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Life Expectancy Regression Analysis

This document outlines a final project assignment for a business statistics course. Students are asked to analyze demographic and economic data from 15 countries to determine factors that influence life expectancy. They must run regressions in Microsoft Excel to determine the relationships between life expectancy and variables like adult mortality rate, infant deaths, and BMI. Students are then asked to add additional variables for polio immunization rates and measles cases to the regression model. They must compare the explanatory power of the two models and determine which is better. Finally, students are asked to propose an appropriate dummy variable to add to the regression model and provide logical reasoning for their choice.

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Ayesha Siddika
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
117 views2 pages

Life Expectancy Regression Analysis

This document outlines a final project assignment for a business statistics course. Students are asked to analyze demographic and economic data from 15 countries to determine factors that influence life expectancy. They must run regressions in Microsoft Excel to determine the relationships between life expectancy and variables like adult mortality rate, infant deaths, and BMI. Students are then asked to add additional variables for polio immunization rates and measles cases to the regression model. They must compare the explanatory power of the two models and determine which is better. Finally, students are asked to propose an appropriate dummy variable to add to the regression model and provide logical reasoning for their choice.

Uploaded by

Ayesha Siddika
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

BUS 173- FINAL PROJECT

Many factors contribute to the life expectancy of individuals from different countries. A project was
undertaken where data from fifteen countries with comparable demographic and economic variables
were considered. Following is the list of data from the fifteen countries.

LIFE EXPECTANCY 71.8 68.3 66.4 74.9 75 68.5 74.9 83.1 69.2 76 68.7 69.1 66.6 77.7 78.5
ADULT MORTALITY RATE 129 181 161 138 123 211 148 55 165 127 174 176 199 78 61
INFANT DEATH 123 284 290 110 121 265 112 101 214 143 264 245 236 145 156
BMI 18.3 18.7 21.6 17.2 14.6 22.2 23.1 21.2 19.1 17.5 19.6 21.7 21.8 17 18.5

The variables are explained below.

Life Expectancy - The estimated number of years an individual is expected to live.

Adult Mortality Rates- The number of people that have the probability of dying between the ages of 15
to 60 years per 1000 population which considers both genders.

Infant Deaths- The number of infant deaths (under one year age) per 1000 population

BMI- Body mass index (BMI) is a measure of body fat based on height and weight that applies to adult
men and women. This is measured in points and is for the average value for the entire country’s
population.

PART 1
a) Using MICROSOFT EXCEL- run the above regression and copy the output into your assignment word
document from which you can write down the least square regression line. Write down the least square
regression line from that specific output. USE THE NAME OF VARIABLES WHEN YOU WRITE THE
EQUATION.

b) Interpret all the partial regression coefficients. ENSURE USE OF PROPER UNITS.

c) Copy that specific output into your assignment word document which indicates the explanatory power
of the model. Comment on the explanatory power of the regression model from that required output.

Now to further our research a new segment is introduced. Immunization and disease related factors
might be influencers of life expectancy. Two other variables were taken into consideration which are
included in the following table.

LIFE EXPECTANCY 71.8 68.3 66.4 74.9 75 68.5 74.9 83.1 69.2 76 68.7 69.1 66.6 77.7 78.5
POL3 85 76 75 86 87 79 85 96 73 88 76 79 74 84 85
MEASLES 340 560 520 367 390 590 389 134 578 378 589 514 578 323 345

The variables are explained below.

Life Expectancy - The estimated number of years an individual is expected to live.

POL3- Polio immunization coverage among 1-year-olds in percentage


MEASLES- Number of reported measles cases per 1000 population

PART 2
d) Once these two variables are considered - run the new regression using MICROSOFT EXCEL. NOTE- THIS
IS A SPERATE MODEL WITH TWO INDEPENDENT VARIABLES. Copy the output into your assignment
word document from which you can write down the new least square regression line. Write down the
new least square regression line from that specific output. USE THE NAME OF VARIABLES WHEN YOU
WRITE THE EQUATION.

e) Interpret all the partial regression coefficients. ENSURE USE OF PROPER UNITS.

f) Copy that specific output into your assignment word document which indicates the explanatory power
of the NEW model. Comment on the explanatory power of the NEW regression model from that required
output.
PART 3

g) There are two separate regression models that you have found using separate parameters. Now compare
these two models using appropriate tables and numbers. Which model is better? Give proper reasoning-
as to why you arrive at your decision. USE LOGIC AND REASONING LEARNT IN CLASS.

h) If you were to add a DUMMY VARIABLE in this regression model what would be an appropriate one?
Why? Give sound logical reasoning and back up your answer. NO INTERNET COPY PASTING FOR THIS
ANSWER. ALL THE INTERNET ELEMENTS ARE FAMILIAR TO ME, SO BE WARNED.

Answer all the above questions in a word document- PRINT IT OUT AND THEN SUBMIT. The font you
shall use to type is Calibri with a font size of 12. In answers that require you to copy the output from
the excel file- PLEASE DO SO ACCORDINGLY. I would also like a printout of the excel work that you
have done. Please attach it at the end of the document.

LISTEN TO MY INSTRUCTIONS. AVOID PLAGIARISM/CHEATING/COPYING FROM


ONE ANOTHER. THAT IS IF YOU WANT YOUR MARKS. NO LATE OR INCOMPLETE
SUBMISSIONS- PLEASE.

Common questions

Powered by AI

Measles case numbers provide significant insights into the health-related challenges in a country. High numbers of measles cases per 1000 population typically correlate with lower life expectancy, though this variable is less impactful than direct health interventions like immunization coverage (POL3) and more direct indicators like mortality rates .

The regression model combining health indicators like BMI, mortality rates, and immunization coverage (POL3) with socio-health factors such as measles cases shows enhanced explanatory power when these variables are integrated, reflecting a more holistic approach to understanding life expectancy. The model's effectiveness increases when these diverse variables are considered together, as they provide comprehensive insights into factors influencing life expectancy .

Key factors with the most substantial influence on life expectancy include adult mortality rates, immunization coverage (POL3), infant mortality rates, and BMI. Each directly impacts health outcomes; reduced mortality, higher immunization, and balanced BMI levels are crucial for enhancing life expectancy .

Regions with coordinated health policies focusing on immunizations, reducing mortality rates, and managing BMI levels demonstrate higher life expectancies. This underscores the importance of integrated health strategies addressing preventive medicine, nutrition, and disease management across populations .

The model including immunization and disease indicators as independent variables has a higher explanatory power than the initial model using just demographic and economic variables. This suggests that health interventions directly affect life expectancy, and models accounting for these variables provide a more complete picture of important influencing factors .

Polio immunization coverage (POL3) serves as a surrogate indicator of a country's public health infrastructure and policy effectiveness. High POL3 percentages reflect robust public health systems capable of implementing widespread immunization programs, often leading to higher life expectancy .

Higher immunization coverage (POL3) among 1-year-olds is associated with higher life expectancy. For example, countries with POL3 coverage above 85% often exhibit life expectancies over 75 years, indicating a positive correlation between higher immunization rates and increased life expectancy .

Adult mortality rates have a significant inverse impact on life expectancy; higher mortality rates often correlate with lower life expectancies. For instance, countries with an adult mortality rate above 150 tend to have life expectancies below 70 years, while those with rates below 100 generally have life expectancies above 75 years .

BMI as a predictor of life expectancy indicates that extremely low or high BMIs are associated with lower life expectancies. Optimal BMI values around 21-23 points are associated with higher life expectancies, suggesting that extreme BMI values might correlate with health conditions that reduce life expectancy .

Adding a dummy variable could capture binary or categorical effects not explained by continuous variables, such as urban versus rural population. An appropriate choice might be creating a dummy variable for healthcare access quality, as countries with better healthcare infrastructures generally show higher life expectancies .

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