NATIONAL INCOME &
CIRCULAR FLOW OF
INCOME
Assessing the Economy’s
Performance
National Income Accounting:
•Health of the Economy
•Comparisons Over Time
•Formulation of Public Policy
What Are These
Accounting
Measures?
Circular flow of Income
circular flow of income in the two sector model without
savings
To analyze the two sector model, assume that there are no
savings in the two sector economy, consisting of only
households and firms. Households cannot produce all goods
and services. They have to buy some commodities or goods
from other producing units i.e. business firms. Therefore,
there is a flow of consumer goods from firms to households.
This flow of goods leads to the flow of income to the business
firms. According to the national accounting system, national
income is equal to national expenditure (which we shall
discuss in detail later). So, in the two sector model of
economy, total earnings of households is equal to total
expenditure of households.
In the above analysis of the circular flow of money
and incomes, it was assumed that households spent
their total earnings on consumer goods and
services. This is impossible in real life. The part of
income that is not spent is called savings. This can
be mathematically expressed as
S = Y- C, where Y is income, C is consumption,
and S is saving.
Circular Flow of Income in a Three Sector Economy
In a modern economy, the government plays an
important role in facilitating business activity. It
also has an impact on the circular flow of income.
The government has many sources of revenue, but
the main source is taxes. Taxes are levied both on
households and business firms.
Circular Flow of Income in a Four Sector Economy
In today's globalized business scenario, all
countries have trade relations with other countries.
If a country import goods from another country, the
amount spent on imported goods by households is
received by factors of production in the exporting
country.
FACTORS AFFECTING THE SIZE OF A
NATION'S INCOME
The quantity and quality of the factor endowment of a nation play an important role in
determining the size of the national income. If a nation possesses large amounts of
natural resources and skilled manpower, it is termed rich. Broadly speaking, natural
resources, human resources, capital resources and self sufficiency are the factors that
affect the size of the national income.
(a) Natural resources: These include minerals mined from the earth, agricultural
potential, and energy resources (including oil, gas, hydroelectric, thermal, and wind
power).
(b) Human resources: If a nation has a large literate population, which is capable and
knowledgeable in wealth creating processes, the nation will have a large national income.
(c) Capital resources: To have a good national income, a nation must create and
conserve capital resources. This includes not only tools, plants and machinery, factories,
mines, domestic dwellings, schools and colleges, but also infrastructure facilities like
roads, railways, airports, seaports and communication facilities.
(d) Self-sufficiency: A nation cannot have large national income if its citizens are not
self-supporting and self-sufficient. Government should encourage entrepreneurial
activities that increase self-sufficiency.
Concepts of National Income
GDP: GDP is the sum of money value of all final goods and
services produced within the domestic territories of a country
during an accounting year.
GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)
GDP at Factor Cost and
GDP at Market Price
GNP : GNP is the sum of money value of all final goods and
services produced in the economy during an accounting year.
GNP = GDP + NFIA
NFIA is the difference between income received from abroad for
rendering factor services and income paid towards services
rendered by foreign nationals in the domestic territory of a country.
YY =
= CC +
+ II +
+GG+
+ NX
NX
Totaldemand
Total demand Investment
Investment
fordomestic
for domestic isiscomposed
composed spendingby
spending by
output(GDP)
output (GDP) of
of businessesand
businesses and
households
households Netexports
Net exports
ornet
or netforeign
foreign
Consumption Government demand
demand
Consumption Government
spendingby
spending by purchasesof
purchases ofgoods
goods
households
households andservices
and services
This is the called the national income accounts identity.
11
Concepts of National Income
NDP and NNP:
NDP = GDP – Depreciation
NNP = GNP – Depreciation
NNP at Factor cost ( National Income)
NNP at Market Price
NDP at Factor Cost
NDP at Market Price
THE IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR FOR GDP
GDP Deflator = Nominal GDP
Real GDP
Nominal GDP measures the current dollar value of the output of
the economy.
Real GDP measures output valued at constant prices.
The GDP deflator, also called the implicit price deflator for GDP,
measures the price of output relative to its price in the base year. It
reflects what’s happening to the overall level of prices in the economy.
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Concepts of National Income
PCI: is the income per person. It can be obtained
dividing the national income by the total
population.
PCI = National Income / Total Population
Concepts of National Income
Personal Income: is the total income received by the
individuals of a country from all sources before direct
taxes in one year.
Personal Income = NI (NNP at factor cost) –
undistributed profit – corporate tax + transfer payments.
Disposable Income: is the actual income which is
available to be spent on consumption by individual or
families.
Disposable Income = Personal Income – Personal Taxes
THE MEASUREMENT OF NATIONAL
INCOME
There are three methods of calculating national
income, and they are all conceptually equivalent to
each other. These are:
the output method,
the income method and
the expenditure method.
Output Method
The output method is followed either by valuing all the final goods and services produced during a
year or by aggregating the values imparted to the intermediate products at each stage of
production by the industries and productive enterprises in the economy. The sum of these values
added gives the gross domestic product at factor cost which after a similar adjustment to include
net factor income from abroad gives gross national product at factor cost.
This approach is used to estimate gross and net value added in the primary sectors - Ex.
Agriculture, and allied activities, forestry and logging, fishing, registered manufacturing, etc. - of
the Indian Economy.
The Output (Value Added) Method
The agricultural and extractive industries 10
Plus Manufacturing industries 40
Plus Services and construction 40
Equals Gross Domestic Product at factor cost 90
Plus Net factor income from abroad
(= Income received from abroad – Income paid abroad) 10
Equals Gross National Product at factor cost 100
Less Capital consumption or depreciation 20
Equals Net National Product at factor cost or National Income 80
Limitations of Output Method
Problem of double counting
Not applicable to Tertiary sector
Exclusion of Non Market Products
The Expenditure Method
The expenditure method aggregates all money spent by private citizens,
firms and the government within the year, to obtain total domestic
expenditure at market prices
The Expenditure Method
Consumer’s expenditure (C) 70
plus Government current expenditures on goods and services (G) 20
plus Gross domestic fixed capital formation (I) 20
plus Value of physical increase in stocks and work in progress (I) 10
equals Total domestic expenditure at market prices 120
plus Exports and factor income from abroad (E) 20
less Imports and factor income paid abroad (M) –30
equals GNPMP 110
less Indirect Taxes –20
plus Subsidies 10
equals Gross national product at factor cost 100
Limitations of Expenditure Method
Neglects Barter System
Ignores own consumption
Affected by Inflation
Income Method
The income approach to measuring national income does not simply aggregate
all incomes.
The Income Method
Income from employment 50
plus Income from self-employment 10
plus Gross trading profits of companies 10
plus Gross trading surplus of public corporations 10
plus Rent 10
equals Gross domestic product at factor cost 90
plus Net factor income from abroad 10
equals Gross national product at factor cost 100
Limitations of Income Method
Exclusion of Non Monetary (farmer and family
working in own field)
Exclusion of Non Marketed Services Income
( mother’s services)
DIFFICULTIES IN MEASURING NATIONAL
INCOME
There are some conceptual and statistical problems in measuring national income.
Some items are excluded from national income accounting, even though they
should be classified as "current production" of goods and services. Sometimes
production leads to harmful side effects which are not fully taken into consideration
in calculation of national income.
Non-market Production : National income fails to account for household
production because such production does not involve market transactions. As a
result, the household services of millions of people are excluded from the national
income accounts. For instance, housework done by housewives is not included, but
the same work done by a paid servant is. Their exclusion results in some oddities in
national income accounting and underestimates our national income.
Imputed Values : The imputed value problem arises predominately in the
agricultural sector. Goods and services produced and consumed by the individuals
for themselves are not indicated in the national income. For example, in agricultural
sector, the value of the commodities consumed by the farmers is not calculated in
the national income. Sometimes, this may result in overestimation or
underestimation of the national income.
Cont:
The Underground Economy : Many transactions go unreported because
they involve illegal activities. Most of these underground activities
produce goods and services that are valued by consumers. However,
these activities are unreported and not included in national income
accounts. They do not figure in the national income estimate.
"Side Effects" and Economic "Bads" : National income accounts do not
consider the implications of some productive activities and the events of
nature in an economy. If they do not involve market transactions,
economic 'bads' are not deducted from national income. Air and water
pollution are sometimes acts as side effects of the process of economic
activity and reduce our future production possibilities. Defense
expenditure might increase national income, but may not have a positive
effect on the country. Since national income accounts ignore these
negative aspects of growth and development, they tend to overstate the
real national output.
Cont:
Leisure and Human Cost : According to Simon Kuznets,
who propounded the concept of GNP, the failure to fully
include leisure and human costs is one of the major
drawbacks of national income accounting. National
income accounts exclude leisure, a commodity that is
valuable to everybody. Similarly, national income also
fails to take into account the human cost of employment
in terms of physical and mental strain (associated with
many jobs)
Double Counting : There is always a possibility of some
outputs being counted twice. As a result, the national
income is exaggerated.
THE USES OF NATIONAL INCOME
STATISTICS
As an Instrument of Economic Planning and
Review
As a Means of Indicating Changes in a Country's
Standard of Living
To Indicate Changes in Economic Growth of a
Country
As a Means of Comparing the Economic
Performance of Different Countries