2017 Profile of International Real Estate Activity in Florida 11-13-2017
2017 Profile of International Real Estate Activity in Florida 11-13-2017
October 2017
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1
ABOUT THE SURVEY
Since 2005, the National Association of REALTORS Research Group has conducted an
annual survey for Florida REALTORS to gather information about the interaction of its
members with international clients, the challenges and opportunities they face in serving
foreign clients, and the characteristics of foreign buyers purchasing property in Florida.
The 2017 Profile of International Residential Real Estate Activity in Florida presents
information regarding residential transactions with international clients of Florida REALTORS
during the 12-month period of August 2016July 2017. The 2017 report also presents
information on U.S. clients seeking to purchase property abroad. In this report, the year 2017
refers to the 12-month period August 2016July 2017, and the year 2016 refers to the period
August 2015July 2016.
Florida REALTORS issued the invitation to its nearly 164,000 members to participate in
the online survey. Over the survey period, August 7September 9, 2017, 6,551 members
responded to the survey.
o Non-resident foreigners (Type A): Non-U.S. citizens with permanent residences outside the
United States. These clients typically purchase property as an investment and/or for
vacation or visits of less than six months to the United States.
o Resident foreigners (Type B): Non-U.S. citizens who are recent immigrants (in the country
less than two years at the time of the transaction) or visa holders residing for more than six
months in the United States for professional, educational, or other reasons.
We thank our Florida REALTORS counterpart team for their cooperation: Brad OConnor,
Ph.D., Chief Economist; Cecilia Chirinos, Economic Analyst; and Erica Plemmons, Research
Analyst, who deployed the survey to the members, ensured survey participation, and provided
data on Florida home sales.
2
SUMMARY
The economic environment created a mix of opportunities and challenges for Floridas
foreign buyers in 2016 and 2017. Latin American countries faced political and economic
difficulties and weaker currencies in the wake of the collapse in oil prices. Meanwhile, economic
growth strengthened in Canada and the Canadian dollar stabilized against the U.S. dollar. In the
United Kingdom, the economy stayed on course, despite a weaker pound following the U.K.s
decision to leave the European Union (Brexit). In China, capital controls were more tightly
regulated. House prices rose in the United States, including in Florida, but the appreciation was
modest compared to the home price appreciation in Canada. Amid these challenges and
opportunities, overall foreign buyer purchases of Florida residential property increased, with a
decline in the share of buyers from Latin America and Europe, while the share of buyers from
Canada increased and the share of buyers from Asia and Africa remained unchanged.
Foreign buyer purchases of Florida residential properties increased to $24.2 billion ($19.4
billion in 2016). This accounted for 21 percent of Floridas residential dollar volume of sales
(19 percent in 2016). Nationally, foreign buyers comprised 10 percent of the dollar volume of
existing home sales.
Foreign buyers purchased 61,300 residential properties (47,000 in 2016), which made up 15
percent of Floridas residential market (12 percent in 2016). Nationally, foreign buyer
residential purchases accounted for five percent of existing-home sales.
The median purchase price among foreign buyers increased to $259,400 ($252,500 in 2016),
in line with the overall increase in the median price of Floridas existing home sales of
$220,100 ($211,500 in 2016). The median price among foreign buyers was 18 percent higher
than the median price of Floridas existing home sales.
Latin American and Caribbean buyers accounted for the largest fraction of Florida foreign
buyers at 34 percent, although they comprised a smaller share compared to the previous
years share (39 percent). On the other hand, the share of buyers from Canada increased to
22 percent (19 percent in 2016). The share of buyers from Europe was unchanged, at 23
percent, as well as the share of buyers from Asia, at 10 percent, and the share of buyers from
Africa, at one percent.
While foreign buyers purchased property across the state, most foreign buyers were
concentrated in five metropolitan areas:
o Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach MSA (53 percent)
o Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford MSA (11 percent)
o Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA (nine percent)
o Cape Coral-Fort Myers (six percent)
o North Point-Sarasota-Bradenton (five percent).
3
Most foreign buyers72 percentmade an all-cash purchase (72 percent in 2016).
A smaller fraction of foreign buyers68 percentpurchased residential property for
vacation, residential rental, or for both uses (72 percent in 2016). Nationally, 39 percent of
all foreign buyers purchased for these purposes.
A smaller fraction of foreign buyers 49 percentbought a townhouse or condominium (52
percent in 2016). Nationally, only 29 percent of foreign buyers purchased these types of
properties.
Fewer foreign buyers purchased in a central city/urban area, with the share at 35 percent (40
percent in 2016). Meanwhile, 15 percent purchased in a resort area (14 percent in 2016).
Most foreign buyers93 percentvisited Florida at least once before purchasing a property
(92 percent in 2016).
A higher fraction than last year17 percentreported that they had a client seeking to
purchase property abroad (14 percent in 2016).
Colombia, Costa Rica, Spain, Canada, and the Dominican Republic were the top countries of
interest in 2016 and 2017.
Most clients75 percentwere interested in residential property (79 percent in 2016).
Most clients75 percent intended to use the property for vacation, residential rental, or
both uses (84 percent in 2016).
4
I. MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
Macroeconomic and political conditions created both opportunities and challenges for
foreign buyers. Amid the collapse in oil prices, the Latin America and the Caribbean area
emerged out of a recession in 2016, but overall growth has been weak. Meanwhile, growth in
Canada and the euro area firmed up, supported by expansionary monetary and fiscal policy. In
the United Kingdom, economic growth eased, yet only modestly, as consumer spending held
strong in the wake of the June 2016 referendum outcome for the United Kingdom to leave the
European Union (Brexit). Economic growth eased in China as the economy continued to
undergo a transformation from an investment-led to a consumption-led economy. The Chinese
government also tightened capital outflow regulations to stem capital outflows and the
depreciation of the yuan.
100
80
60 48
40
20
0
Jul/2015
Jul/2016
Jul/2013
Jul/2014
Jul/2017
May/2013
Nov/2013
May/2014
Nov/2014
May/2015
Nov/2015
May/2016
Nov/2016
May/2017
Jan/2013
Mar/2013
Sep/2013
Jan/2014
Mar/2014
Sep/2014
Jan/2015
Mar/2015
Sep/2015
Jan/2016
Mar/2016
Sep/2016
Jan/2017
Mar/2017
5
The dollar strengthened against the Venezuelan bolivar, the British pound, the new
Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan. It also slightly strengthened against the euro. Low oil prices
and the ensuing economic and political turmoil in Venezuela caused the dollar to appreciate
against the Venezuelan bolivar and the new Mexican peso, and it strengthened against the
British pound in the wake of Brexit. The stronger dollar made U.S. property purchases less
affordable for citizens earning in these currencies. The Canadian dollar, on the other hand,
actually stabilized against the U.S. dollar after weakening in 2013 through the middle of 2016.
0% -1%
-13%
With tight supply, U.S. home prices rose by four percent, adjusted for inflation, in the
second quarter of 2017. The pace of growth was modest compared with Canada, where home
prices rose by 11 percent, adjusted for inflation. However, U.S. home prices rose at a faster pace
than other countries such as Mexico, the United Kingdom, and several European countries.
6
II. SIZE OF INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the 12-month period ending in July 2017, foreign buyers purchased $24.2 billion of
Florida residential real estate ($19.4 billion in 2016).1 The dollar volume of foreign buyer
purchases accounted for 21 percent of Floridas existing home sales (19 percent in 2016), higher
than the 10 percent share of all U.S. foreign buyers.
$19.4
$17.1 $17.3 $17.4
$15.2 $15.7
$14.5
Foreign buyers purchased 61,300 residential properties in Florida during 2017 (47,000 in
2016). The number of foreign buyer purchases accounted for 15 percent of Floridas existing
home sales (12 percent in 2016), higher than the five percent share of all U.S. foreign buyers.2
1
The 2017 Florida REALTORS survey covered the period August 2016July 2017. In past Florida REALTORS
surveys, the 12-month period generally covered July of the previous year to June of the current year. No survey was
held in 2006. The 2005, 2007, and 2008 surveys covered only non-resident foreign buyers (Type A). Starting in 2010,
the estimates were benchmarked to the national survey. Starting in 2015, the purchase price was top-coded at $5
million from $1.3 million in previous surveys. From 20052015, estimates included some purchases for commercial
properties. See Appendix 1 for the calculations and Appendix 2 for notes on the survey and estimation methods.
2
Source: NARs 2017 Profile of International Activity in the U.S. Residential Real Estate. The reference period in
estimating the national level of foreign buyer purchases of residential property is April 2016March 2017.
7
Number of International Sales in Thousand Units
66.1 65.3
61.3
53.6 52.3
46.0 47.0
44.3 44.0
57%
52%
51%
43%
27% 28%
23% 24%
21% 19% 19%
17% 21%
14% 15% 12% 12% 15%
Most foreign buyers70 percentwere buyers who primarily resided abroad (Type A),
about the same as in 2016 (69 percent in 2016). Nationally, only 48 percent of all U.S. foreign
buyers were non-resident buyers.
8
Non-resident (Type A) Buyer as a Percent of
Florida's Foreign Buyers
69% 70%
31% 30%
2016 2017
Buyers from Latin America and the Caribbean accounted for the largest fraction at 34
percent, although they comprised a smaller share than in 2016 (39 percent) as the share of
purchases from Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela decreased compared to a
year ago. Weaker economic conditions in the region and the stronger value of the dollar likely
accounted for the lower share of Latin American and Caribbean purchases in 2017.
On the other hand, the share of buyers from North America, all of which came from
Canada, increased to 22 percent (19 percent in 2016). Stability in the value of the Canadian
dollar compared to the U.S. dollar in 20162017 after weakening in 20142015 and the modest
price appreciation in the United States compared to Canada made a U.S. home purchase more
affordable for Canadians. The equity gained from the strong price growth in Canadas home
prices may also have provided a source of cash for homeowners who sold their Canadian
property.
The share of buyers from Europe was unchanged at 23 percent. Although the British
pound depreciated against the dollar, the share of U.K. purchases was unchanged at six percent,
as economic growth was sustained by supportive monetary policies. Concerns about the
uncertain outcome of the Brexit decision on the British economy and on the value of the pound
relative to the dollar may also have boosted U.S. property purchases. Meanwhile, there was an
increase in the share of buyers from Germany and France.
9
Buyers from Asia and Oceania accounted for ten percent (10 percent in 2016). The
fraction of Asian buyers has been trending up. However, the share of Chinese buyers declined to
three percent in 2017 (nearly four percent in 2016), perhaps in part due to tighter regulations on
the outflow of foreign capital which the Chinese government undertook in 2016 to stem the
outflow of capital and the depreciation of the yuan.
African buyers were one percent of foreign buyers (one percent in 2016).
The top five buyers were Canada (22 percent), Brazil (seven percent), the United
Kingdom (six percent), Venezuela (six percent), and Argentina (five percent).
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
United
Canada Brazil Venezuela Argentina Colombia Germany France China Mexico
Kingdom
2008 26.6% 2.4% 21.2% 4.7% 1.7% 1.7% 6.7% 4.2% 0.5% 2.4%
2009 25.9% 1.9% 15.1% 5.4% 4.6% 1.6% 6.8% 4.6% 0.5% 2.4%
2010 35.1% 3.0% 15.1% 4.1% 1.5% 1.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1%
2011 39.1% 7.8% 7.0% 6.8% 3.3% 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 0.8% 1.7%
2012 30.7% 9.3% 4.6% 7.5% 5.2% 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 2.2% 1.3%
2013 29.6% 6.5% 5.8% 7.6% 5.5% 3.2% 5.3% 3.2% 3.9% 0.5%
2014 31.6% 5.7% 7.0% 3.4% 2.9% 3.5% 5.4% 3.2% 5.7% 2.0%
2015 11.1% 9.4% 5.1% 18.4% 6.7% 7.0% 2.3% 2.6% 3.8% 2.3%
2016 18.9% 8.7% 6.2% 7.8% 6.0% 5.2% 3.3% 2.3% 3.5% 2.0%
2017 22.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.7% 3.4% 3.1% 2.1%
10
Origin of Florida's Foreign Buyers
5% 8% 10%
26% 11%
27% 31% 30% 32%
35% 38% 19%
22%
17%
25%
17% 32% 23% 56%
36% 39% 34%
28%
Most buyers from Argentina, Brazil, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Venezuela
primarily resided abroad (non-resident or Type A). The share of Type A buyers declined among
the Latin American buyers and the United Kingdom, given the depreciation of their currencies
against the dollar. On the other hand, the share of Type A Canadian buyers held steady as the
Canadian dollar stabilized against the U.S. dollar.
2016 2017
11
Destination of Foreign Buyers
Foreign buyers purchased property across Florida, but foreign buyers were concentrated
in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach MSA (53 percent), Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford MSA
(11 percent), Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA (nine percent), Cape Coral-Fort Myers (six
percent), and North Point-Sarasota-Bradenton (five percent).
12
Another way of looking at the preferred destination of foreign buyers is to compare the
percentage distribution of Floridas sales of single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums
across metropolitan statistical areas to the percentage distribution of foreign buyers in these
metropolitan areas3. This comparison shows that Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach MSA
accounted for 24 percent of closed sales, but it accounted for 53 percent of foreign buyers.
3
Source: Florida REALTORS. Floridas closed sales are those reported on the Multiple Listing Services (MLSs) and
do not include for-sale-by-owners (FSBOs). However, the number of Floridas foreign buyers, which are
benchmarked to total U.S. foreign buyers and existing home sales, counts FSBOs.
13
Major Buyers of Top Florida Destinations
Foreign buyers tended to concentrate in an area for several reasons, such as geographic
proximity, cultural similarities, investment opportunities, and the presence of family or friends.
Europe Latin America and the Caribbean Asia and Oceania North America (Canada) Africa Unknown
Orlando- Kissimmee-Sanford MSA buyers were mainly Latin American and Caribbean (37
percent), European (22 percent), and Asian (15 percent).
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA had a more even mix of buyers from Canada (32
percent), Europe (23 percent), Latin America and the Caribbean (17 percent), and Asia (17
percent).
Cape Coral-Fort Myers MSA buyers attracted mostly Canadians (42 percent) and
Europeans (40 percent).
Jacksonville MSA buyers were predominantly from Asia (30 percent) and Latin American
and the Caribbean (26 percent).
14
Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island MSA buyers were mostly from Canada (51 percent) and
Europe (35 percent).
Lakeland-Winter Haven MSA buyers were predominantly from Europe (48 percent).
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach attracted an even mix of buyers from Europe (20
percent), Canada (30 percent), Asia (10 percent), Canada (23 percent), and other buyers whose
origins were reported as Unknown by the respondent (17 percent).
Other counties in Florida also attracted a mix of buyers from Europe (28 percent), Canada
(23 percent), Latin America and the Caribbean (20 percent), Asia (six percent), Africa (three
percent) and other buyers whose origins were reported as Unknown by the respondent (20
percent).
The next charts show the countries of origin for some metropolitan areas.4
4
These selected metropolitan statistical areas had a sample size of at least 30 observations.
15
Major Foreign Buyers in Orlando-Kissimmee-
Sanford MSA
Brazil 13%
Canada 12%
United Kingdom 10%
Venezuela 10%
China 7%
Colombia 4%
Italy 3%
Haiti 2%
Mexico 2%
Argentina 2%
Germany 2%
India 2%
Israel 2%
Peru 2%
United Arab Emirates 2%
Other 28%
16
Major Foreign Buyers in Naples-Immokalee-
Marco Island MSA
Canada 51%
Germany 14%
France 8%
United Kingdom 5%
Other 22%
Canada 9%
China 9%
Brazil 7%
United Kingdom 7%
Argentina 5%
Germany 5%
Iraq 5%
Other 53%
Germany 14%
France 8%
United Kingdom 5%
Other 22%
17
Major Foreign Buyers in Lakeland-Winter Haven
MSA
United Kingdom 36%
Canada 18%
Ireland 6%
Other 39%
Argentina 7%
Dominican Republic 7%
United Kingdom 7%
Other 57%
The next charts show the destination of the top five buyers: Argentina, Brazil, Canada,
the United Kingdom, and Venezuela. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, Orlando-
Kissimmee-Sanford, and Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater were the top destinations among the
major foreign buyers.
18
Florida Destinations of Argentinian Residential
Buyers
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach 89%
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford 4%
Jacksonville 3%
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville 1%
Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater 1%
19
Florida Destinations of U.K. Residential Buyers
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach 23%
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford 18%
Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater 12%
Lakeland-Winter Haven 12%
Cape Coral-Fort Myers 9%
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton 8%
Punta Gorda 3%
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville 3%
Jacksonville 3%
Naples-Immokalee-Marco 2%
Ocala 2%
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond 2%
Port St. Lucie 1%
Other 1%
The median purchase price among foreign buyers increased to $259,400 ($252,500 in
2016). The foreign buyer median price was 18 percent higher than the median price of Floridas
existing home sales of $220,100.
Among the major buyers, buyers from Brazil and Argentina typically purchased more
expensive properties compared to other buyers. Amid the depreciation of the Venezuelan
bolivar and British pound, buyers from Venezuela and the United Kingdom purchased less
expensive properties compared to one year ago.
20
Median Purchase Prices Among Florida's Foreign
and All Residential Buyers in Thousands Dollars
$400
$300 $259.4
$220.1
$200
$100
$0
2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Price Distribution
34%
29%
28%
25% 23%
22%
9% 8%
7% 6%
4% 4%
1% 1%
2016 2017
21
Seventy-two percent of foreign buyers made an all-cash purchase, the same share as in
the past year (72 percent in 2016). The majority of Floridas foreign buyers were non-resident
buyers (Type A), and these buyers tend to make an all-cash purchase compared to resident
foreign buyers (Type B).
23% 21%
2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2%
2016 2017
Among the major foreign buyers, Argentinian buyers were the most likely to make an all-
cash purchase.
85% 86%
77% 72%
67%
22
Intended Use of Property
Compared with overall U.S. foreign buyers, Floridas foreign buyers were more likely to
purchase property for vacation, residential rental, or both uses (39 percent).
3% 4% 3% 3%
1% 1%
Vacation Residential Both of the Primary Property for Other Don't know
home for rental above residence use by
family and property for student(s)
friends investment studying in
U.S.
educational
institutions
2016 2017
Buyers from Canada and the United Kingdom were more likely to purchase a vacation
property. Buyers from Argentina and Venezuela tended to purchase a property for residential
investment. Buyers from Brazil had a more even mixed use of the purchased properties for
vacation, residential rental, or primary residence.
23
Intended Use of Florida Property Purchased by Major
Foreign Buyers
4% 2% 1%
9%
6% 9%
16% 17% 4%
14%
13% 30% 28%
19%
18%
16%
55%
44% 39%
24% 27%
3%
Argentina Brazil Canada United Kingdom Venezuela
Type of Property
Nearly half (49 percent) of foreign buyers bought a townhouse or condominium, a slight
decrease from the share in 2016 (52 percent). Nationally, only 29 percent of foreign buyers
purchased these types of properties.
13% 11%
2% 1% 3% 2%
2016 2017
24
Buyers from Brazil and the United Kingdom tended to purchase single-family homes.
Buyers from Argentina, Canada, and Venezuela, who tended to purchase properties for vacation
and/or residential investment were most likely to purchase condominiums and townhomes.
9% 13%
8% 59% 56%
37% 35%
26%
Location Preference
Fewer foreign buyers purchased in a central city/urban area, with the share at 35 percent
(40 percent in 2016). Meanwhile, 15 percent purchased in a resort area, a decline from the 33
percent share in 2008; this is consistent with the declining share of Canadian and U.K. buyers,
from 50 percent in 2008 to less than 30 percent in 2017.
47%
35% 39% 40% 35%
25% 29% 26% 30% 26%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Central city/urban area Suburban area Small town/rural area Resort area
25
Buyers from Argentina and Venezuela, who purchased properties for residential rental,
purchased properties in central city/urban areas. Most buyers from the United Kingdom
purchased properties in suburban and resort areas. Canadian buyers were more evenly spread
out across central city/urban and suburban areas. Among the major buyers, Canadian and U.K.
buyers were the most likely to purchase properties in resort areas.
35% 41%
59% 63%
50%
25% 18%
Central City/Urban Area Suburban Area Small Town/ Rural Area Resort Area
Ninety percent of respondents reported that the exchange rate had a moderate to
significant effect on potential buyers.
38% 33%
37%
26
The major reasons respondents cited why their clients did not purchase property were
Could not find a property, price-related reasons (e.g., exchange rate, condominium fees,
obtaining financing, moving/transferring money), and immigration laws.
2017
10% 10%
8% 7% 8%
6% 5% 6%
4% 3%
0 1 2 3 4 5 to 7 8 to 10 More than
10
2016 2017
27
IV. FLORIDA RESIDENTS SEEKING TO PURCHASE PROPERTY ABROAD
Among 2017 respondents, 17 percent reported that they had a client who was seeking to
purchase property in another country (14 percent in 2016). Eleven percent reported they helped
the client directly or referred the client to a business contact in the United States or their foreign
contact.
4% 6% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3%
No client who was Could not refer the Referral to a Helped the client Referral to a
interested in finding client to anyone business contact in search directly business contact in
property outside another country the U.S. who works
the U.S. with international
clients
2016 2017
Latin America, Europe, and Canada tend to be favored among searchers. Among
REALTORS who had clients interested in purchasing property abroad in 20162017, Colombia,
Costa Rica, Spain, Canada, and the Dominican Republic were the top countries of interest.
28
Most clients were interested in residential property, primarily for use as vacation home
or residential rental. Detached single-family homes were the most preferred.
79% 75%
14% 17%
7% 8%
2016 2017
19%
15% 13% 14%
7%
1% 3% 2%
2016 2017
29
Type of Property of Interest to U.S. Residents
Seeking Property Abroad
44% 46%
35% 33%
11%
8%
5% 6% 3% 5%
2% 2%
2016 2017
A larger share of Florida REALTORS reported working with international clients than the
overall U.S. REALTORS. In 2017, 44 percent of respondents worked with an international client
(48 percent in 2016). In comparison, nationally, only 29 percent of REALTORS worked with an
international client.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
30
Personal contacts, previous clients, and business contacts accounted for 72 percent of
referrals or leads. The firms or franchises website or social media was the primary source of
online leads, followed by other aggregator websites, and Realtor.com.
Realtor.com 18%
Local MLS 3%
Commercial Listing 0%
Other Sources 4%
Dont Know 6%
Among all respondents, 61 percent reported they did not have cultural or language
problems in their interactions (65 percent in 2016). Although 72 percent of the respondents
reported they were born in the United States, slightly more than a third spoke a language other
than English.
31
Cultural or Language Problems
65%
61%
35%
32%
3% 4%
2016 2017
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
32
Eighteen percent of respondents reported less than one year of experience as a
REALTOR. Eleven percent reported they had a Certified International Property Specialist (CIPS)
designation.
16.9%
14.7% 13.5% 13.1%
10.8%
7.5% 7.4% 7.1%
3.1% 2.7% 2.2%
0.1%
Respondents were evenly split about the outlook in the next 12 months: 43 percent
expected the same or an increase in international clients, 42 percent expected a decrease, and
15 percent had no opinion (dont know). Respondents cited several reasons for their cautious
outlook, including rising/unaffordable home prices, unfriendly political climate and immigration
policies, and the strong dollar, especially against the Canadian dollar and the British pound.
33
Outlook in Next 12 Months
42% 42%
27% 29%
17%
14% 14% 15%
2016 2017
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
34
APPENDIX 1. COMPUTATION OF DOLLAR VOLUME OF FOREIGN BUYER PURCHASES
Appendix 1
Computation of Residential Purchases of Foreign Buyers in Florida for the 12-Month Period August 2016July 2017
8 Share of Dollar Volume of Foreign Buyer Purchases to Florida's Dollar Volume of Closed Sales 15%
9 Share of Foreign Buyer Purchases to Florida's Closed Sales 21%
Notes:
Line 1 Source: NAR's 2017 Profile of International Activity in U.S. Residential Real Estate
Line 2 Source: NAR's 2017 Profile of International Activity in U.S. Residential Real Estate
Line 3 Mutiply Lines 1 and 2
Line 4 2017 Profile of International Residential Activity in Florida
Line 5 Mutiply Lines 3 and 4 (Sales = # of units x mean price)
Line 6 Dollar volume of closed sales for single-family homes, condominiums, and townhomes. Source of data: Florida Realtors
Line 7 Closed sales for single-family homes, condominiums, and townhomes. Source of data: Florida Realtors
Line 8 Divide Line 5 by Line 6.
Line 9 Divide Line 3 by Line 7.
35
APPENDIX 2. NOTES ON SURVEY AND ESTIMATION METHOD
Several factors need to be considered when comparing the annual results due to changes in data
collection and the estimation of sales volume from international (foreign) clients:
The 2005, 2007, 2008 surveys covered only Type A international clients, those who
primarily resided abroad and who were purchasing U.S. property for vacation or
investment purposes. From 2009 onwards, the survey asked about clients who were
citizens of another country, a definition that includes Type A clients and non-U.S.
citizens such as immigrants and those residing in the United States on work or student
visas (Type B). No survey was held in 2006.
The 2005, 2007, 2008, 2009 estimates of Floridas international sales (units, dollar
volume, and share to Floridas closed sales) were estimated using Florida survey data.
From 2010 onwards, when NAR started to generate the estimate of international sales in
the United States (national estimate), the number of international sales (in units) in
Florida were estimated based on Floridas share of the national estimate. However, the
average price and the distribution of Floridas foreign buyers across metro areas were
taken from the Florida surveys.
During the 2005-2015 surveys, estimates of international sales included some
commercial purchases. Beginning in the 2016 survey, the estimates only included foreign
buyer purchases of residential property, yielding a better estimate that can be compared
to total existing home sales.
Beginning in the 2016 survey, the reference period covered the 12-month period of
August of the previous year to July of the current year. Previous surveys covered
transactions from July of the previous year to June of the current year. The impact of this
change is likely to be minimal because the seasonal difference between the JulyJune
period and the AugustJuly period is not likely significant.
Beginning in the 2015 survey, the responses were weighted to correct for over- or under-
response from a metro area. The weight factor wi is equal to the number of members in
area i divided by the number of respondents in area i. Data on Florida REALTORS
membership is provided by the association.
Beginning in the 2015 survey, the highest purchase price was capped at $5 million, from
$1.3 million in previous surveys. The mean or the average price is used to calculate the
total dollar volume of purchases. The mean can be used as a measure of central
tendency. It is found by summing the responses and dividing by the number of
responses. However, because home values tend to skew to the higher end, the median is
often a better reflection of typical market activity. The median is the middle value of the
distribution. Half of all purchases fall below this value and half are above this value.
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The National Association of REALTORS, The Voice for Real Estate, is Americas largest
trade association, representing over 1.2 million members, including NARs institutes,
societies and councils, involved in all aspects of the real estate industry. NAR membership
includes brokers, salespeople, property managers, appraisers, counselors and others
engaged in both residential and commercial real estate. The term REALTOR is a registered
collective membership mark that identifies a real estate professional who is a member of the
National Association of REALTORS and subscribes to its strict Code of Ethics. Working for
America's property owners, the National Association provides a facility for professional
development, research and exchange of information among its members and to the public
and government for the purpose of preserving the free enterprise system and the right to
own real property.
The Mission of the National Association of REALTORS Research Division is to collect and
disseminate timely, accurate and comprehensive real estate data and to conduct economic
analysis to inform and engage members, consumers, and policy makers and the media in a
professional and accessible manner.
To find out about other products from NARs Research Division, visit
https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics.
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