Perhitungan Agregat Plan

Muhammad Ryan Permana

 Contoh Hasil Peramalan Permintaan
(Dalam agregat)
Month
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

Demand Forecast
100 150 250 400 250 50 90 160 260 390 240 60

Additional Data
Hiring cost: $200 per worker hired (biaya perekrutan)
Firing cost: $100 per worker fired (biaya pemecatan)
Regular pay: $5000 per worker per month (gaji tetap)
Overtime pay: 1.5 times regular pay (upah lembur)
Inventory carrying cost: $10 per unit (based on end of month balances) Biaya penyimpanan
persediaan
Backorder cost: $20 per unit (based on end of month shortage) biaya pemesanan kembali
Productivity: 10 units per worker per month (this has also been scaled down from what was
originally expressed in thousands of units per month) produktifitas
Beginning workforce size: 20 workers (available at the beginning of January) Tenaga kerja
pemula
Beginning inventory: 0 units (no inventory available at the beginning of January) persediaan
awal
 LEVEL STRATEGY WITH INVENTORY AND
BACKORDERS
• Total annual demand = 2,400 units. Permintaan tahunan
• Average monthly production needed = 2,400 units/12 months = 200 units per month.
• Current work force size is 20 workers. This is just enough (because productivity = 10 units per
worker per month).

Month JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

Demand Forecast 100 150 250 400 250 50 90 160 260 390 240 60
Production 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
Beginning Inv. 0 100 150 100 -100 -150 0 110 150 90 -100 -140
Ending Inv. 100 150 100 -100 -150 0 110 150 90 -100 -140 0
Carrying Cost 1000 1500 1000 1100 1500 900
Backorder Cost 2000 3000 2000 2800
Regular Labor Cost 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
Overtime Cost

Total Inventory Carrying Cost: $7,000

Total Backorder Cost: $9,800
Total Hiring Cost 0
Total Firing Cost 0
Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000
Total Overtime Payroll Cost: 0
Total Annual Cost: $1,216,800
 LEVEL STRATEGY WITH SUBCONTRACT
• Total annual demand = 2,400 units.
• Average monthly production needed = 2,400 units/12 months = 200 units per month.
• Current work force size is 20 workers. This is just enough (because productivity = 10 units per
worker per month). Subcontract fee is $30 per unit.
Month JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Demand 100 150 250 400 250 50 90 160 260 390 240 60
Forecast
Production 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
Beginning 0 100 150 100 -100 -150 0 110 150 90 -100 -140
Inv.
Ending Inv. 100 150 100 -100 -150 0 110 150 90 -100 -140 0
Carrying 1000 1500 1000 1100 1500 900
Cost
Subcontra 3000 4500 3000 4200
ct Cost
Regular
Labor Cost 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000

Overtime
Cost

Total Inventory Carrying Cost: $7,000

Total Subcontract Cost: $14,700
Total Hiring Cost 0
Total Firing Cost 0
Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000
Total Overtime Payroll Cost: 0
Total Annual Cost: $1,221,700
 CHASE STRATEGY WITH HIRING AND
FIRING
• Total annual demand = 2,400 units.
• Average monthly production needed = 2,400 units/12 months = 200 units per month.
• Current work force size is 20 workers. This is just enough (because productivity = 10 units per
worker per month).
Month
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Demand Forecast 100 150 250 400 250 50 90 160 260 390 240 60
Workers Needed 10 15 25 40 25 5 9 16 26 39 24 6
Number Hired 5 10 15 4 7 10 13
Number Fired 10 15 20 15 18
Hiring Cost 1,000 2,000 3,000 800 1,400 2,000 2,600
Firing Cost 1,000 1,500 2,000 1,500 1,800
Labor Cost 50,000 75,000 125,000 200,000 125,000 25,000 45,000 80,000 130,000 195,000 120,000 30,000
Overtime Cost

Total Inventory Carrying Cost: 0

Total Backorder Cost: 0
Total Hiring Cost $12,800
Total Firing Cost $7,800
Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000
Total Overtime Payroll Cost: 0
Total Annual Cost: $1,220,600
 CHASE STRATEGY WITH OVERTIME AND
IDLE TIME
• Total annual demand = 2,400 units.
• Average monthly production needed = 2,400 units/12 months = 200 units per month.
• Current work force size is 20 workers. This is just enough (because productivity = 10 units per
worker per month).
Month
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Demand Forecast 100 150 250 400 250 50 90 160 260 390 240 60
Capacity * 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Capacity Needed * 10 15 25 40 25 5 9 16 26 39 24 6
Overtime * 5 20 5 6 19 4
Idle Time * 10 5 15 11 4 14
Regular Labor Cost 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
Overtime Cost 37,500 150,000 37,500 45,000 142,500 30,000

Total Inventory Carrying Cost: 0

Total Backorder Cost: 0
Total Hiring Cost 0
Total Firing Cost 0
Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000
Total Overtime Payroll Cost: $442,500
Total Annual Cost: $1,642,500
 Pilih Yang Mana?
Total Inventory Carrying Cost: $7,000 Total Inventory Carrying Cost: 0
Total Backorder Cost: $9,800 Total Backorder Cost: 0
Total Hiring Cost 0 Total Hiring Cost $12,800
Total Firing Cost 0 Total Firing Cost $7,800
Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000 Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000
Total Overtime Payroll Cost: 0 Total Overtime Payroll Cost: 0
Total Annual Cost: $1,216,800 Total Annual Cost: $1,220,600

Level Inventory & Backorder Chase Fired & Hired Dipecat/dipekerjakan

Tingkat Inventaris & Pemesanan Kembali Total Inventory Carrying Cost: 0
Total Inventory Carrying Cost: $7,000 Total Backorder Cost: 0
Total Backorder Cost: $14,200 Total Hiring Cost 0
Total Hiring Cost 0 Total Firing Cost 0
Total Firing Cost 0 Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000
Total Regular Payroll Cost: $1,200,000 Total Overtime Payroll Cost: $442,500
Total Overtime Payroll Cost: 0 Total Annual Cost: $1,642,500
Total Annual Cost: $1,221,700
Chase Overtime & Idletime
Level Subcontract
Lembur & waktu senggang

Apa Konsekwensinya?