Project Chapter I
Project Chapter I
Project managers are in great demand. They are highly demanded nearly everywhere like
Publishing house
University
Agricultural rural development
Social works
Individual construction projects and others.
It appears that they are required wherever there is work in organizations. Any one holding a
responsible position in a project is called a project manager. A project manager does in one
company is not the same as what another does in another company.
In order to understand issues related to project, we must first understand what a project really is.
It is common to hear there are different projects like cement project, power project, refinery
project, road project and others. While the term project is common to all of them, the plants
(Organizations) are not the same. In each case the project is for the plant. Which means as soon
as the plant is operational the project is deemed to be completed. The same is true for any other
projects, say for a project for method improvement, the project is completed when the method
improvement has been achieved.
~1~
Diversified area
However, the idea must be first
o Technically feasible
o Economically viable
o Politically suitable and
o Socially acceptable
o Environmentally sustainable
Once the idea pass these test then an investment proposal is made. When the investment proposal
is approved the project commences or starts.
Thus, in any organization a project is initiated to achieve a particular mission. Whatever the
mission may be, the project is completed as soon as the mission is accomplished. The project
lives between these two cut-off points (project commencement and completion). The time span is
known as project life cycle.
Definition of Project
What is project?
No definition of project will suit every situation. In other words there are a number of ways to
define a project. Some of these definitions are the following.
- Project is in general a building block of an investment plan.
- A project can be described as a combination of human and material resources pulled
together in an organization to achieve a specific objective.
- ‘A project is a temporary endeavour undertaken to achieve a particular aim and to which
project management can be applied, regardless of the project’s size, budget, or timeline’.
- A Project is an investment activity that involves expending of financial resources to create
capital assets that produce benefits over a period of time’ Gittinger (1996).
- A Project is a temporary organisation, either as a freestanding entity or now more
commonly as an integrated component of a programme, set up to produce something or
manage a particular change.
~2~
- A project is a series of activities aimed at bringing about clearly specified objectives within
a defined time-period and with a defined budget. (Aid Delivery Methods, Project Cycle
Management Guidelines Volume 1, March 2004.)
- A project is a proposal for an investment to create, expand and/or develop certain facilities
in order to increase the production of goods and/or services in a community during a certain
period of time.
- According to USA Project Management Institute, “Project is a one shot, time limited, goal
directed, major undertaking, requiring the commitment of varied skills and resources”. It
also describes a project as “a combination of human and non-human resources pooled
together in a temporary organization to achieve a specific purpose.”
- “Project is an effort that starts from scratch with a definite mission, generate activities
involving a variety of human and non-human resources all directed to words fulfilment of
the mission and stops once the mission is fulfilled.”
- According to ISO document define project is “a unique process consisting of a set of
coordinated and controlled activities with start and finish dates, undertaken to achieve an
objective conforming to specific requirement including constraints of time, cost and
resources”
In general a project is defined as a temporary endeavor undertaken to create unique product and
service.
A project is neither a physical nor the end result. It has something to do with the activities that go
on. From the above all definitions we can understand that
A project is an economic/development activity
It requires a commitment of scarce resources
It brings some benefit from its accomplishment
The benefit should exceed its cost
Implementation of a project needs resources or inputs.
Every project converts the given inputs into outputs through the process of
implementation.
~3~
Examples of typical projects are the following.
Characteristics of Project
A project is a big-work. It is basically a work of one whole thing. This means that while there
may be contribution from many people, it can be regarded as one whole thing. A comparison can
be made with a book. There may be many chapters in the book sometimes written by different
authors (which can be considered as sub-project), the book is a single entity and is supposed to
serve a single purpose. The various works that constitute the whole are inter-related and together
they tell the whole story. In the same way all works that are interrelated can be grouped together
and termed as a project in organizations. Thus, with project there is a concept of
Wholeness despite diversity of work. The wholeness concept does exist in a factory or
any organization in any other work. But, in case of a project the whole has to be
completed in one-shot (once for all).
There is a missionary zeal, an unknown force, pushing people forward for achievement
of something beyond their immediate work.
~4~
The special features or characteristics’ of project that differentiate it from any other ongoing
activities are the following.
Objective: A project has a fixed set of objectives. It has an established objective. Once
the objectives are achieved the project ceases to exist.
Life span: A project cannot continue endlessly. It has to come an end at one time. It has a
defined life span with a beginning and an end. A project has a life cycle reflected by
introduction, growth, maturity and decay.
Single entity: A project is a single entity and is normally entrusted to one responsibility
centre, while participants in the projects are many. It usually requires the involvement of
several departments and professionals.
Team work: Any project calls for team work. The team members may be from different
discipline, organization, and even country.
Uniqueness: No two projects are exactly similar even if the plants are exactly identical or
are duplicated. The location, the infrastructure, the agencies and the people make each
project unique.
Change: A project sees many changes throughout its life while some of these changes
may not have any major impact, there can be changes which will change the entire course
of the project.
Unity in diversity: A project is complex set of verities. There are varieties in terms of
technology, equipments and material, people and machinery, and work culture and ethics.
But they remain interrelated.
High level of sub contracting: A high percentage of a work in a project is done through
contractors. The more complex is a project, the more will be the extent of contracting.
Risk and Uncertainty: Every project has a risk associated with it. The degree of risk and
uncertainty will depend on how a project has passed through its various life cycle. The
most common reasons of uncertainty are as follows;
- Sometimes project goals are not clearly defined
- Short time scale
- Lack of proper availability of resources
- Quality factor
~5~
Project Vs program
A project is normally originated from a plan which can be a national plan or corporate plan. In
many cases the term project is used for what should be termed as program or work package.
Some people use the term ‘project’ and ‘program’ interchangeably. However, there is a quite
difference between these concepts. Program in general is a group of related projects that are
managed in a coordinated ways to achieve certain objectives. Any development plan can be
considered as a program. A program is thus, larger in scope, activity oriented, not necessarily
time bound and its objectives are broader
Example,
The national goal: Poverty Eradication
Strategy: Increase productivity ( in all sectors)
Development program: Increase agricultural productivity
This may result in a number of projects like,
Construction of dams ( irrigation infrastructure)
Upgrading the skill of agricultural practices
Construction of training centers
Health program may have a number of projects like,
Construction of hospitals
Training of health officers
Expansion of health centres
The Program and Projects hierarchy looks like the following.
~6~
A national plan is a wider concept that incorporates all sectors of the economy. A programme
can represent a sector and is a collection of closely connected projects. A project is an
investment activity derived from a program where resources are used to create capital assets
Classification of Project
Projects have been classified in various ways by different authors.
Quantifiable and Non-Quantifiable Projects
Quantifiable projects are the projects in which plausible quantitative assessment of benefits can
be made. Example: power generation, industrial development, and mineral development.
Non-Quantifiable or Qualitative projects are those projects where assessment of benefit is made
in qualitative terms. Example: health, education and defense projects.
Sectoral Projects
Some projects are classified on the basis of sectoral base. The projects can fall into the following
sectors. This system of classification has been found useful in resource allocation at macro level.
i) Agriculture and allied sector
ii) Irrigation and power
iii) Industry and mining
iv) Transport and communication
v) Social service sector
vi) Miscellaneous
Classification of Projects by Financial Institutions
Financial institutions classified projects into the following groups, based on the need of the
project.
i. New project: to meet needs for a good or service.
ii. Expansion project: to increase the plant capacity for the current plant.
iii. Modification projects: for technological upgrading the existing plant and machinery or
production process.
iv. Replacement project: to replace old machinery with a new machinery of some capacity to
improve operational efficiency.
v. Diversification projects: to offer more than one related product or unrelated product.
~7~
vi. Backward integration projects: to add manufacturing capacity for the in-house production
of raw materials used for the existing plant.
vii. Forward integration projects: to add manufacturing/processing facilities at the end of
production line to further process the existing products for value addition.
Project management can be defined in different ways. Some of these definitions are the
following.
Managers of projects engage in planning, organising, leading and controlling to satisfy project
objectives.
Project Management is a set of principles, practices, and techniques applied to lead project teams
and control project schedule, cost, and performance risks to result in delighted customers. Cost,
time and performance are the focus of this definition.
Project management includes planning, organizing, directing, and controlling activities in
addition to motivating what is usually the most expensive resource on the project - the people.
Planning involves deciding what has to be done when and by whom. The resources then need to
be organized through activities such as procurement and recruitment. Directing their activities
towards a coherent objective is a major management role. The activities also need controlling to
ensure that they feet within the limits set for them.
~8~
Peter Morris described project management as “… the process of integrating everything that
needs to be done (typically using a number of special project management techniques) as the
project involves through its life cycle (from concept to handover) in order to meet the project’s
objectives.”
Rory Burke defined it as “… the application of knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to project
activities in order to meet stake holder’s needs and expectations from a project.” In other words
the project manager must do whatever is required to make the project happen-one could not have
a wider all encompassing job description.
Project Management is therefore the art of directing and coordinating human and material
resources throughout the life of a project by using modern management techniques to achieve
predetermined objectives of scope, cost, time, quality and participant satisfaction’.
16%
53%
Under Perform
31%
Cancelled
Source: Standish Group International, Survey from 2500 personnel attending project
management training.
Some of the possible reasons for project failure are the following.
Reasons for Projects Failure %
Poor organizations and project management practices 36%
~9~
Poorly defined or missing project objectives 20%
Technical problems 4%
Others 11%
Source: Standish Group International, Survey from 2500 personnel attending project
management training
Why conduct project analysis? Project analysis is conducted because of the following main
factors.
To stop bad projects
To prevent good projects from being destroyed
To determine if components of projects are consistent
To assess the sources and magnitudes of risks
To determine how to reduce risks and efficiently share risks
A proper analysis will cause the project to be redesigned so that it is less likely to fail. World
Bank experience shows that the probability of failure for poorly prepared projects within 3 years
of a project’s life is 7 times that of well-prepared projects. Poorly prepared projects have 16
times as high a probability of failure within 5 years as compared to well-prepared projects.
~ 10 ~
CHAPTER TWO: PROJECT CYCLE
A project passes through a number of life cycles called project cycle. Project Cycle is the various
stages through which project proceed from inception to implementation. It is a stage which
project advance from inception to maturity stage. A project cycle covers all the steps necessary
to bring a project to the point where its technical, economic and financial feasibilities have been
established and it is ready for appraisal. Each stage follows the proceeding one and leads to the
next. These different phases are identified by different institutions and authors. Some of the
phases as identified by different authors are the following. The Project Analysis or appraisal is
done in stage (Cycle) and should provide information on administrative feasibility, marketing,
and technical appraisal, financial capability, expected economic contributions, and social
objectives.
~ 11 ~
Gittinger (1996) in his book Economic Appraisal of Agricultural projects defines the cycle to
be:-
Identification
Preparation and analysis
Appraisal
Implementation
~ 12 ~
Evaluation
A Professional Institute, Project Management Institute (PMI) coins the cycle in terms of:
Initiating, Planning, Executing, Controlling and Closing.
The Asian Development Bank Project cycle model looks like the following.
The European Commission/Europe Aid Approach consists of six phases and has been considered
as the most recent approach developed as guidelines for development of projects.
Programming
Identification
Appraisal
Financing
Implementation
Evaluation
~ 13 ~
Phases of the project cycle – UNIDO manual
Phase 1 – Pre-investment
Construc Commissio
Negotiatio Engine
tion & ning & start
n and ering
Manpow up
Contractin Design
Phase 3 – Operation er
g
training
Phase 4 – Evaluation
However, in most literature and guide books the stages or phases of projects are divided into six
phases and this approach are preferred for discussion.
1. Identification ( will be covered in chapter three)
2. Pre-feasibility study
3. Feasibility study
4. Project appraisal and Selection
5. Implementation
6. Ex-post evaluation
~ 14 ~
Undertaking a feasibility study that enables a definite decision to be made on the project is a
costly and time – consuming task. Therefore, before assigning larger funds for such a study,
preliminary assessment of the project idea might be made in a pre-feasibility study. In the pre-
feasibility study stage the analyst obtains rough estimation of the major components of the
project’s costs and benefits. Some of the main components examined during the pre-feasibility
study include:
Availability of adequate market (or beneficiaries)
Project growth potential
Investment costs, operational cost and distribution costs
Demand and supply factors; and
Social and environmental considerations
If the project is appeared to be sound the next sages is a feasibility stage
3. Feasibility study
Pre – feasibility study should be viewed as an intermediate stage. A feasibility study should
provide all data necessary for an investment decision like the commercial, technical, financial,
economic, and environment aspects. An investment project should be defined and critically
examined in the feasibility study. Therefore, the structure of a pre – feasibility study should be
the same as that of a detailed feasibility study. The major difference between them lies on the
amount of work required in order to determine whether a project is likely to be viable or not.
Once the project is decided as viable using pre-feasibility study, a detailed analysis of issues
should be conducted like marketing, technical, financial, economic, and environmental aspects is
undertaken in the feasibility stage.
Feasibility study provides a comprehensive review of all aspects of the project and lays the
foundation for implementing of the project and evaluating it when completed. In the feasibility
study, a team of specialists, like scientists, engineers, economists, managers, sociologists, and
environmentalists etc are needed to work together. If the project is viable on this stage, the next
step is project selection and design stage. Which means, in the feasibility stage more accurate
data need to be obtained in order to proceed to the next stage.
~ 15 ~
Finally, the feasibility report should include (but not limited) the following analysis
Market analysis
Technical analysis
Organizational analysis
Financial analysis
Social – economic analysis, and
Environmental analysis
~ 16 ~
The issues are the subjects of specialized appraisal report. And on the basis of this report,
financial decisions are made – whether to go ahead with the project or not.
5. Implementation
The objective of any effort in project planning and analysis is to have a project that can be
implemented to the benefit of the society. After the project prepared and appraised the next step
is implementing the project. Implementation is the most important part of the project cycle. In
this stage funds are actually disbursed to start the project and keep running and contracts are
signed.
A major priority during this stage is to ensure that the project is carried out in the way and within
the period that was planned. During the project implementation stage, the following important
points should be considered.
All the stages of implementation should be completed within the time schedule allotted.
The output stream should be the same as contemplated.
The physical targets are to be realized with in the financial allocation.
Project analysts (manager) must keep an eye over changes in technology, taste, price,
profitability, etc.
In the case of private investments, profitability is to be so insured that investment funds are
expected from within. However, Problems frequently occur when the economic and
financial environment at implementation differs from the situation expected during
appraisal. For example, price or political environment may change. Due to these facts,
project implementation must be flexible and original proposals are modified frequently to
capture these changes.
The implementation phase for an industrial project consists of several stages like project and
engineering designs, negotiations and contracting, construction, training, and plant
commissioning.
6. Ex-post evaluation
The final phase in the project cycle is evaluation. Once a project has been carried out the actual
progress with the plans should be evaluated in order to judge whether the decisions and actions
~ 17 ~
taken were responsible and useful. However, evaluation is not limited only to completed
projects. Ongoing projects could also be evaluated to find solutions for problems when the
project is in trouble. The evaluation may be done by, the project management team, the
sponsoring agency, or other bodies. Moreover, evaluation should be undertaken when a project is
terminated or is well into routine operation.
Some of the benefits which can be obtained from evaluation are the following.
The reality of the assumptions that were made will be evaluated;
It provides an experience that is highly valuable in future decision making;
It suggests corrective action to be taken in the light of actual performance;
It helps in uncovering judgment biases;
It induces a desired caution among project sponsors.
Generally, by performing evaluation weakness and strengths should carefully be noted so as to
serve as important lessons for future project analysis undertaking.
~ 18 ~
Project starts by generating potential idea that can be converted into a meaningful project.
Project identification involves finding project’s idea, which could contribute towards achieving
specified business/development objectives. In many cases many projects start as a simple idea
and later on it may grow up into a full-fledged project. Identification of promising investment
opportunities (projects) requires imagination, sensitivity to environmental changes, and a
realistic assessment of what the firm or organization can do.
If the project is a private project the initiating entity will define the concept, expectation and
objectives of the project. But, if the project is a public project, scrotal information is an important
source to define the concept, expectation and objective of the project.
To tap creativity of people and harness their entrepreneurial urges a conducive climate has to be
fostered. It is conscious, deliberate and systematic effort by an organization to identify
opportunities that can be profitably exploited. One has to think in the lines of rearrangement,
modifications, reversal, magnification, reduction, substitution, adaptations and combinations.
The stimulation of the project ideas is possible by a continuous monitoring of the market to find
the unmet needs. By using the SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats)
analysis, clear articulation of objectives, prioritization and channelizing the efforts in right
direction can be formulated. Following points are useful for the stimulation of the project ideas.
Analyze performance of existing industries.
Examine inputs and outputs of various industries (raw material, labor and other resources).
Review imports and exports statistics
Study plan outlays and government guidelines
Data from various sources like financial institutions and development agencies (primary
and secondary information)
Study technological developments.
Draw clues from consumption abroad
Attend trade seminars (national and international)
Analyses financial, economic and social trends.
Identify unfulfilled psychological needs
Explore possibility of reviving sick units
~ 19 ~
Another way for generating ideas may be to identify potential problems. When problems are
anticipated early, they cease to be problems, as possibility of solving them exists. The following
categories can be considered when trying to identify potential problems on projects.
New technology: Unproven processes
Prototype equipment: Scaled up equipment with an area of risk demanding reliability
Site conditions: Unusual climates as well as challenges presented by outer space and
bottom of the oceans
Limited resources: Shortage of skilled technicians, limitation of space, restriction on
spending
Delays in obtaining permits
Process control systems: complications in design, procurement and installation
Difficult access: No conventional means of transport to site
Labour: areas with history of labor turmoil
Economic conditions: uncertain markets
Each project will have certain problems, which are obvious, and others, which may not be so
apparent or may be hidden. The selection of the right project for future investment is crucial for
long survival of the company as well as country. The selection of wrong project may precipitate
failure to execute in spite of support from good management.
The first stage in the cycle is to find potential projects. There are many, many sources from
which suggestions may come. The most common will be well-informed technical specialists and
local leaders. While performing their professional duties, technical specialists will have
identified many areas where they feel new investment might be profitable. Local leaders will
generally have a number of suggestions about where investment might be carried out. Ideas for
new projects also come from proposals to extend existing programs. A program to develop water
resources will probably lead to suggestions of additional areas for irrigation. An existing land
settlement program will probably generate suggestions of new areas for settlement.
Suggestions for new projects usually arise because some products are in short supply-or will be
in a few years if production is not expanded or imports increased. The analysis may be based on
~ 20 ~
general knowledge or upon a more systematic examination of market trends and import statistics.
In addition, many countries have development banks intended to encourage growth of domestic
industry. Often local firms will come to these banks with different proposals for which they are
seeking finance.
Frequently, a separate sector survey of the current situation in agriculture will indicate what
initiatives are needed. Such surveys may be undertaken with the help of an international agency
or some agency for bilateral assistance. The sector survey will examine the current status of
agriculture, project future needs for agricultural products over the next decade or so, and
consider programs to improve the quality of rural life. It will examine prospects for expanding
agricultural exports by considering potential increases in production and the outlook for
marketing possibilities, and it will identify the gaps in existing plans and programs. The survey
will probably generate suggestions about new areas for investment and the relative priority to be
given different initiatives. It may even identify specific projects, especially larger ones, that merit
consideration for future investment.
Occasionally one hears that there is a lack of projects available for investment in developing
countries. Usually there is no shortage of proposals for projects that have been identified. But
there may be a shortage of projects prepared in sufficient detail to permit implementation.
The idea for project may come from the following sources.
~ 21 ~
From the need to make profitable use of available resources (this is for resources based
projects).
Market based projects arise from an identified demand in home or overseas market.
Need based project may arise from the need of community (company) to make available
some basic materials (services) requirements.
Project ideas can also emanate from government policy and plans.
From technical specialists like, entrepreneurs and local leaders are also common sources of
projects. Technical specialists and entrepreneurs can identify many areas where they feel
new investment might be profitable.
In general, the sources of project ideas can be broadly classified into macro and micro level.
I. Macro-level
1. National policies, strategies, sectoral, sub – sectoral or regional plans
2. General surveys like resource potential surveys, regional studies, master plan and
statistical publications, which indicate directly or indirectly investment opportunities.
3. Constraints on the development process due to shortage of essential infrastructure
facilities.
4. Unusual events such as, droughts, floods, earth – quakes, hostilities, etc
5. From multilateral or bilateral development agencies and as a result of regional or
international agreements in which the country participate.
~ 22 ~
The search for promising project idea is the first step towards establishing a successful venture.
As traditional saying goes “the key to success lies in getting into the right business at the right
time”. Identification is often the outcome of a triggering (iterative) process rather than an
analytical exercise. While the notion of identification is simple it is difficult to develop methods
or procedure for accomplishing it. However, there are certain broad guidelines which are helpful
in the generation and screening of project ideas.
Project identification commonly follows the following procedure
1. Generation of ideas
2. Monitoring the environment
3. Corporate appraisal (self assessment)
4. Preliminary screening
5. Project rating index.
~ 23 ~
Economic aspects such as state of the economy, possible fluctuation in the economy, the
degree of integration with the world economy and others.
National policy such as sectoral policy, government program, tax policy, government
support, financial policy and others.
Technological factor such as availability of technology, accessibility of the available
technology, emergency of new technologies, receptiveness on the part of industry.
Socio demographic factor such as population size, income distribution, education level and
others.
The nature of competition (for business firms) such as number of firms in the industry,
market share for the top few firms, the nature of entry and others.
Nature of input supply such as availability of inputs cost of raw material, availability and
cost of energy, availability and cost of labor and availability and cost of money.
~ 24 ~
f) Suggestion of financial institutions and development agencies. This is about investigating
priority area of development agencies for the project.
~ 25 ~
For each factor, multiply the factor rating with the factor weight to get the factor score.
Add all the factor score to get the overall project rating index.
The following table illustrates the determination of the project rating index.
~ 26 ~
Stability 0.1 X 0.5
Availability of finance
Availability of infrastructure
Government incentives
Promoters experience
~ 27 ~