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Exam on Probability Distributions and Analysis

This document presents a midterm exam of 20 questions on statistical and simulation concepts. The exam has a time limit of 90 minutes and the student can attempt it twice. The summary shows the correct answers to each question and the total score obtained in the most recent attempt was 75 out of 75 points.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
11 views7 pages

Exam on Probability Distributions and Analysis

This document presents a midterm exam of 20 questions on statistical and simulation concepts. The exam has a time limit of 90 minutes and the student can attempt it twice. The summary shows the correct answers to each question and the total score obtained in the most recent attempt was 75 out of 75 points.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Delivery date April 13 at 23:55 Points75 Questions20 Available from April 10 at 0:00 - April 13 at 23:55, 4 days Time limit

pril 13 at 23:55, 4 days Time limit 90 minutes


Allowed attempts 2

Retake the exam

Attempt Hour Score


MOST RECENT Attempt 1 13 minutes 75 out of 75

Score for this attempt: 75 out of 75


Delivered on April 12 at 13:10
This attempt lasted 13 minutes.

Question 1 3.75/ 3.75pts

Goodness of fit tests are conducted to:

Compare the mean of a variable in two different populations to assess if they are equal.

To compare the variance of a variable in two different populations to evaluate if they are equal.

Correct! Identificar estadísticamente la distribución de probabilidad que siguen un conjunto de datos.


Compare the mean of a variable before and after a treatment to assess whether they are equal.

Question 2 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the random number 0.4615. If you want to convert it into a random variable with exponential distribution of
parameter 5 minutes, it is correct to assert that the value of this variable is:

Correct! 0.1238

0.4615

76.92

80.01

Question 3 3.75/ 3.75pts

The duration of a production process behaves like a normal random variable with a mean of 280 minutes and variance
100 minutes squared. If due to process issues it takes less than 296 minutes, what is the probability?
of this actually happening?

0.1253

0.0548

Correct! 0.9452

0.5048

Question 4 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the following table with relative frequency, cumulative frequency, and the slope for a dataset,
organized into 4 different ranges:

F.
FrecuenciaF. Relativa Pending
Accumulated
x(i-1) < x x(i)
≤ f f/n c ai
1.00 x≤ 1.50 25.00 0.25 0.25 2.00
1.50 <x≤ 2.00 23.00 0.23 0.48 2.17
2.00 x≤ 2.30 32,00 0,32 0.80 0.94
2.30 <x≤ 3.00 20.00 0.20 1.00 3.50
100,000

If a random number R=0.31 is generated, it is correct to affirm that the value that this number would take as a variable
empirical randomness is:

Correct! 1,624.

1,005.
1,162.

1,192.

Question 5 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the random number 0.4615. If you want to convert it into a random variable with a triangular distribution with
parameters 20, 75 and 140, it is correct to state that the value of this variable is:

0.1238

Correct! 80.01

0.4615

76.92

Question 6 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the following table with the relative frequency, cumulative frequency, and the slope for a set of data,
organized in 4 different ranks:

F.
Relative Frequency Pending
Accumulated
x(i-1) < x ≤x(i) f f/n c ai
1.00 x≤ 1.50 25.00 0.25 0.25 2.00
1.50 x≤ 2.00 23.00 0.23 0.48 2.17
2.00 x≤ 2.30 32.00 0.32 0.80 0.94
2.30 x≤ 3.00 20.00 0.20 1.00 3.50
100,000

If a random number R=1 is generated, it is correct to assert that the value that such a number would take as a random variable
empirical is:

2,948.

2,238.

Correct! 3.00

2,281.

Question 7 3.75/ 3.75pts

Relate the following probability distributions with the parameters that define them:

Correct! Normal distribution media y desviación estándar


Correct! Exponential distribution media (Mean).

Correct! Triangular distribution minimum, mode and maximum (Min

Correct! Uniform distribution minimum and maximum (Min, Max)

Question 8 3.75/ 3.75pts

Es correcto afirmar que el análisis de sensibilidad sirve para identificar las variables críticas del modelo.

Correct! True.

False.

Question 9 3.75/ 3.75pts

Sensitivity analysis is a technique through which:

It is desired to identify the probability distribution of the input parameters.

The construction of the Monte Carlo simulation model is carried out.

The transformation of random numbers into random variables is carried out.

Correct! The effect of the input parameters on the quality variables is being evaluated.

Question 10 3.75/ 3.75pts

The duration of a production process behaves like a normal random variable with a mean of 280 minutes and variance
100 minutes squared. If due to process issues it takes more than 296 minutes, what is the probability of
that this actually happens?

0.8904

0.1253

0.5048

Correct! 0.0548

Question 11 3.75 / 3.75 points

The expected value of a company's utility behaves like a normal random variable with a mean of 104,000.
dollars and a standard deviation of 5000 dollars. What is the probability that the expected value of the utility of this
Is the company's value greater than 105,000 dollars?

0.5048

Correct! 0.4207

0.5793

0.0579

Question 12 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the taxi service at El Dorado airport, where an average of 30 taxis arrive per hour and each will wait
until a passenger boards it, regardless of how many taxis are in line. If a passenger arrives and finds a taxi
esperando en la fila lo abordará de inmediato, sin embargo, si no hay taxis esperando el pasajero se irá por otro medio,
will not wait. Assume that the time that elapses between two passengers looking for a taxi is distributed exponentially with a mean
of 1.5 minutes.
Considering the above information, it is correct to say that this system could be modeled as a system:

M/G/1.

G/G/1.

Correct! M/M/1.

M/M/c.

Question 13 3.75/ 3.75pts

After conducting an analysis of the average time taken for a Transmilenio bus route, it was identified
that this time varies between approximately 36.19 minutes and 41.25 minutes. According to this information, it is
It is correct to assert that the average duration of a Transmilenio bus route is 35 minutes.

Correct! False.

True.

Question 14 3.75/ 3.75pts

It is correct to state that the main objective of output analysis is to evaluate the results obtained from the simulation, it is
to say, analyze the performance variables of the system being modeled:

False.

Correct! True.

Question 15 3.75/ 3.75pts


It is correct to state that random numbers must fulfill two properties, namely: uniformity and
independence.

Correct! True.

False.

Pregunta 16 3.75/ 3.75pts

When performing sensitivity analysis of a single variable, it is possible:

Compare different configuration alternatives.

Verify and validate the simulation model.

Correct!
Calculate measures of dispersion and variability through descriptive statistics and calculate the probabilities of occurrence of
the outcome variables.

Find the optimal configuration of a system.

Question 17 3.75/ 3.75pts

The expected value of a company's utility behaves like a normal random variable with a mean of 104,000.
dollars and a standard deviation of 5000 dollars. What is the probability that the expected value of the utility of this
Is the company less than 105,000 dollars?

0.0579

0.4207

Correct! 0.5793.

0.5048

Pregunta 18 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the following table with the relative frequency, cumulative frequency, and the slope for a data set,
organized into 4 different ranges:

F.
Relative Frequency Pending
Accumulated
x(i-1) < x ≤x(i) f f/n c ai
1.00 x≤ 1.50 25.00 0.25 0.25 2.00
1.50 x≤ 2,00 23.00 0.23 0.48 2.17
2.00 <x≤ 2.30 32,00 0.32 0.80 0.94
2.30 x less than
3.00or equal
20.00
to 0.20 1,00 3.50
100,000
If a random number R=0.86 is generated, it is correct to assert that the value that this number would take as a variable
empirical random is:

2,238.

1,473.

2,281.

Correct! 2,509.

Question 19 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the random number 0.4615. If you want to convert it into a random variable with a uniform distribution with
parameters 40 and 120, it is correct to state that the value of this variable is:

0.4615

0.1238

Correct! 76.92

80.01

Question 20 3.75/ 3.75pts

Consider the El Dorado airport taxi service, to which an average of 30 taxis arrive per hour and each one will wait
until a passenger boards it, regardless of how many taxis are in line. If a passenger arrives and finds a taxi
waiting in line will approach you immediately, however, if there are no taxis waiting the passenger will leave by another means,
will not wait. Assume that the time that elapses between two passengers looking for a taxi is exponentially distributed with a mean
of 1.5 minutes.
Considering the above information, it is correct to state that the rate of passenger arrivals is:

Correct! 40 passengers/hour.

40 passengers per minute.

1.5 passengers per minute.

1.5 passengers/hour.

Puntaje del examen:75de 75

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