BM2213
Inflation and Interest Rates (30 points: 6 items x 5 points)
1. The real risk-free interest rate is 3%, which is expected to remain constant over time. Inflation is expected
to be 2% per year for the next three (3) years and 4% per year for the next five (5) years. The maturity risk
premium equals 0.1 × (𝑡 − 1)%, where t = the bond’s maturity. The default risk premium for a BBB-rated
bond is 1.3%.
a. What is the average expected inflation rate over the next four (4) years?
(2% + 2% + 2% + 4%)
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 4 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠 = = 𝟐. 𝟓%
4
b. What is the quoted interest rate on a 4-year Treasury bond?
𝑇4 = 𝑟 ∗ + 𝐼𝑃4 + 𝑀𝑅𝑃4 = 3% + 2.5% + 0.1(4 − 1)% = 𝟓. 𝟖%
c. What is the quoted interest rate on a 4-year BBB-rated corporate bond with a liquidity premium of 0.5%?
𝐶4,𝐵𝐵𝐵 = 𝑟 ∗ + 𝐼𝑃4 + 𝑀𝑅𝑃4 + 𝐷𝑅𝑃 + 𝐿𝑃 = 3% + 2.5% + 0.3% + 1.3% + 0.5% = 𝟕. 𝟔%
d. What is the quoted interest rate on an 8-year Treasury bond?
(3 × 2%) + (5 × 4%)
𝑇8 = 𝑟 ∗ + 𝐼𝑃8 + 𝑀𝑅𝑃8 = 3% + + 0.1(8 − 1)% = 3% + 3.25% + 0.7% = 𝟔. 𝟗𝟓%
8
e. What is the quoted interest rate on an 8-year BBB-rated corporate bond with a liquidity premium of
0.5%?
𝐶8,𝐵𝐵𝐵 = 𝑟 ∗ + 𝐼𝑃8 + 𝑀𝑅𝑃8 + 𝐷𝑅𝑃 + 𝐿𝑃 = 3% + 3.25% + 0.7% + 1.3% + 0.5% = 𝟖. 𝟕𝟓%
f. If the quoted interest rate on a 9-year Treasury bond is 7.3%, what does that imply about expected
inflation in nine (9) years?
𝑇9 = 𝑟 ∗ + 𝐼𝑃9 + 𝑀𝑅𝑃9
7.3% = 3% + 𝐼𝑃9 + 0.8%
7.3% − 3% − 0.8% = 𝐼𝑃9
3.5% (3 × 2%) + (5 × 4%) + 𝑋
=
1 9
6% + 20% + 𝑋 = (3.5%)(9)
𝑋 = 31.5% − 6% − 20% = 𝟓. 𝟓%
GRADING RUBRIC:
CRITERIA POINTS
Complete solution with correct answer 5
Half of the solution is correct. 3
First major step of the solution is correct. 1
06 Performance Task 1 Answer Key *Property of STI
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