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Understanding Probability Concepts

Probability is the possibility of occurrences, chance or likelihood of events expressed as a fraction, decimal, or percentage. A probability experiment is any process that can be repeated with uncertain results, generating outcomes from a defined set. Experiments are random if they have multiple possible outcomes, and deterministic if they only have one outcome.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
438 views36 pages

Understanding Probability Concepts

Probability is the possibility of occurrences, chance or likelihood of events expressed as a fraction, decimal, or percentage. A probability experiment is any process that can be repeated with uncertain results, generating outcomes from a defined set. Experiments are random if they have multiple possible outcomes, and deterministic if they only have one outcome.

Uploaded by

John Claus
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Which of the following DOES NOT

belong to the group?


a. Chance
b. Interpretation
c. Possibilities
d. Uncertainty
Answer: B All the words refer to
Probability except Interpretation.
All the possible outcomes that can
occur when a coin is tossed twice are
listed in the box. What is the probability
of having a head?
a. 1/4
b. 1/2
c. 3/4
d. 1
Answer: C Three out of the 4 outcomes
have three heads.
The local weather forecaster said
there is a 20% chance of rain
tomorrow. What is the probability
that it will not rain tomorrow?
a. 0.2
b. 0.8
c. 20
d. 80
Answer: B 100% - 20% = 80% or 0.8
A quiz contains three multiple choice-type
questions and two true/false-type questions.
Suppose you guess the answer randomly on
every question. The table below gives the
probability of each score.
Score 0 1 2 3 4 5
Probability 0.105 0.316 0.352 0.180 0.043 0.004

a. 0.047 b. 0.575 c. 0.773 d. 0.953


Answer: D 0.105 + 0.316 + 0.352 +
0.18 = 0.953 or 95.3%
A spinner with three equal divisions
was spun 1000 times. The following
information was recorded. What is
the probability of the spinner landing
on RED?
Outcome Blue Red Yellow
Spins 448 267 285
a. 27% b. 29% c. 45% d. 73%
Answer: A 267/1000 = 0.267 or 27%
Suppose you toss two fair coins once,
how many possible outcomes are
there?
a. 1 b. 2 c. 4 d. 8
Answer: C The 2 tosses of the coin
are independent (the result of one
does not affect/depend on the
other), thus there are 4 possible
outcomes.
A number cube is rolled. What is
the probability of rolling a
number that is not 3?
a. 0/6 or 0
b. 1/6
c. 5/6
d. 6/6 or 1
Answer: C 1 – 1/6 = 5/6
In a 500-ticket draw for an
educational prize, Ana’s name was
written on 41 tickets. What is the
probability that she would win?
a. 0.082
b. 0.122
c. 0.41
d. 0.82
Answer: A 41/500 = 0.082 or 8.2%
Which of the following is TRUE?
a. Answering a true/false-type question has one
possible outcome.
b. Flipping a coin thrice has 3 possible outcomes.
c. The probability of getting a head when a coin is
tossed can be expressed as 1/2 , 0.5 or 50%.
d. The probability of rolling 7 in a die is 17.
Answer: C The probability of getting a head
when a coin is tossed can be expressed as 1/2,
0.5 or 50%.
Answer: C
A glass jar contains 40 red, green, blue and
yellow marbles. The probability of drawing a
single green marble at random is 1/5. What
does this mean?
a. There are 5 green marbles in the glass jar.
b. There are 8 green marbles in the glass jar.
c. There are more green marbles than the
others.
d. There is only one green marble in the
glass jar.
Answer: B
In a restaurant, you have a dinner choice
of one main dish, one vegetable, and one
drink. The choices for main dish are pork
and chicken meat. The vegetable choices
are broccoli and cabbage. The drink
choices are juice and water. How many
choices are possible?
a. 8 b. 10 c. 12 d. 14
Answer: A
Arlene Joy got coins from her pocket
which accidentally rolled on the
floor. If there were 8 probable
outcomes, how many coins fell on
the floor?
a. 3 b. 4 c. 8 d. 16
Answer: A A coin has 2 possible
outcomes (H, T) 2 x 2 x 2 = 8
In a family of 3 children, what is
the probability that the middle
child is a boy?
a. 18
b. 14 Answer: D
c. 13
d. 12
Jun rolls two dice. The first die shows a
5. The second die rolls under his desk
and he cannot see it. NOW, what is the
probability that both dice show 5?
a.1/36
b. 1/6
c. 9/36
d. 1/3
Answer: B
Mrs. Castro asked her students to do an activity. Afterwards,
her students noticed that the experimental probability of
tossing tails is 48%, while the mathematical/theoretical
probability is 50%. Being an attentive student, how would you
explain this to your classmates?
a. The experimental probability is wrong.
b. We should always rely on mathematical/theoretical
probability.
c. It is normal for experimental probabilities to vary from the
theoretical probabilities but for a large number of trials, the
two will be very close.
d. It is abnormal for the experimental probabilities to differ
from the mathematical/theoretical probabilities because the
results must be the same.
Answer: C
You decided to order a pizza but you have to choose the
type of crust and the toppings. If there are only 6 possible
combinations of ordering a pizza, from which of the
following should you choose from?
a. Crust: thin or deep dish
Topping: cheese or pepperoni
b. Crust: thin or deep dish
Topping: cheese, bacon or pepperoni
c. Crust: thin or deep dish
Topping: cheese, bacon, sausage or pepperoni
d. Crust: thin or deep dish
Topping: cheese, bacon, sausage, pepperoni or hotdog
Answer: B 2(crust) x 3 (toppings) = 6 possible
combinations
You tossed a five-peso coin five times and you got
heads each time. You tossed again and still a head
turned up. Do you think the coin is BIASED? Why?
a. I think the coin is biased because it favored the
heads.
b. I think the coin is biased because it is expected to
turn up tail for the next experiments.
c. I think the coin is not biased because both faces
of the coin have equal chances of turning up.
d. I think the coin is not biased because the
probability of turning heads up is 34 while that of
tails is only 14 .
Answer: C
Your best friend asked you to accompany him to a carnival to
play games of chances. According to him, his horoscope states
that he is so lucky that day and he wants to try his luck at the
carnival. How will you convince him not to go to the carnival?
a. I will ask him to review very well his notes on probability so
that he can apply them to a real life situation like this.
b. I will tell him that what is written in the horoscope is
sometimes true and sometimes false so he would rather not go
to the carnival.
c. I will give him instances wherein he could see the real picture
of having a very little chance of winning so that he will not be
wasting his money and time.
d. I will convince him not to go to the carnival this time because
we have to finish first our project in Probability. Anyway, there
will be other time to go and enjoy all the games there.
Answer: C
Answer: A
1. Are those words familiar to you?
2. What particular topic comes to your
mind when you see the words in the
illustration?
3. What qualitative terms can be used to
express probable occurrences of events in
a man’s life?
4. How else can the possible occurrence or
likelihood of an event be expressed?
5. Based on the illustration, how do you
define probability?
Probability is the possibility of
occurrences, chance or
likelihood of events in a man’s
life which can be expressed as
a fraction, a decimal or a
percent.
What is Probability
Experiment?
-Is any process that can be
repeated in which the result is
uncertain
- Is a process that generates
outcome
-Is any procedure that can be
infinitely repeated and has a
well defined set of possible
outcomes
-
An experiment is said to be
random if it has more than
one possible outcome
An experiment is said to be
deterministic if it has only one
possible outcome
- Rolling a fair die
- Calculating your savings
account
- Celsius to Fahrenheit
What is probability?

What is probability
experiment?

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