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Risk Management Tutorial 2 Answers

The document provides answers for Tutorial 2 of FIN B379F, focusing on risk management in financial markets. It discusses the risk comparison between stocks and bonds, calculations for value-weighted, price-weighted, and equal-weighted indices, and the computation of index returns and annualized returns over specified periods. Key calculations and formulas are included to illustrate the concepts discussed.

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Kenneth Chiu
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
48 views3 pages

Risk Management Tutorial 2 Answers

The document provides answers for Tutorial 2 of FIN B379F, focusing on risk management in financial markets. It discusses the risk comparison between stocks and bonds, calculations for value-weighted, price-weighted, and equal-weighted indices, and the computation of index returns and annualized returns over specified periods. Key calculations and formulas are included to illustrate the concepts discussed.

Uploaded by

Kenneth Chiu
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

FIN B379F Risk Management for Financial Markets and Products

2025 Spring Term


Answers for Tutorial 2
1.
• Related to Topic 1 Part B P.8

• Stock is riskier than bonds because


– incomes (dividends) are not guaranteed
– have lower priority of claims
2.
• Related to Topic 1 Part B P.8
• receive fixed incomes (dividends) like bonds do
• have unlimited lifetime like common stocks

3.
Related to Topic 1 Part B P.29-31
(a) Value-weighted index:
First, the market value at time = 0 is calculated as:

Price Shares Market


Security time = 0 time = 1 Outstanding Value
1 8 13 20 million $ 160 m
2 22 25 50 million $1,100 m
3 35 30 120 million $4,200 m
4 50 55 75 million $3,750 m
$9,210 m

The change is then calculated as:


𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑠𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛(1)
𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥(1) = 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥(0) × (Wrong?)
𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑠𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛(0)

𝑃1 𝑃2 𝑃𝑇
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = ∆𝑃1 × 𝑇 + ∆𝑃2 × 𝑇 + ⋯ + ∆𝑃𝑇 × 𝑇
∑𝑖=1 𝑃𝑖 ∑𝑖=1 𝑃𝑖 ∑𝑖=1 𝑃𝑖
13−8 160 25−22 1100 30−35 4200 55−50 3750
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = × 9210 + × 9210 + × 9210 + × 9210
8 22 35 50
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = 0.6250 × 0.0174 + 0.1364 × 0.1194 − 0.1429 × 0.4560 + 0.1000 × 0.4072
ΔIndex = 0.0027

Index(1) = Index(0)  (1 + ΔIndex) = 100  1.0027 = 100.27

(b) Price-weighted index:

1
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒(1)
𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥(1) = 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥(0) ×
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒(0)
𝑃1 𝑃2 𝑃𝑇
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = ∆𝑃1 × 𝑇 + ∆𝑃2 × 𝑇 + ⋯ + ∆𝑃𝑇 × 𝑇
∑𝑖=1 𝑃𝑖 ∑𝑖=1 𝑃𝑖 ∑𝑖=1 𝑃𝑖
13−8 8 25−22 22 30−35 35 55−50 50
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = × 115 + × 115 + × 115 + × 115
8 22 35 50
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = 0.6250 × 0.0696 + 0.1364 × 0.1913 − 0.1429 × 0.3043 + 0.1000 × 0.4348
ΔIndex = 0.06957

Index(1) = Index(0)  (1 + ΔIndex) = 100  1.06957 = 106.957

(c) Equal-weighted index:


1 1 1
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = ∆𝑃1 × + ∆𝑃2 × + ⋯ + ∆𝑃𝑇 ×
𝑇 𝑇 𝑇
13−8 1 25−22 1 30−35 1 55−50 1
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = × + × + × + ×
8 4 22 4 35 4 50 4
∆𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = 0.6250 × 0.250 + 0.1364 × 0.250 − 0.1429 × 0.250 + 0.1000 × 0.250
ΔIndex = 0.17963
Index(1) = Index(0)  (1 + ΔIndex) = 100  1.17963 = 117.963

4.

• Related to Topic 1 Part B P.24-26

𝑃1 −𝑃0
𝑯𝑺𝑰 Index return = 𝑃0

Where P1 is the current (new) price and P0 is the previous price (old)

18,010.18− 29,056.42
𝑯𝑺𝑰 Index return = 29,056.42

𝑯𝑺𝑰 Index return = −0.3802 ≈ −38.02%

2
5.

• Related to Topic 1 Part B P.24-26

𝑃1 − 𝑃0 365
Annualized return = ×
𝑃0 𝑡

Where t is the number of days within the period

a) From 1 January of 2021 to 18 February 2021 (49 days)


= [(31,183.36 – 27,087.13) / 27,087.13] x 365/49 x 100%
= 112.65% p.a. (increase)

b) From 19 February 2021 to 20 August 2021 (183 days)


= [(24,581.60 - 31,183.36) / 31,183.36] x 365/183 x 100%
= -42.23% p.a. (decrease)

c) From 1 January of 2021 to 20 August 2021 (232 days)


= [(24,581.60 - 27,087.13) / 27,087.13] x 365/232 x 100%
= -14.55% p.a. (decrease)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug


31 28 31 30 31 30 31 31
Period a 49 31 18
Period b 183 10 31 30 31 30 31 20
Period c 232 31 28 31 30 31 30 31 20

Common questions

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The annualized return is calculated using the formula: \( \text{Annualized Return} = \left(\frac{P1 - P0}{P0}\right) \times \frac{365}{t} \times 100\% \), where \(P1\) is the ending price, \(P0\) is the starting price, and \(t\) is the number of days in the period. This measure is significant in financial analysis as it allows investors to compare returns across different time frames and investment options by standardizing them on a yearly basis, providing a more consistent basis for comparison .

An investor might use annualized return to compare different investment opportunities by converting all returns to a common time frame, typically on a yearly basis. This allows for a direct comparison of performance across investments with different holding periods, standardizing returns and facilitating evaluation of which investment offers the highest return on an annual basis, considering both past behavior and potential future yields .

Stocks are considered riskier than bonds primarily because the income in the form of dividends from stocks is not guaranteed, whereas bondholders receive fixed interest payments. Additionally, in the event of a company's liquidation, stocks have a lower priority of claims compared to bonds, meaning bondholders are paid before shareholders .

Price-weighted indices can introduce biases as they place greater emphasis on higher-priced stocks, potentially skewing the index's performance towards the movements of a few expensive stocks. This can distort the index's representation of the overall market or sector performance, as it does not account for the market cap or significance of individual companies. Therefore, significant price changes in a high-priced stock can disproportionately influence the index, making it less representative of broader market trends .

Value-weighted indices consider the market capitalization of each security, leading to larger companies having more influence on the index performance. Price-weighted indices are based on the price of each security, causing higher-priced stocks to have a greater effect regardless of the company's size. Equal-weighted indices give the same weight to each security, providing a balanced impact regardless of price or market cap. These differences in methodology affect how price changes in different securities will impact the overall index .

Dividends play a crucial role in comparing investment risk between stocks and bonds. Stocks present a higher risk as dividends are not guaranteed and fluctuate based on company performance, unlike bonds which offer fixed, predictable interest payments. Therefore, the uncertainty and potential variability in dividend payouts contribute to stocks being riskier investments compared to the relative stability offered by bonds, which appeals to risk-averse investors seeking reliable income streams .

The time period over which returns are measured can greatly impact the interpretation of financial results. Shorter periods may capture high volatility and extreme price movements, potentially exaggerating the perceived risk or return. Longer periods tend to smooth out fluctuations and provide a clearer picture of an asset's performance, but may also obscure recent trends or market changes. Hence, choosing an appropriate time frame is critical to accurately assessing investment results and making informed financial decisions .

Equal-weighted indices offer the advantage of reducing size bias, as each stock contributes equally, allowing for a more diversified reflection of performance across securities. This can be beneficial in capturing the average return of all components. However, they may require frequent rebalancing to maintain equal weights, which can increase transaction costs and impact overall returns. Additionally, smaller stocks, when given equal weight, might lead to higher volatility compared to value-weighted indices .

In a value-weighted index, the change is determined by the formula \( \Delta Index = \sum (\Delta P_i \times P_i)/\sum P_i \), reflecting the proportional contribution of each security's market cap. In a price-weighted index, \( \Delta Index = \sum (\Delta P_i \times P_i)/\sum P_i \), reflecting the proportional impact of each security's price, independent of market cap. Both use sums of price changes multiplied by initial price positions, but while value-weighted reflects market size influence, price-weighted emphasizes price itself .

HSI index return is calculated using the formula \( \frac{P1 - P0}{P0} \), focusing solely on the price change between two periods. In contrast, a price-weighted index return takes into account the average prices of the securities at two different times, which involves dividing the change in price by the average price sum. Thus, while HSI focuses on percentage change, the price-weighted index considers the impact of each security's price level .

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