POST-2015

DEVELOPMENT
AGENDA: GOALS,
TARGETS AND
INDICATORS
SPECIAL REPORT
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT
AGENDA:
GOALS, TARGETS AND
INDICATORS
SPECIAL REPORT
Nicole Bates-Eamer, Barry Carin, Min Ha Lee and Wonhyuk Lim,
with Mukesh Kapila
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Copyright 2012 by The Centre for International Governance Innovation
and the Korea Development Institute.
CIGI would like to thank the Government of Ontario for its support of
this project.
The opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors
and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Centre for International
Governance Innovation or its Operating Board of Directors or
International Board of Governors.
This work was carried out with the support of The Centre for
International Governance Innovation (CIGI), Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
(www.cigionline.org). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives License. To view this
license, visit (www.creativecommons.org/licenses/ by-nc-nd/3.0/). For
re-use or distribution, please include this copyright notice.
Cover and page design by Steve Cross.
Cover photo by Lee Eng Chua, lechua photography.
iii
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES iv
ACRONYMS v
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS vi
AUTHORS NOTE vi
ABOUT THE AUTHORS vi
SUMMARY 1
FOREWORD 2
BACKGROUND 3
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 9
CONCLUSION 28
ANNEX 30
WORKS CITED 59
TOWARD A POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT PARADIGM PROJECT 62
ABOUT CIGI 63
CIGI MASTHEAD 63
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LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES
FIGURE 1: PROPOSED BELLAGIO GOALS 4
FIGURE 2: THREE POLICY PILLARS OF INCLUSIVE GROWTH 10
FIGURE 3: EFA DECLARATION AND FRAMEWORK UNESCO 13
FIGURE 4: TOP POLICY PRIORITIES FOR EFA ACCOMPLISHMENT (MID-TERM MONITORING REPORT, 2008) 14
FIGURE 5: HIGH-QUALITY EFA 15
FIGURE 6: A HIERARCHY OF HEALTH-SYSTEM GOALS AND TARGETS (GLOBAL LEVEL) 16
FIGURE 7: HEALTH SYSTEM EQUITY 17
FIGURE 8: GENDER INEQUALITY INDEX 20
FIGURE 9: PROPOSAL FOR A NEW GOAL ON INFRASTRUCTURE FOR THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA 22
TABLE 1: CANDIDATE INDICATORS ON INCLUSIVE GROWTH, LIVELIHOODS AND STANDARDS OF LIVING 30
TABLE 2: CANDIDATE INDICATORS ON FOOD, WATER AND SANITATION 33
TABLE 3: SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS OF EDUCATION TO OTHER DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES 35
TABLE 4: CANDIDATE INDICATORS ON EDUCATION 36
TABLE 5: CANDIDATE INDICATORS ON HEALTH 38
TABLE 6: CANDIDATE INDICATORS FOR SECURITY 41
TABLE 7: CANDIDATE INDICATORS ON GENDER EQUALITY 44
TABLE 8: CANDIDATE INDICATORS FOR DISASTER REDUCTION AND RESILIENCE 45
TABLE 9: THE IMPORTANCE OF INFRASTRUCTURE GOALS 46
TABLE 10: INFRASTRUCTURE GOALS 46
TABLE 12: CANDIDATE INDICATORS ON CIVIL AND POLITICAL RIGHTS 54
TABLE 13: CANDIDATE INDICATORS ON ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY 56
TABLE 14: CANDIDATE INDICATORS FOR GLOBAL GOVERNANCE 58
ACRONYMS v
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
ACRONYMS
ACER Australian Council for Educational Research
ADB Asian Development Bank
Admin administrative data from national statistics agencies
ART antiretroviral therapy
BMI body mass index
CIGI The Centre for International Governance
Innovation
CIRI Cingranelli-Richards Human Rights Data Project
DALY Disability-Adjusted Life Year Index (WHO)
DOTS directly observed treatment short course (TB)
EAP East Asia and Pacifc Region (World Bank)
ECCE early childhood care and education
EDI EFA Development Index
EFA Education for All (UNESCO)
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization (UN)
FCS food consumption score
GDP gross domestic product
GHG greenhouse gas
GII Gender Inequality Index
GNI gross national income
HALE Healthy Life Expectancy Index (WHO)
HDI Human Development Index
HDR Human Development Report
HPI Human Poverty Index
HS household survey
IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency
ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization
ICT information and communication technology
IDEA Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance
IEA International Energy Agency
IEG Independent Evaluation Group (World Bank)
IFRC International Federation of Red Cross and Red
Crescent Societies
ILO International Labour Organization
IMF International Monetary Fund
IRF International Road Federation
ITU International Telecommunication Union
IUCN International Union for Conservation of Nature
KDI Korea Development Institute
MDGs Millennium Development Goals
MHM menstrual hygiene management
MPI Multidimensional Poverty Index
NCHS National Center for Health Statistics
NEPAD New Partnership for Africas Development
OD open defecation
ODA offcial development assistance (OECD DAC)
OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development
OECD DAC OECD Development Assistance Committee
OHCHR Offce of the High Commissioner for Human Rights
(UN)
PIAC public Internet access centre
PISA Programme for International Student Assessment
(OECD)
PPM parts per million
PPP purchasing power parity
SDGs Sustainable Development Goals
SE4ALL Sustainable Energy for All
SHaSA Strategy for the Harmonization of Statistics in
Africa
TB tuberculosis
TRIPS Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual
Property Rights
UCDP Uppsala Confict Data Program
UN United Nations
UNCTAD UN Conference on Trade and Development
UNDP UN Development Programme
UNEP UN Environment Programme
UNESCO UN Educational, Scientifc and Cultural
Organization
UNFCCC UN Framework Convention on Climate Change
UN-HABITAT UN Human Settlements Programme
UNICEF UN Childrens Fund
UNISDR UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
UNODC UN Offce on Drugs and Crime
USAID United States Agency for International
Development
VOIP Voice over Internet Protocol
WFS World Food Summit
WMO World Meterological Organization
WHO World Health Organization (UN)
WTO World Trade Organization
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This paper is the product of a consortium of organizations
led by The Centre for International Governance
Innovation (CIGI) and the Korea Development Institute
(KDI). Project partners have included the International
Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies
(IFRC), the International Poverty Reduction Center in
China, the Getulio Vargas Foundation, the Tata Institute
of Social Sciences, the University of Manchester and the
University of Pretoria. We are grateful for their support.
Special thanks to Janki Andharia, Mukul Bhola, Danny
Bradlow, Marcelo Neri, Li Xiaoyun and Tony Redmond.
We appreciate the signifcant contributions of Carla
AbouZahr, Richard Carey, Hildegard Lingnau, Richard
Manning, Mark Orkin and Jan Vandemoortele.
Any errors are the responsibility of the authors.
AUTHORS NOTE
This report has been prepared for a presentation in
November 2012 to the United Nations (UN) offcials
responsible for post-2015 development goals proposals to
succeed the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). It
is also being presented to the lead author of the Secretary-
Generals High Level Panel, to diplomats at the United
Nations, to World Bank offcials, and to representatives
of civil society organizations and researchers in New
York City and Washington.
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Barry Carin is a senior fellow at CIGI and adjunct professor and
former associate director of the Centre for Global Studies at the
University of Victoria in the School of Public Administration. From
2006 through 2009, he was editor of the journal Global Governance.
Prior to joining CIGI, Barry served as high commissioner of Canada
to Singapore and as assistant deputy minister of trade and economic
policy in the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade.
He was Canadian representative on the executive committee of the
OECD, assistant deputy minister for strategic policy and planning in
the Department of Employment and Immigration and was director
of effectiveness evaluation in the Treasury Board Secretariat.
He has a Ph.D. in economics from Brown University and an honours
B.A. in economics and political science from McGill University.
Nicole Bates-Eamer joined the Centre for Global Studies in 2008 as
a research assistant to Barry Carin and Gordon Smith. Her research
focuses on development assistance, summit reform and effectiveness,
and global governance architecture. Nicole also works for other
senior associates at the Centre; she recently managed a project on
domestic health policy and wrote the fnal report, Perceived Shortage,
Relative Surplus: The Paradox of Quebecs Family Physician Workforce:
An Intra- and Inter-Provincial Comparison.
In addition to her work at the Centre for Global Studies, Nicole
founded her own educational consulting company, Tutasoma, which
delivers interactive workshops to high school students on various
global issues. Nicole previously worked in childrens rights as a
project coordinator for Right To Play in Tanzania and as a research
consultant for Senator Landon Pearson in Ottawa.
She has an M.A. in international development from the Norman
Paterson School of International Affairs at Carleton University and a
B.A. in history from the University of Memphis.
Min Ha Lee is a research associate with KDIs Global Economy
Research Division. Her research focuses on development and
industrial policy, sustainable transportation system and regional
integration. She recently published A Critical Review on Regional
Integration Process in East Asia, a paper that is a qualitative
extension of her previous work on East Asian regional integration.
Between 2007 and 2010, Min Ha was involved in various research
projects conducted by Korean government bodies such as its
Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, the National Center for APEC
(Asian-Pacifc Economic Cooperation) Studies and the National
Assembly of the Republic of Korea. During this time, she also served
as national contact point (project manager) for the Asia-Europe
Meeting (2007) and APEC (2009). Prior to her public-sector work
experience as a researcher, Min Ha was a strategic planner at LG
Chem, the leading chemical company in Korea.
Min Ha has an M.A. with honours in international studies
(international commerce) from Seoul National University and a
B.Sc with honours in chemistry with management from Imperial
College, London.
Wonhyuk Lim is director of Global Economy Research at KDI.
Since joining KDI in 1996, his research has focused on state-owned
enterprises and family-based business groups (chaebol). He has also
written extensively on development issues, in conjunction with
Koreas Knowledge Sharing Program. He received a presidential
order from the Dominican Republic for his work. After the 2002
presidential election in Korea, Lim worked for the presidential
transition committee and the presidential committee on Northeast
Asia. He was also at the Brookings Institution as a CNAPS (Center
for Northeast Asian Policy Studies) fellow for 2005-2006. In 2010,
he helped to formulate the G20 Seoul Development Consensus for
Shared Growth. His recent publications include Joint Discovery
and Upgrading of Comparative Advantage: Lessons from Koreas
Development Experience (World Bank, 2011) and Global Leadership
in Transition: Making the G20 More Effective and Responsive (Brookings
and KDI, 2011, co-edited with Colin Bradford). He holds a B.A.S.
in physics and history and a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford
University.
SUMMARY 1
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
SUMMARY
The question is not whether to
abandon global targets but rather how
to improve the MDG architecture and
how to adjust them to the priorities
beyond 2015. (Vandemoortele, 2011)
In September 2000, world leaders at the United
Nations Millennium Summit recognized a collective
responsibility to work toward a more peaceful,
prosperous and just world (UN, 2000). The MDGs
reaffrmed this vision and launched an ambitious global
partnership for development, setting specifc targets
to be met by 2015 and using numerical indicators to
measure progress. The MDGs recognized the stark reality
of widespread human deprivation and environmental
degradation, and galvanized support to reduce poverty,
achieve basic education and health, and promote gender
equality and environmental sustainability.
By 2015, the world will have met some of the MDGs key
targets, such as halving the poverty rate, and will get
close to completing primary education for all children;
but achieving the health goals looks diffcult and Africa
lags behind, despite the substantial progress it has made
since 2000. Overall, the MDGs have been remarkably
successful in focusing attention and mobilizing resources
to address the major gaps in human development.
Building on the MDGs, the global community should
move beyond meeting basic human needs and promote
dynamic, inclusive and sustainable development. Future
goals must reach beyond traditional development
thinking to become sustainable one-world goals that
apply to poor and rich countries alike. Surveys show
that even for the poorest, meeting basic needs is not
enough. The World Banks Voices of the Poor (2000)
exercise, for instance, concluded that the priorities of the
poor are jobs, better connections to the rest of the world,
reduced threats of violence and ending humiliation and
disrespect. The new goals should not only provide for
basic human needs, but also ensure essential human
rights and create enabling conditions to help individuals
realize their potential.
For basic needs, the new goals should strive to do much
more than tackling extreme poverty and hunger, and
achieving basic education and health. The new goals
should seek to deliver better living standards through
inclusive growth, for instance, by accelerating income
growth and increasing employment, especially for the
poorest 20 percent. The education goal should move
beyond primary schooling toward universal literacy
and numeracy and improved job skills. The health goal
should focus on productive life expectancy, for rich and
poor countries alike. For essential human rights, the
new goals should promote civil and political rights, and
security in addition to gender equality. Without being
overly prescriptive, the civil and political rights goal
should promote public participation, accountability and
transparency. The security goal should seek to reduce
violence and vulnerability. For enabling conditions,
the new goals should promote universal access to
information and communication technology (ICT),
transportation and energy infrastructure, in addition to
ensuring environmental sustainability, disaster resilience
and good global governance, to ensure that dynamic,
inclusive and sustainable development can take place
without perpetuating aid dependence.
Based on discussions at a meeting at Bellagio, Italy last year
and regional consultations this year, this report looks at the
potential indicators for 11 potential future Bellagio Goals:
inclusive growth for dignifed livelihoods and
adequate standards of living;
suffcient food and water for active living;
appropriate education and skills for productive
participation in society;
good health for the best possible physical and
mental well-being;
security for ensuring freedom from violence;
gender equality, enabling men and women to
participate and beneft equally in society;
building resilient communities and nations for
reduced disaster risk from natural and technological
hazards;
improving infrastructure for access to essential
information, services and opportunities;
empowering people to realize their civil and
political rights;
sustainable management of the biosphere, enabling
people and the planet to thrive together; and
global governance and equitable rules for realizing
human potential.
The availability of appropriate indicators to underpin
targets for each of the goals is critical and it is important to
note that the behaviour of organizations and individuals
is infuenced by how success will be assessed. Without
practical indicators, goals remain purely aspirational
and progress cannot be measured. But there are
daunting challenges to devising suitable indicators
that are both measurable and motivational in order to
galvanize public support for development. Serious data
limitations exist, especially for the purposes of cross-
country comparisons. Metrics must be sophisticated
not too crude, but also not too technocratic. Indicators
should allow for disaggregation by sex, urban/rural,
and identity groups and income bands to unmask the
inequalities that hide behind generalized statistics. This
report reviews a menu of indicators for the candidate
goals to inform the future process of selecting the post-
2015 successors to the MDGs.
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FOREWORD
Goals are important; they motivate behaviour and
investments. Every potential goal needs smart and
parsimonious indicators. A goal will not be selected for
the post-2015 framework unless there is a consensus on
appropriate indicators to measure progress. We intend to
contribute technical inputs to the offcial UN processes.
Rather than advocate any particular issue area, this report,
built on a series of meetings followed by consultations
with experts in Paris, Beijing, Seoul, Pretoria, Mumbai
and Rio de Janeiro, provides a compendium of the
indicator options for each potential goal.
There will be temptation, in some quarters, to fnesse
the diffculties of selecting and defning goals, targets
and indicators. The impulse of wise offcials, who have
no appetite for the vigorous debate involved, will be to
publish some unobjectionable principles, leaving it to
individual countries to specify their own goals, targets
and indicators. This would be the easy way out, avoiding
compromises and accepting imperfect results, under the
pretext of promoting country ownership. But the
perfect, it is often said, is the enemy of the good. It
would be unfortunate if the United Nations were to pass
on this opportunity to galvanize a one world approach
to the development agenda.
In developing the Bellagio Goals, we presumed that
the principles enshrined in the Millennium Declaration
and the Rio+20 outcome document are a suffcient basis
on which to build the post-2015 agenda. It is neither
necessary nor practical to develop further globally
accepted principles; instead, goals should be derived
from language already agreed to in international
conventions and declarations. It is impractical to use this
exercise as the vehicle to develop new norms or values.
Our project examined a long list of potential goals,
and while each issue area has fervent advocates, the
formulation of goals is an exercise of determining
priorities; not everything can be included. If everything is
a priority, nothing is a priority; trying to please everybody
is a formula for failure. We believe that the world will
pursue unfnished MDG business by recommitting to
more ambitious targets, including minimum standards,
on the MDGs with respect to poverty, education, health
and gender. Drawing its inspiration from the Millennium
Declaration, the post-2015 agenda will likely include, in
some form, the dimensions of peace and security, civil
and political rights, disaster resilience, connectivity
and governance. It will probably highlight inequality,
improving food security and some reference to safe water
and sanitation, the informal economy and the transition
to a green economy. A way will be found to incorporate
the aspirations of youth. We cannot load everything on
the new development agenda; it is asking too much to
expect a single, global, aspirational agreement to align
goals of sustainable development with the proft-making
focus of, for example, the private business sector or to
improve the coherence between macro, social and
environmental policies. There is a limit on the number of
goals a framework can accommodate. It is, for example,
too much to expect a concise statement of the global
development agenda to address controversial issues
such as population, genetically modifed organisms,
nuclear power or geo-engineering issues. It would be a
strategic mistake to encumber the framework with the
issue of burden sharing. We must pursue the art of the
possible, avoiding divisive issues that could prevent an
agreement.
Goals should address common but differentiated
responsibilities. They should create a more coherent
global approach by framing global goals, but leave
individual countries to devise ambitious targets based
on their national contexts. Ideally, goals should be
focused on outcomes, but in some cases, input, output
or process goals and targets could be appropriate.
Indicators should be formulated to provide intermediate
milestones of progress. It will be important to improve
statistical capacity to monitor any new development
goals. A prerequisite for selecting goals and targets is that
indicators should exist or can realistically be provided,
otherwise tracking progress is impossible. Indicators
must be selected based on the availability of suitable
administrative data and the feasibility of potential
relevant surveys.
BACKGROUND 3
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
BACKGROUND
Tell me what youre going to measure;
and Ill tell you how Im going to
behave. (Anonymous)
INTRODUCTION
While the MDGs have undoubtedly been highly
successful raising visibility strengthening
governments commitments to poverty reduction,
rallying the world behind a moral purpose, providing
policy direction, setting out specifc outcome indicators,
catalyzing increased investments in several important
areas and sustaining efforts to promote development
periodic reviews of the MDGs have revealed mixed
progress.
Their simplicity, concreteness and measurability made
them easily transferrable into national monitoring and
evaluation frameworks. Low-income countries with
little experience in development planning, in particular,
found the MDGs quite useful in formulating and
implementing national development plans. The MDGs
have been criticized, however, as a donor-centric view
of development, misinterpreted as national targets
and misappropriated as a call for aid. They have
been characterized as statist and technocratic in their
conceptualization and condemned as donor-driven by
a reductionist agenda that pays little attention to locally
owned defnitions of human dignity and well-being,
the crucial enabling factors for globally sustainable and
equitable human progress.
1

But can we do better? Can we devise a development
framework for the post-2015 era that incorporates the
many advantages, but avoids the disadvantages, of the
MDGs? The way ahead is a challenging labyrinth with
many diffcult decisions to make. We grappled with
some of these diffcult questions in our process:
What is the philosophical underpinning for
post-2015 goals, our aspirations for what is most
important to accomplish? Poverty reduction?
Public goods? Sustainability?
1 The MDGs have been criticized as a partial vision; a Western
construct lacking a pro-poorest focus. Indeed, MDG averages de-
emphasize the poorest: they ignore initial conditions, mislabel high
performers as losers (for example, Mozambique is considered way
off track, despite strong improvements), undermining reformers
and feeding skeptics. They disregard inequality and empowerment.
Refning or extending the MDGs is criticized as perpetuating the
existing yet failed development approach. The current model of
development lets aid dollars go to Northern institutions instead of
directly to Southern people. The complaint is that the governance
framework and arrangements of the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) and World Bank are never questioned; rather, failure to develop
is attributed to the people, systems and governments of the Global
South.
Can goals be formulated based on past-agreed
statements like the Millennium Declaration? Can
we build on ratifed UN conventions or accepted
defnitions by UN agencies?
2
Should the targets and timelines of the existing
eight goals simply be revised? Or should new
dimensions be included?
What is the maximum number of post-2015 goals,
given the many competing priorities and the virtue,
indeed the necessity, of limiting their number?
Should goals be included for issues like security,
human rights, democracy, climate change, water,
gender and consumption? Should we include
goals for secondary and tertiary education,
skill development, the global fnancial system,
urbanization, democracy, trade rules, failed states,
anti-corruption, tax evasion or land mine clearance?
Should post-2015 goals apply to the whole world
or focus on the poorest and least developed,
emphasizing inequality and empowerment?
Should targets for successor goals measure outputs
and outcomes rather than inputs?
What indicators could best measure the success of
each goal?
To what degree should indicators be required to
allow for disaggregation by income, gender, urban/
rural or sub-national units, age or other vulnerable
groups?
Our discussions over the last 18 months included an
overview of the MDGs progress to date, their strengths
and weaknesses as a framework, the changing context
of global development and the criteria for a post-2015
framework. We produced the menu of 11 candidates
for a potential post-2015 framework we call the Bellagio
Goals.
2 For example, the World Health Organization (WHO) defnition of
health.
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Figure 1: Proposed Bellagio Goals
INCLUSIVE
GROWTH
SECURITY
CIVIL AND
POLITICAL RIGHTS
GENDER
EQUALITY
ENVIRONMENTAL
SUSTAINABILITY
RESILIENT
COMMUNITIES
INFRASTRUCTURE
GLOBAL
GOVERNANCE
EDUCATION AND
SKILLS
HEALTH
FOOD AND
WATER
Source: Authors
Based on the traditional North-South aid model, the
current MDGs are focused on poverty reduction and
human development for the bottom billion, aiming
to achieve a basic level of income, education, gender
equality and health (MDGs 16); paying some attention
to environmental sustainability, but not enough to
the economic and social dimensions of sustainable
development (MDG 7); and giving only an afterthought
to global public goods (MDG 8), without providing
specifc numerical targets, unlike the case for all the other
goals. The current framework leaves out governance
(participation, transparency and accountability) and
security (freedom from violence and vulnerability);
overlooks inequality in income and access to opportunity
(including access to infrastructure); and remains silent
on how to meet basic human needs and beyond
through self-sustaining growth and development.
There is an emerging consensus that, to be relevant, the
post-2015 development agenda needs to go well beyond
a poverty focus, given the dramatic changes in the
international development landscape over the past two
decades. In 1990, 80 percent of the worlds poor lived
in stable, low-income countries, and the Organisation
for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
Development Assistance Committee (DAC) countries
pushed ahead with their offcial development assistance
(ODA) agenda based on the North-South model. In 2010,
only 10 percent of the worlds poor lived in stable, low-
income countries, whereas 66 percent resided in middle-
income countries and 24 percent in fragile, low-income
countries (Gertz and Chandy, 2011). Emerging countries,
such as China, Brazil and India are rapidly increasing
their South-South cooperation programs, combining
ODA with knowledge sharing, trade and investment.
The concept of poverty reduction is being replaced by
the more ambitious and challenging notion of inclusive
growth, as many developing countries are confronted
with the phenomenon of increasing inequality amid
declining poverty. On the environmental front, the
consequences of climate change are becoming more
acute with each passing year. In addition, natural and
man-made disasters in recent years have brought the
issue of disaster risk reduction and resilience to the
forefront of development discourse.
To be relevant to middle- and high-income countries
as well as low-income countries and to respond to
emerging global challenges, the post-2015 development
agenda should be based on a comprehensive and holistic
notion of development. Amartya Sens development
as freedom concept (1999) may provide an inspiring
vision of development for the post-2015 period. The
IFRC has endorsed this approach, stating that For us,
development means that everyone is able to achieve
their full potential, and lead productive and creative
BACKGROUND 5
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
lives with dignity according to their needs and choices,
whilst fulflling their obligations and realizing their
rights (2010: 11). Along the same vein, in the run-up to
Rio+20, Colombia and Guatemala put the notion of post-
2015 sustainability goals, covering economic, social and
environmental dimensions, in play.
The UN Task Team report, Realizing the Future We Want
for All, released in June 2012, has broadly endorsed
the need to go beyond poverty reduction to promote
holistic development, emphasizing the three principles
of human rights, equality and sustainability, and
the four dimensions of peace and security, inclusive
economic development, inclusive social development
and environmental sustainability (UN, 2012). The Task
Team also stresses the importance of global public goods
or enablers.
Our view of development is a comprehensive and holistic
one, consistent with the notions advanced by Sen and
the IFRC. We believe that post-2015 goals should focus
on the essential endowments necessary for individuals
to achieve their fuller potential, the arrangements to
protect and promote collective human capital and the
effective provision of global public goods.
Goals, targets and indicators should follow from this
holistic notion of development, based on a two-track
structure of global and country targets under universally
agreed principles. Targets are about the specifc levels
of global and national ambition. But the questions
before those levels of ambition (targets) are set include
determining what is important to do (goals) and how
to measure the success of that ambition (indicators).
Indicators will infuence the type of development done;
targets are about how much of that agreed type of
development is desired.
The Bellagio Goals would apply to both developing
and developed countries. They would set global targets
and allow for national targets to refect an individual
countrys context. Universal goals, formulated through
an international consultation process, would be required
to provide a sense of direction and coherence for global
development, but targets and indicators should be locally
adapted to ensure country ownership and development
effectiveness.
Unlike the current MDGs, which tried to extrapolate
global trends to arrive at global targets, countries should
instead be asked to come up with their own targets,
preferably above a universally agreed minimum level,
in a one-world approach. Each country, based on its own
context and patterns, should set its own targets. Global
targets could then be deduced by looking at the weighted
average of country targets as well as global trends.
Conceptually, after adopting a comprehensive and
holistic defnition of development that can inspire the
global community (Sens development as freedom),
we should draw from theory and history to formulate
an effective development paradigm and identify
development goals that are ends in themselves, as well
as proximate causes or enabling conditions for better
lives, from rights-based and instrumental perspectives.
Ideally, these goals should constitute a logically coherent
and comprehensive set of goals for development.
We drew from the principles enshrined in the Millennium
Declaration and the Rio+20 outcome document to arrive
at the 11 candidate goals for the post-2015 agenda. Any
one goal is multidimensional in nature, and if we had
only one goal (for example, poverty reduction), we
would have to deal with the multidimensional aspects
of the goal (for example, income poverty, health poverty,
education poverty and security poverty) in our design
of targets and indicators. However, since we have 11
goals, rather than only one (as in the case of single-issue
devoted frameworks), we do not have to make any one
goal do all of the heavy lifting. What we need, instead,
is the coordination and division of labour among the
goals.
For instance, for water security, the availability and
quality of water, and security from water-related
disasters are typically dealt with because the sector
experts would like to cover the full range of water-
related issues under the single goal of water security. In
our framework, however, security from water-related
disasters would more appropriately belong in disaster
risk reduction and resilience. In other words, our notion
of water security, focused on the availability and quality
of water, is narrower than the one used by water experts.
Similarly, while sanitation is intimately linked to the
quality dimension of water security (that is, safe drinking
water), sanitation belongs just as well with the health or
infrastructure goals, because sanitation includes other
health- and infrastructure-related elements that are not
connected to safe drinking water.
The question we have to ask, then, is whether we should
cover all basic sanitation (water-related or not) issues
under health, or whether it is better to focus primarily on
safe drinking water under food and water security. The
key issue we should consider in this context is how to
deal with a single medium (for example, water) that has
multiple functions and issues, such as health, disaster
risk, motive power and a subsidiary goal (for example,
sanitation in relation to health) that has links to other
medium-based goals, such as water security and access
to infrastructure.
Our premise is that aspirational statements are useless
without metrics; that there cannot be any sensible
discussion about targets if we are unable to measure
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progress in agreed areas. There are a number of lessons
to learn from the old MDGs in this regard. Practical
ways of measuring progress in agreed-upon areas
must be made clear. The purpose of this report is to
support the process of selecting successor goals by
providing a comprehensive assessment of the strengths
and weaknesses of the range of potential targets and
indicators for the 11 broad candidate Bellagio Goals.
Our research consortium reviewed the framework of the
Bellagio Goals and the quality of available indicators in
a series of consultations around the world. Insightful
points raised include:
Process matters: be wary of focusing only on
outcomes. Provisions for participation, transparency
and accountability infuence outcomes.
There should be a minimum measure for every
individual perhaps the poverty line that
differs in each country. One suggestion was to
select a target percentage of people to reach half the
median income in each country (relative poverty).
There is a risk that universal global goals will de-
emphasize the focus on the poorest countries.
There is a concern that early consideration of post-
2015 successor goals will divert attention from
efforts to achieve the current MDGs.
While there is a wealth of potential indicators for
health goals, there is a paucity of reliable indicators
for civil rights, equitable economic rules and global
governance.
We should not be captive to existing data sources; if
necessary, we can mandate new statistical activity
or surveys, or change existing surveys so that
they would be better aligned with the post-2015
development agenda.
CHALLENGES
It is clear that without solid
information we cannot measure where
we are and what needs to be done,
with respect to the MDGs or in other
domains. If the world cannot get the
right numbers, it cannot come out with
the right solutions. (Paul Cheung,
quoted in UN Department of Economic
and Social Affairs [UNDESA], 2012)
This section lists the challenges to making the selection of
targets and applying the criteria in choosing indicators,
and the diffculties regarding the availability of data.
An ideal set of global targets should have the attributes
listed by Jan Vandemoortele (2011). Targets should:
express the many dimensions of human well-being,
yet include a limited number of targets;
address the complexity of development, yet exploit
the charm of simplicity;
embody agreed principles, yet allow for quantitative
monitoring;
refect global priorities and universal standards,
yet be tailored to the domestic situation and local
challenges;
specify the destination, yet spell out the journey for
getting there; and
combine comprehensiveness with conciseness;
complexity with simplicity; principles with
measurability; universality with country specifcity;
and ends with means.
Vandemoortele characterized these attributes as
practically impossible when it comes to setting
targets that require universal acceptance and a political
consensus among governments and world leaders
(2011: 10). Nonetheless, cognizant of the challenge, we
originally proposed a tentative architecture of 12 post-
2015 goals, which is now 11; this may still be too many.
3

Earlier this year, Claire Melamed wrote, At this stage, it
would be both brave and extremely foolish to predict the
shape, the organizing principles, or the level of ambition
of any future agreement (2012: 9).
Our intention, brave and foolish though it may be, in
proposing these goals is to provide a set of options to be
included in a future framework and to begin thinking
through the complexities and the intellectual and
practical issues that decision makers will encounter in
their offcial process of selecting targets and indicators.
We do not expect these goals to succeed the current
eight, nor do we believe that anything but the inclusive
consultative process led by the United Nations will
be the process for formulating a legitimate post-2015
framework. The original MDGs were criticized for
having emerged from a faulty closed-doors process,
being poorly specifed and infuenced by special
interests, rather than a coherent conceptual design
or rigorous statistical parameters. Our intention is to
contribute to the debate by assessing the strengths and
weaknesses of potential indicators of progress.
While indicators are useful and can mobilize activity
and enable comparisons, they are not the complete story.
Indicators are not the goals; they are merely metrics.
Indicators must be selected that illuminate, are accessible
and can inform actions without distorting them. The
3 The current eight MDGs are broken down into 21 targets
measured by 60 indicators.
BACKGROUND 7
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
choice of targets is constrained by the availability of
appropriate indicators and is informed by the analysis
of their trends and projections. In selecting indicators, it
should be ensured that:
Indicators are accessible to the sophisticated lay reader.
Note that indicators that have relevance in peoples
daily experience are easier to understand and
have greater impact. For example, while analysts
may prefer the Gini index, it is more accessible
and relevant to say that the bottom 10 percent of a
countrys population has x percent of the national
income, while the top 10 percent has y percent.
Indicators measure outputs rather than inputs. Rather
than spending more on childhood education, it is
more important to focus on results like literacy and
numeracy. Looking at these outputs gives a sense
of the resources actually available for education,
the effectiveness of the delivery system and the
contribution from outside the formal system.
Broad, summative indicators that refect whole sector
outcomes are preferred over narrow indicators
that assess only a narrow element of the overall
goal. The classic example is neonatal morbidity
and mortality that can best be improved only by
addressing a wide range of health and nutrition
factors. If multiple indicators are used, they should
cover quite different aspects of the general goal so
that together, these mutually exclusive indicators
produce a comprehensive picture of progress on
the goal.
Already agreed upon indicators from relevant
international organizations (for example, UN Food
and Agriculture Organization [FAO] guidelines on
malnutrition and food insecurity) are exploited.
Potential responses of behaviour change to meet the
indicator (studying to the test rather than studying
for the test) are not allowed to mask the substance of
the issue. For example, under pressure to increase
high school graduation rates, a routine response by
administrators is to make graduation requirements
much less demanding without changing anything
else.
Direct measures are preferred over indices or
derived variables to improve transparency and
comparability. Complex, transformed variables may
not stand up to close scrutiny when used in cross-
national comparisons. Meeting the communications
imperative of clarity and simplicity by consolidating
information on multiple variables into a succinct
index represents a particular challenge. The choice
of weights is a subjective normative exercise.
For example, Wood and Gibney, the authors of
the Political Terror Scale, note the absurdity of
attempting to count x number of imprisonments
as equivalent to y tortures and z killings (2010:
373). An index can cope only imperfectly with
incommensurable variables.
Direct measures are preferred to ones based on
perceptions, for reasons of comparability, robustness
and legitimacy, but for goals such as civil and
political rights, popular perceptions may matter as
much as hard statistics.
Participants remain wary of process indicators that do
not assess the underlying effectiveness of the process
(for example, democratic and judicial processes,
freedom of expression, as stipulated in the
constitution). Form is not enough. Valid indicators
need to assess the practice.
Disaggregated information is provided with the overall
result (for example, release national immunization
rates with results by income group, region, urban/
rural location, gender, age, at-risk populations).
In sum, in attempting to meet these criteria, the MDG
revision process will face signifcant pitfalls and
challenges. A future framework must provide for:
clarity and even-handedness;
measurability not perfectibility;
a focus on ends, not means;
capturing the equity dimension in terms of equality
of opportunity for development;
providing for empowerment, include enabling
factors (higher participation by people in those
things that affect their everyday life);
including intermediate outcomes and interim
targets;
motivating commitment and action;
maintaining measurability that provides for
accountability, but includes quality considerations;
providing for transparency and accountability;
including some global challenges everyone faces;
introducing sustainability considerations;
a bottom-up, not global top-down approach;
basing targets on ambitious yet reasonably
achievable expectations;
measuring peoples well-being, rather than
measuring economic production; and
addressing the missing elements of the
Millennium Declaration (for example, human
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rights, security, equality and the economic
productivity component).
At the October 2011 UN Inter-Agency Experts Group for
the MDGs, Francesca Perucci (2011) identifed several
challenges related to the availability of data:
the burden on some countries of data monitoring
and reporting;
the availability and unreliability of data collected;
inconsistencies between data required for global
aggregation and what is available at the country level;
a lack of international standards;
the failure to adopt existing international standards
at the national level;
a lack of national capacity; and
disagreement on the baseline year.
The OECD-hosted Global Project on Measuring the
Progress of Societies concluded its 2008 report with four
lessons for indicator development:
be clear about your objectives and how you expect
to achieve them;
be realistic about what an indicator set can achieve;
never underestimate the importance of the process
of designing and agreeing to the indicators; and
think long term: be persistent and fexible.
In general terms, indicators should be valid, relevant and
effective in measuring what they purport to measure
(OECD, 2008). The indicators should also be reliable,
enabling consistent application across different contexts
by different groups of people at different times. Proposed
indicators at the global level should be measurable, time-
bound, cost-effective to collect, easy to communicate
for advocacy purposes and open to cross-country
comparisons. The process of indicator development
should itself observe accountability principles, including
transparency about data sources and methodology.
Determining targets and indicators is a diffcult but
worthy problem. It is a normative exercise, but one
that can be informed by knowledgeable expertise. The
objective is to present the best options and to highlight
their advantages and faws.
This report presents proposed options for targets and
indicators for each of the 11 candidate Bellagio Goal
areas in turn, building on the current MDG targets
and indicators. It is hoped that participants in future
consultation processes leading to a global consensus on
post-2015 goals will fnd these indicators useful.
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 9
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND
TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE
GOALS
You show me anything that depicts
institutional progress in America: school
test scores, crime stats, arrest reports,
arrest stats, anything that a politician
can run on, anything that somebody
can get a promotion on. And as soon
as you invent that statistical category,
50 people in that institution will be at
work trying to make it look as if a lot
of progress is actually occurring when
actually no progress is. (David Simon,
quoted in Moyers, 2009)
CANDIDATE GOAL 1: INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC
GROWTH FOR DIGNIFIED LIVELIHOODS AND
ADEQUATE STANDARDS OF LIVING
Growth is the single most important factor in reducing
poverty. In the World Banks (2000) Voices of the Poor,
one of the four main priorities of the poor who were
surveyed was having a job. Employment allows people
to meet their basic needs and make choices about
their lives. Good indicators on livelihoods and income
should refect both quality and quantity. An important
consideration is the distribution of income. Growth
must go beyond improving gross domestic product
(GDP) to incorporate equity, be pro-poor and generate
jobs. We reframed MDG 1, which combined poverty and
hunger, because poverty is more than just measuring
GDP, purchasing power parity (PPP), poverty lines or
poverty ratios. In the proposed Bellagio Goals, hunger
is addressed separately in the candidate goal on food
security.
Traditionally, poverty has been measured by income
in terms of the price of the minimum required basket
of goods and services. Poverty is now defned more
broadly to include: lack of education, health, housing,
empowerment, employment and personal security.
As Alkire and Santos assert in their work on the
Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), No one
indicator, such as income, is uniquely able to capture
the multiple aspects that contribute to poverty. For
this reason, since 1997, Human Development Reports
(HDRs) have measured poverty in ways different than
traditional income-based measures. The Human Poverty
Index (HPI) was the frst such measure, replaced by the
...MPI...in 2010 (2011: 3). Multidimensional poverty is a
measure of the joint distribution of the outcomes related
to several goals aside from income and employment.
The data required for an MPI, however, differs from
the data collected by the United Nations and national
statistical agencies. Regardless, the MPI could be a
more comprehensive way to track poverty around the
world (although more time-intensive and costly) than
traditional poverty measures.
Growth is necessary but not suffcient.
4
Inequality was
not adequately addressed in the original MDGs; it is a
major obstacle to poverty reduction, economic growth
and improved social conditions (Melamed, 2012). To
address inequality, a future framework could include
a focus on disaggregation and presentation of data on
the lowest decile or quintile. Another approach would
be to focus on the average and median levels, the
distribution and the extreme tail across indicators. There
is also the suggestion to measure relative poverty, as
well as absolute poverty via the US$1.25 PPP per day
(Ravaillon, 2012). One measure of relative poverty is the
percentage of people below 50 percent of the countrys
median income. This measure can give dramatically
different results from absolute poverty. For example, in
Brazil absolute poverty decreased from over 20 percent
to less than fve percent in the last 20 years, while the
relative poverty measure has remained constant above
25 percent. In China, absolute poverty has fallen from
over 80 percent to below 20 percent, while relative
poverty has actually increased in the last 25 years. In our
consultations in Beijing, Chinese experts were adamant
about the need for the future agenda to address income
gaps and inequality.
Criticisms of the current indicators focus on the
variety in household surveys design, defnitions and
implementation, and the lack of analysis on income
distribution within the household, between genders
and within countries. Additionally, there is a growing
literature that GDP or traditional economic indicators
are insuffcient for measuring the multidimensional
phenomenon of poverty (Trebeck, 2012). The Report on the
Commission of Measurement of Economic Performance and
Social Progress (also known as the Stiglitz Report), calls
for new measures of growth and economic performance
to incorporate well-being (Stiglitz, Sen and Fitoussi, 2009).
4 As the saying goes, a rising tide raises all boats, but what if your
boat has a hole in it, or worse, you have no boat?
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Figure 2: Three Policy Pillars of Inclusive Growth

High, efficient
and sustained
growth to create
productive jobs
and economic
opportunity
Social safety nets
to protect the
chronically poor
and to mitigate
the effects
of transitory
livelihood shocks
Social inclusion to ensure equal
access to economic opportunity
Investing in education, health and
other social services to expand
human capacity
Eliminating market and
institutional failures and social
exclusion to level the playing field
Inclusive Growth
Good Governance and Institutions
Source: Zhuang, 2010, cited in ADB, 2011.
The poverty target of MDG 1 to halve the proportion
of people whose income is less than one dollar a day
between 1990 and 2015 has been met. Despite the
large gains in economic growth and poverty reduction,
many countries still face severe challenges with non-
income factors such as hunger, child mortality and
educational achievements. Economic growth is not
creating jobs or opportunities for large segments of
societies; there is a growing gap between the rich and
the poor. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) advocates
for inclusive growth that generates equal opportunities
so that everyone can participate in and beneft from the
growth process (2011). The ADB developed a framework
of inclusive growth indicators, divided into three
pillars: growth and expansion of economic opportunity;
social inclusion; and social safety nets, with poverty
and inequality as an overarching concept and good
governance and institutions as a foundation.
The ADB framework proposes 35 indicators for
developing Asian economies; a third of these indicators
are also for the MDGs. The focus of the framework
is on inclusive growth, and several of the indicators
recommended in Paris and during our regional
consultations align with those in this new framework;
in fact, inclusive growth was a prominent theme
throughout this project.
Inequality has emerged as a major focus of the post-
2015 discussions. The UN Task Team has aligned
equality, along with sustainability and human rights,
as one of three fundamental principles for the post-2015
agenda (UN, 2012). The post-2015 agenda provides an
opportunity for a fundamental rethinking of how we
measure and distribute growth. Indicators that best
address elements of income distribution and equality
of opportunity would be useful. The ADBs framework
could provide value to the post-2015 framework and we
have borrowed from it for our candidate indicators in
Table 1. The indicators are divided into three categories:
inclusive growth, livelihoods and standards of living.
We have included livelihoods and standards of living to
refect inclusive growth that creates quality opportunities.
There was also strong support for indicators on shelter
and social safety nets; we have elected to put them here.
(See Table 1 on page 30 of the Annex.)
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 11
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
CANDIDATE GOAL 2: SUFFICIENT FOOD AND
WATER FOR ACTIVE LIVING
Poverty and hunger were joined together in MDG 1 on
the basis that livelihoods, agricultural production, food
and nutrition are intrinsically linked for poor people
and should, therefore, be conceptually consolidated
in to one goal. A criticism, however, is that the targets
and indicators on poverty obscured those for hunger.
Hunger was overshadowed as an element of MDG 1 and
progress on hunger has been marginal. We concluded
that food and water warrant a goal separate from
poverty, that ending hunger and malnutrition is a critical
prerequisite for sustainable development and inclusive
economic growth. As a basic necessity for survival, food
and nutrition are too important to risk being eclipsed by
poverty as they were in the MDGs. Safe drinking water,
also required for basic survival, is intrinsically linked to
food and, therefore, we grouped water together with
food in our candidate goal 2.
We also include sanitation in food and water. Throughout
our consultations, we received different advice. Some
said it should be here, others argued it should be
linked with goals on health, infrastructure or omitted
completely. While the discussion on where to put it
continues, for the purposes of this report, indicators on
sanitation are listed with food and water.
The United Nations frst adopted a goal to halve world
hunger by 2015 at the World Food Summit (WFS)
held in Rome, 1996.
5
Hunger refers to the supply,
access, consumption and intake of food at levels
that are insuffcient to fulfll human requirements. If
the requirements are not met through the adequate
absorption and use of essential nutrients, food
deprivation and under-nutrition occur (Sibrian, 2009).
An indicator for children less than two years of age will
be critical, particularly for stunting. The two-year-old
child is the signal of the future and we are learning the
vital importance of the 1,000-day window.
6
Nutrition is
5 The WFS goal called for halving the number of hungry people;
whereas the MDG aims to reduce hunger by half in terms of the
population proportion; the WFS goal, then, was much more ambitious.
In the Declaration of the 2009 World Summit on Food Security, 60
heads of state and government and 192 ministers from 182 countries
unanimously agreed to undertake all necessary actions required at
national, regional and global levels and by all states and governments
to halt immediately the increase in and to signifcantly reduce
the number of people suffering from hunger, malnutrition and food
insecurity. See ftp://ftp.fao.org/docrep/fao/Meeting/018/k6050e.
pdf.
6 The WHO currently collects data for stunting in children under
fve; however, revising it to under two provides sentinel information
signalling that individuals future physiology. Furthermore, children
stunted at two years are more likely to go to school later, learn less and,
ultimately, have lower incomes.
an individual level outcome, infuenced by food intake
and food availability.
Food security is a community-level (or higher) outcome
and refects dimensions of persistent poverty. The World
Bank (1986) defnes food security as access by all people
at all times to suffcient food for an active, healthy life. The
word suffcient implies both quantitative and qualitative
dimensions and there are cultural aspects in the defnition of
what is considered suffcient. Food and water serve basic
human physiological needs, but also moral and cultural
ones. What is suffcient in one context and from a mere
physiological point of view can be considered inadequate
in other contexts for cultural reasons.
If these are truly to be global goals, an indicator
must address the one billion people who are over-
nourished or overweight; this is an expensive public
health problem. Although this is a different moral and
conceptual issue than the lack of access to food, it makes
the goal relevant to both developed and developing
countries. An indicator on body mass index (BMI) would
simultaneously address obesity and diet problems in
developed countries (and emerging economies) and
hunger and lack of food in developing countries. An
argument could also be made for process indicators,
such as identifying a national nutrition focal point,
establishing national nutrition plans and the percentage
of national GDP devoted to food and nutrition security.
The consensus coming out of the International Scientifc
Symposium on Measurement and Assessment of Food
Deprivation and Undernutrition held at the FAO in 2002
(and again in January 2012) was the need to develop a suite
of indicators to measure food and nutrition insecurity in
its multidimensionality. It was concluded that different
data sources will have to be tapped and improved
in order to better measure and monitor global food
insecurity. The multidimensional nature of food security
and nutrition pose many challenges for measurement.
Food insecurity covers a range of problems, from access
to food, to issues of dietary quality, to outright hunger
these issues must be unbundled to be properly
measured. The indicators proposed a focus on dietary
quality. Further, there are challenges in the cross-country
comparability of data, the reliability of data and the
quality, consistency and periodicity of the information
being collected. Problems exist with respect to current
coverage and timeliness of data collection. Either we
have anecdotal, occasional evidence gathered through
ad hoc projects, usually over such a limited scale that it
cannot be deemed representative, or we have survey-
based evidence of broadly defned food expenditures
and acquisitions at the household level aggregated at a
level that simply put does not allow for the level
of analysis on dimensions such as nutritional adequacy
and gender disparity.
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Two fnal considerations for drafting a goal on food are
important. First, we must continue to properly monitor
food production, trade and uses, as the global and local
availability of food at the macro level is always the
starting point for detecting and understanding the most
relevant problems in terms of food insecurity. Second, the
availability of food at the aggregate level is a necessary,
but by no means suffcient, condition to guarantee
adequate access to all; therefore, we need to monitor the
distribution of food consumption among people.
The MDG target on improved drinking water was
reached in 2010, fve years ahead of schedule; however,
over 700 million people still rely on unimproved sources
for drinking water, and 2.5 billion people lack access to
improved sanitation facilities. As recommended by the
WHO/United Nations Childrens Fund (UNICEF) Joint
Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation,
a post-2015 framework should drop the improved and
unimproved terminology and adopt a basic global
minimum or threshold for everyone (Hutton, 2012).
Water could include indicators that address both a
narrow defnition (focusing on households) and a
broader defnition (focusing on water for livelihoods
and safety from water-related disasters such as foods
and droughts) that, in our framework, would be covered
by the candidate goal of resilience and disaster risk
reduction. The narrow defnitions objective would be
to ensure that households have safe and reliable sources
of water, close enough to the dwelling to be accessed
in adequate quantities and in secure conditions at an
affordable cost. The desired outcomes for the broader
defnition would be the adequate and reliable supply of
water to meet food and livelihood needs, and reduced
vulnerability or greater resilience to drought and food.
Conceptually, for the candidate goal on food and water,
water will be limited to the narrow defnition this may
receive strong criticism from those arguing that different
components of water resource management cannot be
practically divided.
Grey and Sadoff (2007) defne water security as the
reliable availability of an acceptable quantity and
quality of water for health, livelihoods and production,
coupled with [an] acceptable level of water-related
risks. To achieve water security, we need investments
in infrastructure to store and transport water, and to
treat and reuse waste water; robust institutions to make
and implement decisions; and information and the
capacity to predict, plan and cope with issues affecting
water security. Another way to conceptualize this is to
meet the following criteria of a service, ensuring that
water is suffcient in quantity, continually serviced, safe
for health, aesthetically acceptable, of an appropriate
time and distance to collect, suitable for use by all
including disabled and vulnerable groups, affordable
and non-discriminatory.
The WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programmes
Post-2015 Sanitation Working Group presentation
proposed an overall sanitation goal with the objective
of universal use of sustainable sanitation services that
protect public health and dignity (Hutton, 2012: slide
14). The working group defnes adequate sanitation
as that which separates excreta from human contact
and ensures that excreta does not re-enter the immediate
household environment; safe; durable; household or
shared toilet within or nearby the plot, shared by no
more than 5 families or 30 people, whichever is fewer,
and used by people who know each other; accessible
at all times; accessible to all members of household,
including those with disabilities; and protects users
from culturally-inappropriate exposure or invasion of
privacy. (See Table 2 on page 33 of the Annex.)
CANDIDATE GOAL 3: APPROPRIATE
EDUCATION AND SKILLS FOR FULL
PARTICIPATION IN SOCIETY
Education brings a wide variety of benefts and creates
opportunities both directly and indirectly; it is also an
enabling factor to achieve other development goals.
Education equips, and hence empowers, people with the
knowledge and skills they need for better, more dignifed
lives. While it is one of the basic human rights (the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights holds that every
child and adult is entitled to education), it is also one of
the most important enabling instruments, providing the
only path towards a virtuous cycle of equal opportunity,
fair competition and just rewards. The global education
movement began at the World Conference on Education
for All (EFA) in 1990, where the world leaders agreed to
universalize primary education and massively reduce
illiteracy by the end of the decade. The UN Educational,
Scientifc and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) reported
the progress on EFA in their 2010 report, Education Counts,
highlighting the signifcant contributions of education to
other development objectives.
Under the lead of UNESCO, the world leaders met
again at the World Education Forum in Dakar in 2000.
The major items were stipulated and announced as the
Dakar Framework for Action. (See Table 3 on page
35 of the Annex.)
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 13
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Figure 3: EFA Declaration and Framework UNESCO
World Declaration on EFA (1990) Dakar Framework for Action (2000)
Representation:155 countries
Objective: Universalize primary education and
massively reduce illiteracy by the end of the decade
Main Tool: Framework for Action to Meet the Basic
Learning Needs
Goal 1. Universal access to learning
Goal 2. A focus on equity
Goal 3. Emphasis on learning outcomes
Goal 4. Broadening the means and the scope of basic
education
Goal 5. Enhancing the environment for learning
Goal 6. Strengthening partnerships by 2000
Objective: Achievement of World Declaration on EFA
by 2015
Main Tool: EFA Development Index (EDI)
Goal 7. Expand early childhood care and education (ECCE)
Goal 8. Provide free and compulsory primary
education for all
Goal 9. Promote learning and life skills for young
people and adults
Goal 10. Increase adult literacy by 50 percent
Goal 11. Achieve gender parity by 2005, gender
equality by 2015
Goal 12. Improve the quality of education
EDI
EDI measures four of the six EFA goals selected on the basis of data availability.
The value for a given country is the arithmetic mean of the four indicators, expressed as percentages, where the
higher the value, the closer the country has been found to be in achieving EFA as a whole.
Goal 1 is measured by the total primary net enrollment ratio.
Goal 4 is measured by the adult literacy rate for those aged 15 and above.
Goal 5 is measured by the average of the three gender parity indexes for primary and secondary education and adult
literacy.
Goal 6 is measured by the survival rate to grade 5.
Source: Authors
UNESCOs conclusion regarding its EFA development
index (EDI) of indicators highlighted problems with
country coverage and provides the general cautionary
note on the EFA website:
Any index that takes a complex and
multifaceted reality and compresses
it into something much simpler will
always do injustice to the original.
For this reason, it is important to
realize that indexes may be useful for
particular purposes, but they also have
limitations. Data and indicators should
be viewed within the broader picture of
a dynamic and specifc country context
that is itself evolving within a larger
sub-regional or regional environment.
Therefore data must be interpreted with
care as good data and good measuring
tools are often lacking where needed
most (UNESCO, 2012).
The MDG on universal primary education, which grew
out of this earlier EFA declaration, was criticized for not
being ambitious enough and for its lack of attention
on the quality of education. There would be profound
social, economic and political implications if special
attention were placed on secondary school completion,
particularly for girls. Additionally, at our consultations
in Brazil and India, we were reminded of the importance
of pre-primary schooling for young students. The post-
2015 indicators could extend beyond children, to include
all age groups of the population.
In addition to access, indicators should measure the
quality of political commitment to education and equity
issues and they should be disaggregated by gender;
indeed, access and political commitment are the easiest
to measure. Quality indicators, however, raise several
issues: they are diffcult to compare cross-country; they
require special surveys; good indicators of literacy
may show lower levels of progress and, therefore, be a
disincentive for countries to use; and literacy measures
are expensive. Despite these measurement challenges,
incorporating quality measures into the post-2015 goals
is far too important to omit and research should be
accelerated to ensure that there is good baseline data for
measuring education quality.
In terms of assessments for creating internationally
comparable data on education levels, the OECDs
Programme for International Student Assessment
(PISA) test involves 64 countries and tests 15-year-
olds knowledge and skills in reading, mathematical
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and scientifc literacy. In 2010, 10 additional countries
participated in the PISA 2009+ project, including:
Costa Rica, Georgia, India (Himachal Pradesh and
Tamil Nadu), Malaysia, Malta, Mauritius, Venezuela
(Miranda), Moldova and the United Arab Emirates
(ACER, 2011). The principles that underpin the PISA
2009+ project could be applied to the post-2015 MDGs,
developing a PISA light. Because of the resources
involved, a full-fedged PISA for all countries would not
be practical. We propose a two-track structure, where
a universal PISA light would be complemented by
a full PISA in countries that can afford both. With any
assessments, however, pass rates are valuable only if
they correlate with subsequent improvements, such as
better jobs, incomes, and social and economic outcomes.
In determining indicators for post-2015 goals, there are
three challenges to consider:
an appropriate balance between the emphases on
the goals set in the MDG and EFA frameworks,
respectively (given that many countries have yet
to reach these goals), and setting more ambitious
goals for the future;
the priority of cross-national comparisons; and
the source and quality of the data, from regular
administrative sources or from special surveys,
and the time frame that each entails. Annual data
collection presents a challenge, and MDGs and
EFA monitoring required data that was not easily
collected on an annual basis.
A broad range of education indicators is available.
Some refer to inputs (for example, school enrollment,
educational expenditures and school resources);
others refer to throughputs and outputs (for example,
graduation rates, completed years of schooling,
standardized test measures of achievements in terms of
literacy and numeracy). The choice of indicators should
depend on the stage of a countrys development and the
goal of the evaluation exercise (Stiglitz, Sen and Fitoussi,
2009).
Ideally, targets and indicators for the education
goal should focus on outcomes: learning, skills and
literacy levels (although this data is diffcult to collect).
Access indicators (inputs and outputs) can also be
useful, especially for countries where enrollment and
completion rates are low. Access indicators are cheap and
easy to monitor, but should be extended beyond primary
enrollment to primary completion and to enrollment and
completion of secondary and tertiary education.
Our proposal is to bring EFA into the post-2015
development agenda framework by expanding current
MDG 2 on Universal access to Primary Education to
encompass productive participation in society achieved
through high-quality EFA. (See Table 4 on page 36 of
the Annex.)
Figure 4: Top Policy Priorities for EFA Accomplishment (Mid-term Monitoring Report, 2008)
Increased participation, equity and quality can be promoted together through a mix of adequately financed universal
and targeted measures that encompass all six EFA goals.
Education policies must focus on inclusion, literacy, quality, capacity development and finance.
In addition, the international architecture for EFA must be made more effective.
Source: Authors
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 15
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Figure 5: High-Quality EFA
GOAL
TARGET INDICATOR
Capacity and accessibility (enrollment + compulsory years)
Financing (public + private)
Equal rights (gender + socio-economic)
Individual capacity building (literacy, PISA, employment)
National capacity building (learning environment, innovative industrial structure)
Quality (facility + content)
Lifelong learning (survival and advancement, adult and vocational training)
Productive
participation
in society
achieved
through
high-
quality
education
for all
Suffcient education
system accessible to all at
all levels (inputs)
Open participation in
education system for all
(throughputs)
Yielding education system
that leads to better lives of
all (outputs)
Source: Authors
CANDIDATE GOAL 4: GOOD HEALTH FOR THE
BEST POSSIBLE PHYSICAL, MENTAL AND
SOCIAL WELL-BEING
7
A broader health goal would consolidate the three specifc
health goals of the original MDGs to better address the
emerging patterns of mortality and morbidity, particularly
in relation to non-communicable diseases. Good health
contributes to development, as healthy people are better
able to participate in development. Health is a benefciary
of policies in other sectors: agriculture, food, water,
environment, transport, energy and urban planning,
education and security. Health is also an indicator of what
development is about; it refects progress across economic,
social, environmental and security spheres.
The WHO Disability-Adjusted Life Year (DALY) index
is one option for framing the health goal. DALYs are
the sum of years of potential life lost due to premature
mortality and the years of productive life lost due to
disability. According to the WHOs health statistics
and health information systems website, One DALY
can be thought of as one lost year of healthy life.
The sum of these DALYs across the population, or the
burden of disease, can be thought of as a measurement
of the gap between current health status and an ideal
7 Carla AbouZahr conceptualized the goal on health and much of
what appears here is based on her work. We are indebted to her for
this. We are also grateful to Eric Buch and Tony Redmond for their
contributions.
health situation where the entire population lives to an
advanced age, free of disease and disability. The DALY
index provides statistics on health concerns in both the
developed and developing world. The indicator accounts
for communicable diseases such as HIV/AIDS, malaria,
tuberculosis (TB), and diarrheal and childhood diseases,
among others, as well as non-communicable conditions
such as cancers, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases,
and diabetes. While DALYs offer useful metrics for
estimating the distribution of the burden of ill health
across disease areas, they are diffcult to understand and
do not readily translate into motivational targets.
The WHOs Healthy Life Expectancy (HALE) is a
metric that might have greater relevance in peoples
daily experience, would be easier to understand and
be accessible to the sophisticated lay reader. This
metric has the advantages of the DALYs, in that it
refects both fatal and non-fatal health outcomes, but
it is easier to understand and offers a counterpoint
to the widely understood measure of life expectancy
at birth. Calculating HALE, like DALYs, requires a lot
of information on mortality and morbidity that is not
widely available in many countries; as a result, the
indicator is often based on estimates by agencies such as
the WHO. Moreover, HALE is relatively slow to change
from year to year, and is a measure with little in the way
of disaggregation. For these reasons, each country could
identify a set of nested indicators that would have life
expectancy and HALE at the top, with more readily
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measurable and responsive measures, refecting both
outcome and processes.
Discussing the challenges associated with health
measurement indices, Stiglitz, Sen and Fitoussi argue
that The variety of dimensions of peoples health has
led to several attempts to defne a summary measure
that combines both mortality and morbidity. However,
although several combined indices of peoples health
exist, none currently commands universal agreement.
Further, they all inevitably rest on ethical judgments that
are controversial, and on weights for various medical
conditions whose legitimacy is not always clear (2009:
46). Furthermore, only about two-thirds of countries
have vital registration systems that capture the total
number of deaths reasonably well. Accurate reporting of
the cause of death on a death certifcate is a challenge,
even in high-income countries. Although total all-cause
mortality may be reported reasonably well, signifcant
accuracy problems exist for cause-specifc certifcation
and coding in a large number of countries. During our
South African consultation, we were reminded of the
complexities surrounding the language in common
health indicators.
The health system is a factor in maintaining peoples
health. Effective coverage is an important component
of the health system, but it is diffcult to measure. Two
alternative coverage suggestions are:
Universal health coverage where all people can
use the critical health services they need without
the fear of impoverishment. The main indicator
currently being used is out-of-pocket expenditure
as a percentage of private expenditure on health. This
indicator is measured in countries that have systems
of national health accounts and is also estimated for
all countries by WHO.
Coverage of essential maternal and child health
interventions an index based on use of services
including immunization, maternal care, care for
childhood illnesses and family planning.
To deliver a sustainable level of good care to its people,
a country must grow and retain its own health care
workers, not only at grassroots nursing and medical
levels, but also at research and teaching levels. The traffc
of health care workers from poor to rich countries is a
signifcant factor in the health of populations at either end
of the road. Providing health care workers is not enough
if patients cannot afford the cost of seeing a health care
professional, a stay in hospital or the medication that is
prescribed.
Figure 6: A Hierarchy of Health-system Goals and Targets (Global Level)
health system inputs
and processes
health system performance
health status and program impact
universal health coverage;
coverage of specific
Interventions; safety; efficiency
life expectancy, HALE,
functioning, mortality by age, sex
and cause; disability; incidence or
prevalence of disease
policy, finance, human
resources, information
Source: Carla AbouZahr
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 17
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
When measuring matters of health, mortality and
morbidity tell only part of the story. As mortality at the
extremes of life may have a limited economic impact,
one argument is that we need to reduce the impact that
people dying during their most productive years
has on society and the economy. Alongside mortality
and HALEs, we need to measure the Potentially
Productive Years of Life Lost, which can provide a
better representation of the impact that diseases have
upon the young and, therefore, the impact this has on
wider society.
The MDGs included maternal and child mortality
indicators along with major infectious diseases.
The post-2015 framework could include mortality
indicators (and related targets) refective of the growing
contribution of non-communicable diseases to ill health.
Maternal mortality, the best indicator of health system
performance, should be prominent. There are many
factors that infuence the health of a population; access
to information and health care, as well as the quality of
health care, are important inputs from the health sector.
Indicators could be grouped around health determinants
(socioeconomic, environmental, occupational, lifestyle
and behavioural), health system inputs and processes
(infrastructure, human resources, fnance, policy and
law, and management information), health system
outputs and outcomes (access, coverage, effectiveness,
effciency, safety and responsiveness), and health status
(mortality, morbidity, disability and well-being). (See
Table 5 on page 38 of the Annex.)
Figure 7: Health System Equity
HEALTH
DETERMINANTS
socioeconomic
environmental
occupational
lifestyle and behaviours
HEALTH SYSTEM
OUTPUTS AND
OUTCOMES
access
coverage
effectiveness
efficiency
safety
responsiveness
HEALTH SYSTEM
INPUTS AND
PROCESSES
infrastructure
human resources
finance
policy and law
management
information
HEALTH STATUS
mortality
morbidity
disability
well-being
Equity: Geographic, ethnic, wealth and sex, etc.
Source: Carla AbouZahr
CANDIDATE GOAL 5: SECURITY FOR
ENSURING FREEDOM FROM VIOLENCE
Freedom from fear of violence, oppression
or injustice is one of the fundamental values
espoused by the Millennium Declaration (UN, 2000).
Respondents to the World Banks project Voices of the
Poor identifed a reduction in violence as a priority.
The United Nations Task Team on the Post-2015 UN
Development Agenda posits Peace and Security as
one of the four core dimensions in Realizing the Future
We Want for All (UN, 2012).
Human security refers to the protection of individuals;
it is people-centric versus state-centric. It means, at a
minimum, freedom from violence, and from the fear of
violence. If individuals are not secure, the community
is not secure and, therefore, the state is not secure. The
challenge, then, is to fnd the balance between basic
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security (bodily integrity) and the security of the state
(territorial integrity) and the spectrum in between.
Broadly defned, human security can incorporate
traditional security threats, such as war or confict,
or more development-focused threats, such as those
to health, poverty and the environment. Freedom
from violence, as well as economic, food, health and
environmental security are all building blocks of
survival, dignity and livelihoods; these are essential
for development. The broader components of human
security, however, are addressed or included in the other
goals; therefore, we presume the scope of a post-2015
goal would be limited to freedom from violence.
A lot of work has been done on measuring violence.
The Global Campaign for Violence Prevention for the
period 20122020 aims to unify the efforts of the main
actors in international violence prevention and identify
a small set of priorities for the feld, by presenting
six national level goals towards which efforts can be
directed (WHO, 2012). The six goals focus primarily on
violence prevention within global public health, ongoing
violence prevention efforts and evidence-based violence
prevention strategies. The OECDs A New Deal for
Engagement in Fragile States lays out fve goals: legitimate
politics, justice, security, economic foundations, and
revenues and services (OECD, 2011). The Global Peace
Index uses 23 indicators to measure a nations degree of
peace.
8
The UN Offce on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)
has a manual on victimization surveys documenting
the complexities of measuring crimes and victims. The
post-2015 framework could build on existing initiatives
to establish a goal for improving security and reducing
violence.
One option is to focus on the individuals personal
experience of physical violence committed against
them by external actors, including state and non-state
agencies, community members or family members.
Other dimensions of violence, such as emotional
violence and threats of violence, are assumed to have
a correlation to measurable physical violence. The
key categories of violence considered could be armed
confict, violent crime, domestic and family violence,
and human traffcking and unlawful detentions.
Some countries may resist adopting indicators on
violence against children and domestic violence. As
politically and culturally uncomfortable as it makes
some countries, gender-based violence, as one of the
most prevalent forms of violence, must receive more
attention and efforts in the post-2015 framework.
There will be challenges with tracking and monitoring.
Nations will need to make decisions on how data on
8 See www.visionofhumanity.org/gpi-data/.
violence is defned, measured and monitored. Indicators
could be based on domestic violence reports, statistics on
violence against women and the treatment of migrants,
minorities, displaced persons and refugees. Statistics
could be presented on the numbers of people physically
affected by armed confict or violence.
At our consultation in South Africa, we were reminded
that the majority of the worlds armed conficts occur in
Africa, and insecurity (broadly defned) is the everyday
experience for much of the population. Countries
experiencing confict are also the furthest away from
achieving the MDGs; according to the UN Task Team
report, no low-income country affected by violence or
fragility has achieved a single MDG target (UN, 2012:
24). In India, however, experts were skeptical regarding a
goal on violence because of regional political sensitivities
concerning interstate issues.
Indicators could be framed as rates per 100,000 of the
general population, and disaggregated by gender,
economic group, sub-national administrative units and
minority or specifc vulnerable groups. For each of the
indicators, databases exist and can be improved with
suitable investment. Estimates from standardized survey
methods may be needed for several of the indicators.
Data for this goal is unreliable and a great deal of work
will have to go into standardized capturing of data.
Furthermore, as violence patterns vary, countries could
select indicators that are most relevant to them. (See
Table 6 on page 41 of the Annex.)
CANDIDATE GOAL 6: GENDER EQUALITY
ENABLING MEN AND WOMEN TO
PARTICIPATE AND BENEFIT EQUALLY IN
SOCIETY
For development to be sustainable, it must involve
all members of society, especially women. This was
universally recognized as early as 1979, in the United
Nations Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of
Discrimination against Women. Empowering women
combats poverty, hunger, disease and stimulates
economic activity. Gender equality, however, is not just
about women; it is about equality between men and
women. This is not sameness. It is important to recognize
the inherent differences between men and women, and
their different roles in society to ensure the norms that
underpin these roles result in the equality of opportunity.
Commitment 7(d) of the Johannesburg Plan of
Implementation was to Promote womens equal access
to and full participation in, on the basis of equality
with men, decision-making at all levels, mainstreaming
gender perspectives in all policies and strategies,
eliminating all forms of violence and discrimination
against women and improving the status, health and
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 19
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
economic welfare of women and girls through full and
equal access to economic opportunity, land, credit,
education and health-care services (UNDESA, 2004).
Although indicators for all goals must be disaggregated
by sex, there is strong support for a specifc goal on
gender equality. The UN Task Team report states that
Discrimination against women and girls impairs
progress in all other areas of development. The global
development agenda should seek not only to address
and monitor the elimination of specifc gender gaps, but
also to transform the structural factors that underpin
the widespread persistence of gender inequalities,
gender-based violence, discrimination and unequal
development progress between women and men, girls
and boys. The empowerment of women and girls and
the protection of their rights should be centre-pieces of
the post-2015 agenda (UN, 2012).
At each regional consultation, there was a lively debate
regarding gender. Some were adamant that it must be
streamlined across all goals; others voiced support for
expanding the gender goal to a discrimination goal
that would include vulnerable groups and people with
disabilities; and still others noted its signifcance for
reaching all the other goals. We were also advised that
gender equality should address discrimination against
both men and women. We kept a goal on gender, focused
on discriminations against women and girls, because
this is the most dominant form of gender discrimination
in the world.
A major challenge to monitoring gender equality is
limitations in data. The United Nations Development
Programmes (UNDPs) Human Development Report
(2010) identifes several diffculties with data collection:
the infuence of gender roles defning how men and
women spend their time (for example, the division of
housework and care-giving duties); available information
about economic assets owned by women; that violence
against women is prevalent, but not documented in an
internationally comparable way;
9
and that community-
level indicators for participation in political decision
making (for example, representation, leadership and
electoral turnout) are not readily available.
In 2008, the United Nations Development Fund for
Women released Making the MDGs Work for All: Gender-
Responsive Rights-Based Approaches to the MDGs. The
report concludes that gender equality is not adequately
mainstreamed into national reports; traditional gender
roles and trait stereotyping persists; an instrumentalist
9 Data on violence against women can come from two sources:
administrative and criminal statistics (which suffer from major
under-reporting of such offenses) and surveys. Surveys may provide
more accurate data, but are harder for national and international
comparisons.
rather than a rights-based focus frames approaches to
gender equality; sex-disaggregated quantitative data
is not supplemented by qualitative data or adequate
gender analysis; the nature of reporting makes invisible
the cross-linkages between targets and indicators across
goals; and involvement of gender equality advocates in
the preparation of MDG reports across all the goals is
lacking (Corner, 2008: vii).
10
The United States Agency for International Development
(USAID)s Womens Empowerment in Agriculture
Index focuses on fve areas: decisions over agricultural
production; power over productive resources such as
land and livestock; decisions over income; leadership in
the community; and time use. Women are empowered
if they have adequate achievements in four of the fve
areas. The index also takes into consideration the
empowerment of women compared with men in the
same household, based on asking women and men the
same survey questions (USAID, 2012). The index was
developed by USAID, the International Food Policy
Research Institute and the Oxford Poverty and Human
Development Initiative.
The 2010 Human Development Report introduced three
new multidimensional measures of poverty and
inequality: the inequality-adjusted Human Development
Index (HDI), the Gender Inequality Index (GII) and the
MPI. The GII includes fve indicators on educational
attainment, economic and political participation, and
reproductive health in accounting for overlapping
inequalities at the national level.
There is no shortage of information, research and
resources for developing a more comprehensive goal
on gender equality. The post-2015 framework could
build on the initiatives listed above or the work of the
UNs Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination
against Women and the Beijing Platform for Action. In
the course of our research, we proposed framing the
gender goal based on the following three considerations,
corresponding to the GII and the work of Pauline Stockins;
this was met with general support in our regional
consultations. These three considerations include:
Physical autonomy: Do women have control over
their own bodies?
Economic autonomy: Can women generate their
own income and control their assets and resources?
Decision-making autonomy: Do women have full
participation in decisions that affect their lives and
communities? (Stockins, 2011: slide 17)
10 Corner reframed the existing MDGs targets and indicators
to include a gender and rights-based approach.
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Physical autonomy could include targets on reproductive
rights and violence against women, economic autonomy
could include targets on participation and capacity for
women to earn their own income and decision-making
autonomy could include targets in both the public and
private spheres. (See Table 7 on page 44 of the Annex.)
Figure 8: Gender Inequality Index
empowerment
labour force
participation
five indicators
three dimensions labour market reproductive health
educational
attainment
(secondary level
and above)
parliamentary
representation
adolescent
fertility
maternal
mortality
GENDER
INEQUALITY
INDEX
Note: The size of the boxes refects the relative weights of the indicators and dimensions.
Source: UNDP Human Development Report Offce
CANDIDATE GOAL 7: RESILIENT
COMMUNITIES AND NATIONS FOR REDUCED
DISASTER IMPACT FROM NATURAL AND
TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS
The United Nations International Strategy for Disaster
Reduction (UNISDR) defnes resilience as the ability
of a system, community or society exposed to hazards
to resist, absorb, accommodate to and recover from
the effects of a hazard in a timely and effcient manner,
including through the preservation and restoration of its
essential basic structures and functions (2009: 24). There
are linkages between climate, disasters and poverty.
Losses from disasters are increasing and climatic events
cause a large percentage of disasters: windstorms, foods,
hurricanes and droughts. A resilient community is one
that is able to prepare for, adapt to and live through such
shocks, while preserving its basic assets, but the criteria
that make communities resilient differ from place to
place. While a common understanding of the concept of
resilience exists, its meaning has to be adapted at local
levels and translated into concrete, specifc indicators for
each community.
The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
created a model of the factors infuencing levels of
human losses from natural hazards at the global scale,
for the period 19802000. This model was designed
by the UNEP for the UNDP as a building block of the
Disaster Risk Index to monitor the evolution of risk.
Assessing which countries are most at risk requires
considering various types of hazards, such as droughts,
foods, cyclones and earthquakes. These four hazards
were tested with a model of population distribution
in order to estimate human exposure before assessing
risk. Human vulnerability was measured by comparing
exposure with selected socio-economic parameters. The
model evaluates to what extent observed past losses are
related to population exposure and vulnerability.
The UNISDR has been working on ways to measure
implementation of the Hyogo Framework and progress
towards disaster risk reduction, with a target date of
2015. In 2005, they proposed 81 indicators for measuring
the Hyogo Framework.
11
The framework identifed fve
priority areas in which to develop indicators: policy and
institutional aspects; understanding risk; knowledge
management and education; reducing underlying risks;
and strengthening response. A more recent UNISDR/
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Thematic
Think Piece (2012) argues that global goals and targets
for disaster risk reduction and resilience raise the profle
of the issues. Goals, targets and indicators should relate
as closely as possible to human development indices,
especially as vulnerability increases. Therefore, goals and
targets for risk reduction at the global level are based on
the measurement and estimation of either mortality or
economic loss suffered because of the impact of natural
hazards on vulnerable populations and assets.
Practical and inclusive research and debate on goals,
targets, indicators and ways to measure progress for
disaster risk reduction and resilience are still required.
The debate needs to address the strategic dimension of
proposed targets to ensure relevance and measurability
11 For key documents in this discussion see www.unisdr.org/2005/
HFdialogue/backdocs.htm.
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 21
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
and not solely be seen through a technical lens. The
consultations on a post-2015 framework for disaster risk
reduction present an opportune platform to provide
critical inputs, while relating to relevant discussions on
possible goals in the post-2015 development agenda.
(See Table 8 on page 45 of the Annex.)
CANDIDATE GOAL 8: QUALITY
INFRASTRUCTURE FOR ACCESS TO ENERGY,
TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATION
Candidate goal 8 was originally called connectivity
for our regional consultations, but we learned that
despite our intent to include energy and transportation,
the goal was interpreted as being limited to ICT (which
was included in the original MDG 8). We reframed the
goal as infrastructure to include access to energy,
transportation and communication services.
Suffcient infrastructure is at the very heart of economic
and social development. The infrastructure that connects
people constitutes a major economic sector in its own
right and contributes to raising both living standards
and quality of life. The signifcance of infrastructure,
especially of ICT, has evolved so dramatically in recent
years that it now determines the ways that individuals,
businesses and governments interact. Numerous studies
have found a positive impact on economic growth: for
example, a 10 percent increase in broadband penetration
has been found to increase economic growth from a
low of 0.24 percent to a high of 1.5 percent.
12
Weak
infrastructure has been identifed as a major constraint
to growth and to achieving the MDGs. (See Table 9 on
page 46 of the Annex.)
13
Apart from being an enabling factor to other
development goals, infrastructure has become an end
in and of itself: the establishment of good infrastructure
for universal access to eliminate the gap in information
and knowledge.
14
According to the International
Telecommunication Union (ITU) statistics, global
Internet user penetration reached 30 percent in 2010,
a milestone in penetration achieved in developed
12 See World Bank Broadband Strategies Toolkit for details: http://
broadbandtoolkit.org/en/home.
13 At a joint OECD/UN/World Bank global forum on the knowledge
economy, held in Paris on March 4-5, 2003, Karima Bounemra ben
Soltane, from the UN Economic Commission for Africa, also stated that
ICTs can do much to help Africa reach the MDGs.
14 An Evaluation of World Bank Group Activities in Information
and Communication Technologies: Capturing Technology for
Development, published by the World Bank IEG (2011), points out
that ICTs potential development benefts are based on the premise that
technology alone cannot provide solutions and may lead to growing,
rather than diminishing divides between and within countries. See
http://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/content/ieg/en/home/reports/ict.
html.
countries in 2001. Such a digital divide or gap is
partially due to the expense: while it cost less than 2.5
percent of gross national income (GNI) per capita in the
40 most connected nations, broadband subscriptions cost
over 100 percent per capita GNI in the 30 countries with
the lowest level of broadband penetration. If this issue
fails to receive appropriate measures at the global level
in a near future, developing economies are at a high risk
of exclusion from successful integration into the global
digital economy.
Under these circumstances, and acknowledging the
crucial elements of connectivity for better lives identifed
in Voices of the Poor (World Bank, 2000), the UN Task Team
on the Post-2015 UN Development Agenda has listed
unequal distribution of connectivity as another form of
inequality that should be tackled together with uneven
distribution of wealth and benefts: the knowledge
challenge. (See Table 10 on page 46 of the Annex.)
Furthermore, the growing demands for governance
to control the less desirable consequences of physical
infrastructures and virtual networks should be
appropriately addressed. For instance, although some
progress has been made in terms of regulations and
market reform of a traditionally monopolized sector,
unresolved issues remain from traditional concerns
of increased traffc created by road expansions,
environmental disruptions caused by additional power
plants and dams, to new challenges arising from
emerging cross-border business models. Examples of
ICT problems that need to be addressed are the free-
fow of information regardless of its authenticity, and the
misuse of private information.
In Voices of the Poor, a respondent from Cameroon
questioned the incentives to produce more than a family
needs if there are no roads to access the market (World
Bank, 2000). The signifcance of connectivity, especially
of ICT, has evolved dramatically in recent years. The
infrastructure that connects people is an ingredient for
economic growth, allowing rural dwellers to reach cities
and markets; ensuring the functioning of day-to-day
business; and providing access to markets, government
services, information and knowledge. Research supports
investments in infrastructure. A World Bank report found
that returns to investment on infrastructure averaged
3040 percent for telecommunications, more than 40
percent for electricity generation and 80 percent for
roads (Estache, 2007). While reductions in transportation
and communication costs are a suitable vehicle to speed
up growth (van Zon and Mupela, 2010), access to energy
and transportation must include considerations of
sustainability and minimal environmental impacts.
The inclusion of infrastructure at the goal level in the
post-2015 development agenda would serve to establish
universal connectivity for secure and innovative use.
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Nations could customize targets differentiated to best
address their domestic priorities. They could include
considerations of accessibility and affordability, safety
and quality control, and secure and innovation-driven
service. For developed countries that already have
nearly universal connectivity, targets could focus
on establishing effective international regulatory
systems for cross-border business models and global
partnerships for the widespread use of environmentally
friendly connectivity. Emerging economies could
work to establish better connectivity, while aiming for
environmental friendliness and technology innovation
for better service at a lowered cost. Economies with weak
connectivity platforms, such as Africa and South Asia,
could guarantee household accessibility to affordable
energy sources and national and international ICT
connections for all communities at affordable prices. (We
include indicators for water again in addition to goal 2
on food and water).
The design and management of such comprehensive
goals and country-specifc targets, however, impose a
number of challenges. From a technical perspective, data
sets are imperfect statistical data for ICTs is still under
construction or only available at the national level.
15
It
will be diffcult to construct a cohesive set of indicators
that encompass the conceptually similar, but practically
disparate, elements of the goal. Indicators would be
grouped into the three categories: affordable and reliable
energy systems, accessible and safe transport networks,
innovation-driven and secure and ubiquitous ICT
systems. (See Table 11 on page 47 of the Annex.)
15 Core ICT indicators, endorsed at UN Statistical Committee in
2007 and the World Bank East Asia and Pacifc Infrastructure Flagship,
are not available.
Figure 9: Proposal for a New Goal on Infrastructure for the Post-2015 Development Agenda
GOAL
TARGET
INDICATOR
Internet (wired and wireless)
Telecommunication
Internet (wired and wireless)
Telecommunication
Air and sea route
Land (road and rail)
Water
Electricity
Air and sea route
Land (road and rail)
Water
Electricity
Affordable accessibility
Reliable quality
Reliable and ubiquitous
service
Secure and innovative
technology
Safety and quality
Convenient accessibility Good
Infrastructure
for Universal
Access
Goal 8F (Target 18)
Make available benefits of new
technologies, especially information and
communications
telephone lines and cellular subscribers
personal computers and Internet users
Candidate Goal 9
Good infrastructure for universal access to
energy, transportation and communication
reliable energy supply
access to efficient transport
access to innovative yet regulated ICT system
Affordable and reliable
energy system
Accessible and safe
transport network
Innovation-driven, secure
and ubiquitous ICT system
Source: Authors
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 23
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
CANDIDATE GOAL 9: EMPOWERING PEOPLE
TO REALIZE THEIR CIVIL AND POLITICAL
RIGHTS
Guarantees of civil and political rights are enshrined in
the UNs International Covenant on Civil and Political
Rights, which recognizes that, In accordance with the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights, the ideal of
free human beings enjoying civil and political freedom
and freedom from fear and want can only be achieved
if conditions are created whereby everyone may enjoy
his civil and political rights, as well as his economic,
social and cultural rights (UN, 1966). This provided the
basis for the Millennium Declaration and, in turn, the
MDGs. Several existing goals align with the nine core
international treaties on human rights and include goals
addressing economic, social and cultural rights, but none
of the current MDGs highlight civil and political rights.
In our regional consultations, participants raised
concerns about the logic of singling out political and
civil rights, while omitting economic, social and cultural
rights. Instead of taking a rights-based approach
mainstreamed across all goals, we presumed that civil
and political rights are the cornerstones of empowerment.
The goal on civil and political rights focuses on peoples
ability to participate in, negotiate with, infuence, control
and hold accountable the institutions that affect their
lives. There is a view that people are the prime agents
of development and should infuence decision-making
processes.
As the UNDP has argued, Statistical indicators are a
powerful tool in the struggle for human rights. They
make it possible for people and organizations from
grassroots activists and civil society to governments and
the United Nations to identify important actors and
hold them accountable for their actions(UNDP, 2010).
In June 2008, the UN Offce of the High Council of Human
Rights released the Report on Indicators for Promoting
and Monitoring the Implementation of Human Rights (UN,
2008). The report undertook an extensive survey of the
use of quantitative information in monitoring human
rights, assessing the literature and prevalent practices
among national and international organizations. Lists of
illustrative indicators were elaborated for both civil and
political rights, as well as economic, social and cultural
rights. Three types of human rights indicators were
identifed: structural, process and outcome. Structural
indicators track the ratifcation and adoption of
international treaties, their incorporation into domestic
legislation and the existence of basic institutional
mechanisms for realization of the rights; process
indicators show states policy instruments and efforts
to implement human rights; and outcome indicators
measure the result of states efforts, the effciency and
effectiveness of their policies and the enjoyment of rights
by their peoples.
Ideally, the emphasis should be on outcome indicators
that monitor the results of governments and institutions
efforts, but it is important to note that they are more
diffcult to measure. Furthermore, success measured by
structural and process indicators such as human rights
treaties, norms and policies do not necessarily translate
into practice.
There are considerable challenges with data. Several
indicators are quantifable and can be obtained from
administrative data, while others are qualitative and
can be derived only from surveys or subjective expert
assessments. Accountability data should come from
sources external to the government to ensure it is reliable
and unbiased (but most MDG statistics come from
national statistics agencies). There is no incentive for
governments to provide information that refects poorly
on themselves. The number of reported violations may
be misleading the most oppressive regimes can have
the worst reporting mechanisms. Civil and political
rights are inherently a quality issue; thus selecting
indicators that provide a reliable measure on any of
these dimensions will be diffcult.
One approach is to develop international surveys.
Although perception-based data can be problematic,
good practice can provide useful data. An excellent
example is the Strategy for the Harmonization of
Statistics in Africa (SHaSA).
16
It is intended to build
on the UN Statistical Commissions commitment in
2002 to investigate statistics on democracy, governance
and human rights
17
and the values laid out in the
New Partnership for Africas Development (NEPAD)
Declaration. The Afrobarometer is another source of
inspiration, as is the Mo Ibrahim Index and its data
providers.
18
The UNDP Oslo Governance Centre works
with developing countries to produce indicators to
monitor democratic governance reform.
19
Of course,
proponents of surveys must take care in crafting
value-laden questions
20
and presenting results in one-
16 For details, see www.afdb.org/fleadmin/uploads/afdb/
Documents/Publications/AfDB,%20SHaSA_web.pdf.
17 The commitment was prompted by the 2000 Montreux Conference
on Measuring Democracy, Governance and Human Rights. See www.
paris21.org/sites/default/fles/2806.pdf.
18 See www.afrobarometer.org and www.moibrahimfoundation.
org/en/section/the-ibrahim-index/methodology.
19 See www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/ourwork/
democraticgovernance/oslo_governance_centre/governance_
assessments/.
20 See Yes Minister on leading questions in opinion polls: www.
youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4MTA.
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dimensional indicators, like the HDI. One must look out
for latent interests or controversial theories embedded in
the choice of the indexs components or weights, such as
those deemed business-friendly. An indicator similar
to the easy-to-follow HDI should also display its key
components, to demonstrate robustness.
In any case, the most convenient source for tracking
indicators may be the UNDPs Governance Assessment
Portal. The portal website links to 34 sources of
governance indicators from around the world, including
the Corruptions Perceptions Index, the Press Freedom
Survey, the Gender Empowerment Measure and Human
Rights Indicators.
21
The Human Rights Indicators project
(from Denmark) measures governments commitments to
civil and political rights, based on violations of eight core
human rights standards from international and regional
conventions. These include: extra-judicial killings or
disappearances, torture and ill-treatment, detention
without trial, unfair trial, participation in the political
process, freedom of association, freedom of expression
and discrimination, except gender discrimination which
is measured separately. The US State Department,
Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International are the
three sources that provide information on whether or not
a government has violated these standards.
Indicators could address dimensions of peoples
participation and governments accountability.
Participation focuses on rights-holders: people and
their ability to infuence and participate in decision-
making processes. This includes indicators on free and
fair elections, freedom of association and freedom of
expression. Accountability focuses on duty-bearers:
governments, national and local authorities, public
offcials and service providers, and the ways in which
they are held to account. (See Table 12 on page 54 of
the Annex.)
CANDIDATE GOAL 10: SUSTAINABLE
MANAGEMENT OF THE BIOSPHERE,
ENABLING PEOPLE AND THE PLANET TO
THRIVE TOGETHER
There has been little progress at the international level
on environmental challenges and addressing climate
change. Better management of the biosphere requires
decoupling the economy from fossil fuels to low-carbon
energy sources and other politically contentious actions
for which there is little political support or agreement
on burden sharing. The governments of Colombia and
Guatemala originally promoted the idea of replacing
the MDGs with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs),
and suggested combining the revision of the MDGs and
21 To access the portal resources, see www.gaportal.org/global-
initiatives/source-guide-to-global-indicators.
the post-2015 agenda with SDGs. Support for SDGs
gained momentum at Rio+20 and there is currently a UN
working group trying to conceptualize these goals before
September 2013. Are there goals on which consensus and
an agreed road map are feasible?
The UN Task Team has included environmental
sustainability as one the core dimensions of the post-2015
agenda. The Task Team recognizes several priorities:
ensuring a stable climate, stopping ocean acidifcation,
preventing land degradation and unsustainable
water use, sustainably managing natural resources
and protecting the natural resource base, including
biodiversity (UN, 2012: 27). The major challenge is
that sustainability means different things to different
people.
One option is to mainstream environmental
sustainability across all goals (income, jobs and growth
must be green; food and water considerations and
infrastructure must be sustainable). Unanimously across
the regions, experts were concerned that if environmental
sustainability were mainstreamed, the content would be
lost. Stiglitz, Sen and Fitoussi (2009) identifed four ways
to measure sustainability: large and eclectic dashboards;
composite indices; indices that consist of correcting
GDP in a more or less extensive way; and indices that
essentially focus on measuring how far resources are
currently over-consumed, including the ecological
footprint. There is no dispute with eclectic, broad
and diverse sources, but the larger the dashboard, the
more impractical and ineffective it will be. Composite
indices suffer from arbitrary measurements and the
impenetrability of sensitivity calculations (sustainability
indices may not be as robust as the MPI). Correcting for
imperfections in GDP may be the least controversial of
the approaches and overconsumption indices have the
advantage of apparent simplicity.
The OECD has a long history of constructive work
on environmental indicators, including the recent
Environmental Outlook to 2050 that focuses on four areas
climate change, biodiversity, freshwater and health
impacts of pollution and assesses the future trends
in these areas (OECD, 2012). The OECD Environmental
Data Compendium is revised regularly and presents
data linking pollution and natural resources with
activity in such economic sectors as energy, transport,
industry and agriculture. It shows the state of air, inland
waters, wildlife and other matters for OECD countries
and describes selected responses by government and
enterprises (OECD, 2008: para 1). Ten key environmental
indicators were selected from the compendiums core
set of indicators. These include the issues of climate
change, ozone layer, air quality, waste generation and
freshwater quality, and the natural resource and asset
issues of freshwater, forest, fsh and energy resources
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 25
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
and biodiversity. The selection of these indicators was
based on their policy relevance with respect to major
challenges for the frst decade of the twenty-frst century,
their analytical soundness and their measurability.
The Global Footprint Network has developed its own
methodology for measuring ecological resources. It
measures the amount of biologically productive land
and sea area an individual, a region, all of humanity,
or a human activity requires to produce the resources
it consumes and absorb the carbon dioxide emissions,
and compares this measurement to how much land
and sea area is available (Global Footprint, 2009: para
2). Current ecological footprint standards use global
hectares as a measurement unit, which makes data and
results globally comparable. The Ecological Footprint, as
defned by the Ecological Footprint standards, calculates
how much biologically productive area is required to
produce the resources required by the human population
and to absorb humanitys carbon dioxide emissions.
Approximately 90 percent of all leading Ecological
Footprint practitioners worldwide have joined Global
Footprint Network and have agreed to adhere to these
standards and to use a common set of data (Global
Footprint, 2009). This methodology, although complex,
could provide a mechanism for managing the limited
planetary space, but how, exactly, remains a question.
There is an already agreed-upon target and indicator
for climate change and there is an agreement to aim
for limiting increase in temperature by 2050 to 2
degrees Celsius.
22
This translates into a probability
distribution of atmospheric CO
2
concentration with
450 parts per million (ppm) equivalent to 50 percent
probability of limiting temperature increase to 2 degrees.
Concentration of 450 ppm yields a cumulative budget
of 1400 gigatonnes of emissions by 2050. This converts to
an average of some 35 billion tonnes per year we were
at 34 billion tonnes in 2011. Converting the cumulative
budget into a trajectory of annual emissions yields an
annual budget of 12 billion tonnes in 2050. This is
equivalent to an estimated 2 tonnes per capita in 2050,
less than half of todays fgure. Of course there is no
agreement on the distribution of national targets that
would be consistent with the budget.
Another approach is to argue that energy is a central, if
not the central, variable in achieving environmental
sustainability. The Sustainable Energy for All (SE4ALL)
initiative launched by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-
moon has three interlinked objectives that address
access, effciency and renewable energy. An extensive
list of energy indicators is contained in Energy Indicators
22 See http://unfccc.int/meetings/cancun_nov_2010/meeting/
6266.php. This is not as straightforward as it seems see http://
theenergycollective.com/davidhone/104341/how-important-two-
degree-target.
for Sustainable Development: Guidelines and Methodologies
(International Atomic Energy Agency [IAEA] et al.,
2005). One apparently simple approach is to build on
the G20 commitment to phase out ineffcient fossil fuel
subsidies.
23
But the devil is in the details. On closer
review, challenges include issues such as the omission
of a formal defnition of subsidy and the fact that several
countries exclude the sale of domestically produced fuels
at below-market prices from their defnition if direct
production costs are covered. Others exclude targeted
subsidies and report only a small portion of the policies
that the defnition includes.
24
We heard MDG 7 described as a dogs breakfast, and it
is a worthy challenge to establish a comprehensive set of
indicators to address the multiplicity of issues within an
environmental sustainability goal. The challenge is to
get, or develop, metrics that are simple and measurable,
but not one-dimensional. Perhaps the best place to start
would be with indicators clustered around climate
change, biodiversity, other planetary thresholds and
energy. (See Table 13 on page 56 of the Annex.)
CANDIDATE GOAL 11: GLOBAL GOVERNANCE
AND EQUITABLE RULES FOR REALIZING
HUMAN POTENTIAL
25
Going into the meeting in Paris and the regional
consultations, we presented Establishing Rules for
Managing the World Economy for the Fairly Shared
Benefts for all Nations as Goal 11, distinct from Good
Global Governance for Transparent and Accountable
International Institutions and Partnerships as Goal
12. The idea was that the goal on global governance
dealt with the fairness of the deliberative and decision-
making processes of international institutions and the
goal for fair rules applied to the substantive outcome
of the decisions of these institutions. But in each of the
consultation events, our formulation was vigorously
questioned. Opinions ranged from the amorphous
nature of governance and the diffculty of reaching
consensus on indicators, to the criticism that governance
is simply the process for which rules are the outcomes.
So we bowed to the near-unanimous view that logic
demands collapsing these two original Bellagio Goals
into one.
There are two approaches to seeking governance
indicators that are mutually compatible. First, we
can design a simple checklist of questions based on
23 See www.oecd.org/environment/fossilfuelsubsidies.htm.
24 See www.earthtrack.net/blog/g20-fossil-fuel-subsidy-reform-
fexible-defnitions-make-compliance-easy.
25 This section was largely crafted by Danny Bradlow; however, any
errors remain the responsibility of the authors.
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internationally agreed legal principles. Second, we can
adopt the graded scoring system of the One World
Trusts Global Accountability Framework.
We defne global governance arrangements to include
the structure and functions of individual international
organizations and the other forums and mechanisms
in which the rules of the global game are made and
monitored, as well as the relations among these various
organizations, forums and mechanisms and other state
and non-state actors who infuence the rules of the global
game. In formal international institutions, characteristics
suggested for the defnition of good governance include
participation, transparency, accountability, consensus-
orientation, following the rule of law, effciency and
effectiveness, responsiveness and equity. Targets and
indicators must assess the effectiveness with which each
individual organization, mechanism and forum is able
to produce good global governance as well as the
collective performance of these arrangements.
Because global governance is a complex aggregated
concept, it is diffcult to identify clear and easily measured
objective indicators of quality. Nevertheless, four factors
and associated indicators, each requiring a considerable
degree of judgment and likely to be the object of intense
debate, offer a means for assessing global governance.
The four factors are:
the defnition of a holistic vision of the goal of
development;
respect for applicable international law;
coordinated specialization; and
good administrative practice.
The ultimate objective of global governance is to promote
development for all societies and individuals. This,
of course, begs the question of which of the other goals
amount to a reasonable defnition of development for
these purposes? Development must be a comprehensive
and holistic process integrating the economic, social,
political, environmental and cultural aspects in dynamic
fashion. The ability of global governance institutions to
help all states achieve their developmental objectives
depends on how effectively they incorporate this vision
of development into their operating policies, procedures
and practices. Global governance has to be assessed at
three levels: the global, the national and the local. This
is necessary because if global governance is functioning
well, it will be possible to see development opportunities
expanding at each of these levels.
The institutional arrangements for international
governance should comply with three sets of
international legal principles. The frst is respect for
national sovereignty. While it is inevitable in an integrated
global system that states forego some autonomy, the
principle of national sovereignty helps to preserve as
much independence and policy space as is consistent
with effective global governance. The second is non-
discrimination that ensures that all similarly situated
states and individuals are treated in the same way. In
the case of states, this requires adapting the principle
of special and differential treatment to international
governance. This may require the creation of special
communication and accountability mechanisms
that enable weak and poor states to meaningfully
participate in international decision-making structures
and institutions. It will also require states to accept
responsibility for the way they treat all natural and legal
persons regardless of their national origins within
their borders. It is important to note that different states
may have different obligations, depending on which
human rights treaties they have signed and ratifed. The
third requires all international governance institutions to
fully understand the environmental and social impacts
of their operations and practices.
Coordinated specialization acknowledges that
international governance requires institutions with
limited and specialized mandates. It requires, frst, that
the mandate of each of the institutions of international
governance must be clearly defned; and second,
transparent and predictable mechanisms for coordination
and dispute settlement with other organizations. The
arrangements for global governance should be guided
by the same principles transparency, predictability,
participation, reasoned and timely decision making
and accountability as are applicable to any public
institution. They must conduct their operations pursuant
to transparent procedures that provide all stakeholders
with opportunities for participation and produce
results that are predictable and understandable. Finally,
stakeholders should be able to hold the institutions
accountable for decisions and actions.
Institutions must meet the following checklist of
internationally agreed principles:
Does each global governance institution have
an offcial document that articulates its vision of
development and how its policies, operations and
activities contribute to promotion of that vision?
Is there independent evaluation of policies,
operations or activities contributions to the
promotion of the vision?
Do the foundational instrument, policies and
procedures for global governance address the issue
of respect for the sovereignty of each member state?
Does each institution or arrangement of global
governance require both equal treatment for each
POTENTIAL INDICATORS AND TARGETS FOR CANDIDATE GOALS 27
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
similarly situated member state and special and
differential treatment for weak and poor member
states?
Does each explicitly require that its policies and
actions respect the internationally recognized
rights of all natural persons affected by its policies
or operations?
Does each require environmental and social impact
assessments?
Does the foundational document clearly delineate
the mandate of each institution or arrangement for
global governance?
Are there mechanisms for facilitating coordination
between all institutions or arrangements that are
active within or relevant to a particular sector or
topic area?
Are the available coordination mechanisms used?
Do they, in fact, comply with the guidance,
decisions or recommendations of the coordination
mechanism?
Do these coordination mechanisms offer grievance
process for stakeholders who are not satisfed with
the decisions of the coordination mechanism?
Does each arrangement for global governance
have a transparent and participatory rule-making
procedure?
Does each arrangement for global governance have
a decision-making process that is transparent, easy
to understand and that offers all stakeholders a
meaningful opportunity to participate?
Does each arrangement for global governance offer
each of its stakeholders access to an appropriate
independent grievance process for stakeholders
who are not satisfed with the decisions of the
institution?
In effect, the questions on this checklist are a good place
to start because, at frst glance, they are answerable with
either a yes or no.
One World Trust conducts research, develops
recommendations and advocates reforms to make policy
and decision-making processes in global governance
more accountable to the people and to ensure that
international laws are strengthened and applied equally
to all. They recently revised their Global Accountability
Framework to employ a graded scoring system. It
employs 65 qualitative indicators of fve dimensions of
good practice standards: transparency, participation,
evaluation, complaint and response mechanisms
and evidence of an organizations ability to exercise
leadership on accountability.
Turning to equitable rules, the processes of good
global governance should deliver outcomes redressing
imbalances in the world economy, ensuring fair trade
rules and equal access to markets and international
fnancial institutions, leading to a level playing feld
for economic transactions within the global economy.
Such rules come in many forms, for example, subsidies
and restrictions of various kinds on exports and imports,
foreign investments, intellectual property, concessional
fnance, competition, procurement, capital requirements
and health and product safety. The formal institutions
and informal arrangements shaping these rules include
the World Trade Organization (WTO), the IMF, the
World Intellectual Property Organization, the FAO, and
the WHO. Fair economic rules should create conditions
enabling economic growth, which is required for progress
in a variety of areas, and maximizes the potential for
countries to participate in the global economy.
This will be a very contentious domain especially
the defnition of fairness (Ringius, Torvanger and
Underdal, 2002; Jagers, Lfgren and Stripple, 2009).
Complications to establishing fairness include the reality
of very unequal endowments, dramatically different
states of economic development and diverse national
systems and points of view. Most people would agree
that fairness means respecting the rights and interests of
all the stakeholders but it is much more diffcult to
gain agreement to defnitions.
The report of the World Commission on the Social
Dimension of Globalization suggests that, in terms of
global social regulation, The rules of the global economy
should be aimed at improving the rights, livelihoods,
security and opportunities of people, families and
communities around the world. That includes fair
rules for trade, fnance and investment, measures to
strengthen the respect for core labour standards and a
coherent framework for the cross border movement of
people (International Labour Organization [ILO] cited
in Cantillon and Marx, 2005: 177).
The ILO has further argued that uniform rules for
unequal partners can only produce unequal outcomes
and that fairness involves affrmative action where
the obligations of countries are a function of their state
of development (ILO, 2004: 85). Dani Rodric (2011)
suggests that What we need are traffc rules for the
global economy that help vehicles of varying size, shape,
and speed navigate around each other, rather than
imposing an identical car or a uniform speed limit. We
should strive to attain maximum globalization consistent
with the maintenance of space for diversity in national
institutional arrangementsthe architects of the next
global economic ordermust comprehend the ultimate
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paradox that...Globalization works best when it is not
pushed too far.
The Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property
Rights (TRIPS) Agreement allows governments to make
exceptions to meet social goals. For example, the 2001
Doha Declaration on TRIPS and public health enables
countries that cannot make pharmaceuticals themselves to
import pharmaceuticals made under compulsory license.
The WTO provides for special and differential treatment
for developing countries. Perhaps indicators are required
that refect the appropriateness and effectiveness of those
measures. Are there indicators that gauge whether the
rules have delivered the envisaged outcomes?
Agricultural export credits and subsidies disadvantage
less-developed countries. Perhaps the target should be
to phase out these measures, much like the G20 call to
end ineffcient fossil fuel subsidies. Indicators could
track progress on this commitment. In addition, tariffs
and discriminatory tariff rate quotas for products that
originate in developing countries could be decreased
over time. It appears that it will be diffcult to improve
on the current four MDG indicators relating to market
access.
A signifcant share of products from developing countries
still faces substantial tariff barriers. Agricultural support in
OECD countries remains high, reaching US$366 billion in
2010 and distorting trade. In particular, support to agricultural
producers in OECD countries has a strong adverse impact
on production and trade of developing countries. Aid for
Trade commitments have not been met.
Potential indicators could be derived from the principles
of the most-favoured-nation trading system: national
treatment (that is, treating foreigners and locals
equally); predictability through binding agreements
and transparency; promoting fair competition (rules
on subsidies, dumping and intellectual property);
and special and differential treatment for developing
countries. The World Bank publishes fve categories
of indicators: trade policy, external environment,
institutional environment, trade facilitation and trade
outcome (World Bank, 2011). The World Banks Trade
Restrictiveness Index could also be a useful source.
The formulation of rules is also very contentious
in the areas of intellectual property rights, access
to concessional fnance, provision for adequate
liquidity and emergency responses in terms of global
macroeconomic management, prudential regulation
of international fnancial markets and institutions, and
restrictive business practices and abuse of dominant
power. The selection of indicators will be no less
contentious. One could argue that there are still
signifcant gaps in terms of equitable rules. (See Table
14 on page 58 of the Annex.)
CONCLUSION
What gets measured gets done, what
gets rewarded gets repeated.
26
THE CHALLENGE
To reach agreement on a framework to succeed the
MDGs, the United Nations will be tested in consulting
and negotiating through the maze of complexities
and interests. The United Nations must reject the easy
way out, and must not replace the MDGs with empty
rhetorical or aspirational statements where progress
cannot be evaluated. It would be simpler to duck the
technical and political work required to adopt a future
set of goals, targets and indicators. There are major gaps
in data, challenges with measurement, and complex
questions on process, context and content. But it would
be a shame to lose the opportunity to update the
development paradigm and motivate global action.
Measurement is important. Skeptics are fond of quoting
the aphorism that legend ascribes to be on a wall plaque
in Einsteins offce: Not everything that counts can be
counted; not everything that can be counted counts.
But without indicators we can neither monitor nor
report on progress. Indicators stimulate debate and raise
awareness. Progress reports on indicators will sensitize
public opinion and highlight countries with best
practices. Measurement provides an opportunity for
improved coordination and will infuence development
priorities. Perhaps most importantly, measurement
affects behaviour.
There are intimidating challenges in selecting indicators.
Ideally, they should measure outcomes and outputs,
not inputs and processes. Outcome indicators avoid
a prescriptive means-based approach. If an indicator
focuses on an outcome, then the country can decide
what inputs it uses to reach the desired outcome.
Indicators should also be accessible to lay readers. For
some goals, where outcome indicators are not available,
input, output and process indicators may be appropriate.
The choice of indicators must be sensitive to potential
behaviour response. Ideally, given the need to minimize
the number of indicators, they should be summative,
refecting whole sector outcomes (for example, using
maternal mortality as an indicator for the effectiveness
of the public health system).
Preferably, indicators should be direct measures, not indices.
(Indices are tempting because they summarize a wide
range of information, but the choice of weights can distort
26 Varad Pande reminded us of this maxim attributed to Peter
Drucker, Tom Peters, Edwards Deming, Lord Kelvin and others at
our regional meeting in Mumbai, August 28, 2012.
CONCLUSION 29
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
results.
27
) If at all possible, we should avoid perception-based
measures, but in the absence of administrative data, surveys
are the only recourse. Norms infuence data collection, the
selection of wording and the interpretation of statistics.
Value judgments are embedded in statistics, surveys and
questionnaires. Information can be obtained from peoples
perceptions and expert assessments. Survey data could
complement administrative data on key parameters, but it is
expensive and subjective, and care must be taken in survey
design recall the clich Tell me the answer you want,
then Ill tell you the survey question. There are trade-offs
with relying solely on either surveys or administrative data.
Data must be available at a reasonable cost, with
disaggregation possible for several dimensions. The
MDGs were criticized because the appropriate data was
just not available or reliable enough to track progress. Data
availability in the international series for the assessment
of trends for all MDGs has continued to improve.
28
The
selection of post-2015 goals is an opportunity to further
develop national statistical capacities.
OUR ADVICE
One approach that will help the United Nations to screen
the food of suggestions for new post-2015 goals and
targets is to insist that practical and cogent indicators
are available for nominated goals. Without solid
information, we cannot measure where we are, nor can
we prescribe what needs to be done. This requirement
will reduce the number of suggestions to a manageable
number valid indicators do not exist for many worthy
aspirational goals.
Following our previous work on potential post-2015
goals, we held consultations in Paris, Beijing, Seoul,
Pretoria, Mumbai and Rio de Janeiro. Participants
refected on our Bellagio Goals and provided expert
advice on indicators that could be employed to measure
progress. The objective was to identify some of the key
problems with measurement in each goal area, identify
potential indicators and present a menu of options on
potential indicators for a wide range of goals.
There was near unanimity that the future set of goals
should apply to both developed and developing
countries. The new agenda should be as universally
applicable as possible.
27 Indices must be interpreted with care. Statistics are not value-
free; indeed, as the adage goes, statistics are like sausages you like
them better if you do not know what is in them.
28 In 2011, 122 countries had data for at least two points in time
for 16 to 22 indicators; in contrast, only four countries had this data
coverage in 2003. See http://mdgs.un.org/unsd/mdg/Resources/
Static/Products/Progress2012/English2012.pdf.
Goals should be aspirational about the world
we want but we must consider the impact on
acceptability. There are political challenges with some
of the current goals and indicators. For example, some
countries will be averse to a goal on civil and political
rights (notwithstanding having signed various UN
declarations and conventions); others will dislike goals
on restructuring international institutions. The inclusion
of goals on equitable rules and global governance in the
framework was criticized most heavily (that is, some
said this is not the place to deal with international
institutional reform) and the diffculty in fnding
measurable indicators.
Several questions are very contentious. Health advocates
will be concerned about consolidating the three MDG
health goals into one goal. There is concern about separating
hunger from poverty in our framing of food and water
which positioned water in a less prominent position
that safe water concerns could be crowded out by food,
just as hunger was crowded out by poverty in MDG 1.
There was confusion about splitting safe water, which we
associate with food security, from sanitation which some
thought should be included with the goal on infrastructure.
Of course, these are arguable points, but the underlying
question is the availability of suitable indicators.
There is concern that, in jumping from goals to indicators,
we de-emphasize targets the core of the whole thing.
There are two basic options. First, establish the global
framework within which targets can be set, but leave the
actual targets to countries, or second, establish a global
standard below which no country should fall. Targets are
the motivating factor, determining the destination and
mobilizing the agenda. Proposing indicators frst, however,
identifes whether progress towards targets can be assessed.
Disaggregation was less than ideal in the original MDGs
and must be better handled in the post-2015 framework.
Household data aggregates across gender. Where we
have individual data, we should maximize the amount of
disaggregation (gender, income quintile, minority groups,
age, sub-national units, disability and urban/rural).
The MDGs had a signifcant impact on development policy,
perhaps more so than anyone originally anticipated. There
are high expectations for a future framework to improve
upon the substantial amount of progress already made.
The world continues to change rapidly: the majority of
the worlds poor now live in middle-income countries, the
burden of disease has changed and technology advances
unpredictably. The post-2015 framework should comprise
stretch goals that address current challenges and
anticipate future issues. Diffcult decisions are required for
addressing the trade-offs in metrics, structure and content.
CIGI, KDI and our partners hope that our work here, in
providing a menu of options, will facilitate progress on
designing the post-2015 framework.
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ANNEX
Table 1: Candidate Indicators on Inclusive Growth, Livelihoods and Standards of Living
Inclusive Growth
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
I
n
c
l
u
s
i
v
e

G
r
o
w
t
h
I
n
c
o
m
e

P
o
v
e
r
t
y
Proportion of people living below the
national poverty line
National poverty rate is the percentage of the population
living below the national poverty line. National estimates
are based on population-weighted subgroup estimates
from household surveys. Defnitions vary by country.
Household
survey (HS) /
Administrative
data (Admin) /
World Bank
Proportion of people living below
US$2 a day at 2005 PPP
Proportion of people living below US$2 a day is the
percentage of the population who live on this amount,
based on 2005 international prices. As a result of
revisions in PPP exchange rates, poverty rates for
individual countries cannot be compared with poverty
rates reported in earlier editions.
Ratio of income/consumption of the
top quintile to the bottom quintile
Income or consumption share that accrues to the highest
20 percent of the population divided by the income
or consumption share of the lowest 20 percent of the
population.
E
c
o
n
o
m
i
c

G
r
o
w
t
h
Growth rate of GDP per capita at PPP Average annual growth rate of GDP per capita based on
PPP in constant 2005 international dollars.
Growth rate of average per capita
income/consumption PPP for lowest
and highest quintile and total
Average annual rate of growth of mean income or
consumption per person in 2005 PPP per unit time.
Calculated by obtaining the log differences divided by
number of years elapsed between fnal and initial years.
Growth rate of GDP per person
employed
The growth rate of GDP per person employed or labour
productivity is defned as the growth rate of output
per unit of labour input. Output is measured as value
added, which is the total production value minus the
value of intermediate inputs, such as raw materials,
semi-fnished products, services purchased and energy
inputs. Value added, called GDP in the national accounts,
represents the compensation for input of services from
capital (including depreciation) and labour directly
engaged in the production.
HS / Admin /
World Bank /
ILO
ANNEX 31
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Livelihoods and Employment
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
L
i
v
e
l
i
h
o
o
d
s

a
n
d

E
m
p
l
o
y
m
e
n
t
O
p
p
o
r
t
u
n
i
t
i
e
s
Employment rate Proportion of a countrys youth (aged 1524 years) and working-age
population (aged 15 years and over) that is employed.
ILO
Elasticity of total
employment to total GDP
Average percentage point change in employment for a given
employed population group (total, female and male) associated with a
one percentage point change in output over a selected period.
Number of own-account and
contributing family workers
per 100, wage and salaried
workers
Wage and salaried workers (employees) are those workers who
hold the type of jobs defned as paid employment jobs, where the
incumbents hold explicit (written or oral) or implicit employment
contracts that give them a basic remuneration that is not directly
dependent upon the revenue of the unit for which they work.
Own-account workers are those workers who, working on their own
account or with one or more partners, hold the type of jobs defned
as a self-employment jobs (that is, jobs where the remuneration
is directly dependent upon the profts derived from the goods and
services produced), and have not engaged any employees to work for
them on a continuous basis.
Contributing family workers are those workers who hold self-
employment jobs as own-account workers in a market-oriented
establishment operated by a related person living in the same
household.
Seasonality of income index No agreed/universal/international defnition.
C
o
n
d
i
t
i
o
n
s
Children in wage
employment or self-
employment activity rate
(percent by age)
Excludes unpaid family labour that is often legal at the national level
and is sometimes benefcial to children.
HS / ILO
Deaths from workplace
hazards
Fatal injury rate (per 100,000 employees). ILO
Discouraged workers (as a
share of the population)
Discouraged workers are persons not in the labour force, who desire
to work, but who believe that there is no work available due to various
reasons.
OECD
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Standards of Living
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
S
t
a
n
d
a
r
d
s

o
f

L
i
v
i
n
g
S
h
e
l
t
e
r
Proportion of households
living in a housing unit
considered durable
Built on a non-hazardous location and has a structure
both permanent and adequate enough to protect its
inhabitants from the extremes of climatic conditions
such as rain, heat, cold and humidity. The following
locations should be considered hazardous: housing
settled in geologically hazardous zones (landslide,
earthquake and food areas); housing settled on garbage
mountains; housing around high industrial pollution
areas; and housing around other high-risk zones (such
as railroads, airports and energy transmission lines). The
following durability factors should be considered when
categorizing housing units: quality of construction (for
example, materials used for wall, foor and roof); and
compliance with local building codes, standards and
by-laws.
HS / Admin /
United Nations
Human Settlements
Programme (UN-
HABITAT)
Proportion of households with
more than three persons per
room
A house is considered to provide a suffcient living area
for the household members if three or less people share
the same room.
HS / Admin / UN-
HABITAT
Proportion of people with
secure tenure
Secure tenure is the right of all individuals and groups to
effective protection by the state against unlawful eviction.
Secure tenure can be considered as the frst component
of the progressive realization of the right to housing. The
granting of secure tenure will not, in and of itself, solve
the problem of homelessness, poverty, unsafe living
environments and inadequate housing. However, secure
tenure is one of the most essential elements of a successful
shelter strategy.
UN-HABITAT
W
e
l
l
-
b
e
i
n
g
Population unable to make
ends meet
Share of the population who declare that they are having
great diffculty making ends meet. Relies on the same
question across countries, although contextual factors and
cultural effects may affect comparisons.
European Union
Statistics on
Income and
Living Conditions
(Currently EU only)
S
o
c
i
a
l

S
e
c
u
r
i
t
y
Social protection and labour
rating
Social protection and labor assess government policies in
social protection and labor market regulations that reduce
the risk of becoming poor, help those who are poor to
better manage further risks, and ensure a minimal level of
welfare to all people.
World Bank
Government expenditure on
social security and welfare as
percentage of total government
expenditure
Government expenditure on social security and welfare
(consists of expenditure by government to provide
benefts in cash or in kind to persons who are sick,
fully or partially disabled, of old age, survivors or
unemployed, among others) expressed as a percentage of
total government expenditure.
Admin
Share of population aged 65
and above beneftting from a
pension
No agreed/universal/international defnition. ILO
ANNEX 33
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Table 2: Candidate Indicators on Food, Water and Sanitation
Food
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source

F
o
o
d
N
u
t
r
i
t
i
o
n

I
n
p
u
t
s
Proportion of population
below minimum level
of dietary energy
consumption
This proportion is the percentage of the population that is
undernourished or food deprived. Undernourished or food
deprived individuals food intake falls below the minimum level
of dietary energy requirements.
Admin / FAO
Food Consumption Score
(FCS)
The FCS is a composite score based on dietary diversity, food
frequency and relative nutritional importance of different food
groups. Food items are grouped into eight standard food groups
with a maximum value of seven days per week. The consumption
frequency of each food group is multiplied by an assigned weight
that is based on its nutrient content. Those values are summed for
the FCS.
HS / World
Food
Programme
N
u
t
r
i
t
i
o
n

O
u
t
p
u
t
s
Prevalence of underweight
children under fve years
Prevalence of (severely) underweight children is the percentage
of children aged 059 months whose weight for their age is less
than minus three standard deviations below the median weight
for age of the international reference population. The international
reference population, often referred to as the [National Center
for Health Statistics] NCHS/WHO reference population, was
formulated by the National Center for Health Statisticsas a
reference for the United States and later adopted by the WHO.
Admin /
UNICEF
Prevalence of stunting in
children under two years
The proportion of children below minus two standard deviations
from the WHO length- or height-for-age standards median.
WHO
Prevalence of stunting in
children under fve years
Percentage of children under fve years old whose height for age is
below minus two standards deviations from the median.
Prevalence of underweight
infants (<2,500 g or 5.5 lbs)
at birth
No agreed/universal/international defnition. HS / WHO
Percentage of anemic
women at reproductive
age
Proportion of non-pregnant women during reproductive age (aged
1549 years) with a hemoglobin concentration of <120 g/L at sea
level.
Admin / WHO
Prevalence of overweight Overweight defned as weight-for-height above two standard
deviations from the median of the WHO child growth standards.
BMI BMI is a simple index of weight-for-height that is commonly
used to classify underweight, overweight and obesity in adults.
It is defned as the weight in kilograms divided by the square of
the height in metres (kg/m
2
).A person witha BMIof 25 or more
is considered, by the WHO, to be overweight, while obesity is
defned as having aBMIof 30 or more.
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Water and Sanitation
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
W
a
t
e
r
Proportion of households that
obtained a suffcient quantity
from a safe source for x
days a year
Proportion of households with drinking water collected from a
source that supplies 50 L per capita per day year-round (without
daily or weekly interruptions in supply), requiring no more than 10
minutes to collect, and no more than 30 minutes each way, with no
detectable E. coli in a 100-mL sample.
Admin / HS
Incidence rate of diarrheal
disease in children under fve
years
Diarrhea: three or more watery stools in a 24-hour period, a loose
stool being one that takes the shape of the container (WHO), or other
local defnition of diarrhea.
Episode of diarrhea: a 24-hour period with three or more loose or
watery stools. An episode of diarrhea is considered to have ended
after 48 hours without three or more loose watery stools within a
24-hour period.
Incidence of diarrhea morbidity: total number of episodes of
diarrhea during a one-year period among the children surveyed.
HS / WHO
S
a
n
i
t
a
t
i
o
n
R
e
d
u
c
e

O
p
e
n

D
e
f
e
c
a
t
i
o
n
Percentage of households in
the lowest wealth quintile
practicing open defecation
(OD)
OD is defecation in felds, forests, bushes, bodies of water or other
open spaces, or open disposal of human feces.
HS / WHO
Percentage of total, urban and
rural households practicing
OD
Percentage of households in
which OD is practiced by any
members of household
H
o
u
s
e
h
o
l
d
s
Percentage of population
using an adequate sanitation
facility
Adequate sanitation facility: separates excreta from human contact
and ensures that excreta does not re-enter the immediate household
environment; is safe (protects the user from risks such as vermin
or falling into the pit) and durable; a household or shared toilet
within or nearby the plot, shared by no more than fve families or
30 people, whichever is fewer, and used by people who know each
other; accessible at all times (seven days a week, 24 hours a day)
to all members of household; and protects users from culturally
inappropriate exposure or invasion of privacy.
HS /
UNICEF
Percentage of households
using adequate sanitation
facility (disaggregated urban
and rural and by wealth
quintiles)
Percentage of households in
which the sanitation facility
is used by all members of the
household (including men
and women, boys and girls,
the elderly and people with
disabilities) whenever needed
No agreed/universal/international defnition. HS
P
u
b
l
i
c

F
a
c
i
l
i
t
i
e
s
Percentage of schools with
separate and adequate
facilities for boys and girls
Adequate facilities: have no more than a given number of users per
seat or cubicle in schools; gender specifc; separate for boys and girls;
includes facilities for menstrual hygiene management (MHM), such
as disposal for MHM materials; includes facilities for handwashing
with soap and water; and accommodates the needs of children with
disabilities.
HS /
UNICEF
Percentage of health facilities
with separate and adequate
facilities for men and women
ANNEX 35
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Table 3: Significant Contributions of Education to Other Development Objectives
MDGs Estimated Effects of Education
MDG 1: Poverty Reduction 12 percent additional cut in world poverty if all students in low-income countries left school
with basic reading skills.
MDG 3: Gender Equality 22 percent productivity improvement if female farmers are given the same level of education
as their male partners.
MDG 4: Child Mortality A child born to a mother who can read is 50 percent more likely to survive past age fve.
MDG 5: Maternal Health Proportion of births assisted by skilled personnel increases with the mothers education level.
MDG 6: Combat against HIV/
AIDS
Education of large numbers of community-based health workers reduced deaths from malaria
by 66 percent in Zambia in six years.
MDG 7: Environmental
Sustainability
Successful implementation and actual use of new, affordable technologies for sanitation in
Africa came with education.
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Table 4: Candidate Indicators on Education
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
E
s
t
a
b
l
i
s
h

S
u
f
f
c
i
e
n
t

E
d
u
c
a
t
i
o
n

S
y
s
t
e
m

A
c
c
e
s
s
i
b
l
e

t
o

A
l
l

a
t

A
l
l

L
e
v
e
l
s

(
I
n
p
u
t
s
)
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y

a
n
d

A
c
c
e
s
s
i
b
i
l
i
t
y
A
c
c
e
s
s
i
b
l
e

S
c
h
o
o
l

S
y
s
t
e
m
Adjusted net intake rate
(percentage of population in the
same age group)
Total enrollment in primary education of pupils of offcial
primary school entrance age, expressed as a percentage of
the population of the same age in a given school year. It
is equivalent of the age-specifc enrollment rate of offcial
primary entrance age.
UNESCO Institute for
Statistics
Age-specifc enrollment rate
(percentage of cohort)
Enrollment of a specifc single age enrolled, irrespective of
the level of education, as a percentage of the same age.
ECCE Programs that, in addition to providing children with care,
offer a structured and purposeful set of learning activities,
either in a formal institution or as part of a non-formal
child development program. ECCE programs are typically
designed for children aged three years and over, occurring
before primary education.
S
u
f
f
c
i
e
n
t

F
i
n
a
n
c
i
n
g
P
u
b
l
i
c

E
x
p
e
n
d
i
t
u
r
e
Government expenditure on
education to poorer families
No agreed/universal/international defnition. World Bank
Public expenditure on education,
total (percentage of GDP)
Total public expenditure (current and capital) on education,
expressed as a percentage of the GDP in a given year.
Public expenditure on education,
total (percentage of government
expenditure)
Current and capital expenditures on education by local,
regional and national governments, expressed as a
percentage of total government expenditure on all sectors.
Expenditure per student, per level
(percentage of GDP per capita)
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
P
r
i
v
a
t
e
Total private expenditure on
educational institutions and
educational administration, as
percentage of GDP
Expenditure by private on educational institutions and
administration at a given level of education, expressed as
percentage of GDP.
World Bank
E
q
u
a
l

R
i
g
h
t

t
o

E
d
u
c
a
t
i
o
n
G
e
n
d
e
r

E
q
u
a
l
i
t
y
Ratio of female to male by level of
education (percentage)
No agreed/universal/international defnition. World Bank
Ratio of female to male net intake
rate (percentage)
No agreed/universal/international defnition. UNESCO Institute for
Statistics
Percentage of female teachers Number of female teachers at a given level of education,
expressed as a percentage of total number of teachers at the
same level in a given school year.
S
o
c
i
o
-
e
c
o
n
o
m
i
c

E
q
u
a
l
i
t
y
Duration of compulsory school
years
No agreed/universal/international defnition. World Bank
Children out of primary school,
female and male (percentage of
cohort)
Number of children of offcial primary school age who are
not enrolled in primary or secondary school, expressed as a
percentage of the population (by gender) of offcial primary
school age.
UNESCO Institute for
Statistics
Economically active children, ages
714, female and male (percentage
of cohort)
Economically active children refer to children involved in
economic activity (non-school attendance) for at least one
hour in the reference week of the survey.
World Bank
Ratio of school attendance of
orphans to school attendance of
non-orphans
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Population from 524 years of age
by school attendance, urban and
rural residence
No agreed/universal/international defnition. UN Statistics Division
Demographic Statistics
ANNEX 37
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
E
n
s
u
r
e

A
c
t
i
v
e

P
a
r
t
i
c
i
p
a
t
i
o
n

i
n

E
F
A

(
T
h
r
o
u
g
h
p
u
t
s
)
C
o
n
t
i
n
u
e
d

P
u
r
s
u
i
t

o
f

L
i
f
e
l
o
n
g

L
e
a
r
n
i
n
g
S
u
r
v
i
v
a
l

R
a
t
i
o
Percentage of repeaters Total number of pupils who are enrolled in the same grade
as the previous year, expressed as a percentage of total
enrollment in the given grade of education.
UNESCO Institute for
Statistics
Dropout rate by grade
(percentage)
Proportion of pupils from a cohort enrolled in a given grade
in a given school year who are no longer enrolled in the
following school year.
Attendance rate (percentage) Total number of pupils actually attending schools as a
percentage of the total registered enrollment.
Survival rate by grade Percentage of cohort of pupils enrolled in the frst grade of a
given level or cycle of education in a given school year who
are expected to reach successive grades.
Persistence to last grade of
primary, female and male
(percentage of cohort)
Participants in all components of an educational program
involved in primary education, irrespective of the result of
any potential assessment of the achievement of learning
objectives as a percentage of total enrollment registered at
the entrance.
World Bank statistics
Primary completion rate, female
and male (percentage of cohort)
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
L
i
f
e
l
o
n
g

L
e
a
r
n
i
n
g
Firms offering formal training Number of frms with formal training programs.
Adult education Education specifcally targeting individuals who are
regarded as adults to improve their technical or professional
qualifcations, further develop their abilities, enrich their
knowledge with the purpose to complete a level of formal
education or to acquire knowledge, skills and competencies
in a new feld, or to refresh or update their knowledge in a
particular feld.
UNESCO Institute for
Statistics
Number of students in tertiary
education
Number of students enrolled in tertiary education in a given
academic year per 100,000 inhabitants.
Year input per graduate Estimated average number of pupil-years spent by pupils
from a given cohort who graduate from a given cycle or
level of education, considering the years of dropout and
repetition.
A
d
v
a
n
c
e
m
e
n
t
Promotion rate by grade Proportion of pupils from a cohort enrolled in a given grade
at a given school year that study in the next grade in the
following school year.
Effective transition rate The likelihood of a student moving to a higher level of
education represented by the number of new entrants to the
frst grade of the higher level of education in the following
year, expressed as a percentage of the students enrolled in
the last grade of the given level of education in the given
year who do not repeat that grade the following year.
New entrants to primary
education with ECCE
Pupils entering primary education for the frst time and
who attended some organized ECCE programs
Students enrolled by type of
institution
For example, students enrolled in adult education programs
are categorized separately from the total number of
students.
OECD statistics
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Table 5: Candidate Indicators on Health
Target Indicator Defnition Source
I
m
p
a
c
t
H
e
a
l
t
h

S
t
a
t
u
s
Life expectancy at
birth
Average number of years that a newborn is expected to live if current
mortality rates continue to apply.
WHO
HALE Average number of years that a person can expect to live in full health by
taking into account years lived in less than full health due to disease and/
or injury.
Maternal mortality
ratio
Number of maternal deaths per 100,000 live births during a specifed time
period, usually one year.
Child mortality
ratio (under fve
years)
The probability of a child born in a specifc year or period dying before
reaching the age of fve, if subject to age-specifc mortality rates of that
period.
WHO /
UNICEF
Infant mortality
ratio (under one
year)
The probability of a child born in a specifc year or period dying before
reaching the age of one, if subject to age-specifc mortality rates of that
period.
Mortality due to
major cause of
death (by sex and
age)
The age-standardized mortality rate is a weighted average of the age-
specifc mortality rates per 100,000 persons, where the weights are the
proportions of persons in the corresponding age groups of the WHO
standard population.
WHO
mortality
database
DALY One DALY can be thought of as one lost year of healthy life. The sum
of these DALYs across the population, or the burden of disease, can be
thought of as a measurement of the gap between current health status and
an ideal health situation, where the entire population lives to an advanced
age, free of disease and disability. DALYs for a disease or health condition
are calculated as the sum of the years of life lost due to premature mortality
in the population and the years lost due to disability for incident cases of
the health condition.
WHO
F
i
n
a
n
c
i
a
l

R
i
s
k

P
r
o
t
e
c
t
i
o
n
Out-of-pocket (as
percentage of total
health expenditure)
Out-of-pocket expenditure is any direct outlay by households, including
gratuities and in-kind payments, to health practitioners and suppliers of
pharmaceuticals, therapeutic appliances and other goods and services
whose primary intent is to contribute to the restoration or enhancement of
the health status of individuals or population groups.
World
Bank
ANNEX 39
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Source
O
u
t
c
o
m
e
s
C
o
v
e
r
a
g
e

o
f

I
n
t
e
r
v
e
n
t
i
o
n
s
Antenatal
care coverage
(percentage)
Women who utilized antenatal care provided by skilled health personnel,
for reasons related to pregnancy at least once during pregnancy, as a
percentage of live births in a given time period.
HS
Births attended
by skilled health
personnel
(percentage)
Percentage of live births attended by skilled health personnel in a given
period of time.
DTP3
immunization
coverage
DTP3 (combined vaccine for diphtheria, tetanus toxoid and pertussis)
immunization coverage is the percentage of one-year-olds who have
received three doses of the vaccine in a given year.
Admin /
HS
Need of family
planning satisfed,
expressed as
percentage
The proportion of women of reproductive age (aged 1549) who are
married or in a union and who have an unmet need for family planning
(who do not want any more children or want to wait at least two years
before having a baby), and yet are not using contraception.
HS / UN
Population
Fund
Antiretroviral
therapy (ART)
Percentage of people with advanced HIV infection receiving ART,
according to nationally approved treatment protocol (or WHO / Joint UN
Programme on HIV and AIDS standards), among the estimated number of
people with advanced HIV infection.
Admin
Cervical cancer
screening
Proportion of women (aged 2069) reporting to have undergone a cervical
cancer screening test within the past three years.
P
r
e
v
a
l
e
n
c
e

o
f

M
a
j
o
r

R
i
s
k

F
a
c
t
o
r
s
Condom use
during higher risk
sex
Percentage of young people (aged 1524) years reporting the use of a
condom during the last sexual intercourse with a non-regular partner
among those who had sex with a non-regular partner in the last 12 months.
HS
Tobacco use
(adults)
Prevalence of current tobacco smoking (including cigarettes, cigars, pipes
or any other smoked tobacco products). Current smoking includes both
daily and non-daily or occasional smoking.
WHO
Low birth weight
among newborns
Percentage of live born infants with a birth weight of less than 2,500 g in a
given time period. Low birth weight may be subdivided into very low birth
weight (less than 1,500 g) and extremely low birth weight (less than 1,000 g).
Admin /
HS
Children under fve
who are stunted
Percentage of children stunted describes how many children under fve
years have a height-for-age below minus two standard deviations of the
National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) / WHO reference median.
HS /
WHO
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Target Indicator Defnition Source
O
u
t
p
u
t
s
Q
u
a
l
i
t
y

a
n
d

S
a
f
e
t
y
30-day acute
myocardial
infarction (heart
attack) in-hospital
mortality rate
The risk-adjusted rate of all causes of in-hospital deaths occurring within
30 days of frst admission to an acute care hospital with a diagnosis of acute
myocardial infarction.
Admin
TB DOTS (directly
observed treatment
short course)
treatment success
rate
The proportion of new smear-positive TB cases registered under DOTS
in a given year that successfully completed treatment, whether with
bacteriologic evidence of success (cured) or without (treatment
completed). At the end of treatment, each patient is assigned one of the
following six mutually exclusive treatment outcomes: cured; completed;
died; failed; defaulted and transferred out with outcome unknown. The
proportions of cases assigned to these outcomes, plus any additional cases
registered for treatment but not assigned to an outcome, add up to 100
percent of cases registered.
WHO
Waiting time for
elective surgery
(cataract)
Waiting times for elective surgery is the time between the patient being
advised that they needed care and the appointment. Since there are no
universally accepted defnitions of waiting times, data derived from
different sources may not be fully comparable.
Admin
Surgical wound
infection rate
(percentage of all
surgical operations)
No agreed/universal/international defnition. WHO
A
c
c
e
s
s

a
n
d

S
e
r
v
i
c
e

R
e
a
d
i
n
e
s
s
Outpatient visits
per person per year
Outpatient visits per capita are the number of visits to health care facilities
per capita, including repeat visits.
World
Bank
ANNEX 41
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Table 6: Candidate Indicators for Security
Target Indicator Defnition Source
A
r
m
e
d

C
o
n
f
i
c
t
Number of direct deaths and
injuries from armed confict
Uppsala Confict Data Program (UCDP) defnes confict
as a contested incompatibility that concerns government
and/or territory where the use of armed force between
two parties, of which at least one is the government of a
state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.
Fatality statistics relate to military and civilian lives lost
as a direct result of an armed confict; fgures relate to the
country that is the main area of confict.
International
Prevention Research
Institution / UCDP
/ International
Institute for Strategic
Studies / Global
Peace Index
Number of confict-related sexual
violence incidents
Number of incidents or patterns of sexual violence (rape,
sexual slavery, forced prostitution, forced pregnancy
or enforced sterilization) or any other form of sexual
violence of comparable gravity against women, men or
children. Such incidents or patterns occur in confict or
post-confict settings or other situations of concern. They
also have a direct or indirect nexus with the confict or
political strife that is temporal, geographical and/or
causal link.
UN
Rate of injuries and deaths from
land mines, cluster munitions and
other explosive remnants of war
and improvised explosive devices
Number of individuals killed or injured in incidents
involving devices detonated by the presence, proximity
or contact of a person or a vehicle, such as anti-personnel
mines, anti-vehicle mines, Abandoned Explosive
Ordnance, Unexploded Ordnance and victim-activated
improvised explosive devices.
Landmine and
Cluster Munition
Monitor
Rate of children recruited by
armed groups and violent gangs
The number of children under the age of 18 who have
been coerced or induced to take up arms as a proportion
of the total number of children under the age of 18 (state
militaries, non-state armed groups, criminal gangs).
UNICEF / Child
Soldiers Coalition
Rate of population displacement
due to violence
Refugee population by country or territory of origin, plus
the number of a countrys internally displaced people as
a percentage of the countrys total population.
International
Displacement
Monitoring
Centre / UN High
Commissioner for
Refugees
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Target Indicator Defnition Source
V
i
o
l
e
n
t

C
r
i
m
e
Direct deaths and injuries from
crime
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Rate of reported violent crimes Number of reports of assault, sexual violence, robbery,
child pornography and kidnapping recorded by the
police in a country.
UNODC
Crime victims as proportion of the
population
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Number of frearm-related
casualties
No agreed/universal/international defnition. Admin
Rate of persons subjected to sexual
violence
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Number of homicides per 100,000
people
Intentional homicide refers to death deliberately inficted
on a person by another person, including infanticide.
Total number of penal code offences or their equivalent,
excluding minor road traffc and other petty offences,
brought to the attention of the police or other law
enforcement agencies and recorded by one of those
agencies.
UNODC
Number of gang-related violent
incidents
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
D
o
m
e
s
t
i
c

V
i
o
l
e
n
c
e
Rate of intimate partner violence Proportion of women (aged 15 and over) subjected to
physical or sexual violence by current or former partner
over the total number of women (aged 15 and over) who
have or had an intimate partner. Defnition varies by
country and region.
HS / WHO /
UNICEF
Rate of child abuse Proportion of children who have indicated via self-
reports that they have been victims of violence at home
or school in the last 12 months.
HS / UNICEF
ANNEX 43
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Source
O
t
h
e
r
Persons in unlawful detention
Proportion of arrests and
detentions declared unlawful by
national courts
Reported cases of arbitrary detentions, including post-
trial detentions (for example, those reported to the UN
Working Group on Arbitrary Detention) in the reporting
period.
Offce of the High
Commissioner for
Human Rights
(OHCHR)
Persons traffcked from and into a
country
Number of persons identifed by state authorities as
victims of traffcking in persons by age, gender,
citizenship, type of exploitation suffered and year.
Traffcking in persons shall mean the recruitment,
transportation, transfer, harbouring or receipt of
persons by means of: threat; use of force or other forms
of coercion; abduction; fraud; deception; the abuse of
power or of a position of vulnerability; or of the giving or
receiving of payments or benefts to achieve the consent
of a person having control over another person, for the
purpose of exploitation. Exploitation shall include, at a
minimum, the exploitation of the prostitution of others
or other forms of sexual exploitation, forced labour or
services, slavery or practices similar to slavery, servitude
or the removal of organs.
Rate of bullying No agreed/universal/international defnition. UNICEF
Military expenditure as a
proportion of total government
expenditure
All current and capital expenditures on the armed forces,
including peacekeeping forces, defense ministries and
other government agencies engaged in defence projects,
paramilitary forces (if these are judged to be trained and
equipped for military operations) and military space
activities. Such expenditures include military and civil
personnel, including retirement pensions of military
personnel and social services for personnel, operation
and maintenance, procurement, military research
and development, and military aid (in the military
expenditures of the donor country).
Stockholm
International Peace
Research Institute /
World Bank
Rate of population with an
elevated perception of fear of
violence in society
How satisfed are you with your personal safety?
(measured by survey questions)
What is the level of perceived criminality in society?
(scale: 04) (measured by survey questions)
Do you feel safe walking alone at night in the city or area
where you live? (World Gallup Poll / OECD)
HS / World Gallup
Poll / UNODC
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Table 7: Candidate Indicators on Gender Equality
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
P
h
y
s
i
c
a
l

A
u
t
o
n
o
m
y
R
e
p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
v
e

R
i
g
h
t
s
Unmet need for family
planning
Women with unmet need are those who are fecund and sexually
active, but are not using any method of contraception, and who
report not wanting any more children or wanting to delay the
next child. The concept of unmet need points to the gap between
womens reproductive intentions and their contraceptive behaviour.
HS
Percentage of unwanted
pregnancy
Contraceptive prevalence is the percentage of women married or
in a union (aged 1549) who are currently using, or whose sexual
partner is using, at least one method of contraception, regardless of
the method used.
HS / WHO
Contraceptive prevalence rate Percentage of women married or in a union (aged 1549) who
are currently using, or whose sexual partner is using, at least one
modern method of contraception.
V
i
o
l
e
n
c
e
Percentage of women who
have experienced physical
violence during the past year
Proportion of women (aged 15 and over) subjected to physical or
sexual violence during the past year.
UN
Percentage of women who are
currently or were formerly
engaged in a relationship,
who suffered from physical,
sexual or psychological
violence
Proportion of women (aged 15 and over) subjected to physical or
sexual violence by current or former partner over the total number
of women (aged 15 and over) who have or had an intimate partner.
Defnition varies by country and region.
HS / WHO /
UNICEF
Number of cases of violence
against women
Number of cases of violence against women reported in a health
clinic.
Admin
E
c
o
n
o
m
i
c

A
u
t
o
n
o
m
y
P
a
r
t
i
c
i
p
a
t
i
o
n
Gender earnings ratio Ratio of female to male earnings for the same job. Not adjusted for
individual characteristics or for hours worked.
World Bank
Percentage of women without
incomes of their own
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Poverty gap ratio of head
of household of the poorest
quintile (by gender)
Poverty gap is the mean shortfall of the total population from
the poverty line (counting the non-poor as having zero shortfall),
expressed as a percentage of the poverty line. This measure refects
the depth of poverty as well as its incidence.
Percentage of population
employed in low-productivity
sectors of the labour market
(by gender)
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y
Average daily hours spent on
household tasks, according
to length of workday (by
gender)
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Ratio of male to female
completion rates by all
levels of school, including
vocational training
Total number of new female entrants in the last grade of primary
education, regardless of age, expressed as percentage of the total
female population of the theoretical entrance age to the last grade of
primary. Currently only for primary; goal is to extend to all levels.
World Bank
Number of women-owned
businesses starting up
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Proportion of women-owned
sole proprietorships
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
ANNEX 45
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
D
e
c
i
s
i
o
n
-
m
a
k
i
n
g

A
u
t
o
n
o
m
y
P
r
i
v
a
t
e
Percentage of women who
control the household income
No agreed/universal/international defnition. HS
Percentage of women who
make decisions about the
household income
No agreed/universal/international defnition. HS
Housing title or land
ownership, disaggregated by
male and female, jointly held
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
P
u
b
l
i
c
Proportion of voters who
are women, by level of
government
Proportion of all voters who are women at national, subnational,
regional and local levels of government.
Admin
Number and size of womens
quota in the national
parliament
The percentage of parliamentary seats in a single or lower chamber
held by women.
Inter-
Parliamentary
Union /
World Bank
Proportion of candidates
standing for election who
are women, by level of
government
No agreed/universal/international defnition. Admin
Table 8: Candidate Indicators for Disaster Reduction and Resilience
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
P
r
o
c
e
s
s
V
u
l
n
e
r
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
Proportion of population at risk
due to rainfall
Percentage of the population below a particular food line (100,
10 year) or with rain-dependent livelihoods.
Proportion of people with secure
access to land tenure not located in
high-risk, hazard-prone zones
Based on the measures laid out in the Road Map Towards the
Implementation of the United Nations Millennium Declaration
(Secretary-General Report to GA A/56/326), but modifed to
capture the risk reduction element.
UNISDR /
MDG
Proportion of population with
sustainable access to a safe
water source not susceptible to
destruction or depletion by natural
hazards like foods, droughts,
seismic and cyclone risks
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y
Percentage of schools meeting
regional building standards for
hazard resistance
No agreed/universal/international defnition. UNISDR /
WMO
National disaster risk reduction
and resilience plans adopted
and referenced in national
development plans
No agreed/universal/international defnition. Admin
Percentage of communities with an
early warning system
Number of communities with early warning systems (risk
knowledge, monitoring and warning services, dissemination
and communication and response capabilities).
Hyogo
Framework,
3.2.3
Percentage of area complying with
enforcement of no development
or construction (by law) on lands
classifed as high risk
No agreed/universal/international defnition. UNISDR /
MDG
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Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
I
m
p
a
c
t
H
u
m
a
n
Crude mortality rate Disaster deaths per 1,000 inhabitants; number of persons
deceased, missing and presumed dead, as a direct result of a
disaster.
Prevalence of underweight
children does not increase during
occurrence of and in years
following a major hazard event
Based on the measures laid out in the Road Map Towards the
Implementation of the United Nations Millennium Declaration
(Secretary-General Report to GA A/56/326), but modifed to
capture the risk reduction element.
UNISDR /
MDG
Proportion of population below
minimum level of dietary
consumption does not increase
in years following major hazard
event
E
c
o
n
o
m
i
c
Direct economic losses as
percentage of GDP
The amount of economic and infrastructure losses incurred
as a result of the disaster (natural or anthropomorphic), in US
dollars.
UNISDR
Share of poorest quintile in
national consumption does
not decline in years of extreme
weather and hazards
Based on the measures laid out in the Road Map Towards the
Implementation of the United Nations Millennium Declaration
(Secretary-General Report to GA A/56/326), but modifed to
capture the risk reduction element.
UNISDR /
MDG
Table 9: The Importance of Infrastructure Goals
Infrastructure Goal MDGs Source
Improving paved road ratio by 50 percent in 2030 from
current level (19 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2006)
1, 2, 4, 5, 6 Infrastructure to 2030 (OECD, 2006)
Raising worldwide electrifcation rates from 74 percent in
2002 to 83 percent in 2030
1, 2, 4, 5, 6 World Bank Independent
Evaluation Group (IEG)
Wider application of e-services (such as certifcations,
e-learning, e-government, e-banking)
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 The Contribution of ICTs to
Achieving the MDGs (OECD, 2005)
Raising Internet penetration in developing world and Africa
from 21 percent and 11 percent, respectively, in 2010
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 ITU/UNESCO Broadband
Commission
*
Improving water management structure 1, 3, 7 Infrastructure and the MDGs
(OECD, 2004)
Wider range of online publication: database, fnancial and
policy statements, and educational materials
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 World Bank IEG
* ITU and UNESCO set up the Broadband Commission for Digital Development in response to the UN Secretary-Generals call to step up UN
efforts to meet the MDGs. The commission, established in May 2010, aims to boost the importance of broadband on the international policy agenda
and believes that expanding broadband access in every country is the key to accelerating progress towards these goals by 2015.
Table 10: Infrastructure Goals
Principles Core Dimension Implication on Infrastructure Goal
Human Rights Inclusive social
development
Universal access to modern energy service that is also adequate and affordable
to the most deprived groups.
Universal access to modern telecommunication networks to eliminate exclusion
from the new global digital society.
Inclusive economic
development
Universal access to credit information and market for fair trade, and better
management of price shocks and climate risks.
Equality Inclusive social
development
Universal connectivity in recognition of the growing risk of digital divide
among and within nations.
Inclusive economic
development
Affordable access to technology and knowledge for enhanced inter-businesses
and inter-governmental cooperation.
ANNEX 47
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Table 11: Candidate Indicators for Infrastructure
Electricity and Clean Water
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
P
r
o
v
i
d
e

R
e
l
i
a
b
l
e

E
l
e
c
t
r
i
c
i
t
y

a
n
d

C
l
e
a
n

W
a
t
e
r

a
t

A
f
f
o
r
d
a
b
l
e

P
r
i
c
e

t
o

A
l
l
P
r
o
p
o
r
t
i
o
n

o
f

P
o
p
u
l
a
t
i
o
n

w
i
t
h

A
c
c
e
s
s

t
o

A
f
f
o
r
d
a
b
l
e

E
l
e
c
t
r
i
c
i
t
y
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y

a
n
d

A
c
c
e
s
s
Electricity installed
capacity for all sources
Existing electric power production capacity from various sources,
including coal, petroleum, natural gas, nuclear, hydroelectric, wind,
solar, wood, geothermal, renewable and others.
International
Energy
Agency
Access to electricity
(percentage of
population)
Percentage of population with access to electricity. World Bank
Proportion of
households with
electricity
Electricity access at the household level comprising commercially
sold electricity, both on-grid and off-grid. It also includes self-
generated electricity for those countries where access to electricity
has been assessed through surveys by government or government
agencies.
Core ICT
Indicators
endorsed at
UNSC 2007
Time required to get
electricity
Number of days required to get electricity access. World Bank
statistics
A
c
t
u
a
l

U
s
a
g
e
Spending on energy
services
Average share of total household expenditure spent on energy
services
World Bank
East Asia
and Pacifc
Region (EAP)
Infrastructure
Flagship
Average household
spending on electricity
as percentage of income
This is the average residential electricity tariff multiplied by the
average household electricity consumption and then divided by the
average household income.
World Bank
Net national electricity
consumption
Electricity production + electricity import - electricity export = net
national consumption.
P
r
o
p
o
r
t
i
o
n

o
f

P
o
p
u
l
a
t
i
o
n

w
i
t
h

A
c
c
e
s
s

t
o

C
l
e
a
n

W
a
t
e
r
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y

a
n
d

A
c
c
e
s
s
Total annual freshwater
withdrawals (measured
in billion cubic metres)
Total water withdrawals (measured in billion cubic metres), not
counting evaporation losses from storage basins. Withdrawals also
include water from desalination plants in countries where they are a
signifcant source.
FAO
AQUASTAT
(FAO)
Renewable internal
freshwater resources
per capita (measured in
cubic metres)
Renewable internal freshwater resources fows refer to internal
renewable resources (internal river fows and groundwater from
rainfall) in the country. Renewable internal freshwater resources per
capita are calculated using the World Banks population estimates.
World Bank
Proportion of total water
resources used
Measured as a percentage of the total reserve. UN statistics,
MDG
THE CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL GOVERNANCE INNOVATION | KOREA DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE
48 WWW.CIGIONLINE.ORG | WWW.KDI.RE.KR
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
P
r
o
v
i
d
e

R
e
l
i
a
b
l
e

E
l
e
c
t
r
i
c
i
t
y

a
n
d

C
l
e
a
n

W
a
t
e
r

a
t

A
f
f
o
r
d
a
b
l
e

P
r
i
c
e

t
o

A
l
l
R
e
l
i
a
b
i
l
i
t
y

o
f

E
l
e
c
t
r
i
c
i
t
y

S
u
p
p
l
y
S
e
r
v
i
c
e

Q
u
a
l
i
t
y

a
g
a
i
n
s
t

U
n
i
t

C
o
s
t
Average residential
electricity tariff
National average residential electricity tariff. World Bank
EAP
Average industrial
electricity tariff
National average industrial electricity tariff.
Hours of power outages
from public grid
Number of hours of service interruptions in a year.
Average residential
water tariff
National average residential water tariff.
Average industrial water
tariff
National average industrial water tariff.
Hours of power outages
from public grid (water)
Number of hours of service interruptions in a year.
Delay in obtaining
electrical connection
Number of days delayed in obtaining the connection. World Bank
statistics
Power outages in frms Power outages reported by frms.
Transmission and
distribution losses
(percentage of output)
Both technical and non-technical losses, including electricity losses
due to operation of the system and the delivery of electricity, as well
as those caused by unmetered supply. This comprises all losses due
to transport and distribution of electrical energy and heat.
World Bank
EAP
S
a
f
e
t
y

a
n
d

F
u
t
u
r
e

P
l
a
n
Reported number of
electrical accidents
Number of accidents related to misused electricity reported in a year,
including fre, shock and generator failure.
Admin
National expenditure on
electricity generator
Plant (production capacity) building plans to meet future demands at
national level.
Total national
expenditure on
electricity supply system
Includes all types of government (national and local) expenditure
on electricity supply system for both expansion of new lines,
maintenance of the existing lines and research and development for
safer, more reliable system development.
Electricity operation
reserve
Electricity production margin to meet the temporal increase in
demand.
Investment in
energy with private
participation
Size of investment in energy with private participation (electricity +
water + sanitation).
World Bank
statistics
ANNEX 49
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
ICT
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
C
o
n
n
e
c
t

A
l
l

T
h
r
o
u
g
h

R
e
a
d
i
l
y

A
v
a
i
l
a
b
l
e

C
o
m
m
u
n
i
c
a
t
i
o
n

T
e
c
h
n
o
l
o
g
y
P
r
o
p
o
r
t
i
o
n

o
f

P
o
p
u
l
a
t
i
o
n

C
o
n
s
i
s
t
e
n
t
l
y

C
o
n
n
e
c
t
e
d

t
o

t
h
e

W
o
r
l
d
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y
Mobile base
station density by
subscribers
Number of base stations that generate frequency to provide
mobile cellular telecommunication service divided by the number
of mobile subscribers.
Total capacity
of local public
switching exchanges
Corresponds to the maximum number of fxed telephone lines that
can be connected. This number includes, therefore, fxed telephone
lines already connected and fxed lines available for future
connection, including those used for the technical operation of the
exchange (test no).
ITU statistics and
database
Domestic Internet
Bandwidth (in
megabits per second
[Mbit/s])
Total capacity of domestic Internet bandwidth (Mbit/s). If
capacity is asymmetric (that is, more download than upload), the
download capacity should be provided.
Percentage of
population covered
by mobile cellular
telephone network
This indicator measures the percentage of inhabitants that are
within range of a mobile cellular signal, irrespective of whether or
not they are subscribers.
Percent coverage
of mobile cellular
network (land area)
Proportion of total mobile cellular coverage of the land area,
calculated by dividing the land area covered by a mobile cellular
signal by the total land area.
Internet bandwidth
(in kilobits per
second [kb/s] per
capita)
It is measured as the sum of the capacity of all Internet exchanges
offering international bandwidth. The data was rescaled for the
sake of readability.
World
Telecommunication
/ ICT Development
Report
Percentage of the
population with
access to a public
Internet access
centre (PIAC)
Measures the number of inhabitants enjoying PIAC coverage as
a proportion of the countrys total population. When a locality
(village, town, city) has at least one PIAC, then the entire
population living in this locality is considered to be served by that
PIAC.
ITU
A
c
c
e
s
s
Daily newspaper
(per 1,000 people)
Daily newspapers refer to those published at least four times a
week and calculated as average circulation (or copies printed) per
1,000 people.
UNESCO Institute
for Statistics
Active fxed
telephone lines (per
100 people)
Fixed telephone lines that connect a subscribers terminal
equipment to the public switched telephone network, and that
have a port on telephone exchange. Integrated services, digital
network channels and fxed wireless subscribers are included.
ITU
Percentage of
localities with
telephone services
This indicator refects the percentage of localities that have
telephone services, fxed or mobile or both. To enhance usefulness,
the total number of localities should be provided as well as the
population of localities covered by telephone service
Mobile cellular
subscriptions
Mobile subscriptions to a public mobile telephone service using
cellular technology, which provides access to the public switched
telephone network. Post-paid and prepaid subscriptions are included.
Internet users Number of people (per 100 people) with access to the Web.
Proportion of
households with
Internet access
Access (not use of) the Internet at home by in-scope households. Core ICT Indicators
endorsed at UNSC
2007
Percentage of
localities with
PIACs
PIACs include telecentres, digital community centres, Internet
cafs, libraries, education centres and other similar establishments
that offer Internet access to the general public. All such centres
should have at least one public computer for Internet access.
Fixed broadband
Internet subscribers
(per 100 people)
Number of broadband subscribers with a digital subscriber line,
cable modem or other high-speed technology.
THE CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL GOVERNANCE INNOVATION | KOREA DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE
50 WWW.CIGIONLINE.ORG | WWW.KDI.RE.KR
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
A
c
t
u
a
l

U
s
a
g
e
Proportion of
individuals who
used Internet in the
last 12 months
Internet use in the previous 12 months from any location by in-
scope individuals.
Core ICT Indicators
endorsed at UNSC
2007
Domestic fxed-
to-fxed telephone
traffc
Domestic fxed telephone traffc consists of completed local and
long-distance fxed telephone voice traffc. The indicator should be
reported as the number of minutes of traffc, which should exclude
minutes used for dial-up Internet access.
ITU
Internet dial-up
traffc (in minutes)
The total volume in minutes of dial-up sessions over the public
switched telephone network to access the Internet.
Domestic mobile
telephone traffc (in
minutes)
Total number of minutes made by mobile subscribers within a
country (including minutes to fxed telephone and minutes to
mobile phone subscribers.
Mobile cellular
telephone prepaid
tariffs per month
Calculated in terms of percentage of monthly per capital income.
Voice over Internet
Protocol (VoIP)
subscriptions
Number of VoIP fxed-line subscriptions. Refers to fxed telephone
line VoIP subscriptions that have generated in- or outbound traffc
within the past three months.
Fixed broadband
Internet access
tariffs (per month)
Calculated in terms of percentage of income in US dollars.
Residential
monthly telephone
subscription plus
connection charge
Recurring fxed charge for a residential subscriber to the public
switched telephone network plus the one-time charge involved to
install the basic telephone service for residential purposes.
World Bank EAP
Infrastructure
Flagship
Price of three-
minute local call
Local call refers to the cost of a peak rate three-minute call within
the same exchange area.
ANNEX 51
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
S
e
r
v
i
c
e

Q
u
a
l
i
t
y

a
g
a
i
n
s
t

U
n
i
t

C
o
s
t
Percentage of fxed
telephone lines
connected to digital
exchange
Percentage obtained by dividing the number of active fxed
telephone lines connected to digital telephone exchanges by
the total number of fxed telephone lines. This indicator does
not measure the percentage of exchanges that are digital,
the percentage of inter-exchange lines that are digital or the
percentage of digital network termination points.
ITU
Analog cellular
monthly
subscription charge
Recurring charge for a cellular subscriber. The charge should cover
the rental of the line but not the rental of the terminal (telephone
set) where the terminal equipment market is liberalized.
World Bank EAP
Infrastructure
Flagship
Total number of
low- and medium-
speed access
Number of mobile cellular subscriptions with access to data
communication at downstream speeds below 256 kbit/s.
ITU
Price of analog
cellular three-
minute call
Cellular cost of three-minute local call during peak time. World Bank EAP
Infrastructure
Flagship
Average Internet
subscription tariff
Average tariff for residential Internet subscription (including
initial installation fee).
Secure Internet
servers (per one
million people)
Servers using encryption technology in Internet transactions. ITU statistics and
database
S
a
f
e
t
y

a
n
d

F
u
t
u
r
e

P
l
a
n
Total national
expenditure on
telecommunication
Includes all types of government (national and local) expenditure
on telecommunication systems, including expansion, maintenance
and research and development for more reliable system
development or cost reduction efforts.
ICT goods imports
(percentage of total
goods imports)
Includes: telecommunications, audio and video, computer and
related equipment; electronic components; and other ICT goods.
COMTRADE
database
Total ICT related
exports (percentage
of total exports)
ICT service plus goods exports.
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52 WWW.CIGIONLINE.ORG | WWW.KDI.RE.KR
Transportation
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
E
s
t
a
b
l
i
s
h

W
e
l
l
-
M
a
i
n
t
a
i
n
e
d

T
r
a
n
s
p
o
r
t

S
y
s
t
e
m

f
o
r

B
o
t
h

P
r
i
v
a
t
e

a
n
d

B
u
s
i
n
e
s
s

P
u
r
p
o
s
e
s
P
r
o
p
o
r
t
i
o
n

o
f

P
o
p
u
l
a
t
i
o
n

a
b
l
e

t
o

A
c
c
e
s
s

T
r
a
n
s
p
o
r
t

N
e
t
w
o
r
k
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y

a
n
d

A
c
c
e
s
s
Air transport, registered carrier
departures worldwide
Registered carrier departures worldwide are domestic
takeoffs and takeoffs abroad of air carriers registered in
the country.
International
Civil Aviation
Organization
(ICAO)
Airport density (per one million
people)
No agreed/universal/international defnition. International
Air Transport
Association
Road density (in km of road per 100
km
2
of land area)
Road density is the ratio of the length of the countrys
total road network to the countrys land area.
International
Road Federation
(IRF), World Road
Statistics
Total road network (in km) Total road network includes motorways, highways,
main or national roads, secondary or regional roads and
all other roads in a country.
Other rural roads Length of all remaining roads in a country that are not
motorways, highways, main or national, secondary or
regional, or urban roads.
World Bank EAP
Infrastructure
Flagship
Motorways, highways, main or
national roads
Motorways include roads specifcally designed and
built for motor traffc, which does not serve properties
bordering on it. Highways, main or national roads
include kilometre length of A-level roads.
Public transport network (bus and
subway)
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Number of rural people living within
2 km of an all-season road
With access means that the distance from a village or
household to an all-season road is no more than two km;
a walk of no more than 20 minutes or so is required to
reach an all-season road.
World Bank EAP
Infrastructure
Flagship
A
c
t
u
a
l

U
s
a
g
e
Air transport, freight (in million tons) Air freight is the volume of freight, express and
diplomatic bags carried on each fight stage (operation of
an aircraft from takeoff to its next landing), measured in
metric tons.
ICAO, Civil
Aviation Statistics
of World
Air transport passengers carried Air passengers carried include both domestic and
international aircraft passengers of air carriers registered.
Road sector diesel fuel consumption
per capita
Diesel is heavy oils used as a fuel for internal
combustion in diesel engines.
IRF, World Road
Statistics
Road sector energy consumption
(percentage of total energy
consumption)
Road sector energy consumption is the total energy used
in the road sector, including petroleum products, natural
gas, electricity, and renewable and waste combustibles.
Total energy consumption is the countrys total energy.
Goods transported by roads (in
million tonnes)
Goods transported by road are the volume of goods
transported by road vehicles, measured in millions of
metric tons times the kilometres travelled.
Passengers transported by roads Passengers carried by road are the number of passengers
transported by road times kilometres travelled.
Goods transported by railways (in
million tonnes)
Goods transported by railway are the volume of goods
transported by rail times the kilometres travelled.
World Bank,
Transportation,
Water, and ICT
Department,
Transport
Division
Passengers transported by railways Passengers carried by railway are the number of
passengers transported by rail times the kilometres
travelled.
Rail lines (total route in km) Rail lines are the length of railway route available for
train service, irrespective of the number of parallel
tracks.
ANNEX 53
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
E
s
t
a
b
l
i
s
h

W
e
l
l
-
M
a
i
n
t
a
i
n
e
d

T
r
a
n
s
p
o
r
t

S
y
s
t
e
m

f
o
r

B
o
t
h

P
r
i
v
a
t
e

a
n
d

B
u
s
i
n
e
s
s

P
u
r
p
o
s
e
s
P
r
o
p
o
r
t
i
o
n

o
f

P
o
p
u
l
a
t
i
o
n

A
b
l
e

t
o

A
c
c
e
s
s

T
r
a
n
s
p
o
r
t

N
e
t
w
o
r
k
A
c
t
u
a
l

U
s
a
g
e
Total daily traffc Total number of road motor vehicles that move on a
given network per day. When a road motor vehicle is
being carried on another vehicle, only the movement of
the carrying vehicle (active mode) is considered.
World Bank EAP
Infrastructure
Flagship
Daily traffc on motorways, highways,
main or national roads
Total average daily road motor vehicle traffc on these
roads.
Daily traffc on secondary or regional
roads
Total average daily road motor vehicle traffc on these
roads.
Railway passenger fare revenue No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Vehicles (per km of road) No agreed/universal/international defnition. World Bank
indicators
E
s
t
a
b
l
i
s
h

W
e
l
l
-
M
a
i
n
t
a
i
n
e
d

T
r
a
n
s
p
o
r
t

S
y
s
t
e
m

f
o
r

b
o
t
h

P
r
i
v
a
t
e

a
n
d

B
u
s
i
n
e
s
s

P
u
r
p
o
s
e
s
A
v
a
i
l
a
b
i
l
i
t
y

o
f

S
a
f
e

a
n
d

H
i
g
h

Q
u
a
l
i
t
y

T
r
a
n
s
p
o
r
t

S
y
s
t
e
m
S
e
r
v
i
c
e

Q
u
a
l
i
t
y
Quality of airport World Airport Survey is the leading airport passenger
satisfaction benchmark, covering over 370 airports in
2011.
SKYTRAX World
Airport Awards
Quality of port infrastructure Quality of port infrastructure measures business
executives perception of their countrys port facilities.
World Economic
Forum, Global
Competiveness
Report
Paved roads (percentage of total
roads)
Paved roads are those surfaced with crushed stone
(macadam) and hydrocarbon binder or bituminized
agents, with concrete, or with cobblestones, as a
percentage of all the countrys roads, measured in
length.
IRF, World Road
Statistics and
electronic fles
Main (national) road agency
administration cost
Amount of resources spent by the main road agency in
conjunction with its own operation and service per year.
World Bank EAP
Infrastructure
Flagship
S
a
f
e
t
y

a
n
d

F
u
t
u
r
e

P
l
a
n
Capital investment Total amount of investment in the road sector to
maintain suffcient capacity as well as increase capacity
per year.
Maintenance expenditure Total expenditure for keeping roads in working
order per year. This includes maintenance, patching
and running repairs (work relating to roughness of
carriageways wearing course and roadsides).
Annual road expenditure Total amount of expenditure on new construction and
extension of existing roads, including reconstruction,
renewal and major repairs of roads per year.
Number of fatalities from road
accidents
Number of people who were involved in any accident
with at least one motor road vehicle in motion on a
public road or private road to which the public has right
of access, resulting in at least one person killed as a result
of the accident and within 30 days of its occurrence.
Number of railway passenger fatalities No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Size of investment made on annual
base by the private sector
No agreed/universal/international defnition. World Bank
statistics
THE CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL GOVERNANCE INNOVATION | KOREA DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE
54 WWW.CIGIONLINE.ORG | WWW.KDI.RE.KR
Table 12: Candidate Indicators on Civil and Political Rights
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
P
a
r
t
i
c
i
p
a
t
i
o
n

i
n

t
h
e

P
o
l
i
t
i
c
a
l

P
r
o
c
e
s
s
Percentage of voter turnout in national
and local elections
Percentage of registered voters who actually voted. Institute for
Democracy
and Electoral
Assistance (IDEA)
Percentage of voting age population
registered to vote
Number of names on the voters register at the time
that the registration process closes (cut-off date), as
reported by the electoral management body, as a
percentage of the total eligible voters.
IDEA
Freedom of expression Number of journalists and other media persons who
reported sanctions, political or corporate pressure for
the publication of information.
Freedom of association Freedom of Assembly and Association Index Cingranelli-
Richards Human
Rights Data
Project (CIRI)
Do you have the freedom to join any political
organization? (survey question)
Afrobarometer
Number of journalists killed, imprisoned,
missing or in exile
No agreed/universal/international defnition. Committee to
Protect Journalists
Percentage of different minorities in
public, private and civil sector bodies
Percentage of different minorities as a proportion to
the total population.
Number of voluntary non-proft
organizations registered or with premises
in the city (per 10,000 population)
Includes non-governmental organizations, political,
sporting and social organizations.
ANNEX 55
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
A
c
c
o
u
n
t
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
H
u
m
a
n

R
i
g
h
t
s
Number of reported extrajudicial killings
and disappearances
Extrajudicial killings are killings by government
offcials without due process of law. They include
murders by private groups if instigated by
government. These killings may result from the
deliberate, illegal and excessive use of lethal force
by the police, security forces or other agents of the
state whether against criminal suspects, detainees,
prisoners or others. Disappearances are cases in
which people have disappeared, agents of the state
are likely responsible, political motivation may be
likely and the victims (the disappeared) have not
been found.
Amnesty
International /
CIRI
Number of reported cases of torture and
ill-treatment
Torture refers to the purposeful inficting of extreme
pain, whether mental or physical, by government
offcials or by private individuals at the instigation
of government offcials. This includes the use of
physical and other force by police and prison guards
that is cruel, inhuman or degrading, and deaths in
custody due to tangible negligence by government
offcials.
Amnesty
International /
CIRI
Number of reported cases of unfair trials Number of reported cases of miscarriage of
justice and proportion of victims who received
compensation in a reasonable time.
OHCHR
Number of reported cases of political
imprisonment
Political imprisonment refers to the incarceration
of people by government offcials because of: their
speech; their non-violent opposition to government
policies or leaders; their religious beliefs; their non-
violent religious practices including proselytizing; or
their membership in a group, including an ethnic or
racial group.
Amnesty
International /
CIRI
T
r
a
n
s
p
a
r
e
n
c
y
Percentage of people with access to
effective mechanisms for redressing
violations of their civil rights
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Percentage of people who reported
experiencing discrimination based on
race, gender, age, religion, disability
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Number of state organizations that
regularly place reports of their budgets
and expenditures on their websites
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
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Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
A
c
c
o
u
n
t
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
C
o
r
r
u
p
t
i
o
n
Percentage of people who have been
solicited for a bribe in the past 12 months
No agreed/universal/international defnition. Global
Corruption
Barometer
(Transparency
International)
Bribe Payers Index The Bribe Payers Index is a unique tool capturing
the supply side of international bribery, specifcally
focusing on bribes paid by the private sector. The
2011 Bribe Payers Index is the ffth edition of the
index, ranking 28 of the worlds largest economies,
according to the likelihood of frms from these
countries to bribe when doing business abroad.
Transparency
International
Public perception of corruption in public
administration
Several qualitative measurements of corruption in
areas such as magnitude of corruption in public
services, corruption-prone services and sectors,
formal practices of corruption in public services and
public attitudes to petty corruption.
Survey
(Mongolian MDG
9)
Perception of corruption in political
organizations, judicial and law
enforcement institutions
Quantitative measurement/score calculated as
an average of scores assigned by a pool of experts
(business and fnancial sector experts, civil society
experts) on the basis of their perception of corruption
in different areas of political life and government
functions, such as magnitude of corruption in
politics, most corruption-prone sectors, institutional
leaderships, organizations, forms and practices of
corruption, and socio-economic cost of corruption.
Survey
(Mongolian MDG
9)
Table 13: Candidate Indicators on Environmental Sustainability
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
C
l
i
m
a
t
e

C
h
a
n
g
e
Total carbon dioxide (CO
2)
emissions
Estimates of total CO
2
emissions include anthropogenic
emissions and removal by atmosphere of CO
2
. Emissions from all
national activities are considered. The typical sectors for which
CO
2
emissions/removals are estimated are energy, industrial
processes, agriculture, waste and the sector of land use, land-use
change and forestry.
Admin / UN
Framework
Convention on
Climate Change
(UNFCCC)
CO
2
emissions per capita Per capita are measured as the total amount of carbon dioxide
emitted by the country as a consequence of all relevant human
(production and consumption) activities, divided by the
population of the country.
Admin / UNFCCC
CO
2
emissions per GDP
(PPP)
Total CO
2
emissions divided by the total value of the GDP,
expressed in PPPs.
Admin / UNFCCC
Greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions
Total emissions of CO
2
(emissions from energy use and industrial
processes, such as cement production), CH
4
(methane emissions
from solid waste, livestock, mining of hard coal and lignite,
rice paddies, agriculture and leaks from natural gas pipelines),
nitrous oxide (N
2
O), hydrofuorocarbons, perfuorocarbons and
sulphur hexafuoride.
UNFCCC / OECD
/ Admin
Global surface
temperature
Annual surface air temperature anomaly relative to base period
19511980.
NASA Goddard
Institute for Space
Studies
ANNEX 57
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
B
i
o
d
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
y
Proportion of land area
covered by forests
Proportion of forest area to total land area and expressed as
a percentage. Forest is defned in the FAOs Global Forest
Resources Assessment as land spanning more than 0.5 hectares
with trees higher than fve metres and a canopy cover of more
than 10 percent, or trees able to reach these thresholds in situ.
Admin / FAO
Proportion of fsh stocks
within safe biological
limits
Percentage of fsh stocks of which abundance is at or above the
level that produces the maximum sustainable yield.
Admin / FAO
Proportion of species
threatened with extinction
Change in threat status of species in their natural habitat, based
on population and range size and trends, as quantifed by the
categories of the International Union for Conservation of Nature
(IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species.
Admin / IUCN
Trend in ecological
footprint and/or related
concepts
Aichi Target A.4 measures the demands that our use of ecological
assets places on the regenerative capacity of productive
ecosystems.
Global Footprint
Network
P
l
a
n
e
t
a
r
y

B
o
u
n
d
a
r
i
e
s
Ocean acidifcation pH and saturation state have both been suggested as viable
options. pH refects the changes in acidity and alkalinity that
are taking place in the ocean, while saturation state indicates
how available carbonate ions are and whether or not calcium
carbonate structures are likely to dissolve. In-depth discussions
need to address this issue so as to identify the most effective
indicator for ocean acidifcation.
Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate
Change
Ozone No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Nitrogen/phosphorus
cycles
No agreed/universal/international defnition.
Total actual renewable
water resources per
person
Total resources that are offered by the average annual infow and
runoff that feed each hydro system (catchment area or aquifer)
and available per person (indicates the reality of human
pressure on renewable but fnite resources).
FAO / AQUASTAT
Change in land use Percentage of land lost to deforestation or soil degradation.
E
n
e
r
g
y
Renewable energy share
in energy and electricity
Percentage of renewable energy in total primary energy supply,
total fnal consumption, and electricity generation and generating
capacity (excluding non-commercial energy).
Admin /
International Energy
Agency (IEA)
Non-carbon energy share
in energy and electricity
Percentage of non-carbon energy sources in total primary energy
supply and in electricity generation and generating capacity.
Admin / IEA
GHG emissions from
energy production and
use (per capita and per
unit of GDP)
Emissions of GHGs from energy production and use, per capita
and per unit of GDP, including CO
2
, CH
4
and N
2
O.
Admin / UNFCCC
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Table 14: Candidate Indicators for Global Governance
Target Indicator Defnition Data Source
E
c
o
n
o
m
i
c

R
u
l
e
s
T
a
r
i
f
f
s
Proportion of total developed
country imports (by value
and excluding arms) from
developing countries and least-
developed countries, admitted
duty free
Ratio of the value (current US dollar) of those developed
countries duty free imports from least-developed and developing
countries, compared with the total value of imports from these
respective country groups.
WTO / UN
Conference
on Trade and
Development
(UNCTAD)
Average tariffs imposed by
developing countries on
agricultural products and
textiles, and clothing from
developing countries
Average tariffs imposed by developed countries on subsets of
selected items (agricultural products, textile and clothing exports)
that are deemed to be of interest to developing countries. Average
tariffs are the simple average of all applied ad valorem tariffs
(tariffs based on the value of the import) applicable to the bilateral
imports of developed countries. Agricultural products comprise
plant and animal products, including tree crops but excluding
timber and fsh products. Clothing and textiles include natural
and synthetic fbres, and fabrics and articles of clothing made from
them.
WTO /
UNCTAD
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y
Agricultural support estimate
for OECD countries as a
percentage of their GDP
Agricultural support is the annual monetary value of all gross
transfers from taxpayers and consumers, both domestic and
foreign (in the form of subsidies arising from policy measures
that support agriculture), net of the associated budgetary receipts,
regardless of their objectives and impacts on farm production and
income, or consumption of farm products.
OECD DAC
Proportion of ODA provided to
help build trade capacity
This proportion is obtained by diving the ODA to help build trade
capacity by the total sector allocable ODA to achieve a percentage.
Activities to help build trade capacity enhance the ability of
the recipient country: To formulate and implement a trade
development strategy and create an enabling environment
for increasing the volume and value-added tax of exports,
diversifying export products and markets, and increasing foreign
investment to generate jobs and trade. To stimulate trade by
domestic frms and encourage investment in trade-oriented
industries. To participate in the beneft from the institutions,
negotiations and processes that shape national trade policy and
the rules and practices of international commerce. Those activities
are further classifed by the First Joint WTO/OECD Report
on Trade-Related Technical Assistance and Capacity-Building
(2002) under two main categories: trade policy and regulations
(divided into 19 subcategories) and trade development (divided
into six subcategories). Donors differ in defning what constitutes
a single activity. Some donors split individual activities into
components in order to obtain detailed data on aid allocated to
each subcategory. Others classify the whole activity under the
most relevant subcategory.
WTO/
OECD Trade
Capacity
Building
Database
Number of claims fled for/
against individual countries in
the Dispute Settlement Body
No agreed/universal/international defnition. WTO
WORKS CITED 59
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
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TOWARD A POST-2015
DEVELOPMENT PARADIGM
PROJECT
Barry Carin, Mukesh Kapila and Wonhyuk Lim, Project Leaders
Toward a Post-2015 Development Paradigm is now in its
second phase, following a successful initial stage of work
in 2011. The project aims to conduct critical examinations
of policy options for a future set of development goals.
The frst phase, spearheaded by CIGI and the IFRC,
convened expert groups to shape international policy
approaches to succeed the MDGs in 2015. The fnal
product of the frst phase was a proposed set of future
development goals to provoke debate on the post-2015
agenda.
With additional partners, including KDI, the project will
build on the past work by CIGI and IFRC, reviewing the
potential goals, determining their associated quantifable
targets and indicators, and gauging their acceptability in
different regions around the world.
BACKGROUND
In 2011, CIGI and IFRC assembled a group of development
and governance experts to explore a range of research
questions and create a set of recommendations for
international action. These experts considered issues of
development and sustainability, in the spirit that efforts
should be measurable and enduring. This work resulted
in the frst set of potential successor goals to the MDGs.
Described as the most interesting specifc proposals,
they have been cited by a number of national governments
and international development organizations.
ACTIVITIES
In 2012, the objective is not to provide the answer to post-
2015 MDGs, but to flter through some of the challenging
questions and issues involved in designing a new set of
global development goals leading to the best policy choices.
An initial baseline report on the current state of
indicators and measurement for development was
produced and served as a background report for a
gathering of experts at the OECD in Paris on April 10-
11, 2012. Regional consultations hosted by Brazilian,
Chinese, Indian and South African partners will follow
this initial meeting, in order to sharpen a draft options
paper. The fnal publication of the collaboration will be
presented to UN offcials in the fall of 2012.
RELATED PUBLICATIONS
POST-2015 GOALS,
TARGETS AND
INDICATORS
APRIL10-11, 2012
PARIS, FRANCE
CONFERENCE
REPORT
POST-2015 GOALS, TARGETS AND
INDICATORS
CONFERENCE REPORT,
APRIL 10-11, PARIS, FRANCE
Barry Carin and Nicole Bates-Eamer
PDF available at: www.cigionline.org/publications/2012/5/post-
2015-goals-targets-and-indicators.
TOWARD A POST-2015
DEVELOPMENT
PARADIGM(II)
JUNE 2024, 2011
BELLAGIO, ITALY
CONFERENCE
REPORT
TOWARD A POST-2015
DEVELOPMENT PARADIGM (II)
CONFERENCE REPORT,
JUNE 20-24, 2011, BELLAGIO,
ITALY
Barry Carin and Mukesh Kapila
PDF available at: www.cigionline.org/publications/2011/8/
toward-post-2015-development-paradigm.

1









Post-2015 Goals, Targets, and Indicators
Background Paper
Paris, April 9-11, 2012


Barry Carin and Nicole Bates-Eamer









The opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of The
Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI) or its Operating Board of Directors or International Board of
Governors.


Copyright 2012 by The Centre for International Governance Innovation and the Korea Development Institute. This
work was carried out with the support of The Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), Waterloo,
Ontario, Canada (www.cigionline.org). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non-
commercial No Derivatives License. To viewthis license, visit (www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-
nd/3.0/). For re-use or distribution, please include this copyright notice.

CIGI would like to thank the Government of Ontario for their support of this project.



POST-2015 GOALS, TARGETS AND
INDICATORS DRAFT BACKGROUND
PAPER
Barry Carin and Nicole Bates-Eamer
PDF available at: www.cigionline.org/project/toward-post-2015-
development-paradigm.
1
Conference Report: Post-2015 Goals, Targets and Indicators
Annex 1: Selected Current Initiatives Examining Post-2015 Goals
Beyond 2015
Beyond 2015 is a global campaign aiming to influence the creation of a post-2015 development
framework. The campaign website is extremely useful for resources and updates on current post-2015
developments. A founding principle of the campaign is that it is a partnership between civil society
organizations from the North and the South bringing together groups from developing, emerging
and developed economies. An executive committee, currently made up of the following organizations,
leads the international work of the campaign: Bond, CAFOD, Christian Aid, CIDSE, Retrak, Sightsavers,
Trocaire, VOICE, WAGGGS and WWF.
Rio +20 and Sustainable Development Goals
One debate leading up to Rio is focusing on Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). A recent piece by
Alex Evans and David Stevens of the CIC at NYU1 summarizes the idea of a successor set to the MDGs.
First tabled by Colombia last year, the concept was recently supported by the UN Secretary-Generals
(SG) High-Level Panel on Global Sustainability and then endorsed by the SG in his five-year Action
Agenda. The Colombians proposed the SDGs as clusters including atmosphere, climate resilience, land
degradation, sustainable agriculture, biotechnology and waste. China, India, the United States and the
World Bank do not support the idea. Indiaindicated that it is actively opposed to quantitative SDGs.
The worry is that focus on sustainability gaps would dilute the focus on poverty.
United Nations
Beyond 2015: A Future UN Development Agenda Regional Consultations
A proposed report to be published in 2013 by the five UN regional commissions, Beyond 2015: A Future
UN Development Agenda, is expected to provide the main elements for a global development agenda
froma regional perspective.
The Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) hosted its regional meeting in November 2011, projecting
Africas perspective on the post-2015 agenda. The findings and outcomes of this consultative process
will then feed into the publication on the future UN Agenda. The ECA has an online post-2015 MDG
survey on their website for generating such perspective.
UN Task Teamon post-MDGs
The Secretary-General appointed a task team, led by Jomo Sundaram (DESA) and Olav Kjorven (UNDP),
as conveners of ECESA and UNDG, respectively, to coordinate system-wide preparations and to propose
a unified vision and road map for the definition of a UN development agenda post-2015, in consultation

1 See: Sustainable Development Goals A Useful Outcome from Rio+20, available at:
www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/uploads/SDGs-briefing1.pdf.
POST-2015 GOALS, TARGETS AND
INDICATORS ANNEXES
Barry Carin and Nicole Bates-Eamer
PDF available at: www.cigionline.org/project/toward-post-2015-
development-paradigm.
ABOUT CIGI 63
POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GOALS, TARGETS AND INDICATORS
ABOUT CIGI
The Centre for International Governance Innovation is an independent, non-partisan think tank on international
governance. Led by experienced practitioners and distinguished academics, CIGI supports research, forms networks,
advances policy debate and generates ideas for multilateral governance improvements. Conducting an active agenda
of research, events and publications, CIGIs interdisciplinary work includes collaboration with policy, business and
academic communities around the world.
CIGIs current research programs focus on four themes: the global economy; global security; the environment and
energy; and global development.
CIGI was founded in 2001 by Jim Balsillie, then co-CEO of RIM (Research In Motion), and collaborates with and
gratefully acknowledges support from a number of strategic partners, in particular the Government of Canada and
the Government of Ontario.
Le CIGI a t fond en 2001 par Jim Balsillie, qui tait alors co-chef de la direction de RIM (Research In Motion).
Il collabore avec de nombreux partenaires stratgiques et exprime sa reconnaissance du soutien reu de ceux-ci,
notamment de lappui reu du gouvernement du Canada et de celui du gouvernement de lOntario.
For more information, please visit www.cigionline.org.
CIGI MASTHEAD
Managing Editor, Publications Carol Bonnett
Publications Editor Jennifer Goyder
Publications Editor Sonya Zikic
Assistant Publications Editor Vivian Moser
Media Designer Steve Cross
COMMUNICATIONS
Communications Specialist Kevin Dias
[email protected]
1 519 885 2444 x 7238
Public Affairs Coordinator Kelly Lorimer
[email protected]
1 519 885 2444 x 7265
EXECUTIVE
President Rohinton Medhora
Vice President of Programs David Dewitt
Vice President of Public Affairs Fred Kuntz
RECENT CIGI PUBLICATIONS
UNLEASHING
THE NUCLEAR
WATCHDOG
STRENGTHENINGAND
REFORMOFTHEIAEA
TREVOR FINDLAY
PRAISE FOR TREVOR FINDLAYS UNLEASHING THE NUCLEAR WATCHDOG:
STRENGTHENING AND REFORMOF THE IAEA
It is an exceptionally good piece of work that covers the key issues comprehensively and captures the key nuances that shape the
Agency and its work. I am vastly impressed by the authors command of the institution and the subject matter.
Mark Gwozdecky, Canadian ambassador to Jordan and former IAEA spokesperson
Unleashing the Nuclear Watchdog is insightful, comprehensive and accessible. It will be useful to people who are in a position to
make changes, and useful to analysts who want to understand both how the IAEA works and how it doesnt work.
Martin B. Malin, Executive Director, Project on Managing the Atom, Belfer Center for Science and
International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University
This is a very strong piece of work, with a very good descriptive review of the Agencys activities, a vigorous discussion and numerous
interesting recommendations.
James Keeley, Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Calgary
UNLEASHING THE NUCLEAR W
ATCHDOG: STRENGTHENING AND REFORM
OF THE IAEA
TREVOR FINDLAY
UNLEASHING THE NUCLEAR WATCHDOG:
STRENGTHENING AND REFORM
OF THE IAEA
Trevor Findlay
Since its establishment in 1957, the IAEA has evolved deftly, and today,
fulfills irreplaceable functions in the areas of nuclear safeguards, safety
and the promotion of peaceful uses of nuclear energy. Based on more
than two years of research, this paper concludes that while the IAEA
does not need dramatic overhaul, it does need strengthening and reform.
CIGI PAPERS
NO. 7 AUGUST 2012
FROMBRETTON
WOODS TOTHE EURO:
HOWPOLICY-MAKER
OVERREACHFOSTERS
ECONOMIC CRISES
PIERRE SIKLOS
FROM BRETTON WOODS TO THE EURO:
HOW POLICY-MAKER OVERREACH
FOSTERS ECONOMIC CRISES
Pierre Siklos
This paper considers the relevance of the Bretton Woods system for
the prospects of reform of the international monetary system and
in the context of the ongoing euro area financial crisis, exploring
the challenges that must be met in attempting to reform the current
international monetary system and euro area policies.
CIGI PAPERS
NO. 5 JULY2012
HOWGLOBAL
WATCHDOGS
MISSEDA WORLD
OF TROUBLE
PAUL BLUSTEIN
HOW GLOBAL WATCHDOGS MISSED A
WORLD OF TROUBLE
Paul Blustein
Based on interviews with scores of policy makers who worked on the
Financial Stability Forum (FSF) and thousands of pages of previously
undisclosed documents, this paper examines the FSF and brings to
light the failure of regulators to keep pace with the globalization of the
financial system.
CIGI PAPERS
NO. 3 MAY2012
INTELLECTUAL
PROPERTY RIGHTS AND
INTERNATIONAL TRADE:
ANOVERVIEW
John M. Curtis
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
RIGHTS AND INTERNATIONAL
TRADE: AN OVERVIEW
John M. Curtis
This paper examines extraordinary changes in intellectual property law
and policy over the last 20 years, many as the result of their intersection
with international trade and numerous international trade agreements
brought into force during this period.
CIGI PAPERS
NO.2 APRIL 2012
UNPEACEKEEPING:
20 YEARS OF REFORM
Louise Frchette
with the assistance of Amanda Kristensen
UN PEACEKEEPING:
20 YEARS OF REFORM
Louise Frchette
with the assistance of Amanda Kristensen
The end of the Cold War opened a new chapter in UN peacekeeping.
This paper reviews key reforms implemented by the UN, concluding
that real progress has been achieved. Serious weaknesses remain,
however, and the UN must make every effort to continue to improve its
performance.
CIGI PAPERS
NO. 6 AUGUST 2012
SOVEREIGNDEBTORS
INDISTRESS:
ARE OURINSTITUTIONS
UPTOTHECHALLENGE?
SUSANSCHADLER
SOVEREIGN DEBTORS IN DISTRESS:
ARE OUR INSTITUTIONS
UP TO THE CHALLENGE?
Susan Schadler
A CIGI and INET conference brought together global experts on
sovereign debt crises. This paper expands on the ideas put forward
during the discussion, highlighting relevant recent history and research,
and proposes an action plan.
CIGI PAPERS
NO. 4 JUNE 2012
A FLOP ANDA DEBACLE:
INSIDE THE IMFS GLOBAL
REBALANCINGACTS
PAUL BLUSTEIN
A FLOP AND A DEBACLE: INSIDE THE
IMFS GLOBAL REBALANCING ACTS
Paul Blustein
The need for economic cooperation among major powers is greater than
ever, and a well-coordinated plan aimed at shrinking imbalances is seen
as highly desirable. This paper is a detailed account of the initiatives,
led by the IMF, to address imbalances prior to the 2008 global financial
crisis.
CIGI PAPERS
NO. 8 OCTOBER2012
ZERO: THE
SURPRISINGAND
UNAMBIGUOUS
POLICY RELEVANCE
OF THE CUBAN
MISSILE CRISIS
JAMESG. BLIGHT ANDjANET M. LANG
ZERO: THE SURPRISING AND
UNAMBIGUOUS POLICY RELEVANCE OF
THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS
James G. Blight and janet M. Lang
Drawing on a quarter century of research on the Cuban missile
crisis, this paper argues that given what is now known about what
actually happened in Cuba by October 1962, the escape from nuclear
catastrophe seems even more miraculous and the drive to rid the world
of nuclear weapons is even greater, with zero being the right number of
nuclear weapons the world should possess.
All CIGI publications are available free online at www.cigionline.org.