CHAPTER 7
INTEREST RATES AND BOND VALUATION
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved
BOND DEFINITIONS
• Bond
• Par value (face value)
• Coupon rate
• Coupon payment
• Maturity date
• Yield or Yield to maturity
7-2
1
PRESENT VALUE OF CASH FLOWS
AS RATES CHANGE
• Bond Value = PV of coupons + PV of par
• Bond Value = PV of annuity + PV of lump
sum
• As interest rates increase, present values
decrease
• So, as interest rates increase, bond prices
decrease and vice versa
7-3
VALUING A DISCOUNT BOND
WITH ANNUAL COUPONS
• Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10%
and annual coupons. The par value is $1,000,
and the bond has 5 years to maturity. The
yield to maturity is 11%. What is the value of
the bond?
Using the formula:
• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
• B = 100[1 – 1/(1.11)5] / .11 + 1,000 / (1.11)5
• B = 369.59 + 593.45 = 963.04
Using the calculator:
• N = 5; I/Y = 11; PMT = 100; FV = 1,000
• CPT PV = -963.04
7-4
2
VALUING A PREMIUM BOND
WITH ANNUAL COUPONS
• Suppose you are reviewing a bond that has a
10% annual coupon and a face value of
$1000. There are 20 years to maturity, and the
yield to maturity is 8%. What is the price of this
bond?
Using the formula:
• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
• B = 100[1 – 1/(1.08)20] / .08 + 1000 / (1.08)20
• B = 981.81 + 214.55 = 1196.36
Using the calculator:
• N = 20; I/Y = 8; PMT = 100; FV = 1000
• CPT PV = -1,196.36
7-5
GRAPHICAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN
PRICE AND YIELD-TO-MATURITY (YTM)
1500
Bond Price, in dollars
1400
1300
1200
1100
1000
900
800
700
600
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
Yield-to-Maturity Yield-to-maturity
(YTM) (YTM)
Bond characteristics:
10 year maturity, 8% coupon rate, $1,000 par value
7-6
3
BOND PRICES: RELATIONSHIP
BETWEEN COUPON AND YIELD
• If YTM = coupon rate, then par value = bond
price
• If YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond
price
Why? The discount provides yield above coupon
rate
Price below par value, called a discount bond
• If YTM < coupon rate, then par value < bond
price
Why? Higher coupon rate causes value above par
Price above par value, called a premium bond 7-7
THE BOND PRICING EQUATION
1
1 -
(1 r) t FV
Bond Value C
(1 r)
t
r
7-8
4
EXAMPLE 7.1
• If an ordinary bond has a coupon rate of
14 percent, then the owner will get a total
of $140 per year, but this $140 will come in
two payments of $70 each. The yield to
maturity is quoted at 16 percent. The bond
matures in seven years.
• Note: Bond yields are quoted like APRs;
the quoted rate is equal to the actual rate
per period multiplied by the number of
periods.
7-9
EXAMPLE 7.1
How many coupon payments are there?
What is the semiannual coupon payment?
What is the semiannual yield?
What is the bond price?
B = 70[1 – 1/(1.08)14] / .08 + 1,000 / (1.08)14 =
917.56
Or PMT = 70; N = 14; I/Y = 8; FV = 1,000; CPT
PV = -917.56
7-10
5
INTEREST RATE RISK
• Price Risk
Change in price due to changes in interest rates
Long-term bonds have more price risk than short-
term bonds
Low coupon rate bonds have more price risk than
high coupon rate bonds
• Reinvestment Rate Risk
Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows
can be reinvested
Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk
than long-term bonds
High coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment
rate risk than low coupon rate bonds
7-11
FIGURE 7.2
7-12
6
COMPUTING YIELD TO MATURITY
• Yield to Maturity (YTM) is the rate implied by
the current bond price
• Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you
do not have a financial calculator and is
similar to the process for finding r with an
annuity
• If you have a financial calculator, enter N,
PV, PMT, and FV, remembering the sign
convention (PMT and FV need to have the
same sign, PV the opposite sign)
7-13
YTM WITH ANNUAL COUPONS
• Consider a bond with a 10% annual coupon
rate, 15 years to maturity and a par value of
$1,000. The current price is $928.09.
Will the yield be more or less than 10%?
N = 15; PV = -928.09; FV = 1,000; PMT = 100; CPT I/Y
= 11%
7-14
7
YTM WITH SEMIANNUAL
COUPONS
• Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate
and semiannual coupons, has a face value
of $1,000, 20 years to maturity and is selling
for $1,197.93.
Is the YTM more or less than 10%?
What is the semiannual coupon payment?
How many periods are there?
N = 40; PV = -1,197.93; PMT = 50; FV = 1,000; CPT I/Y
= 4% (Is this the YTM?)
YTM = 4%* 2 = 8%
7-15
TABLE 7.1
7-16
8
CURRENT YIELD VS. YIELD TO
MATURITY
• Current Yield = annual coupon / price
• Yield to maturity = current yield + capital gains yield
• Example: 10% coupon bond, with semiannual
coupons, face value of 1,000, 20 years to maturity,
$1,197.93 price
Current yield = 100 / 1,197.93 = .0835 = 8.35%
Price in one year, assuming no change in YTM = 1,193.68
Capital gain yield = (1,193.68 – 1,197.93) / 1,197.93 = -.0035
= -.35%
YTM = 8.35 - .35 = 8%, which is the same YTM computed
earlier
7-17
BOND PRICING THEOREMS
• Bonds of similar risk (and maturity) will be
priced to yield about the same return,
regardless of the coupon rate
• If you know the price of one bond, you can
estimate its YTM and use that to find the
price of the second bond
• This is a useful concept that can be
transferred to valuing assets other than
bonds
7-18
9
BOND PRICES WITH A
SPREADSHEET
• There is a specific formula for finding
bond prices on a spreadsheet
PRICE(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Yld,Redemption,
Frequency,Basis)
YIELD(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Pr,Redemption,
Frequency,Basis)
Settlement and maturity need to be actual dates
The redemption and Pr need to be input as % of
par value
7-19
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
DEBT AND EQUITY
• Debt • Equity
Not an ownership interest Ownership interest
Creditors do not have Common stockholders
voting rights vote for the board of
Interest is considered a directors and other issues
cost of doing business Dividends are not
and is tax deductible considered a cost of
Creditors have legal doing business and are
recourse if interest or not tax deductible
principal payments are Dividends are not a
missed liability of the firm, and
Excess debt can lead to stockholders have no
financial distress and legal recourse if
bankruptcy dividends are not paid
An all equity firm can not
go bankrupt merely due
to debt since it has no
debt
7-20
10
BOND CHARACTERISTICS AND
REQUIRED RETURNS
• The coupon rate depends on the risk
characteristics of the bond when issued
7-21
BOND RATINGS –
INVESTMENT QUALITY
• High Grade
Moody’s Aaa, S&P and Fitch AAA – capacity to
pay is extremely strong
Moody’s Aa, S&P and Fitch AA – capacity to
pay is very strong
• Medium Grade
Moody’s A, S&P and Fitch A – capacity to pay
is strong, but more susceptible to changes in
circumstances
Moody’s Baa, S&P and Fitch BBB – capacity to
pay is adequate, adverse conditions will have
more impact on the firm’s ability to pay
7-22
11
BOND RATINGS –
SPECULATIVE GRADE
• Low Grade
Moody’s Ba and B
S&P and Fitch BB and B
Considered possible that the capacity to pay
will degenerate.
• Very Low Grade
Moody’s C (and below) and S&P and Fitch C
(and below)
• income bonds with no interest being paid,
or
• in default with principal and interest in
arrears
7-23
GOVERNMENT BONDS
• Treasury Securities
Federal government debt
T-bills – pure discount bonds with original maturity of
one year or less
T-notes – coupon debt with original maturity
between one and ten years
T-bonds – coupon debt with original maturity greater
than ten years
• Municipal Securities
Debt of state and local governments
Varying degrees of default risk, rated similar to
corporate debt
Interest received is tax-exempt at the federal level
7-24
12
EXAMPLE 7.4
• A taxable bond has a yield of 8%, and a
municipal bond has a yield of 6%.
If you are in a 40% tax bracket, which bond do
you prefer?
• 8%(1 - .4) = 4.8%
• The after-tax return on the corporate bond is 4.8%,
compared to a 6% return on the municipal
At what tax rate would you be indifferent
between the two bonds?
• 8%(1 – T) = 6%
• T = 25%
7-25
ZERO COUPON BONDS
• Make no periodic interest payments
(coupon rate = 0%)
• The entire yield-to-maturity comes from the
difference between the purchase price and the par
value
• Cannot sell for more than par value
• Sometimes called zeroes, deep discount bonds, or
original issue discount bonds (OIDs)
• Treasury Bills and principal-only Treasury strips are
good examples of zeroes
7-26
13
FLOATING-RATE BONDS
• Coupon rate floats depending on some index value
• Examples – adjustable rate mortgages and inflation-
linked Treasuries
• There is less price risk with floating rate bonds
The coupon floats, so it is less likely to differ
substantially from the yield-to-maturity
7-27
BOND MARKETS
• Primarily over-the-counter transactions
with dealers connected electronically
• Extremely large number of bond issues,
but generally low daily volume in single
issues
• Makes getting up-to-date prices
difficult, particularly on small company
or municipal issues
• Treasury securities are an exception
7-28
14
WORK THE WEB EXAMPLE
• Bond quotes are available online
• One good site is FINRA’s Market Data
Center
• Click on the web surfer to go to the site
Choose a company, enter it in the Issuer Name
bar, choose Corporate, and see what you can
find!
7-29
INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES
• Real rate of interest – change in
purchasing power
• Nominal rate of interest – quoted rate
of interest, change in actual number of
dollars
• The ex ante nominal rate of interest
includes our desired real rate of return
plus an adjustment for expected
inflation
7-30
15
THE FISHER EFFECT
• The Fisher Effect defines the relationship
between real rates, nominal rates, and
inflation
• (1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h), where
R = nominal rate
r = real rate
h = expected inflation rate
• Approximation
R=r+h
7-31
EXAMPLE 7.5
• If we require a 10% real return and we expect
inflation to be 8%, what is the nominal rate?
• R = (1.1)(1.08) – 1 = .188 = 18.8%
• Approximation: R = 10% + 8% = 18%
• Because the real return and expected
inflation are relatively high, there is significant
difference between the actual Fisher Effect
and the approximation.
7-32
16
TERM STRUCTURE OF
INTEREST RATES
• Term structure is the relationship between
time to maturity and yields, all else equal
• It is important to recognize that we pull out
the effect of default risk, different coupons,
etc.
• Yield curve – graphical representation of the
term structure
Normal – upward-sloping; long-term yields are
higher than short-term yields
Inverted – downward-sloping; long-term yields are
lower than short-term yields
7-33
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