Probability Assignment
Probability Assignment
The following data due to Weldone shows the result of throwing 12 fair dice 4,096 times; a throw of 4, 5, or 6 being called success.
Fit a binomial distribution and find the expected frequencies.
n
p
q=1-p
N
12
0.5
0.5
4096
X(SUCCESSES)
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
Y(FREQUENCY)
f(x)
(n-x)/(x+1)*p/q
BY RECURRENCE RELATION
p(x)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0
7
60
198
430
731
948
847
536
257
71
11
0
0.000244141
0.002929688
0.016113281
0.053710938
0.120849609
0.193359375
0.225585938
0.193359375
0.120849609
0.053710938
0.016113281
0.002929688
0.000244141
12
5.5
3.333333333
2.25
1.6
1.166666667
0.857142857
0.625
0.444444444
0.3
0.181818182
0.083333333
0
0.000244141
0.002929688
0.016113281
0.053710938
0.120849609
0.193359375
0.225585938
0.193359375
0.120849609
0.053710938
0.016113281
0.002929688
0.000244141
1000
900
800
700
600
X(SUCCESSES)
500
10
11
12
13
EXPECTED FREQUENCY
E(f(x))
1
12
66
220
495
792
924
792
495
220
66
12
1
QUES 2
Seven coins are tossed and number of heads noted. The experiment is repeated 128 times and the
Fit a binomial distribution, (i) The coin is unbiased, (ii) The nature of the coin is not known, (iii) Probability of a head for four c
a)
n
N
7
128
NO. OF HEADS
X
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
f
p(x)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
7
6
19
35
30
23
7
1
0.0078125
0.0546875
0.1640625
0.2734375
0.2734375
0.1640625
0.0546875
0.0078125
SUM
128
b)
NO. OF HEADS
X
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
f
X*f
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
6
19
35
30
23
7
0
6
38
105
120
115
42
7
SUM
mean=n*p
n
N
p
128
433
3.3828125
7
128
0.483258929
40
E(p(x))
35
1
7
21
35
35
21
7
1
30
25
NO. OF HEADS X
20
OBSERVED FREQUENCY f
15
10
5
0
1
p(x)
E(p(x))
0.009838092
0.064404441
0.180694101
0.281643433
0.263394399
0.147796684
0.046073408
1.259275747
8.243768443
23.12884494
36.05035946
33.71448304
18.91797558
5.897396275
0.006155441
0.787896509
NO. OF HEADS X
OBSERVED FREQUENCY f
QUES 3
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
f
X*f
0
1
2
3
4
109
65
22
3
1
0
65
44
9
4
10
200
122
m=
N=
0.61
200
SUM
120
100
80
NO. OF MISTAKES PER PAGE X
60
m /(X+1)
p(x)
EXPECTED FREQUENCY
N*p(x)
0.61
0.305
0.20333333
0.1525
0.122
0.54335087
0.33144403
0.10109043
0.02055505
0.00313465
108.6701738
66.28880603
20.21808584
4.111010787
0.626929145
QUENCY N*p(x)
BY RECURRENCE RELATION
p(x)
0.543350869
0.33144403
0.101090429
0.020555054
0.003134646
QUES 4
Fit a Poisson distribution to the following data which gives the number of doddens in a sample of cl
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
f
f*x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
56
156
132
92
37
22
4
0
1
0
156
264
276
148
110
24
0
8
SUM
500
986
mean,m
N
1.972
500
160
140
120
100
X
80
N*p(x)
60
40
20
0
1
180
160
140
120
100
80
80
60
40
20
0
1
m/(x+1)
p(x)
p(x)
EXPECTED FREQUENCY
N*p(x)
1.972
0.986
0.657333333
0.493
0.3944
0.328666667
0.281714286
0.2465
0.219111111
0.139178221
0.274459452
0.27061702
0.177885588
0.087697595
0.034587931
0.0113679
0.0032025
0.000789416
0.139178221
0.274459452
0.27061702
0.177885588
0.087697595
0.034587931
0.0113679
0.0032025
0.000789416
69.58911062
137.2297261
135.30851
88.94279389
43.84879739
17.29396569
5.683950056
1.60124993
0.394708108
X
f
f
N*p(x)
QUES 5
0
1
2
3
4
5
SUM
213
128
37
18
3
1
0
128
74
54
12
5
400
273
MEAN=r*q/p
u=
VARIANCE=r*q/p^2
p=
q=
0.6825
1.2775
0.81169375
0.840834366
0.159165634
r=
3.605485946
f*x^2
NEGATIVE BINOMIAL
EXPECTED FREQUENCY
E(p(x))
0
128
148
162
48
25
0.499852438
0.31823732
0.126631112
0.040310642
0.011228121
0.002859409
199.9409754
127.2949281
50.65244472
16.12425691
4.491248243
1.143763796
ROUND(E(p(x)))
200
127
51
16
4
1
511
250
200
150
X
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
100
EXPECTED FREQUENCY
50
0
1
QUES 6
A set of 8 symmetrical coins was tossed 256 times and the frequencies of throws observed were as
Fit a binomial distribution and find mean and standard deviation of fitted distribution.
n
8
N
256
p
0.5
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
f
f*x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2
6
24
63
64
50
36
10
1
0
6
48
189
256
250
216
70
8
256
1043
mean
4.07421875
18.72265625
variance
2.123397827
standard deviation
1.457188329
f*x^2
p(x)
EXPECTED FREQUENCY
E(p(x)
0
6
96
567
1024
1250
1296
490
64
0.00390625
0.03125
0.109375
0.21875
0.2734375
0.21875
0.109375
0.03125
0.00390625
1
8
28
56
70
56
28
8
1
(n-x)/(x+1)
8
3.5
2
1.25
0.8
0.5
0.285714286
0.125
0
4793
80
70
60
50
x
40
30
E(p(x)
20
10
0
1
p(X)
0.00390625
0.03125
0.109375
0.21875
0.2734375
0.21875
0.109375
0.03125
0.00390625
ques 7
The following distribution relates to the number of accidents to 650 women working on highly expl
Show that a negative binomial distribution rather than a geometric distribution, gives a very good f
f*x
0
1
2
3
4
5
450
132
41
22
3
2
0
132
82
66
12
10
650
mean=rq/p
u
var=rq/p^2
p
q
0.464615385
0.910769231
0.694901775
0.668605839
0.331394161
0.937386943
302
f*x^2
negative binomial
E(p(x))
geometric
0
132
164
198
48
50
0.668605839
0.221572071
0.07342769
0.024333508
0.008063982
0.002672357
434.5937956
144.0218461
47.72799881
15.81678011
5.241588569
1.737031844
0.668605839
0.221572071
0.07342769
0.024333508
0.008063982
0.002672357
592
500
450
400
350
300
x
250
200
E(p(x))
150
100
50
0
1
ques 8
Obtain the equation of the normal curve that may be fitted to the following data:
Also, obtained the expected frequencies.
class
frequency
LC[X1]
UC
below 60
60-65
65-70
70-75
75-80
80-85
85-90
90-95
95-100
100 and above
3
21
150
335
326
135
26
4
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
62.5
67.5
72.5
77.5
82.5
87.5
92.5
97.5
1000
mean
u
var
sd
79.945
6420.85
29.646975
5.44490358
ollowing data:
f*x
fx^2
187.5
1417.5
10875
25962.5
26895
11812.5
2405
390
11718.75
95681.25
788437.5
2012093.75
2218837.5
1033593.75
222462.5
38025
79945
6420850
z=(X1-mean)/sd
phi(z)
delta(phi(z))
-3.6630584
-2.7447685
-1.8264786
-0.9081887
0.01010119
0.9283911
1.846681
2.76497091
0
0.00012461
0.00302768
0.0338891
0.18188926
0.50402972
0.82339763
0.96760331
0.99715361
1
0.00012461
0.00290307
0.03086142
0.14800016
0.32214046
0.31936791
0.14420567
0.0295503
0.00284639
E(f(x))
round(E(f(x)))
0.12461083
2.90306873
30.8614196
148.000163
322.140461
319.367909
144.205675
29.5502997
2.84639363
0
3
31
148
322
319
144
30
3
ques 9
distance in feet
below 15
15-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65-74
75-84
85-94
95-104
105-114
115-124
125-134
135-144
above 144
a) Fit a normal distribution and find the theoretical frequencies for the classes of the above frequency dis
b) Find the expected number of girls throwing baseballs at a distance exceeding 105 feet on the basis that
no. of girls
LC[X1]
UC
x
1
2
7
25
33
53
64
44
31
27
11
4
1
15
25
35
45
55
65
75
85
95
105
115
125
135
303
mean
u
var
sd
80.12706271
6859.226898
438.8807198
20.94948018
24
34
44
54
64
74
84
94
104
114
124
134
144
19.5
29.5
39.5
49.5
59.5
69.5
79.5
89.5
99.5
109.5
119.5
129.5
139.5
19.5
59
276.5
1237.5
1963.5
3683.5
5088
3938
3084.5
2956.5
1314.5
518
139.5
380.25
1740.5
10921.75
61256.25
116828.25
256003.25
404496
352451
306907.75
323736.75
157082.75
67081
19460.25
24278.5
2078345.75
-3.1087675
-2.6314287
-2.1540899
-1.676751
-1.1994122
-0.7220734
-0.2447346
0.23260421
0.70994302
1.18728184
1.66462065
2.14195946
2.61929827
phi(z)
delta(phi(z))
0
0.00093935
0.00425134
0.01561656
0.04679559
0.11518385
0.23512467
0.40333097
0.59196562
0.76113027
0.88244176
0.95200577
0.98390163
0.99559446
1
0.00093935
0.00331199
0.01136523
0.03117902
0.06838826
0.11994082
0.1682063
0.18863465
0.16916464
0.1213115
0.069564
0.03189586
0.01169283
0.00440554
E(f(x))
round(E(f(x)))
0.2846223
1.00353242
3.44366387
9.44724443
20.7216428
36.3420695
50.9665077
57.1563003
51.2568872
36.7573844
21.0778931
9.6644454
3.54292711
1.33487965
0
1
3
9
21
36
51
57
51
37
21
10
4
1
QUES 10
When the first proof of 392 pages of a book of 1200 pages were read, the distribution of printing mista
Fit a Poisson distribution to the above data and test the goodness of fit.
no. of mistakes per page
X
OBSERVED FREQUENCY
f
X*f
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
275
72
30
7
5
2
1
0
72
60
21
20
10
6
21
392
189
m=
N=
0.482142857
392
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1
m /(X+1)
p(x)
EXPECTED FREQUENCY
N*p(x)
0.482143
0.241071
0.160714
0.120536
0.096429
0.080357
0.068878
0.617459
0.297703
0.071768
0.011534
0.00139
0.000134
1.08E-05
242.043868
116.699722
28.1329687
4.52136997
0.54498656
0.05255228
0.00422295
X
f
N*p(x)
BY RECURRENCE RELATION
p(x)
0.617458847
0.297703373
0.071767777
0.011534107
0.001390272
0.000134062
1.07728E-05
ques 11
SUM
Calculate the correlation coefficient for the following heights(in inches) of fathers(X) and their sons(Y):
n
8
X
X^2
Y^2
65
66
67
67
68
69
70
72
67
68
65
68
72
72
69
71
4225
4356
4489
4489
4624
4761
4900
5184
4489
4624
4225
4624
5184
5184
4761
5041
544
552
37028
38132
Sxx
Syy
Sxy
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT,r
36
44
24
0.603022689
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
0.603022689
XY
RANK X
RANK Y
d^2
4355
4488
4355
4556
4896
4968
4830
5112
8
7
5.5
5.5
4
3
2
1
7
5.5
8
5.5
1.5
1.5
4
3
1
1.5
-2.5
0
2.5
1.5
-2
-2
1
2.25
6.25
0
6.25
2.25
4
4
37560
RANK CORRELATION,r
26
0.69047619
QUES 12 Ten competitors in a musical test were ranked by the three judges A, B, and C in the following order:
Using rank correlation method, discuss which pair of judges has the nearest approach to common likings in music
n=
10
RANKS BY A
RANKS BY B
RANKS BY C
A^2
B^2
C^2
1
6
5
10
3
2
4
9
7
8
3
5
8
4
7
10
2
1
6
9
6
4
9
8
1
2
3
10
5
7
1
36
25
100
9
4
16
81
49
64
9
25
64
16
49
100
4
1
36
81
36
16
81
64
1
4
9
100
25
49
55
55
55
385
385
385
Saa
Sbb
Scc
Sab
Sbc
Sca
82.5
82.5
82.5
-17.5
-24.5
52.5
RANK CORREALATION
Rab
-0.212121212
Rbc
-0.296969697
Rca
0.636363636
following order:
h to common likings in music
AB
BC
CA
3
30
40
40
21
20
8
9
42
72
18
20
72
32
7
20
6
10
30
63
6
24
45
80
3
4
12
90
35
56
285
278
355
EXAMPLE 11.1
BRAND a)
61
62
60
63
62
61
64
62
63
61
62
67
65
62
62
63
62
62
64
65
62
MEAN1
62.37143
61
62
60
63
64
62
61
60
61
61
63
65
64
66
64
62
MEAN2
63
61
62
64
62
61
62
63
62
61
63
64
61
62
60
1.880816
0.137959
5.623673
0.395102
0.137959
1.880816
2.652245
0.137959
0.395102
1.880816
0.137959
21.42367
6.909388
0.137959
S^2
2.181513
4
1
9
0
1
1
4
9
4
4
0
4
1
9
1
1
S^2
3.076923
BRAND b)
H0:
H1:
1=2
12
Z=
CONCLUSION:
65
67
64
62
64
65
63
61
-1.68443
H0 IS ACCEPTED
H0 IS ACCEPTED
63
62
65
64
61
62
66
63
62
64
62
65
62
63
61
65
0.05
Z0.025
1.959964
0.137959
0.395102
0.137959
0.137959
2.652245
6.909388
0.137959
1.880816
0.137959
2.652245
0.137959
1.880816
0.137959
0.395102
0.137959
1.880816
0.395102
2.652245
1.880816
0.137959
5.623673
4
16
1
1
1
4
0
4
0
1
4
1
4
1
9
0
1
1
1
4
1
0
4
4
EXAMPLE 11.2
150
155
145
140
165
135
130
165
170
SUM=
MEAN=
3873
143.4444
340.1975
180.7531
304.3086
270.4198
42.97531
71.30864
11.8642
274.0864
549.642
42.97531
133.5309
2.419753
11.8642
464.642
71.30864
180.7531
464.642
705.1975
SUM=
S^2=
5294.667
203.641
130
145
130
140
150
160
140
145
165
185
165
160
170
180
190
170
150
27
SUM=
MEAN=
180.7531
2.419753
180.7531
11.8642
42.97531
274.0864
11.8642
2.419753
464.642
492.84
4.84
7.84
51.84
295.84
739.84
51.84
163.84
SUM=
S^2=
S.D.=
H0:
H1:
PROPOSED EXPENDITURE
DEHRADUN(IN
15.39394
1=2
12
0.05
t0.025,50=
2.008559112
DEGREE OF FREEDOM=
t=
CONCLUSION:
-4.53008
H0 IS REJECTED
H0 IS REJECTED
185
180
190
145
160
170
180
145
25
4070
162.8
60.84
7.84
316.84
163.84
60.84
7.84
316.84
519.84
772.84
6554
273.0833
492.84
295.84
739.84
316.84
7.84
51.84
295.84
316.84
50
QUES 13
ADDITIONAL UNITS(Y)
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
5
6
7
2
7
7
10
8
12
10
14
11
14
ADDITIONAL UNITS(Y)
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0
NAL UNITS(Y)
y = -0.269x2 + 3.4823x + 1.8022
ADDITIONAL UNITS(Y)
Poly. (ADDITIONAL UNITS(Y))
QUES 14
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1
1.2
1.8
2.5
3.6
4.7
6.6
9.1
Y
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
y = 0.6823e0.3241x
Y
Expon. (Y)
QUES 15
JOB EFFICIENCY(X)
WEEKS OF EMPLOYMENT(Y)
55
50
20
55
75
80
90
30
75
70
2
4
1
3
5
9
12
2
7
5
WEEKS OF EMPLOYMENT(Y)
14
12
y = 0.003x2 - 0.1926x + 4.4046
10
8
6
4
2
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
MPLOYMENT(Y)
1926x + 4.4046
WEEKS OF EMPLOYMENT(Y)
Poly. (WEEKS OF EMPLOYMENT(Y))
90
100
90
100
QUES 16
The expected remaining life of an electronic part is belived to be related to the age of the part.
The ages of 10 of the these parts that were in use on a certain date were recorded in operating hours.
When each part burned out, the dlapsed time was recorded. The results were as follows
Determine the coefficient of regression and regression curve using the non-linear form
AGE OF PART(IN HRS.)
REMAINING LIFE (IN HRS.)
40
65
90
5
30
10
80
85
70
25
30
20
10
80
40
65
15
15
20
50
50
40
30
20
10
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
FE (IN HRS.)
0.022x
90
100
QUES 17
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
SOUTH
EAST
WEST
MID WEST
EAST
WEST
EAST
MID WEST
WEST
WEST
WEST
SOUTH
MID WEST
SOUTH
EAST
WEST
SOUTH
SOUTH
WEST
SOUTH
WEST
SOUTH
WEST
WEST
WEST
WEST
WEST
MID WEST
EAST
WEST
MID WEST
LUCKY'S
QFC
QFC
WHOLE FOODS
FRED MYER'S
QFC
LUCKY'S
TRADE JOE'S
LUCKY'S
GOOD DEAL
COST LESS
GOOD DEAL
TRADE JOE'S
LUCKY'S
FRED MYER'S
WHOLE FOODS
LUCKY'S
GOOD DEAL
ALBERTSON'S
COST LESS
LUCKY'S
MEGA FOODS
WHOLE FOODS
MEGA FOODS
COST LESS
MARKET WAY
MARKET WAY
FRED MYER'S
SAFEWAY
LUCKY'S
FRED MYER'S
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
YES
NO
NO
YES
NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
YES
NO
NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
YES
NO
YES
NO
NO
YES
NO
NO
32
33
34
35
EAST
WEST
SOUTH
MID WEST
SAFEWAY
GOOD DEAL
MARKET WAY
WHOLE FOODS
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO.
20
16
11
13
3
32
30
4
25
4
REGION
SOUTH
WEST
WEST
MID WEST
WEST
EAST
WEST
MID WEST
WEST
MID WEST
CUSTOMER
COST LESS
WHOLE FOODS
COST LESS
TRADE JOE'S
QFC
SAFEWAY
LUCKY'S
WHOLE FOODS
COST LESS
WHOLE FOODS
USED COUPON
NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
POPULATION MEAN
4590.457143
POPULATION S.D
4110.017356
POPULATION PROPORTION
ERROR
MEAN
STANDARD DEVIATION
PROPORTION
-662.5428571
-1153.325055
7
SALES(IN $)
4360
1340
6960
14375
2980
7560
4460
12980
4950
3625
520
14625
4680
1400
10250
5430
2460
3188
2750
1180
1700
6600
13800
3905
1050
520
1000
5400
605
2860
5920
1100
240
3330
2563
SALES(IN $)
1180
5430
520
4680
6960
1100
2860
14375
1050
14375
5253
5263.342411
PROPORTION