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EET 301: Macroeconomic Multipliers

The document discusses the derivation of various economic multipliers, including investment, government expenditure, and tax multipliers, under different tax assumptions. It provides mathematical expressions for these multipliers and their interpretations, highlighting how changes in investment and government spending affect equilibrium income. Additionally, it addresses the impact of tax structures on income changes and introduces the concept of the balanced budget multiplier.

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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
80 views11 pages

EET 301: Macroeconomic Multipliers

The document discusses the derivation of various economic multipliers, including investment, government expenditure, and tax multipliers, under different tax assumptions. It provides mathematical expressions for these multipliers and their interpretations, highlighting how changes in investment and government spending affect equilibrium income. Additionally, it addresses the impact of tax structures on income changes and introduces the concept of the balanced budget multiplier.

Uploaded by

kamuchaustanley
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

MACHAKOS UNIVERSITY

SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS.

DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS.

UNIT CODE: EET 301

UNIT NAME: MACROECONOMIC THEORY III

WRITTEN BY: DOROTHY NGINA KIMOLO

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 1 of 11


LECTURE THREE: INTRODUCTION TO EQUILIBRIUM INCOME

DETERMINATION: THE MULTIPLIER

3.1: Introduction

In this lecture we will discuss the derivation of several multipliers such as investments

multiplier, government expenditure multiplier and tax multiplier under different

assumptions of the tax function.

3.2 Lesson Learning Outcomes

By the end of this lecture, the learner should be able to:

3.2.1 Derive the multipliers under lump sum taxes

3.2.2 Derive the multipliers when tax is a function of income

3.2.1 Derivation of the expenditure multipliers under lump sum taxes

Expenditure multipliers are useful in telling us the amount by which equilibrium income

will change when aggregate demand component change by one unit. In this section, we

shall develop multipliers for changes in investment and government purchases and also for

shifts in the tax schedules beginning with an economy where taxes are levied as lump- sum.


When taxes are a fixed sum, t , then basic equilibrium condition becomes:

    
c( y  t )  i  g  y  c( y  t )  s( y  t )  t ………………………………………….. (3.1)

Eliminating the consumption component, we get:

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 2 of 11


   
i  g  y  c( y  t )  s( y  t ))  t ………………………………………………… (3.2)

From equation (3.2):

 
y  c( y  t )  i  g …………………………………………………………………. (3.3)

 
We can derive general expression showing changes in y following changes in t , i and g

by differentiating that expression to obtain:

 
dy  c / (dy  d t )  d i  dg

 
dy  c / dy  c / d t  d i  dg

 
dy  c / dy  c / d t  d i  dg

 
dy(1  c / )  c / d t  d i  dg

 
 c / d t  d i  dg
dy 
1 c/ …………………………………………………………… (3.4)

Equation (3.4) is a general multiplier expression.

  
To obtain the multiplier for d i , we set d t and dg equals to zero and then divide by d i to

obtain:

dy 1


di 1 c/
…………………………………………………………………………. (3.5)

Equation 3.5 is the Investment Multiplier.

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 3 of 11


Example

dy 1
If c / = 0.7, then 
  3.3
di 1  0.7

Interpretation

A unit increase in investment demand yields 3.3 units increase in income and vice versa.

Government Expenditure Multiplier

From equation (3.4);


 
 c / d t  d i  dg
dy 
1 c/ ……………………………………………………………… (3.4)

 
To obtain the multiplier for government expenditure, we set d t and d i equals to zero and

then divide by dg to obtain:

dy 1
 ………………………………………………………………………….. (3.6)
dg 1  c /

(3.6) is the expression for government expenditure multiplier.

Example

/
If c = 0.7, then
𝑑𝑦 1
= 1−0.3 = 3.33
𝑑𝑔

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 4 of 11


Interpretation

A unit increase in government expenditure yields 3.3 units increase in income and vice

versa.

Tax Multiplier

From equation (3.4);

 
 c / d t  d i  dg
dy 
1 c/ ……………………………………………………………… (3.4)

 
To obtain the tax multiplier, we set dg and d i equals to zero and then divide by d t to

obtain:

………………………………………………………………….. (3.7)

(3.7) is the expression for tax multiplier.

Example

/
If c = 0.7, then

𝑑𝑦 −0.7
= = −2.33
𝑑𝑡̅ 1 − 0.7

Interpretation

A unit increase in taxes yields 2.33 units decrease in income and vice versa.

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 5 of 11


The balanced budget multiplier

The balance budget exists when dg  d t and if this is substituted into equation (3.4) while


setting d i equals to zero, we get:

 c / dg  dg dg (1  c / )
dy  
1 c/ 1 c/

Hence balanced budget multiplier:

dy (1  c / )
 1
dg 1 c/

This tells us that if government expenditure changes by one shilling, output also increase

by one shilling.

3.2.2 Multipliers when taxes are a function of income

When tax revenues are an increasing function of income, then the basic equilibrium

condition becomes:


c( y  t ( y ))  i  g  y  c( y  ( y ))  s( y  t ( y ))  t ( y ) …………………………. (3.8)

Eliminating the consumption component, we obtain:


i  g  y  c( y  t ( y ))  s( y  t ( y))  t ( y ) …………………………… …………. (3.9)

To obtain the general form of the multiplier with a given tax structure, we differentiate the

LHS of equation (3.8) to obtain:


dy  c / (dy  t / dy  d i  dg


dy  c / (1  t / )dy  d i  dg

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 6 of 11



dy  c / (1  t / )dy  d i  dg


dy[1  c / (1  t / )]  d i  dg


d i  dg
dy 
1  c / (1  t / ) ………………………………………………………………… (3.10)

Equation (3.10) is the general equilibrium multiplier expression and the introduction of the

tax has reduced the multiplier. Diagrammatically, this can be presented as in Figure 3.1.

Figure 3.1


We can observe that with tax revenues fixed at t , an increase in investment demand from

 
i 0 to i 1 raises equilibrium income from yo to y1. When tax revenues are an increasing

function of income, the same investment increase only raises y from yo to y2. The presence

of the tax function therefore reduces the increase in disposable income relative to those in

total income. The tax system therefore acts as a built-in-stabilizer, reducing the change in

income due to a change in investments and government expenditure.

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 7 of 11


The tax rate multiplier

The tax rate multiplier is very relevant in stabilization policy decision involving tax

changes. The tax function can be simplified by assuming that tax revenues are proportional

to income so that; t(y)=Ty where T=% tax rate. The basic equilibrium condition now

becomes:


y  c( y  T y )  i  g ……….....……………………………………………………. (3.11)

Since d ( T y ) is approximately equal to T dy  yd T then the differential of equation (3.11)

becomes:


dy  c / (dy  T dy  yd T )  d i  dg


 c / (1 T )dy  yd T  d i  dg

Therefore:


d i  dg  c / yd T
dy 
1  c / (1  T ) ……………………………………………………………… (3.12)

(3.12) is the general expression for the multiplier.

Holding 𝑔 and 𝑖 constant, the tax rate multiplier is given as:

……………………………………………..……. (3.13)

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 8 of 11


Investments multiplier

From:


d i  dg  c / yd T
dy 
1  c / (1  T )

Holding 𝑔 and 𝑇 constant, the Investments multiplier is given as:

…………………………………………………….. (3.14)

Government Expenditure Multiplier

From:


d i  dg  c / yd T
dy 
1  c / (1  T )

Holding 𝑖 and 𝑇 constant, the government expenditure multiplier is given by:

……………………………………………………… (3.15)

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 9 of 11


3.3 Self-Assessment Questions

Compute the investments, tax rate and government expenditure multiplier given that:

𝑐 ′ = 0.7 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑇 = 0.25

Comment on your results in comparison to the case of lump sum taxes

3.4 E-References

1. Mankiw, N. Gregory (2014). Principles of Economics. Cengage Learning. ISBN

978-1-305-15604-3.

2. Branson William, (1989) Macroeconomic Theory and Policy, Harper and Row

Publishers, 3rd edition.

3. Romer, David (2011). Advanced Macroeconomics, 4th edition. The McgrawHill.

EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 10 of 11


EET 301: Dorothy Kimolo@2021 Page 11 of 11

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