Rate of Change
Rate of Change
The Rate of change (ROC) indicator, which is also referred to as simply Momentum, is a pure momentum oscillator that measures the percent change in price from one period to the next. The ROC calculation compares the current price with the price "n" periods ago. The plot forms an oscillator that fluctuates above and below the zero line as the Rate of change moves from positive to negative. As a momentum oscillator, ROC signals include centerline crossovers, divergences and overbought-oversold readings. Divergences fail to foreshadow reversals more often than not so this article will forgo a discussion on divergences. Even though centerline crossovers are prone to whipsaw, especially short-term, these crossovers can be used to identify the overall trend. Identifying overbought or oversold extremes comes natural to the Rate of change oscillator.
Calculation
ROC = [(Close - Close n periods ago) / (Close n periods ago)] * 100
Interpretation
As noted above, the Rate of change indicator is momentum in its purest form. It measures the percentage increase or decrease in price over a given period of time. Think of it as the rise (price change) over the run (time). In general, prices are rising as long as the rate of change remains positive. Conversely, prices are falling when the rate of change is negative. ROC expands into positive territory as an advance accelerates. ROC dives deeper into negative territory as a decline accelerates there is no upward boundary on the rate of change. The sky is the limit for an advance. There is, however, a downside limit. Securities can only decline 100%, which would be to zero. Even with these lopsided boundaries, rate of change produces identifiable extremes that signal overbought and oversold conditions.