SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.97916513870797
R Square 0.958764368861
Adjusted R Square 0.93520115106728
Standard Error 45415.1737479008
Observations 12
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 335690645889.8 83922661472 40.689025466 6.2016857745E-05
Residual 7 14437766045.86 2062538006.55
Total 11 350128411935.7
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 514096.590 356151.840 1.443 0.192 -328068.688
Debt Ratio -1771395.351 1482060.609 -1.195 0.271 -5275911.809
total asset 0.024 0.057 0.425 0.684 -0.110
operating expenses 0.029 0.013 2.292 0.056 -0.001
share price 229.971 93.734 2.453 0.044 8.325
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
1356261.868 -328068.688 1356261.868
1733121.107 -5275911.809 1733121.107
0.158 -0.110 0.158
0.058 -0.001 0.058
451.618 8.325 451.618
Year Net Profit Debt Ratio total asset operating expenses share price
1999 413256 0.141 3421353 151857 219
2000 426545 0.132 3512518 169083 517.75
2001 457859 0.125 3788899 191056 370.5
2002 465894 0.107 3755488 194666 239.75
2003 502154 0.101 4010827 217776 141.75
2004 476584 0.098 4310909 243065 161.75
2005 556125 0.092 4193072 261302 114.75
2006 521578 0.085 4138463 318823 138.5
2007 621511 0.056 5152659 335718 369
2008 592524 0.055 5870541 383114 318.25
2009 850880 0.1 6030450 498298 1398.25
2010 998724 0.114 7182699 552901 293.4
logY logX1 logX2 logX3 logX4 fratio logYhat
13.29215 -2.900422 15.58546 12.85609 5.762837 1.545677 13.37279
13.33991 -2.882404 15.45502 12.72403 5.910797 1.545677 13.25685
13.16461 -2 15 13 5 2 13
13.22875 -2.385967 15.24894 12.47343 4.742756 1.545677 13.15858
13.0744 -2 15 12 5 2 13
13.65403 -2.302585 15.61233 13.11895 7.242977 1.545677 13.64417
13.12666 -2.292635 15.20451 12.29122 4.954065 1.545677 13.08294
13.05171 -2.234926 15.13873 12.17904 5.479597 1.545677 13.01914
13.81423 -2.171557 15.78719 13.22293 5.681537 1.545677 13.79834
13.03432 -2.079442 15.14759 12.16032 5.914854 1.545677 13.05448
12.96347 -2.024953 15.07184 12.03815 6.249493 1.545677 12.97973
12.93182 -1.958995 15.04555 11.93069 5.389072 1.545677 12.93253
assets: 1999 2000
non-current asset:
property, plant & equipment 2,258,364 2,373,581
capital work in process 115,218 95,864
intangible assets 3,125 3,254
2,376,707 2,472,699
current assets:
inventories 467,854 475,895
trade and other receivables 421,254 435,984
advance, deposit & prepaments 86,584 25,356
cash and bank balance 68,954 102,584
1,044,646 1,039,819
total assets 3,421,353 3,512,518
liabilities
non-current liabilities:
supplier's credit block 2,565 2,565
quasi equity loan 122,636 122,636
ADP loan 12,699 12,699
long term loan 115,845 102,151
deffered liability-gratuity 1,645 1,954
deffered tax liability 1,254 4,651
Long term Debt 256,644 246,656
current liabilities:
trade and other payables 542,512 562,562
short term loan 58,954 65,864
provisions for other liabilities and charge 5,968 6,125
provision for tax liability 5,325 6,254
unclaimed dividend 7,125 7,594
619,884 648,399
Total Liabilities 876,528 895,055
equity
shareholder's equity:
share capital 435,621 435,621
capital reserve 605,657 605,657
revenue reserve and surplus:
general reserve 15,000 15,000
dividend equalization fund 8,600 8,600
retained earnings 756,245 798,546
1,821,123 1,863,424
Debt Ratio 0.141 0.132
1999 2000
warehouse, distribution & selling expenses 26,542 34,568
administrative expenses 125,315 134,515
Operating Expense 151,857 169,083
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
2,489,615 2,553,645 2,648,597 2,756,845 2,876,364 2,711,690 2,602,097
86,954 54,876 24,513 325,462 2,930 6,479 344,045
3,958 3,895 3,251 4,158 4,386 2,890 4,571
2,580,527 2,612,416 2,676,361 3,086,465 2,883,680 2,721,059 2,950,713
492,568 552,542 678,549 632,514 735,362 635,660 677,045
485,745 452,152 461,524 470,125 480,567 511,145 564,167
142,511 42,514 76,845 45,847 6,787 179,372 109,531
87,548 95,864 117,548 75,958 86,676 91,227 851,203
1,208,372 1,143,072 1,334,466 1,224,444 1,309,392 1,417,404 2,201,946
3,788,899 3,755,488 4,010,827 4,310,909 4,193,072 4,138,463 5,152,659
2,565 2,565 2,565 2,565 2,565 2,565 2,565
122,636 122,636 122,636 122,636 122,636 122,636 122,636
12,699 12,699 12,699 12,699 12,699 12,699 12,699
89,548 75,958 67,854 64,788 56,954 49,690
2,135 2,458 2,865 3,012 3,125 3,279 12,114
5,625 1,625 1,245 2,125 2,351 6,254 8,594
235,208 217,941 209,864 207,825 200,330 197,123 158,608
2,006 2,007
615,484 645,841 712,542 856,245 913,352 1,067,346 1,348,264
76,589 80,564 95,864 102,142 110,616 512,204 704,671
6,458 7,564 9,658 10,245 13,650 31,549 44,671
6,458 6,785 7,562 7,856 8,023 2,562 2,676
7,954 8,125 8,458 8,965 10,073 15,127 36,961
712,943 748,879 834,084 985,453 1,055,714 1,628,788 2,137,243
948,151 966,820 1,043,948 1,193,278 1,256,044 1,825,911 2,295,851
435,621 538,129 538,129 538,129 538,129 538,129 565,036
605,657 605,657 605,657 605,657 605,657 605,657 605,657
15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000
8,600 8,600 8,600 8,600 8,600 8,600 8,600
815,462 875,695 915,462 956,489 1,015,326 1,153,982 1,662,515
1,880,340 2,043,081 2,082,848 2,123,875 2,182,712 2,321,368 2,856,808
0.125 0.107 0.101 0.098 0.092 0.085 0.056
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
45,841 42,351 53,264 67,584 71,297 100,302 93,621
145,215 152,315 164,512 175,481 190,005 218,521 242,097
191,056 194,666 217,776 243,065 261,302 318,823 335,718
2008 2009 2010
2,830,670 2,610,544 2,468,670
14,890 36,328 229,464
5,664 2,674 2,251
2,851,224 2,649,546 2,700,385
1,454,869 861,050 1,209,461
604,752 586,848 589,323
191,242 113,639 187,204
768,454 1,819,367 2,496,326
3,019,317 3,380,904 4,482,314
5,870,541 6,030,450 7,182,699
2,565 2,565 2,565
122,636 122,636 122,636
12,699 12,699 12,699
16,289 27,364 40,914
27,642 230,912 362,912
181,831 396,176 541,726
2,008 2,009 2,010
1,433,634 1,333,660 1,553,790
829,715 6,222 17,877
45,501 74,882 82,792
30,213 198,477 172,703
41,573 48,543 57,310
2,380,636 1,661,784 1,884,472
2,562,467 2,057,960 2,426,198
565,036 565,036 565,036
605,657 605,657 605,657
15,000 15,000 15,000
8,600 8,600 8,600
2,113,779 2,778,197 3,562,208
3,308,072 3,972,490 4,756,501
0.055 0.100 0.114
2008 2009 2010
114,666 116,729 7,207,245
268,448 381,569 8,321,771
383,114 498,298 15,529,016
Year Y X1 X2 X3 X4 yhat residual
2008 592524 0.055 5870541 383114 318.25 654224.1 -61700.13
2007 621511 0.056 5152659 335718 369 574187.6 47323.38
2006 521578 0.085 4138463 318823 138.5 561366.5 -39788.5
2005 556125 0.092 4193072 261302 114.75 510850.8 45274.19
2004 476584 0.098 4310909 243065 161.75 504125.4 -27541.38
2009 850880 0.1 6030450 498298 1398.25 846796.6 4083.375
2003 502154 0.101 4010827 217776 141.75 468933.2 33220.78
2002 465894 0.107 3755488 194666 239.75 441438.3 24455.72
2010 998724 0.114 7182699 552901 293.4 984723.6 14000.38
2001 457859 0.125 3788899 191056 370.5 465068.5 -7209.469
2000 426545 0.132 3512518 169083 517.75 439065.5 -12520.5
1999 413256 0.141 3421353 151857 219 432853.9 -19597.94
reg Y X1 X2 X3 X4
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 12
#NAME?
Model | 3.3718e+11 4 8.4296e+10 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 1.2945e+10 7 1.8493e+09 R-squared = 0.9630
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.9419
Total | 3.5013e+11 11 3.1830e+10 Root MSE = 43003
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Y | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
X1 | 1526926 555654.6 2.75 0.029 213012 2840841
X2 | .0399648 .0446419 0.90 0.400 -.0655965 .1455261
X3 | 1.105756 .4282774 2.58 0.036 .0930411 2.118471
X4 | -9.162317 45.66876 -0.20 0.847 -117.1518 98.82714
_cons | -85086.69 119755.4 -0.71 0.500 -368263.3 198089.9
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