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Fuel Sales

This case study analyzes market data from EuroPet gas stations in Marseille, France to determine if increased advertising spending on TV and radio justified higher sales at co-located convenience stores. Regression analyses showed that while fuel sales did not strongly influence store sales, TV and radio advertising did have a statistically significant positive effect. Estimates indicated that store sales would be higher for weeks with 40 TV and 80 radio spots compared to average weeks. The analyses suggested that advertising sufficiently boosted store sales to make the advertising spending profitable for EuroPet.

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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
354 views11 pages

Fuel Sales

This case study analyzes market data from EuroPet gas stations in Marseille, France to determine if increased advertising spending on TV and radio justified higher sales at co-located convenience stores. Regression analyses showed that while fuel sales did not strongly influence store sales, TV and radio advertising did have a statistically significant positive effect. Estimates indicated that store sales would be higher for weeks with 40 TV and 80 radio spots compared to average weeks. The analyses suggested that advertising sufficiently boosted store sales to make the advertising spending profitable for EuroPet.

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Fueling Sales at EuroPet Harvard Case Solution & Analysis

Fueling Sales at EuroPet Case Solution

Question 1.          To obtain an initial overview of the data, calculate the minimum, average, and
maximum value of the variables Sales, Fuel Volume, TV, and Radio.
Minimum Value:
The minimum value of variable sales is 23,688.
The minimum value of Fuel Volume is 60,227.
The minimum value of TV is 0.
The minimum value of Radio is 0.
Average Value:
The average value of variable sales is 24,968
The average value of Fuel Volume is 63,107.
The average value of TV is 91.
The average value of Radio is 101.
Maximum Value:
The maximum value of variable sales is 26,765.
The maximum value of Fuel Volume is 65,196.
The maximum value of TV is 180.
The maximum value of Radio is 237.

Table 1: Sales Fuel Volume TV Radio


23,688 60,227 0 0
Minimum Vale
24,968 63,107 91 101
Average Value
26,765 65,196 180 237
Maximum Value
Question 2.          Customers visit EuroPet’s gas stations to buy gasoline and convenience items at
the co-located c-stores. For an investigation of the relationship between c-store sales and gasoline
sales run a regression of sales against fuel volume.
The Regression model has been used to determine the relationship between sales and the Fuel volume
and the results are shown in the Table 2 below and the following below questions have been answered
using the Regression model shown in the Exhibit 1.
2.a               Is there a statistically significant relationship between c-store sales and fuel volume?
There is a statistical significant relationship between c-store and fuel volume and it shows that at 95%
significance level, the fuel volume would be 0.71025. It means that the sales volume of c- store is not totally
dependent on the fuel volume, but it is independent and any changes in the fuel volume will not affect the
sales value of the c-store and the relationship between these two sales and fuel volume is highly
independent.
2.b              Provide estimates for average c-store sales in the data set for weeks when fuel volume
levels were at the smallest, average, and largest observed value, respectively.
The estimates for average c-store sales when fuel volume is minimum is around (–0.516642547), the
average value is around (0.10355302) and the largest observed value is around (0.723748586). These
values come across at the points where fuel volume values are minimum, average and maximum
respectively.
2.c               Provide respective 95 percent intervals for your three estimates in part b. Comment on the
widths of the three intervals.
With the data used to create the regression model, the plot has been created using the 95% confidence
interval level with the conditional mean, when fuel volume is 0.1035 the sales interval values are in
between -20714.27 to 57581.29 and the margin of error is around 1169.32.
2.d              Comment on the relationship (cause and effect) between c-store sales and fuel volume.
The relationship between c-store and fuel volume is weak as the fuel volume is not affecting the sales of
the c-store, but the fuel volume is helping with the sales of the c-store. So if there would be lower
customers to fill up their car’s fuel they would also purchase from the c-store but that would not impacted in
higher relationship.
Question 3.          Run a regression of c-store sales against TV and radio GRPs.
Refer the Excel sheet and Exhibit 1 for the regression model.
3.a   Do the two advertising variables have a statistically significant effect on c-store sales?
The two advertising variable TV and Radio has significant impact on the sales of c-store is highly positive,
representing the strong effects they have on c-store. The significance defines that c-store sales is
dependent on the advertising made on TV and radio and it generates more awareness among the
customers purchase from the c-stores while fueling their cars. The significant of TV and Radio is around
0.9747.
3.b  Provide an estimate for c-store sales for a particular week with 40 TV GRPs and 80 radioGRPs.
The sales of c-store in a particular week in which the TV GRP would be around 40 and Radio GRPs would
be around 40 is given below:
Table 2:

ANOVA

  df SS MS F Significance F

2 81002.5667 40501.28335 0.02563308 0.974783708


Regression
7 11060277.83 1580039.69
Residual    
9 11141280.4
Total      
3.c   Provide a 95 percent interval for your answer in part b.
The significant interval level shown above in the table is around 0.9747.
3.d  Emily Tyler demands proof of the profitability of c-store advertising. Based on your regression, does
advertising appear too sufficiently boost c-store sales to justify the advertising spend? Provide an estimate
for the net impact of c-store advertising.
The net impact of the advertising that would boost the sale is given in the below table.
Table 3:

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Sales Residuals Standard Residuals

1 25026.00213 -162.0021327 -0.14613659

2 25026.00213 -1217.002133 -1.09781605

3 25053.95554 -577.9555409 -0.52135395

4 25053.95554 225.0444591 0.203004919

…………..
This is just a sample partial case solution. Please place the order on the website to order your own
originally done case solution.
EuroPet SA was a multinational company operating gas stations in many European countries. There was a
growing tendency to supermarkets to make filling stations in their retail operations, which develops into a
serious threat to EuroPet. As a result, in the mid-1990s, the company began to develop its own brand and
convenience stores with gas stations combined. However, the company is spending more money on
advertising stores than its competitors did. Management now had to decide if the increase in sales due to
promotional efforts justified the cost of advertising by analyzing market data from one large metropolitan
area. Marseille, France “Hide
Karl Schmedders, I. Lyle Campbell Source: Kellogg School Management 12 pages. Publication Date:
December 31, 2007. Prod. #: KEL368-PDF-ENG
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