The Conspirators
Make sure your device uses Samsung Memory
Battery Brutus
Fiona Freeze
Loading Ball Larry
DISCLAIMER
The materials in this report include forward-looking statements which can generally be identified by phrases such as Samsung Electronics (SEC) or its management "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "foresees," "forecasts," "estimates" or other words or phrases of similar implications. Similarly, such statements that describe the company's business strategy, outlook, objectives, plans, intentions or goals are also forward-looking statements. All such statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the presentation files above. For us, particular uncertainties which could adversely or positively affect our future results include: The behavior of financial markets including fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices Strategic actions including dispositions and acquisitions Unanticipated dramatic developments in our major businesses including CE (Consumer Electronics), IM (IT & Mobile communications), DS (Device Solutions) Numerous other matters at the national and international levels which could affect our future results These uncertainties may cause our actual results to be materially different from those expressed in this report.
1. Paradigm Shift
- Transition from PCs to Mobile
2. Strategic Direction
- Stay One Step Ahead as Ecosystem Leader - Exploit Breakthroughs in Technology - Extend Core Competencies
Memory Market Evolution
PC Mobile
Smartphone Tablet
Big Data
Datacenter
W/W Memory rev.($B)
PC
41
Card SSD
Enterprise Mobile DRAM
(PC SSD)
NAND PC DRAM
1985 1990 1995 2000
1/34
2005
2010
2015
(Source: isuppli, Samsung)
Product Cycle
Business cycle accelerates in mobile era
3-4 year product cycles
Major Upgrade (Ver.)
Lynnfield Win8 Win7
Annual product cycles
Major Upgrade (Ver.)
PC CPU & OS
Cedar Pentium4 Pentium Pro Win98 Win95 WinXP
Mobile OS
5 ICS Honeycomb Gingerbread Eclair 3 4 6
iOS 7
2 iOS 1 v1.0
96
00
04
08
12
08
12
PC DRAM
SDR DDR DDR2 DDR3 DDR4
Mobile DRAM
MDDR LP2 LP3 LP4
Faster standardization, development and enabling Changes every every 2 years 4 years
2/34
Product Compatibility
Interchangeable Customized
Memory Vendor
A B A
Memory Vendor
B
Pin-to-pin compatible = Simple SCM*
Non-interchangeable = Complicated SCM*
More difficult in managing raw material and work-in-process
* SCM : Supply Chain Management
3/34
Value Chain
The mobile value chain is more horizontal - Value more evenly distributed amongst key players
PC: Vertical Ecosystem CPU OS Memory Set Rule setter Bulk of value Mobile: Horizontal Ecosystem
Memory
Rule follower Commodity provider
Mobile OS
De facto standard by leading players
Shared Value
Mobile CPU
More opportunities for value capture
4/34
Handset
Selective Relationship
Supply interruptions possible during memory shortages
PC Makers Handset Makers
Tier1
Tier2,3 Alternative supply under shortage
Spot market
Tier1
Tier2,3 No alternative under shortage
Spot market
Memory Vendors
Memory Vendors Danger of production halt under shortage
5/34
Pricing
Tapered Pricing for visible and predictable memory supply
Volatile Pricing (PC DRAM)
Price
Tapered Pricing (Mobile DRAM)
Price
Price Density
Maintain BOM
Price Density
Increase BOM
Volatile
Time
Predictable
Time
Commodity product Predictable
priceCustomized and product continued cost innovation required
6/34
Winner Takes All
Design-in at each vendor, 1st mover takes all
Memory vendors share for PC maker A Memory vendors share for handset maker B
No.3
Others
No.3
(20~30%)
No.2
(40~50%)
No.1
No.2
(~10%)
(70~80%)
No.1
Need to be a first mover, Not just fast follower
7/34
Technology & Capex
Technology complexity driving greater CapEx
Tech. complexity
50nm 100nm
Turn Around Time
20nm
x1.8
x2.0
x1.0
x1.5
x1.1
CapEx
Need to improve ROI - Minimum input maximum output
8/34
Product Quality
PC memory is modular, but Mobile memory is embedded - Product quality becomes more important
Module type Embedded type
$00 for DRAM module High only risk of $000 for entire board
RMA* cost and lost business
9/34
* Return Material Authorization
Memory Market
Paradigm shift is reflected in memory market
100%
158% 78% 40 51% 38% 57% -1% 35 27 17 11 -23% 25 73% 27 % -12% 33 26
-58%
-23% 23 7 8 9 13
10% -36% 26 15 32 -64%
39-25% 29
Memory market gets more stable (Source: isuppli) due to diminished players and PC DRAM portion
10/34
4 2
Paradigm Shift
Radical change of business paradigm
Mobile era PC era
Strategy
Mobile era
Shorter lifetimeLonger lifetime Product Customization Commodity Characteristics Only One Number One Make-to-order Make-to-stock Biz Tapered pricing Volatile market pricing Model Winner takes 2ndall mover has opportunity Scaling limitations Continuous scaling Technology Lower ROI Manageable CapEx Higher RMA cost Reasonable quality
11/34
Stay One Step Ahead Shorter lifetime as an Ecosystem Leader
- De factoCustomization standard
Only One
Exploit Technology Make-to-order Breakthroughs
Tapered pricing - Sustainable memory demand growth takes all Winner Scaling limitations Lower ROI - Organization, Open innovation, Higher RMA cost System knowledge, SCM, Quality
Extend Core Competencies
Strategic Direction
- Stay One Step Ahead as Eco-system Leader
Solutions for One Step Ahead
Green Memory
- Value maximizing solution for datacenters
5th Generation
DRAM
20nm class DDR4
12/34
SSD
10nm class PCIe SSD
Green Memory Benefits
Combined benefits of Green Memories provide up to 105% greater operational efficiency
5th Generation
Concurrent User support
105% 62%
Green Solution Green Solution
Current configuration
Same CapEx
Same space
Green Memory solution
13/34
Creating Shared Value
Creating $3 Billion value
100% Green
3.1 Billion Dollars
Reduction*
45TWh
(Singapore Area x4.6)
800M Trees
(Area of Hawaii x2)
Solar Heat Power Station
The World Population can use handset within 1.8 years
* Assumes 14 W/W Server & high-end storage change to 100% Green Memory
14/34
Thermoelectric power plant 7.7 units Reduction
One Step Ahead
Continue to secure price premium via tech leadership
Mobile DRAM Price Price Only 1 in LPDDR3 Competition Only 1 in LPDDR4 LPDDR4 LPDDR3
Premium
LPDDR2
Premium
Time
15/34
One Step Ahead
Continue to secure price premium via tech leadership
High Density Mobile DRAM Value Worlds 1st Competition Worlds 1st
3GB
Samsung
3GB
4Gb
Premium
2GB
Competitor
4Gb x 6ea = 3GB
Premium
Premium 6Gb
6Gb x 4ea =3GB
2GB
Chipset validation complete Handset evaluation finished Mass production ready Time
16/34
De facto Standard
Cultivate de facto standard via ecosystem leadership
Mobile DRAM
20nm class 4Gb LPDDR3
De facto standard
Memory
LPDDR3
Wide IO
by leading players
Mobile OS Handset
De facto standard
Mobile CPU
Open standard
LPDDR2
NAND Storage Solution
De facto standard
Open standard
eMMC 4.5
20nm class 4Gb LPDDR3
eMMC 5.0
UFS* *Universal Flash Storage
17/34
Enabling Tech for One Step Ahead
Worlds first 3-bit NAND flash SSD
Overcome Trade-off
Higher Performance
- Comparable performance at a value price
840 (12) 840 EVO (13)
with superior solution technology
Im continually amazed by Samsung's rise to power in the SSD space. - Anandtech 1-bit NAND 2-bit 3-bit Lower Cost
The performance increase is profound. Writes shoot up, while the read results shoot up - Tom's Hardware as well.
18/34
Strategic Direction
- Exploit Technology Breakthroughs
Technology Paradigm Shift
Memory process technology no longer lithography dependent
Technology
Litho-dependent Scale-down = Higher density Lower cost krF Better performance
V-NAND
Breakthrough
New Structure
ArF Immersion
Litho contribution to CapEx : Planar 45% V-NAND 15%
Tech. Limit?
EUV?
19/34
Value Proposition of V-NAND
High Endurance High Performance Low Power Consumption
Program/Erase cycle
x10
Write speed
x2
power consumption
40% less
Planar
V-NAND (2-bit)
Planar
V-NAND (2-bit)
Planar
V-NAND (2-bit)
Shipping to datacenter customers and receiving positive feedback
20/34
V-NAND in Enterprise SSD
V-NAND will change the server storage industry
Enterprise SSD bit shipments
V-NAND Planar
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
21/34
Multi-bit V-Solution
V-NAND can be the most cost effective solution
V-NAND Premium Quality
Samsungs Multi-Bit Solution Technology
2-bit 3-bit
SSD Price
Multi-bit V-Solution
Most Cost Competitive Solution
Current
50%
V-NAND (Multi-bit)
22/34
Creating new demand with V-NAND
V-NAND will boost NAND demand
NAND bit Shipment
In mass production in Korea and to be expanded to Xian, China next year
PC SSD Enterprise SSD
Mobile
V-NAND
Premium Application
Planar 2013 2014 2015
23/34
2016
2017
How to Sustain DRAM Growth?
Leading technologies will be applied to mobile first as necessitated by increased scale
volume at node x
Cost Cost
Specialty
+ Cost Adder Majority
Majority
Mobile
EDP
Mobile
Development timing
EDP
EDP-centric develop. : Mobile Cost > EDP
Development timing
* EDP : Electronic Data Processing
24/34
Economy of Scale, EDP < Mobile Cost, EDP > Mobile
Continuous DRAM Technology Drive
Three-pronged approach to sub 20nm breakthrough
3D TSV-based
Chip #1
#2 #3 #4
Process Tech.
*Through-Silicon Vias
Breakthrough
30nm
: high density solution
TSV-based DRAM module
Solution DRAM
: Error management algorithm : Server-class memory sub-system
20nm Limit?
New Memory
: MRAM, ReRAM, PRAM, etc
PRAM
Sub-20nm?
25/34
Strategic Direction
- Extend Core Competencies
What to Do
To extend core competencies
Organization More customer and market-oriented Reinforcing solution engineers
Core Competencies
Capabilities System knowledge Competitive SCM, Quality Collaboration Open innovation
26/34
Re-align Organization
Establish application/market-oriented organization
Cross-functional Virtual community
Application Dimension System Engineering
Mobile PC/ Tablet Data center
Functional Dimension
Chip Design Package Design
27/34
Excellent Quality
Samsungs Server DRAM, Top-notch quality
Low Server DRAM fraction defective
Statistical methodology, Big data mining Root-cause finding through cross-functional collaboration
[ppm]
x10 lower defective rate
Top-notch quality Leverage for Time competitive mobile DRAM
28/34
Improve SCM
Right product, time and place through improved SCM
- Transformation into manufacturing service provider
Inbound SCM Outbound SCM
Increased Complexity
Differentiated, Dedicated
Raw materials
Memory
Customer
Samsung is truly differentiating obviously providing B more detail than even foundries
A B
proactive C approach to improve C the level of service of which is already great
29/34
Memorylink.samsung.com
Smart online service & support
Information
Service Portal Smartphone trend
Customize
Smart architecture design tool
Customer
Recommend
Alignment with memory solution
Memorylink.samsung.com
Sample Request
Sample order and feedback
30/34
Global R&D Network
Improve solution development capability
Israel
Flash Management S/W
Xian, China
Storage S/W
San Jose, USA
S/W Architecture Research & Enterprise SSD S/W New Tech. Sensing & Product Enabling
Bangalore, India
Mobile S/W Expanding Global R&D Personnel 700 0 2004 500 2013
31/34
2015
More Values via Open Innovation
System, Solution and Software to unlock value
System Knowledge M&A
- Nvelo (SSD S/W), etc.
Identify opportunities
Equity Investment Solution Engineering
Create opportunities
- Storage system start-ups
Overseas R&D Center
- Tech. sensing, Product enabling
Software Capability
Maximize opportunities
Academia Collaboration
- Memory system architecture
32/34
Summary
To align with the paradigm shift
Strategy
Stay One Step Ahead as an Ecosystem Leader
- De facto standard
Paradigm Shift
Exploit Technology Breakthroughs
- Sustainable memory demand growth
Extend Core Competencies
- Organization, Open innovation, System knowledge, SCM, Quality
33/34
Transformation in progress
Unpredictable & Fluctuating Biz
Stable & Steady Growth
34/34
Thank You