张光建
摘要:基于时间序列的神经网络预测,从模型的结构设计、神经元个数、传递函数等方面,研究BP神经网络预测模型的建模。通过对国家统计局的人口数据建立样本,使用MATLAB对预测模型进行仿真实验,结果证明预测模型能够达到预测效果。
关键词: BP神经网络;人口预测;MATLAB;数学建模;神经元;传递函数
中图分类号:TP391 文献标识码:A文章编号:2095-2163(2016)01-
Abstract: Based on the time series of neural network prediction, from the main exploration such as the model of structural design, neuron number, transfer function and so on, the paper presents the research of BP neural network prediction model of the model. After that, the paper proposes the establishment of the sample by the population data of the National Bureau of statistics, and the use of MATLAB for simulation of prediction model. Simulation results show that the prediction model can achieve the prediction effect.
Keywords: BP Neural Network; population prediction; MATLAB; Mathematical modeling; neuron; transfer function
0引言
对于人口总量开展科学预测研究,即可为人口规划与未来政策走向提供全面、客观的实施参考。同时不言而喻的是,预测结果数据对于国民经济发展计划的制定和实现都