Leading pharma
producer
Indian pharmaceutical sector accounts for about 1.4 per cent of the global pharmaceutical
industry in value terms and 10 per cent in volume terms
Among fastest growing
industries
The countrys pharmaceutical industry is expected to expand at a CAGR of 14.5 per cent
over 200920 to reach USD55 billion
Rapidly growing
healthcare sector
Indian healthcare sector, one of the fastest growing sectors, is expected to advance at a
CAGR of 17 per cent to reach USD280 billion over 201120
Growing generics
market
The generics market is expected to grow to USD26.1 billion by 2016 from USD11.3 billion
in 2011; Indias generics market has immense potential for growth
Ranked 5th in terms of
attracting FDI
Attracted 5 per cent of the total FDIs into India from April 2000 to February 14
Cumulative FDI inflows worth USD11.6 billion from April 2000 to February 14
Source: India Biz, PWC, Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion, Deloitte, PharmaBiz,
Frost and Sullivan report on Indian Pharmaceutical Market, McKinsey, Aranca Research
Notes: API - Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient, USFDA - United States Food and Drug Administration, CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
Cost efficiency
Growing demand
2013
Market
size:
USD12.3
billion
Economic drivers
Low cost of production and R&D
Economic prosperity to improve
boosts efficiency of Indian pharma
drug affordability
companies
Increasing penetration of health
Indias cost of production is
insurance
approximately 60 per cent lower
than that of the US and almost half
of that of Europe
Due to lower cost of treatment,
India is emerging as a leading
destination for medical
Advantage
tourism
2020F
Market
size:
USD55
billion
India
Policy support
Diversified portfolio
Accounts for over 10 per cent of
global pharmaceutical production
Over 60,000 generic brands
across 60 therapeutic categories
Manufactures more than 500
different APIs
Government unveiled Pharma
Vision 2020 aimed at making India
a global leader in end-to-end drug
manufacture
Reduced approval time for new
facilities to boost investments
In this sector, 100 per cent FDI is
allowed under automatic route
Source: PwC, McKinsey, Pharmaceuticals Exports Promotion Council of India, Aranca Research
Notes: 2020 revenue forecasts are estimates of McKinsey, API - Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients, F - Forecast
2010 and beyond
19902010
197090
Before 1970
Market
dominated by
foreign
companies, with
little domestic
participation
Indian Patent Act
passed in 1970
Several domestic
companies start
operations
Development of
production
infrastructure
Export initiatives
taken
Liberalised market
Indian companies
increasingly launch
operations in foreign
countries
India a major
destination for generic
drug manufacture
Approval of Patents
(Amendment) Act
2005, which led to
adoption of product
patents in India
Increased patent
filings by pharma
players
Likely adoption of
newer sales models
such as channel
management, KAM
and CSO
Leading pharma
companies have
increased their R&D
spending on new
cost-effective generic
products to
strengthen their
presence across
global markets
Source: Aranca Research
Notes: KAM - Key Account Management, CSO - Contract Sales Organisation
Active Pharmaceutical
Ingredients
(APIs)
Contract Research and
Manufacturing Services
(CRAMS)
Pharmaceutical
industry
Formulations
Biosimilars
India is expected to be the third largest global generic API
merchant market by 2016, with a 7.2 per cent market share
In 2012, drug companies from India filed 49 per cent of the overall
Drug Master Filings (DMFs) in the US
Fragmented market with more than 1,000 players
CRAMS industry is estimated to have reached USD8.0 billion in
2015, up from USD4.04.5 billion in 2012
Largest exporter of formulations in terms of volume, with 14 per
cent market share and 12th in terms of export value
Domestic market size currently valued at USD11.2 billion
Double-digit growth expected over the next five years
Biosimilars sector is expected to touch USD1.4 billion by 2016
from USD482 million in 2011
The government plans to allocate USD70 million for local players
to develop biosimilars
Source: BMI, Datamonitor, Kemwell Biopharma, Chemical Pharmaceutical Generic Association,
ICRA Report Estimates, Aranca Research, pharmanewsprwire.com
Note: OTC - Over The Counter
With 5.7 per cent of market share, India ranks fourth in
terms of total market share in Asia-Pacific
Market share by value in Asia-Pacific (2011)
In terms of Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward ratings for 4Q13,
India stood 9th in Asia-Pacific
13.5%
Japan
5.7%
China
6.4%
48.8%
South Korea
India
25.5%
Rest of Asia-Pacific
Source: Business Monitor International, Market Line, Aranca Research
The Indian pharmaceuticals market increased at a CAGR of
9.4 per cent in 2013 from USD6 billion in 2005, and is
expected to expand at a CAGR of 23.9 per cent to USD55
billion by 2020
Revenue of Indian pharmaceutical sector
(USD billion)
55
By 2020, India is likely to be among the top three
pharmaceutical markets by incremental growth and sixth
largest market globally in absolute size
12
6
2005
2013
2020F
Source: PwC, McKinsey, Aranca Research
Notes: F - Forecast, CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
With 72 per cent of market share (in terms of revenues),
generic drugs form the largest segment of the Indian
pharmaceutical sector. In 2011, sales of generic drugs
stood at USD11.3 billion
Over the Counter (OTC) medicines and patented drugs
constitute 19 per cent and 9 per cent, respectively, of total
market revenues
Revenue share of Indian pharmaceutical
sub-segments in 2011 (%)
Patented
drugs
9%
OTC
medicines
19%
Generic
drugs
72%
Source: Business Monitor International, Aranca Research
Anti-infective drugs command the largest share (16 per
cent) in the Indian pharma market
Indian pharmaceutical market segments by value
(Feb 2014)
The cardiovascular segment represents 13 per cent of the
market share; its contribution is likely to rise due to the
growing number of cardiac cases in India
Anti- infectives
Cardiovascular
(CVS)
Gastro-intestinal
16%
29%
Top five segments contribute nearly 57 per cent to the total
drugs consumption
13%
Vitamins, minerals
Respiratory
Pain/analgesic
7%
11%
Anti diabetic
7%
9%
8%
Others
Source: All Indian Origin Chemists & Distributors,
Department of Pharmaceuticals, Planning Commission Report,
Aranca Research
Trade data of Indian pharma sector (USD billion)
Indian pharma companies are capitalising on export
opportunities in regulated and semi-regulated markets
10
The Ministry of Commerce targets to export USD25 billion
worth of pharmaceuticals in 2016. Indian drugs are exported
to more than 200 countries in the world, with the US as the
key market
9
7
5
India is the worlds largest provider of generic medicines;
the countrys generic drugs account for 20 per cent of global
generic drug exports (in terms of volumes)
In terms of value, exports of pharmaceutical products
increased at a CAGR of 26.1** per cent to USD10.1 billion
during FY0613
During the same period, imports of pharmaceutical products
rose at a CAGR of 25.4** per cent to USD1.8 billion
2
0.4
0.6
0.7
FY06
FY07
FY08
0.9
FY09
Exports
1.1
FY10
1.2
1.7
FY11
FY12
1.8
1.2
FY13 FY14*
Imports
Source: Department of Commerce India, Planning Commission
Report, India Business News, BMI, Aranca Research
Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate;
** - CAGR is mentioned in INR terms
* - From April 2013 to Dec 2013
Market share, revenue and growth rates of
leading companies (%)
Cipla has the largest share (5.0 per cent) in the Indian
pharma market, with MAT sales of USD649.6 million during
March 2013
Cipla
Sun Pharma posted the highest growth in revenue (20 per
cent) among major players during the same period
25%
472.1
Ranbaxy ranks fourth in the market, with a revenue base of
USD542.2 million for March 2013 MAT sales
Revenue growth
20%
GlaxoSmithKline, with a revenue base of USD596.2 million
for March 2013 MAT sales, ranks third in the market
Sun Pharma
641.1
524.4
Glaxo
15%
Ranbaxy
398.1
596.2
Zydus Cadila
10%
498.2
542.2
Abbott HC
649.6
5%
While these top four companies garnered 20 per cent
market share, top 10 companies comprise nearly 39 per
cent of the market share
Mankind
0%
2.5%
Lupin
3.5%
4.5%
Market share
5.5%
Note: The bubbles denote MAT March 2013 sales in USD million
Source: All Indian Origin Chemists & Distributors,
Equity Master, BMI, Aranca Research
Notes: Market share is in terms of revenue,
MAT - Moving Annual Total
R&D spending by top six pharma giant
(USD million)
By 2020, the Indian healthcare sector is expected to reach
USD280 billion from USD70 billion currently
This would help drive R&D growth in India; the average
R&D expenditure by Indian pharma companies is close to 6
per cent of total revenues
In FY13, total R&D spending by top six pharma companies
was USD560.9 million
141
142
102
87
82
83
69
78
63
47
29
9
Lupin
Dr. Reddy's Ranbaxy
Labs
FY10
Cipla
Wockhurdt
Piramal
Healthcare
FY13
Source: Deloitte, PWC, Aranca Research
Note: R&D - Research and Development
Research and
development
Indian pharma companies spend 6 per cent of their total turnover on R&D
Expenditure on R&D is likely to increase due to the introduction of product patents;
companies need to develop new drugs to boost sales
Indias pharmaceutical export market is thriving due to strong presence in the generics
space
Pharmaceuticals Exports Promotion Council expects pharma exports to reach USD25
billion in 2016
Export revenue
Joint Ventures
Multinational companies are collaborating with Indian pharma firms to develop new drugs
Pfizer partnered with Aurobindo Pharma to develop generic medicines
Six leading pharmaceutical companies have formed an alliance LAZOR to share their
best practices, so as to improve efficiency and reduce operating costs
Expansion by Indian
players abroad
Cipla, the largest supplier of anti-malarial drugs to Africa, set up a USD32-billion plant in
Africa for the production of anti-retroviral and anti-malarial drugs
Ranbaxy, the fifth-largest pharmaceutical company in South Africa, installed a USD30
million manufacturing facility in Johannesburg in 2010
Source: Aranca Research
Note: R&D - Research and Development
PPP in R&D
Indian Government plans to involve the private sector in R&D mainly for sectors such as
vaccines, drugs and pharmaceuticals, super computing, solar energy and electronic
hardware
The government has invested USD1.1 billion in the Public-Private Partnership fund to
support R&D in India
Patents Act
Amendments to the Patents Act, 1970, to make it TRIPS compliant
Increased incentives to domestic firms to conduct R&D
Increased likelihood of technology transfer from developed nations
Product patents
The introduction of product patents in India in 2005 gave a boost to the discovery of new
drugs
India reiterated its commitment to IP protection following the introduction of product
patents
Source: Aranca Research
Note: R&D - Research and Development
Ranbaxys API manufacturing
facility at Toansa, Punjab
Wockhardt's facility covers an
area of 40,468 sq meters in
Baddi, Himachal Pradesh
Baddi is also home to Ciplas
formulations manufacturing facility
Dholka in Gujarat houses a major
manufacturing facility of Cadila,
which spans over 100 acres
Lupin has an USFDA-approved
plant at Tarapur, Maharashtra.
The facility forms the core of
Lupin's fermentation capabilities
Mandideep in Madhya Pradesh is
the manufacturing hub for Lupins
cephalosporin and ACE-Inhibitors
Cipla has a formulations
manufacturing plant at Indore
Piramals USFDA-approved
manufacturing plant in Hyderabad
GlaxoSmithKline has a major
facility at Rajahmundry, Andhra
Pradesh
Source: Company websites
Competitive Rivalry
Growth opportunities for pharma companies are expected to grow in
next few years, with many drugs going off-patent in the US and other
countries, thus increasing competition
Threat of New Entrants
Strict government regulations
thwart entry of new players
Difficult to survive because of
high gestation period
Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Difficult-to-manufacture APIs
such
as
steroids,
sex
hormones and peptides give
bargaining power to suppliers.
However, generic APIs do not
have much of that power
Threat of New
Entrants
(Low)
Substitute Products
Threat to substitute products is
low; however, homeopathy and
Ayurvedic medicines can act as
substitute
Bargaining
Power of
Customers
(High)
Competitive
Rivalry
(High)
Threat of
Substitute
Products
(Low)
Bargaining Power of Customers
Generic drugs offer a costeffective alternative to drugs
innovators
and
significant
savings to customers
Bargaining
Power of
Suppliers
(Medium)
Source: Aranca Research
Cost leadership
Players in the sector are trying to achieve cost leadership in various ways. For example,
Sun Pharma is trying to achieve the same by
Players in the sector are trying to differentiate themselves by investing heavily on R&D
efforts. For example,
Sun Pharma is trying to develop technically complex APIs, such as steroids, sex
hormones, peptides, carbohydrates and taxanes, which require special skills and
technology
Dr Reddys is investing in technology platforms. It acquired OctoPlus N.V, a
Netherlands-based company, to get access to the Poly Lactic-co-Glycolic Acid
(PLGA) technology for the formulation of complex injectables
Differentiation
Focus on new markets
Vertical Integration: Complex API, which require special skills and technology, are
developed and scaled up for both API and dosage forms
Certain players in the sector are focussing on entering new markets with new
opportunities. For example, Lupin is making inroads into new markets such as Latin
America, Russia and other East European countries
Source: Company websites, Aranca Research
Note: R&D Research and Development
Demand-side
drivers
Accessibility of drugs to
greatly improve
Increasing penetration of
health insurance
Growing number of stressrelated diseases due to
change in lifestyle
Better diagnostic facilities
Growth
drivers
Cost advantage
India a major manufacturing
hub for generics
546 sites registered at
USFDA
Supply-side
drivers
Policy support
Reduction in approval time
for new facilities
Focus on specialised
pharma education
Improved accessibility for
BPL people
Source: Pharmaceutical Export Promotion Council
Notes: BPL - Below Poverty Line, USFDA - United States Food and Drug Administration
Launch of patented
drugs
Following the introduction of product patents, several multinational companies are
expected to launch patented drugs in India
Growth in the number of lifestyle diseases in India could boost the sale of drugs in this
segment
Medical infrastructure
Pharma companies have increased spending to tap rural markets and develop better
medical infrastructure
Hospitals market share is expected to increase from 13.1 per cent in 2009 to 26 per cent
in 2020
Indias generic drugs account for 20 per cent of global exports in terms of volume, making
the country the largest provider of generic medicines globally
Indias generics market is expected to reach USD26.1 billion by 2016 from USD11.3 billion
in 2011; the countrys generics market has immense potential for growth
Scope in generics
market
In 2011, Indias OTC drugs market stood at USD3.0 billion; it is expected to rise at a
CAGR of 16.3 per cent to USD6.6 billion over 200816
Increased penetration of chemists, especially in rural regions, would increase the
availability of OTC drugs in the country
Over-The-Counter
(OTC) drugs
Patent expiry
Between 2010 and 2015, patent drugs worth USD171 billion are estimated to go offpatent, leading to a huge surge in generic product
The newly available market will be filled by generics, which would provide great
opportunity to Indian companies
Source: BMI, India Biz, Aranca Research
Note: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
Cost efficiency
Indias cost of production is nearly 60 per cent lower than
that of the US and almost half of that of Europe
Relative cost of production with US cost as base
100
85
Labour costs are 5055 per cent cheaper than in
Western countries
40
The cost of setting up a production plant in India is
40 per cent lower than in Western countries
Cost-efficiency continues to create opportunities for Indian
companies in emerging markets and Africa
Competency
India has the second largest number of USFDA-approved
manufacturing plants outside the US
India has 2,633 FDA-approved drug products
India has over 546 USFDA-approved company sites, the
highest number outside the US
US
Europe
India
Source: Frost and Sullivan report on Indian Generic Pharmaceuticals
Market, BMI, Financial Express, Aranca Research
Note: USFDA - United States Food and Drug Administration
Accessibility
Acceptability
Over USD200 billion to be spent on medical
infrastructure in the next decade
New business models expected to penetrate tier-2 and
tier-3 cities
Over 160,000 hospital beds expected to be added each
year in the next decade
Increasing access to lower-income segments due to
government initiatives that increase access and
affordability (e.g. RSBY)
Rising levels of education to increase acceptability of
pharmaceuticals
Patients to show greater propensity to self-medicate,
boosting the OTC market
Acceptance of biologics and preventive medicines to rise
Vaccine market could grow 20 per cent per year in the
next decade
Surge in medical tourism due to increased patient inflow
from other countries
Demand
drivers
Demand
drivers
Affordability
Rising income could drive 73 million households to the
middle class over the next 10 years
Over 650 million people expected to be covered by
health insurance by 2020
Government-sponsored programmes set to provide
health benefits to over 380 million BPL people by 2017
By 2017, the government plans to provide free generic
medicines to half the population at an estimated cost of
USD5.4 billion
Epidemiological factors
Patient pool expected to increase over 20 per cent in the
next 10 years, mainly due to rise in population
New diseases and lifestyle changes to boost demand
Increasing prevalence of lifestyle diseases
Source: ICRA report on Indian Pharmaceutical Sector, Pharmaceutical Industry:
Developments in India- Deloitte, Mckinsey Pharma Report 2020, Aranca Research
Note: RSBY - Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojna
Pharma sales as a per cent of total health
care spending
Over 201220, total healthcare spending is expected to rise
at a CAGR of 20 per cent to USD280 billion from USD65
billion
Pharmaceutical sales, as a percentage of total healthcare
spending, are expected to increase to 27 per cent by 2016
from 18.9 per cent in 2008
140
30%
120
25%
100
20%
80
15%
60
10%
40
5%
20
0
0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F2013F2014F2015F2016F
Healthcare expenditure
Pharma sales as a % of Healthcare expenditure
Source: Deloitte, BMI, PWC, Aranca Research
Notes: F - Forecast, CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
Per capita sales of pharmaceuticals (USD)
Growing per capita sales of pharmaceuticals in India offers
ample opportunities for players in this market
27
Per capita sales of pharmaceuticals is expected to expand
at a CAGR of 16.3 per cent to USD27 by 2016F
23
CAGR: 16.3%
19
16
11
13
14
9
8
2008
2009
2010
2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Source: BMI, Aranca Research
Notes: F - Forecast, CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
Reduction in approval
time for new facilities
Collaborations
Steps taken to reduce approval time for new facilities
NOC for export licence issued in two weeks compared to 12 weeks earlier
MoUs with USFDA, WHO, Health Canada, etc. to boost growth in the Indian Pharma
sector by benefiting from their expertise
Support for technology
upgrades and FDIs
Industry infrastructure
Pharma vision 2020
Zero duty for technology upgrades in the pharmaceutical sector through the Export
Promotion Capital Goods (EPCG) Scheme
Permission for 100 per cent Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
Government is planning to relax FDI norms in the pharmaceutical sector
Government of India plans to set up a USD640 million venture capital fund to boost drug
discovery and strengthen pharma infrastructure
Pharma Vision 2020 by the governments Department of Pharmaceuticals aims to make
India a major hub for end-to-end drug discovery
Source: Aranca Research
Rising share of government expenditure
(USD billion)
Government expenditure on health increased from USD14
billion in 2008 to USD23 billion in 2011
The expenditure is expected to expand at a CAGR of 18 per
cent over 200816 to USD53 billion, thereby increasing the
share of government expenditure to total healthcare
spending from 27.6 per cent to 39.9 per cent during same
period
133
116
101
88
77
72
51
65
54
14
16
20
2008
2009
2010
23
26
31
37
44
53
2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Healthcare expenditure
Expenditure by Government
Source: Business Monitor International, Aranca Research
Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate, F - Forecast
Public and private expenditure on healthcare
(USD billion)
The share of private sector spending increased from USD36
billion in 2008 to USD49 billion in 2011
Supported by favourable government policies, the private
sectors share is expected to reach USD80 billion by 2016
53
44
14
16
20
37
38
45
2008
2009
2010
23
26
49
51
31
57
37
64
72
80
2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Expenditure by Public sources
Expenditure by Private players
Source: Business Monitor International, Aranca Research
Note: F - Forecast
Penetration of health insurance is expected to more than
double by 2020
Population covered by health insurance (in million)
Increasing penetration of health insurance is likely to be
driven by government-sponsored initiatives such as RSBY
and ESIC
140
240
Government-sponsored programmes expected to provide
coverage to nearly 380 million people by 2020
Private insurance coverage would increase nearly 15 per
cent annually till 2020
By 2015, spending through health insurance would reach
8.4 per cent of the total health spending, up from 6.4 per
cent in 200910
The share of population having medical insurance is likely
to rise to 50 per cent by 2015
110
120
80
25
55
20
35
130
2010
Private insurance
ESIC
State insurance
2020
Government employee insurance
RSBY
Source: IRDA, Mckinsey estimates, Aranca Research, World Bank
Notes: RSBY - Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojna,
ESIC - Employees State Insurance Corporation
Essentiality of drugs is determined
by including the drug in National
List of Essential Medicines (NLEM)
(348 drugs at present)
Promote rational use of medicines
based on cost, safety and efficacy
Essentiality of
drugs
Cost-based pricing is
complicated and timeconsuming than marketbased pricing
Market-based pricing is
expected to create greater
transparency in pricing
information and would be
available in public domain
Prices of NLEM drugs
linked to WPI
National
Pharma
Pricing Policy
2012
Market-based
pricing
Price control of
formulations
only
Only finished medicines
are to be considered
essential which would
prevent price control of
APIs, which are not
necessarily used for
essential drugs
Source: National Pharmaceuticals Pricing Policy 2012
In 2013, the M&A deal value in healthcare and pharmaceuticals was USD4 billion, up over 44 per cent from that in 2012
Total number of deals in 2013 was 44 compared with 42 deals in 2012
Pharma, healthcare and biotech witnessed M&A deals worth USD4 billion in 2013
Date
announced
Indian company
Foreign company
Value
(USD million)
Type
Torrent Pharmaceutical
Elder Pharmaceuticals Ltd
322
Acquisition
Cipla Medpro
512
Acquisition
GlaxoSmithkLine Plc
1,088
Acquisition
Natco Pharma
Litha
NA
JV
May, 2010
Glenmark
Sanofi
615
JV
June, 2011
Dr Reddys
Iso Ray
NA
Licensing rights
April, 2011
Sun Pharma
Merck
NA
Marketing
September, 2010
Piramal
Abbot
3,720
Business buyout
December, 2009
Orchid Chemicals
Hospira
400
Business buyout
March, 2009
Aurobindo Pharma
Pfizer
Not disclosed
Generic development and supply
Shantha Biotech
Sanofi Aventis
783
Acquisition
June, 2008
Ranbaxy Labs
Daiichi Sankyo
4,600
Acquisition
August, 2008
Dabur Pharma
Fresenius Kabi
219
Acquisition
December, 2013
July, 2013
January, 2013
September, 2011
December, 2012
Cipla
GlaxoSmithkLine Consumer
Source: BMI, Aranca Research
Note: JV - Joint Venture
Date announced
Indian company
Foreign company
Value
(USD million)
Type
January, 2013
Cosme Farma Laboratories
Adcock Ingram Healthcare
87.8
Asset acquisition
August, 2012
Strides Arcolab Ltd
Gilead Sciences Inc
NA
Licensing agreement
Ranbaxy
Gilead Sciences Inc
NA
Licensing agreement
August, 2013
Jubilant Biosys
Endo Pharmaceuticals
NA
Drug development
October, 2012
Piramal Healthcare Ltd
Fujifilm Diosynth Biotechnologies
NA
Drug development
March, 2009
Biocon
Bristol-Myers Squibb
NA
Exclusive marketing
March, 2013
Unichem Laboratories
Mylan
30
Acquisition
October, 2012
SMS Pharmaceuticals
Mylan
33
Acquisition of manufacturing unit
Biocon
Abbott Laboratories
NA
Contract research
Agila Specialties
Mylan, a Canonsburg
1,850
Acquisition
February, 2012
Jubilant Biosys
Mnemosyne Pharmaceuticals Inc
NA
Drug development
January, 2011
Zydus Cadila Healthcare
Bayer
NA
Marketing arrangement
December, 2012
Claris Lifesciences
Otsuka Pharmaceutical
250
JV
November, 2012
Zydus Cadila Healthcare
Abbot Laboratories
NA
Licensing agreement
Lupin
Eli Lilly
NA
Marketing arrangement
July, 2011
March, 2012
September, 2012
July, 2011
Source: ICRA Research on Indian Pharmaceutical Sector, India Ratings Research Outlook on Indian Pharmaceutical, BMI, Aranca Research
Notes: JV - Joint Venture, ADC - Antibody Drug Conjugates
Clinical trials market
As
per
various
studies,
India
is
among the leaders in
the clinical trial market
Due to increasing
population
and
income
levels,
demand for high-end
drugs is expected to
rise
Demand for high-end
drugs could reach
USD8 billion by 2015
Due to a genetically
diverse
population
and availability of
skilled doctors, India
has the potential to
attract
huge
investments to its
clinical trial market
Penetration in rural
market
High-end drugs
Growing
demand
could open up the
market for production
of high-end drugs in
India
With 70 per cent of
Indias
population
residing in rural areas,
pharma
companies
have
immense
opportunities to tap
this market
Demand for generic
medicines in rural
markets has seen a
sharp growth. Various
companies
are
investing
in
the
distribution network in
rural areas
Source: BMI, Aranca Research
The share of generic drugs is expected to continue
increasing; it could represent about 90 per cent of the
prescription drug market by 2016
Share of patented and generic drugs in prescribed
drug market (USD billion)
Due to their competence in generic drugs, growth in this
market offers a great opportunity for Indian firms
26.1
Generic drug market is expected to grow in the next few
years, with many drugs going off-patent in the US and other
countries
21.8
6.9
0.8
8.1
0.9
2008
2009
10.0
1.1
2010
11.3
12.6
15.1
18.1
3.3
2.7
2.2
1.8
1.5
1.3
2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Patented drug sales
Generic drug sales
Source: BMI, Aranca Research
Note: F - Forecast
Indias OTC drugs market stood at USD3 billion in 2011 and
is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16.3 per cent to
USD6.6 billion over 200816
OTC drug market (USD billion)
6.6
Inclusion of various other drugs and cosmetics under the
OTC market may further boost the sector
There is a huge market for OTC drugs as the penetration of
chemists in the rural market increases
CAGR: 16.3%
4.7
5.5
3.9
2.7
2.0
2.2
2008
2009
2010
3.0
3.3
2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Source: BMI, Aranca Research
Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate, F- Forecast
Sun Pharma net sales (USD million)
Sun Pharma was set up in 1983, with a compact
manufacturing facility for tablets and capsules
2,655
It set up its first API plant at Panoli in 1995
CAGR: 23.3%
It has 26 manufacturing facilities across four continents and
employs more than 14,000 people
Nearly 72 per cent of its sales come from international
markets
2,067
1,672
1,256
932
847
Its revenues increased from USD932 million in FY09 to
USD2.6 billion in FY14, at a CAGR of 23.3 per cent
FY09
Sun Pharma acquired Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd to become
the fifth largest global specialty pharma company, No 1
pharma company in India, and ensure a strong positioning
in emerging markets
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Source: Sun Pharma website, Aranca Research
Note: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
256 approved
products and 391
filed for approval
Revenue base of
USD2.1* billion
Acquisitions
across the globe
Focus on R&D
Market capitalisation
of USD15.6* billion
Over half the sales
from North America
23 manufacturing
sites worldwide
Organic growth
phase
All-India
operations begin
Strong presence in
generics market
Among top five
Indian pharma
companies
Commenced
operations in
Calcutta
1983
Nationwide
marketing
operations
rolled out
1987
Built the first
API plant
First
international
acquisition:
Niche Brand
in the US
Acquired
controlling
stake in Taro
and full
control on
Caraco
1995
2004
2012
Source: Sun Pharma website
Note: *As of FY 201213
Dr Reddys net sales (USD million)
Dr Reddys began as an API manufacturer in 1984,
producing high-quality APIs for the Indian domestic market
CAGR: 14.2 %*
It has presence in almost all therapeutic segments
It has an integrated business model in three segments:
Pharmaceutical Services & Active Ingredients (PSAI),
Global generics and Proprietary products
1,479
1,480
FY09
FY10
2,016
2,141
2,193
FY13
FY14
1,626
Dr Reddys has access to numerous emerging markets
through partnerships with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)
Its product offering spans the entire value chain, from
process development of APIs to submission of the finished
dosage dossier to regulatory agencies
Its revenues increased from USD1.5 million in FY09 to
USD2.2 million in FY14, at a CAGR of 14.2* per cent
Global generics comprised over 71 per cent of its revenue
mix in FY13
Dr Reddys is investing heavily on R&D to differentiate itself
in the market. Its R&D spend for FY1415 is expected to be
910 per cent
FY11
FY12
Source: Dr Reddys website
Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate,
*CAGR is mentioned in INR terms, R&D Research and Development
Four technology
development
centres
Revenue base of about
USD2.1* billion
Over 25 billion
units in generics
capacities
Market capitalisation of
USD5.5* billion
Among the leaders in
supply of generic APIs
globally
18 manufacturing
sites worldwide
Fastest Indian
company to cross
USD2 billion
revenues
First company in
Asia-pacific outside of
Japan to list on NYSE
Integrated business
spanning three segmentsPSAI, GG and PP
Among top three
Indian pharma
companies
16,500+
associates
worldwide
Dr Reddys
Laboratories
incorporated in
Hyderabad
Listed on BSE;
commenced
production of
its first API
Dr Reddys
Research
Foundation
established,
drug discovery
begins
Acquires
Roches API
business in
Mexico
Exclusive JV
with FUJIFILM
to develop and
manufacture
generic drugs
in Japan
1984
1986
1993
2005
2011
Source: Dr Reddys website, Annual Report
Notes: PSAI - Pharmaceutical Services and Active Ingredients, GG - Global Generics, PP - Proprietary Products, JV - Joint Venture, *As of FY201213
Lupin net sales (USD million)
Lupin is a renowned pharma player producing a wide range
of quality, affordable generic and branded formulations and
APIs
1,839
1,742
Lupin has emerged as the fifth largest and among the
fastest-growing Top Five companies in the US
CAGR: 24%*
1,474
It is one of the worlds largest manufacturers of TB drugs
and has significant market share in the cardiovascular,
diabetology, asthma, paediatrics, CNS, Anti-infectives and
NSAIDs therapy segments
1,271
822
1,007
Its revenues increased from USD822.5 million in FY09 to
USD1.8 million in FY14, at a CAGR of 24* per cent
FY09
Advanced market formulations comprised nearly 52 per cent
of its revenues in FY12
Specialty generic player across the globe, including
emerging markets
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Source: Lupin website
Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth rate
* - Growth in INR terms
API - Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient, CNS - Central Nervous System,
NSAIDS - Non-steroidal Anti-inflammatory Drugs, TB - Tuberculosis
153 ANDAs and
111 DMFs
Revenue base of
about
USD1.7* billion
Diversifying into
different business
segments
Market capitalisation
of USD5.2* billion
Global leadership in
anti-TB segments
Talent pool of
1000+ scientists
Acquisitions
across the globe
Expanding India
operations
Focus on R&D
14th largest global
generic pharma
company
Third largest Indian
pharma company
Commenced
business
1968
Commissioned
a formulations
plant and R&D
centre at
Aurangabad
JV in Thailand
Lupin
Chemicals
(Thailand)
established
1980
1989
Commenced
supply of
Cephalosporin
to alliance
partners in US
2001
Acquires Irom
Pharma; enters
into joint
development
agreement with
Medicis Enter
2011
Source: Lupin website, Annual Report
Notes: ANDAS - Abbreviated New Drug Application, DMFs - Drug Master Files, * - As of FY201213
Cipla net sales (USD million)
Established in 1935, Cipla has over 34 state-of-the-art
manufacturing units
It is one of the few companies producing medicines for rare
diseases such as Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, Pulmonary
Arterial Hypertension, Thalassaemia and Multiple Sclerosis
Cipla outperformed other global pharma majors by offering
patented anti-AIDS drugs at affordable prices
CAGR: 13.0%*
1,457
1,489
FY12
FY13
1,374
1,081
1,130
FY09
FY10
It has presence in over 170 countries, with an employee
strength of over 20,000; moreover, it is the sixth-largest
player in South Africa
Its revenues increased from USD1.1 billion in FY09 to
USD1.5 billion in FY13, at a CAGR* of 13.0 per cent
Cipla has plans for a USD36-million investment to upgrade
its plant in Durban, and a USD512-million takeover of South
Africa's Cipla Medpro
It is the first company to develop drug for the treatment of
H1N1 flu
FY11
Source: Cipla website, Cipla brochure, Cipla corporate profile
Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate,
* - Growth in INR terms
API - Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient, OTC - Over The Counter
53 per cent of
total income from
oversees sales
Revenue base of
about
USD1.5* billion
Worlds largest
ARV
manufacturer
Market capitalisation
of USD5.6* billion
Global presence in
over 170 countries
Over 10,000
product
registrations
globally
Over 2,000
products in 65
therapeutic
categories
Manufactured first
Indian API in
1960
34 internationally
approved facilities
One of the worlds
largest generic drug
companies
Third largest Indian
pharma company
Cipla
established to
make India
self-sufficient
in healthcare
1935
Pioneered
inhalation
therapy to
manufacture
MDI
Launched
Deferiprone,
worlds first
oral iron
chelator
1978
1994
Pioneered
access to HIV.
ARVs made
available at
less than a
dollar
2001
Made cancer
treatment
affordable with
breakthrough
in reducing
cost of cancer
drugs
2012
Source: Cipla website, Annual Report
Notes: MDI - Metered Dose Inhaler, ARV - Anti-retroviral, * - As of FY201213
The Indian Pharmaceutical Association
Kalina, Santacruz (E),
Mumbai 400 098
Phone: 91-22-2667 1072
Fax: 91 22 2667 0744
E-mail:
[email protected]www.ipapharma.org
Indian Drug Manufacturers' Association
102-B, Poonam Chambers, Dr A.B. Road
Worli, Mumbai 400 018
Phone: 91-22-2494 4624/2497 4308
Fax: 9122 24950723
E-mail:
[email protected]www.idma-assn.org
Organisation of Pharmaceutical Producers of India
Peninsula Chambers, Ground Floor,
Ganpatrao Kadam Marg, Lower Parel,
Mumbai 400 013
Phone: 9122 24918123, 24912486, 66627007
Fax: 9122 24915168
E-mail:
[email protected]www.indiaoppi.com
Bulk Drug Manufacturers Association
C-25, Industrial Estate, Sanath Nagar
Hyderabad 500018
Phone: 91 40 23703910/23706718
Fax: 91 40 23704804
E-mail:
[email protected]www.bdmai.org
CRAMS: Contract Research and Manufacturing Services
API: Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients
FDI: Foreign Direct Investment
GOI: Government of India
INR: Indian Rupee
USD: US Dollar
BPL: Below Poverty Line
RSBY: Rashtriya Swastha Bima Yojna
ESIC: Employees State Insurance Corporation
Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
Exchange rates (Fiscal Year)
Exchange rates (Calendar Year)
Year
INR equivalent of one USD
Year
INR equivalent of one USD
200405
44.81
2005
43.98
200506
44.14
2006
45.18
200607
45.14
2007
41.34
200708
40.27
2008
43.62
200809
46.14
2009
48.42
200910
47.42
2010
45.72
201011
45.62
2011
46.85
201112
46.88
2012
53.46
201213
54.31
2013
58.44
201314
60.28
2014*
61.58
Average for the year
* - from January to March 2014
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