Gaps in Project Success Research Analysis
Gaps in Project Success Research Analysis
[Link]/[Link]
Project success
Identifying the gaps in project research
success research
A mixed bibliographic and
bibliometric analysis 1553
Qinghua He Received 27 April 2018
School of Economics and Management, Revised 29 July 2018
15 September 2018
Tongji University, Shanghai, China and Accepted 27 December 2018
Research Institute of Complex Engineering and Management, Shanghai, China
Ting Wang
School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai, China and
Department of Building and Real Estate,
Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Kowloon, Hong Kong
Albert P.C. Chan
Department of Building and Real Estate,
Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Kowloon, Hong Kong, and
Hanzhang Li and Yangxue Chen
School of Economics and Management,
Tongji University, Shanghai, China and
Research Institute of Complex Engineering and Management, Shanghai, China
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to review the existing literature on project success in academic
journals, specifically within the context of construction engineering and management (CEM). It also aims to
provide a holistic picture of existing research and to identify research implications in this specific area.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper is an extensive literature review of a total of 164 peer-reviewed
journal papers between 2007 and 2017, using a mixed bibliographic and bibliometric method that considers
annual circulation, institutional and regional contributions, author contributions, citations, categories of
research methods and keywords networking.
Findings – There has been an increasing research interest in CEM project success. The largest number of
published studies targets the developed regions, especially in Hong Kong, whereas the papers related to the
developing economies remain weak. Questionnaire, interview and case study have comprised the main data
collection methods, and descriptive data analysis was performed in most of the case/field studies. The
subtopic related to the critical success factors (CSFs) is considered as the most popular in the keywords
network in the targeted research area. Four implications, namely, megaproject success, project success in
developing countries, relationships between CSFs and success outcomes, and the influence of human
factors are highlighted in future research.
Originality/value – This paper departs from earlier research by using a mixed bibliographic and
bibliometric method, especially facilitating to analyze and illustrate the interlinkages between keywords
effectively. Additionally, it provides a clear picture of the existing literature on CEM project success, which
contributes to insights for successful construction project management. Finally, the holistic analysis identifies
gaps in the body of knowledge, revealing avenues for future research.
Keywords Construction, Construction projects, Bibliometric analysis, Management, Project management,
Project success, UCINET
Paper type Literature review
Engineering, Construction and
Architectural Management
Vol. 26 No. 8, 2019
This research is part of a Joint PhD Program leading to dual awards (PhD of The Hong Kong pp. 1553-1573
Polytechnic University and Tongji University). The authors wish to express gratitude to the National © Emerald Publishing Limited
0969-9988
Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 71390523) for the financial support of this research. DOI 10.1108/ECAM-04-2018-0181
ECAM 1. Introduction
26,8 In recent years, project management has been a hotspot in both academia and industry. This
increasing interest has become more apparent in relation to construction activities, which
has led to the establishment of project management theories and professional organizations
such as the Project Management Institute (PMI).
Despite relatively mature project management theory and the completion of myriad
1554 construction projects, project outcomes continue to yield disappointing results. That is, many
construction projects are not completed successfully, so it is vital to understand the reasons for
the success or failure of construction projects (Ika, 2009). In addition, construction projects have
become more complex, unpredictable and risky, such as complex projects and megaprojects,
which leads to increasing difficulties in project management and delivery, and eventually bad
performance or even failure. Megaprojects are characterized by a “performance paradox,” in
that most megaprojects face cost overruns, quality defects and schedule delays (Flyvbjerg,
2007; Kardes et al., 2013). It is apparent that megaproject management presents a major
challenge worldwide (Hu, Chan, Le and Jin, 2015), and the nature and characteristics of
megaprojects distinguish them from normal construction projects and require a new approach
to ensure success (Flyvbjerg, 2014).
Project success research has attracted the attention of many scholars and large number
of papers related to project success in construction engineering and management (CEM) has
been published. The research topics under this specific area are diversified, such as the
following: evaluation of project success (Akal et al., 2016), identification of critical success
factors (CSFs) (Al-Saadi and Abdou, 2016), theories and principles of project success
(Chou et al., 2013), and the relationship between success factors and project
success (Gilbert and Ron, 2016). And meanwhile, a few review articles on project success
have been conducted during the past decades. Ika (2009) analyzed the characteristics of
articles on project success published in Project Management Journal (PMJ) and International
Journal of Project Management (IJPM) from 1984 to 2004, and the author suggested a shift to
the project, portfolio and program success. Machado and Martens (2015) reviewed
project-success-related publications between 2000 and 2014 from the perspectives of most
cited keywords, citations, co-citations, journals’ impact factors and abstract analysis. Davis
(2014) conducted a literature review on project success mainly to summarize the evolution of
project success and identify perceptions of senior management, project core team and
project recipient stakeholder groups. Jugdev and Müller (2005) developed a review mainly to
assess evolving understanding of project success over the past 40 years and discuss
conditions for CSFs and success frameworks.
Although review articles mentioned above can help researchers capture a picture of the
field of project success and contribute to a better understanding of this specific topic, two
main limitations cannot be ignored. On the one hand, previous studies only reviewed
articles from selected journals or only focused on a specific topic within project success.
That is, a plenty of articles of high quality published in peer-reviewed journals have not
been analyzed. As suggested by Tsai and Lydia Wen (2005), a comprehensive review
would assist the researcher to understand the current status and future trends of the
chosen topics, which could help future researchers not to repeat what has already been
done, and instead to build on the work of others. On the other hand, the above review
articles almost used bibliographic analysis, which cannot reveal the interrelationships
between keywords effectively. However, keywords are important indicators of studies
that convey their main topics. As Kamalski and Kirby (2012) advocated, bibliometrics can
be a useful tool to explore and visualize how keywords are connected in one specific
research area.
Therefore, in this paper, the project success literature published between 2007 and 2017 in
the construction projects field to identify its current status quo and latest research directions
with the assistance of a mixed bibliographic and bibliometric method is comprehensively Project success
reviewed. To meet this study objective, the following questions are addressed: research
• What was the coverage of project success in the field of construction projects by
journal papers published from 2007 to 2017?
• Who were the main contributors to these studies from 2007 to 2017 and where are
they from (countries or regions)?
1555
• What were the main research methodologies, keyword characteristics and trends in
this area during this study period?
2. Basic concepts
2.1 Project success
Although research regarding project success began in the 1980s, as yet, no clear or uniform
understanding of project success has been established (Ika, 2009). Researchers have proposed
various perspectives for defining project success, which makes it difficult to assess and/or
define the degrees of project success. For example, Tuman (1986) stated that the full use of
resources and achievement of the desired goal define a successful project. Wit (1988) believed
that if a project meets the required technical performance, then the main members of the project
team and the main users consider the project results to have been satisfactory. By contrast,
others assessed project success based on the “Golden Triangle” of cost, quality and schedule
(Ika, 2009). Ashley et al. (1987) considered that if the results of a project in terms of its cost,
schedule, quality, safety and satisfaction of the project participants are better than required,
then the project can be deemed a success. Pinto and Slevin (1987) deemed that successful
projects must meet at least four requirements, namely, completion on time, within budget,
completion of all planned goals and the acceptance of the results by customers. In addition to
the three aspects of cost, quality and schedule, project success also relies on human factors like
project management. Some researchers have argued that the evaluation of project management
success ought to be based on the “Golden Triangle,” which requires multidimensional thinking
(Machado and Martens, 2015; Shenhar et al., 2001). The PMI defined project management
success as good control of the time, cost, quality, resources and risk accepted by the project
management team, and focuses more on customers’ expectations than other internal or external
expectations (Khan et al., 2011). On this basis, project management success is determined by
evaluations conducted at the end of the project implementation phase, with respect to the
project implementation stage, which is only one phase of the whole project life cycle.
3. Research methodology
This work mainly adopted a structured method advocated by Machado and Martens (2015)
to identify and assess the major outputs of project success research in CEM published in
peer-reviewed journals from 2007 to 2017. To acquire a more elaborated understanding of
this study, the research framework is illustrated in Figure 1. The entire research process and
methodology involved in this study will be discussed in Sections 3.1–3.3 in detailed;
meanwhile, four contents consist of number of published papers, quantification of
contributions, categories of research methods and keywords network will be analyzed and
discussed in Section 4 and future interests will be put forward finally in Section 5.
Papers
Review and
narrow 1557
Target papers
Scopus databases do not contain a full record of CEM articles between 2007 and 2017, such
as PMJ, which is one of the most popular journals in the construction project field, the
EBSCO database was also adopted to facilitate our paper exploration. In this stage, a total of
263 journal papers were identified and then these papers to identify CEM-related content
were briefly reviewed. Eventually, the total number of papers was narrowed to 164. Articles
identified in this study between 2007 and 2017 are shown in Table AI.
1:5ni
Score ¼ Pn ni
: (1)
i¼1 1:5
In this formula, n is the number of authors in the paper; and i the order of the specific author.
Table I shows details regarding the scoring matrix.
ECAM 3.3 Establishment of keywords network
26,8 The Bibliographic Items Co-occurrence Matrix Builder (BICOMB) 2.0 software was mainly
employed to conduct the research in this part. To be specific, the frequency (also known as
occurrence) of a selected keyword was calculated and then the keywords according to their
frequency were ranked. The specific steps are as follows:
(1) The authors used BICOMB software to build a co-word matrix that quantifies the
1558 frequency of two keywords appearing in one paper. Initially, 447 keywords were
extracted. The authors then merged some similar keywords in the co-word matrix
before performing the next step. Table II shows the resulting frequency of keywords.
(2) The authors used UCINET v6.415 software with the co-word matrix to establish and
visualize a keywords network.
(3) To provide visualizations of the intensity of use and attention given to keywords by
existing academic papers, a bi-dimensional multi-dimensional scale (MDS) table via
SPSS was employed to indicate the most frequently discussed keywords.
1 1.00 – – – –
2 0.60 0.40 – – –
Table I. 3 0.47 0.32 0.21 – –
Scoring matrix for 4 0.42 0.28 0.18 0.12 –
multi-author articles 5 0.38 0.26 0.17 0.11 0.08
25 23
21
20 18
17 1559
15 14 14
10 9
7 8 Figure 2.
4 Annual publications
5
in journal papers
on project success in
0 CEM from
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2007 to 2017
Note: Data for 2017 were up to October
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total
Selected journals 435 455 473 516 525 576 643 662 691 755 672 6,403
Project success 2 7 3 1 8 6 9 7 18 14 13 88
Ratio (%) 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 1.5 1.0 1.4 1.1 2.6 1.9 1.9 1.4
IJPM 84 84 80 79 96 82 100 126 150 147 126 1,154
Project success 0 2 1 0 3 0 2 3 9 2 5 27
Ratio (%) 0 2.4 1.3 0.0 3.1 0.0 2.0 2.4 6.0 1.4 4.0 2.3
JME 24 28 24 24 27 46 52 73 117 92 87 594
Project success 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 3 3 3 13
Ratio (%) 0.0 3.6 0.0 0.0 7.4 0.0 1.9 0.0 2.6 3.3 3.4 2.2
JCEM-1 37 36 41 65 57 88 99 83 92 101 91 790
Project success 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 3 0 1 9
Ratio (%) 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.0 1.2 3.3 0.0 1.1 1.1
JCEM-2 109 103 132 131 127 151 170 153 109 175 181 1,541
Project success 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 8
Ratio (%) 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.5
PMJ 12 39 30 35 36 36 36 36 42 55 27 384
Project success 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 8
Ratio (%) 0.0 5.1 3.3 0.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 0.0 0.0 1.8 3.7 2.1
CME 101 94 90 91 85 65 70 75 57 57 41 826
Project success 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 6
Ratio (%) 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 2.4 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
CEB 10 11 12 19 25 28 35 28 27 26 19 240
Project success 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 5
Ratio (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 3.8 5.3 2.1
BEPAM 12 13 13 14 14 15 17 24 29 36 38 225
Project success 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 4
Ratio (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3 2.6 1.8
IJCM 14 12 17 22 20 21 23 23 28 25 23 228
Project success 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 4
Ratio (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 4.3 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 1.8
IJMPB 32 35 34 36 38 44 41 41 40 41 39 421 Table III.
Project success 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 4 Top 10 journals for
Ratio (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 0.0 2.4 0.0 1.0 published project
Notes: JCEM-1 refers to Journal of Civil Engineering and Management; JCEM-2 refers to Journal of success
Construction Engineering and Management papers in CEM
ECAM Economics (CME), Construction Economics and Building (CEB), Built Environment Project and
26,8 Asset Management (BEPAM), International Journal of Construction Management (IJCM) and
International Journal of Managing Projects in Business (IJMPB). As shown in Table III, project
success papers (total 88) accounted for only 1.4 percent of the total number of papers in the top
10 journals. The top 5 journals (IJPM, JME, JCEM-1, JCEM-2 and PMJ) published the most
articles in the past decade (27, 13, 9, 8 and 8, respectively), and published 74 percent of the
1560 88 CEM project success papers by the top 10 journals. Of these journals, the IJPM published
27 articles, which represents nearly 31 percent of all the selected papers, thereby representing
the most project success study cases. In addition, whereas the average ratio of this research
with respect to all other research is 1.4 percent (Table III), the relative values of IJPM
(2.3 percent), JME (2.2 percent), PMJ (2.1 percent) and CEB (2.1 percent) are higher than
2 percent, which indicates that these four journals published more targeted papers than the
average. Notably, although the publication number of CEB was only 5, its average ratio
ranked as 3rd among the top 10 journals. This might suggest that the CEB can also be
regarded as an important source for acquiring the most highly valued papers.
Albert P.C. Chan 12 3.9 Hong Kong Polytechnic University Hong Kong
Ralf Müller 7 3.34 Umea University Sweden
Robert Osei-Kyei 6 2.27 Hong Kong Polytechnic University Hong Kong
J. Rodney Turner 4 1.61 University of Lille Nord de France France
Robert Joslin 3 1.8 Skema Business School France
Min-Yuan Cheng 3 1.34 The National Taiwan University of Science Taiwan
and Technology
Adeel Sabir Khan 3 1.19 Institute of Management Sciences Pakistan Table V.
Kate Davis 2 2 Kingston University London UK Top 10 researchers
Shamas-ur-Rehman Toor 2 1.2 National University of Singapore Singapore contributing to
Jui-Sheng Chou 2 1.07 The National Taiwan University of Science Taiwan publications in
and Technology project success
project manager
project complexity
China project performance
procurement
stakeholders
2
PPP
critical_success_factors
developing_countries
1
sustainability
structural_equation_modeling procurement project_management
construction project_management_success
AHP construction_industry
Dimension 2
factor_analysis project_success
success_criteria
Hong_kong stakeholders project_manager
0
stakeholders_management project_performance
emotional_intelligence
megaprojects
construction_project project_complexity
complexity
China
Malaysia
–1
project_governance
project_success_factors
–2
Figure 4.
Bi-dimensional
–2 –1 0 1 2
table of MDS
Dimension 1
ECAM megaproject, complexity and project performance are strongly associated with each other in
26,8 the fourth quadrant. This may indicate that these research papers focus mainly on the
performances of large, complex construction projects.
outcomes, research is needed that links the correlation of and possible causation by CSFs with
project success.
In addition, methods like questionnaires and the Delphi approach primarily facilitate the
identification of factors and the ranking of their importance to project success, whereas more
complex data collection and analyses could be implemented with computer assistance.
Therefore, future research considerations should ask: What are the relationships between
CSFs and project success? How can we improve project management based on these identified
ECAM relationships to help project managers improve their chances of achieving construction project
26,8 success? Might there be a more robust method by which to conduct this research?
6. Conclusions
Our study provided a holistic assessment of project success in the field of the CEM, which
reviewed a total number of 164 relevant papers published from 2007 to 2017, summarized
the status of this field of research and prospected for future research trends. The major
findings of this paper are concluded as follows:
(1) The PMJ, IJPM and JCEM-1 appeared to be the dominant journals regarding the
CEM project success, which majorly published studies conducted in the developed
countries or regions such as Australia, Singapore and Hong Kong. However, the
developing economies that are currently flourishing in the construction activities
contributed comparatively less in promoting CEM project success research.
(2) Questionnaires, interviews and case studies are the major data collection methods
and descriptive analysis is the main data analysis method.
(3) The CSFs research appears the predominant subtopic of project success at the
current stage by keywords networking analysis.
(4) The megaproject success, studies in developing countries, relationships between
CSFs and project success, and human-related factor impacts on successful outcomes
are four directions for future study.
The specific results of this paper can hopefully contribute to further research by providing new
gaps and research opportunities for researchers. However, this paper only considered articles
published in peer-reviewed journals in the last decade, and some relevant papers might be
excluded. Moreover, although the classification of papers was based on well-designed procedures
that aim to improve objectivity, the authors admit the possibility of some subjectivity, especially
in the paper selection and categories of research methods. Given these limitations, significant
contributions are still exerted in this work. This study reveals the status quo of project success in
CEM and benefits studies that straddle the theoretical sciences and engineering projects.
Meanwhile, a better understanding of research trends may enable scholars and practitioners to
identify the key issues in project success research to facilitate faster development in this area.
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management”, Waste Management, Vol. 31 No. 4, pp. 670-679.
Zare, M.B., Mirjalili, A. and Mirabi, M. (2016), “Ranking and evaluating the factors affecting the success
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Further reading
Cooke-Davies, T. (2002), “The ‘real’ success factors on projects”, International Journal of Project
Management, Vol. 20 No. 3, pp. 185-190.
Flyvbjerg, B. (2017), “The iron law of megaproject management”, in Flyvbjerg, B. (Ed.), The Oxford
Handbook of Megaproject Management, Oxford University Press, New York, NY, pp. 1-18.
Garemo, N., Matzinger, S. and Palter, R. (2015), “Megaproject: the good, the bad, and the better”,
McKinsey Company, New York, NY.
Ke, Y.J., Wang, S.Q., Chan, A.P.C. and Cheung, E. (2009), “Research trend of public-private-partnership
(PPP) in construction journals”, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 135
No. 10, pp. 1076-1086.
ECAM Appendix
26,8
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