Birla nstitute of Technology and Science, Pilani K.K.

Birla Goa Campus

First Semester 2023-2024
Comprehensive Examination (Closed Book)
2one 3B-5
Probability & Statistics Max. Mark: 45
Course No: MATH F113 Time: 1 Hour 30 Minutes
PART-A
Date: 14/12/2023
Name ID No. Marks Awarded

Joshon Gupte
Instructions: (1) There are 15 questions for three marks each. Each question is provided with four
alternative answers, out of which one is correct. There is no negative marking. (2) Encircle (C)the correct
choice in question paper cum answer sheet itself. (3) Any rough work should be done on the back of the
main answer sheet.
20.9 Z0.9772 Z0.16 ZO.0294 ZO.005 Z0.05 Zo.1 to.005,19 Here P(T 2trg)=, P(Z > ) =r.
-1.28 -2 1 1.8898 | 2.576 | 1.64 1.28 2.861

1. Aand Bthrow alternatively a pair of unbiased six-sided díce. A wins if he throws a sun of six points
before B throws a um of scven points, and B wins if he throws sum of seven points before A throws
a sum of six points. If A begins the gane, then the probability of his winning is
(A) 0.8611 B)04918 (O) 0.2824 (D) none of these.

2. Suppose that we have 3 cards identical in form exccpt that both sides of the first card are colored red,
both sides of the second card are colored black, and one side of the third card is colored red and the
other side black. The 3 cards are mixed up in a hat, and 1 card is randomly selected and put down
on the ground. If the upper sidc of the chosen card is colorcd red, then thc probability that thc other
side colored black is
(B) 1/6 (D) none of these.

3. An urn contains 7 white and 3 black balls. Two balls are drawn simultancously from this urn, then
expected number of white balls drawn is
(A) 8/5 (B) 7/5 (C) 7/15 (D) none of these.

4. If the revenue that company ABC makes in a week is a random

variable X, with
function Mx(t) = (1-2500t)-, then the standard deviation of the revenue that moment generating
in a week is
company ABC makes
(A) 5000000 (B) 1000000 (C) 25000000 (D ngneof these.
5. A telecommunications company has discovered that users
arc three times as likely tomake two-minute
calls as to make four-minute calls. The length of a typical call has a
expected length (in minutes) of a typical call is Poisson distribution then the
(B) 3 (C) 6 (D)none of these.

6. Let Ss00 denotes the sum of the

outcomes on the
lf 1,2,3,[Link] possible outcomes of each toss of adownturned face of a fair tetrahedron toOSsed 500 timcs.
A84. (B) 0.16
tetrahedron, then approximation to PSs00 S 1273] 18
(C) 0.32 (D) none of these.
(PTO)
 is drawn from a Gamma distribution with paraneters g and B.
7 Ifarandom sanple {X1, X2, ,Xn}
of B, is
method of moments estimator
then the 1
1 (D) none of these.
(A)
(B) x. i=l
i=l
n-1 i=l

X%, *,X100} be a random sample from N(p,25). If the p-value of atest HÍ : = 10 against.
8. Let {X,, value of the sample nean is
H:u> 10is given by 0.1, then the (C) 11.28 (D) none of these.
(A) 9.36 (B) 10-64
normal population has a standard deviation of 16. The critical region for testing HÍ : =5 against
9. A constant k and the sample size n which would
the alternative H;:p>5is X > k-2. The value of probability of type-II error to be 0.16 while
allow the probability of type-I error to be 0.0228 and the
true u is , are (D) none of these.
(B) n = 4, k = 11 (C) n = 12, k = 7
(A) n64, k= 11
alternative H :p#o is rejected
10. If for a sample of size n, a null hypothesis HÍ : = lo against the
at a 10% level of significance(LOS), then for the same sample
AYit will not be rejected at 15% LOS. (BYit will be rejected at 12% LOS.
(C) t will not be rejected at 2% LOS. (D) none of these.

observed was
11. A sample of 20 cigarettes is tested to determine nicotine content and the average value
which
1.98 mg with sample standard deviation 0.04 mg. Assuming normal population, a value of c for
we can assert with 99.5% confidence that c is larger than the mean nicotine content of a cigarette is
(A) 1.9904 (B) 2.0006 ( 2.0056 (D) none of thesc.

12. An experiment was conducted in which two types of engines, Aand B, were compared. Gas müeage,
in miles per galon, was measured. Fifty experiments were conducted using engine type A and 75
experiments were done for engine type B. The gasoline used and other conditions were held constant.
The average gas mileage for engine Awas 36 miles per gallon and the average for machine B was 42
miles per gallon. Ifpopulations for machines Aand B are normal with standard deviations 6 and 8,
respectively, then a 90% confidence lower bound on g - PA, where A and g arc population ncan
gas mileage for machines A and B, respectively, is
(A) 4.7128 (B) 3.9429 43945 (D) none of these.

13. If Xn U(0, 1),and given X =I, the random variable Y is U(0, r), then E(XY) is
((A)o.125 (B) 0.152 (C) 0.251 enone of these.
14. Consider a true line Y, =1-2; + E;, E; N(0,49). Suppose a randon sample of size 7 is selectcd,
which gives = 25900, e i= 420. The probability that the slope of estimated ine is les
then -1.5, is
0.9772 B) .9706 (C) 0.9 (D) none of these.
15. A box is to be constructed so that thc height is 4 inches and its base is X by X inches. If X has a
U(0, 1)distribution, then the density of the volume of the box is
(A) f(u) = 4/, 0 < y <4. (B)f(y) =V, 0<y<4.
yu) 0<y <4. none of these.

***All THE BEST***

 Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani K.K. Birla Goa Campus
First Semester 2023-2024, Comnprehensive Exarnination (Closed Book)
Course No: MATH FJ13 Probability & Statistics Max. Mark: 90
Part-B Time: 1 hour 30 Minutes
Date: 14/12/2023
Instructions: 1. Make index on the front page otherwise 4 marks will be deducted.
2. Write all steps clearly and give explanation for complete credit.
Z0.0025 Z0.025 Z0.66 [Link],38 Lo.025,8 to.025,9 XÑ.95,9 Xó.25,8 XÑ.62,8
2.81 1.96 -0.38 1.686 2.306 2.262 3.325 10.00 6.00

Here P(T, > trg)=r, P(X, x)=r and P(Z>z) = r.

Q1. Consider a random sanple X1, X2, ,Xn of size from a population with the density
f(u) =e(u-9), z>0.
Prove or disprove that maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the parameter 8 is
unbiased. [15]
Q2. A person buys 10 lottery tickets with each having a winning probability 0.26. If he
wins a prize in at least one of the tickets, he gets addicted and will keep on buying
tickets til he wins again. Find thc (xpccted number of unsuccessful attempts. [15]
Q3. Consider following joint density of two random variables X and Y,

fxv(a.v) = (u-,
0,
0<y < 0,
otherwise.

Find the marginal density of X and the conditional density of Ygiven X. [15]
Q4. Given that n = 10, C Z = 592.6, C = 1428.7, 1 3 = 41222.14,
S = 220360.5, i; = 91866.46. Obtain yja at n = 2. Test the hy
pothesis whether the slope of regression line is zero at 5% level of significance. (15]
Q5. Acricketer wins a toss with a probability of headgiven byp. When the coin was tested,
in 10 tosses, it resulted in 6 hcads. Use Binomial distribution to calculate p-value and
test if thecoin can be considered unbiased at a 10% level of significance. If it is further
decided to perform 90 more tosses with the same coin, and out of these 90, a total of
53 observed heads, use z-value test based on this sample of size 100 to decide if the
coin can be considered unbiased at 5% level of significance. [15]
Q6. A production unit of a pharnaceutical manufactures vaccines for a particular rare
disease. The conpany produces any number of vaccine, from one to six per hour,
which is equally likely. Further, the lab tests the quality of each vaccine, and each
vaccine passes the quality test independently with a probability 0.8. Those vaccines
that do not pass the quality test will have to be discarded at the cost of Rs 10000 per
vaccine. Moreover, the vaccine that passes the quality test will be put on sale. Each
vaccine on sale has a 50% chance of being sold out before expiration. Each sold-out
vaccine generates a profit of Rs 50000 per vaccine, and unsold before expiry gives a
loss of Rs 20000 per accine. Find the net profit of the company per hour. Use the
following random mumbers exactly once in the given order: 0.75, 0.20, 0.63. [15]

***A|THE BEST***