SBCL Equity Research Overview
SBCL Equity Research Overview
manufacture thermostatic bimetal strips (inst. cap. 80 tpa). This was the first
plant in Asia outside Japan to undertake the manufacture of such a sophisticated
item.
Valuations
The company has posted growth of 7% in top-line during Q2FY24 and
expects to grow at a CAGR of 24%. The consolidated EBITDA Margin
stands at 25% in Q2FY24, which has remained constant from the 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 24 24
2/ 3/ 4/ 5/ 6/ 7/ 8/ 9/ 0/ 1/ 2/ 1/ 1/
previous quarter, however increased by 200 bps on YoY basis. The 01
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• Currently SBCL faces strong sectoral tailwinds and has no similar like-to-like
peers. Prepared by: Atharva Belhekar
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
• There are only four players globally who can manufacture low
ohmic shunts using Electron Beam Welding (EBW) technology.
SBCL is one of them. Shivalik has one of the largest capacities in
the world for Electron Beam Welding (8 EBW machines- each
EBW machine may cost currently up to 200Mn). SBCL also
specializes in manufacturing 77 grades of bimetals using the
diffusion bonding process. SBCL specializes in customizing
products and providing tailormade solutions for their
customers.
• The top management of Shivalik has an in-house metallurgy
knowledge base of over 30 years. This is an edge over most of
its peers.
• Shivalik has in-house R&D and customization of machines. EBW
machines and customized & improved to yield maximum
productivity. The company has a history of adding 1 product
SKU in its product base every year.
Source: Quarterly presentation, Company Analysis
Strong Tailwinds from End-user Industries
Exhibit 2: Smart Meter Opportunity
• The company’s products are used. In industries like Switchgears
(Bimetals & Contacts), ICE/EV automobiles (Shunts), Smart
Meters (Shunt Resistors & Contacts) & Power storage modules
(Electrical contacts & Shunts).
• Electrification, Smart Grid & Smart Meters- Due to Government
Policies like Smart Meter National Program (SMNP), the Indian
Smart market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9% from FY23 to
FY28. In this SBCL’s current sensors, Shunt resistors and silver
contacts will play a crucial role.
• Electric Automobiles- Electrification of automobiles have
increased recently due to shift of global focus towards
improving efficiencies, reducing carbon emissions. The boost in
powertrain, battery management and charging infrastructure
has created higher demand for shunt resistors, which are used
in BMS for current sensing & monitoring for the charging &
discharging of batteries. The Global EV market size is expected
to grow at a CAGR of 21.6% from FY22 to FY30. Source: Quarterly presentation, Company Analysis
• Switchgears- Indian Switchgear market is expected to grow at a
CAGR of 15% which will be driven by huge Govt capex plans like Exhibit 3: Huge EV Opportunity for SBCL
Smart cities, Make in India, Green Energy Corridor. SBCL’s
products like thermostatic bimetal, silver contacts, thermal
protectors and current sensors will contribute towards
switchgears application.
• Power storage modules- The growth of Power storage modules
is linked to the global transition to renewable energy sources.
65% of India’s energy supply in 2030 is to come from renewable
power sources.
R 32229
% CAG
21.7 26482
21760
17880
14692
12072
9920
8151
More than three years have passed since the global economy faced
0.50% 2.50% 4.50% 6.50% 8.50% its biggest challenge in the last 75 years. Recovery is happening, but
there are differences in how well different parts of the world are
World doing. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine have caused problems
for trade and supply chains, especially for Western countries. High
inflation and ongoing efforts by central banks to control it are
Advanced Economies holding back economic growth. The recent conflict between Israel
and Gaza could make it harder to manage energy costs and keep
supply chains running smoothly.
Emerging Economies
Here's a breakdown of the numbers:
Global Inflation: It has decreased significantly from 11.6% in the
Sub- Saharan Africa
second quarter of 2022 to 5.3%. This means that prices are still
going up, but at a slower pace.
US Advanced Economies: They are expected to experience a slowdown
in economic growth from 2.6% in 2022 to 1.5% in 2023 and 1.4% in
2024. The US is doing better than expected, but growth in the euro
Japan area is weaker than anticipated.
Emerging and Developing Economies: Growth is expected to
decline from 4.1% in 2023 to 4% in 2024, with a downward revision
UK of 0.1 percentage point.
Global Economic Growth: It is expected to slow down from 3.5% in
2022 to 3.0% in 2023 and 2.9% in 2024. This is below the historical
China
average from 2000 to 2019, which was 3.8%.
Global Inflation Forecast: It is predicted to decline steadily from
India 8.7% in 2022 to 6.9% in 2023 and 5.8% in 2024. This decline is due to
tighter monetary policies and lower international commodity prices.
For the next fiscal year, FY24, India is expected to grow around 6- -5.80%
6.6%. The government spending more on infrastructure is likely to 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P 2024P
boost investments, and growth may also come from expanding
credit, using resources better, and improving trade. India Global
Even though India got a record $84.8 billion in foreign investment Exhibit 13: India GDP Quarterly Growth- Actual vs Projected
(FDI) in FY21-22, it saw a 16% decrease to $71 billion in FY22-23. The
income per person almost doubled in nine years to Rs 172,000, going 16.0%
up by 15.8% from the previous year. People spending more has also
14.0%
helped industries produce more and use resources better.
12.0%
Inflation started going down and went below 5% in April 2023. But
10.0%
challenges like a weaker rupee, high-interest rates, a global economic
15.20%
downturn, and the impact of El Nino on crops might affect India's 8.0%
13.5%
growth.
6.0%
7.70%
7.8%
7.6%
6.1%
4.0%
5.4%
4.00%
4.60%
4.60%
4.1%
4.4%
positive signs like growth, recognition from the IMF, and more
income for people. Looking ahead, the government's investments 2.0%
and positive trends are expected to continue, but there are still some Q3F Y22 Q4F Y22 Q1F Y23 Q2F Y23 Q3F Y23 Q4F Y23 Q1F Y24 Q2F Y24
challenges.
Actual Projected
Source: IMF WEO, Company Analysis Source: IMF World Bank, RBI, [Link]
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Below are the details and experience of the Management and Independent Directors:
Sr no. Name Designation Profiling Comments Political
Nexus
Found?
1 Mr S. S Chairman & 50 Years of experience in the field of Banking, Finance, Mr. Sandhu seems well-suited to lead NO
Sandhu WTD Legal & Corporate Financial Management. Shivalik Bimetals Control Limited. With
Satinderjeet Sandhu is currently associated with 10 over 50 years of experience and a focus
Companies and is director with Innovative Clad Solutions on expanding the company's presence
Private Limited, Shivalik Engineered Products Private nationally and internationally, he brings a
Limited, Morning Side Hotels Private Limited, Vishesh wealth of knowledge to his role as
Credits Private Limited, Ultra Portfolio Management Managing Director. His educational
Private Limited, S S Sandhu Enterprises Private Limited, background and proven track record
Amar Engineering Company Private Limited, Angad suggest he is qualified to navigate the
Estates Private Limited, Spinvision Delhi Veterans Cricket complexities of the bimetal & Shunts
Foundation. manufacturing industry.
2 Mr. N.S MD Mr. Ghumman has 49 years of experience in the field of Mr. Ghumman has shown promise in his NO
Ghumman engineering, R&D, manufacturing operations and product focus on branding for SBCL. His tenure
development. He is a graduate engineer B.E (Hons). He and diverse board roles indicate a well-
was the Chief Engineer in M/s Tradex Gestation SA rounded engagement in the industry.
General of Switzerland. He is responsible to see
production aspects at plant Solan (Himachal Pradesh). He
is the key instrumental for diversifying the company in
many fields and to reach this level.
3 Mr Kabir Head of Mr Kabir Ghumman is a qualified Engineer holding B Mr Kabir, with a robust background NO
Ghumman Manufacturi Tech., Mechanical Engineering from university of Windsor, brings stability and expertise to Shivalik.
ng & Ontario, Canada. He joined SBCL, in May 2011 as Assistant He appears well-suited to handle the
Engineering General Manager- Plant and was made responsible for the manufacturing aspects of the business,
supervision of all technical and mechanical aspects of the adding valuable experience to the
company. Kabir Ghumman is currently associated with 6 company's leadership.
Companies and is director with Sirmaur Craft Food Private
Limited, Shivalik Bimetal Engineers Private Limited,
Shivalik Engineered Products Private Limited, Sirmaur
Hospitality Private Limited, O D Finance And Investment
Private Limited, Solan Developers Private Limited.
4 Mr Kanav Head of Mr. Kanav received a graduate degree in BSc (Hons.) in Mr Anand’s educational background and NO
Anand Sales & Business Management from University of Bradford, UK. board positions suggest a level of
Marketing Kanav Anand has gained 20 years of experience in the expertise.
Industry. His scope of work covers his full involvement in
the marketing aspects of the company.
5 Mr Rajeev CFO Rajeev Ranjan is a Chartered professional, Executive study Rajeev has extensive qualification for the NO
Ranjan in Finance and Financial Management Services. He has a CFO. However, a 10 years of experience
decade long experience working in the Industry. for an important position is a bit
concerning.
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Exhibit 14: Quarterly Promotor Holding Exhibit 15: Quarterly FII vs DII Holding
5%
62%
60% 4%
58%
3%
56%
54% 2%
52%
50% 1%
48% 0%
46% 0 1 21 1 2 22 2 3 23
-2 -2 21 -2 -2 22 -2 -2 23
c ar n- p- ec ar n- p- ec ar n- p-
20 -2
1 21 21 -2
1
-2
2 22 22 -2
2
-2
3 23 23 De Ju e Ju e Ju e
c- ar n- p- ec ar n- p- ec ar n- p- M S D M S D M S
De M Ju Se D M Ju Se D M Ju Se
FIIs DIIs
Exhibit 16: Shareholding Pattern (2017-2023) Exhibit 17: Top Shareholders of the company
4.18%
ULTRA PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT PVT LTD 4.96
61.85% 61.24% 60.77% 60.55% 60.61% 60.61% 60.60% AMAR ENGINEERING COMPANY PVT LTD 3.68
51.09%
Basis our research we found that company’s remuneration policy for its executive and non- executive directors is justifiable. During FY23 the
company incurred managerial remuneration of INR 6.43 Crores as against INR 6.42 crores in FY22. There was a 30.49% and 25.91% hike in CFO
Mr. Rajeev Ranjan and CS Ms. Aarti Sahni’s remuneration.
Median ratio of Managing Director’s remuneration with median employee salary is 97x, which is in par with the industry standards. The
remuneration of M.D as a percentage of Profit Before Tax (PBT) for FY23 is 3.27%. There is an increase in median remuneration of employees in
FY23, median stood at 12.33. The number of permanent employees on the rolls of the company are 478.
Non- Executive Directors Remuneration
Name Designation Sitting Fees FY23 Sitting Fees FY22 Growth in fees
Lt. Gen. Pradeep Khanna (Retd.) Independent Director 67500 42500 58.82%
The efficiency of the Board can be analyzed by their contribution in various important meetings held in FY23. The details are as under:
Revenue from operations. In Half Year '24, we achieved a revenue of 450 420 0.7
INR225.47 crores, reflecting 11.31% year-on-year growth. In the
second quarter of fiscal year 2024, revenue from operations increased 400 0.6
by 7.18% to reach INR112.40 crores.
350 324 0.5
The management gave a guidance regarding revenue target post its 300
capex expansion to Rs. 1600 cr, which is appx 5 times of current 0.4
revenue. This potential revenue will be achieved in time span of 5-6 250
years. 193 187 204 0.3
200
The company might have another quarter or two where it could 158
0.2
probably see some constraints but when it comes to next financial 150 119
year, the confidence is very high from the customers as well as from 95 99 0.1
100 79 78 81
company's side. Like for the Smart meters, company is already seeing
tenders rolling out and suppliers building up their capacities. 0
50
The sales from automotive is 40% of the total sales and out which half 0 -0.1
is from BMS. Smart meters accounts for another 40% of the total Sales 2 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
and balance is from Energy and Storage motors. -1 - - - - - - - - - - -
ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar
M M M M M M M M M M M M
When it comes to the shunt for the metering business, the company is
Revenue Shivali k's revenue Growth (%)
looking at trying to double it for next year for the smart metering
application.
Source: Company Analysis
120.00 1.2
Exhibit 19: EBITDA 105.00 EBITDA Margins
1
100.00
0.8
EBITDA margin for Half Year '24 reached INR56.81 crores with a 14.60% year-
80.00 73.00 0.6
on-year growth. EBITDA grew by 9.82% year-on-year. EBITDA as a percentage
0.4 of revenue improved to 25.20% in Half Year ‘24.
60.00
0.2
40.00
36.00 36.00
0 In future, when the company has a 5 times Revenue, this wood reflect in
26.00
21.00
some addition to the EBITDA Margins as some level of Operating leverage
19.00 -0.2
20.00 11.00
15.00 14.00 would kick in. The management guided there would be around 2%- 3% in
6.00 7.00 -0.4 addition to the EBITDA Margin, which would be around 28% - 29%.
0.00 -0.6
r-1
2
r-1
3
r-1
4
r-1
5
r-1
6
r-1
7
r-1
8
r-1
9
r-2
0
r-2
1
r-2
2
r-2
3 If we look at the Individual product's EBITDA Margins, they all are in similar
a a a a a a a a a a a a
M M M M M M M M M M M M range. Thermostatic Bimetal and the shunt register, the EBITDA margin is in
the range of 20% to 25%. And similarly, for electrical contact, it is in the range
EBITDA EBITDA Growth Y- o- Y %
of 9% to 11%.
Source: Company Analysis
Exhibit 26: EBITDA Growth at 26% CAGR Exhibit 27: Robust ROE & ROCE
250 30.0%
34%
200 33% 33%
25.0% 32%
200
161 30%
20.0% 29%
130 28%
150
105 15.0% 26%
25% 25%
100 73
10.0%
50 36 20%
5.0%
17%
0 0.0%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Exhibit 28: Assets to almost double by FY26 Exhibit 29: FCFF to cross 1000 Mn Mark by FY26
5 1239
3
3 3 4 842
3 753
165 176
-265
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Exhibit 30: Shunts Volume & Realization per Kg Exhibit 31: Bimetal Volume & Realization per Kg
Efficiency Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Debtor Days 98.33 92.30 88.91 81.27 77.67 65.27 60.34 76.72 66.78 69.47
Debtor Turnover 3.71 3.95 4.11 4.49 4.70 5.59 6.05 4.76 5.47 5.25
Inventory Days 84.17 110.40 86.33 80.19 93.87 130.74 98.49 125.67 129.42 105.86
Inventory Turnover 4.34 3.31 4.23 4.55 3.89 2.79 3.71 2.90 2.82 3.45
Net Fixed Asset Turnover 4.02 2.74 3.02 2.75 3.49 4.27 4.12 4.46 4.10 4.12
Total Asset Turnover 0.71 0.75 0.78 1.01 1.06 1.10 1.16 0.93 1.07 1.16
Sales/Capital Employed 0.85 0.91 0.92 1.19 1.30 1.29 1.34 1.22 1.32 1.37
Leverage Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Debt/Equity 68.8% 72.4% 65.4% 40.2% 42.1% 42.4% 21.5% 21.2% 31.0% 20.6%
Debt/Assets 34.1% 34.7% 33.6% 24.3% 24.2% 25.4% 15.4% 13.4% 19.2% 14.6%
Debt/EBITDA 351.6% 287.0% 314.2% 150.9% 140.0% 125.8% 119.6% 80.9% 78.9% 50.3%
Debt/Capital 40.8% 42.0% 39.5% 28.7% 29.6% 29.8% 17.7% 17.5% 23.6% 17.1%
CFO/Debt 24.8% 6.2% 36.4% 41.0% 15.7% 8.4% 166.0% 100.9% -6.0% 116.3%
Debt Burden 21.3% -35.6% 31.9% 29.9% -4.3% -5.3% 107.8% 50.1% -48.5% 64.9%
Interest Coverage (Times) 2.30 3.63 2.67 6.49 7.60 10.08 6.60 21.03 26.28 15.70
Operating Leverage 2.27 -5.06 2.34 1.38 2.05 16.29 11.89 2.07 1.47
Financial Leverage 2.02 2.09 1.95 1.65 1.74 1.67 1.40 1.58 1.61 1.42
DuPont Ratio Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
DuPont ROA 3.1% 3.9% 3.3% 7.3% 10.8% 13.1% 7.9% 11.1% 17.2% 20.2%
Net Profit Margin 4.4% 5.2% 4.2% 7.3% 10.1% 11.9% 6.8% 11.9% 16.0% 17.4%
Sales/Total Asset 0.71 0.75 0.78 1.01 1.06 1.10 1.16 0.93 1.07 1.16
Return on Equity 6.3% 8.1% 6.3% 12.1% 18.8% 21.9% 11.1% 17.5% 27.8% 28.6%
Capital Allocation Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Return on Capital Employed 7.7% 11.1% 9.7% 16.5% 20.8% 24.0% 13.8% 20.5% 29.6% 33.9%
EBIT Margins 10.7% 12.8% 9.9% 12.2% 13.3% 15.9% 7.9% 14.8% 20.7% 22.9%
Sales/Capital Employed 0.85 0.91 0.92 1.19 1.30 1.29 1.34 1.22 1.32 1.37
NOPAT 7.37 7.14 6.23 8.92 15.38 21.82 11.44 22.36 49.97 72.06
Return on Invested Capital 3.7% 4.7% 4.1% 8.7% 13.2% 15.4% 9.1% 15.9% 22.3% 25.1%
Valuation Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Enterprise Value (EV) 54.1 99.7 73.7 149.5 468.3 575.4 106.6 340.5 2018.3 2993.1
EV/EBITDA 4.92 6.49 5.45 7.88 18.26 16.17 5.13 9.42 27.47 28.57
Price/Earnings 4.50 11.33 9.56 14.16 27.06 23.01 6.44 13.55 37.95 40.50
Price/Sales 0.20 0.59 0.40 1.03 2.74 2.75 0.44 1.61 6.09 7.04
Price/CFO 1.65 20.43 2.55 10.40 76.73 141.24 1.99 11.09 -566.73 48.31
Price/Book Value 0.28 0.92 0.61 1.71 5.08 5.03 0.71 2.37 10.54 11.60
Net Income 3.52 4.94 4.12 8.61 15.99 23.08 12.76 24.15 51.97 73.03
Capital Employed 94.49 104.57 99.29 98.79 120.81 149.82 139.75 151.54 233.30 290.60
Cumulative Net Income 3.52 8.46 12.58 21.19 37.18 60.26 73.02 97.17 149.14 222.17
Incremental Capital 10.08 -5.28 -0.50 22.02 29.01 -10.07 11.79 81.76 57.30
ROIIC 14.09% 15.53% -898.00% 33.51% 24.44% 102.48% 96.61% 34.03% 36.75%
ROCE 11.08% 9.68% 16.50% 20.77% 24.00% 13.85% 20.47% 29.59% 33.88%
Reinvestment Rate 119.15% -41.97% -2.36% 59.23% 48.14% -13.79% 12.13% 54.82% 25.79%
Intrinsic Compounding Rate 16.78% -6.52% 21.19% 19.85% 11.77% -14.13% 11.72% 18.65% 9.48%
ROIIC Profiling (10 Years) • Over the 10-year period , the company achieved a ROIIC of 35.44%, which
suggests a High efficiency in generating returns on capital reinvested.
Cumulative Net Income 222.17 SBCIL has a reinvestment rate of 88% which reflects that company’s
Incremental Capital Deployed 196.11 capital is being efficiently reinvested in the company.
• The Intrinsic compounding rate of 31.29% suggest that company is
Reinvestment Rate 88.27% growing its intrinsic value at a significant pace.
• A CAGR of 68% suggests that the stock has significantly outperformed the
market during this period. Investors have seen substantial returns on their
ROIIC 35.44% investment.
• The High Reinvestment rate may indicate strong growth opportunities,
Intrinsic Compounding Rate 31.29% efficient capital allocation, or identification of projects with good returns.
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIIC) is notably higher than the Return
on Capital Employed (ROCE), indicating that the company is efficiently
Stock Price (10 Year CAGR) 68.70% using both equity and debt to generate returns for its investors.
Stock Price (5 Year CAGR) 46.87% • SBCL appears to be a company with strong growth potential, efficient
capital utilization, and a commitment to reinvesting in its operations for
future expansion.
Forensic Analysis
Key Findings:
Chances of aggressive revenue recognition - Operating profit of company is not getting converted to cash and receivables rising faster
than sales.
Retail has been buying the stock which is usually a sign of exuberance
Net Profit Margin is responsible for ROE increase over last 10 years
Company is depreciating a greater percentage of assets. This is contributing to a reduction in Net Profit
Source: Trendlyne
Disclaimer: This is an academic project and is not meant for commercial usage.
This information/ document does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an
official confirmation of any transaction. The information contained herein is obtained from publicly available data or other sources believed
to be reliable and the Author has not independently verified the accuracy and completeness of the said data and hence it should not be
relied upon as such.
Author is not SEBI registered investment analyst. This document is prepared as a part of academic project.
Investments in securities market are subject to market risk, read all the related documents, carefully before investing. The securities
quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Registration granted by SEBI, and certification from NISM is no way
guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.