Exhibit 1
Entertainment Industry Statistics
A. Annual Film Industry Statistics
Major
Total U.S. Total U.S.
MPAA
Box Office Admissions
Releases
Revenues (millions)
Major
Average
Distributors Distributors
Total
Domestic
Filmed
Screens
Entertain.
Entertain.
Cost
(thousands)
Revenues
Operating
Per Film
($ millions)
($ millions)
Filmed Releasing
Income ($ millions)
($ millions)
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
1980
5154
4871
4803
5022
5033
4458
4260
3778
3749
4031
3766
3453
2966
2749
1244
1173
1141
1189
1263
1085
1089
1017
1056
1199
1197
1175
1060
1022
161
150
164
169
169
160
129
139
153
167
190
173
173
161
25.7
25.1
24.5
23.7
23.1
23.2
23.6
22.8
21.1
20.2
18.9
18.0
18.0
17.6
17417
15938
14208
12676
11571
9121
8251
6839
6359
5839
5324
4548
3749
3997
1004
1288
948
1103
1130
1151
928
799
465
516
590
565
301
489
44.0
42.3
38.2
38.8
32.7
26.6
28.3
24.1
23.2
21.1
17.1
16.8
15.7
13.7
MPAA is the Motion Pictures Assosciation of America
Total releasing cost includes the film or negative costs, print costs, and advertising costs.
B. Film Industry Revenues by Source in 1995 and 1980.
Theatrical
Home
Video
Pay Network
Cable
TV
Syndication
1995
$ millions
% of total
4,900
27.20%
1980
$ millions
% of total
2,094
52.40%
Foreign Made for
TV TV Films
7,300
40.60%
1,400
7.80%
250
1.40%
750
4.20%
1200
6.70%
2200
12.20%
280
7.00%
240
6.00%
430
10.80%
150
3.80%
100
2.50%
700
17.50%
Source: Entertainment Industry Economics, Harold Vogel, Cambridge University Press, 1995.
Exhibit 1 (continued)
C. Network and Cable Industry Statistics
Network TV
Households
(millions)
Network TV
Ratings
Basic Cable
Households
(millions)
Pay-cable
Households
(millions)
1995
95.6
37.5
60.7
44.9
1980
79.9
50.1
17.6
7.4
Top 15 Cable Networks
Network
CNN
ESPN
TBS Superstation
USA
Discovery
TNT
Nickelodeon
C-Span
The Family Channel
Nashville Network
MTV
Lifetime
A&E
Weather Channel
Headline News
Top 15 Cable Systems
Subscribers
(millions)
61.7
61.6
60.6
60.1
59.5
59.1
59.0
58.9
57.7
57.4
57.4
57.0
56.6
53.4
51.6
Homes passed
Subscribers
by cable
(millions) (millions)
TCI
Time Warner Cable
Continental Cablevision
Comcast
Cablevision Systems
Cox Cable Communications
Newhouse
Jones Spacelink
Cablevision Industries
Adelphia Communications
Times Mirror
Falcon Cable
Viacom Cable
Simmons Comm.
Century Comm.
10.25
7.10
2.89
2.70
2.04
1.72
1.36
1.30
1.29
1.23
1.20
1.09
1.07
0.94
0.93
17.73
12.00
4.99
4.39
3.36
2.77
1.93
2.01
1.93
1.78
2.05
1.27
1.70
1.38
1.65
Source: Entertainment Industry Economics, Harold Vogel, Cambridge University Press, 1995.
Exhibit 3:
Paramount Consolidated Statement of Earnings ($ millions)
(1993 data includes 9 months of actuals and 3 months of casewriter's estimates)
1990
Revenues
Cost of Goods Sold
SG & A
Year ended
10/31
1991
1992
1993
3,869.0
(2,542.6)
(1,022.2)
3,895.4
(2,638.7)
(1,098.9)
4,264.9
(2,739.8)
(1,129.0)
4,641.6
(3,047.6)
(1,254.6)
Operating Income
Other Income(expense)
Interest Expense
Interest Income
304.2
(2.0)
(123.9)
202.7
157.8
0.1
(112.0)
133.8
396.1
(6.6)
(113.8)
121.6
339.4
(6.6)
(94.0)
78.5
Earnings before Taxes
Provision for Taxes
Extraordinary Items
381.0
(121.9)
(8.8)
179.7
(57.5)
0.0
397.3
(123.1)
(8.8)
317.3
(109.2)
(9.1)
Net Earnings
250.3
122.2
265.4
199.0
Depreciation and Amortization
Working Capital*
Capital Expenditures
171.7
550.3
187.9
186.1
850.4
172.9
202.3
704.9
120.0
221.1
802.7
111.8
Working capital is defined as (Current Assets - Cash - Short-term investments) - (Current Liabilities - Short-term debt)
Source: SEC Filings
Exhibit 4:
Paramount Consolidated Balance Sheet ($ millions)
(1993 data includes 9 months of actuals and 3 months of casewriter's estimates)
Year ended
1990
1991
10/31
1992
1993
ASSETS
Cash
Short-term investments
Trade receivables
Inventories
Other current assets
Total Current Assets
Property,Plant & Equipment
Accumulated Depreciation
Net Property, Plant & Equipment
Intangibles
Other Assets
Total Assets
1,112.8
553.6
808.7
577.9
478.7
3,531.7
871.2
(225.8)
645.4
1,138.9
1,223.2
6,539.2
555.3
1,020.7
904.1
590.4
606.7
3,677.2
1,027.4
(268.4)
759.0
1,239.3
965.3
6,640.8
324.3
912.0
979.3
580.2
540.0
3,335.8
1,375.9
(315.9)
1,060.0
1,528.1
1,130.3
7,054.2
380.6
626.5
1,062.2
633.7
538.3
3,241.3
1,572.2
(382.4)
1,189.8
1,560.3
1,454.1
7,445.5
LIABILITIES
Current Maturities of LT debt
Trade Accounts Payable
Income Taxes Payable
Accrued Expenses and other
Total Current Liabilities
Deferred Liabilities
Long-Term debt
Total Liabilities
21.7
143.7
161.2
1,010.1
1,336.7
661.2
712.1
2,710.0
198.3
119.8
131.4
999.6
1,449.1
777.0
519.9
2,746.0
10.0
143.7
139.2
1,111.7
1,404.6
786.0
812.1
3,002.7
10.1
196.5
64.5
1,170.5
1,441.6
871.2
1,002.9
3,315.7
EQUITY
Common Stock
Paid-In Capital
Retained Earnings
Translation Adjustments
Total Net Worth
117.4
575.9
3,120.4
15.5
3,829.2
117.8
629.5
3,136.4
11.1
3,894.8
117.5
665.7
3,264.6
3.7
4,051.5
119.6
778.1
3,252.2
(20.1)
4,129.8
Total Liabilities and Equity
6,539.2
6,640.8
7,054.2
7,445.5
Source: SEC Filings
Exhibit 5:
Viacom Consolidated Statement of Earnings
Year ended
12/31
1990
1991
Revenues
Cost of Goods Sold
SG & A
Income before Deprcn. & Amort.
Deprcn. & Amort.
Non-Operating Income (expense)
Interest Expense
Earnings before Taxes
Provision for Taxes
Other Income (expense)
Extraordinary Items
Net Earnings
1,599.6
(778.2)
(460.2)
--------361.2
(137.4)
(0.5)
(293.7)
--------(70.4)
(20.4)
0.9
0.0
--------(89.8)
Depreciation
Working Capital*
Capital Expenditures
Exhibit 6:
Income before Deprcn.& Amort.
Deprcn. & Amort.
Other Income (expense)
Interest Expense
Earnings before Taxes
Provision(benefit) for Taxes
Extraordinary Items
Depreciation
Working Capital*
Capital Expenditures
1,711.6
(790.8)
(475.6)
--------445.1
(132.9)
(6.5)
(297.5)
--------8.2
(42.1)
(12.7)
(3.1)
--------(49.7)
1,864.7
(854.0)
(518.0)
--------492.7
(144.8)
1.8
(194.1)
--------155.6
(84.8)
(4.6)
(17.1)
--------49.0
966.4
(430.4)
(267.2)
--------268.8
(72.1)
66.9
(80.7)
--------183.0
(70.6)
(0.5)
10.3
--------122.6
132.9
(186.4)
72.2
144.8
(201.4)
110.2
76.5
34.0
70.0
QVC Consolidated Statement of Earnings
Revenues
Cost of Goods Sold
SG & A
Net Earnings
6 Months ended
6/30
1992
1993
1/31
1991
Year ended
1/31
1992
1/31
1993
776.0
(479.9)
(220.4)
--------75.7
(16.2)
(27.3)
(49.1)
--------(17.0)
0.0
0.0
--------(17.0)
921.8
(534.7)
(256.1)
--------131.1
(16.7)
(22.5)
(39.0)
--------52.9
31.2
(2.1)
--------19.6
1,070.6
(621.8)
(284.0)
--------164.7
(17.1)
(20.6)
(18.4)
--------108.7
52.1
(1.5)
--------55.1
46.7
(6.4)
11.9
46.5
27.1
21.1
6 Months ended
7/31
1993
535.7
(314.0)
(144.1)
--------77.6
(8.1)
(7.9)
(0.9)
--------60.7
29.7
4.0
--------34.9
23.5
62.7
12.2
* Working capital is defined as (Current Assets - Cash - Short-term investments) - (Current Liabilities - Short-term debt)
Source: SEC Filings
Exhibit 7:
Viacom and QVC Consolidated Balance Sheets
Viacom
Year ended
12/31
1991
QVC
6 Months ended
6/30
1992
1993
Year ended
1/31
1992
1/31
1993
6 Months ended
7/31
1993
ASSETS
Cash
Total Current Assets
Net Property, Plant & Equipment
Intangibles
Other Assets
28.7
718.2
379.8
2,637.4
453.0
48.4
758.5
457.1
2,658.1
443.5
65.0
947.3
484.0
2,638.1
413.4
36.8
217.0
68.9
414.6
14.0
4.3
234.9
72.9
383.4
9.0
14.6
289.0
78.0
364.1
18.9
Total Assets
4,188.4
4,317.1
4,482.9
714.5
700.2
750.0
LIABILITIES
Current Maturities of LT debt
Total Current Liabilities
Long-Term debt
Other Long-Term Liabilities
Net Worth
0.0
875.9
2,320.9
292.1
699.5
0.0
911.5
2,397.0
252.1
756.5
0.0
848.3
2,475.0
278.5
881.1
49.7
236.3
152.5
24.1
227.6
7.6
3.1
214.8
7.3
325.8
465.1
528.0
Total Liabilities and Net Worth
4,188.4
4,317.1
4,482.9
714.5
700.2
750.0
Source: SEC Filings
Exhibit 8:
Stock Market Data (closing prices)
PCI
Paramount
VIA
Viacom
Class A
VIAB
Viacom
Class B
QVCN
QVC
S&P 500
1992 1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
42.500
45.375
45.625
45.000
37.250
38.500
34.875
44.000
36.500
36.875
32.875
41.875
18.875
20.500
18.625
38.875
403.69
408.14
417.80
435.71
1993 1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
48.875
54.000
46.500
52.625
44.125
49.500
57.000
63.500
451.67
450.53
July 31
August 30
51.750
55.500
51.750
62.750
46.875
56.750
68.500
65.500
448.13
463.56
Dividend
0.800
0.000
0.000
0.000
120.0
53.4
67.1
37.7
Shares Outstanding (millions)
Exhibit 9: Pro Forma Combinations
Paramount - Viacom Combination
Pro Forma Revenues ($ millions)
Paramount
Entertainment
$2,021
Viacom Combined
$233
$2,254
Networks
Cable TV
Broadcasting
Live Entertainment
Publishing
Total
$187
$0
$216
$634
$1,667
$1,143
$421
$175
$0
$0
$1,330
$421
$391
$634
$1,667
$4,725
$1,972
$6,697
Paramount - QVC Combination
Pro Forma Revenues ($ millions)
Paramount
Entertainment
Networks
Cable TV
Broadcasting
Live Entertainment
Publishing
Total
QVC Combined
$2,021
$187
$0
$216
$634
$1,667
$0
$1,200
$0
$0
$0
$0
$2,021
$1,387
$0
$216
$634
$1,667
$4,725
$1,200
$5,925
Source: Merrill Lynch Analyst Report, September 14, 1993 and casewriter estimates
Exhibit 10:Cash flow forecasts
Paramount as stand alone company
1993
(est.)
Sales
EBITDA
Capital Expenditures
Increase in Net Working Capital
Depreciation (tax deductible)
Asset Sales Proceeds (after-tax)
4641.6
560.5
Viacom as stand alone company
1994
4905.0
660.6
160.1
45.6
162.0
1995
5264.3
737.0
177.3
62.1
172.0
900
1996
5648.6
790.8
176.7
66.5
184.0
1997
6060.0
848.4
202.9
71.2
196.0
1998
6500.7
910.1
216.6
76.2
209.0
1993
(est.)
Sales
EBITDA
Capital Expenditures
Increase in Net Working Capital
Depreciation (tax deductible)
2008.0
538.4
Est. EBITDA synergies w/ Paramount
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
2173.0
642.0
210.9
5.0
181.0
2386.0
736.0
227.7
6.4
205.0
2595.0
825.0
228.3
6.3
229.0
2826.0
935.7
266.1
6.9
246.0
3077.5
1059.1
288.4
7.5
269.0
134.0
150.0
171.0
216.0
223.0
QVC as stand alone company
1993
(est.)
Sales
EBITDA
Capital Expenditures
Increase in Net Working Capital
Depreciation (tax deductible)
1231.0
190.0
1994
1416.0
215.0
55.0
9.3
47.0
1995
1628.0
255.0
63.2
10.6
54.0
1996
1873.0
302.0
72.8
12.3
62.2
1997
2153.0
358.0
83.6
14.0
71.5
Source: Paramount Communications 13E3 dated May 25, 1994 and casewriter estimates.
Exhibit 11:Capital Markets Information on September 10, 1993
One-YearTreasury Bills
Two-YearTreasury Note
Ten-Year Treasury Note
Thirty-YearTreasury Bond
AA Long-term Debt
A Long-term Debt
BBB Long-term Debt
BB Long-term Debt
B Long-term Debt
3.44%
4.00%
5.68%
6.25%
7.05%
7.24%
7.59%
9.00%
10.75%
Paramount Equity Beta
Viacom Equity Beta
QVC Equity Beta
1.0
1.2
1.5
Exhibit 12:
Summary Comparative Market Data for Selected Entertainment and Media Companies
Market Value of Total Capital as a Multiple of:
Est.
Est.
1993
1994
EBITDA EBITDA
Walt Disney
Time Warner
Turner Broadcasting
------
------
13.3
11.2
14.8
12.2
10.4
11.9
1998
2476.0
422.0
96.2
16.2
82.2
Market Value of total capital is the sum of the market value of common stock, preferred stock, and debt less cash and marketable securities.
Source: Paramount Communications 13E3 dated May 25, 1994.
Exhibit 13:
Summary Transaction Value Data for Selected Entertainment and Media Companies
Buyer
Target
Year
Market Value
Of Capital to
EBITDA
Matsushita
Time
Sony
Turner Broadcasting
Universal / MCA Studios
Warner
Columbia Pictures
MGM Film Library
1990
1990
1989
1987
16
12
22
20
Market Value of total capital is the sum of the market value of common stock, preferred stock, and debt less cash and marketable securities.
Source: Paramount Communications 13E3 dated May 25, 1994.
Exhibit 14:
Smith Barney Analysis of Paramount
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Values of Total Capital -- Debt + Equity
Price per share of common stock
Using Terminal Value Multiples of EBITDA:
14
15
16
Using Terminal Value Multiples of EBITDA:
14
15
16
10.0%
Discount Rates 11.0%
12.0%
$9,554
$9,163
$8,792
Total debt
Cash
$1,013
$1,007
Shares outstanding
120
$10,152
$9,736
$9,341
$10,750
$10,308
$9,888
Discount Rates
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
$79.57
$76.31
$73.22
$84.55
$81.08
$77.79
$89.53
$85.85
$82.35
The discounted cash flow analysis calculates after-tax free cash flows to an all-equity firm for five years based on Paramount projections.
The analysis calculates a terminal value by applying an EBITDA multiple to the EBITDA in the fifth and final year of the proejctions.
The analysis then discounts the after-tax free cash flows and terminal value to obtain a value of debt and equity.
Source: Paramount Communications 13E3 dated May 25, 1994 and case writer adjustments
Exhibit 15:
Smith Barney Analysis of Paramount
Public Market Valuation
(The values that Paramount could expect to receive based on comparable publicly traded firms)
1994 Est.
EBITDA
Entertainment
Theatrical
Television
Stations and Networks
TV Stations
Networks - SciFi
Networks - USA
MSG
Theatres
Public Market Trading
Multiple of EBITDA
Public Market
Public Market Trading Value Range
Trading Value Rangewith 30% Acquisition Premium
$125.0
$60.0
12
11
15
14
$1,500.0
$660.0
$1,875.0
$840.0
$1,950.0
$858.0
$2,437.5
$1,092.0
$65.0
$0.0
$50.0
$24.0
$45.0
10
15
18
10
$520.0
$50.0
$750.0
$400.0
$360.0
$650.0
$75.0
$900.0
$600.0
$450.0
$676.0
$65.0
$975.0
$520.0
$468.0
$845.0
$97.5
$1,170.0
$780.0
$585.0
Theme Parks
Total Entertainment
Publishing
Educational
Business
Consumer
International
Macmillan
Total Publishing
Corporate Expenses
Total Value
$90.0
7
9
$630.0
$810.0
$819.0 $1,053.0
--------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------$459.0
10.61
13.51
$4,870.0
$6,200.0 $6,331.0 $8,060.0
$154.0
9
11 $1,386.0
$1,694.0 $1,801.8 $2,202.2
$25.0
8
10
$200.0
$250.0
$260.0
$325.0
$36.0
10
12
$360.0
$432.0
$468.0
$561.6
$33.0
10
12
$330.0
$396.0
$429.0
$514.8
$30.0
12
14
$360.0
$420.0
$468.0
$546.0
--------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------$278.0
9.48
11.48
$2,636.0
$3,192.0 $3,426.8 $4,149.6
($76.4)
$660.6
5
10.78
7
13.41
($382.0)
($534.8)
$7,124.0
$8,857.2
$59.32
$73.76
Equity Value per share
($496.6)
$9,261.2 $11,514.4
Source: Paramount Communications 13E3 dated May 25, 1994.
Exhibit 16:
Smith Barney Analysis of Paramount
Private Market Valuation
(The values that Paramount could expect to receive in a private market sale)
1994 Est.
EBITDA
Entertainment
Theatrical
Television
Stations and Networks
TV Stations
Networks - SciFi
Networks - USA
MSG
Theatres
Private Mkt. EBITDA
Multiple Range
Private Mkt. Value Range
$125.0
$60.0
16
14
18
16
$2,000.0
$840.0
$2,250.0
$960.0
$65.0
$0.0
$50.0
$24.0
$45.0
10
12
16
29
10
20
34
12
$650.0
$50.0
$800.0
$700.0
$450.0
$780.0
$75.0
$1,000.0
$1,000.0
$540.0
($695.2)
$77.13
$95.90
Theme Parks
Total Entertainment
Publishing
Educational
Business
Consumer
International
Macmillan
Total Publishing
Corporate Expenses
Total Value
$90.0
8
10
$720.0
$900.0
--------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------$459.0
13.53
16.35
$6,210.0
$7,505.0
$154.0
11
13 $1,694.0
$2,002.0
$25.0
10
13
$250.0
$325.0
$36.0
12
14
$432.0
$504.0
$33.0
12
14
$396.0
$462.0
$30.0
18.4
23.3
$552.0
$699.0
--------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------$278.0
11.96
14.36
$3,324.0
$3,992.0
($76.4)
$660.6
5
13.85
Equity Value per share
Source: Paramount Communications 13E3 dated May 25, 1994.
7
16.59
($382.0)
($534.8)
$9,152.0
$10,962.2
$76.22
$91.30