Wheat Productivity in Zaba Gazo Woreda
Wheat Productivity in Zaba Gazo Woreda
H
OSSANA,ETHIOPIA
NOVEMBER: 2022
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First of all I would like to say thanks to my GOD and individuals who helped me directly and
indirectly through my ups and downs in preparing this research proposal. My deepest thanks
expands to my advisor Mr. Tessema Erechafo for his continuous support and gudience.
Finally I would like to thanks all my respondents who provide available information about the
study honestly.
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ACRONOMYS
FAO Food and Agricultural Organization
GDP Gross Domestic Product
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT...........................................................................................II
ACRONOMYS....................................................................................................III
CHAPTRER ONE................................................................................................1
1. INTRORODUCTION.......................................................................................1
1.1 BACK GROUND OF THE STUDY...........................................................1
1.4 Objective of the study..................................................................................4
1.4.1 The general objective............................................................................4
1.4.2 Specific objectives................................................................................4
1.7 Significance of the study.............................................................................5
1.8 Scopes and limitation of the study...............................................................5
CHAPTER TWO..................................................................................................6
2. LITERATURE REVIEW................................................................................6
2.1 Theoretical Literature review......................................................................6
2.1.1. General overviews................................................................................6
2.1.2 Small Holder farmers............................................................................7
2.1.3 Determinants of cereal crop productivity..............................................8
2.2.2 Gender and agricultural production.....................................................13
2.2.3Age, family size, landholding size and agricultural production...........14
2.3 Agricultural production technologies........................................................15
2.3.1 Chemical fertilize................................................................................15
2.3. Empirical Literature..................................................................................16
CHAPTER THREE............................................................................................18
3. METHODOLOGY ........................................................................................18
3.1 Sample size and sampling techniques....................................................19
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3.2 Data source and data collection tools.....................................................20
3.3 Data analysis techniques........................................................................20
3.3.1 Multiple regression model specification.............................................20
Reference……………………………………………………………………………………………………….26
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CHAPTRER ONE
1. INTRORODUCTION
1.1 BACK GROUND OF THE STUDY
From the total contribution of agricultural for Ethiopia GDP, cereal crops
accounts 70% of agricultural contribution to GDP. Cereal yield doubled over the
past decades, but in recent years cereal production has stagnated. This is due to a
number of factors like shortage of rainfall, land degradation, not using
recommended input level soil erosion, population pressure and others (Seyoumet
Al 2011).
Cereal crop productivity in developing countries has not been able to satisfy the
food requirement of the people. Food productions in developing countries like
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The foundation of Ethiopian economy was long remaining agriculture. But
development agriculture requires emphasis on a concurrent development of
industrialization.
In context this refers to the development those industries most closely related to
agriculture and referred to as agro- industry.
As agriculture plays a dominant role in the economy the real and sustainable
development of Ethiopia was, in any event unthinkable without sound progress
in the expansion of agriculture’s output. In spite of its importance in the national
economy, agriculture's were largely based on subsistence farm household, whose
modes of life and works have remained unchanged (CSA, 2006).
Approximately 1.4 billion people in the world today live in extreme poverty
level that-they survive on less than the US dollar of 1.25 per day,(World bank
data base 2013).842 million people one out of eight people in the world do not
have enough food to eat. 98% of the world under nourished people lives in
developing countries. Among those 223 million people live in sub Saharan
Africa.75%of the world poorest people lives in rural areas and depends on
agriculture and related activities (FAO, 2011).
Angela is found in south western part of Ethiopia and where there is sufficient
food problem leading to poor health and low quality of life.
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The farmers in Zaba Gazo use both traditional and modern methods of farming.
due to this cereal crop production remains less productive. There for this study is
assess factors affecting smallholders farmers wheat productive in Zaba Gazo
woreda of south eastern Ethiopia
Even though the government has set strategy at country level to fight wide spread of poverty
and to improve food security through agriculture sector, it is known that the cereal crop
productivity remains very low, especially when it is compared to the rapid population growth.
According to the most recent report of Ethiopian Economy Association, gaining in the yield
level in the farming areas over the past few years for most cereal crops has not been able to
increase average yield for most countries as the whole (EEA, 2011).
In Ethiopia, the cereal crop sector is dominated by small holder farmers Small holder farmers
on average cultivated together a bout 95% of total area under cereal crop production and
produce more than 92% of total agricultural output. But cereal crop productivity of small
holder farmers is to be failed to fulfill the food security need (Ayelekuris, 2006).
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Extension service and inadequate transport network are the major determinants that affect
agricultural output (Birhanu etal, 2010).
Specially, the above mentioned problems are common in the study [Link] on Tekleab
Addssie(2013) reports, fertilizer, education level, irrigation, number of oxen-per day and
compost have significant and positive relationship with wheat productivity while total land,
family size and market distance have significant and negative relationship with wheat
productivity.
So this study will attempt to see the factor that affect wheat productivity in Zaba Gazo woreda
of south western Ethiopia.
[Link] are the existing opportunities and challenges faced in smallholder farmer
wheat production in Zaba Gazo woreda
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To examine existing opportunities and challenges faced by smallholder
wheat producers in Zaba Gazo woreda.
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CHAPTER TWO
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Theoretical Literature review
2.1.1. General overviews
The small holder farmers are subsistence for most output produced for family
consumption (although, some may be sold or trade in local markets and few
staple food crops usually including wheat, barely, sorghum, corn, teffs) are chief
source of food intake. Output and productivity are low and only the simplest
traditional method and tools are used. Capital invest is minimal, land and labor
are the principal factors of production, (Adam smith, 2003).
Subsistence agriculture is highly risky and uncertain in the region where farms
are extensively small and cultivation is dependent on uncertainties of variable
rainfall. Average output will be low and the peasants will be exposed to the very
real danger of starvation. Accordingly when risky and uncertainty are high, small
holder farmers may be very reluctant to shift from traditional technology and
crop pattern to a new one that provides higher yields, but entail greater risk of
crop failure, (Adam smith, 2003).
A cereal crop is generally defined as a grass grown for its small edible seed. It
has been the most important source of the world’s seed. Cereals group are the
most widely adopted crop species. They can be grown under adverse condition
with a least some yield. These broad ranges of adaption the efficiency of
production with which cereal can be stored make them dependable source of
food.
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2.1.2 Small Holder farmers
Small holder farmers are farmers which derives their livelihood mainly from
agriculture utilize family labor in farm production most output is produced for
family consumption. (Dail, Agro-economics a duet, 2011).
Subsistence farming on small plot of land it is way of life for the vast majority of
Ethiopian people and its productivity is low. In spite of the existence of some
unused land and potentially cultivable land, only small areas can plant and
weeded by farm family at the time when it uses only traditional tools. In some
areas traditional farming practices must rely primly on the application of human
labor to small pare parcels of land. The given limited area of that a farm family
can cultivate in the context of a traditional technology and the use of primitive
tools. This small area tends to be intensively cultivated. As the result, they are
subject to rapidly diminishing return to increase labor input. In such condition
shifting cultivating is the most economic method of using limited suppliers of
labor on extensive tracts of land ,(Michael .P Tadoro, 2003).
Small holders are being the back bone of the economy provide the largest
portion of basic food supply for the urban population or raw material for agro-
industries and exportable agricultural commodities. Small holder are
characterized by almost exclusive use of family labor in the production process
direct dependence on farm for subsistence requirements, low level of
productivity, absence of farm mechanization and degree of specialization,
(Hannover University,1991).
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2.1.3 Determinants of cereal crop productivity
In developed country, productivity of agriculture has significantly increased
while proportion of the population in the sector decline. On the other hand, the
economies of low income countries of the world are predominantly agrarian with
traditional system and extremely low labor productivity in the agricultural sector.
Millikan and Hap well divided the determinant of agricultural output into five
major categories. These are physical input factors, economic factors,
organizational factors, cultural and motivational factors, and knowledge factors.
Each of which is further divided into a series of sub categories, (Millikan and
Hap well).
The physical factors further sub divided into non-human (non -labor) physical
input and labor physical input. Non labor physical are land, seeds, water,
fertilizer, pesticide, structure, work animals, tools , machinery , fuel and power
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other than animal power, (Ibid.p.15).
Lack of adequate rain fall, the variability and seasonality of rain fall affected
agricultural output in general and cereal crop in particular living the country
exposed to commercial food imports and food aids.
C. Land Fragmentation
The increase in the size of rural population coupled with limited area of farming
land in the highlands has led to land fragmentation. As the size of farm house
holds increases redistribution of land has continued reducing per capital and size.
D. Irrigation
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crop concentrates on the development of other sector of the economy. It is inter
sectional linkage that is believed to be the major determinant of agricultural
growth. The factors include under the economic environment by Millikan and
Hap good are:
The existence of agricultural credit market has a lot of impact on the amount of
farm output when farmers cannot afford top finance purchases of improved
seeds, fertilizer, pesticides and provision of irrigation facilities, etc. are the only
option to resemble is credit. Thus, the absence of credit facilities could become a
consequential bottleneck to use the modern technology. In this regard, the
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problem of peasant farmers deserves species consideration, (Assef Admassie,
1987).
Organizational factors
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III Knowledge factors
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production is target production. The peasants’ desire a target income and when
they get this do not care to expand production and they may do not even harvest
crop, (Emanuel Okwuosa). In general this factor include: social structure,
cultural values, dynamic of peasant communities, process of social cultural
change and integration and value of agricultural institution practice with the
culture of society and etc.
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China, the contribution of women to livestock production was 64 percent while
59 percent of the marketing work was dominated by men. They noted that this is
labour feminization and that the earnings are controlled by their male
counterparts. Women farmers are also challenged by the absence of capital,
information and access to markets which prevents them from producing enough
to fulfill the basic necessities (Jeffry, &Suleiman, 2013, p. 470). The scarcity of
knowledge related to women’s rights exposes them to land grabbing and the loss
of their heritage (Camera etal., 2011, p. 146).
The age of the household head is a proxy variable for the farming experience of
farm operators. Farmers will highly dependent on their knowledge of farm
practices in cultivating different crops (Adomi, etal, 2003, p. 390). Hence,
experienced farmers will expected to enhance the productivity of their holdings.
However, it is not without limit as older farmers lack the required physical
strength on the farm and lower the probability of technology adoption (Mous,
etal, 2011, p. 363; Burton, 2013, p. 23).Land is the most critical natural resource
for countries like Ethiopia where the agricultural sector is the engine of the
national economy (Amsalu,etal,2006, p. 448).Farm operators with larger
landholding sizes would have a better farm income if sufficient family labor was
available. This leads to an increased demand for children who can work on the
land (Hedican, 2006, p. 324; Kim, &Park, 2009, p.278).
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It is not possible to expand the landholding size without matching it with an
increase in the size of the household. Hence, households with larger families face
a challenge to feed each of the family members and this will have its own
negative effect on the nutritional status of the family (Olayemi, 2012, p. 137).
In a similar vein argued that the entry point for intensification is the use of
organic and inorganic fertilizer in the Sahel because, if soil fertility is not
improved, the use of other technologies such as high-yielding varieties will not
have a significant impact. Crawford et al. (2003, p. 281-2) further indicated that
the objectives of input promotion strategies have many features such as financial,
economic, social and political objectives. The financial aspect of the input
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promotion strategy is to increase the net income of farmers, traders or other
participants in the agricultural economy. The economic feature of input
promotion strategy is also to increase the real income of the society as a whole.
The social aspect of the input program is the improvement of welfare indicators
that are difficult to measure in terms of monetary values. Some of the social
objectives are to improve nutrition intake and national food self-sufficiency. The
political objective of the input program arises because of the government
intervention for the sake of equalization of benefits. Some programs may be
designed intentionally to build political support; as a consequence, they may
benefit one or more groups at the expense of others.
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Small holder farmers are vital for Ethiopia’s agriculture and rural economy.
Small holder farmers defined as those marginal and sub marginal farm house
holds that own or land cultivated less than 2.00 hectare of land cultivate about
78% of the countries farmers (at agricultural census, 1990/91). These small
holder farmers owned only 23% of the total cultivated land their contribution to
national grain production was nonetheless 41%. Their contribution to household
food security and poverty alleviation is thus dis-proportionally high and is
increasing. Moreover, as the national population increases, so does the number
of small holding (FAO, corporate document repository).
Cereal are the most dominant among the field of crops accounting for 88.3% and
83.2% of total population and cultivated area respectively for the period of 2000
-2006. The performance of field crops improved after 1991 owning improved
policy environment increased availability of input such as fertilizer and relative
good weather cereal crop production rose to 110.6 million quintals, while area
harvested jumped to 8.8 million hectors in 2011 (EEA, 2000).
In the performance of cereal from 2004 to 2010 is that of the output achieved
even during this low period was significantly better than the average output
levels of derg period. The production in 2001/2008 was higher than the derg
period by about 48%. On the other hand, land covered by cereals increased by
44.8% in 2003/2009 (EEA, 2000).
The performance of the main cereal staples that included wheat, teff, maize and
sorghum was once again remarkable in the reporting period close to 145 million
quintals of cereal crops have been harvested from 8.8 million hectares of farm
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lands. In terms of production the years of 2008/9 production exceeds the
achievement of the 2003/4 production year by 70% and represents of the fifth
consecutive bumper harvest. Official sources indicate that over the past five
years, production has increased an average by 14% (EEA, 2007/08).
According to EEA,(2007) shows the agricultural sector has been said that time
and again the agriculture is the backbone of the Ethiopian economy not just
because it constitutes almost half of the GDP but also because more than 85%of
the population still depend on it for their livelihood. As a result the government
has given more attention to the development of agriculture. So that they would
increasingly benefit from small plot of land, and surplus labor could increasingly
move to industrial sector. However, the attempt to increase productivity has not
yield the expected outcome.
CHAPTER THREE
3. METHODOLOGY .
This chapter presents the results from the descriptive and economic analysis. The
descriptive analysis made up of tools such as mean, maximum, standard
deviation, minimum, percentage, frequency and cumulative frequency.
Econometric analysis was carried out to identify the most important factor that
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determines wheat productivity and to measure relative importance of significant
explanatory variables on wheat productivity.
No=n/(1+(e2)*n)
e=confidence level=0.1
There are two main techniques of sapling in the research study. These are
probability sampling and non-probability sampling. The study was used simple
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random sampling techniques, with a homogeneous population in various aspects,
like culture, color and living standard etc.
Yi =α+βjxji +ui
YI=F(Fr,NOLF,NOox,Do,Her,Co,Edu,Gen,Tclw,Age,Is,hlt,)
YI=α+β1fr+β2nolf+β3noox+β4do+β5her+β6co+β7edu+β8gen+β9tclw+β10age+β
11is+β12hlt+ui
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Yi =dependent variable (wheat harvest or wheat yield measures in terms of
qunitals per hectare)
α=intercept
Wheat (yi):- it is dependent variable simply we get by dividing out per quintal
gained from a plot of land to farm size per hectare use for production of outputs
which shows the productivity of small holder farmers.
Number of labor force in the household head :- this variable incorporates the
active labor force in the household head. Since our farming system is subsistence
farming, so that farmers use their own family as a labor force and estimated to be
positive effect on wheat productivity.
Number of oxen per day (no-ox):- households who use more number of oxen
per day have better performance in wheat productivity. Therefore it has positive
effect on wheat yield.
Donkey (do):- it is a dummy variable which takes the value 1 if the households
have donkey and 0, otherwise. It is estimated to be positive effect on wheat
yield.
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Herbicide (hr):- it is a dummy variable which takes the value 1 if the household
uses herbicide 0, otherwise. This variable estimated to have negative effect on
wheat productivity.
Compost (co):- it is a dummy variable which takes the value 1, if the household
uses compost 0, otherwise. Compost is a natural fertilizer which increases
productivity without incurring much more cost. This variable has positive effect
on the dependent variable.
Education (edu):- farmers become more educated they understand and gather
information [Link] estimated to have positive relation with the dependent
variable.
Gender (gen):- it is a dummy variable which takes the value 1, if the household
head is male 0, otherwise .males have better performance than females in the
production of wheat.
Age (age):- old farmers are less productive than young farmers. Therefore it is
expected to have negative effect on wheat productivity.
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Improved seed (is):- it is an explanatory variable farmer use improved seed are
more productive than farmers without improved seed. Therefore it is expected to
have positive effect on the dependent variable.
CHAPTER FOUR
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4. WORK AND BUDGET PLAN
Literature review √
Preparing the proposal √
1st draft proposal √
Data collection √
Recommendation √
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Budget plan
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REFERENCE
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EEA(2006),evaluation of the Ethiopian agricultural Extension with a particular
emphasis on participatory demonstration and training Extension
system(PADETTES) Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
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WACHEMO UNIVERSITY
COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
APPENDIX
Dear respondents this questioner is prepared to conduct a senior essay for the requirement of bachelor of art
degree in Agricultural economics. The main objective of this questioner is to collect reliable data about the
factors affecting wheat productivity in Zaba Gazo Woreda. Therefore you respondents are kindly requested to
cooperate for the success of the study by giving the desirable information. Thanks in advance for your
coordination and honest.
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14. How much amount of farm land use to produce wheat? ---------------------------------
16. If your answer for question number 13 is A, how much kilo gram do you use? ----------------------
18. How much quintal of wheat did you receive in previous year? ----------------
A, bad weather
B, low education level
D, lack of experience
21. What do you think the way to solve those problems and increase wheat production?
--------
C, getting training
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