Examining Current Demographic Features of Your Region
Module Six
Our Previous Module (Assets & Barriers)
Update on homework related to Module Five. Any feedback on. . .
Capacity inventory of individuals? Inventory of local associations & institutions? Community participation and leadership inventory? Subcommittee activities? Other items?
Module Six Objectives
Understand secondary data and its limitations Identify demographic variables that are important for regional planning Know the characteristics of your workforce Review the data in your region Discover three to four themes in your region and how they impact your goals
What Are Secondary Data?
Information sources that already exist Data collected by someone else that are being re-used by others In contrast, primary data are those that you have collected Secondary data can be either qualitative or quantitative in nature
Ways to Analyze Data
Three Common Approaches:
Cross-sectional: Look at data at one point in time Comparative: Examine the data in your county or region relative to other counties or regions Longitudinal: Focus on how the data change over a longer time period
What to Look for in Your Data
Conditions that the data describe The direction of change The intensity of change The overall picture that the data paint about your county/region
Understanding the Good & the Bad about Secondary Data
The Good About Secondary Data Already exist !! Are less expensive Take less time to assemble & analyze Are easier to use
The Bad! Secondary Data May. . .
Have inconsistencies in definitions Be inaccurate, incomplete, or biased Have problems with reliability Be only indirect measures of the issues May be outdated Require caution in interpretation
Questions You Should Consider
What is the source of the data? Does it cover the correct geographical location? Does it provide data on my target audience? Does it deal with my issue/topic of concern? Is it current data? Are the data available for the same time period? Are definitions of variables the same over time?
Why Examine Conditions and Trends?
Help identify a regions competitive advantage Highlight important changes in residents and business/industry Essential for understanding what has worked and what hasnt worked in the past
Regional Planning Variables
Population Size & Composition Population Distribution Migration Patterns Population Change Performance Assessments School Enrollment Dropout Status Educational Attainment
POPULATION
EDUCATION
Climate LOCATION Local taxes Infrastructure Cost of Living Commuting Patterns Natural Resource Amenities Available Land & Buildings
SOCIAL
Housing Crime Rates Poverty Status Health Care Resources Health and Nutrition Status Food Assistance Enrollment Child Care Access/Enrollment
Population Characteristics
Population Change, 2000-2009
Source: U.S. Census
Population Sources of Change
2000-2009 Total Population Change Natural Increase Net International Migration Domestic Migration
United States
25,581,948
15,875,579
8,944,170
Northeast
1,688,851
1,877,814
1,835,442
- 2,539,582
Midwest
2,441,721
2,969,319
1,158,438
- 1,752,191
South
13,082,047
5,837,372
3,118,775
3,874,132
West
8,369,329
5,191,074
2,831,515
417,641
Source: U.S. Census
State Population Projections
2000-2030
Source: U.S. Census
Population Age
Percent of the Total Population 65 Years and Over: 2009
Source: U.S. Census
Population: Your Region
What can you conclude about trends in your region? What are some overarching opportunities and concerns?
Education Characteristics
Population High School Graduate or Less
Source: U.S. Census
Closing the Gap?
In-School Success
Source: National Assessment of Education Progress, 2010. http://www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata
Education Your Region
What can you conclude about trends in your region? What are some overarching opportunities and concerns?
http://factfinder.census.gov
Location Characteristics
Location Cost of Living
Composite Cost of Living (Scaled) 2nd Quarter 2010
Source: Missouri Economic Research and Information Center
Location Natural Amenities
Source: Economic Research Service, USDA
Location Percent of Households with Broadband Access, 2000
Location Percent of Households with Broadband Access, 2009
Location Your Region
What can you conclude about trends in your region? What are some overarching opportunities and concerns?
Social Characteristics
Social Poverty in Rural America, 2008
Source: raconline.org
Social % Without Health Insurance, 2000
Social % Without Health Insurance, 2009
Social Change in Food Stamps (SNAP) Use by States, FY2005-2009
Social Your Region
What can you conclude about trends in your region? What are some overarching opportunities and concerns?
Demographic Data Wrap Up
What are some of the overarching issues that you seen from the data youve analyzed? Where are their areas of concern? Where are there possible opportunities? How well to these concerns/opportunities align with your regional goals?
Regional Workforce
Your People
Your Labor Force
Experience
Skills
Willingness to work
Training
What else defines your labor force?
How to Measure Experience?
Skills
Source: http://www.statsamerica.org/
Identifying Skills in the Region
Employed by this Industry
Occupation
Projected Projected Job Openings Growth (2008-2018) (2008-2018)
100%
Pourers and Casters, Metal Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers Textile Winding, Twisting, and Drawing Out Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Computer-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and Plastic Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders Pourers and Casters, Metal
Example: Manufacturing
Decline rapidly Decline rapidly
2900
100%
1500
99%
Decline rapidly
5800
98%
Average
36900
98%
Decline rapidly Decline rapidly Decline rapidly
9100
98%
100%
1700
2900
Willing to Work?
An important question! How do we measure willingness to work? Labor force participation rates Supplemental Security Income (SSI) & Disability Payments
U.S. Labor Force Participation
Supplemental Security Income (SSI) Recipients, 2009
Training
Institutions of Higher Education Community Colleges Technical Schools Workforce Training Programs
Workforce Influences
Is your region retaining the skills it creates? What type of skills does your region attract? Does your region attract retirees?
Regional Workforce Your Region
What can you conclude about trends in your region? What are some overarching opportunities and concerns?
Refining Regional Goals
Given the secondary data you have explored: Do your regional goals build on (or respond to) the population, social, education and location characteristics of your region? How well to the goals take into account the characteristics of your regions workforce If not, what revisions should be made to your regional goals?
Refining Regional Goals
Current
Goal 1
The adoption of development regulations which are aligned with our vision within 1 year of completion of Audubon bridge (April 15, 2011). Increase inner-agency communication to improve readiness for development for third quarter of 2011. Develop a regional political subdivision within 5 years. Enhance educational success of region. Increase entrepreneurship by 100 businesses by 2016.
Revised
Goal 2
Goal 3 Goal 4 Goal 5
Final Reflections
What are the takeaways from this module?
What topics did you find most helpful? What did you find confusing? What do you hope to implement as part of your regional teams activities? Other items you want to mention?
Looking Ahead: Module Seven
Were going to examine the following: Basic concepts of competitive advantage Approaches to analyzing regional connections Tools and data for detecting regional competitive advantage Strategies for building stronger regional economies
Additional Resources
Census Data
U.S. Census Bureau
Main Portal
http://www.census.gov/
Census Bureau A-Z Subjects
http://www.census.gov/main/www/subjects.html
Census of Agriculture
http://www.nass.usda.gov/Census_of_Agriculture/index.asp
State and Metropolitan Area Data Book
http://www.census.gov/compendia/smadb/
American Community Survey
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/
US Census QuickFacts
http://quickfacts.census.gov
SRDC Community Data Center
http://srdc.msstate.edu/data/center/
American FactFinder
http://factfinder.census.gov
STATSAmerica
http://statsamerica.org/profiles/us_profile_frame.html
STATSAmerica
http://statsamerica.org/innovation/anydata/index.asp
