CDP Report2
CDP Report2
Innovest [email protected]
Supported by
The Carbon Disclosure Project is financially One of the largest UK corporate brand
supported by the Carbon Trust, an and communications consultancies, Rufus
independent, government funded Leonard serve clients including Barclays,
organisation that helps UK business BBC, BT, Credit Suisse, Lloyds TSB and
and the public sector cut carbon emissions Shell. We were the first sponsor of CDP and
and capture the commercial potential of the project is housed in our offices.
low carbon technologies. www.rufusleonard.com
www.thecarbontrust.co.uk
The contents of this report may be used by anyone providing acknowledgement is given. The information herein has been obtained from sources which the
authors and publishers believe to be reliable, but the authors and publishers do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The authors and publishers
make no representation or warranty, express or implied, concerning the fairness, accuracy, or completeness of the information and opinions contained herein.
All opinions expressed herein are based on the authors and publishers judgement at the time of this report and are subject to change without notice due to
economic, political, industry and firm-specific factors. The authors and publishers and their affiliated companies, or their respective shareholders, directors, Our sincere thanks are extended to the following:
officers and/or employees, may have a position in the securities discussed herein. The securities mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in
The Association for Sustainable and Responsible Investment in Asia, www.asria.org
some states or countries, nor suitable for all types of investors; their value and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by
exchange rates. © 2004 Innovest Strategic Value Advisors, Inc. All rights reserved. Brooklyn Bridge, www.tbli.org
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105
Innovest Strategic Value Advisors May 2004 Innovest Strategic Value Advisors May 2004
11187 CDP 1-40 10/5/04 5:23 pm Page 1
Declined to
Participate
Executive Summary 77 (15%)
Provided Answered
Hard numbers on the Information
33 (7%)
Questionnaire
293 (59%)
costs of climate change Questionnaire
Forthcoming
create mood of urgency 26 (5%)
• The future ‘cost of carbon’ is a major headache for energy-intensive FT500 companies. Two-thirds of EU
utilities expect wholesale electricity prices to rise by up to 20%. According to one report, higher electricity
prices across the EU will mean additional costs of almost c600 million ($720m) per year for the European
steel industry, c500m for the pulp and paper business, and c260m for the cement, lime and glass
industries. Our analysis indicates that even a 5% shift in energy prices could impact per share earnings
by as much as 15% in certain industries. Energy risk management and energy efficiency initiatives are
taking on a new strategic importance.
• Pressure is growing on financial market authorities, fiduciaries, company directors and officers, and
accounting bodies to incorporate climate risk factors into financial statements and offerings. This is likely to
result in greater pressure on firms to measure and disclose the risks they face. It now seems to be only a
matter of time before “generally accepted carbon accounting principles” (GACAP)– are adopted at national
and international levels. Climate litigation against major industrial emitters also looks increasingly likely.
• The global carbon market has doubled in size in each of the past two years and is projected to reach
$480 million in 2004. Emissions trading is an important element of the corporate risk management
equation, with more FT500 firms involved. Some 70 million tonnes of CO2e was traded during 2003
across all markets, against a total since 1996 of roughly 220 million tonnes. A hierarchy of credit quality
is emerging. Increased cash flow from carbon finance can boost internal rates of return (IRRs) by as
much as 15% for some projects.
• FT500 firms are major participants in the global clean technology sector. Non-hydro renewables are
expected to grow faster than any other primary energy source to 2030. Worldwide, the growth in
electricity from renewable energy is projected to rise by 9-10% annually. Over $2.5 billion has been
invested in “clean tech” ventures over the past two years – a near quadrupling of the market. Europe
aims to generate 50% of its energy needs from renewables by 2050. In the US, clean technology forms
the cornerstone of both leading presidential candidates’ environmental agendas.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
III. Why the CDP Matters: Climate Risk and Carbon Finance in 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8
Latest climate data underscores economic and social impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8
Major banks, institutional investors increase climate awareness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11
Weather, Catastrophe (CAT) bond markets continue to expand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12
Carbon regulations are now a fact of life across the OECD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13
Accounting, financial market authorities focusing on environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17
Climate change litigation, trade regulation effects more discernable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18
Environmental markets can enhance project returns, hedge risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19
Wholesale power price volatility likely to rise . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21
Clean technology markets get fresh attention from investors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22
V. Appendices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41
Appendix A. Sector Analysis of Responses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42
Automobile & Auto Parts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43
Banking and Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46
Chemicals - Speciality and Commodities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .50
Electric Utilities & Power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53
Insurance & Reinsurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .58
Food Products, Retailing, Beverages and Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61
Metals and Mining (including Steel) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .64
Paper & Forest Products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67
Oil & Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .69
Transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .75
Matrices for Remaining Sectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78
Appendix B. Methodology For Calculating Energy Price Sensitivity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90
Appendix C. Renewable Energy and Clean Technology: Global Market Overview . . . . . . . .91
Appendix D. The FT500 List of Companies with Response Status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95
Appendix E. The CDP Questionnaire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .100
Appendix F. Contacts: CDP Signatories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .102
3
United States
(inc. Canada)
26 (26%) European European
59 (64%) 29 (83%)
CDP signatories now represent over $10 trillion in assets, an amount roughly equal in current dollar terms to
the 2003 US Gross Domestic Product. Significantly, the regional centre of gravity of the supporting institutions
has begun to shift. Non-European signatories now represent some 36% of signatory assets – up from 17%
in CDP1.
While support for the CDP itself has grown, the basic format of the project remains unchanged. Letters to the
FT 500 companies were issued on November 1, 2003. As the chart below indicates, the response rate now
stands at 59%, up from 47% in CDP1. More responses were still being received as this report went to press.
CDP is able to accept corporate responses at any time ([email protected]). A detailed breakdown of all
responses, along geographical, industrial and content-related lines is provided in Appendix A of this report.
This year’s report will be officially launched in London on May 19, with a keynote address by Sir John Bond,
Chair of the HSBC Group and in Hong Kong by Tessa Tennant, Chair ASrIA. On May 21 in New York City,
with Alan Brown, Chief Investment Officer of State Street Global Advisors. Other launches will follow in
Hamburg and Melbourne June 2, Tokyo June 3 as well as Paris and Toronto.
Looking further ahead, we hope the dialogue that the CDP has helped to establish between corporations and
their owners on the subject of climate change will grow. A third information request is planned.
Twelve high-impact sectors were selected based on their relative carbon intensity and financial sensitivity to
climate-related impacts. From these sectors, companies deemed to have above-average responses were chosen
as candidates for inclusion in the CLI. From this pool of above-average candidates, a shortlist of companies that
provided the best responses was chosen. The companies in the CLI were selected on the basis of:
1. Strategic Awareness: the extent to which a firm considers climate risks and opportunities to be
relevant to its business
2. Management Accountability/Responsibility: whether and how a company has allocated
responsibility for the management of climate-related issues
3. Emissions Management and Reporting: the progress a company has made in quantifying and
disclosing/reporting its emissions profile, including the use of third-party verification
4. Emissions Trading: the extent to which a firm has considered emissions trading in its risk
management response
5. Programmes in Place: quality and nature of any emissions reduction programmes, including energy
efficiency, that a firm has implemented
6. Establishment of Targets: have formal GHG emissions/reduction targets been set with a timeline?
Almost by definition, each of the companies in the index appears to be among the sector leaders in its
responses to the climate-change challenge. Not surprisingly, some industry sectors have more “best in class”
respondents than others. Several caveats are, inevitably, in order:
Despite these limitations it is hoped that the publication of the Climate Leadership Index will acknowledge the
progress and achievements of today’s strong performers, as well as create significant incentives for others to
match or supplant them in the future.
Sector Companies
• In the UK, the government’s chief scientist stated that climate change
1 The Observer,
posed a bigger threat than terrorism2.
Sunday, February 22, 2004
2 www.news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/
nature/3381425.stm
“We view climate change as • The US National Hurricane Centre in Miami “….extreme events
a key long-term investment reported the first hurricane ever seen in the which can be traced to
theme which receives south Atlantic, which swirled off the coast of climate change will have
insufficient attention” Brazil in March 20043. increasingly grave
consequences in the
ABN AMRO Equities Research • The former head of the Canadian national future. We must reckon
November 2003 weather service, who now heads the with new types of
Canadian Foundation for Climate and weather risks and
Atmospheric Sciences, reported that climate greater loss potentials.”
“There is growing demand change in the Arctic could trigger a collapse
from customers to invest in in major ocean circulation patterns by the Munich Re
sustainable projects and end of the century. TOPICS geo 2003
companies."
• The World Health Organization stated that
ING an estimated 150,000 deaths and 5.5 million Disability Adjusted Life Years
CDP2 Response were caused in the year 2000 due to climate change. In December, the
WHO blamed climate change for 2.4% of all cases of diarrhoea and 2%
of all cases of malaria worldwide4.
“As a financial institution (we
are) affected by …risks from • The UN’s World Food Programme has warned that erratic weather patterns
GHG emissions." are threatening the lives of up to 16 million people in the Horn of Africa5.
Deutsche Bank • Weather-related natural disasters caused about $70 billion damage
CDP2 Response ($18.5 billion insured) during 2003. After adjusting for inflation, economic
losses since the 1960s have increased by a factor of about six, and
insured losses by a factor of 10.
“As a result (of climate
change), the insurance • According to Munich Re, the heatwave that hit central and eastern
industry could be destabilized, Europe last summer killed at least 20,000 people and caused economic
impacting the banking losses far exceeding $10 billion. Swiss Re recorded a total of 142 natural
industry and economic catastrophes in the world last year – the highest number since reporting
development generally." of this kind began in 1970.
Standard Chartered • Both Swiss Re and Munich Re cite climate change as being a driving
CDP2 Response force behind these alarming trends. Both believe that more extreme
weather should be expected in the future, and that adaptation – the
process of adjusting to this “new normalcy” – will be required.
Flood, Storm Surge Severe Weather, Flash Flood, Hail Heatwave, Drought, Forest Fire Cold Weather, Frost
Short Term Long Term Short Term Long Term Short Term Long Term Short Term Long Term
Property
Engineering
Marine
Agriculture
Aviation
Contingency Risks
Health
Life
“The challenge of climate Individual companies, sectors and even some commodity markets will need to
change is to accurately prepare themselves for the impacts – both positive and negative – of this change:
interpret increasingly
detailed climate projections • Warmer than average weather pushed up benchmark contracts for crude
in terms of their impact on oil, gasoline pump prices, and futures for grain, soy and wheat. Soybeans
the broad range of sectors rose above $10 a bushel for the first time in 15 years as insufficient rain in
that we support” South America threatened to damage crops7. Summer weather could
have as decisive a role to play in determining crude oil prices as instability
Barclays Bank in the Middle East.
CDP2 Response
• Hurricanes and extreme storms directly impact insurance, hotel and
leisure, and oil and gas stocks. Temperature fluctuations can boost or
"In a carbon-constrained reduce sales in the food, beverage, brewing, retail clothing and
marketplace, GHG emissions entertainment industries. Citigroup Smith Barney reported that warmer
will become financial than average weather across the US during spring 2004 contributed to
liabilities on many better-than-expected sales results for Pepsi and Coca-Cola. Hot
companies' balance sheets." summer weather in western Europe helped Interbrew achieve organic
volume growth of +3.4%, EBITDA of +7.6% and EBIT of +13.2%8.
Westpac
CDP2 Response • Macroeconomic disturbances caused by climate change may be felt by
both established and emerging market investors. Pressures to the public
purse for spending on adaptation measures such as flood controls,
protection of fragile ecosystems, fortification of coastal zones, development
of alternative water supplies and new building codes may affect government
fiscal policy. Political support for action to curb greenhouse gas emissions
will grow, and lead inexorably towards industry-led emissions cuts. General
societal concern may lead to changes in consumer spending habits,
advocacy and political lobbying.
7 Bloomberg News, March 19, 2004
8 Dow Jones Newswires, March 3, 2004
10
“your investments will have Major banks, institutional investors increase climate awareness
a decisive impact on trends New data on the impact of climate change and developments in the
in future greenhouse gas greenhouse gas regulatory agenda have created a fresh sense of urgency
emissions, and on our among mainstream pension fund trustees, equities analysts, bankers, insurers
ability to adapt… you can and portfolio managers that action on climate risk management is warranted.
encourage corporations to Investors with exposure to high-impact sectors in regions where GHG
voluntarily reveal information regulations are imminent are beginning to realize the importance of considering
about how their operations the potential impacts:
affect, and are affected by,
climate change.” • In Europe, major banks including UBS Warburg, Deutsche Bank,
Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein, ABN Amro and JP Morgan Chase
U.N. Secretary General issued detailed quantitative reports analysing the impact on European
Kofi Annan industry of the forthcoming EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), due to
Investor Summit on Climate take effect from January 2005. The German bank West LB estimated the
Risk, New York City, Market Value at Risk for the world’s equity markets to be between $192
November 2003 billion and $916 billion9.
11
“prudent fiduciaries • The UK’s Institutional Investor Group on Climate Change (IIGCC), whose
simply cannot afford to be membership includes Merrill Lynch Investment Managers, BNP Paribas,
uninformed about the level Credit Agricole, Henderson Global Investors, Schroder Investment
of risk exposure – and, Management and USS, held its first conference, also in November, in
possibly, the opportunities – London, on the theme of “Managing the risks and profiting from the shift
in their companies or to a lower carbon economy”.
investment portfolios”.
• In the US, 13 public pension fund leaders collectively managing assets of
James Martin nearly $800 billion called on the Securities and Exchange Commission
Former Chief Investment (SEC) to “eliminate any doubt” that publicly traded companies should be
Officer at TIAA-CREF disclosing the financial risks of global warming in their securities filings.
• Also in the US, state, city and other institutional shareholders, collectively
representing more than $250 billion in assets, have filed 30 climate risk-
related shareholder resolutions with 23 companies during the 2004 proxy
season. At the Exxon Mobil annual meeting in May 2003 a resolution
calling for a report on climate-change risks received 22.2 % of the vote.
• Activity in the weather markets has risen considerably in recent years and
this looks set to expand as exchange-based trading increases. Although
details are sketchy, an estimated 2,500 weather-linked transactions were
completed during 2002 with an average value in the range of $1 million.
Efforts are under way to increase the appeal of these products outside of
the energy sector. Weather-linked bonds that embed derivatives may
allow a wider range of investors to take part11. Recently, ABN Amro was
reported to be marketing a $300 million weather bond linked to a portfolio
of weather risks12.
11 Environmental Finance, March 2004
12 Ibid • CAT bond issues have been increasing every year since 199713. CAT
13 The CAT bond, begun in 1996, is
essentially a means by which capital bonds also offer attractive returns – spreads over three-month LIBOR
markets investors provide natural
catastrophe protection to the (re-) typically in the region 400-1,500 basis points – and are not well-correlated
insurance industry. In essence, with other asset classes, thereby offering the potential to reduce portfolio
investors are paid interest by the bond
issuers on the understanding that risk. In 2003, there were between $1.7 and $2.3 billion in new and
should a catastrophe occur, the bond
will be "triggered" and some or all of outstanding CAT bond issues, up just over 50% from 2002. January 2004
the capital invested is paid to the saw the world’s first CAT bond issued by a utility, Electricité de France.
bond sponsor — an insurer, reinsurer
or corporation — to cover losses.
12
“If we do not begin to take The c190 million five-year bond is indexed to wind speeds across France,
action on climate change and was structured and marketed by CDC IXIS Capital Markets and
now, more substantial, more Swiss Re. US wind-related transactions were the largest category of
disruptive and more securitized perils since 1996.
expensive change will be
needed later .” • Several FT500 companies, notably ABN Amro, Goldman Sachs,
Deutsche Bank, Barclays and Swiss Re, are involved in these markets,
Professor Sir David King, whether as a banker, insurer, broker, participant or adviser. Many electric
Chief Scientific Advisor to utility firms are also believed to be active in the weather markets.
the UK Government
Carbon regulations are now a fact of life across the OECD
Political commitment to tackling climate risk is now firmly entrenched. Legislation
encouraging the transition to low carbon intensity fuels has become a fact of
life for FT500 firms across the EU as well as in many parts of the US, Japan,
Australia and Canada (see map on page 14). Future deep cuts in emissions
appear inevitable. The Climate Group, a not-for-profit organization heading a
new coalition of the world’s leading reducers of greenhouse gas emissions
including, amoung others; UK Government, German Government, California EPA,
Connecticut Clean Energy Fund, The State of Victoria, BP, HSBC, Lafarge, Shell
In January 2005, over Renewables, Swiss Re and the Greater London Assembly, was officially launched
14,000 entities will begin on April 27 by the British Prime Minister Tony Blair14.
trading carbon in what
promises to be the • As of March 1, 2004, 120 countries had ratified the Kyoto treaty on
largest, most liquid reducing GHG emissions, representing 44.2% of Annexe 1 (developed
carbon market in country) emissions. Russian ratification remains the critical blockage.
the world At the ninth Conference of Parties to the UNFCCC (COP 9), positive
developments were noted on CDM (Clean Development Mechanism)
project activity and technology transfer, as well as early discussions about
post-2012 scenarios15. Attention is starting to turn towards long-term
climate policies that will achieve a gradual transition to an essentially
emission-free economy16.
• In June 2003, the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), the largest visible
mechanism being deployed by the EU to achieve the targets set out in
the Kyoto agreement, became part of European law. In January 2005,
over 14,000 entities will begin trading carbon in what promises to be
the largest, most liquid carbon market in the world. More emissions
reductions will also need to be achieved through reduced emissions from
domestic and low- to medium-scale business users. The policy devices
adopted to achieve these reductions are not clear and may lead to
unforeseen risks and opportunities.
• National Allocation Plans (NAPs) effectively set out each member state’s
emissions reduction approach. At the time of writing, nine of the 25 EU
countries had submitted final NAPs: Austria, Denmark, Finland, Germany,
Ireland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom.
Draft national allocation plans have been developed by Latvia, Portugal,
14 See: www.theclimategroup.org
15 J. Pershing, WRI, Environmental Slovenia, Belgium, Lithuania, Italy and Estonia.
Finance 2004, Toronto, March 2004
16 www.european-climate-
forum.net/pdf/science_paper.pdf
13
with EU ETS. Helps 'international-ise' the carbon market. obligations due to its status as a developing country.
- Government establishes carbon price limit of C$15/t - No sinks, no nuclear, no large hydro projects to qualify; no grid-connected renewable Market-based Mitigation Programs
subject to various conditions energy projects as JI. - China has cooperation plans with many countries,
- New Prime Minister now reviewing effectiveness of Plan - Amendments to LD proposed 2/04. Posits, inter alia, future role for forestry, earlier import including Canada, Australia and the US, to encourage
Market-based Mitigation Programs of CDM and J1 offsets independent of Kyoto entering into force. renewable technology production. China has
- Negotiated covenants establish emission intensity targets
5:23 pm
for industrial emitters (in place by 1/1/08). - Member States to submit NAPs by March 31 2004. UK NAP widely seen as setting General Trend in Corporate Awareness
- Cap and trade system to be established by 2008/9; free 'benchmark' for others. - Limited activity, however China committed to increasing
permit allocation equal to ca. 85% forecast 2010 emissions General Trend in Corporate Awareness wind power production from 400 million watts in early
- High among key industry leaders, but majority of firms internationally. Many are now focused on cost-effective reduction strategies. mechanisms.
adopting 'wait and see' stance pending Government review
- Major concerns over capital flight, esp. oil sands, still
present Japan
Regulatory Landscape
- Ratified Kyoto Protocol. National emissions reduction
United States commitment of 6% below 1990 levels.
Regulatory Landscape - New CC policy programme adopted March 02.
- Primary driving force remains at State level, and firms with - 2004 key review year for policy framework
international regulatory exposure. Market-based Mitigation Programs
- Over 15 States have GHG mitigation measures or green - Tax on coal @ yen230 in '03, y460 in '05, y700 in '07
power targets in place or under development - Still at experimental stage in terms of emission
14
- Kerry campaign commits to bringing US back into Kyoto trading.
negotiations General Trend in Corporate Awareness
Market-based Mitigation Programs - Keidanren's voluntary reduction plan runs 2002-4,
- Industry-led initiatives dominate: Chicago Climate covers 35 sectors
Exchange (CCX), Climate Leaders - Corporate preparedness strong in cases, limited in
- Congressional support for GHG measures is strengthening many others; voluntary measures key thus far.
General Trend in Corporate Awareness - RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standard) envisages 12 bn
- Vast disparities in levels of awareness kWh by 2010. Japanese firms major players in GHG
- Leading firms united around voluntary approach but markets
pressing behind scenes for cap and trade approach
Australia
S. America Regulatory Landscape
Regulatory Landscape - Australia has signed but not ratified Kyoto Protocol.
- 8 of 12 South American states have ratified Kyoto (exempt from Africa Government nevertheless committed to Kyoto goals
immediate reduction obligations) Regulatory Landscape ($300 million has been allocated for renewable energy
- Chile is considering an emissions trading bill that could potentially - Largely in favour of Kyoto Protocol, however signatories exempt from immediate initiatives).
be linked to an international market in GHG reductions under Kyoto obligation requirements. Market-based Mitigation Programs
Market-based Mitigation Programs Market-based Mitigation Programs - On July 1, 2003, an agreement was reached between
- Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) project development is - Africa is the region least represented in current CDM investment portfolios. It is LogicaCMG and New South Wales Independent
advancing rapidly, however barriers include lack of capital and estimated the region is responsible for less than 7% of global GHG emissions. Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal to launch the world's
perception of major market risk The European Commission has funded two projects with the aim of supporting first GHG trading registry.
General Trend in Corporate Awareness CDM implementation in Africa General Trend in Corporate Awareness
- Domestic firms working within early-stage national government General Trend in Corporate Awareness - Relatively highly aware. Around 190 power stations
programs. Increasing project collaboration with IFC (International - Limited activity, however some international firms, particularly from Europe, have already run on renewable energy.
Finance Corporation) developed relationships with African private sector.
May 2004
Source: Evolution Markets/Trexler Energy & Climate Services
11187 CDP 1-40 10/5/04 5:23 pm Page 15
Member
Status/
National Allocation
EU Ratify Emissions Trading: Phase 1 Emissions Trading: Phase 2
Plans by 31/3/04
Kyoto c40 per ton penalty for non compliance c100 per ton penalty for non compliance
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: P. Vis, ‘Implementing the Emissions Trading Directive’, European Commission, March 2004
Source: CO2e.com
15
SARBANES OXLEY • In the U.S, more than 20 states have passed or proposed legislation
CHANGES DISCLOSURE, on CO2 emissions, or have developed carbon registries, sequestration
ACCOUNTABILITY RULES studies and similar measures. Congressional support for the McCain
The scope and quality of Lieberman Bill, which calls for a domestic cap and trade system and
environmental liability mandatory GHG emissions cuts, grew considerably in 2003. Attention is
reporting has changed under now focused on the November 2004 presidential election. The Democrat
the new disclosure rules candidate, John Kerry, has called for a cap and trade emissions reduction
determined by Sarbanes programme, and has promised to “reinsert the US into international
Oxley adopted in early 2002. climate change negotiations”17.
Company directors and
officers will now have to • Elsewhere, the political scene was quieter, although preparations for
personally sign off on domestic emissions trading, carbon taxes and other measures began to
financial reporting. Closer firm up. The Japanese environment ministry entered into pilot phase of
scrutiny of environmental greenhouse gas emissions trading projects during the first half of 2004.
disclosure will almost In Canada, the federal government announced a $1 billion investment
certainly result. CEOs and plan towards the implementation of the Climate Change Plan for Canada.
CFOs will also have to Negotiations with “Large Final Emitters” (i.e. industry) continued; targets
evaluate the effectiveness of based on emissions intensity will be set with a regulatory or financial
rules and procedures for backstop. A cap and trade system is expected to be in place by 2008.
disclosing material
information and delegate • Approximately 29% of the FT500 companies contacted through CDP
specific responsibility for are located in countries that are included in the EU ETS. Of those
identifying and documenting companies, we estimate approximately 32% have facilities covered by the
emerging trends in ETS. Much of the burden for GHG reductions is placed on the power
environmental regulation. sector. However, compliance costs will be felt in other sectors. Anglo
Sarbanes Oxley also goes American, a metals and mining firm, reports that possible compliance
beyond GAAP in terms of costs per annum for its operations in the period to 2012 could amount to
“fair presentation” of financial 1% of 2003 operating profit, and that, in the period to 2010, sales
condition, which now revenue could be hit, mainly as a result of lower coal sales to the EU
includes interpreted as (although these would be offset by the possibility of increased sales of
“disclosure of financial platinum group metals for use in fuel cells).
information that is informative
and reasonably reflects the • Heightened volatility and market uncertainty can be expected in certain
underlying transaction and key sectors, notably power, energy, insurance, transportation, heavy
events and the inclusion of manufacturing and building/infrastructure. Company shares are beginning to
any additional disclosure move on account of climate change news. The German energy giants RWE
necessary to provide and E.ON saw their stocks rise 5.2% and 3.5%, respectively, due to the
investors with a materially German economy minister’s comments on the German National Allocation
accurate and complete Plan. Utilities and coal firms doing business in Japan have experienced
picture of an issuer’s financial share price changes on account of climate policy developments.
condition, results of
operations and cash flows.” • In the US, it is clear many firms believe that mandatory national CO2
emissions targets are inevitable. AEP stated: “The United States will
Source: Innovest/Sarbanes
Oxley Act 2002, Section 906 eventually impose caps on carbon dioxide emissions, despite pulling out
three years ago from Kyoto Protocol.” Scottish Power states that “in
the US, it seems clear that, even in the absence of a firm commitment
at federal level to a climate change control programme, a variety of
instruments aimed at CO2 reduction will continue to be brought forward”.
17 See www.johnkerry.com/issues/
energy/plan.html
16
This conviction has led many firms to take voluntary action through, for
example, membership of the Chicago Climate Exchange or the EPA
Climate Leaders’ programme. Of the FT500 companies contacted, 48%
are based in the US and many non-US-based firms have substantial
operations in the country.
FT500 companies that have joined Chicago Climate Exchange – Ford Motor Company, Dupont, Bayer,
American Electric Power, Motorola, Waste Management, International Paper, Stora Enso North America,
IBM, Baxter, ST Microelectronics.
FT500 companies that have joined EPA Climate Leaders – 3M, Alcan, Alcoa, American Electric Power,
Bank of America, Baxter, BP, Caterpillar, Eastman Kodak, Exelon, FPL Group, Gap, General Motors, IBM,
International Paper, Johnson and Johnson, Lafarge, Lockheed Martin, Pfizer, Praxair, PSEG, Raytheon,
Roche Group, ST Microelectronics, Staples, Sun Microsystems, Target, Unilever, United Technologies.
Awareness of environmental • In the UK, the Department of Trade and Industry’s Innovation and Growth
risks and the benefits of Team for the Environmental Goods and Services sector recommended
environmental good practice that “Government make it clear that awareness of environmental risks and
is part of the duty of pension the benefits of environmental good practice is part of the duty of pension
fund trustees fund trustees, where these impact on long-term investment returns”18. The
terms of reference for the Operating and Financial Review (OFR) Working
Group on Materiality include the development of broad principles and
practical guidance on how directors can assess whether an item is
material to their company and hence whether it must be included in an
OFR. This will include the company’s impact on the environment19.
• In the US, the implications of the Sarbanes Oxley Act (made law in 2002)
vis a vis environmental risk disclosure, became clearer (see page 16). In
Canada, the Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants makes explicit
mention of environmental risk issues in its guidance on the Management’s
Discussion and Analysis section of company accounts20. The International
Financial Reporting Interpretations Committee (IFRIC), part of the IASB, is
seeking a change to accounting standards so that EU companies can
account for the changes in value of GHG emissions allowances in their
18 www.eif.org.uk/news/
IGT_Summary.pdf
income statements21.
19 www.dti.gov.uk/cld/ofrwgcon.pdf
20 Julie Desjardins and Alan Willis,
on behalf of CICA, at ‘Best Practices • The Financial Services Authority (FSA), the UK’s financial regulator, is
for Canadian Pension Funds and
Institutional Investors: a report on the
being pressured by activist groups with respect to shortcomings in listing
Climate Change and Investment Risk particulars mostly related to the disclosure of risks to coal mining firm
Workshop’, Canadian Social
Investment Organization, March 11, Xstrata’s business from efforts to tackle climate change22.
2004, in Toronto
21 www.pointcarbon.com/article.php
?articleID=2911&categoryID=259
22 www.environmental-
finance.com/2003/0302feb/news.htm
17
This shift in perspective • Opinions that actuarial data may become flawed are being voiced:
was captured recently in a “Actuaries base long-term financial assumptions on the links between
research note by German economic variables, such as investment return, interest rates, inflation and
bank West LB Panmure salary increases, which have historically been stable. It is possible climate
(July 2003): change will ‘unbundle’ these variables, leading to greater unpredictability
of pension and insurance costs.”23.
“This litigation could be a
catalyst or a trigger for Climate change litigation, trade regulation effects more
markets to really look at discernable
climate change issues, not As national and regional climate regulation regimes take shape, we anticipate
only with respect to the that the threat of climate litigation against major industrial emitters will rise.
expected costs of litigation,
but also in terms of a general • The beginning of public law challenges in 2002, with the collaboration of
economic assessment… US cities, NGOs and citizens against the US export credit bodies24, was
Before September 11, followed by 12 US states, American Samoa, cities and prominent NGOs
nobody really thought about challenging the failure of the US Environmental Protection Agency to
the risks or effects of regulate greenhouse gas emissions under the Clean Air Act25.
terrorist attacks on equity
market valuations, but • Over the past year or so, the public law relevance of climate change has
afterwards, the threats of been accepted by US courts26. A Californian appeals judge has rejected
terrorism were more the idea that “injury to all is injury to none” where “global environmental
perceived and dominant, and impact is threatened by a federal statutory wrong”27, and the Inuit
this led the markets to price Circumpolar Conference has announced its development of a case
in the effect. Climate change against the US in the Inter-American Commission for Human Rights28. Of
litigation will similarly arouse potentially greater direct impact on companies is the possibility of legal
the interest of the markets cases in which damages and monetary compensation are claimed. Legal
and raise the perception of commentators in both the US and UK have already suggested that these
the topic.” actions could succeed29, although establishing legal responsibility for
climate change by specific actors will be challenging. As reported by
InsideEPA.com, “environmentalists and state attorney-generals are honing
potential legal strategies to file tort suits against companies over their
23 www.the-actuary.org.uk/monthsissues alleged contributions to global warming”30. On this front, environmentalists
_frames/articles/03_05_05.asp
24 www.climatelawsuit.org/ launched an international and collaborative effort to enforce the law to
2002-08-26_Complaint.pdf
25 Commonwealth of Massachusetts, et
combat climate change31, and began to estimate the contribution of
al., Petitioners v. Environmental specific companies to temperature increases, starting with Exxon Mobil32.
Protection Agency, Respondent, and
Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, Meanwhile, tort lawyers’ letters were received by the directors of selected
et al., Intervenors, US Court of
Appeals, DC Circuit, Case No. 03-
Australian companies identified as major emitters and facilitators of
1361 (consolidated with 03-1362, 03- greenhouse gas emissions, warning them of the financial risks they
1363, 03-1364, 03-1365, 03-1366, 03-
1367 and 03-1368). faced33.
www.ago.state.ma.us/press_rel/202
petition2.asp?searchStr=1
26 Border Power Plant Working Group v. • Arcelor, one of Europe’s largest steel makers, filed a legal challenge
Dept. of Energy, et al., No. 02-CV-
513-EIG (POR), Order dated May 2, against the EU ETS in early 2004. Although the case has little likelihood of
2003 (US District Court for the
Southern District of California); Mid
success, commentators believe that it may spark other cases against the
States Coalition for Progress v. ETS and the National Allocation Plans themselves.
Surface Transp. Bd., 2003 US App.
LEXIS 20245 (US App., 2003)
27 Judge Gould in Covington v Jefferson
County, US Court of Appeals, 9th
• 2003 also saw more legally significant developments of climate change
Circuit, February 5, 2004. Full court science, which will help climate change victims in seeking compensation.
judgment here:
www.ca9.uscourts.gov/ca9/newopinio For the first time, human influence on a climate variable other than
ns.nsf/D0B2D3557486B9D488256E31
005D99FA/$file/0236000.pdf?openele
temperature – sea-level pressure – has been found34. Three studies found
ment
18
If the Kyoto Protocol is not human influence on regional temperature increases during the 20th
ratified, there may be an century (all covering the US)35. A means of calculating how human
increasing likelihood that activities have increased the risk of extreme events has been published.36
courts will see it as their And the “Ad hoc group (of climate scientists) for the modelling and
role to intervene to fill the assessment of contributions of climate change (MATCH)” have made
vacuum left by policymakers. progress with efforts to assess methods for calculating the contribution of
different emission sources to climate change and the various impacts37.
19
100
c6
80
60 c4 Key
Small CDM CERs VER - Verified Emissions Reductions
Risky CER - Certified Emissions Reductions
40 Assets VERs ERU - Emissions Reduction Units
c2 AAU - Assigned Amount Units
20 EUA - EU. Allowances (under ETS)
0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003F Types of Tradeable Carbon Offset Contract
Source: Point Carbon Source: CO2e.com/ Carbon Finance conference, Toronto, March 2004
John Browne, • Governments will be major buyers of GHG offsets. Over 50% of project-
Group CEO, BP 26 based offset purchases during 2003 were made by the Dutch government
November 2003: and the World Bank’s Prototype Carbon Fund. Several European
governments are making plans to become purchasers during 2004. The
“I don't think we're likely Danish government recently announced plans for a $125 million allocation
to see the sudden to carbon offsets from JI and CDM projects39.
emergence of a single
global trading system – • Advanced carbon finance engineering techniques can provide a valuable
that would be comparable source of additional cash flow in project settings. The early indications are
to the emergence of a that increased cash flow from carbon finance can boost internal rates of
single global currency - return (IRRs) by as much as 2% for renewables and energy efficiency
but I do think there would projects, and up to 15% for methane-capture projects40. The International
be value in the Finance Corporation (IFC) reported positive carbon impacts on projects in
development of the renewables in the region 3-6%41.
existing European
emissions trading scheme
as a "strong" currency - Technology IRR Increase @ $4/tCO2e
with its strength reflecting Hydro, Wind, Geothermal 0.5% – 2.5%
the rigour with which it is
applied. A strong Crop/Forest Residues 3% - 7%
currency of that sort Municipal Solid Waste 5% - 15%
would enable all the many Source: World Bank Carbon Finance Business
different fragmented
activities and efforts to • Revenue from the trading of renewables obligation certificates (ROCs) –
reduce emissions which also known as renewable energy certificates (RECs) or green tags – can
are underway across the represent a substantial proportion of the revenues flowing to renewables
globe to be valued on a developers, and can be a key factor in the decision of bankers and
common basis.” investors to finance new projects42. In the UK ROCs market, the buy-out
39 Environmental Finance, October 2003
40 V. Bishop, World Bank Carbon
price for the year (April 1 to March 31, 2005) has been set at
Finance Business, Environmental £31.39/mwh43.
Finance Conf, Toronto, March 2004
41 CDM & Project Finance: Issues and
Opportunities, IFC, Carbon Finance
2004, Toronto, March 2004
20
21
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
-50%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Increase in Energy Price
Source: Innovest (see Appendix B for methodology)
More than $2.5 billion has Clean technology markets get fresh attention from investors
been invested in cleantech The development of low carbon technologies is a key pillar of FT500
ventures over the past respondents’ climate risk management strategies. The fundamental growth
two years prospects for this industry continue to impress (see Appendix C: Renewable
Energy and Clean Technology Market Overview). Over the past 18 months,
momentum in the public and private clean technology markets has picked up:
• More than $2.5 billion has been invested in cleantech ventures over the
past two years – a near quadrupling of the market47. Energy related
investments, historically low, are now particularly fast-growing, up 80%
between 2002 and 200348. Equity market financings in clean technology
over 2003/4 exceeded $350 million in North America. Global wind power
installed capacity grew by 26% to 39,000 MW in 2003, an increase worth
some $9.7 billion (c8 billion)49.
• Pension funds are becoming key players in this market. The “Green Wave”
environmental investment initiative in California calls on pension fund giants
CalPERS and CalSTRS to commit $1.5 billion to clean technology
investments. The Clean Energy States Alliance (CESA) expects to have
about $3.5 billion collectively for clean energy tech over the next decade.
22
• In recent months, 14 deals in US markets totalling over $250 million, and four in the Canadian markets
totalling some C$113 million have been consummated. Of the two initial public offerings in Canada since
January 2004, one, CO2 Solution Inc, is explicitly based on carbon sequestration.
23
• Policymakers require it
• Shareholders are asking for it
• Competitors are necessitating it
• The market expects it
• Society demands it
The results of this year’s survey reflect an increased sense of urgency with respect to climate risk and carbon
finance among the FT500 compared with last year. CDP responses are more numerous, more diversified by
geography and industry, and more sophisticated in content than previously.
We estimate that, on aggregate, the total emissions reported to CDP2 across all sectors was 2,886,033,085
tonnes CO2e. This corresponds to roughly 13% of all emissions from fossil fuel combustion worldwide.
In terms of geographical representation (defined by location of company headquarters), the FT500 comprises
150 companies from Europe, 240 from U.S., 21 from Canada, 47 from Japan, 42 from Rest of World.
As was the case last year, the majority of respondents were from European-based firms. However, the
percentage of non-European respondents – notably US based firms – increased appreciably.
USA 240
Europe (49%)
150 (30%)
24
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
USA Canada Europe Japan Latin America Middle East Asia Pacific
238 17 155 50 8 3 29
No Response 81 3 15 13 6 3 13
Declined To Participate 61 3 17 4 0 0 5
Provided Information 25 4 10 2 0 0 0
Answered Questionnaire 71 7 113 31 2 0 11
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
USA Canada Europe Japan Latin America Middle East Asia Pacific
240 21 150 47 5 6 31
No Response 45 0 6 0 2 6 12
Declined To Participate 56 4 7 8 0 0 2
Provided Information 25 4 2 0 0 0 2
Questionnaire Forthcoming 13 2 8 1 1 0 1
Answered Questionnaire 101 11 127 38 2 0 14
25
Not surprisingly, response rates were higher once again among firms in carbon-intensive industries, although
companies in the communications equipment, electrical equipment, beverages and tobacco, and computers
and peripherals sectors also appear to be more aware of the issues involved than might be expected, which
shows companies increasingly identifying risks and opportunities from their product life cycles and supply
chains. Broadly speaking, companies from a wider cross-section of industries appear to be more engaged on
the issue than last year.
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Automobile & Auto Parts
Chemicals
Food Manufacturing
Electric Utilities
Insurance/Reinsurance
Transportation
Paper & Forest Products
26
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Computers & Peripherals
Semiconductors
Retail
Communications Equipment
& Instruments
& Supplies
Electronic Equipment
Healthcare Equipment
Software
Telecommunications
• Of the 16 transportation companies (includes Air Freight and Couriers, Airlines, Surface Transport, and
Trading Companies and Distributors), eight responded with quantitative data. In CDP1, five out of 12
responded with measured data. This represents an improvement in response rate of 8%.
• Of the 11 auto companies contacted this year, seven provided quantitative information. In CDP1, six of
the 11 responded quantitatively. This represents an improvement of 9%.
• Of 11 chemical companies, seven provided what we consider to be high quality data. Last year, we
received such data from five out of nine companies. This represents an improvement of 8%.
• Of 18 international electric utilities firms, 14 presented data in their responses (although two redirected
CDP to an environmental report). In CDP1, 11 out of 12 firms provided emissions data. This represents a
decrease in response rate of 14%.
• Of 11 North American electric utilities, nine provided quantitative responses. In CDP1, five out of 12
respondents reported emissions data. This corresponds to a 40% increase.
• Of 23 integrated oil and gas companies, 16 provided emissions data this year. In CDP1, nine out of 19
companies supplied emissions data. This represents an improvement of 23%.
• Of eight metals and mining firms, five reported emissions both this year and last.
27
• In general, leading companies that had a firm grip on the relevant risks and opportunities in CDP1 hold
those same perceptions in CDP2. Many firms have set reduction targets over five years or further and
seem convinced that achieving these goals is a strategic imperative. Less impressively, we note that
many firms either provided short responses that lacked sufficient data, or simply restated their response
from last year. Many companies – generally those with fewer ticks in boxes in the sectoral guidance notes
in Appendix A – remain behind the curve or unwilling to disclose their activities to the CDP and in other
published corporate literature.
• The percentage of FT500 companies that consider climate change to present risks and opportunities to
their business grew, from 39% to 45%. The majority of this increase came from the banking, electric
utility, integrated oil and gas, pharmaceuticals and food sectors. Evidence of concrete actions being taken
to respond to climate risks and opportunities is more widespread. More firms are also quantifying GHG
emissions. Last year, 51% of respondents in high-impact sectors reported they were measuring and
reporting GHG emissions. This year, that number has grown to 65%.
• For those firms providing high-quality information, corporate climate strategies appear to have become
more coherent and more comprehensive. Many firms have established multi-disciplinary teams to
manage the climate risk file. Anglo American has formed a Carbon Working Group that brings together
information and expertise from across the enterprise. PetroCanada’s Global Climate Change Team is an
internal cross-functional body with representatives from all business segments of the corporation,
established in 1998. ABN Amro has formed a cross-functional Climate Change Working Group
comprising representatives from the Financial Markets, Group Risk Management, Consumer and
Commercial Clients, Equities, Integrated Energy, Project Finance, Environment and Social Risk
Management and Corporate Communications business units. Shell has created an Environmental
Products Trading Business (EPTB) with sole responsibility in the Group for emissions trading and
managing the overall Group approach to the various markets. Other firms with particularly strong
multifunctional climate-risk management teams include Rio Tinto, Alcoa and ENI. The only company
that identifies the CEO as having primary responsibility for climate change was BP.
• Signs of progress are also evident in other sectors. For example, the number of banks reporting an
involvement in renewable energy initiatives more than doubled compared with last year (see chart
on page 29).
28
50 The CDCF will finance small and High Impact Sectors: Reporting and Trading
medium-sized projects to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions, in 70%
particular in poorer developing 2002/3
countries. In return, participants in the
fund will receive certified emission 60% 2003/4
rights for greenhouse gases. It is
% of Respondents in
High Impact Sectors
30%
20%
10%
0%
Last year, 51% of Reported GHG Data Confirmed Interest/Participation
respondents in high-impact in Emissions Trading
sectors reported they
were measuring and Banking and Renewables
reporting GHG emissions.
% of Banking Sector
This year, that number Responders that Noted
hasgrown to 65% Engagement in Renewable
2003 Energy Projects
% of Banking Sector
Responders that Flagged
Renewable Energy as
an Opportunity
2002
This type of trend analysis is explored on a sector-by-sector basis in Appendix A of the report.
• As the environmental commodity markets expand, interest and engagement in emissions trading activity
across the FT500 firms also appears to be growing; of the 129 respondents in high-impact sectors last
year, 43% reported involvement of some sort in emissions trading. This year, 54% of firms say they are
involved in such trading, including the following cross-section of companies:
- BASF is participating in the World Bank’s Community Development Carbon Fund (CDCF)50 , a pilot
project to test the mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol for global climate protection. BASF has agreed
to provide $2.5 million over a period of about 15-17 years.
- Mitsui participates in the World Bank's Prototype Carbon Fund (PCF), with investment of $6 million.
They expect that Emission Reduction Units equivalent to about 1.2 million tonnes of CO2e will be
distributed as a dividend. Electrabel has also invested $5 million in the PCF.
- Sanpaolo IMI Group companies Banca OPI and its subsidiary Finopi are collaborating with various
international partners to structure a dedicated climate-related fund to invest in GHG credits in the new
emissions trading markets.
29
- Statoil is developing a “Carbon Treasury” as the single operational interface with the emissions
trading market. The treasury will be overseen by the Senior Vice President Group Finance. Its offshore
installations paid about $114 million in CO2 tax in 2003 and it expects participation in the EU ETS will
allow it to cut these costs by approximately 30%.
- BHP Billiton is developing relationships with counterparts in the European emissions trading market
and expects, in the medium term, to consider opportunities to staple carbon credits to the sale of its
greenhouse gas intensive products (e.g. coal) into Europe and Japan.
- ABN Amro has developed in-house models to analyze the EU emissions trading regime, and
examine demand and price scenarios and market supply dynamics, in an effort to enhance its
capability to meet client needs.
- RWE reports emission trades in the UK and Denmark and via a European Pre-Compliance trade.
- A subsidiary of Kansai Electric has made an investment in Natsource Japan, a CO2 broker, in the
hopes of gaining trading know-how and new consulting business.
- Shell has created an Environmental Products Trading Business (EPTB) to coordinate the
company’s engagement in emissions trading and to manage its approach to the various markets.
The EPTB has engaged in early-stage trading via the UK Emissions Trading System, while individual
business units are expected to estimate the cost of CO2 abatement opportunities in all refineries.
- Scottish & Southern Energy has partnered with external consultants to assess the impact of the EU
ETS on its business, and is analyzing the optimum carbon management of its power generation
portfolio.
- Mitsubishi Estate has joined the trial implementation of Japan’s domestic emissions trading scheme.
- Dexia launched in the first quarter of 2004 a financial engineering solution that allows the bank to
support GHG-reducing investments by local authorities by “upgrading” the future financial value of the
emission quotas generated by these projects.
• The potential for greater energy price volatility has meant that energy risk management and energy
efficiency initiatives are taking on a new strategic importance for many firms. Responses indicate that
- Dupont has estimated fuel savings versus “business as usual” at more than $2 billion since 1990 due
to energy conservation. Additional savings were realized due to improved product yield and reduced
waste disposal costs.
- Exxon Mobil reports that changes introduced via its Global Energy Management System are
reducing energy costs by over $100 million per year.
- BP reports gains of $650 million in net present value due to various efforts to increase operational
efficiency, apply technological innovation and improve energy management.
- Alcoa’s Energy Efficiency Network has identified $55 million in energy savings in its North American
operations. To date, Alcoa has captured $16 million of these savings and expects most of the rest to
be achieved by 2007.
30
- Bank of America’s energy team managed a $4.7 million energy capital pool which resulted in 23
million kwh of energy saved across its real-estate portfolio.
- Johnson & Johnson estimates that $30 million in annualized operational savings can be achieved
through projects to reduce CO2 emissions
- BAA’s target to reduce CO2 emissions from energy use by 15% by 2010 is expected to result in a
net reduction in energy costs of £4.6 million.
- Danone anticipates its latest energy savings will translate to about c20 million per year.
- Imperial Tobacco’s target for energy conservation opportunities offer estimated savings of £2 million
per annum with a two to four-year payback period.
• The information and telecommunications business has been particularly active with respect to energy and
fuel consumption, particularly in developing country settings.
- Ericsson notes that “virtual communication” through ICT solutions is cheaper and emits much less
fossil carbon dioxide than physical travel and transportation. Expanding the use of ICT in the
developing world is being viewed as a way to bridge the global poverty divide while avoiding a
commensurate increase in fossil fuel consumption. The telecoms industry is actively pursuing this
agenda through the UN Global Compact and the Global e-sustainability initiative (www.gesi.org),
whose membership includes AT&T, BT, Deutsche Telekom, Ericsson, Telefonica and Vodafone.
• The development of low-carbon technologies continued to be a major focus for many multinationals as
part of their climate change strategy
- In Europe, Robeco, the fund management arm of Rabobank, created what it calls the world’s first
clean technology-oriented private equity fund of funds late in 2003.
- Santander Central Hispano has financed more than 35 wind farms over the past five years,
involving a committed investment of over c250 million. The power from these wind farms
represents a saving in CO2 emissions to the environment of 2,270,000 tonnes per year.
- BNP Paribas is also paying particular attention to the development of renewable energy and, in
particular, to the financing of wind farms. In 2003, the bank participated in a project providing facilities
to RWE Innogy in order to help the company recapitalise its portfolio and acquire new wind farms in
Britain.
- RWE Innogy’s £400 million equity and debt financing of a new offshore wind farm was shifted off
balance sheet, a major innovation in that it reduces RWE’s gearing and provides for equity as well as
debt financing.
- Spain-based utility Endesa recently announced plans to invest about c1.3 billion ($1.6 billion) from
now until 2008 in 1,998 megawatts of renewable energy, of which 85mw will be generated from
mini-hydro projects, with the remainder coming from wind farms (Renewable Energy Today, EIN,
19/04/04).
31
- As part of the $24 million CO2 Capture Project, Suncor is working with a coalition of major energy
companies to support research into the viability of injecting waste carbon dioxide into underground
storage reservoirs.
- The Rio Tinto Foundation for a Sustainable Minerals Industry is investigating the Development of
advanced aluminium smelting cells with the aim of reducing electrical energy (and emissions) to
produce aluminium; enhanced bio-fixation of carbon dioxide, offering the potential to produce
renewable fuels from accelerated production of biomass; and the application of wind power at
remote mine locations.
On an individual company basis, there were several examples of firms showing a particularly impressive
improvement between CDP1 and CDP2:
• PPG Industries, a chemical company, did not respond last year, but this year not only responded but
has joined the US Business Roundtable’s “Climate RESOLVE” initiative, with a reduction goal of 18% in
GHG intensity by 2012.
• Imperial Tobacco was not in the FT500 2002, but did mention in this year’s response that it was CDP1
that prompted the company to improve its reporting and disclosure. Imperial measures some of its supply
chain emissions and does work with the Social Responsibility in Tobacco Production programme to help
reduce emissions during the tobacco curing process.
• State Street did not respond last year, but this year has provided one of the most comprehensive
responses in the Diversified Financials sector and has also joined as a signatory to CDP.
• Santander Central Hispano has moved beyond its former focus on the energy efficiency of its
headquarters to a more well-rounded perspective on climate change which recognizes risks to the credit
quality of customers and the opportunities afforded through financing renewable energy projects.
• Standard Chartered provided a far more robust response this year compared with last. The company’s
perception of climate change risks in the context of the financial-services industry is greatly improved and
now ranks among leaders in the sector.
• Burlington Northern Santa Fe, a non-respondent last year, provided details of emissions, management
approaches and low-carbon technologies being deployed.
32
33
Several FT500 companies Rio Tinto comments that the most significant source of emissions associated
are openly grappling with with its products is from the combustion of coal and the conversion of iron ore
the problem of integrating to steel. In 2003, emissions from these sources were estimated at 318 Mt CO2e
carbon costs and other and 200 Mt CO2e respectively. Finally, and impressively, Nippon Steel
climate risks into measures the effectiveness of typical high-functional steel products to reduce
management accounting greenhouse gas emissions from an LCA viewpoint. According to the firm, the
reduction effects of high-functional steel products for automobiles, ships, rail
vehicles, construction, electric transformer, and power generation boilers are
estimated to be about 6.5 million tonnes of CO2 per year.
Responses indicate that Forest products company Weyerhauser believes that its activity in the carbon
planning over longer-term finance area will enable it to readily utilize financial tools in future when
horizons (five years or “generally accepted carbon accounting principles” are adopted at the national
more) is being hindered by and international level.
perceptions that rational
economic decisions can be Ricoh, a Japanese office equipment and manufacturing firm, has developed an
made only in the presence of “eco-balance” accounting system that translates the company's environmental
greater regulatory certainty burdens into hard figures. Despite consistent growth, the company has used
this approach to reduce its global CO2 emissions by over 10% between 1990
and 2002.
Repsol YPF states that internal reference prices for GHGs are applied to
decision making in all its global activities.
CDP responses send clear message to policymakers “If the political system turns
Responses indicate that planning over longer-term horizons (five years or out to be incapable of dealing
more) is being hindered by perceptions that rational economic decisions with it (climate change) ...the
can be made only in the presence of greater regulatory certainty. For same not need be the case for
example, British Sky Broadcasting, a leader in the global broadcasting the business community and
market, acknowledges that the most significant commercial risk associated the investment community…
with climate change stems from “the uncertainty regarding [national] ….You have responsibility as
government guidance”. fiduciaries...to analyze risk and
look for opportunities.”
Leaving aside the observation that multinationals routinely make vital
strategically relevant business decisions in the face of long-term market Former Vice President Al Gore,
uncertainty, the CDP responses send a clear message to policymakers, U.N. Investor Summit on
which concur with other similar studies on this topic51. In order to take Climate Risk
serious steps on climate change, multinational firms need governments to: November 2003
Food Products
Sara Lee has not tracked GHG emissions to date. Unilever: “CO2 emissions from our manufacturing
However “due to increased global awareness of the vs. operations are reported annually” and have been
topic, we have initiated a project designed to measured from worldwide operations since 1995.
quantify some of these gas emissions.”
Electrical Equipment/Manufacturing
Schneider Electric, one of the world's largest GE, a global leader in electrical equipment
manufacturers of equipment for electrical manufacturing, said: “[We] recently completed [our]
distribution and industrial control and automation, vs. first GHG inventory using the WRI/WBCSD protocol
said: “[Our]GHG emissions are insignificant... [Our) ... and calculated annual global emissions at 10.0
manufacturing processes do not especially release MMT CO2 equivalents.”
greenhouse gases.”
Healthcare Providers/Equipment
United Health Group, a $28 billion healthcare Baxter, a worldwide healthcare leader, “views
services provider, replied that “our mission is to climate change as one of the most significant
facilitate and advance health... As such, impacts vs. environmental challenges facing mankind today”,
from climate change would be indirect or non- and “uses the WBCSD GHG protocol … to
existent” calculate all GHG emissions”.
51 See, for example, the UNEP Finance Initiative study ‘Climate Change and the Global Financial Markets’, 2002 (www.unepfi.net)
35
Telecommunications
SK Telecom: “We are a telecom service provider, Deutsche Telekom says that measures against
therefore we wouldn't be affected by climate global climate change offer “interesting business
change.” opportunities” for innovative products and services.
vs. “We are also convinced that our
telecommunications services may contribute to a
substantial increase of the resources efficiency –
and especially the energy efficiency – of society.”
Banking
Nomura, a major Japanese bank: “We do not have Barclays, one of the EU’s largest financial services
any direct relations with greenhouse gas emissions groups, observed that “climate change represents
with our business, therefore we neither have both opportunities and risks… Opportunities in
commercial risk nor any opportunities.” respect of new products and services (for example,
our Environmental Services Team in UK Banking
vs. provides financial services to renewable energy
projects); and risks in respect of changing patterns
of consumer demand (tourism) or crop yields
(agriculture), or the curtailment of insurance cover
for properties in low-lying (flood risk) areas.”
Real Estate
Equity Office Property Trust, the US’s largest Mitsubishi Estate, the Japanese real estate
publicly held office building owner, answered that it developer, states: “GHG emission reduction
saw no risks from climate change or the policy measures taken by the government, based on
responses to climate change because “EOP is not climate change and the policy responses to it, will
a producer of energy or a product that is energy possibly influence the profit and losses as well as
intensive in its production”. vs. the investment behaviour of our company… We will
be able to have a competitive advantage among
other companies by managing ‘low GHG emission
buildings’, which will create business opportunities
for us.”
Financial Services/Mortgages
Golden West, the holding firm of one of the US’s Abbey National: “Direct losses from damages and
largest home mortgage lenders, states: “We only remediation due to climate change (namely
make mortgage loans. We operate in the US only, vs. increasing risk of flood, storm and subsidence)….
and we emphasize recycling and energy efficiency impact the company’s buildings, mortgage portfolio
in all our operations.” and investments.”
36
Such differences of opinion support the view that climate change and carbon constraints will accentuate the
natural competitive conditions that exist in every industry, helping to create shareholder value for some firms,
while eroding it for others. A recent survey by PricewaterhouseCoopers supports this observation52; with nine
months to go to the launch of the EU ETS, only 45% of Europe’s major utilities surveyed by PWC have
implemented a climate change strategy, either partially or fully, and 22% have no strategy at all. This is despite
the fact that 54% of firms believe that emissions trading will enhance their shareholder value in the long term,
and 49% foresee a beneficial effect on long-term profitability.
Of even greater concern, several companies failed to respond to the CDP letter, despite having a significant
proportion of their outstanding common shares owned by signatories to the CDP letter. The table on page 39
shows FT500 firms that did not respond or declined to participate and the corresponding share ownership by
CDP signatories shown in each company’s list of top 50 stock owners. This means that the actual share
ownership by all 95 signatories would generally be even greater than the figures stated.
Some of these firms are even known to be proactively engaged in reducing GHG emissions, developing low
carbon technologies or improving their business via the carbon markets. Notable examples include:
• Con Edison, the electric utility, is known to be taking proactive action on GHG reductions and energy
management.
• Marsh & McLennan, the insurance broker and underwriter. Through a team of dedicated carbon
professionals, this firm has been active in furthering industries’ understanding of the risks attached to
climate change and carbon trading for several years.
• Alcan has an excellent GHG management programme and provided a strong response last year. This
year, the merger with Pechiney caused a delayed reply as the two companies consolidated their
emissions data and aligned their individual climate change strategies.
In the vast majority of cases, CDP was not made aware of the reasons why a response was not forthcoming.
We can speculate that, in some cases, response failure was due to the size of the management challenge that
climate change poses within the modern-day multinational company and a general lack of communication within
the firm. It is worrying, however, that a major company would choose to ignore correspondence from institutional
shareholders requesting disclosure on a governance-related issue, given the present mood of the market.
52 ‘Emission critical: Connecting carbon and value strategies in utilities’, PricewaterhouseCoopers, March 2004
53 ‘Competing for the Future’, Gary Hamel, C.K. Prahalad, Harvard Business School Press, 1994
37
It is worrying that a major The deeper issue at stake here is, we believe, the notion of corporate leadership
company would choose to and brand value. To what extent does a company wish to be known as a leader
ignore correspondence from in tackling what has been called the greatest environmental challenge of the
institutional shareholders 21st century? Are a company’s directors, officers and employees content with
requesting disclosure on a being swept along, reacting to climate challenges only when compelled by
governance-related issue others to do so? Or would they prefer to seize the initiative and press for
solutions in a proactive, prudent and, ultimately, profitable fashion? The
answers to these questions define leadership on the climate-risk issue.
Brand value is often cited a reason why companies should be proactive. There
is little doubt that brand value is having an increasingly significant influence over
the market’s overall valuation of a firm’s future earnings power. Few dispute that
a firm’s position on climate change can have a direct impact on its brand. The
Deutsche Bank stated: obvious example is Exxon Mobil, whose opposition to the Kyoto Protocol, for
“Being handed a reputation example, led to boycotts in Europe. While the impact on EXM’s share price
as environmental enemy appears to have been insignificant, future risks may be greater. Writing on this
number one, for such a big issue, Deutsche Bank stated: “Being handed a reputation as environmental
customer-facing business, enemy number one, for such a big customer-facing business, has to be
has to be considered a considered a brand risk.”54
brand risk.”
For some firms, political uncertainty around GHG mitigation has been used as
a springboard to create future competitive advantage: BP, in the case of GHG
emissions reduction; Intel, in respect of its chip technology (see box on
page 40); Swiss Re, with its GHG risk solutions business unit; Dupont and
Shell, in the area of emissions trading, spring readily to mind. Others include
Mitsui, BASF, Volkswagen, Cadbury Schweppes, Unilever, Heineken,
Stora Enso, Westpac, Barclays, Anglo American, Nippon Steel, and BAA.
54 http://a520.g.akamai.net/7/520/1534/release1.0/www.greenpeace.org/multimedia/download/1/135843/0 /deutschebank.pdf
38
39
Microsoft vs Intel
Comparing the CDP responses of the two companies Microsoft and Intel illustrates the differences in thinking
on climate leadership. Although the two firms are in separate but connected segments of the same industry,
Microsoft in software, Intel in hardware and chip manufacturing, both can affect the life cycle impacts of
computer systems around the world. Indeed, the operating systems of hundreds of millions of computers
rely on Microsoft products. In it’s CDP response Microsoft does not mention any steps that it is taking
towards configuring its software in order to minimise energy consumption of computers. The firm’s response
to the CDP question ‘Do you measure the emissions associated with both the use and disposal of your
products and services’ is:
“Due to the categories of products and services we produce, Microsoft does not quantify emissions and has
no current plans to do so.”
The stance contrasts starkly with the pioneering attitude of Intel, who recognise that the chips they make
(that Microsoft software frequently operates), produce serious emissions:
“Intel provides Instantly Available PC (IAPC) technology that reduces the power use to < 5 watts when the
PC is in “sleep mode”. If all PCs in the US operate with Intel IAPC, the US EPA estimates that over 10 years
IAPC would save the following over the Energy Star standard: 75 Million Metric Tons of CO2 eliminated”
40
V. Appendices
A. Sector Analysis of Responses
E. CDP Questionnaire
F. Contacts:
• CDP Signatory Contacts
• CDP Team
• CDP Advisory Board
• Innovest Strategic Value Advisors
41
APPENDIX A.
Sector Analysis of Responses
In this year’s report, we have attempted to document and characterize
every response in every industrial sector. The tables in this appendix
therefore represent the responder’s performance across each of the
primary elements of the CDP questionnaire.
For a smaller number of “high risk” sectors, we have provided a more detailed analysis in the form of a brief
reminder of the potential impacts of climate change, the inclusion of commentary on best practice taken from
CDP responses, and guidance notes for investors. These sectors are:
In other, lower-impact sectors we provide a breakdown of company response status in six categories of GHG
strategy, based on the CDP question categories:
1. Strategic Awareness: the extent to which a firm considers climate risks and opportunities to be relevant
to its business.
2. Management Accountability/Responsibility: whether and how a company has allocated responsibility
for the management of climate-related issues.
3. Emissions Management and Reporting: the progress a company has made in quantifying and
disclosing/reporting its emissions profile, including the use of third-party verification.
4. Emissions Trading: the extent to which a firm has considered emissions trading in its risk-management
response.
5. Programmes in Place: quality and nature of any emissions reduction programmes, including energy
efficiency, that a firm has implemented.
6. Establishment of Targets: have formal GHG emissions/reduction targets been set with a timeline?
Beginning this year, and where the available data make it possible, we have also added a trend analysis for
certain sectors in which we track the GHG emissions trajectories of FT500 companies. The purpose of this
additional section is to monitor the progress of FT500 companies in making the shift towards a less GHG-
intensive economy and, in doing so, provide some measure of progress. This year, data quality limitations
have restricted this trend analysis to the Automotive, Electric Utilities, and Integrated Oil and Gas sectors.
Finally, as in 2003, we note there are high-risk sectors that are not included here because of a lack of
adequate representation on the FT500 list. The cement, lime, water utilities and waste management sectors
are perhaps the most obvious.
42
BMW ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
DaimlerChrysler AG ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Ford Motor Company ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
General Motors Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Harley-Davidson NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Automobiles
Honda Motor
Company Limited ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Nissan Motor
Company Limited QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Peugeot SA ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Renault ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Toyota Motor Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Volkswagen AG ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Auto Parts
Bridgestone Corp. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Denso Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ N/A ✔
• Carbon constraints will first and foremost raise the competitive stakes surrounding vehicle fuel
economy. The race is on among auto manufacturers to continue to improve the fuel efficiency of their
vehicles, both for competitive purposes, and to keep in line with regulations in the regions in which they
operate. German car manufacturers have committed to reducing average fuel consumption of new
vehicles by 25% by 2005, thus reducing CO2 emissions by 25%. BMW reached this target in 2003.
Under the auspices of the ACEA, European car manufacturers – including Renault and Volkswagen –
have agreed to reduce the CO2 emissions of new vehicles to 140 g/km by 2008. Renault is also
working on new motors and power train technologies, as well as lightening materials to decrease fuel
consumption. DaimlerChrysler will have on-road experience with more than 100 fuel-cell vehicles by
the end of 2004, and it has already put Natural Gas Technology vehicles on the market.
• Auto manufacturers vary greatly in the GHG intensity of their operations (see trend analysis on page 45).
43
• More manufacturers are publicly disclosing the CO2 emissions of every car and engine they
produce, including, in their CDP responses, BMW and Ford. Ford describes how it is participating in the
Revisions Working Group, preparing the next edition of the GHG Protocol. Ford has committed to 2% of
energy supply from renewable energy in the US. Volkswagen is working to develop alternative fuels that
will not require changes in the combustion engine, such as “SynFuel” (ex: natural gas) and “SunFuel”
(biomass) both being developed through partnership arrangements.
• Advanced vehicle technology R&D continues apace. All of the auto majors are active in clean
engine/fuel technology development. Related developments over 2003/4 include Ford’s Escape Hybrid,
which is due on the market in mid-2004 and, in the luxury class, its new Jaguar which has much improved
fuel economy. Ford also has a hybrid fuel-cell vehicle in third-stage generation, but it is not yet
commercially available. GM continues to focus on Gasoline Direct Injection, Displacement on Demand
engines, Continuously Variable Transmissions, hybrid propulsion systems and lightweight materials for
mass reduction. GM expects to produce the first hybrid pickup truck in North America, as well as a hybrid
propulsion system for urban transit buses. BMW’s initiatives include “Valvetronic” (a fully variable valve
train), second-generation High Pressure Diesel Injection, six-speed automatic transmissions, and tyres with
reduced rolling resistance. BMW’s long-term goal is to focus on hydrogen vehicles. However, no details
were provided on projects or status of developments. DaimlerChrysler continues with its long-term, c1
billion programme to bring fuel-cell vehicles to market. (Fuel-cell buses underwent field tests in 2003.)
• Reducing emissions and reducing costs can go hand in hand. As we reported last year, although
CO2 emissions linked to vehicle manufacturing account for less than 10% of the CO2 produced during
the entire life of a vehicle, manufacturers’ own carbon emissions will directly translate into increased
operating costs. These costs will take two forms: direct carbon charges or increased fuel/energy costs.
This year’s responses indicate that companies have been proactively addressing this issue. BMW reports
that the cost of reducing one tonne of CO2 will range from c100 to c1,000. Ford’s plant fuel switching
project at one site will save more than $400,000 per year and result in over 12,000 tonnes of avoided
CO2 emissions. Volkswagen’s energy savings initiatives saved one plant c1.3 million each year by
reducing ambient temperature by one degree.
-5%
-10%
Decrease in Stock Price
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
-50%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Increase in Energy Price
44
• Regional manufacturing plant distribution will be a key determinant of exposure. Within the Annexe
1 group, manufacturers with major plants in Ontario and Germany appear to be best off (the former
because of exemptions; the latter because of the German emissions pooling arrangement). Firms with
greater non-Annexe 1 manufacturing operations will clearly have lower regulatory hurdles to surmount.
• Involvement in emissions trading activities has increased over the past year. VW, which considers
its Czech power plant at Mlada Boleslav to be one of the most important AIJ (activity implemented jointly)
projects worldwide, and Ford, which has participated in the UK Emissions Trading Scheme and in the
design phase of the US Chicago Climate Exchange, appear to be leading the way. Ford’s involvement in
the Chicago Climate Exchange, commits the company to reduce US GHG emissions by 4% by 2006.
DaimlerChrysler, which has 13 facilities affected by the EU’s Emissions Trading Directive, is “preparing
internally” for participation.
The charts below illustrate the changes over the past year in the top auto firms’ (reported GHG emissions
per vehicle produced).
1.8
1.6
1.4
CO2e tons/unit production
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
DCX GM Ford BMW Toyota VW Honda Renault
45
BANKING
Strategy to Prepare for
Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Considers Climate Emissions Trading Regimes Emission Reduction
Allocated for Formal GHG
Change to Present Programs in Place
Management of Evidence Use of Third Reduction Targets
Risks and/or (including energy
Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Set With Timeline
Opportunities efficiency)
Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification
Al Rajhi Banking
& Investments NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Australia and New
Zealand Banking Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
BOC Hong Kong
Holdings Limited NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Commonwealth
Bank of Australia IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
DBS Group Holdings
Kookmin Bank NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Banks - Asia
BBV Argentaria ✔ ✔ ✔
BNP Paribas ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Credit Agricole ✔ ✔ ✔
Credit Suisse Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Danske Bank A/S DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Deutsche Bank AG ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
46
BANKING (continued)
Strategy to Prepare for
Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Considers Climate Emissions Trading Regimes Emission Reduction
Allocated for Formal GHG
Change to Present Programs in Place
Management of Evidence Use of Third Reduction Targets
Risks and/or (including energy
Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Set With Timeline
Opportunities efficiency)
Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification
Dexia ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
KBC Bankverzekerings
Holdings ✔ ✔ ✔
Nordea AB ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Banks - Europe
Barclays PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Hbos PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
HSBC Holdings PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Lloyds TSB Group PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Royal Bank Of Scotland
Group PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Standard Chartered PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
47
DIVERSIFIED FINANCIALS
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emission Reduction
Climate Change Allocated for Strategy to Prepare Formal GHG
Programs in Place
to Present Management of for Emissions Use of Third Reduction Targets
(including energy
Risks and/or Climate Change Trading Regimes Emissions Data Party Reporting Set With Timeline
efficiency)
Opportunities Related Issues Disclosed Protocol/Verification
American Express
Company NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Citigroup Inc ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Fortis ✔ ✔ ✔
Franklin Resources QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Goldman Sachs
Group Inc NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
ING Groep NV ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
JP Morgan Chase
And Company QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Lehman Brothers Holdings
Inc. (Peabody Energy) IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
MBNA Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Merrill Lynch
And Company Inc ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Morgan Stanley DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Nomura Company Limited
Power Financial Corp. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Principal Financial Group IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Schwab Charles Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
SLM Corp. QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
State Street Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
• Banks getting their own house in order remain good strategic bets. Our opinion from last year holds:
those banks with the most sophisticated internal GHG management systems are overwhelmingly those
with the best overall risk-management approach to climate change. Further, there is a clear correlation
between those banks that demonstrate the best understanding of climate-change risks and
opportunities, and those that are most prepared to offer new climate-related services to clients. ABN
AMRO, HSBC, Barclays, HBOS, Lloyds TSB, RBC, ANZ, Abbey National, Deutsche Bank, UBS and
Westpac – all identified above as leaders in client service in emissions trading – can be singled out as
having leading climate-change strategies.
• Macroeconomic risks loom larger across the spectrum of banking activities. Firms acknowledge
that climate risks may affect their business. As this report details, climate change has the potential to
cause major disruptions to a range of sectors, from tourism and agriculture to power generation and real
estate. This year, several firms acknowledged this new commercial reality by highlighting the risks to their
clients and showing how losses could impact the credit quality of clients and the value of equity
investments. ABN AMRO conducted extensive interviews with corporate clients to analyze the climate
impacts that face the company’s cross-sector client base. In Asia, Malayan Bank noted that its local
experiences in the late 1990s with the effects of El Nino (causing Pacific warming) and the pollution haze
issue had reinforced concerns over the economic costs of climate change. In Australia, Westpac has
joined a coalition of companies to undertake a planning exercise – mapping the economic effects of
climate change across a number of key industries; National Australia Bank is undertaking specific
analysis of the aluminium, automobile and mining sectors to better understand climate-related credit risks.
48
• Credit risk and insurance losses are the focal points of management concern. Increased risk from
credit impairment was raised as a key issue by a number of banks, including Scotiabank, Standard
Chartered, HBOS, ABN AMRO and ANZ. Westpac, in particular, has commenced analyzing the
greenhouse-gas risk profiles of customers in its debt portfolio. RBC reports that is has developed a
strategy for incorporating “carbon risk” into the risk assessment of borrowers in high-risk sectors. For
banks with insurance businesses, many have flagged increasing claims due to weather damage as a
major potential risk.
• Structured finance market for renewable energy takes off. Many banks have undertaken a serious
assessment of climate-related market opportunities. The majority have clearly identified renewable energy
projects as offering the greatest risk/return profiles in the short term. Deal making is predominantly in
Europe, where renewable portfolio standards are proliferating at the most rapid pace, but some North
American firms are exploring financing opportunities as well. As lead arranger on a number of syndicated
renewable energy projects, Dexia reports that its outstanding in the renewable energy sector is now
worth more than c200 million, or about 10% of the c2 billion total of syndicated renewable energy
funding. Santander Central Hispano has financed more than 35 wind farms over the past five years with
a committed investment of over c250 million. RBC’s alternative energy portfolio includes more than 20
wind farms and its $50 million alternative energy technology venture fund. HBOS’s Project Finance Power
team reports arranging finance for multi-million-pound renewable energy projects in the UK and overseas.
Scotiabank sees its positioning as a leading corporate banker to the power industry as offering
tremendous opportunities to help its clients finance hydro, wind farm and biomass energy generation
facilities. Barclays, ABN AMRO, BNP Paribas and ANZ also report providing financial services to
renewable energy projects, primarily via structured finance deals.
• Innovative new funds are emerging to capture opportunities. Dexia is developing its Dexia FondElec
Energy Efficiency & Emissions Reduction Fund, which was created by the ERDB and is designed to
finance the reduction of energy consumption and GHG emissions in central and eastern Europe over the
next 10 years. Sanpaolo IMI says it is working on the structuring of funds dedicated to emissions
credits, financing infrastructure adaptation and energy efficiency projects. ABN AMRO also notes that it
sees opportunities to establish funds that specialize in low-carbon investments.
• Emissions trading markets offer new client service opportunities; market development remains
critical. Virtually every leading bank has recognized the future opportunities afforded by emissions trading
(ET) market development. ABN AMRO has examined market supply, demand and price scenarios using
in-house analytical models. It claims to have responded to client interest in the cross-border supply of
contingent compliance units. Canada-based CIBC is monitoring the development of these markets with a
view to offering emissions-trading services to clients. RBC – also based in Canada – has taken its efforts
a step further by not only monitoring developments but also by collaborating with the International
Emissions Trading Association on initiatives to develop the framework for a Canadian carbon market. In
Australia, ANZ is reviewing the progress of various ET schemes; Westpac has established an
Environmental Markets Group with a focus on carbon credit opportunities and Australia’s renewable
energy certificate market. Sanpaolo IMI reports that it is working towards structuring dedicated climate-
related funds to invest in GHG credits. Others, such as Abbey National and UBS have extensively
examined the markets in the past, and await sufficient ET market development before rolling out
dedicated business units.
49
To understand how CDP respondents from the banking sector are positioning themselves on the issue of
renewable energy financing, we have examined the proportion of CDP respondents with concrete initiatives in
clean energy financing this year versus last.
% of Banking Sector
Responders that Noted
Engagement in Renewable
2003 Energy Projects
% of Banking Sector
Responders that Flagged
Renewable Energy as
an Opportunity
2002
50
CHEMICALS
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Air Products
and Chemicals ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Air Liquide ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
BASF ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Bayer ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Dow ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
DuPont ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
PPG Industries ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Praxair ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Reliance Industries NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Saudi Basic Industries NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
ShinEtsu ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
• The hallmarks of a good climate change strategy are identifiable. Dow Chemical maintains its
leading four-pronged climate-change strategy, which covers technology, business integration, new
products and stakeholder involvement. Implementation is spearheaded by a multidisciplinary Climate
Change Opportunity Management Team. This year’s leader, Air Products, is developing a range of
innovative energy technologies and has begun capitalizing on business opportunities as a low carbon
technology provider.
• More firms are measuring emissions using standardized GHG measurement systems (such as the
GHG Protocol developed by WBCSD/WRI) for their own emissions. Leaders, such as Air Products,
BASF, DuPont and Praxair measure emissions under both Scope 1 (direct) and Scope 2 (from imported
electricity). Reductions of these emissions continue to translate into savings in operating costs.
• Energy intensity continues to be is a key risk driver. Last year, BASF, the German chemicals giant,
estimated that every c0.01 increase per kilowatt hour resulted in additional costs of about c58 million for
some manufacturing sites. To illustrate this point, refer to the chart below, in which we have estimated the
effect on stock valuation of CDP-responding chemical companies to increases in energy costs as a
percentage of operating expense. Interviews with industry experts revealed that energy costs in the
chemical sector typically ranged from 5% to 25% of operating expense. All else being equal, even at a
5% assumed increase in energy costs, the downward pressure on stock price can range anywhere from
3% to 20%. As illustrated by the chart below, at higher assumed increases in energy costs, the range
of negative stock-price impacts is even further amplified. This analysis is intended to be indicative of
energy sensitivity in the sector and is dependent on a) any energy cost increases being permanent, and
b) market conditions in which costs cannot be readily passed on to consumers. For methodology, see
Appendix B.
51
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-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
-50%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Increase in Energy Price
• As a result, energy efficiency is at a premium. Nearly all firms that submitted responses were spending
capital on more energy-efficient equipment, or fuel switching, whose savings translate to a reduction in
operating costs over time. Air Products was able to reduce global power consumption by 26mw in 2002
and 29mw in 2003. This is the equivalent to the annual power consumed by 56,000 average US homes
and approximately 300,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions. Dow’s energy-efficiency target, when reached in
2005, will mean the reduction of 290 trillion BTUs – equivalent to California’s annual residential electricity
use. DuPont has estimated its fuel savings at more than $2 billion since 1990 due to conservation and
improved product yield.
• Most firms are working to meet emissions targets through improved efficiency, which often
involves fuel switching. Air Products is involved in Gas-to-Liquid (GTL) and Liquefied Natural Gas
(LNG) technologies that are expected to grow only as the natural gas market continues to expand. Dow
is now generating 75% of its power through cogeneration, which has helped to increase its energy
efficiency to nearly 80%. PPG installed a $242 million, 425mw cogeneration plant that is twice as fuel-
efficient as previous plants.
• New market opportunities are being pursued with enhanced vigour. Air Products is working with
organizations to develop and promote the commercialization of hydrogen as a fuel in portable, stationary
and transportation fuel markets. It is also aiding in technology development for the CO2 Capture Project,
which seeks to develop new technologies to reduce the cost of capturing CO2 from combustion sources
and storing it underground. The company has also invested in a new specialty gases manufacturing plant
that produces longer-living and lower-power consumption solutions for lighting applications (energy
efficient light emitting diodes). Dow signed an agreement with GM to install GM Fuel Cells at a Dow
operating plant in Texas. This will provide 2% of the plant’s required electricity – the same as for 25,000
homes in one year. The firm is also working on performance plastics and engineered fibre board made
from renewable resources. PPG is developing specialty commercial and residential glass that it says will
keep out more solar heat than glass produced by its competitors.
52
• Leading firms are getting involved in the carbon finance markets. BASF is now a participant in the
World Bank’s Community Development Carbon fund, which is investing $2.5 million over 15 to 17 years
to finance GHG reduction projects that can be recognized as CDMs under Kyoto. DuPont, a pioneer of
the emissions trading markets, became a charter member of the Chicago Climate Exchange and
participated in its first auction of CO2 emissions.
53
Duke Energy ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Entergy ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Exelon ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
FirstEnergy ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
FPL Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Progress Energy ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Public Service
Enterprise Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Southern Company ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Chubu Electric
Power Company ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
CLP Holdings Ltd ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
E On AG ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Electrabel ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Endesa ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
ENEL ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Energie Baden-
Wuerttemberg ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Electric Utilities - International
54
N. America: 2000 CO2 Emissions (tons) and 2000 CO2 Emissions Rate (lbs/Fossil MWh) by Company
2001 CO2 tons Fossil CO2 Rate lb/MWh
200,000,000 2500
180,000,000
160,000,000 2000
140,000,000
120,000,000 1500
100,000,000
80,000,000 1000
60,000,000
40,000,000 500
20,000,000
0
AEP
SO
XEL
TXU
CIN
EIX
CNP
AES
PGN
AEE
DUK
ETR
FPL
FE
DTE
PPL
CMS
CEG
TE
PNW
PEG
EXC
CNP
Average
D
AYE
Endesa
Electrabel
E.On
CLP Holdings
Chubu Electric
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Energie Scottish Scottish Scottish
RWE -
Chubu CLP Electrabel Baden- Kansai RWE - & Power - Power - Tohoku
E.On Endesa ENEL Iberdrola Germany
Electric Holdings Wuertte Electric UK Southern Pacificorp UK Electric
mberg Energy Division
2003 509 410 358 122 230 747 726 400 916 460 425
2002 439 407 270 500 550 260 242 240 352 925 510 429
2001 500 500 534 250 140 250 403 880 510
55
• Given the exposure of the sector to emissions restrictions and the length of the planning cycle in
the power business, management strategy remains critical. The central dilemma remains for utilities
operators: take action to curtail emissions now, under an uncertain regulatory environment, or risk trying
to catch up later, when the market value of carbon credits may be higher. We continue to hold the
opinion that well-positioned firms will be those that have been taking action for several years now.
Entergy has established a corporate-wide carbon inventory and has committed to achieve 2000 CO2
emission levels by 2005 through internal reductions (higher nuclear utilization) and external offset projects.
To date, it has invested $22 million in projects with estimated CO2 reductions of 2.2 million tonnes by
2005. Kansai Electric Power is taking action in collaboration with Japan’s Federation of Electric Power
Companies, which has collectively set a reduction target of 0.34 kg of CO2 per year by 2010. Iberdrola
has created a task force responsible for defining the company’s policies and strategies regarding climate
change and emissions trading. This cross-functional group reports directly to the CEO and focuses on a
variety of technical, regulatory, and economic aspects of climate change. E.ON has established an
Emission Trading Supervisory Group at the corporate level and special task forces at the subsidiary level
(supervised by a board member) to assist in the management of emissions trading.
• Asset pricing calculations increasingly incorporate a “carbon risk” premium. A critical new tool for
management planning in the electric power industry is the assumed carbon penalty when evaluating
investments in generating assets. As we noted last year, we believe that the inclusion of carbon shadow
prices into liquidity, valuation and balance sheet calculations is a prudent step towards managing carbon
risks. The corollary of this continues to be the potential for carbon risk premiums to put upward pressure
on asset pricing. This year, the leading practitioner is Scottish Power. Its US subsidiary Pacificorp has
included a carbon valuation within its Integrated Resource Planning process. Using a range of carbon
prices up to $40 per tonne of CO2, it has created scenarios surrounding optimum generation portfolios
given such a price range. Like many of its European competitors, Scottish Power describes its European
carbon cost scenarios as “commercially confidential” due to the competitive nature of the power market.
• Coal-dependent utilities face the greatest risk. Increasing evidence suggests that the “carbon
intensity” of a firm’s generation portfolio, which is directly related to the incidence of coal within the
fuel/energy mix, is a crucial aspect in modelling corporate exposure to climate-change risks. Other factors
to assess include the carbon regulatory environment, geographic distribution of generating assets, power
market dynamics and the sophistication of corporate emissions management/hedging strategy. To lessen
this risk exposure, several firms are taking action. Iberdrola is phasing out up to 4,000mw of its former
fuel-oil and coal-fired plants. Electrabel is increasing its share of natural gas in its fuel mix, specifically
at the expense of coal. Also, Electrabel Netherlands has signed a Coal Covenant with the Dutch
government to have an annual absolute reduction target of 466 kton in the period 2008-2012. With the
phase out of nuclear energy, German utilities RWE, E.ON, and Energie Baden Wurtenburg may face
greater risks as they become more dependent on their coal facilities.
• To balance increasing market and environmental regulatory forces, utilities are investing more in
combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) technology plants. In Spain, Iberdrola plans to have more than
6,000mw of CCGT installed by 2008, with investments of c2.4 billion over 2004-2008. Its current installed
capacity in Spain is 3,800mw. Electrabel is increasing its share of CCGT plants and is currently replacing
one of its German coal-CHP plants with a new CCGT-CHP facility. Endesa plans to increase its CCGT
capacity by 2800mw, reaching 4000mw by 2008.
• Distributed power generation market continues to mature on the back of reliability concerns and
demand for better energy/transmission efficiency. According to market experts, even the modest
introduction of distributed generation (DG) technologies would significantly reduce line losses and ease
the strain on an increasingly congested transmission and distribution system. This would create a growing
56
number of opportunities for stand-alone distributed energy sources and dependable power supplies. The
backup power market alone has been estimated to be worth about $10 to $20 billion, growing at about
20% annually. FPL Energy is involved in this market by facilitating the interconnection of photovoltaic (PV)
energy to the grid. ConEd promotes DG systems by allowing customers to sell back their excess wind
and photovoltaic energy and by offering net metering tariffs. Exelon also provides various financial
incentives for on-site PV and wind systems under 40kw. In Europe, Iberdrola reports various R&D
projects focused on DG innovation.
• Emissions trading is a key part of the near-term risk management armoury. As the most viable
current option in an embryonic and fragmented CO2 regulatory regime, emissions trading holds court as
the market-based compliance mechanism of choice in the power industry. At present, most firms are still
awaiting the finalization of National Allocation Plans (NAPs) before making definitive investment decisions.
Despite this uncertainty, firms such as Electrabel have already begun to test the market through small
transactions, and seem intent on involvement in regulatory discussions to define the legal nature of
emissions rights, accounting issues, tax treatment of emissions rights and the development of standard
trading contracts. RWE Trading GmbH has participated in emissions trading in the UK and Denmark, and
reports participation in a European Pre-Compliance trade. In the US, despite the continuing uncertainty
surrounding the structure of any national trading regime, some firms have taken anticipatory action. AEP,
for example, is a founding member of the Chicago Climate Exchange (a voluntary pilot greenhouse gas
trading programme) and the only participating US electric utility.
• Meanwhile, firms seek out long-term technological solutions to carbon capture and storage.
Carbon sequestration technologies are gaining popularity among power generators as a long-term option
to achieve cost-effective compliance in a tightening regulatory environment. The technology offers hope
that power producers can continue to use vast global coal reserves while drastically reducing atmospheric
GHG emissions in the process. While sequestration’s technological effectiveness and political acceptance
as an environmentally effective offset mechanism remains far from certain, firms continue to plough R&D
resources into pilot research projects. AEP funds and participates in consortium efforts to research the
potential of terrestrial and geological carbon sequestration. It hosts a sequestration research project at
AEP’s Mountaineer Plant in West Virginia to test the capability of deep saline aquifers for storage of carbon
dioxide emissions. Under President George W. Bush’s $1 billion FutureGen Initiative, it partners with the
DOE and other utilities to develop and test a coal-derived hydrogen power plant. Endesa and Kansai are
less specific in their initiatives, but each claims to be focusing on carbon sequestration.
• Renewable energy growth continues apace as the dynamics of the energy marketplace evolve.
Environmental concerns, technological advancement, energy security issues, ongoing structural change
and broader market liberalization are all contributing to the growth in opportunity for renewable energy. In
general terms, the advantages of wind, geothermal, hydro, photovoltaic, biomass and the like are by now
well-recognized: declining cost (in certain situations), modularity, flexibility, lack of need for large capital
investments, lack of reliance on volatile fuel prices and, of course, low environmental impact. In line with
this thinking, both US and European power generators continue to make early-stage investments.
Iberdrola’s Strategic Plan notes planned renewable energy investments of c1.4 billion over 2004-2008.
It currently has installed renewables capacity of over 2,200mw and plans to increase this to more than
4,500mw by 2008. FPL Energy’s 2,719mw of installed wind capacity accounts for 43% of the US total
in this field. It also operates one of the world's largest solar plants in California. Endesa has plans to
install 2,100mw of renewable energy for a total of 3,400mw by 2008. Scottish and Southern Energy is
investing £220 million in wind energy and £250 million to upgrade its hydroelectric plants. Scottish
Power plans to invest £500 million in additional wind energy (800mw) by 2010. While the proportion of
wind in its overall fuel mix is minor, AEP continues to expand in this area, with about 300mw of capacity
in Texas. This makes the company one of the larger wind generators in the US.
57
• Liquidity problems for P/C insurers, reinsurers arising from large weather-related losses
• New and existing markets become unviable as climate change increases regional exposure
• Business interruption risks becoming unpredictable and more financially relevant
• Increases in population and infrastructure densities multiply size of maximum potential losses from
extreme weather events
• Opportunities exist in weather derivatives, catastrophe bonds, and GHG emissions trading
• Increased risks to human health (thermal stress, vector-borne disease, natural disasters)
• Insurance of GHG offset and clean energy projects and related financial services
• Professional indemnity for carbon credit guarantors and certifiers provides both risk (increased liability)
and opportunity (growing insurance market)
58
Cathay Financial ✔ ✔ ✔
Asia
Millea Holdings DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Aegon NV NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Allianz AG a ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
AXA ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Generali DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Insurance
Europe
Munich Re ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
RAS RNC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Swiss Re ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Zurich Financial
Services ✔ ✔
Ace Limited ✔ ✔ ✔
Aflac Incorporated DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Allstate Corporation QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
American International
Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Berkshire Hathaway DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Chubb Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Great West Lifeco Inc DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Hartford Financial
Services Group DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
North America
Insurance
John Hancock
Financial Services IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Loews Corp. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Manulife Financial IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Marsh & McLennan NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Metlife Inc NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Progressive Corp. Ohio DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Prudential Financial Inc DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Saint Paul
Companies Inc ✔
Sun Life Financial QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
XL Capital Limited
Aviva ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
UK & Ireland
Insurance
59
• Potential climate risks embedded in equity holdings are leading insurers to re-examine asset allocation
decisions. As we noted last year, the gearing of insurers towards equity markets increases their long-term
exposure to climate change-related market losses. While even the leaders are far from fully integrating
climate risks into their investment mandates, several firms have made leaps forward in systematically
considering these risks. Munich Re continues its interdisciplinary Challenge of Climate Change Project.
One of its arms – the Asset Management Working Group – undertook a risk analysis of climate change
that has now been incorporated in the mandate of Munich Re’s asset management company, MEAG.
Other firms continue to explore climate risks, albeit at a more conservative pace. Both Allianz and Aviva
report that climate change is taken into consideration as a supplementary condition in asset allocation,
but only in their socially responsible investment portfolios.
• Increased loss expenses and loan defaults remain the principal risks. The insurance industry faces
perhaps the widest financial exposure to damages that may result from climate change. Insurance
products that provide risk-transfer services for the agriculture/food industry, the real-estate sector, the
tourism industry and others are all facing the prospect of increasing claims as losses mount due to
climate-induced crop damage, flood damage and the like. As was the case last year, the major
reinsurers, Munich Re and Swiss Re, continue to bear the brunt of the risk and are the most highly
sensitized to the scope and severity of climate-change risks.
• Meanwhile, opportunities to generate new business are becoming more broadly recognized. Some
insurers have begun to explore the market for new products that may offer new revenue opportunities.
Cathay Financial believes that while its life insurance, non-life insurance and banking clients could be
adversely impacted by climate change, growing numbers of natural disasters could also result in
increased coverage and lending opportunities. AXA has partnered with Meteo France to provide clients
with insurance coverage for climatic uncertainty. The most aggressive companies in this market are the
reinsurers. Munich Re’s New Products/Markets Working Group has been assigned to uncover market
opportunities relating to the Kyoto Protocol’s flexible mechanisms (including joint implementation and
clean development mechanisms). Swiss Re’s Greenhouse Gas Risk Solutions is a dedicated unit
developed specifically with the aim of providing structured finance, investment services and insurance
solutions across the spectrum of emerging environmental markets.
• Emissions trading continues to attract serious attention. While we hold our position that the revenue
opportunities that the emissions trading markets present to insurers are not yet materializing, there is
evidence that insurers are prepared to wait. Allianz claims that emissions trading has been chosen as a
centre of competence at Dresdner Bank in order to advise clients. Swiss Re has begun to integrate
carbon finance into the range of insurance and financial functions it provides. Munich Re has analyzed
the emissions trading markets to identify existing market players, trends, opportunities and risks, and
says it has identified and evaluated new business opportunities.
• The best indicator of risk awareness continues to be the quality of internal GHG management
programmes. While most insurers face few material risks from their own direct emissions, we believe that
high-quality strategic efforts to manage emissions remain an excellent proxy for a firm’s overall awareness
of climate-change risks. Swiss Re has committed to becoming “greenhouse neutral” by reducing internal
emissions by 15% to 2014 and offsetting the remainder via investments in the World Bank Community
Development Carbon Fund (about 37,000 tonnes of CO2 per year). Legal & General has set a target to
have a carbon management plan in place that covers all L&G operations. Aviva has taken a decentralized
approach to management, allowing for flexibility in different markets. Its UK operations have set targets to
60
reduce electricity consumption by 20,000kwh by the end of 2004 and have entered renewable energy
contracts. AXA has also signed green energy contracts with its electricity provider, EDF, and will have the
energy savings certified by the Renewable Energy Certificate System (RECS) at the European level.
61
Cadbury
Schweppes PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Campbell Soup
Company DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Conagra NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Danone ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Food Products
General Mills
Heinz HJ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Kellogg IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Kraft Foods Inc DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
NestlÇ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Sara Lee ✔ ✔
Unilever PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Wrigley William
Junior Company NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Carrefour ✔ ✔ ✔
CVS Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
George Weston
Limited ✔ ✔
Food and Drug Retailing
Ito Yokado
Company Limited ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Kroger NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Loblaw ✔ ✔
Safeway PLC DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Seven-Eleven Japan
Company Limited ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Sysco Corp. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Tesco PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Walgreen Company DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Altria Group Inc DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Anheuser-Busch
Companies Inc QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
British American
Tobacco PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Beverages and Tobacco
62
• Food retailers continue to be active in GHG management. Best practice in this industry group is
found among the food processors, manufacturers and packagers. Carrefour has an excellent
Sustainable Development report, including its breakdown of CO2 emissions from each source at an
average retail outlet. Tesco expects average capital spending per year to be £4 million to reach its annual
5% emissions reduction target. Tesco’s fuel stations are offering Greenergy Global Diesel that offers a 5%
reduction in GHGs. Ito Yokado in Japan discloses its emissions as “CO2 emission per ¥100 million in
sales”, which for 2002 was 45.4 t-CO2. Cadbury Schweppes is engaging in fuel-switching activities. In
2004 alone, it expects to reduce its total global emissions of CO2 by 1%. Imperial Tobacco has
developed a climate change strategy that is rooted in the findings of the Carbon Disclosure Project of
last year. Imperial Tobacco states that the forecasted 30% increase in electricity prices in 2004/5 will
impact on its overheads within the EU – although it does not say by how much – in the short term.
Continuation of this trend will strengthen the case for energy conservation, energy efficiency and CO2
emissions cuts.
• Fuel usage – and switching to renewables – is a key area of focus. Several FT500 firms in this sector
describe their efforts to diversify and/or reduce fuel consumption to meet emissions targets and cut
costs. To recap from last year, Unilever’s use of renewable fuels now accounts for 11% of fuel needs.
Diageo has implemented a policy for haulers that defines minimum standards for fuel efficiency and
emissions. Japan Tobacco has reduced CO2 from distribution by improving transport routes and using
some natural gas-fuelled trucks. Nestlé is even using spent coffee grounds as a fuel for some
manufacturing processes. This year, we note that Cadbury Schweppes has measured its supply-chain
CO2 emissions to help it ascertain where its reduction programmes should be focused. PepsiCo has
converted its delivery trucks to EPA clean diesel fuels and is replacing older trucks with more fuel-efficient
vehicles. BAT is helping farmers to improve the fuel efficiency of the tobacco-curing process to reduce
CO2 emissions. Heineken is using biogas from its anaerobic waste-water treatment plants and is further
researching into green energy such as the use of spent brewers grain as biofuels.
• CO2 reduction strategies have translated to bottom-line savings for many firms. Unilever’s
Bestfoods have saved £1.34 million since 2001 through energy conservation measures. Danone hopes
that its latest energy savings will translate to about c20 million per year. Imperial Tobacco’s target for
energy conservation opportunities offers an estimated saving of £2 million per annum with a two to four-
year payback period.
• More companies are considering entering the emissions trading markets. Nestlé and Unilever (via
the UK ETS) have been the primary participants from this sector so far. Imperial Tobacco expresses the
belief that emissions trading may provide a further financial benefit in the form of sequestration
opportunities within agricultural and tobacco-growing business segments.
63
Asia and the Pacific: Decreases in agricultural productivity and aquaculture due to thermal and water stress,
sea-level rise, floods and droughts, and tropical cyclones would diminish food security in many countries of
arid, tropical and temperate Asia; agriculture would expand and productivity would increase in northern areas.
Climate change would exacerbate threats to biodiversity due to land-use and land-cover change and
population pressure in Asia. In Australia and New Zealand, the net impact on some temperate crops of
climate and CO2 changes may initially be beneficial but this balance is expected to become negative for
some areas and crops with further climate change. Some species with restricted climatic niches and which
are unable to migrate due to fragmentation of the landscape, soil differences or topography could become
endangered or extinct.
Europe: There will be some positive effects on agriculture in northern Europe; productivity will decrease in
southern and eastern Europe. The rate of biodiversity loss would increase.
Latin America: Yields of important crops are projected to decrease in many locations in Latin America, even
when the effects of CO2 are taken into account; subsistence farming in some regions of Latin America could
be threatened. The rate of biodiversity loss would increase.
Polar: Natural systems in the polar regions are highly vulnerable to climate change and current ecosystems
have low adaptive capacity; technologically developed communities are likely to adapt readily to climate
change but some indigenous communities, in which traditional lifestyles are followed, have little capacity and
few options for adaptation.
Small Island States: The projected sea-level rise of 5 mm/year for 100 years would cause enhanced coastal
erosion, loss of land and property, dislocation of people. Limited arable land and soil salinization makes
agriculture of small island states, both for domestic food production and cash crop exports highly vulnerable
to climate change.
Source: Innovest Global Food Industry Report, 2004.
64
Alcan QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Alcoa ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Anglo American ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Barrick ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
BHP Billiton ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Newmont DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Rio Tinto ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Vale Rio Doce (CVRD) NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Nippon Steel ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
• The type of commodity produced is critical to determining market risks and opportunities. Several
firms with large exposures to coal markets have begun to analyze the strategic implications of GHG
regulations. BHP Billiton has included GHG regulation scenarios in its calculations of base case supply
and demand forecasts for its Energy Coal business. Others are investing in clean coal technologies in an
attempt to circumvent the possibility of declines in global coal consumption due to climate-change
concerns. Both Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton participate in industry and government-sponsored research
programmes to commercialize clean coal technologies.
• Conversely, significant market opportunities also exist for those firms with strong positions in
commodities such as aluminium, platinum group metals and high-performance steel. As we noted
last year, each of these commodities is an essential material in applications that are expected to provide
technological solutions to climate change. In particular, Alcoa and Rio Tinto see market opportunities for
their aluminium products as lightweight components that reduce emissions in transport applications.
Alcoa has conducted research on the GHG and fuel efficiency impacts of using aluminium in a host of
transportation applications. Nippon Steel research suggests that the reduction effects of high-functional
steel products for automobiles, ships, rail vehicles, construction and power generator boilers are
approximately 6.5 million tonnes of CO2 per year.
• Location, Location, Location. Financial exposure to GHG regulations is defined by the location of
GHG-emitting assets. In this sector, the search for low-cost, high-quality ore bodies is driving
exploration and production into increasingly far-flung regions. This operational expansion results in a
diversity of corporate exposures to GHG regulations. For some firms, mineral reserves must be mined in
regions with tight GHG regulations (such as Canada and the EU), while others may have their reserves
concentrated in regions with no current – and limited foreseeable – GHG regulations (such as Africa and
South America). A case in point is Anglo American, which believes that its operating focus in developing
nations places it in a lighter regulator regime than some competitors. By contrast, Nippon Steel says that
a ¥3,000 ($27) per tonne carbon tax could cost the steel industry a total of ¥150 billion($1.36 billion), with
Nippon Steel bearing an estimated ¥50 billion of this.
65
• Internal GHG reduction programmes become ever more sophisticated in search of least-cost
options. While companies in this sector are keeping an eye on potential technology breakthroughs, the
search continues for internal efficiency gains that can serve the dual goals of reducing both GHG
emissions and costs. Foremost among these internal efforts continues to be energy efficiency. Anglo
American has conducted energy audits in various businesses, and its technical division has initiated a
review of energy options across the company. Likewise, most companies in the sector are able to point
to some variety of energy efficiency initiative in their operations.
• The search for breakthrough technologies continues. The buzz words in the metals and mining
industry are Clean Coal, Zero-Emissions Aluminium smelting, carbon capture and sequestration, as the
industry searches for technological innovations that will enable the cost-effective reduction of GHG
emissions. A major driver of this push towards technology is the diminishing returns from internal
efficiency efforts. As the available opportunities to cut corporate emissions through energy efficiency,
process enhancements and the like dry up, the pressure is on to find new efficiencies by advancing the
technology front. Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton placed the most emphasis on clean-coal initiatives this year,
while BHP Billiton was the front-runner in funding research into geological sequestration. Rio Tinto takes
a diversified approach with its Foundation for a Sustainable Minerals Industry, whose mandate is to
support research and technical development on a number of GHG-related fronts. Nippon Steel
participates in the International Iron and Steel Institute’s “CO2 Breakthrough Programme”, a global
initiative to achieve radical CO2 reductions through technology. Meanwhile, Alcoa continues its long-
running pursuit of inert anode technology (which it believes can virtually eliminate direct GHG emissions
from the smelting process).
• As technology develops, the best interim strategy is to continue seeking recourse to the
emissions trading market. As the mining majors seek out paths of cost-effective achievement of
reduction goals, a key strategy for each company surveyed is emissions trading. Alcoa is engaged in
GHG regime development in Europe and Quebec. BHP Billiton is engaged in Europe and Australia.
Rio Tinto sees emissions trading as a vital component of its greenhouse response, and has undertaken
trades in the UK and bought renewable energy certificates in the US and Australia. Anglo American’s
industrial minerals operations and pulp/paper mills will be included in the EU ETS. There are also
alternatives to emissions trading, primarily through the Kyoto Protocol’s proposed Clean Development
Mechanisms. Both Anglo American and BHP Billiton are examining cheap reduction opportunities in
developing nations that may be available via this route.
• Pricing Carbon into decision making: the new practitioners. We continue to believe that the inclusion of
carbon shadow prices into liquidity, valuation and balance-sheet calculations is a prudent step towards
managing carbon risks. In 2003, we noted that BHP Billiton was the sole company to be actively
integrating carbon shadow prices into investment decisions involving investments with emissions over
100,000 tonnes of CO2 per year. In 2004, Anglo American declared that it, too, was incorporating the
cost of GHG emissions into future investment decision making.
• Management continues to plough resources into carbon management. A year after the first Carbon
Disclosure Project, corporate mechanisms to manage climate risks continue to evolve, signifying the
continued belief that carbon risks must be appropriately managed. Last year, the leading companies were
Rio Tinto (with its Climate Change Executive), Alcan (with its GHG Programme) and BHP Billiton (with
its GHG Management Plans for operations). This year, we add Anglo American to the ranks, with its
creation of a multi-disciplinary Carbon Working Group, and its appointment of a corporate manager for
climate change. Also, Alcoa continues its leadership via its Climate Change Strategy Team.
66
• Policy design and implementation remains a key economic uncertainty, clouding the ability of
firms to determine new cost structures reliably in a GHG-constrained world. Rio Tinto is particularly
vocal regarding the competitive implications of policy development and implementation. It sees the threat
of poor policy as a distorting force on market signals that could unfairly discriminate against its coal
products, aluminium-smelting operations, and iron ore and steel-making technologies.
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
-50%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Increase in Energy Price
• Material increases in operating costs for pulp and paper operators due to higher energy prices
• Exposure of pulp and paper operators to national GHG emissions regulations
• Possible opportunities to enhance cash flow from carbon sequestration in forest operations
• Opportunities in biomass-based power production, sequestration in forests, and for biofuels in
agriculture and forestry
• Increased risk from fire and pest problems
• Decreased value of land assets due to climate extremes and secondary effects
67
International Paper
Company ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Stora Enso Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Svenska Cellulosa ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Weyerhaeuser Company ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
• Carbon sequestration opportunities edging towards reality for forest management and plantation
operators. CO2 trading markets offer huge opportunities for forest companies, particularly in view of the
progress made on land use and forestry in the Kyoto negotiations. International Paper reports that it has
sold carbon credits in the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX). International Paper was a founding partner
in the CCX and is committed to reducing emissions 4% from 1998 by 2001. It was also a founding
member of the US EPA’s Climate Leaders’ Programme, and has agreed to voluntary reductions of 15%
from 2000 by 2010. StoraEnso is also a founding member of the Chicago Exchange.
• Forest, pulp and paper operators benefit from use of biomass energy in internal energy mix.
More activity was reported in the use of biomass as a clean and increasingly efficient form of electricity
generation. Weyerhaeuser has committed to meeting two-thirds of its pulp and paper mill energy
requirements from GHG neutral biomass fuels recovered from its manufacturing processes. Svenska
Cellulosa is another large user of bio-fuel, which provides 37% of its fuel requirements. SCA has large areas
of growing forest land. Standing timber volume has increased by 40% over the past 50 years. The net
increase in timber corresponds to CO2 absorption by SCA forests of one million tonnes per year.
Weyerhaeuser is working on the development of biomass “gasification” technology, which could significantly
reduce CO2 emissions beyond what can be achieved through conventional biomass energy technologies.
• Firms’ continued efforts to quantify GHG emissions. International Paper has reported annual CO2
emissions from fossil fuels since 1996, and is using the GHG protocols established by the WRI/WBCSD.
Weyerhaeuser also participates in the development and updating of the WRI and WBCSD GHG
Greenhouse Gas Protocol and the related “Project Quantification Standard” initiatives, and reports that it
is still in the process of quantifying its GHG emissions. StoraEnso uses the NCASI Protocol, which is
based on WRI/WBCSD methodology.
68
69
BG Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
BP ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
ChevronTexaco ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
ConocoPhillips ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
ENI ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Exxon Mobil ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Gazprom NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Imperial Oil ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Lukoil OAO NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Marathon Oil DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Norsk Hydro ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Occidental Petroleum ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Petro-Canada ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Petrobras ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Repsol YPF ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
RD/Shell ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
SIBNEFT- Siberian Oil NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Statoil ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Suncor Energy ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Surgutneftegaz NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Total ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Yukos Oil Company QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Anadarko Petroleum NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Apache Corp. QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Burlington Resources Inc DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Devon Energy Corp. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Encana Corp. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Oil & Natural Gas NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
CNOOC
70
• Oil and gas majors vary considerably in terms of the GHG intensity of their operations
(see chart below)
Statoil
Petrobras GHG Intensity 2002
PetroCanada GHG Intensity 2001
Repsol YPF
BP
ChevronTexaco
Occidental Petroleum
RD/Shell
Total
ExxonMobil
ENI
Suncor
Imperial Oil
BG
Norsk Hydro
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Source: Innovest
• The short-term: clean technologies seen to pay the most immediate dividends. While breakthrough
technologies await commercialization, several companies are developing clean-energy technologies that
will allow firms to profit now. Exxon Mobil is researching economically competitive options such as
advanced fuels and lubricants, new combustion technologies and hybrid engines that help reduce GHG
emissions. It has invested more than $100 million in Stanford University’s Global Climate and Energy
Project, a commercial research effort on GHG-reducing technology solutions. PetroCanada has
collaborated with the biotech company Iogen to commercialize a process for producing ethanol from
waste by-products from the agricultural industry. In April 2004, Iogen announced that it produced the
world’s first cellulose ethanol fuel for commercial use. Energy experts expect the global market for bio-
fuels such as ethanol to exceed $10 billion by 2012. Suncor announced in 2004 that it would build a
$120 million ethanol plant in Canada. Chevron Texaco has created Sasol Chevron Holdings, a joint
venture based on gas-to-liquids (GTL) technology, which it sees as a promising clean-fuel prospect. In
Nigeria, the firm plans to bring its first project, the 33,000 barrel-per-day Escravos GTL plant, on stream
by 2005.
• The medium-term: energy firms attempt to bolster reserve strength in natural gas to position for
future clean-energy demand. Despite its recent reserve-accounting woes, Royal Dutch Shell continues
to look favourably on natural gas as a transition fuel to bridge the gap between coal and oil and future
alternative energy technologies. In the past 12 months, the firm has made strides in Liquefied Natural Gas
(LNG) via its Sakhalin development and its new LNG receiving terminal in Mexico. ENI sees natural gas as
the fuel of choice in the short and medium term and has identified gas development as a strategic priority.
71
In addition to reserves, ENI is developing advanced energy infrastructure, including the Bluestream and
Greenstream deep offshore pipelines connecting Libya and Italy. BG states that gas’s ability to form part
of the solution to climate change – by displacing higher carbon-content fuels – will allow the company to
benefit from climate-change policies and measures. Exxon Mobil identifies natural gas as offering
significant global opportunities as a substitute for coal in electricity generation. The company believes that
its leading position in gas supply can help enable manufacturers and power producers to reduce GHG
emissions through fuel switching.
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180%
72
• The long-term: companies seek early advantages in renewable energy markets. In 2000, Suncor
announced plans to invest CDN$100 million (US$73m) in renewable energy projects by the end of 2005.
To date, the company reports a partnership with Enbridge in the 11mw, $22 million SunBridge Wind
Power Project and a partnership with EHN Wind Power in a separate 30mw, $48 million project. The two
schemes are expected to provide 115,000 tonnes of CO2 emission reductions annually. Royal Dutch
Shell continues to grow its wind energy business with a target portfolio of 1,600mw by 2005, while Shell
Solar GmbH and Gesellschaft für Solarenergie (GEOSOL) are building the world’s largest solar power
station in Germany. BP’s solar business has seen its sales increase from 32mw to 71mw over the past
four years. Petrobras’s renewables development programme focuses on solar, wind, biomass, biofuels
and hydrogen. The company is making annual investments of $21 million towards these efforts. Chevron
Texaco has also invested in solar, wind and geothermal projects, in the belief that these energy sources
will be important in the overall energy mix of the future global economy. Fuel cells also remain a future
growth area. PetroCanada has teamed with Ballard Power Systems and Methanex Corp to prepare the
way for a commercially viable fuel distribution network to meet demand from fuel-cell vehicles. Chevron
Texaco is focusing on hydrocarbon liquid production as a fuel source for fuel-cell systems.
• Costing carbon into new investments continues to attract attention as a risk-management tool.
Last year, we noted that BG and Shell were known to be incorporating shadow carbon prices into
investment appraisals. This year, Repsol YPF said it had begun using internal CO2 reference prices in the
evaluation of all new investments. Most firms are keeping shadow price estimates proprietary in the
interests of competitive positioning. Chevron Texaco requires all new capital projects to undergo GHG
emissions analysis as part of their appropriations requests.
• Emissions trading expertise continues to be a ‘must’; more companies join the ranks of
practitioners. Every oil and gas major that responded to the CDP information request has some level of
engagement in emissions trading (ET) markets. BP and Shell continue to be recognized as housing some
of the world’s leading expertise on emissions trading, and most other firms are rapidly increasing their
know-how. Repsol YPF has appointed a Head of Carbon markets and created an EU ETS Working
Group with the aim of reducing transaction costs, managing compliance and preparing to conduct actual
trades. ENI is attempting to minimize its emission certification costs by defining an audit/certification plan
within the company. Statoil has designated its SVP Group Finance as responsible for its corporate
“Carbon Treasury” which will be the company’s single interface with emission trading markets. Shell
Trading developed its Environmental Products Trading Business to oversee all emissions trading activities
and has gained early experience in trading via voluntary participation in the UK Emissions Trading
73
Scheme. Chevron Texaco has undertaken baseline studies on fuel switching, flare reduction and
geothermal power projects to determine if such projects could qualify for saleable emissions credits.
Suncor, operating in the embryonic Canadian ET market, has approached regulatory uncertainty by
taking anticipatory action. It completed the world’s first cross-border emission reduction trade in 1999
and is highly involved in discussions with the Canadian government regarding ET market development.
BP is one of the first companies to attempt accurate calculation of the emissions associated with its their
product use and disposal. This is a large number, but the company is to be greatly complimented on the
foresight to make and state the calculation:
“Assuming that all of our products were consumed and therefore converted to CO2, emissions in 2003
were 1,298 million tonnes from the end use of the products we sell”
• Compliance with emerging GHG regulations requires solutions; carbon sequestration emerges as
a key technology option. In addition to recourse to the emissions trading markets, several companies
are seeking low-cost compliance solutions via carbon sequestration technologies. Several companies
drew attention to their participation in the $28 million CO2 Capture Project which supports research into
the viability of capturing carbon dioxide from combustion sources and storing the gas underground in
geologic formations. Participating companies include BP, Chevron Texaco, Norsk Hydro, Statoil, Shell,
and Suncor. Separately, Petrobras’s R&D centre is looking at sequestration options from various
vegetable formations (algae, swamps, forests) and the viability of carbon dioxide injection in depleted oil
fields.
• Niche markets continue to add value in a shifting energy market. Beyond their core competencies in
oil and gas, several firms are staking out positions in other markets that are expected to benefit from
climate-related shifts. Chevron Texaco’s Chevron Energy Solutions unit targets the demand-side
management market by delivering customized, cost-reducing energy solutions to commercial and
industrial businesses. The US market it targets has an estimated yearly energy demand – excluding
energy commodity sales – of more than $100 billion. Norsk Hydro’s aluminium interests continue to
benefit from increased demand in vehicle technologies, as automakers seek out ways to lower vehicular
weight to achieve greater fuel economy and compliance with tougher emissions rules. BG expects to
launch its micro combined heat and power technology in 2005, and believes that it can contribute
significantly towards the UK’s Kyoto target while also generating new revenue.
• As with other resource sectors, energy efficiency is at a premium. All of the integrated firms that
submitted responses were conscious of their exposure to rising energy costs, and were therefore
focusing on energy-efficient projects to reduce operating expenditures and hedge risk.
74
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
-50%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Increase in Energy Price
Transportation
(a) Impacts of Climate Change
75
TRANSPORTATION
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
AP Moller-Maersk DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Autostrade
BAA PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Burlington Northern
Santa Fe Corp ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Surface Transport
Canadian National
Railway Company DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Central Japan
Railway Co DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
East Japan
Railway Company ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Norfolk
Southern Corp. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Union Pacific Corp. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Distribution
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Trading &
Mitsubishi Corp.
Mitsui & Company
Limited ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Deutsche Post AG ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Air Freight &
Fedex Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Couriers
TPG NV ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
United Parcel
Service Inc ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Airline
Southwest ✔
• Higher operating costs will squeeze margins and place a premium on efficiency. We reiterate last
year’s view that margins will be squeezed by CO2 emissions abatement expenses and higher fuel prices
(caused by higher costs upstream in the energy business). Diesel fuel expenses are a sizeable percentage of
overall operating expenses for the larger firms (typically 5% to15% and sometimes higher). BAA is among
the top 20 energy users in the UK and admits that it will be greatly affected by carbon charges. Rail firms
believe that they have a natural advantage here. BNSF, a US rail company, points to the fact that Railroad
Energy Intensity (BTU per ton-mile) is 346 compared with 444 for waterborne commerce and 3,337 for
trucks. Moreover, rail freight fuel efficiency is up to 404 miles/gallon of diesel from 332 miles in 1990.
76
• Pursuing emissions trading trials provides another competitive dimension for diversified
companies. The Japanese firms Mitsubishi and Mitsui have continued their financial stake in emissions
trading firms, the former with Natsource and the latter with CO2e.com. Mitsui also joined the World
Bank’s Prototype Carbon Fund with a $6 million investment expecting a 1.2 million ton CO2e to be the
dividend. The firm also maintains about 40,000 hectares of forest land in Japan, sinking 172,000
tCO2e/year, and spends $3 million annually on its maintenance.
• Research into alternative fuels for ground vehicle and rail fleets continues. UPS maintains its R&D
on hybrid electric and fuel-cell vehicles in partnership with undisclosed automotive manufacturers, and
reports that it operates the world’s largest private sector fleet of alternative fuelled vehicles. BAA is
exploring on-site embedded generation, securing an off-site supply of renewable energy. BNSF is
purchasing new locomotives with advanced microprocessors and other features that translate to fuel
efficiency gains, and remains committed to meeting White House Council on Environmental Quality
targets to reduce GHG intensity by 18% by 2012.
77
Boeing Co. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
General Dynamics NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Honeywell
International Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Lockheed Martin Corp. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Northrop
Grumman Corp. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Raytheon Co. QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
United Technologies
Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
BIOTECHNOLOGY
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Amgen Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Genentech Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Genzyme ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Gilead Sciences NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Medimmune Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Serono IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
78
British Sky
Broadcasting Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Clear Channel
Communications NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Comcast Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Cox Communications, Ltd. ✔
General Motors CL H
(see General Motors)
Liberty Media Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Mediaset QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
BUILDING PRODUCTS
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Masco NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Saint-Gobain ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Automatic Data
Processing NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Cendant Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Dai Nippon
Printing Group ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
First Data Corp.
H&R Block
Paychex Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Pitney Bowes ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
79
COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Alacatel ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Cisco Systems ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Ericsson ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Motorola ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Nokia ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Nortel Networks ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Qualcomm ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Dell ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
EMC Corp. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Hewlett-Packard ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
IBM ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Lexmark IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Sun Microsystems NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Toshiba ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Caterpillar Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
John Deere & Co. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Volvo AB ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
80
CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
CRH ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
LaFarge ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Emerson ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Schneider Electric ✔
Canon Inc. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Hitachi Ltd. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Kyocera ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Murata Manufacturing
Co. Ltd. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Ricoh Co. Ltd. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
81
Baxter Int. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Beckton Dickenson ✔ ✔ ✔
Biomet Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Boston Scientific ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Guidant Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Medtronic ✔ ✔ ✔
St. Jude Medical CRMD ✔ ✔
Stryker NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Zimmer Holdings ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Aetna Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Anthem
Cardinal Health NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
HCA Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
McKesson Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Tenet Healthcare Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
United Health Group
Wellpoint Health
Network Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
82
Carnival NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Compass Group PLC IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Marriott DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
McDonald’s DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Six Continents PLC DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Starbucks ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
HOUSEHOLD DURABLES
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Matsushita Electric ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Newell Rubbermaid Inc NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Nintendo ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Philips Electronics QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Sharp ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Sony ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Thomson ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
83
INDUSTRIAL CONGLOMERATES
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
3M ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
General Electric ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Hutchison Whampoa
Limited NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Siemens QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Tyco International
Limited DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Danaher ✔ ✔
Fanuc Ltd. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Illinois Tool Works NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Mitsubishi ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
T-Online AG NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
USA Interactive NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Yahoo Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Electronic Data
Systems Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
NTT Data Corp. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
84
MEDIA
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Fox Entertainment NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
News Ltd. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Viacom Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Vivendi Universal ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Walt Disney Co. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
MULTILINE RETAIL
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Amazon Inc. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Costco Wholesale Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
eBay ✔ ✔
GUS Plc. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Kohls Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Marks and Spencer ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Sears Roebuck Co. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Target Co. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Wal Mart De MEX
SA de CV ✔
Wal Mart Stores Inc. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Woolworths Ltd. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
85
PHARMACEUTICALS
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Abbott Laboratories ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Allergan IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
AstraZeneca ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Aventis ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Bristol-Meyers Squibb ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Eli Lilly ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Forest Laboratories NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
GlaxoSmithKline ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Johnson & Johnson ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Merck IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Novartis International ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Novo Nordisk ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Pfizer ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Pharmacia Corp.
(acuqired by Pfizer)
Roche ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Sanofi Syntelabo ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Schering ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Schering - Plough ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Takeda ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Wyeth ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Yamanouchi ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
PUBLIC SERVICES
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
SUEZ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
“Waste
Management, Inc.” ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
86
PUBLISHING
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Gannett DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
McGraw Hill Co. IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Reed Elsevier ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Tribune Co. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Analog NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Applied Materials ✔ ✔ ✔
Infineon ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Intel ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Linear Technology NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Maxim Integrated
Products Ltd. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Rohm ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Samsung IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
ST Microelectronics ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Taiwan Semiconductor
Manufacturing Co. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Texas Instruments ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
United Micro Electronics NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Xilinx Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
SOFTWARE
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
“Computer Associates
International, Inc.” NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Electronic Arts Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Intuit Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Microsoft ✔ ✔
Oracle DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
SAP ✔ ✔
Veritas ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
87
Gucci Group NV NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
LVMH ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Nike Inc. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
SPECIALTY RETAIL
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
88
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
Strategy to Prepare for Emission Reduction
Considers Responsibility Quantified GHG Reporting
Emissions Trading Regimes Programs in Place
Climate Change Allocated for Formal GHG
to Present Management of Evidence Use of Third Energy CHG Reduction Targets
Risks and/or Climate Change Monitoring of Early Emissions Data Party Reporting Efficiency Reduction Set With Timeline
Opportunities Related Issues Developments Engagement Disclosed Protocol/Verification Programs Programs
Alltel DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
American Movil NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
AT & T Corp. QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
AT & T Wireless
Services Inc. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
BCE Inc. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Bellsouth Corp. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
BT Group PLC ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
China Mobile
(Hong Kong) Ltd. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Deutsche Telecom ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Etisalat NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
France Telecom ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Japan Telecom
Holdings Co. Ltd. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Kddi Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
KPN ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
KT Corp. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Nextel
Communications Inc. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Nippon Telegraph
and Telephone Co. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
NTT Docomo Inc. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Orange
(see France Telecom)
Portugal Telecom ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Saudi Telecom NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
SBC
Communications Inc. DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP DP
Singapore Telecom Ltd. NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
SK Telecom
Sprint IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN
Swisscom ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
TeliaSonera ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Telecom Italia/Olivetti ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Telecom Italia Mobile ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
“Telefonica, S.A.” ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Telefonos de Mexico QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF QF
Telstra Co. Ltd. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Verizon
Communications Inc. ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Vodafone ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
89
APPENDIX B.
Methodology For Calculating
Energy Price Sensitivity
1) For each company in the sector, we used consensus financial forecasts from Thomson/First Call for
current year forecasts. This includes Sales, Operating Profit, Net Income, Earnings Per Share. We use
Current Stock Price and forecast EPS to determine implied forward Price/Earnings Ratio.
2) For each company in the sector, we then determined the effect of energy price increases. Starting with
Thomson/First Call forecasted Operating Expense, we assumed a) the level of energy cost as a
percentage of operating expense, and b) the increase in energy cost. In this example, we assumed that
energy was 25% of operating expense and that prices would increase by 5%. We then calculated the
amount of the increase in expenses, and deducted this from forecasted Net Income. Using implied
forward Price/Earnings Ratio, we then determined adjusted stock price and market capitalization.
3) Calculations across the companies in the sector were then averaged. (Note that the maximum P/E ratio
used for this average in Metals & Mining is 30; Barrick Gold traded at a significantly higher P/E of 58,
reflecting the current asset value of its gold reserves.) Using these calculations, we were able to perform a
sensitivity analysis on both assumptions, providing a range of results depending on energy price change
and the cost of energy as a percentage of operating expense.
90
APPENDIX C.
Renewable Energy and Clean Technology:
Global Market Overview
• The World Energy Council estimates that the global market for renewable energy could be $625 billion by
2010 and $1,900 billion by 2020. Non-hydro renewables are expected to grow faster than any other
primary energy source to 2030, by an average of 6% per annum. Europe is being most aggressive. It aims
to generate 50% of its energy needs from renewables by 2050, corresponding to some $90-$135 billion.
• Governments around the world reiterated their support for dealing with climate change via a portfolio of
low-carbon technologies, from greater energy efficiency and hybrid electric vehicles, to coal-based
integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) with carbon capture and sequestration and fuel cells. Many
have set clear targets for renewables.
• The European Union’s official target is 12% of energy from renewables by 2010, a target that requires
annual growth in production of renewable electricity of 5.7%. Europe also aims to generate 50% of its
energy needs from renewables by 2050. (See map for details of individual country renewable energy
targets and incentives.)
91
• The UK government’s target is to source 15% of national power from renewables by 2015 (it is currently
around 3%). In 2003, the government invited bids from companies to invest up to £6 billion into offshore
wind in the biggest boost the UK's green energy sector has ever seen.
• In the US, most states have renewables targets of one form or another. The Bush administration’s
Climate and Energy Policies provide for $7 billion in tax credits for clean energy initiatives over the next 10
years. Plans promoted by the Democratic presidential candidate, John Kerry, envisage producing 20% of
US energy from renewable fuels by 2020.
• The Mandatory Renewable Energy Target in Australia aims to generate 9,500gwh of renewable energy
annually by 2010, and 20,000gwh by 2020. This equates to roughly 2% market share for renewables by
2010. Since 2001, A$900 million (US$648m) has reportedly been invested in the Australian renewables
market, with a further A$1 billion planned or committed.
• The Canadian federal government has launched a CDN$1 billion (US$730m) Climate Change Action
Plan. Sustainable Development Technology Canada (SDTC) will allocate over $300 million of capital into
the clean-tech sector in the coming months in partnership with private-sector investors.
• In Japan, electricity generation targets to 2010 range from increases of 10% for hydro to 50% for some
solar PV and wind installations. A 50% capital subsidy for the construction of wind plant and 20% for
geothermal will also spur the market. The “Green Credit System” is designed to give electricity producers
additional incentives to purchase renewable energy.
IA: 2% by 1999
MN: 3.6% by 2002 and 4.8 by 2012
WI: 2.2% by 2011
ME: 30% by 2000
MA: 4% by 2009
Source: CO2e.com
92
UK AND IRELAND
United Kingdom RE 2010 Target: 10%. Renewable
electricity supply is forecast to reach about 10% by 2010.
Most of the required growth will come from wind power,
both on and off-shore. RE Financial Incentives:
Renewables Obligation: c46.3/MWh penalty (buy-out
price). Certificates for each MWh generated from RE
(ROCs) are tradeable. ROCs are currently trading at around
£47/MWh and are likely to fall to c. £30/Mwh by 2010
(UBS Warburg, 2003). Offshore wind projects get 40%
capital grants. c0.03/kWh (mkt price) + c0.07kWh (green
certificate).
Ireland RE 2010 Target: 13.2%. RE currently provides
approximately 2% of Ireland’s electricity production. RE
Financial Incentives: Small hydro: c0.06/kWh; wind:
c0.05/kWh; biomass: c0.06/kWh.
93
• China is hoping to increase wind power production from 400 million watts in early 2003 to 1.4 billion
watts in 2005, partially through clean development mechanisms (CDMs). In its 10th Five-Year Plan, China
proposed a 5.5% Renewables Portfolio Standard Policy. Transmission efficiency technologies and off-grid
applications for remote locations offer tremendous opportunities. China's State Development and Reform
Commission said in February that it was ready to invest 10 billion yuan ($1.2 billion) in solar photovoltaic
(PV) technology and implementation in the next five years.
• India already generates more than 2,100mw through wind power. This is to increase to 5,000mw by
2007. There are plans to add about 10,000mw generating capacity from renewables by 2012 (of which
6000mw would come from wind). Indian companies have exported wind turbines to many countries
including the US and Australia.
• The energy future of these countries, particularly that of China, is seen as pivotal to the future worldwide
GHG emissions profile. Because of the size and growth rate of their market, energy technology choices
made by Chinese political leaders will have profound effects across a number of energy and environmental
markets. Despite soaring discrepancies in living standards across the country, aggregate energy use in
China is skyrocketing, driven largely by increasing consumer demand for home appliances, lighting, gas-
powered cooking and, most importantly, automobiles. Car sales in China grew by 82% during the first half
of 2003 compared with the same period in 2002. It is worth noting that if the average Chinese consumer
used as much oil as the average American, China would require 90 million barrels per day – 11 million
more than the entire world produced each day in 2001. The question of how China’s mounting energy
demands will be met is of crucial concern to future coal, natural gas, oil and global GHG emissions
scenarios. International energy experts, including the Director of energy and water at the World Bank,
recently urged China to step up efforts to improve its energy efficiency and reduce reliance on fossil fuels.
• One school of thought suggests that a country without elections, such as China, may be better able to
make the logical case for investment in emissions reduction, based on self-preservation. This is because
an undemocratic government, that does not need to face elections every five years, may be better able to
act in the mid- to long-term national interest. Tragically the urgent action required seems beyond the
intelligence of the democracies – at least over the 1992 to 2004 period for implementation of the UN
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
94
APPENDIX D.
The FT500 List of Companies
with Response Status
Apache US QF
Key:
Apollo Group US DP
Applied Materials US AQ
Answered questionnaire AQ
Astrazeneca UK AQ
Provided environmental report or AT & T US QF
other relevant information IN AT & T Wireless Services US DP
Questionnaire forthcoming at time Australia And New Zealand Banking Group Australia AQ
Automatic Data Processing US DP
of printing QF
Autostrade Italy AQ
Declined to participate DP Aventis France AQ
No response NR Aviva UK AQ
Avon Products US NR
AXA France AQ
3M Company US AQ BAA UK AQ
Abbey National UK AQ Baker Hughes US QF
Abbott Laboratories US AQ Banca Intesa Italy QF
ABN Amro Holding Netherlands AQ Banco Popular Espanol Spain QF
Ace Limited US AQ Bank Of America US AQ
Aegon Netherlands NR Bank Of Ireland Ireland QF
Aetna US NR Bank Of Montreal Canada AQ
Aflac US DP Bank Of New York US NR
Air Liquide France AQ Bank One US DP
Air Products & Chemicals US AQ Barclays UK AQ
Al Rajhi Banking & Investment Saudi Arabia NR Barrick Gold US AQ
Alcan US QF BASF Germany AQ
Alcatel France AQ Baxter International US AQ
Alcoa US AQ Bayer Germany AQ
Allergan US IN BB& T US AQ
Allianz Germany AQ BBV Argentaria Spain AQ
Allied Irish Banks Ireland AQ BCE Canada DP
Allstate US QF Becton Dickinson US AQ
Alltel US DP Bed Bath And Beyond US NR
Altria Group US DP Beiersdorf Germany IN
Amazon US DP Bellsouth US DP
America Movil Mexico NR Berkshire Hathaway US DP
American Electric Power Company US AQ Best Buy Company US QF
American Express Company US NR BG Group UK AQ
American International Group US AQ BHP Billiton UK AQ
Amgen US DP Biomet US NR
Anadarko Petroleum US NR BMW Germany AQ
Analog Devices US DP BNP Paribas France AQ
Anglo American UK AQ BOC Hong Kong Holdings Hong Kong NR
Anheuser-Busch Companies US QF Boeing Company US NR
Anthem US AQ Boston Scientific US AQ
AOL Time Warner US IN BP UK AQ
AP Moller-Maersk Denmark DP Bridgestone Japan DP
95
96
97
Merck US IN Pitney-Bowes US AQ
Merrill Lynch US AQ PNC Financial Services US AQ
Metlife US NR Portugal Telecom Portugal AQ
Microsoft US AQ Power Financial US DP
Millea Holdings Japan DP PPG Industries US AQ
Mitsubishi Estate Japan AQ Praxair US AQ
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Japan AQ Principal Financial US IN
Mitsubishi Japan AQ Procter & Gamble US AQ
Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Japan AQ Progress Energy US AQ
Mitsui Japan AQ Progressive Corp US DP
Mizuho Financial Japan DP Prudential Financial US DP
Morgan Stanley US DP Prudential UK AQ
Motorola US AQ Public Service Enterprise Group US AQ
Munich Reinsurance Germany AQ Qualcomm US AQ
Murata Manufacturing Japan AQ RAS Italy AQ
National Australia Bank Australia AQ Raytheon US QF
National City US AQ Reckitt Benckiser UK AQ
National Grid Transco UK AQ Reed Elsevier Netherlands / UK AQ
Nestle Switzerland AQ Reliance Industries India NR
Newell Rubbermaid US DP Renault France AQ
Newmont Mining US DP Repsol YPF Spain AQ
News Corporation Australia AQ Ricoh Japan AQ
Nextel Communications US NR Rio Tinto UK AQ
Nike US IN Roche Switzerland AQ
Nintendo Japan AQ Rohm Japan AQ
Nippon Steel Japan AQ Royal Bank Of Canada Canada AQ
Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Japan AQ Royal Bank Of Scotland Group UK AQ
Nissan Japan QF Royal Dutch / Shell Netherlands / UK AQ
Nokia Finland AQ RWE Germany AQ
Nomura Japan AQ Safeway US DP
Nordea Sweden AQ Saint Gobain France AQ
Norfolk Southern US IN Saint Jude Medical US AQ
Norsk Hydro Norway AQ Saint Paul Companies US AQ
Nortel Networks Canada AQ Samsung Electronics South Korea IN
Northrop Grumman US DP San Paolo IMI Italy AQ
Novartis Switzerland AQ Sanofi-Synthelabo France AQ
Novo Nordisk Denmark AQ Santander Central Hispano Spain AQ
NTT Data Japan AQ SAP Germany AQ
NTT DoCoMo Japan AQ Sara Lee US AQ
Occidental Petroleum US AQ Saudi American Bank Saudi Arabia NR
Oil & Natural Gas India NR Saudi Basic Industries Saudi Arabia NR
Olivetti Italy see Telecom Italia Saudi Electricity Saudi Arabia NR
Omnicom Group US DP Saudi Telecom Saudi Arabia NR
Oracle US DP SBC Communications US DP
Orange France see France Telecom Schering Germany AQ
Paychex US NR Schering-Plough US AQ
PepsiCo US AQ Schlumberger US AQ
Petro-Canada Canada AQ Schneider Electric France AQ
Petroleo Brasileiro Brazil AQ Schwab Charles US NR
Peugeot France AQ ScotiaBank Canada AQ
Pfizer US AQ Scottish & Southern Energy UK AQ
Pharmacia US see Pfizer Scottish Power UK AQ
Philips Electronics Netherlands QF Sears Roebuck US NR
98
99
APPENDIX E.
CDP Questionnaire
1 November 2003
Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) Greenhouse Gas Emissions Questionnaire
We request as full a reply as possible to the following questions by no later than 29 February 2004. Please
send responses electronically in English to the Project Coordinator at [email protected]. If you already publish
the relevant information, please indicate for each question how to access this. If at this stage you can only
provide indicative information we would still welcome this; “a best guess” is more valuable to us than no
response. If you are unable to answer any of these questions please state the reasons why.
2. Do you have a strategy regarding preparation for emerging greenhouse gas emissions regulation and
trading regimes, in particular the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme?
- If yes, specify the implications, detail the strategies adopted and actions taken to date.
- If no, are you planning on doing so, and if so when?
Measurement:
Please specify the methodology you employ for measuring emissions, and explain if these data are audited
and/or externally verified.
4. What is the quantity of annual emissions of the six main GHGs (CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6)
produced by your operations in the following areas (Note 1)?
- Globally
- Annex B of the Kyoto Protocol
- EU Emissions Trading Directive.
5. Products and services: Do you measure the emissions associated with both the use and disposal of your
products and services (Note 2)?
- If yes, please provide further information.
- If no, are you planning on doing so, and if so when?
6. Supply chain: Do you measure the emissions generated by your supply chain?
- If yes, please provide further information including details of the boundaries you apply.
- If no, are you planning on doing so, and if so when?
100
Management:
7. Do you have emission reduction programmes in place?
- If yes, please detail explicit targets relating to Qs.4/5/6 and progress made to date.
- If no, are you planning on doing so, and if so when?
8. Please explain how you could reduce your GHG emissions to meet national, regional and international
targets for reductions. What are your estimated costs or savings associated with achieving these targets?
9. Have you considered scenarios involving reductions in GHG emissions beyond existing national, regional
and international targets? If yes please detail these scenarios, and your estimated costs or savings
associated with each one. If no, are you planning on doing so, and if so when?
Note 1: If you do not use a methodology for measuring emissions we suggest you follow guidelines such as those produced by the World Business
Council for Sustainable Development (www.ghgprotocol.org) as a basis for preparing your response.
Note 2: For example, if you are a financial services company, do you take into account the emissions related risks and/or opportunities of the
companies you invest in, lend to, or insure.
101
APPENDIX F.
CDP Signatory Contacts
The Carbon Disclosure Project is honoured to have served as a secretariat for the
following investors:
102
103
Notes
104
Supported by
The Carbon Disclosure Project is financially One of the largest UK corporate brand
supported by the Carbon Trust, an and communications consultancies, Rufus
independent, government funded Leonard serve clients including Barclays,
organisation that helps UK business BBC, BT, Credit Suisse, Lloyds TSB and
and the public sector cut carbon emissions Shell. We were the first sponsor of CDP and
and capture the commercial potential of the project is housed in our offices.
low carbon technologies. www.rufusleonard.com
www.thecarbontrust.co.uk
The contents of this report may be used by anyone providing acknowledgement is given. The information herein has been obtained from sources which the
authors and publishers believe to be reliable, but the authors and publishers do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The authors and publishers
make no representation or warranty, express or implied, concerning the fairness, accuracy, or completeness of the information and opinions contained herein.
All opinions expressed herein are based on the authors and publishers judgement at the time of this report and are subject to change without notice due to
economic, political, industry and firm-specific factors. The authors and publishers and their affiliated companies, or their respective shareholders, directors, Our sincere thanks are extended to the following:
officers and/or employees, may have a position in the securities discussed herein. The securities mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in
The Association for Sustainable and Responsible Investment in Asia, www.asria.org
some states or countries, nor suitable for all types of investors; their value and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by
exchange rates. © 2004 Innovest Strategic Value Advisors, Inc. All rights reserved. Brooklyn Bridge, www.tbli.org
The Institutional Investors Group on Climate Change, www.iigcc.org
Printed by Beacon Press using their environmental print technology. The printing inks are made using vegetable based oils. No film or processing
The Investor Network on Climate Risk, www.incr.com
chemicals were used. 95% of the cleaning solvents are recycled for further use and 84% of the waste associated with this product will be recycled.
The electricity was all generated from renewable sources. Beacon Press is a Carbon Neutral® company and is registered to environmental standards ISO The Development Bank of Japan, www.dbj.go.jp
14001 and EMAS. United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative, www.unepfi.net
105
Innovest Strategic Value Advisors May 2004 Innovest Strategic Value Advisors May 2004
11187 CDP Cover 11/5/04 8:53 am Page 1
Innovest [email protected]