M B A
F I N A N C I A L
A C C O U N T I N G
DR. HADY OMAR
CHAPTER 6
ANALYSING AND
INTERPRETING
FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS
LEARNING OUTCOMES
You should be able to:
Identify the major categories of ratios that can be used for analysing
financial statements
Calculate key ratios for assessing the financial performance and position of a
business
Explain the significance of the ratios calculated
Discuss the limitations of ratios as a tool of financial analysis
The key aspects of financial health
Profitability
Financial Investment
ratios
Financial
Efficiency Liquidity gearing
Ratios benchmarks
Ratios may be compared with:
Past periods
Similar businesses for the
same period
Planned performance
Ratio Analysis
The calculation and
interpretation of financial
ratios in order to draw
conclusions or raise
questions about the financial
position and performance of
a business
Basics of Analysis
Application of Involves
Reduces
analytical transforming
uncertainty
tools data
Financial statement analysis helps users
make better decisions.
Internal Users External Users
Managers Shareholders
Officers Lenders
Internal Auditors Customers
Information for Analysis
1. Income Statement
2. Statement of Financial Position
Published financial 3. Statement of changes in Equity
statements often 4. Statement of Cash Flows
contain a lot of detail 5. Notes to the Financial Statements
that is hard to
understand; it is
important to be clear
about key questions, to
select the most
appropriate figures and
to focus on those.
Directors Report
• Principal activities
• Business review
• Future developments
• Research and development
• Post balance sheet events
• Statement about employee involvement
• Donations to charities
• Purchase of won shares
• Information about directors
• Creditor payment
• Directors remuneration
Auditor’s Report
• True and fair view opinion
• Unqualified report is a “clean report”
• Qualified report shows reservation
• Statement of Directors responsibilities
• Financial statements are the responsibilities of the directors
Annual Report
• Financial statements
• Statement of financial position
• Income statement
• Statement of changes in equity
• Cash flow statement
• Notes to the accounts
• Five-year summary
Ratio Analysis
Profitability and Gearing
Efficiency
Investment
Liquidity and
Performance
Working Capital
(Shareholders’
Control
Ratios
Three main groups
• Financial strength/solvency –
• Is the business likely to survive? Can it pay its liabilities as they fall due?
• Profitability –
• Is the business sufficiently profitable? Is it making the best use of the
resources available to it?
• Stock market –
• How are the company’s shares performing on the stock market? Are they
likely to be a good investment?
Financial Strength/Solvency
• Short term
• Can short term liabilities be met as they fall due?
• Relationship between current assets and current
liabilities
• Long term
• Can company service the long term loans?
• Interest cover
• Capital gearing
Profitability and efficiency
These ratios tell us about Return on Net profit
the financial performance of capital Margin
employed
the business. Profitability
ratios tell us about how
much profit the business
Return on Gross profit
makes in relation to its ordinary Margin
sales, or asset base. shareholders’
Efficiency ratios tell us how funds
good the business is at
using its assets to generate
sales.
Return on Capital Employed
Profit before
Return on Capital interest and Tax X 100
Employed (ROCE)=
Capital Employed
Where capital employed = Non-current Liabilities + total
Equity
This ratio describes a company’s ability to earn net
income from each capital employed dollar.
Net Profit Margin Ratio
Profit Before Interest and
Net Profit margin = Tax X 100
Sales revenue
The Net Profit Margin tells you how much profit the
business makes on each of its sales, on average. This is a
profitability ratio.
Gross Profit Margin
Gross Profit X 100
Gross Profit margin =
sales
This ratio describes a business’ ability to earn gross profit from
each sales dollar.
Return on shareholders’ Funds
Net profit after taxation and
Return on ordinary shareholders’
preference dividend (if any) X 100
funds=
Ordinary share capital + Reserves
This ratio describes a business’ ability to earn profits for each
dollar of shareholder’s funds
The ROCE of UK companies
18
ROCE
15 Service companies
All non-financial companies
12
9
Manufacturing companies
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
The main elements of the ROCE ratio
Operating profit
Sales revenue
multiplied
by
Sales revenue
Long-term capital employed
equals
Return on capital employed
Liquidity and working capital control
Liquidity and Efficiency Ratios
Average
Current
Inventories’
Ratio
Turnover Ratio
Quick Ratio
Inventory
(Acid-test
Holding Period
Ratio)
Sales revenues to
Capital Employed Average settlement
ratio period for Receivables
(Receivables Days)
Average settlement
period for trade
Sales revenue per
Payables (Payables
employee
Days)
Liquidity
• Liquidity is the ability of the company to
meet its short-term obligations
(liabilities). There are two key ratios
which are used to assess the liquidity of
a business:
[Link] ratio
[Link] (or ‘acid test’) ratio
Current Ratio
Current Assets
Current Ratio =
Current Liabilities
This ratio measures the short-term debt-paying
ability of the company. A higher current ratio
suggests a strong liquidity position.
Quick (Acid-Test) Ratio
Cash + Short-term investments + receivables
Acid-test ratio = (Current Assets – Inventory)
Current Liabilities
Referred to as
Quick Assets
This ratio is like the current ratio but excludes current assets
such as inventories and others that may be difficult to quickly
convert into cash.
Working Capital
Working capital represents current assets financed from long-term
capital sources that do not require near-term repayment.
It is cash tied-up in the day-to-day operations of the business.
Current assets
– Current liabilities
= Working capital
More working capital suggests a strong liquidity
position and an ability to meet current obligations.
Working capital management
• Are current assets excessive in relation to sales?
• Are there enough liquid assets to cover liabilities?
• Are inventories left idle?
• Are customers paying on time? Should the company be chasing
them up?
• Is the company taking advantage of available credit?
Inventory Turnover
Cost of sales
Inventory turnover =
Inventory Held
This ratio measures the number of times
merchandise is sold and replaced during
the year.
INVENTORY HOLDING PERIOD
Inventory Held
× 365
Inventory Holding Period = Cost of sales
This ratio is a useful measure in evaluating
inventory liquidity. If a product is demanded by
customers, this formula estimates how long it
takes to sell the inventory.
Receivable Collection period
Receivables Trade Receivables
× 365
Collection Period = Total Credit sales
Provides insight into how frequently a company
collects its trade receivable.
Payables Payment period
Payables Trade Payables
× 365
Payment Period = Total Credit Purchases
Provides insight into how frequently a
company pays back its trade payables.
Sales revenue to capital Employed
Sales revenue to Sales revenue
× 100
capital employed= Capital Employed
Provides insight into how efficient the
company was in using up capital employed
and in terms of sales revenues
Sales revenue per employee
Sales revenue per Sales revenue
employee= Number of employees
Provides insight into how efficient we are in
using up our human capital in terms of sales
revenue generated
The effect of financial gearing
Operating
profit
Returns
to ordinary
shareholders
Figure 6.4
Gearing and Financial risk
Debt to equity
Ratio
Debt to Capital
Employed
Ratio Interest
cover
Gearing and Financial risk
Debt to equity
Ratio
Debt to Capital
Employed
Ratio Interest
cover
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Non-Current Liabilities X100
Debt-to-equity ratio =
Total equity
This ratio measures relative dependence on long-term
finance rather than equity
Debt-to-capital employed Ratio
Non-Current Liabilities X100
Debt-to-capital
Total equity+ Non-current
Employed Ratio =
liabilities
This ratio measures what portion of a company’s assets
are contributed by creditors. A larger debt-to-capital
Employed implies less opportunity to expand through
use of debt financing.
Interest Cover
Profit before interest expense
Interest Cover =
Interest expense
Net income
+ Interest expense
+ Income taxes
= Income before interest and taxes
This is the most common measure of the ability of a company’s operations
to provide protection to long-term creditors.
If interest cover is high, the business has plenty of profits with which to pay
its interest charge.
Investment Performance
(Shareholders’ Ratios)
Earning per Dividend
share(EPS) Yield
Price-Earnings Dividend
Ratio Cover
Dividend payout
ratio
Dividend Yield
Dividend Per share
Dividend yield = X100
Market price per share
This ratio identifies the return, in terms of cash
dividends, on the current market price per share of
the company’s ordinary stock.
Dividend yield presents an indication about
whether the shares are ‘value for money’ when they
compare these figures to other companies
Dividend Cover
Net Profit before ordinary
Dividend Cover = dividends
Ordinary Dividends Paid
It indicates whether the company has a policy of paying a large or
small proportion of its profits as a dividend.
Generally, companies with a low dividend cover are attractive
investments to shareholders who seek income from their
investments; while companies with a high dividend cover are
more attractive to those who are seeking growth in the share
price.
Dividend payout ratio
Ordinary Dividends Paid
Dividend Payout = Net Profit before ordinary x 100
dividends
It indicates whether the company has a policy of paying a large
or small proportion of its profits as a dividend.
Generally, companies with a high dividend payout are
attractive investments to shareholders who seek income from
their investments; while companies with a low dividend
payout are more attractive to those who are seeking growth in
the share price.
Earning Per share (EPS)
Net Profit before ordinary dividends
Earning Per Share (EPS)=
Number of ordinary shares in issue
EPS is an indicator of the relative performance of the company
compared to the previous year, taking into consideration any
share issues during the year. This is one ratio which cannot be
used in comparing one company with another company.
EPS: is a single performance measure, is it enough?
Investors also need to consider:
1. The results of parts of the business that have since been discontinued;
2. The results of new acquisitions that have yet to come fully on stream;
3. Any exceptional items such as large, one-off profits on the sale of non-
current assets or investments.
4. Exceptional write-offs of goodwill or other assets
5. Exceptional provisions for future reorganizations and redundancies
6. Impairment of goodwill
7. Depreciation;
8. Interest;
9. Unrealized profits on revaluation of assets;
10. Exchange rate gains or losses on translating the financial statements of
overseas subsidiaries
Price-Earnings Ratio
Market price per share
Price-earnings ratio =
Earnings per share
This measure is often used by investors as a general
guideline in gauging stock values. Generally, the higher
the price-earnings ratio, the more opportunity a company
has for growth.
High PE ratio usually indicates that the company’s
prospects are expected to be very good – however, it may
also mean that the share is overvalued and not worth
buying (or, if already owned, should be sold)
%
0
4
3
6
5
7
General industrials
3.39
Food producers
1.93
Chemicals
2.80 Industrial engineering
4.25
Pharmaceuticals
4.20
and biotechnology
Tobacco
4.03
Travel and leisure
2.14
Media
2.90
Banks
5.22
Electricity
6.25
Life assurance
4.60
Beverages
2.52
Average dividend yield ratios for
businesses in a range of industries
Average for all SE
3.95
listed businesses
times
0
15.0
20.0
10.0
25.0
5.0
35.0
30.0
50.0
General industrials
17.72
Food producers
37.18
Chemicals
15.79
14.94 Industrial engineering
Pharmaceuticals and
biotechnology
53.28
Tobacco
19.31
Travel and leisure
25.80
Media
22.09
Banks
14.04
Electricity
11.93
Life assurance
13.69
Beverages
Average price/earnings ratios for
23.07
businesses in a range of industries
Average for all SE
21.21
listed businesses
Graph plotting current ratio against time
0.9
Current ratio
J. Sainsbury plc
0.8
Tesco plc
0.7
0.6
0.5 William Morrison
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Presentation of ratios
• Ratios
• E.g., Current ratio is 1.8:1
• Percentages
• E.g., Return on capital employed (ROCE) is 12%
• Number of times
• E.g., Asset turnover is 3 times
• Number of days
• E.g., Inventory turnover “ratio” is 36 days
• Sum of money
• E.g., Earnings per share is 20 pence
Standards for Comparison
When we interpret our analysis, it is essential to
compare the results we obtained to other
standards or benchmarks.
Intracompany
Competitors
Industry
Guidelines
Comparisons
• Bases of comparison
• Other companies
• Other years
• Budgeted or planned results
• Other divisions
• Stock market
• Policies
Limitations of Ratio analysis
• What basis of comparison should be used?
• The effect of exceptional items
• Statement of financial position are historical and at a point in time
• Inflation not shown in financial statements
• Information in financial statements is aggregated
• Ratio analysis limited by the information companies disclose
Limitations of ratio analysis
• Comparisons with other companies are limited because
• Companies have different operating policies
• Companies have different accounting dates
• Companies have different strategies to achieve growth
• Companies have different financial policies
Predicting financial distress
• Warning signs include
• Excessive debt
• Falling profits
• Declining cash flows
• Falling share prices
• Other factors
• E.g., key executive leaving
Z-scores
• Altman (2006) lists key data that gives warning signs
• working capital; total gross assets; retained profits; earnings before
interest and tax; market value of equity; book value of debt; sales.
• Calculate Z-score
1. Working capital/gross assets x 1.2
2. Retained profit/gross assets x1.4
3. EBIT/gross assets x 3.3
4. Market value of equity/book value of debt(total liabilities) x 0.6
5. Sales/gross assets x 1.0
• The results above are added together to arrive at the Altman Z-score
Prediction failure from Z-scores
• Statistical score
• Z-score of less than 1.81 tend to fail
• Z-score of more than 2.99 do not fail
• Altman suggests :
• the amount of working capital (in relation to total assets);
• the amount of retained profits (in relation to total assets);
• some measure of return on capital employed (ROCE);
• some measure of gearing, and the market value of equity;
• some measure of utilization of assets (or turnover of assets)
• For more information about Altman Z score, please visit
[Link]
insolvency-predictor
Limitations of ratio analysis
Quality of financial statements
Inflation
The restricted view given by
ratios
The basis for comparison
Statement of financial position
ratios
Thank
You!