Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
Valuation Metrics
Valuation Metrics help determine whether a stock is trading at a fair price relative to its fundamentals.
Scoring:
- 5 = Significantly undervalued (low P/E, PEG < 1, undervalued via DCF)
- 3 = Fairly valued (ratios near peer average, PEG ~1)
- 1 = Overvalued (high P/E or PEG > 2, poor DCF margin)
Metrics:
- P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings): Shows how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings. Lower than industry
average can signal undervaluation.
- Forward P/E: P/E based on projected future earnings. Indicates expectations of future performance.
- PEG Ratio: P/E divided by expected earnings growth. PEG < 1 suggests undervaluation considering growth.
- P/B Ratio (Price/Book): Compares stock price to book value (assets minus liabilities). P/B < 1 may indicate
undervaluation.
- P/S Ratio (Price/Sales): Compares price to revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or volatile.
- EV/EBITDA: Enterprise value divided by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Measures
overall business value against cash earnings.
- DCF Value vs Market Price: Compares intrinsic value based on discounted cash flow analysis to current price.
- Margin of Safety: The percentage discount of current price from intrinsic value. A bigger margin is better.
Growth & Profitability Metrics
These metrics evaluate how efficiently a company grows and generates profits.
Scoring:
- 5 = Strong growth (>20%), high ROE/ROIC (>15%), expanding margins
- 3 = Moderate growth (5-15%), stable returns
- 1 = Low or negative growth, declining margins
Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
Metrics:
- Revenue Growth: Annual increase in sales. Indicates market demand and scalability.
- EPS Growth: Earnings per share growth over time. Critical for shareholder value.
- ROE (Return on Equity): Net income as a % of shareholders' equity. Shows how effectively equity is used to generate
profit.
- ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Measures how well the company uses all capital (debt + equity) to generate
returns.
- Net Profit Margin: Net income as a % of sales. Higher margins indicate better profitability.
- Operating Margin: Operating income as a % of sales. Reflects core business efficiency.
- Free Cash Flow: Cash left after operational and capital expenses. Important for dividends, debt repayment, or
reinvestment.
Dividend & Financial Health
Assesses how well a company manages its obligations and rewards shareholders.
Scoring:
- 5 = Strong yield (3-6%), low debt, growing dividends
- 3 = Modest yield (1-3%), safe payout ratios, average debt
- 1 = Unsustainable dividends, high debt, weak liquidity
Metrics:
- Dividend Yield: Annual dividend divided by stock price. Indicates cash return on investment.
- Payout Ratio: Portion of earnings paid as dividends. High ratio (>80%) may be unsustainable.
- Dividend Growth Rate: Annualized growth rate of dividends. A sign of financial health and management confidence.
- Debt-to-Equity: Compares total debt to shareholders' equity. Measures financial leverage.
- Interest Coverage: How easily a company can pay interest on debt. EBIT divided by interest expense.
- Current Ratio: Current assets divided by current liabilities. Shows short-term financial health.
- Credit Rating: External rating of creditworthiness, typically by S&P, Moody's, or Fitch.
Technical Indicators
Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
Technical metrics help evaluate market sentiment and price trends.
Scoring:
- 5 = Bullish indicators (MACD crossover, RSI 30-50, price above 200-day MA)
- 3 = Neutral/mixed indicators
- 1 = Bearish indicators (RSI >70, MACD bearish, price below MA)
Metrics:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures recent price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. <30 = oversold; >70 =
overbought.
- Moving Averages: 50-day and 200-day price averages. Determine trend direction. Golden cross = bullish; death cross
= bearish.
- MACD: Difference between short- and long-term EMAs. Indicates momentum shifts.
- Support/Resistance: Price levels where stock tends to bounce or fall. Useful for timing entries/exits.
- Volume Trends: High volume confirms trends; low volume may indicate weak moves.
Qualitative Factors
These subjective aspects often determine long-term success or failure.
Scoring:
- 5 = Excellent management, clear moat, favorable industry
- 3 = Average management, weak moat
- 1 = Poor governance, high risk, shrinking industry
Factors:
- Management Quality: Leadership's experience, shareholder alignment, and integrity.
- Competitive Moat: Sustainable edge like brand, patents, scale, or network effects.
- Industry Growth: Sector's expected expansion or contraction.
- Market Position: Market share and dominance. Leader or laggard?
Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
- Risks & Catalysts: External or internal events that could influence performance.
Conclusion & Action Plan
Summarize your analysis for a clear decision.
- Strengths: List top 3-5 compelling points.
- Weaknesses: List key concerns.
- Total Score (out of 100): Tally all section scores.
Interpretation Guide:
- 85-100: Strong Buy
- 70-84: Buy
- 50-69: Hold/Watch
- <50: Sell or Avoid
Action Plan:
- Choose your stance: Buy / Hold / Watch / Sell
- Define entry and exit points.
- Include your thesis: Why is this a good or bad investment?
Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
Stock Analysis Worksheet + Example
WORKSHEET TEMPLATE (Fill-in Section)
Stock Name: ABC Corp
Ticker Symbol: ABC
Valuation:
- P/E Ratio: 18 (Industry Avg: 22) -> Score: 4
- PEG Ratio: 0.9 -> Score: 5
- DCF Value: $150 (Current Price: $120) -> Margin of Safety: 20% -> Score: 5
Growth:
- Revenue Growth: 15% -> Score: 4
- EPS Growth: 12% -> Score: 4
- ROE: 16% -> Score: 4
- ROIC: 14% vs WACC 9% -> Score: 5
Dividend/Health:
- Dividend Yield: 2.5% -> Score: 3
- Payout Ratio: 40% -> Score: 4
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.6 -> Score: 4
- Current Ratio: 1.8 -> Score: 4
Technical:
- RSI: 45 -> Score: 4
- MACD: Bullish Crossover -> Score: 4
- Price above 50/200 MA -> Score: 4
Qualitative:
- Management: Experienced, high insider ownership -> Score: 5
Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
- Moat: Strong brand and switching costs -> Score: 5
- Industry: Growing at 8% CAGR -> Score: 4
Total Score: 83 / 100
Decision: BUY (Reason: Strong fundamentals, undervaluation, and positive momentum)
Notes:
- Monitor quarterly earnings for margin expansion.
- Reassess if price exceeds $145 without earnings increase.