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Math 111 Conditional Probability Solutions

This document contains 4 practice conditional probability questions with multiple parts each. Question 1 involves probabilities related to patients getting flu shots and displaying flu-like symptoms. Question 2 looks at the probability of fair weather given observations of red skies. Question 3 considers probabilities involving dice rolls. Question 4 uses a Venn diagram to calculate probabilities related to eating healthy foods and exercise habits.

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TehseenHussainNasir
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56 views

Math 111 Conditional Probability Solutions

This document contains 4 practice conditional probability questions with multiple parts each. Question 1 involves probabilities related to patients getting flu shots and displaying flu-like symptoms. Question 2 looks at the probability of fair weather given observations of red skies. Question 3 considers probabilities involving dice rolls. Question 4 uses a Venn diagram to calculate probabilities related to eating healthy foods and exercise habits.

Uploaded by

TehseenHussainNasir
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY SOLUTIONS

MATH 111

CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY PRACTICE QUESTIONS

1. During one flu season, a medical researcher encouraged all of her patients who were older
than 50 to have a flu shot. She then kept records of all patients who displayed flu-like
symptoms over the next three-month period. The results are shown below. Suppose that
event B is had a flu shot and event A is displayed flu-like symptoms.

Number who had a flu


shot
Number who did not
have a flu shot
Total

Displayed flu-like
symptoms
8

Did not display flu-like


symptoms
20

Total

10

16

14

30

44

28

(a) Calculate P(A|B). 8/28=2/7


(b) Calculate P(A). 14/44=7/11
2. An old proverb says Red sky at night, sailors delight. Red sky in the morning, sailors take
warning. To test whether a red sky in the evening is associated with fair weather the next day,
Erin collected the following data on daily weather conditions and recorded if a red sky was
observed the previous evening.

Number of days red sky


observed on previous
evening
Number of days red sky
not observed on
previous evening
Total

Fair weather
17

Poor weather
9

Total
26

10

17

24

19

43

Assume the event B is red sky observed on previous evening and event A is fair weather.
(a) Calculate P(A|B). 17/26
(b) Calculate P(A). 24/43

3. Two dice, one red and one green, are rolled.


(a) What is the probability that the green die will show a number less than 3 and the total for
both dice will be less than 6?

P(A&B)=9/36=1/4

(b) What is the probability that the total will be an odd number, given that you rolled a number
less than 4 on the red die?
P(A|B)=9/18=1/2

4. A random sample of 100 people were asked


whether they ate healthy foods and whether they
exercised three or more times per week. The results
are shown in the Venn diagram. Suppose that one of
these individuals was chosen at random. Calculate
the probability of each of the following possibilities.

BExercised 3
or more times
per week
Did not
exercise 3 or
more times per
week
Total

AAte
Healthy
Foods
27

Did not eat


healthy
foods
8

Total

21

44

65

48

52

100

35

(a) The person ate healthy foods. P(A)=48/100=12/25


(b) The person exercised three of more times per week. P(B)=35/100=7/20
(c) The person ate healthy foods and exercised three or more times per week. P(A&B)=27/100
(d) The person did not eat healthy foods. P(not A)=52/100=13/25
(e) The person exercised three or more times per week, given that they ate healthy foods.
P(A|B)=27/35

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