BUS & COACH INDUSTRY INDIA
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IT/ITES
The Indian Economic Scenario & The Key Growth Drivers
Indias Macro Economic Growth
GDP Growth (%)
Robust Economic Growth Projections ~ 7 % to 9 % -Short to Medium Term
Source : CSO, JCIF
Favourable Economic Parameters
PERFORMANCE PARAMETERS
Forex Reserve
GOOD
Overall GDP External Debt Financial Reforms FUTURE OUTLOOK FDI Inflows New Investment Savings inflation Industrial Growth Economic reforms Internal Debt Fiscal Deficit Agricultural Growth Current Account Service sector Growth
BAD
Source : Citigroup estimates
CURRENT PERFORMANCE
GOOD
Snapshot Growth Projections Sector Wise
17.0% 15.3% 15.9% 15.5% 15.0% 15%
13.3% 13.9% 14.0% 14.5% 10.5% 10%
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06(E) FY07(F)
FY11(F)
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06(E) FY07(F)
FY11(F)
AUTOMOBILE
ROBUST GROWTH
CAPITAL GOODS
12.0% 12.0% 7.0% 5.2% 9%
11.6%
14.4% 12.5% 13.5% 10%
7.4%
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06(E) FY07(F)
FY11(F)
FY03
FY04
FY05 FY06(E) FY07(F)
FY11(F)
-6.2%
CONSUMER DURABLES
CONSTRUCTION
Source: Ashok Leyland Limited
The Global Economic Forecast: Asia poised to be the emerging power house of growth
In 2020, the US and China will still be the two largest economies in the world (in PPP) India leaves Japan behind and moves up to 3rd place India, Malaysia and China will post the highest GDP growth rates (above 5%) over 2006-20 Ireland, the US and Spain are the rich countries expected to grow the most
Commercial Vehicle Industry Changing Scenario
Indian Automotive Sector Profile
Indian Automotive Industry
Source : SIAM. ACMA, AL
Source : Mckinsey , AL
The industry has grown at a CAGR of 14% p.a over the last 5 years , size is over US $ 34 Bn in 2006-07 With the potential to emerge as one of the largest in the world. Presently, India is 2nd largest two wheeler market in the world 4th largest commercial vehicle market in the world 11th largest passenger car in the world and is expected to be the 7th largest market by 2016 The components industry has grown at 17% CAGR over the last few years, size is over US$ 10 billion in 2005-06
Indian CV Industry Broad Scope
Long Distance Haulage > 500 Kms
Special Application Vehicles
10 -250 Kms
Short Distance Haulage
101-250 Kms
Inter City Public Transport
51-500 Kms
Intra City Public Transport
< 500 Kms
Distribution Network
51-100 Kms
Last Mile Haulage
< 50 Kms
Impact of Globalization in Indian Auto Sector
1950-80 1980-2007 1950-2007 2007 -
Indian CV Industry Challenges
WTO Regime & Increasing Competition Stiff Emission & Other Regulatory Changes
Cyclicality of Businesses
Operating Cost Pressures
KEY CHALLENGES
Increasing Customisation & Application Proliferation Increased Customer Awareness
Accelerated Infrastructure Development
Competition from Alternative Modes
Accelerated Technology Upgradation Requirements & Other Change Needs Requirements
BUS & COACH INDUSTRY INDIA CHANGING SCENARIOS
Evolution of Bus Market with Changing Economies
Source : A T Kearney, AL
Indian Bus Market Projections
What's Driving the change in Indian Bus Market
What's Driving the change in Indian Bus Market
Increased Disposable Income Fast Changing Spending Habits
What's Driving the change in Indian Bus Market
.Emission Norms Worldwide
Source : AL
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What's Driving the change in Indian Bus Market
What's Driving the Growth in Indian Bus Market
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What's Driving the Growth in Indian Bus Market
Process Improvement - Skill Based to Tool Based
Technological Developments & Need for Sophistication
Technological Developments in the Way we Travel
Bus Market Product Evolution
Source : A T Kearney, AL
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Industrys response to Globalization
Introduction and Implementation of Bus Code for all OEMs by 2008
Accreditation of all Unorganized Bus Body builders distributed across India
Bus Body Code Practices - India
BUS Code Talks about Classification of Buses based on Type of Operations
Type I : Urban & Sub urban Transport Type II : Inter Urban Transport Type III : Long Distance Passenger Transport Type IV : Special Purpose vehilces Comfort NDX : Non Deluxe Bare Minimum Comfort Level SDX : Semi Deluxe Slightly Higher Comfort Level DLX: Deluxe High Comfort Level and Individual Seats AC Deluxe : Ultra Deluxe Bus with Air Conditioning
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Accreditation of Bus Body Builders
All Bus Body Builders apart from OEMs to be accredited as per the Mandatory Regulations to be Introduced Unorganized way of Body Building to be converted into Organized sector which will improve the Overall Quality of the Product and People.
Accreditation for bus body builders to be made must
By Our Special Correspondent CHENNAI, OCT. 11. The Centre will soon issue a notification making it mandatory for all bus body builders to obtain "accreditation" and also come out with supplementary directive to facilitate the State transport authorities to implement the official order. Giving this information while addressing the 209th meeting of the Standing Committee (Suppliers and Contract) of the Association of State Road Transport Undertakings (ASRTU), the Director of Central Institute of Road Transport (CIRT), Pune, A.S. Lakra, explained this new order was being introduced as part of the reforms process in the transportation sector. "The process of accreditation of the bus body builders has been approved by the Government of India and every bus body builder has to be accredited from now on," Mr. Lakra said.
Bus Industry Classification
Key Drivers , Changing Specifications & AL response
Ashok Leyland Response Segment Wise
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Broadly Indian Bus Market can be Classified as following:
Buses
MDV
ICV / LCV
Intra- City
Inter- City
Stage Carrier
Institutions
Stage Carriers
Institutions
Stage Carriers
Stage Carriers
Key Drivers Stage Carrier
Changing Specifications
Daily Movement of Passengers from Small Towns En- Route to Bigger Cities Semi Deluxe Deluxe AC Deluxe Economy Class Catering to masses
< 180 HP , Front Engine
3x2 Seating Layout
Flexibility of Stoppages according to passengers needs
Standard Aggregates with higher reliability
Over Loading Capacity
Non Air Conditioned Ordinary Bus Coach
Rugged Vehicle for Harsher Conditions
Multi- Leaf Spring Suspension
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Institutions
Institutions
Key Drivers Institutions
Changing Specifications
Rapid Growth of Corporate / Industries in Special Economic Zones & Cities like School Staff BPOSs, ITES etc 2x2 Seating Layout with High Academic Institutions head Rest Seats < 180 HP , Front Engine
Growing demand for Customized Service
Air Suspension
AC / Non AC Saloons with WIFI Urban Congestion enabled
Inter-city Travel
Key Drivers Inter-city Inter- City Improving Road Infrastructure / Turn Around Time
Changing Specifications
> 260 HP; Rear Engine Euro II
Safer Travel Semi Deluxe Deluxe AC Deluxe Need for Extra Comfort Better Quality Buses
Air Suspension, Retarders
Air Conditioned Saloon with individual controls
Economical over Short Distances
High End Re-clinable Seats 2X2 , 2X1 Seating Layouts ; > 1000 mm Seat Pitch Monocoque / Space Frame Shell Type Coach Construction Built in Reliable Entertainment Systems / GPRS/ Wi Fi enabled Saloon
No gestation period
Low cost of setting up Infrastructure
Growth in Urban Population & Increasing working age population
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ASHOK LEYLAND LUXURA INTERCITY COACH
Intra- City Travel
Intra- City
Key Drivers Intra-city
Entry plus 2 Steps Entry plus 1 Step Low Floor Step Less
Changing Specifications
Urban Congestion Improving Road Infrastructure Safer Travel Rising Income Levels , growing Future lies in implementation of BRTS
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Why BRTS
Why BRTS
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Why BRTS
Advantages of BRTS
One Tenth the cost of a Rail System Unlike a Rail System , BRTS is dynamic and can change as city changes Reduction in NETT pollution with stricter Emission norms being introduced Reduced Congestion due to excessive bus lanes would improve the quality of service
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Ashok Leyland BRTS Response
In INDIA ASHOK LEYLAND is partnering with various Government bodies and STUs to introduce BRTS enabled buses in India
Operational
Introductory Stage
Ashok Leyland BRTS Response
Model Overall Length (mm) Floor Height (mm) Step ULE Bus 12000 390 Entry + 0 Panther LF 12000 635 Entry + 1 / Entry + 2 BS II, BS III & CNG BS III Rear 2 Front & Middle 40-44 25 Available on CNG Viking SLF 11000 860 Entry + 2 Cheetah, Viking & 12 Meter 10000 - 12000 1050 Entry + 3 BS II, BS III & CNG BS III (Viking) Front 2 Front & Rear 35-67 25 Available on Viking & 12 Meter Diesel Vestibule 16000 1050 Entry + 3 Entry + 3 / Entry + 0 BS II, BS III & CNG BS III Front 3 Front, Middle & Rear 62 60 NA
Fuel Engine No of Doors Door location Seating Capacity Standees Direct Drive AC
BS III & CNG BS III Rear 2 Front & Middle 35-40 25 Available
BS III Front 2 Front, Middle & Rear 45-50 25 Available
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Way Forward
AL has developed expertise through its Advanced engineering arm & can support /assist in : a. Telematics /Vehicle tracking b. Fleet management system c. IT enabled fare collection AL has a Project Services Division with capability on Project & fleet management/ transport system; the companys knowledge base/experience on vehicle design and manufacturing would effectively supplement.
Comprehensive range of products/service with complete expertise under one roof
Presented By: Rajinder Malhan Exec. Director Intl. Operations Ashok Leyland Limited rajinder@[Link]
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