NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Potential
Today and Tuesday
11:00 a.m. July 7th , 2014
Warning Coordination Meteorologist: David Nicosia
FOR CENTRAL NY
This area includes but is
not limited to cities such
as Syracuse, Utica,
Ithaca, Elmira,
Binghamton, and
Oneonta.
FOR NORTHEAST PA
This area includes but
is not limited to cities
such as Towanda,
Montrose, Scranton,
and Wilkes-Barre.
This Briefing applies to
the NWS Binghamton
Service Area only:
Summary
Thunderstorms with damaging winds
and locally heavy rainfall possible
from mid afternoon into this evening.
Isolated tornado possible.
Our area could see a more
significant severe weather
outbreak Tuesday.
Severe Thunderstorm Risk
This Afternoon/Evening
**THIS STORM PREDICTION
CENTER OUTLOOK
AS OF 9:00 AM ON 7/7/14.**
Specific Threat Probabilities:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK
DAMAGING WINDS LARGE HAIL TORNADOES
30%
15%
5%
15%
15%
5%
Highest Chance(yellow)
15%
5%
2%
Timing
Showers and a few thunderstorms
will move across central NY and
weaken late this morning/early
afternoon.
Another round of stronger and
potentially severe thunderstorms
is expected to develop by mid to
late afternoon and last into the
evening.
Radar as of 1030 am
Showers and isolated thunderstorms
will weaken as they cross NY state late
morning/early afternoon.
Timing of Onset of Strong to
Severe Thunderstorms
Syracuse
Boonville
Binghamton
Ithaca
Towanda
Scranton
Wilkes-Barre
Penn Yan
Bath
Utica
Oneonta
Cooperstown
Elmira
Cortland
Geneva
Monticello
Montrose
NY
PA
Delhi
NY
PA
2 PM TO 5 PM
5 PM TO 7 PM
Flash Flood Potential
Locally heavy rain could cause
urban and poor drainage flooding
with any thunderstorm today and
this evening.
There is a chance for an isolated
more serious flash flood.
Rainfall Needed to begin
Flash Flooding.
1 hour Threshold
3 hour Threshold
Severe Thunderstorm Risk
Tuesday
**THIS STORM PREDICTION CENTER OUTLOOK
AS OF 9:00 AM ON 7/7/14.**
30%
15%
5%
5%
5%
Timing
A strong cold front will cross the
Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Tuesday
and move across NY and PA Tuesday
night.
This front has the potential to
organize a significant severe
weather outbreak Tuesday into
Tuesday night.
Locally heavy rainfall will also be
possible.
Monitor Conditions!
Continuous updates: http://weather.gov/bgm
Storm Prediction Center: http://www.spc.noaa.gov
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Twitter: @NWSBinghamton
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