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سلسلة الإحتمالات مع الحل للنهائي علوم تجريبية رائعة جداا

يتناول المستند موضوع احتمالات. يشمل على أمثلة وتمارين حول حساب احتمالات الأحداث العشوائية والمتغيرات العشوائية. كما يتضمن معلومات حول التوزيع الاحتمالي والقيمة المتوقعة.
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We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
100% found this document useful (5 votes)
6K views11 pages

سلسلة الإحتمالات مع الحل للنهائي علوم تجريبية رائعة جداا

يتناول المستند موضوع احتمالات. يشمل على أمثلة وتمارين حول حساب احتمالات الأحداث العشوائية والمتغيرات العشوائية. كما يتضمن معلومات حول التوزيع الاحتمالي والقيمة المتوقعة.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1

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:1
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, " ! " A : , " " B
43
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91
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* : 3 X 6 5 34

X 4 3 1 3 4
) p (X = x 0,25 a b 0,05 0,25

E ( X ) = 0 a b

1/11 Math.ma 4/2017



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, . U1 ! # U2

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) :
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5
p ( A ) = :
9
5 4 > 3 > 4 : (2
1
1
. >
6
> 3 ( ! 2 ) .
# @ , 3

2/11 Math.ma 4/2017



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" : B "
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: < A B C

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! # "#. B
2 # ) ! B . X 6 5 34
> 3 B .
.1 6 5. X 34
.2 < . E ( X ) 3#

3/11 Math.ma 4/2017



1

1 G B

" "

card = C 142 = 91 :
" " ! A (1

cardA = C 62 + C 82 = 15 + 28 = 43 :
cardA 43
p (A ) = = :
card 91
" $ ! % " B (2

1 1 2 2

cardB = C 92 + C 52 = 36 + 10 = 46 :

cardB 46
p (B ) = = :
card 91

p (A B )
pA ( B ) = : ( 3
p (A )
: p (A B )
" ! $ ! % " ) ' & A B :
card ( A B ) = C + C + C + C 32 = 6 + 10 + 1 + 3 = 20 :
2
4
2
5
2
2

20
p (A B ) = :
91
43
p (A B ) = *
91
20
20
p A ( B ) = 91 = :+
43 43
91
. . / B A , p A ( B ) p ( B ) (4

4/11 Math.ma 4/2017



1

' 12* 3 X (5
(

X =0

X =1

X =2

C 82 28
p ( X = 0) = = (
91 91
C 1 C 61 8 6 48
p ( X = 1) = 8 = =
91 91 91
C 62 15
p ( X = 2) = =
91 91
: X $
xi 0 1 2
p (X = x i ) 28 48 15
91 91 91

: 5 6(
28 48 15 78
E ( X ) = 0 + 1 + 2 =
91 91 91 91
: 3
2
28 48 15 78 3780
V ( X ) = 02 + 12 + 22 =
91 91 91 91 8281
: <
3780
(X ) = V (X ) = 0,67
8281

5/11 Math.ma 4/2017



1

2 G B

" = = 2 " H
" %'< + = = 2 " I

I
2
10
H
8
10
3
I
5

2
I
5
1
10
H
9
10
I

3 2 3
p ( A1 ) = p ( H I ) = = (1
5 10 25

( )
p ( A2 ) = p H I = =
3 8 12
5 10 25

( )
p ( A3 ) = p H I = =
2 1 1
5 10 25

( )
p ( A4 ) = p H I = =
2 9 9
5 10 25

( )=
1 1
p H I p ( A3 )
( )
pI H =
p (I )
= 25 = 25 =
p ( A1 ) + p ( A3 ) 3 + 1 4 4
1
(2

25 25 25

6/11 Math.ma 4/2017



1

3 G B

pi = 1 pi = 1
i i

E ( X ) = 0 p i .x i = 0
i
0,25 + a + b + 0,05 + 0,25 = 1

( 4 0,25 ) + ( 3 a ) + (1 b ) + ( 3 0,05 ) + ( 4 0,25 ) = 0
a + b = 0,45

3a + b = 0,15
a = 0,15

b = 0,30

4 G B

" ? ) " = V (1
1
p (V ) = :
4
1
p = p (V ) = n = 10 12' 3 Y
4
" ) @ %@ & ' ) "A
1 2187 32805
p ( A ) = p (Y = 3) = C 103 p 3 (1 p )
103
= 120 =
64 16384 131072
" ) ' & $6 " ) ' & B
p ( B ) = p (Y 2 )
p ( B ) = 1 p (Y < 2 )
p ( B ) = 1 ( p (Y = 0 ) + p (Y = 1) )

(
p ( B ) = 1 C 100 p 0 (1 p )
100
+ C 101 p 1 (1 p )
101
)
792697
=
1048576

1
E (Y ) = n p = 10
= 2,5 (2
4
1 3
V (Y ) = n p (1 p ) = 10 = 1,875
4 4
(Y ) = V (Y ) 1,37
7/11 Math.ma 4/2017

1

G B 5

@% " U 1 "
1
card 1 = C 93 = 84 :
" " A (1
cardA = C C = 3 2 = 6
2
3
1
2

6 1
= ) p (A =
84 14
@% ! " " B
cardB = C + C = 4 + 1 = 5
3
4
3
3

5
= ) p (B
84

5 ' & $6 " "C


5 " ' " C

) (
3
C 10 5
= p C = 5
= :
84 84 42

) (
p (C ) = 1 p C = 1
5 37
=
42 42
:

B @% * 6 X 3 *2 1 (2
B ,N ,R (X )= 3
C 41 C 31 C 21 2
= )p ( X = 3 =
84 7

B ,B ,B

R ,R ,R (X )= 2

N , N , N

C 42 C 51 + C 32 C 61 + C 22 C 71 55
= )p ( X = 2 =
84 84

5 " U2 " F (3

8/11 Math.ma 4/2017



1

C 43 C 52 C 33 C 22
+
p ( F B ) 84 C 62 84 C 62 41
= ) pB ( F = =
) p (B 5 75
84

G B 6

$ " (1 "

card = C 92 = 36 :
" 1 * % $ " A

1 0

cardA = C 51 C 41 = 20
20 5
= ) p (A =
36 9
1 1 (2( " B * "

C 42 6 1
= ) p (B = =
36 36 6
=D: (
. * * B * ' : n = 3
5 : k = 2 * *
1
* = ) : p = p (B
6
* 5 : :
2 1
1 5 5
) C 32 p 2 (1 p
3 2
= = 3
6 6 72

9/11 Math.ma 4/2017



1

G B 7

E % , " " 3

card = 103 = 1000 :
" A @% ! B "
cardA = 53 + 33 + 23 = 160
160 4
= ) p (A =
1000 25
" B ) ' & "
) 6 ( 51 31 21 9
= ) p (B =
1000 50
" " C ) ' & $6 ' &
) 3 ( 52 51 15
= ) p (C =
1000 40

G B 8

E % 3 ) " "

card = A 63 = 120 :
) X 3 *2 1 ' 5 .
(1
B ,B ,B (X )= 0

A 33 6 1
= )p ( X = 0 = =
120 120 20

B , B , B

B , B ,B (X )= 1

B ,B , B

3 A 32 A31 54 9
= )p ( X = 1 = =
120 120 20

10/11 Math.ma 4/2017



1

B , B ,B

B ,B , B (X = 2)

B , B ,B

3 A 31 A 32 54 9
p ( X = 1) = = =
120 120 20

B ,B ,B (X = 3)

A33 6 1
p ( X = 3) = = =
120 120 20

xi 0 1 2 3
p (X = x i ) 1 9 9 1
20 20 20 20

1 9 9 1 30
E ( X ) = 0 + 1 + 2 + 3 = = 1,5 : 5 6( 2
20 20 20 20 20

11/11 Math.ma 4/2017

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