0% found this document useful (0 votes)
154 views6 pages

Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard

The document outlines a comprehensive stock analysis framework that includes valuation, growth, profitability, dividend health, technical indicators, and qualitative factors to evaluate stocks. Each section uses a scoring system from 1 to 5 to assess various metrics, culminating in a total score that guides investment decisions. The framework concludes with an action plan for buying, holding, or selling stocks based on the analysis results.

Uploaded by

S Shujahat Ali
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
154 views6 pages

Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard

The document outlines a comprehensive stock analysis framework that includes valuation, growth, profitability, dividend health, technical indicators, and qualitative factors to evaluate stocks. Each section uses a scoring system from 1 to 5 to assess various metrics, culminating in a total score that guides investment decisions. The framework concludes with an action plan for buying, holding, or selling stocks based on the analysis results.

Uploaded by

S Shujahat Ali
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard

Valuation Metrics

Valuation Metrics help determine whether a stock is trading at a fair price relative to its fundamentals.

Scoring:

- 5 = Significantly undervalued (low P/E, PEG < 1, undervalued via DCF)

- 3 = Fairly valued (ratios near peer average, PEG ~1)

- 1 = Overvalued (high P/E or PEG > 2, poor DCF margin)

Metrics:

- P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings): Shows how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings. Lower than industry

average can signal undervaluation.

- Forward P/E: P/E based on projected future earnings. Indicates expectations of future performance.

- PEG Ratio: P/E divided by expected earnings growth. PEG < 1 suggests undervaluation considering growth.

- P/B Ratio (Price/Book): Compares stock price to book value (assets minus liabilities). P/B < 1 may indicate

undervaluation.

- P/S Ratio (Price/Sales): Compares price to revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or volatile.

- EV/EBITDA: Enterprise value divided by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Measures

overall business value against cash earnings.

- DCF Value vs Market Price: Compares intrinsic value based on discounted cash flow analysis to current price.

- Margin of Safety: The percentage discount of current price from intrinsic value. A bigger margin is better.

Growth & Profitability Metrics

These metrics evaluate how efficiently a company grows and generates profits.

Scoring:

- 5 = Strong growth (>20%), high ROE/ROIC (>15%), expanding margins

- 3 = Moderate growth (5-15%), stable returns

- 1 = Low or negative growth, declining margins


Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
Metrics:

- Revenue Growth: Annual increase in sales. Indicates market demand and scalability.

- EPS Growth: Earnings per share growth over time. Critical for shareholder value.

- ROE (Return on Equity): Net income as a % of shareholders' equity. Shows how effectively equity is used to generate

profit.

- ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Measures how well the company uses all capital (debt + equity) to generate

returns.

- Net Profit Margin: Net income as a % of sales. Higher margins indicate better profitability.

- Operating Margin: Operating income as a % of sales. Reflects core business efficiency.

- Free Cash Flow: Cash left after operational and capital expenses. Important for dividends, debt repayment, or

reinvestment.

Dividend & Financial Health

Assesses how well a company manages its obligations and rewards shareholders.

Scoring:

- 5 = Strong yield (3-6%), low debt, growing dividends

- 3 = Modest yield (1-3%), safe payout ratios, average debt

- 1 = Unsustainable dividends, high debt, weak liquidity

Metrics:

- Dividend Yield: Annual dividend divided by stock price. Indicates cash return on investment.

- Payout Ratio: Portion of earnings paid as dividends. High ratio (>80%) may be unsustainable.

- Dividend Growth Rate: Annualized growth rate of dividends. A sign of financial health and management confidence.

- Debt-to-Equity: Compares total debt to shareholders' equity. Measures financial leverage.

- Interest Coverage: How easily a company can pay interest on debt. EBIT divided by interest expense.

- Current Ratio: Current assets divided by current liabilities. Shows short-term financial health.

- Credit Rating: External rating of creditworthiness, typically by S&P, Moody's, or Fitch.

Technical Indicators
Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard

Technical metrics help evaluate market sentiment and price trends.

Scoring:

- 5 = Bullish indicators (MACD crossover, RSI 30-50, price above 200-day MA)

- 3 = Neutral/mixed indicators

- 1 = Bearish indicators (RSI >70, MACD bearish, price below MA)

Metrics:

- RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures recent price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. <30 = oversold; >70 =

overbought.

- Moving Averages: 50-day and 200-day price averages. Determine trend direction. Golden cross = bullish; death cross

= bearish.

- MACD: Difference between short- and long-term EMAs. Indicates momentum shifts.

- Support/Resistance: Price levels where stock tends to bounce or fall. Useful for timing entries/exits.

- Volume Trends: High volume confirms trends; low volume may indicate weak moves.

Qualitative Factors

These subjective aspects often determine long-term success or failure.

Scoring:

- 5 = Excellent management, clear moat, favorable industry

- 3 = Average management, weak moat

- 1 = Poor governance, high risk, shrinking industry

Factors:

- Management Quality: Leadership's experience, shareholder alignment, and integrity.

- Competitive Moat: Sustainable edge like brand, patents, scale, or network effects.

- Industry Growth: Sector's expected expansion or contraction.

- Market Position: Market share and dominance. Leader or laggard?


Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
- Risks & Catalysts: External or internal events that could influence performance.

Conclusion & Action Plan

Summarize your analysis for a clear decision.

- Strengths: List top 3-5 compelling points.

- Weaknesses: List key concerns.

- Total Score (out of 100): Tally all section scores.

Interpretation Guide:

- 85-100: Strong Buy

- 70-84: Buy

- 50-69: Hold/Watch

- <50: Sell or Avoid

Action Plan:

- Choose your stance: Buy / Hold / Watch / Sell

- Define entry and exit points.

- Include your thesis: Why is this a good or bad investment?


Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
Stock Analysis Worksheet + Example

WORKSHEET TEMPLATE (Fill-in Section)

Stock Name: ABC Corp

Ticker Symbol: ABC

Valuation:

- P/E Ratio: 18 (Industry Avg: 22) -> Score: 4

- PEG Ratio: 0.9 -> Score: 5

- DCF Value: $150 (Current Price: $120) -> Margin of Safety: 20% -> Score: 5

Growth:

- Revenue Growth: 15% -> Score: 4

- EPS Growth: 12% -> Score: 4

- ROE: 16% -> Score: 4

- ROIC: 14% vs WACC 9% -> Score: 5

Dividend/Health:

- Dividend Yield: 2.5% -> Score: 3

- Payout Ratio: 40% -> Score: 4

- Debt-to-Equity: 0.6 -> Score: 4

- Current Ratio: 1.8 -> Score: 4

Technical:

- RSI: 45 -> Score: 4

- MACD: Bullish Crossover -> Score: 4

- Price above 50/200 MA -> Score: 4

Qualitative:

- Management: Experienced, high insider ownership -> Score: 5


Comprehensive Stock Analysis Framework & Scorecard
- Moat: Strong brand and switching costs -> Score: 5

- Industry: Growing at 8% CAGR -> Score: 4

Total Score: 83 / 100

Decision: BUY (Reason: Strong fundamentals, undervaluation, and positive momentum)

Notes:

- Monitor quarterly earnings for margin expansion.

- Reassess if price exceeds $145 without earnings increase.

You might also like