Nature & Functions of Insurance
In
its simplest aspect, insurance has two fundamental characteristics:
1. 2.
Transfer of risk from the individual to the group. Sharing of losses on some equitable basis.
Operation of Insurance Illustrated
1. 1,000 dwellings valued at $100,000 each. 2. Each owner faces risk of a $100,000 loss. 3. Owners agree to share losses that occur.
4. If one house burns (total loss) each owner pays ($100 x 1,000 = $100,000).
Insurance Defined: Individual Perspective
Insurance
is an economic device whereby the
individual substitutes a small certain cost (the
premium) for a large uncertain financial loss (the
contingency insured against) which would exist if
it were not for the insurance.
Probability Theory and Law of Large Numbers
Probability
theory is the body of knowledge
concerned with measuring the likelihood that
something will happen and making predictions
based on this likelihood.
Determining the Probability of an Event
1. A priori estimates determined from the underlying conditions:
the probability of flipping a head is .5 the probability of drawing the Ace of Spades is 1/52
2. A priori estimates not significant for us except in illustrating Law of Large Numbers. 3. The type probability useful for Risk Management is referred to as a posteriori probability
Illustration of a Sampling of Losses Experienced by an Insurance Company
Year
Houses that Burn
1 2 3 4 5
Total Average
7 11 10 9 13
50 10
Sample Size I
Illustration of Sampling of Losses
Year
Houses that Burn
1 2 3 4 5
Total Average
16 4 10 12 8
50 10
Sample Size II
Standard Deviation
Year
Average Losses 10 10 10 10 10
Actual Losses 7 11 10 9 13
Differences 3 1 0 1 3 9 1 0 1 9 20
1 2 3 4 5
Variance
= 4, Standard Deviation = 2
Sample Size I Deviation
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Standard Deviation
Year
Average Losses 10 10 10 10 10
Actual Losses 16 4 10 12 8
Differences 6 6 0 2 2 36 36 0 4 4 80
1 2 3 4 5
Variance
= 16, Standard Deviation = 4
Sample Size II Deviation
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Dual Application of Law of Large Numbers
1. To estimate the underlying probability accurately, insurer must have a large sample of experience. 2. Once the estimate of probability has been made, it must be applied to a large number of exposure units to permit the underlying probability to work itself out.
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Elements of an Insurable Risk
1. Large numbers of exposure units 2. Definite and measurable loss
3. The loss must be fortuitous
4. The loss must not be catastrophic
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Additional Attributes of an Insurable Risk
Randomness- It is hoped that the risk will approximate the general conditions found in society in general. However, in real life Adverse Selection complicates the entire situation Economic Feasibility The cost of the insurance must not be excessively high in relation to the cost of the loss
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Classification of Private Insurance
1. Life Insurance
2. Accident and health Insurance
3. Property and liability insurance
fire marine casualty
fidelity and surety bonds
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Social Insurance Definition
1. 2.
Coverage is compulsory Eligibility derived from contributions: no requirement to demonstrate need
3.
4.
Method of determining benefits prescribed by law
Benefits not directly related to contributions
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Social Insurance Programs in the U.S.
1. Old-Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance
2. Railroad Retirement, Disability and Unemployment Insurance
3. Unemployment Insurance 4. Medicare
5. State Compulsory Temporary Disability
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Federal Public Guarantee Programs
1. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 2. National Credit Union Administration
3. Securities Investor Protection Corporation
4. Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation
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