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Chapter 5

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
51 views27 pages

Chapter 5

Uploaded by

belay wube
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Chapter 5

Introduction to Valuation:
The Time Value of
Money

Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.


Key Concepts and Skills
• Be able to compute the future value of an
investment made today
• Be able to compute the present value of cash
to be received at some future date
• Be able to compute the return on an investment
• Be able to compute the number of periods that
equates a present value and a future value
given an interest rate
• Be able to use a financial calculator and/or a
spreadsheet to solve time value of money
problems

5F-2
Chapter Outline
• Future Value and Compounding
• Present Value and Discounting
• More about Present and Future
Values

5F-3
Basic Definitions
• Present Value – earlier money on a time
line
• Future Value – later money on a time line
• Interest rate – “exchange rate” between
earlier money and later money
– Discount rate
– Cost of capital
– Opportunity cost of capital
– Required return

5F-4
Future Values
• Suppose you invest $1,000 for one year at 5%
per year. What is the future value in one year?
– Interest = 1,000(.05) = 50
– Value in one year = principal + interest =
1,000 + 50 = 1,050
– Future Value (FV) = 1,000(1 + .05) = 1,050
• Suppose you leave the money in for another
year. How much will you have two years from
now?
– FV = 1,000(1.05)(1.05) = 1,000(1.05)2 =
1,102.50

5F-5
Future Values: General
Formula
• FV = PV(1 + r)t
– FV = future value
– PV = present value
– r = period interest rate, expressed as a
decimal
– t = number of periods
• Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t

5F-6
Effects of Compounding
• Simple interest
• Compound interest
• Consider the previous example
– FV with simple interest = 1,000 + 50 +
50 = 1,100
– FV with compound interest = 1,102.50
– The extra 2.50 comes from the interest
of .05(50) = 2.50 earned on the first
interest payment

5F-7
Calculator Keys
• Texas Instruments BA-II Plus
– FV = future value
– PV = present value
– I/Y = period interest rate
• Interest is entered as a percent, not a decimal
– N = number of periods
– Remember to clear the registers (CLR TVM) after
each problem
– Other calculators are similar in format

5F-8
Future Values – Example 2
• Suppose you invest the $1,000 from
the previous example for 5 years. How
much would you have?
– FV = 1,000(1.05)5 = 1,276.28
• The effect of compounding is small for
a small number of periods, but
increases as the number of periods
increases. (Simple interest would have
a future value of $1,250, for a
difference of $26.28.)

5F-9
Future Values – Example 3
• Suppose you had a relative deposit $10 at
5.5% interest 200 years ago. How much
would the investment be worth today?
– FV = 10(1.055)200 = 447,189.84
• What is the effect of compounding?
– Simple interest = 10 + 200(10)(.055) = 120.00
– Compounding added $447,069.84 to the value
of the investment

5F-10
Future Value as a General
Growth Formula
• Suppose your company expects to
increase unit sales of widgets by 15%
per year for the next 5 years. If you
currently sell 3 million widgets in one
year, how many widgets do you
expect to sell in 5 years?
– FV = 3,000,000(1.15)5 = 6,034,072

5F-11
Compounding Intervals
• In most contractual agreements, interest is
computed more often, e.g. semi-annually,
quarterly, monthly or even daily.
• For example, if your bank pays an annual
percentage rate (APR) of 8% on deposits
but computes interest twice a year, the
resulting effective interest rate (EAR) is
computed as follows:
Compounding Intervals
EAR = (1+ (APR/M))m - 1 =
= (1+ (0.08/2))2 -1 = 0.0816 = 8.16%
M represents the number of compounding
intervals in a year.

Notice that.:
As the number of compounding intervals
increases, so does the EAR.
Present Values
• How much do I have to invest today to have
some amount in the future?
– FV = PV(1 + r)t
– Rearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r) t
• When we talk about discounting, we mean finding
the present value of some future amount.
• When we talk about the “value” of something, we
are talking about the present value unless we
specifically indicate that we want the future value.

5F-14
Present Value – One Period
Example
• Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for the
down payment on a new car. If you can earn 7%
annually, how much do you need to invest today?
• PV = 10,000 / (1.07)1 = 9,345.79
• Calculator
– 1N
– 7 I/Y
– 10,000 FV
– CPT PV = -9,345.79

5F-15
Present Values – Example 2
• You want to begin saving for your
daughter’s college education and you
estimate that she will need $150,000
in 17 years. If you feel confident that
you can earn 8% per year, how much
do you need to invest today?
– PV = 150,000 / (1.08)17 = 40,540.34

5F-16
Present Values – Example 3
• Your parents set up a trust fund for
you 10 years ago that is now worth
$19,671.51. If the fund earned 7%
per year, how much did your parents
invest?
– PV = 19,671.51 / (1.07)10 = 10,000

5F-17
Present Value – Important
Relationship I
• For a given interest rate – the longer
the time period, the lower the present
value
– What is the present value of $500 to be
received in 5 years? 10 years? The
discount rate is 10%
– 5 years: PV = 500 / (1.1)5 = 310.46
– 10 years: PV = 500 / (1.1)10 = 192.77

5F-18
Present Value – Important
Relationship II
• For a given time period – the higher
the interest rate, the smaller the
present value
– What is the present value of $500
received in 5 years if the interest rate is
10%? 15%?
• Rate = 10%: PV = 500 / (1.1)5 = 310.46
• Rate = 15%; PV = 500 / (1.15)5 = 248.59

5F-19
The Basic PV Equation -
Refresher
• PV = FV / (1 + r)t
• There are four parts to this equation
– PV, FV, r and t
– If we know any three, we can solve for the
fourth
• If you are using a financial calculator, be
sure to remember the sign convention or
you will receive an error (or a nonsense
answer) when solving for r or t

5F-20
Discount Rate
• Often we will want to know what the
implied interest rate is in an investment
• Rearrange the basic PV equation and
solve for r
– FV = PV(1 + r)t
– r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1
• If you are using formulas, you will want to
make use of both the yx and the 1/x keys

5F-21
Discount Rate – Example 1
• You are looking at an investment that will
pay $1,200 in 5 years if you invest $1,000
today. What is the implied rate of
interest?
– r = (1,200 / 1,000)1/5 – 1 = .03714 = 3.714%
– Calculator – the sign convention matters!!!
• N=5
• PV = -1,000 (you pay 1,000 today)
• FV = 1,200 (you receive 1,200 in 5 years)
• CPT I/Y = 3.714%

5F-22
Discount Rate – Example 2
• Suppose you are offered an
investment that will allow you to
double your money in 6 years. You
have $10,000 to invest. What is the
implied rate of interest?
– r = (20,000 / 10,000)1/6 – 1 = .122462 =
12.25%

5F-23
Discount Rate – Example 3
• Suppose you have a 1-year old son
and you want to provide $75,000 in
17 years towards his college
education. You currently have $5,000
to invest. What interest rate must
you earn to have the $75,000 when
you need it?
– r = (75,000 / 5,000)1/17 – 1 = .172688 =
17.27%

5F-24
Finding the Number of
Periods
• Start with the basic equation and
solve for t (remember your logs)
– FV = PV(1 + r)t
– t = ln(FV / PV) / ln(1 + r)
• You can use the financial keys on the
calculator as well; just remember the
sign convention.

5F-25
Number of Periods –
Example
• You want to purchase a new car, and
you are willing to pay $20,000. If you
can invest at 10% per year and you
currently have $15,000, how long will
it be before you have enough money
to pay cash for the car?
– t = ln(20,000 / 15,000) / ln(1.1) = 3.02
years

5F-26
End of Chapter

5F-27

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