Stellar - Amirt Kaal Opportunities Fund - Cat Iii
Stellar - Amirt Kaal Opportunities Fund - Cat Iii
CORPORATE
DEBT AS %
OF GDP
GST
COLLECTIONS 2015 : 62%
2023 : 50%
HIGHWAYS
RBI CPI 2018 : $87.68 B
INFLATION 2014 : 25,700 KM 2023 : $219.51 B
2023 : 53,700 KM
CORPORATE 2013 : 10%
TAX RATE 2023 : 4.7%
2013 : 33.90%
2023 : 22%
Economy Size (GDP) 10 6 France, Brazil, Italy, Russian US, China, Japan, Germany, UK
4
India a beneficiary of global
power shifts, says MSCI Research MSCI EM WEIGHT
China India
Global power shifts, with India being an undisputed
beneficiary of the changing power dynamics, is expected
to be one among the five major investment themes that
39.1
are expected to play out in 2024, according to 40
researchers at MSCI.
34.3
As of February 2024, India's weightage in the MSCI 35 32.4
30.4
Emerging Markets (EM) index is 18.2%, a record high. 31.2
29.7
This is almost double India's representation in the index 30 26.6 26.5
from 2015 until October 2020, when it stood at around
8%. India's weightage has also surpassed Taiwan's.
24.9
25
21.8
19.8
20 18.3 18.0
15.1
15 12.5
8.8 9.4
10 8.6 9.2
7.1 8.7 8.3
6.6 6.3
05
Dec 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Jan 2024
5
India could surpass Germany and Japan
become the world's third-largest economy by 2030
COUNTRY 1990 COUNTRY 2000 COUNTRY 2010 COUNTRY 2022 COUNTRY 2028
USA 6.0 USA 10.3 USA 14.9 USA 25.5 USA 32.4
JAPAN 3.2 JAPAN 5.0 CHINA 6.1 CHINA 18.1 CHINA 27.5
GERMANY 1.6 GERMANY 1.9 JAPAN 5.7 JAPAN 4.2 INDIA 5.6
CANADA 0.6 ITALY 1.1 BRAZIL 2.2 FRANCE 2.8 FRANCE 3.4
IRAN 0.6 CANADA 0.7 ITALY 2.1 RUSSIA 2.2 BRAZIL 2.8
SPAIN 0.5 MEXICO 0.7 INDIA 1.7 CANADA 2.1 CANADA 2.6
BRAZIL 0.4 BRAZIL 0.7 RUSSIA 1.6 ITALY 2.0 ITALY 2.5
6
Reforms Have Transformed India’s Outlook
8
Central And State Government
Capex Touches New High
STATE CAPEX
CENTRE CAPEX
8.8
15
Combined capex of State and Central 7.4
Govt. Breaches INR 15 trn in TTM Sep’23
12 5.9
CAPEX (INR trn)
09 4.3
3.4
3.1
2.9 2.6 6.8
2.5 5.9
06
2.0 5.3
1.7 1.9 4.1
1.6
1.6 3.8 4.2 3.9
03 1.1 3.9
2.7 3.3
1.8 2.0 2.2
1.4 1.5
0
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
*TTM
Note : TTM represents capex data till Sep’23
Source : CEIC, I-Sec Research
9
Corporate Profitability is on Higher Growth Trajectory
8.0 7.8
7.3
7.0 6.5 6.3
6.3
6.0 5.4 5.5
5.0 4.7 4.8
4.3 4.4 4.4
4.0 3.5 3.8
3.5
3.0 3.3
2.9 2.8
3.0 2.7
2.2 2.4 1.9 2.3
2.0
1.0
0
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22E
FY23E
FY24E
FY25E
Source : CEIC, Capitaline, motilal oswal research
10
Net Tax Collection Strong ; Supporting Fiscal Consolidation
FY24RE : 11% growth, FY25BE 11.9% YoY, FY24 actual tracking at 11.2% FY24RE vs FY23
FY25BE vs FY24RE
22.7%
13.0% 13.1%
11.7% 12.4% 11.9%
11.5% 10.8%
5.8%
2.5%
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
Median CRISIL Fitch Rating IMF Moody’s OECD RBI World Bank
2.8 3.6
1.4
2X 2.7 1.3X
1980 1988 1987 1994
3.6 5.5
0.4
9X 2.2
3.4 ~2.5X
2005 2009 2018 2021 2026-27E
13
Fiscal Consolidation Continues
As anticipated, the govt. continued its fiscal consolidation pathway : 5.8%/5.1% of
GDP in FY24RE/FY25BE
12
9.2%
8
6.7%
6.4%
5.8%
5.1%
4.6% 4.50%
4.1% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4%
4
0 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24RE FY25BE Target
FY26
USD Bn USD
12,000 10,000
2035 : 10,643
9,000
10,000
2014 : 10,524 2035 : 7512
8,000
6,000 5,000
4,000
4,000 3,000 2023 : 2612
2023 : 3391
2,000 2007 : 2691
2007 : 3556
2,000
1,000
0 0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Source : IMF, YES SEC
15
China + 1 is a multi - year theme
16
Cables & Wires - share
of export from India by
countries (CY21) 5% 3% 3%
6%
9% 9% AUSTRALIA FRANCE BANGLADESH
NIGERIA
UAE UK
18%
USA
47%
OTHERS
% of Respondents
US
90%
60%
Canada
Western Europe
45%
Japan
Rest of America
Mexico
Middle East
Hong Kong
Singapore
Philippines
Thailand
30%
Africa
Rest Of Asia
Vietnam
Russia
Indonesia
Taiwan
Korea
Malaysia
Brazil
India
Oceania
15%
NET EXPORTER OF MOBILE PHONE (IN $BN) NET EXPORTER OF TOYS (IN $MN)
0.9
0
-4.9
-2.1
-3.3
-4 -3.6 -158.0
-5.8 -228.2
-292.9
-7.7
2017 – 18
2018 – 19
2019 – 20
2020 - 21
2021 - 22
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
19
PLI Scheme boost for
Domestic Manufacturing
Estimated Expenditure - The Government has rolled out Production linked
Sectors (in crore) incentive (PLI) schemes with targeted expenditure
of ~₹ 2.65 lakh crore (excl. semi conductors).
Mobile Phones Manufacturing 40,995
- PLI is aimed at increasing the manufacturing
IT Hardware 17,000
output by US$ 520 bn over the next 5 years and to
API and Others 6,940 drive exports as well as imports substitution.
Manufacturing of Medical Device 3,820
Advance Cell Chemistry Battery 18,100
Automobiles & Auto Component 74,850
Pharmaceuticals Drugs 15,000
Telecom & Networking Products 12,195
Textile Products 14,990
Food Products 10,900
Mobile manufacturing PLI has led to total mobile
Millet Based Products 800
manufacturing of over rupees 2 lakh crore (likely to reach
High Efficiency Solar PV Module 19,500 rupees 5.5 lakh crore by FY26) and it includes exports of
rupees 80000 crore already over the last 2 years
White Goods 6,238
Speciality Steel 6,322
Green Hydrogen 17,490
TOTAL 2,65,140
Source : Government estimates, Industry reports, ICICI Direct Research
20
Housing cycle : At Inflection Point
1,000
800
400
200
0
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY28E
CY17
CY16
CY21
CY18
CY14
CY10
CY19
CY15
CY20
CY23E
CY22
Source : PropEquity, Jefferies
21
The Big Shift in Financialisation
(Rs. Bn)
180.0 3.0%
160.0
FY23
140.0
120.0
100.0 FY22 3.2%
80.0
60.0 FY21
40.0 3.2%
20.0
0 FY20
Apr 23
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Dec 19
Aug 23
Dec 17
Apr 18
Dec 18
Apr 19
Apr 20
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Dec 20
Apr 21
Dec 21
Apr 22
Dec 22 2.8%
FY19
2.7%
Retail loans on the rise Household debt still relatively low in India
% %
35 120
101.7
30 100
80.7
25 80 73.7
62 64.7 67.5
20 53.5
60
15 34.3 40.3
40
10 16.1
5 20
0 0
Germany
Korea
China
France
India
Indonesia
Japan
Brazil
United States
United Kingdom
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24YTD
Source : AMFI, Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities Research Source : IRDAI, Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities Research
23
India’s moment after a Decade of Structural Reforms
Taxation Reforms
Cut in corporate tax rates to 22%* introduction
of GST & faceless tax assessment
SOURCE : NSSO, INCOME TAX DATA, CENSUS, SPARK CAPITAL RESEARCH, MORGAN STANLEY.*15% FOR MANUFACTURING COMPANIES, ARC
ASSET RECONSTRUCTION COMPANY,FOR MORE DETAILS ON TAXATION CONSULT YOUR TAX ADVISOR
24
SMALL CAPS
BIG GAINS
25
Small Is Beautiful
EPS Growth For Different Periods ; Small Is Beautiful
M C A P C L A S S I F I C AT I O N
AVERAGE EPS GROWTH (%) FY03-08 FY08-19 FY19-23 FY23-25E FY24-25E
S&P BSE Sensex TRI 20.3 16.2 16.3 14.5 15.9 15.1
Nifty 50 TRI 21.3 17.2 16.2 14.6 15.5 14.5
Nifty 100 TRI 21.2 17.2 15.9 14.8 16.1 14.8
MID CAP
S&P BSE Mid Cap TRI 47.2 28.7 20.5 20.1 19.2 -
Nifty Midcap 150 TRI 44.6 30.7 23.1 22.0 21.6 -
S&P BSE Small Cap TRI 48.8 34.4 25.1 21.7 19.2 -
Nifty Small Cap 250 TRI 49.1 33.4 22.9 20.3 19.2 -
FLEXI CAP
Nifty 500 TRI 26.9 20.3 17.5 16.1 16.6 15.0
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Updated as on 31 dec 2023
27
Growing size, scale & depth. Small caps are now part of the core asset allocation
cr Median Marketcap for Nifty Smallcap 250
14,000 11,525
Smallest Company Marketcap in Nifty Smallcap 250
12,000
10,000 7,081 7,579 cr
8,000 3290
3500
6,000 4,246 4,380
3,529 3,520
4,000 3000
2,000
2422
0 2500
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2000
1620
cr Median PAT for Nifty Smallcap 250 1500 1208
350 290
258
300 1000
201 632
250
441
200 165 165 500 355
141
150
109 0
100 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
50
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Source: Bloomberg, yes Sec
28
FPI holding in Indian stocks hit a decadal low despite
strong domestic fundamentals
40.00
33.61
35.00
30.00 26.86
23.58 23.93 23.92
25.00 21.91
21.44 19.89 19.42 20.60
20.00 19.03 18.47
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Source : CEIC, NSDL, Nirmal Bang Institutional equities research
29
Small Caps, Big Gains
Scope for returns owing to potential Under Researched : Limited Analyst Coverage
increase in size and analyst coverage
SOURCE : BLOOMBERG, COMPANY REPORTS AVERAGE ANALYST COVERAGE IS THE SIMPLE AVERAGE OF NUMBER OF ANALYSTS COVERING VARIOUS INDEX
CONSTITUENTS AS ON SEPTEMBER 23. SMALL CAP STOCKS CARRY A HIGHER RISK FLUCTUATIONS AND ARE ALSO PRONE TO LIQUIDITY RISKS.
30
The Basket of opportunity in small size business has expanded
TATA POWER
TRENT
ALKYI AMINES • Invest in new sectors and emerging themes
INFO EDGE (INDIA) NAVIN FLUORINE • Bank on entrepreneurship which is thriving in India
BAJAJ FINANCE KEI INDUSTRIES • Companies with unique positioning in their respective sector
BHARAT ELECTRONICS TITAN COMPANY MCX • Small companies but in niche sectors
APL APOLLO TUBES
ASTRA MICROWAVE
SRF
RATNAMANI METALS
PI INDUSTRIES
OLECTRA GREENTECH
GODREJ PROPERTIES
PRAJ INDUSTRIES
THE PHOENIX MILLS
Source : Bloomberg, Company Reports Average analyst coverage is the simple average of number of analysts covering
various index constituents as on September 23. Small cap stocks carry a higher risk fluctuations and are also prone to liquidity risks.
31
INVESTMENT
PROCESS
32
Investment Process
33
Small Cap Universe
Market
Capitalization
Source : Classification as per SEBI circular (SEBI/ HOI/IMDI/DF3/CIR/P/2017/114) dated Oct 6, 2017 , wherein the universe of “Small Cap” shall consist of companies below 250th company in
terms of full market capitalization. *AMFI - As on 2nd Feb 2024 ^ Stock cut off - Market Cap above 150cr. 2157 small cap companies mentioned above are those small cap companies with market cap>150 cr
34
FUNDS &
PROCESS
35
Strategy Synopsis
Key Themes
Target high quality small cap business which are undervalued and have a sustainable
business. The fund shall seek to invest with a time horizon of 3-5 years. Fund
may also consider investing in companies which may be undergoing special situations
or are in the midst of unfavorable business cycle and mispriced by the market.
Disruptive trends/ new theme will create opportunities for the investors.
Stock Holdings
Well diversified concentrated portfolio Flexibility
driven by bottom up stock selection. Unconstrained w.r.t sector.
Bottom - up research on the promoter, business & history plays an important role.
1. Company Risk Focused balance sheet & numbers will help us in mitigating company risk.
2.
Getting it early & discount to fair value is an important objective. Detached to flavor
Valuation Risk
of the season & narrative will also help in optimising the valuation.
3. Market Risk Focusing on the fair value of the stock than euphoria and bear phase of the market.
4. Portfolio will take advantage of the optimal growth stage over the 3-5 year horizon.
Liquidity Risk
Appropriate mix of stocks will neutralise the portfolio liquidity risk.
5. Concentration Risk Diversified portfolio & 10% stock level cap will help in mitigating the risk.
37
Fund Terms
The scheme would make long-term growth-related investments through equity and/or equity-linked
Investment Objective
instruments, Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) or debt securities in listed and unlisted companies and
other permissible securities/ instruments in accordance with the AIF regulations to generate long
term capital appreciation.
Exit Load 2% Prior to the completion of 36 (Thirty Six) months from the subscription date of the relevant
series of units
NAV Frequency Once a month
38
Key Management (1/2)
Gaurang Vasani is a well-respected professional with over 18 years of experience in investor relations
(IR) and corporate finance.
Gaurang started his career with Suzlon Energy, heading the company’s growth capital funding and
investor relations (IR) department for almost 8 years. He then moved to GMR Infrastructure, where
he headed the global IR department. In 2010, he started his entrepreneurial journey with the
co-founding of Strategic Growth Advisors. In 2014, he founded Stellar IR. Under his able leadership,
the company has cemented its position as a premier IR advisor to many listed corporates, in a short
period since its inception. Leveraging his corporate experience, he has helped develop a strong
corporate focused culture at Stellar. As an investor, Gaurang has been able to find opportunities in
small cap companies. His exceptional ability to spot the right promoter and invest in their business
using the buy-and-hold strategy, has helped build a successful portfolio. Armed with decades of
experience across multiple business cycles, he has been able to steer the leadership team in the right
direction by providing strategic advice.
GAURANG VASANI Undoubtedly, his experience, insights and network will be instrumental in launching Amrit Kaal
Opportunities Fund CAT III.
FOUNDER Gaurang is a mechanical engineer with an MBA in finance.
39
Key Management (2/2)
Sadanand Shetty has over two decades of experience in equity research, fund management and family
office advisory. He has been part of the leadership team at Kotak-PMS(now part of Kotak AMC), Taurus
AMC, Truequity, Subhkam Group and News Corp (now Disney+ Hotstar),managing proprietary, HNI and
mutual fund assets.
His schemes have won several awards from Value Research, ICRA, Money Today, The Economic Times,
Business Today and Business Standard. In 2010, he was recognised as one of India’s best fund managers
and Taurus Mutual Fund ranked among the top 4 fund houses in India by BT-Value Research.
His analytical and research skills were crafted at the institutional research team of Soc-Gen Securities. He
serviced top international investors from the sell side during the early stages of his career. Later, he moved
on to more hands-on buy-side roles with direct responsibility for money management. His experience is
underpinned by having worked across economic cycles and the coming-of-age of companies in India.
Sadanand notched up several firsts during his investing career, some of which include:
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER • Launching one of the first closed-ended PMS offerings.
• Being the first to launch a product in the Middle East catering to NRIs.
• He is one of the first few fund managers in India to manage eight diverse equity schemes.
40
Disclaimer
This document is not intended to be complete and the terms described herein are qualified in their entirety by reference to the Fund Documents i.e. the Trust Deed, the Investment
Management Agreement, Private Placement Memorandum and the Contribution Agreement. You may address any queries to the Investment Manager of the Fund.
This presentation is being furnished to you by STELLAR ASSET MANAGERS LLP (SAM) strictly on a confidential basis and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This
document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer for participating in the proposed AMRIT KAAL OPPORTUNITIES FUND, which is in the process of being set up.
SAM will be an investment manager for Fund. This information profile has been provided to its recipient upon the express understanding that the information contained herein, or made
available in connection with any further investigation, is strictly confidential and is intended for the exclusive use of its recipient. The information contained in this presentation is subject to
the information contained in the other Fund documents including its private placement memorandum. This document is neither a prospectus nor an invitation to subscribe to the units of
Fund. Nothing in this document is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, or opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, or a solicitation for any
product or service. The information herein is subject to change without notice. The facts and figures used in this presentation reflect the latest available information and have been sourced
from public sources. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks and there is no assurance or guarantee that the objectives of the Fund will be achieved. Prospective
investors in Fund are not being offered any guaranteed/assured returns. The name of the Fund does not in any manner indicate its prospects of return. The investment strategy may not be
suited to all the categories of investors. The material is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should be reliable as
such. All forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Such forward-looking statements included are based on information available on the
date hereof and none of SAM, or any of its affiliates assumes any duty to update any forward-looking statement. Certain important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from those in any forward-looking statement include the general economic, market, legal and financial conditions, among others. Neither SAM nor its affiliates nor any of its officers or
employees accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this publication or its contents. The recipient of the material should rely on their own
investigations and take their own professional advice. Opinions expressed are our opinions as of the date of appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Recipient should understand that the above-mentioned
statements/presentations cannot disclose all the risks and characteristics. The recipient is requested to take into consideration all the risk factors including their financial condition, suitability
to risky return profile and the like and take professional advice before investing. As with any investment in securities, the value of portfolio under management may go up or down
depending upon the various factors and forces affecting the capital market. Any discussion as regards taxation in this document is included for general information purposes only and does
not address every potential tax consequence that might be relevant to a particular investor. The tax consequences depend upon each investor’s particular tax status and other tax related
facts of each individual case. Accordingly, each prospective investor should consult its own professional advisers as to the tax consequences of an investment in the fund.
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished solely for information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession
this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
41
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42