Interaction Domains and Suicide: A Population-Based Panel Study of Suicides in Stockholm, 1991-1999
Interaction Domains and Suicide: A Population-Based Panel Study of Suicides in Stockholm, 1991-1999
This research has been supported by grants from The Swedish Council for Working Life
and Social Research and the NEST/Path Finder initiative of the European Community, the
DYSONET and MMCOMNET projects. We wish to thank Yvonne Åberg, Peter Bearman,
Francois Collet, Fredrik Liljeros and the referees for their useful comments. Direct
correspondence to Peter Hedström, School of Social Sciences, Singapore Management
University, Singapore 178903, e-mail: phedstrom@[Link], or Nuffield College, New
Road, Oxford OX1 4RB, United Kingdom, e-mail: [Link]@[Link].
© The University of North Carolina Press Social Forces 87(2), December 2008
714 • Social Forces 87(2)
Network Effects
Suicide risks have been linked to a range of medical and biological factors
including various psychiatric disorders and personality characteristics (see
Interaction Domains and Suicide • 715
[Link]-Exposure
Figure Suicide-Exposure Effects
Effects from
Froman
anAction-Theory
Action-theory Perspective
Perspective
Beliefs of Individual j
Risk that Individual j
Suicide of Individual i Desires of Individual j Decides to Commit
Suicide
Opportunities of
Individual j
becomes more prone to commit suicide (see Cutler, Glaeser and Norberg
2001; Hankoff 1961). The mechanism is exemplified by the remark made
by a 13-year-old boy during the funeral of someone who committed suicide:
“How nice it would be to have all those people crying and making a fuss
over me.” (Hezel 1985:120)3 It is this mechanism that explains why most
media guidelines suggest that “glorification” of suicide and sensational
mass media reporting should be avoided (CDC 1994; WHO 2000).
Suicides of others may also influence the focal person’s beliefs about
his ability to commit suicide. As we know from research within numerous
other areas of life, the availability of social models is one key source of
al. 1989; Poijula, Wahlberg and Dyregrov 2001). Studies using survey data
also suggest the existence of such effects (Bearman and Moody 2004;
Cerel, Roberts and Nilsen 2005; Hazell and Lewin 1993; Ho et al. 2000;
Lewinsohn, Rohde and Seeley 1994).
∑
I e = � peaea
a =1
Figure 2. Hypothetical
Figure Ego-centered
2. Hypothetical Network
Ego-Centered Network
== Co-worker
∑
I e = � p ekek ×
k =1
� neekk
where k indexes the domain, K the possible number of domains, peek k the
average influence of individual e upon those in domain k, and n ek ek the
number of individuals in domain k that are tied to e (excluding e).
The value of Ie shows the extent to which the effect of a suicide is
amplified by the social structure. If Ie is greater than zero we have a
positive social multiplier, and the greater Ie is the more amplified the
effect of e’s suicide will be. The extent of amplification depends upon the
specific combination of peek k and nek values. Individuals in certain domains,
Domain 2: Work
n2 = 5
pe2
The database we use in this study contains information on the entire adult
population (age range 18-64) in the larger Stockholm metropolitan area
for each year throughout the 1990s. Statistics Sweden assembled it by
merging various administrative and population registers. The data is of
high quality and missing values are virtually nonexistent. Constructing
a database like this is only possible in a country where all government
registers use the same identifying keys, in this case a personal ID number,
and when government authorities regularly register a large amount of
information about the individuals they come into contact with.
The database includes a range of demographic and socio-economic
information, information on both current and past family relations as
well as several generations of kinship relations derived from parent-
child information. It also includes information on places of work which
will be used to link individuals to each other. The data used in this study
consists of all individuals in the database who lived and worked in the
Stockholm metropolitan area at some point during the years 1991-1999,
and were in the age-range 18-64 at that point in time. In total, 1,195,098
individuals are included in the analyses, and each individual is observed
over an average of 5.6 years.
The outcome variable of interest refers to suicides and not to suicidal
ideations. Information from the National Cause of Death Register was
used to identify the suicide cases. We follow the usual practice in
suicide epidemiology and define a suicide on the basis of the following
cause-of-death codes: E950-E959 or E980-E989 for the years 1991-1996
(International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision) and X60-X84, Y87.0,
or Y10-Y34 for the years 1997-1999 (International Classification of Diseases,
10th revision). Because we use lagged independent variables, the suicides
Interaction Domains and Suicide • 721
Figure 4a. Number of Individuals at Risk
Figure 4a. Number of Individuals at Risk
500000
450000
400000
Number of Individuals at Risk
350000
300000
Women
250000
Men
Figure
Figure4b.
[Link]
NumberofofSuicides
Suicides
140
120
100
Number of Suicides
80
Women
Men
60
40
20
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Year
722 • Social Forces 87(2)
that we seek to explain took place from 1992 through 1999. All in all 1,116
suicides took place in the study population during these years.
Figure 4a and 4b shows how the number of suicides and the number
of individuals at risk changed during the 1990s. About 400,000 men and
400,000 women were at risk each year and between 54 and 118 men and
46 and 59 women committed suicide each year.
Methods
where pit equals the hazard rate, or the conditional probability that
individual i will commit suicide during year t , given that s/he was alive
at the beginning of year t, and α, γk, , and λ are logistic regression
coefficients to be estimated. xikt are individual-level risk attributes likely
to influence an individual’s suicide risk. Fit-1 is a variable measuring the
number of suicides that took place in individual i’s family during the
preceding year, and Wit-1 is a variable measuring the number of suicides
that took place in the individual’s workplace during the preceding year.
Family members were identified in two steps. First we identified the focal
individual’s partner, mother, father, siblings, children, grandparents and
grandchildren. Then we identified the mother, father, siblings, children,
grandparents and grandchildren of the family members identified in the
first step. All the individuals identified in these two steps were regarded
as family members of the focal individual.6 “Workplace” is defined as
the specific establishment in which the individual worked at the end of
November during the preceding year.
Before the parameters of the above model are estimated, the units
must be changed from persons to “person years” so that each person
contributes as many observations as the number of years that he
was at risk (see Allison 1982). For example, an individual who entered
our population in 1998 will only contribute one observation, while an
individual who entered in 1994 will contribute five observations. The set
of 1,195,098 persons included in these analyses contributed a total of
6.65 million person years.
The set of right-hand variables included in the analysis was guided by
findings from prior research. As background information to the event-
history analyses, these variables are described in tables 1a and 1b.
Interaction Domains and Suicide • 723
1.54
.05
.00
5.25
.79
.15
99.95
92.28
Table 3: Estimates of the Public-Health Effects of Suicide Exposures and Selected Comparison Events Measured in
mention a few words about why
Distribution (%)
.77
4.14
.41
.04
99.95
.05
.00
94.64
Men
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
0
Women
.053
.051
Men
Table 1a: Description of Exposure Variables Included in the Analysis
.21
.33
.11
.00046
.0025
Men
.070
-10.16
-6.82
-6.64
.00
Number of exposures to
Number of exposures to
suicide at workplace in
-2.63
-6.45
-1.44
-.78
-3.86
-5.68
Men
suicide in family
� 100 employees
� 100 employees
Number of Suicides
Workplace exposure
Exposure to suicide at
Exposure Variables
Exposure to suicide in
Results
Variable Name Definition Men Women
Family type Dummy variables distinguishing between:
Couple living together 50.4 50.3
One-person unita 11.9 18.22
Other 37.7 31.46
724 • Social Forces 87(2)
Children aged 0-3 years At least one child aged 0-3 living at home 13.3 13.6
Children aged 4-15 years At least one child aged 4-15 living at home 25.0 28.55
Country of birth Dummy variables distinguishing between:
Sweden 84.55 84.55
Finland 4.14 6.31
Denmark, Norway, Iceland .77 .83
Easter Europe other than former Yugoslavia 1.30 1.62
Australia, New Zealand, Oceania .00 .03
Other 9.24 6.67
Early retirement Retired early due to a medical reason 1.9 3.1
Social welfare recipient Received social welfare benefit 5.2 5.3
Divorce Divorced less than 5 years ago 3.5 3.6
Widow(er) Became widow(er) less than 5 years ago .15 .36
Unnatural death in family Exposed to unnatural death of family
member due to injury, homicide, or war .03 .04
be the case with widowhood (Agerbo 2005; Luoma and Pearson 2002).7
the effects that have been adjusted for the effects of the other covariates.8
report both the unadjusted bivariate associations between each covariate
the exposure variables, and unless specifically noted, the discussion refers to
The logistic regression results are presented in tables 2a and 2b, and we
work (Qin, Agerbo and Mortensen 2003). Research on negative life events
1994; Zisook, Chentsova-Dutton and Shuchter 1998), and this also appears to
such as unnatural deaths and divorces similarly suggest that exposure to
such events tends to elevate the suicide risk (Heikkinen, Aro and Lonnqvist
the effects of all the other covariates. We start by summarizing the effects of
and the risk of committing suicide, and the adjusted ones which control for
1-8453
Women control for the possible effects of
0-8.7
0-7.4
18-65
0-27
0-18
the size of the interaction domain.
Range
1-8453
0-8.7
0-8.8
18-65
0-29
0-18
Men
1.9
3.8
1392.0 rather than the absolute number
of suicides that mattered. The
results are the reverse, however.
.52
Men
12.2
5.4
1.7
3.8
986.9
category may include cohabiting couples who do not have any children in common.
1.0
8.8
1.1
558.5
10.0
39.7
396.8
1.2
8.7
amountsb) in year t
Age in November
a Notes:
One
This
Age
At workplace with � 100 employees 1.48*** 4.38** 2.06-9.31 1.25*** 3.50*** 1.62-7.56
At workplace with � 100 employees .11 1.11 .91-1.36 .01 1.01 .78-1.31
Age
Years .06** 1.06** 1.01-1.11 .09*** 1.09*** 1.04-1.15
Years2/1000 -.00 999.5 999.0-1.00 -.80** 999.2* 998.6-999.8
Family Type
Couple 1.00
1-person 9.98*10-1*** 2.71*** 2.30-3.20 1.19*** 3.28*** 2.61-4.14
Other .24 1.27 .96-1.68 .69*** 2.00*** 1.45-2.75
Children
No 1.00 1.00
Aged 0-3 yrs -.86*** .42*** .30-.59 -.25 .78 .54-1.13
Aged 4-15 yrs -.77*** .46*** .37-.58 -.35* .70* .54-.92
Education Level
Years of education .03 1.03 .98-1.08 -.04 .96 .92-1.00
Years of education2/1000 -.04*10-1* 996.5* 993.4-999.6 2.69 1002.7 999.7-1005.7
Early Retirement
No 1.00 1.00
Yes 1.58*** 4.87*** 3.75-6.34 .79*** 2.21*** 1.62-3.02
Benefits for Illness or Work Related Injuries (logged) .28*** 1.33*** 1.29-1.36 .23*** 1.25*** 1.21-1.30
Social Welfare Recipient
At workplace with � 100 employees -.08 .92 .14-6.09 -.19 .83 .12-5.55
At workplace with � 100 employees .24** 1.28** 1.08-1.51 .10 1.11 .86-1.42
Age
Years .05 1.06 .99-1.12 .08* 1.09* 1.02-1.16
Years2/1000 -.42 999.6 998.9-1.00 -.92* 999.1* 998.3-999.9
Family Type
Couple 1.00 1.00
1-person 1.21*** 3.36*** 2.68-4.21 1.22*** 3.40*** 2.55-4.53
Other .55*** 1.73*** 2.68-4.21 .50** 1.65** 1.18-2.31
Children
No 1.00 1.00
Aged 0-3 yrs -1.18*** .31*** .19-.50 -.81** .45** .26-.76
Aged 4-15 yrs -.73*** .48*** .37-.63 -.42* .66* .47-.91
Education Level
Years of education .00 1.00 .94-1.07 -.08** .92** .87-.98
Years of education2/1000 -1.22 998.8 995.7-1002.9 4.95* 1005.0* 1000.9-1009.1
Early Retirement
No 1.00 1.00
Yes 1.92*** 6.84*** 5.32-8.80 1.11*** 3.05*** 2.23-4.15
Benefits for Illness or Work Related Injuries (logged) .32*** 1.38*** 1.33-1.44 .28*** 1.32*** 1.26-1.39
Social Welfare Recipient
by our control variables, and this is likely to inflate the estimate of the
family-based social-interaction effect.
Exposure at work is only significant for men, and only in workplaces
with fewer than 100 employees. The effect of workplace exposure
is not of the same magnitude as that of family exposure, but it is
nevertheless considerable (OR = 3.50). The workplace exposure effect
is unconfounded by genetic and other shared factors, and thus is likely
to be caused by the type of social mechanisms discussed above. The
reason for the absence of an effect in larger workplaces most likely does
not mean that small and large workplaces differ from one another in this
men, the effect is significant only for children in the older age category,
while for women we find the expected pattern of a declining “protective”
effect with the age of the child.
Contrary to much of previous research, we find that the net effect of
years of education is positive for women (this can be seen by plotting the
combined effect of the educational variables). That is, women’s suicide
risk increases with increasing education, all else being equal. For men, the
point estimates suggest the same pattern, but these estimates are not
significantly different from zero.10
The variables that serve as proxies for health-related problems – early
and average degree. On average, the suicides being studied here resulted in
2.9 family members being exposed, while suicides at small workplaces, here
defined as workplaces with less than 100 employees, resulted in 15.3 other
individuals being exposed.11 Table 3 displays results taking into account
both the dyad-based interaction effects of Table 2 and the degree-based
effect, i.e., the number of individuals being exposed to each suicide.
The first row of Table 3 shows the actual number of suicides that took
place, and this is identical to the number of suicides predicted by the
logistic regression models. The second row shows what the number of
suicides would have been according to the logistic models had no one
been exposed to the suicide of a family member (or, equivalently, the
number of suicides being observed if family-based exposure had no effect
on the suicide risk). These estimates suggest that we would then have
observed three fewer male suicides and two fewer female suicides than
we actually observed. These public-health effects may seem surprisingly
small given the considerable social-interaction effects shown in Table 2.
Although one should treat these estimates with great caution and not
pay too much attention to the exact magnitude of the estimates, they
illustrate the importance of the distinctions introduced earlier. Although
the social-interaction effects, what we referred to as peekk , are substantial,
the collective public health effect is rather modest because the networks
within the family domain are such that not many individuals are exposed;
the nek values are low within the family domain.
The third row of Table 3 performs the same kind of counterfactual thought
experiment for workplace exposure. Since the effects were significant only
for men, we focus exclusively on the public health effect among men. Had
no one been exposed to a suicide in the workplace, these estimates suggest
that there would have been six to seven fewer male suicides than actually
was observed. A significant effect is found only in the smaller workplaces,
but as argued above, this is most likely due to poor measurement of the
Interaction Domains and Suicide • 733
Conclusion
The analyses reported here suggest that network effects are important
for explaining suicides. Suicides of family members as well as of co-
workers influence the suicide risks of those exposed. In addition, the
results suggest that the degree of the deceased individual’s ego-
centered network is important because it influences the number of
exposed individuals and thereby the suicide rate. When examining the
dyad-based social-interaction effects, exposure in the family domain
seemed to be about twice as important as exposure in the work domain,
but when we also took into account the degree-based exposure effects
and examined the collective public-health effect, we found workplace
exposure for men to be at least twice as important as family exposure.
This result is particularly striking because the estimated family-exposure
effect is likely to be upwardly biased since we were not able to control
for factors such as the genetic component of suicide and inheritable
psychiatric disorders known to increase the suicide risk.
Individual-level studies of exposures to suicide have largely concentrated
on adolescents, and it is generally believed that exposure effects are
important only within this age group. As far as we know, this is the first
study to demonstrate that workplace exposure is also associated with a
734 • Social Forces 87(2)
Notes
1. See Sainsbury, Jenkins and Levey (1980) and Breault (1986) for examples.
Mäkinen’s (1997) replication study of Sainsbury et al.’s study, however, has
cast serious doubts on the reliability and robustness of such aggregate
associations. Also see Pescosolido (1994) for a critique of the approach.
2. Let us emphasize that analyzing suicides as intentional actions does not mean
that the intention behind all suicides is to take one’s life. The intention may
have been to send a signal to others about a desperate life situation, but the
unintended outcome of the act was death. Nor does an action approach imply
that individual intentions are necessarily unclouded by strong emotions or
cognitive biases.
3. It also is exemplified by the title of the Swedish singer Magnus Uggla’s 1989
hit album “What’s the Point of Killing Yourself if You Can’t be Around to Hear
the Yap.”
the use of car exhaust gas as a means of committing suicide in Britain in the
1970s. See Clarke and Lester (1987).
7. Given the fact that previous research suggests that religion plays an
important role in this context, we regret the fact that the database includes
9. These ORs of family exposure are higher than those found in another
Swedish register-based study (Runeson and Åsberg, 2003). There are some
differences in the study designs that may explain these discrepancies, most
notably that they used people who had died from other causes than suicide
as their control group.
10. If we examine the relationship between the two educational variables and
the suicide risks without any other control variables, the expected negative
pattern is found.
12. See Hedström and Bearman (forthcoming) for more detailed discussions
of this analytically oriented middle-range approach that seeks to tightly link
sociological theory and empirical research.
13. Needless to say, data of the size and scale used in this article will be
prohibitively expensive to collect, but such data only is needed when the
outcomes to be explained are extremely rare, and even in such circumstances
smaller case-control designs often can be used.
736 • Social Forces 87(2)
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