DATOS N= 8
AÑOS Xi Yi Xi^2 Yi^2 Xi*Yi (Yi-Ym)^2 Yest
1995 381.7 258.6 145694.89 66873.96 98707.62 4314.84766 259.267738
1996 402.2 273.6 161764.84 74856.96 110041.92 2569.22266 273.27804
1997 426.5 289.7 181902.25 83926.09 123557.05 1196.29516 289.885374
1998 454.3 308.9 206388.49 95419.21 140333.27 236.775156 308.884711
1999 486.5 331 236682.25 109561 161031.5 45.0576562 330.891136
2000 520.2 355 270608.04 126025 184671 943.257656 353.922706
2001 553.3 377.1 306140.89 142204.41 208649.43 2789.16016 376.544218
2002 590 400.4 348100 160320.16 236236 5793.11266 401.626076
Suma 476.8375 324.2875 1857281.65 859186.79 1263227.79 17887.7288 2594.3
Xm 476.8375
Ym 324.2875
Sxy 1/n * xi*yi - XmYm Sx^2 1/n * Xi^2 - Xm^2
Sxy= 3271.032969 Sx^2= 4786.20484
Yi = a + bX
b= Sxy / Sx^2 b= 0.68342937
a= Ym - b*Xm a= -1.59725298
Modelo de regresión Yest=-1.597+0.6834*X + Ui
Descomposicion de la Varianza
Varianza total Sumatoria (Yi - Ym)^2 17887.7288
Varianza explicada Sumatoria ( Yest-Ym)^2 17884.1601
Varianza no Explicada Sumatoria (Yi-Yest)^2 3.56869927
Coeficiente de determinacion de regresión
SY^2 1/n *Yi^2 - Ym^2 SY^2 2235.96609
r Sxy/(Sx^2*Sy^2)^(0.5) r= 0.99990024
La predicción del valor del consumo para una renta Xi= 650 650
Yi 442.631839
(Yest-Ym)^2 (Yi-Yest)^2
4227.56943 0.44587425
2601.96498 0.10365806
1183.50627 0.03436352
237.245923 0.00023377
43.6080124 0.0118513
878.245442 1.16056209
2730.76461 0.30889327
5981.25538 1.50326301
17884.1601 3.56869927
DATOS N= 3
Producción Exportaciones
AÑOS Xi Yi Xi^2 Yi^2 Xi*Yi (Yi-Ym)^2 Yest
1992 52.654 10.42 2772.44372 108.5764 548.65468 3.29301511 10.5553113
1993 53.972 11.841 2912.97678 140.209281 639.082452 0.15497344 11.6534048
1994 57.383 14.443 3292.80869 208.600249 828.782669 4.87673611 14.4952839
Suma 54.6696667 12.2346667 8978.22919 457.38593 2016.5198 8.32472467 36.704
Xm 54.6696667
Ym 12.2346667
Sxy 1/n * xi*yi - XmYm Sx^2 1/n * Xi^2 - Xm^2
Sxy= 3.30811856 Sx^2= 3.97060956
Yi = a + bX
b= Sxy / Sx^2 b= 0.83315131
a= Ym - b*Xm a= -33.3134378
Modelo de regresión Yest=-33.31+0.833*Xi + Ui
Predicción de las exportaciones si Xi = 22.1061 22.1061
Yi= -14.8957116
Predicción de las exportaciones si Xi=69.045704 69.045704
Yi= 24.212081
Varianza no explicada
Vne 0.05623473
(Yest-Ym)^2 (Yi-Yest)^2
2.82023431 0.01830916
0.33786539 0.03519197
5.11039023 0.00273361
8.26848993 0.05623473
DATOS
r xy 0.9
Sx 1.2
Xm 5
Ym 10
Sy 2.1
Regresión Y= f(x)
Yi=a+bX
Sxy = rxy * (Sx^2*Sy^2)^(0.5) Sxy 2.268
b= Sxy / Sx^2 b= 1.575
a= Ym - b*Xm a= 2.125
Yi=2.125+1.575*X + Ui
r xy 0.9
Sy 1.2
Ym 5
Xm 10
Sx 2.1
Sxy= 2.268
b= 0.51428571
a= -0.14285714
Yi=-0.1428+0.5142*Xi + Ui
DATOS
3x+2y = 26
6X + 2 y= 32
a= 14.5
9x+4y = 58 Yi=14.5-2.25Xi + ui b= 2.25
Yi
T Xi Yi 45
0 1 16.75 40
1 2 19 f(x) = 2.25 x + 14.5
35 R² = 1
2 3 21.25
30
3 4 23.5
4 5 25.75 25
5 6 28 20
6 7 30.25 15
7 8 32.5 10
8 9 34.75
5
9 10 37
0
10 11 39.25 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
a= 6.444444
9x+4y = 58
Xi=6.444-0.4444Yi b= 0.44444
T Yi Xi
0 1 6.888884
Xi
1 2 7.333324
12
2 3 7.777764
3 4 8.222204 f(x) = 0.44444 x + 6.444444
10 R² = 1
4 5 8.666644
5 6 9.111084 8
6 7 9.555524
7 8 9.999964 6
8 9 10.444404
9 10 10.888844 4
10 11 11.333284
2
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
r= 1
Las regresiones no coinciden principalmente a los distintas correlaciones que tienen e impacto de una variable sobre la otra
8 10 12
8 10 12
de una variable sobre la otra
Datos n= 10
Renta Ahorro
Xi Yi Xi^2 Yi^2 Xi*Yi (Yi-Ym)^2 Yest
20.5 1.9 420.25 3.61 38.95 0.0841 2.0407509
20.8 1.8 432.64 3.24 37.44 0.1521 2.07060072
21.2 2 449.44 4 42.4 0.0361 2.11040048
21.7 2.1 470.89 4.41 45.57 0.0081 2.16015018
22.1 1.9 488.41 3.61 41.99 0.0841 2.19994994
22.3 2 497.29 4 44.6 0.0361 2.21984982
22.2 2.2 492.84 4.84 48.84 1E-04 2.20989988
22.6 2.3 510.76 5.29 51.98 0.0121 2.24969964
23.1 2.7 533.61 7.29 62.37 0.2601 2.29944934
23.5 3 552.25 9 70.5 0.6561 2.3392491
Suma 22 2.19 484.838 4.929 48.464 0.1329 2.19
Xm 22
Ym 2.19
Sxy 1/n * xi*yi - XmYm Sx^2 1/n * Xi^2 - Xm^2
Sxy= -43.3336 Sx^2= -435.5162
Yi = a + bX
b= Sxy / Sx^2 b= 0.0994994
a= Ym - b*Xm a= 0.00101323
Modelo de regresión Yest=0.0010+0.099*X + Ui
Si las familias aumentan su renta en 5%
Xi Xi + 5% Yi sin 5% Yi con el 5% Variacion
20.5 21.525 2.0407509 2.14273779 0.10198688
20.8 21.84 2.07060072 2.1740801 0.10347937
21.2 22.26 2.11040048 2.21586984 0.10546936
21.7 22.785 2.16015018 2.26810703 0.10795685
22.1 23.205 2.19994994 2.30989678 0.10994684
22.3 23.415 2.21984982 2.33079165 0.11094183
22.2 23.31 2.20989988 2.32034421 0.11044433
22.6 23.73 2.24969964 2.36213396 0.11243432
23.1 24.255 2.29944934 2.41437114 0.11492181
23.5 24.675 2.3392491 2.45616089 0.11691179 Familia que aumentara mas su ahorro ante un incremento d
Hallar Yi si Xi = 500 500
Yi= 49.7507126
Vne 0.08468065
(Yest-Ym)^2 (Yi-Yest)^2
0.02227529 0.01981082
0.01425619 0.07322475
0.00633608 0.01218827
0.00089101 0.00361804
9.90013E-05 0.08996997
0.00089101 0.04833394
0.00039601 9.80076E-05
0.00356405 0.00253013
0.01197916 0.16044083
0.02227529 0.43659175
0.00829631 0.08468065
su ahorro ante un incremento de 5% salarial
DATOS N= 10
Precio Cantidad
Xi Yi Xi^2 Yi^2 Xi*Yi (Yi-Ym)^2 Yest
7.5 450 56.25 202500 3375 14884 426.10306
9 425 81 180625 3825 9409 408.373591
10.5 400 110.25 160000 4200 5184 390.644122
12 350 144 122500 4200 484 372.914654
14 325 196 105625 4550 9 349.275362
16 300 256 90000 4800 784 325.636071
18 290 324 84100 5220 1444 301.996779
20.5 280 420.25 78400 5740 2304 272.447665
23.5 260 552.25 67600 6110 4624 236.988728
27 200 729 40000 5400 16384 195.619968
Suma 15.8 328 2869 1131350 47420 55510 3280
Xm 15.8
Ym 328
Sxy 1/n * xi*yi - XmYm Sx^2 1/n * Xi^2 - Xm^2
Sxy= -440.4 Sx^2= 37.26
Yi = a + bX
b= Sxy / Sx^2 b= -11.8196457
a= Ym - b*Xm a= 514.750403
Modelo de regresión Yest=514.75-11.819*X + Ui
Modelo mas 450
Precio Xi 7.5 si se aumenta en 0.5 Xi 8
Entonces el nivel de ventas será
Yi= 420.193237
Modelo mas c 27 reduccion de Xi en 3% Xi 97% 26.19
Cantidad ven 200
Cantidad vendida
Yi= 205.193881
Variacion 2.53120649
Descomposicion Varianza
Vt 55510
Ve 52053.7198
Vne 3456.28019
Cambio de medicion de variable a 10^2
DATOS N= 10 100
Precio Cantidad
Xi Yi Xi^2 Yi^2 Xi*Yi (Yi-Ym)^2 Yest
7.5 4.5 56.25 20.25 33.75 104652.25 426.10306
9 4.25 81 18.0625 38.25 104814.063 408.373591
10.5 4 110.25 16 42 104976 390.644122
12 3.5 144 12.25 42 105300.25 372.914654
14 3.25 196 10.5625 45.5 105462.563 349.275362
16 3 256 9 48 105625 325.636071
18 2.9 324 8.41 52.2 105690.01 301.996779
20.5 2.8 420.25 7.84 57.4 105755.04 272.447665
23.5 2.6 552.25 6.76 61.1 105885.16 236.988728
27 2 729 4 54 106276 195.619968
Suma 15.8 3.28 2869 113.135 474.2 1054436.34 3280
Xm 15.8
Ym 3.28
Yi
Sxy 1/n * xi*yi - XmYm Sx^2 1/n * Xi^2 - Xm^2
5
4.5
Sxy= -4.404 Sx^2= 37.26 4 f(x) = − 0.118196457326892 x + 5.14750402576489
R² = 0.937735899959706
3.5
3
Yi = a + bX
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
R² = 0.937735899959706
3.5
3
2.5
2
b= Sxy / Sx^2 b= -0.11819646
1.5
1
a= Ym - b*Xm a= 5.14750403
0.5
Modelo de regresión Yest=5.1475-0.11819*X + Ui 0 5 10 15 20
(Yest-Ym)^2 (Yi-Yest)^2
9624.2103 571.063761
6459.91413 276.437477
3924.28607 87.532446
2017.32612 525.081358
452.641042 589.293216
5.58816101 657.208129
676.167482 143.922716
3086.06192 57.0377631
8283.05166 529.518646
17524.4729 19.1846821
52053.7198 3456.28019
(Yest-Ym)^2 (Yi-Yest)^2
9624.2103 177749.14
6459.91413 163315.877
3924.28607 149493.677
2017.32612 136467.186
452.641042 119733.551
5.58816101 104094.034
676.167482 89458.8834
3086.06192 72709.8633
8283.05166 54938.0757
17524.4729 37488.6919
52053.7198 1105448.98
Yi
457326892 x + 5.14750402576489
959706
959706
15 20 25 30
DATOS N= 8
Precio Cantidad
Xi Yi Xi^2 Yi^2 Xi*Yi (Yi-Ym)^2 Yest
3 2.4 9 5.76 7.2 50.2326563 2.9559878
5 5.4 25 29.16 27 16.7076563 4.92776506
6 5.6 36 31.36 33.6 15.1126563 5.9136537
8 8.4 64 70.56 67.2 1.18265625 7.88543097
11 10.6 121 112.36 116.6 1.23765625 10.8430969
13 13.5 169 182.25 175.5 16.1001563 12.8148741
15 15 225 225 225 30.3876563 14.7866514
16 15 256 225 240 30.3876563 15.77254
Suma 9.625 9.4875 905 881.45 892.1 161.34875 75.9
Xm 9.625
Ym 9.4875
Sxy 1/n * xi*yi - XmYm Sx^2 1/n * Xi^2 - Xm^2
Sxy= 20.1953125 Sx^2= 20.484375
Yi = a + bX
b= Sxy / Sx^2 b= 0.98588863
a= Ym - b*Xm a= -0.00167811
Modelo de regresión Yest=-0.0016+0.98588583*X + Ui
Descomposición de la varianza
Vt 161.34875
Ve 159.282633
Vne 2.06611747
Calcular el valor de Yi , si Xi = 8 8
Yi= 7.88543097
Calcular el valor de Yi , si Xi=108 108
Yi= 106.474294
(Yest-Ym)^2 (Yi-Yest)^2
42.6606517 0.30912243
20.7911827 0.22300583
12.7723774 0.09837864
2.56662518 0.26478129
1.83764288 0.05909609
11.0714187 0.46939744
28.0810057 0.04551762
39.5017284 0.59681812
159.282633 2.06611747
