

11.9

0.0

0.0

262,079

8,144.3

444,993

32.18

1.70

29,669

29,367

29,948

3.64

3.61

3.68

30

(1)

15.0

15.2

Sample Sector (10)


Full Sector (18)

475,170

1,302

10,952

2,323

10,653

0.67

11.06

2.14

10.76

23

(10)

66

(3)

1.57

11.1

12.4

19.0

8.0

19.6

14.9

6.5
11.3

14.1

Healthcare
As i ri Hos pi ta l Hol d.

ASIR.N0000

15.90

5,650

1,099.1

17,476

5.14

3.09

600

777

810

0.55

0.71

0.74

215

29

29.1

22.5

21.6

0.5

3.1

10.6

Na wa l oka Hos pi ta l s

NHL.N0000

2.90

3,881

1,409.5

4,088

2.75

1.05

271

454

456

0.19

0.32

0.32

(75)

68

15.1

9.0

9.0

0.1

1.7

7.0

La nka Hos pi ta l s

LHCL.N0000

42.00

27,164

223.7

9,397 121.41

0.35

437

384

537

1.95

1.72

2.40

51

(12)

21.5

24.5

17.5

0.5

1.2

1.6

36,695

2,732.3

0.84

1,308

1,616

1,803

0.48

0.59

0.66

(16)

24

23.7

19.2

17.2

Softlogic Equity Research

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

30,960
46,235

13.43

2.15

18.9

3.6

Page | 10

Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price Book Val.

Share

Market

15-Nov-13

Cap.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

('Mn)

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E

Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E

EPS Growth (%)

4Q

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Trailing

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

PER

DPS

Mar'12

Mar'13 Mar'14E Mar'14E

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12 Dec'13E Dec'13E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

Mar'13
Dec'12

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Hotels and Travels


Ai tken Sp. Ho. Hol d.

AHUN.N0000 M

68.40

12,937

336.3

23,002

38.47

1.78

1,378

1,782

2,148

1,782

4.10

5.30

6.39

5.30

33

29

21

16.7

12.9

10.7

12.9

1.0

1.5

10.7

Ama ya Lei s ure

CONN.N0000 M

75.00

2,515

48.0

3,603

52.37

1.43

293

377

376

374

6.09

7.84

7.83

7.79

(38)

29

(0)

12.3

9.6

9.6

9.6

4.0

5.3

11.6

As i a n Hotel s & Prop.

AHPL.N0000

68.00

20,762

442.8

30,109

46.89

1.45

2,149

2,494

2,386

2,493

2,492

4.85

5.63

5.39

5.63

5.63

21

16

(4)

14.0

12.1

12.6

12.1

12.1

4.0

5.9

10.3

Keel l s Hotel s

KHL.N0000

12.00

16,421

1,456.1

17,474

11.28

1.06

1,105

1,121

870

994

1,121

0.76

0.77

0.60

0.68

0.77

111

(22)

14

15.8

15.6

20.1

17.6

15.6

0.0

0.0

6.7

Ta j

TAJ.N0000

29.30

2,223

139.6

4,091

15.92

1.84

125

246

293

224

0.89

1.76

2.10

1.61

26

97

19

32.8

16.6

14.0

18.3

0.0

0.0

5.6

Tra ns As i a

TRAN.N0000

87.00

5,775

200.0

17,400

28.88

3.01

625

1,066

884

1,066

3.12

5.33

4.42

5.33

(5)

71

(17)

27.8

16.3

19.7

16.3

3.0

3.4

10.8

60,634

2,622.9

95,679

23.12

1.58

5,674

7,086

6,957

6,059

2.16

2.70

2.65

2.31

24

25

(2)

16.9

13.5

13.8

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (36)

313,252

927

4.64

18.8

15.8

2.47

9.4

37.0

Land and Property


Col ombo La nd

CLND.N0000

38.80

2,699

199.9

7,755

13.50

2.87

10

335

-90

12

48

0.05

1.68

(0.45)

0.06

0.24

(98)

3,393

(127)

113

808.6

23.1

N/A

646.3

160.1

0.0

0.0

0.4

Overs ea s Rea l i ty

OSEA.N0000

18.00

22,697

843.5

15,183

26.91

0.67

2,681

2,469

1,924

2,158

2,991

3.18

2.93

2.28

2.56

3.55

218

(8)

(22)

12

5.7

6.1

7.9

7.0

5.1

0.3

1.7

11.8

25,396

1,043.4

22,938

24.34

0.90

2,691

2,804

1,834

2,170

3,040

2.58

2.69

1.76

2.08

2.91

102

(35)

18

8.5

8.2

12.5

10.6

7.5

1.1

10.6

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (18)

37,927

0.80

7.3

Manufacturing
ACL Ca bl es

ACL.N0000

65.00

5,802

59.9

3,893

96.87

0.67

485

532

513

8.10

8.88

8.56

127

10

Gra i n El eva tors

GRAN.N0000

37.10

2,742

60.0

2,226

45.71

0.81

388

135

87

93

-188

6.46

2.24

1.45

1.55

(3.13)

(18)

(65)

(35)

Chevron Lubri ca nts

LLUB.N0000

Hold

265.50

5,098

120.0

31,860

42.48

6.25

2,001

2,288

2,526

2,621

2,425

16.67

19.06

21.05

21.84

20.21

33

14

La nka Wa l l ti l e

LWL.N0000

LTB

55.00

4,871

54.6

3,003

89.21

0.62

731

520

545

600

474

13.39

9.52

9.98

10.99

8.68

51

(29)

Pi ra ma l Gl a s s

GLAS.N0000

LTB

4.60

3,716

950.1

4,370

3.91

1.18

686

724

361

532

941

0.72

0.76

0.38

0.56

0.99

19

Roya l Cera mi c

RCL.N0000

LTB

88.80

8,384

110.8

9,838

75.67

1.17

1,243

1,670

1,844

2,190

1,411

11.22

15.07

16.64

19.77

12.74

Textured Jers ey

TJL.N0000

Buy

15.20

6,190

655.0

9,956

9.45

1.61

628

1,017

1,186

1,483

1,085

0.96

1.55

1.81

2.26

Tokyo Cement

TKYO.N0000

26.30

7,793

334.1

8,787

23.32

1.13

979

828

1,447

2.93

44,596

2,344.5

73,934

19.02

1.66

7,141

7,713

8,108

3.05

Sample Sector (8)


Full Sector (36)

104,897

8.0

7.3

7.6

1.0

1.5

8.4

5.7

16.5

25.6

23.9

-11.8

0.1

0.4

14.1

10

15.9

13.9

12.6

12.2

13.1

11.0

4.1

39.2

10

4.1

5.8

5.5

5.0

6.3

3.0

5.5

15.0

(50)

47

6.4

6.0

12.1

8.2

4.6

0.4

8.3

18.5

(14)

34

10

19

7.9

5.9

5.3

4.5

7.0

2.0

2.3

14.8

1.66

(8)

62

17

25

15.9

9.8

8.4

6.7

9.2

1.2

8.2

10.1

2.48

4.33

14

(15)

9.0

10.6

6.1

1.0

3.8

12.6

3.29

3.46

15

10.4

9.6

9.1

4.4

16.0

1.34

8.3

Motors
Col oni a l Motors

84.80

3,562

15.2

1,289 234.33

0.36

453

120

Di es el & Motor Engi neeri ng DIMO.N0000 M

COLO.N0000

495.00

7,571

8.9

4,394 852.93

0.58

2,702

462

Uni ted Motors

110.80

7,747

67.3

7,453 115.18

0.96

2,281

2,013

2,011

18,880

91.3

13,136 206.70

0.70

5,436

2,595

2,496

21,065

0.93

UML.N0000

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

29.80

7.91

1.47

95

(73)

2.8

10.7

57.8

3.0

3.5

12.7

462 304.36

22

52.06

52.05

27

(83)

1.6

9.5

9.5

10.0

2.0

35.7

33.91

29.92

29.90

153

(12)

3.3

3.7

3.7

10.0

9.0

29.4

59.51

28.41

27.32

67

(52)

2.4

5.1

5.3

6.1

28.8

9.0

Oil Palms
Buki t Da ra h

BUKI.N0000

675.00

Sample Sector (1)

32,716

102.0

68,850 320.74

2.10

7,299

5,042

4,405

71.56

49.43

43.19

43

(31)

9.4

13.7

15.6

3.0

0.4

22.3

32,716

102.0

68,850 320.74

2.10

7,299

5,042

4,405

71.56

49.43

43.19

43

(31)

9.4

13.7

15.6

3.0

0.4

22.3

Full Sector (5)

103,049

1.82

19.0

Plantations
Ba l a ngoda

BALA.N0000

30.10

2,660

23.6

711 112.53

0.27

25

118

62

1.08

5.01

2.64

(85)

366

28.0

6.0

11.4

1.0

Hora na

HOPL.N0000

22.60

1,391

25.0

565

55.63

0.41

87

220

201

3.49

8.82

8.04

(73)

152

6.5

2.6

2.8

2.0

Kega l l e

KGAL.N0000

94.00

3,439

25.0

2,350 137.54

0.68

769

544

542

30.77

21.74

21.70

(8)

(29)

3.1

4.3

4.3

12.0

12.8

22.4

Kel a ni Va l l ey

KVAL.N0000

73.60

2,524

34.0

2,502

74.24

0.99

460

584

650

13.54

17.19

19.12

44

27

5.4

4.3

3.8

6.0

8.2

18.2

Kota ga l a

KOTA.N0000

37.00

3,535

40.0

1,480

88.38

0.42

439

517

378

10.97

12.92

9.44

(34)

18

3.4

2.9

3.9

2.5

6.8

12.4

Wa ta wa l a

WATA.N0000 M

10.00

3,855

236.7

2,367

16.29

0.61

455

680

755

1.92

2.87

3.19

(29)

49

5.2

3.5

3.1

0.8

17,403

384.3

9,976

45.29

0.57

2,236

2,664

2,589

5.82

6.93

6.74

(24)

19

4.5

3.7

3.9

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (19)

23,130

0.63

1.0
6.3

11.8
12.8

5.3

Power and Energy


La nka IOC

LIOC.N0000

28.90

14,378

532.5

15,390

27.00

1.07

906

2,911

4,069

1.70

5.47

7.64

221

17.0

5.3

3.8

1.0

Va l l i bel

VPEL.N0000

5.90

2,068

747.1

4,408

2.77

2.13

249

289

482

0.33

0.39

0.65

(41)

16

17.7

15.2

9.1

0.3

4.2

12.0

La ugfs Ga s

LGL.N0000

29.80

6,178

387.0

11,533

15.96

1.87

822

1,061

1,291

2.13

2.74

3.34

(4)

29

14.0

10.9

8.9

1.5

5.0

13.3

22,624

1,666.6

31,331

13.57

1.38

1,977

4,261

5,843

1.19

2.56

3.51

(8)

116

15.8

7.4

5.4

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (8)

36,815

1.26

6.3

8.7

5.7

Telecommunications
Di a l og Axi a ta

DIAL.N0000

9.10

37,086

8,143.8

74,108

4.55

2.00

5,354

6,521

8,156

0.66

0.80

0.00

1.00

22

(100)

13.8

11.4

9.1

0.3

3.6

Sri La nka Tel ecom

SLTL.N0000

37.50

55,315

1,804.9

67,682

30.65

1.22

4,781

5,329

4,976

2.65

2.95

0.00

2.76

21

11

(100)

14.2

12.7

13.6

0.9

2.3

92,401

9,948.6

141,791

9.29

1.53

10,135

11,850

13,132

1.02

1.19

0.00

1.32

13

17

(100)

14.0

12.0

10.8

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (2)

141,791

1.53

14.4
8.6
11.0

10.7

Trading
Browns

BRWN.N0000 M

90.00

15,058

70.9

3.39

(79)

5.5

26.6

26.6

1.3

1.5

7.7

4,812

125.2

11,169

38.43

2.32

985

10.11

9.09

3.39
7.87

(47)

89.20

240
1,138

16.43

SINS.N0000

1,164
1,266

240

Si nger Sri La nka

90

(10)

8.8

9.8

11.3

6.0

6.7

26.3

19,870

196.1

17,547 101.33

0.88

2,431

1,378

1,225

12.40

7.03

6.25

(15)

(43)

7.2

12.7

14.3

22,366

0.94

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (8)

Softlogic Equity Research


Sample Market (70)
Total Market (284)

6,379 212.47

1,046,050 38,084.3 1,789,725


2,437,312

27.47

0.42

1.71
1.68

12.2

11.4
138,331 150,117 166,629 188,291 167,769

3.63

3.94

4.38

4.94

4.41

17

11

13

12.9

11.9

10.7

9.5

10.7
12.5

13.2

Page | 11

Softlogic Equity Research

Softlogic Equity Sales

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Horana

Negombo

Kurunegala

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No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negombo
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+94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

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+94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

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