- Investa Cup -
Championship Round
* Prioritize Small Caps - separate watchlist; opportunity cost in big caps
Strategy #1 - Focus on Wave 3
1. Prioritize potential WAVE 3 biases
“Usually the longest and strongest trending wave of the sequence.” - RN Elliott
“ Peak Acceleration” - Robert Prechter
"...every superperformance stock made its BIG GAIN while in STAGE 2 of its price cycle” - MM
Strategy #1 - Why does W3F Strat Work?
- Edwin Lefèvre on biography of Jesse Livermore (1877-1940)
Elliott Wave Theory was developed in late 1920’s but popularized in 1970s
Isolate that part of “SITTING TIGHT” where the roller coaster ride is the fastest = WAVE 3
Wave 3 Strategy = 64% of Total Profits
Full (3) of 3 - E2E breakdown to follow
3 of (3)
3 of (5)
1 of (3) (?)
3 of (5) extended
3 of (5) - E2E Breakdown to follow
1 of (3) (?)
part of (3)
3 of (3)
Strategy #2 - Counter trending (bullish div)
1. Prioritize Countertrend moves… with bullish divergence set-ups… off support levels
- a more advanced technique vs. sticking with uptrends / strong issues
- but offers a similar albeit “short lived peak acceleration” of Wave 3
- Distinguish between “BULLISH LATE PEAK ARCS” vs. “BEARISH EARLY PEAK ARCS”
- Geoff Goetz/Bill Cara, “Four Pillars Report” Trader Wizard subscription
Countertrend Strategy = 30% of Total Profits
Full A wave - E2E trade breakdown
2follow
RSI bullish divergence + 0.618 fib support
RSI bullish divergence (class B) + volume
RSI bullish divergence + 0.618 fib support
Strategy #3 - RISK MGT Strategy
1. MOST IMPT of all 3 Strategies —> “RISK FIRST, PROFITS SECOND.” - EKL
VAR CUT STRAT (to BE cut) ASHWANI CUT STRAT (to BE cut)
MAX 1% VAR = 1000 Php + intraday entry 20min low / max 1000 Php + intraday entry c/o Dr. AE
= lower hit ratio = higher # of trades = but higher edge ratio
Sept 4 Dec 28
Halfway Point of
Investa Cup
most important slide of this presentation!
Operational Discipline / Execution
The 2 STRATEGIES are essentially DIRECTIONAL BIASES (opinions) = the LESSER HALF of the equation
STRATEGIC BIAS + PRICE ACTION SET-UP = EXECUTE BUY/SELL ✅
PRICE ACTION SET-UP = EXECUTE BUY/SELL ✅
STRATEGIC BIAS = EXECUTE BUY/SELL 𝙓
PRICE ACTION SET-UP = BUY ONLY WHEN (1) BOUNCE OFF SUPPORT…. OR… (2) BREAKOUT OF AREA PATTERN RESISTANCE
SELL ONLY WHEN (1) BREAKDOWN OFF SUPPORT…. OR … (3) UNTOG OFF RESISTANCE
OPERATING PRINCIPLE: SET-UP > BIAS
“We trade what we SEE … NOT what we THINK… NOT what other ppl THINK… certainly NOT what we hear”
AKA
PRICE ABOVE EVERYTHING, and EVERYONE ELSE
most important slide of this presentation!
E2E Breakdown of PXP (Wave 3 Strategy)
entered here (R)
entered here (IC) @4.23
10d ema set-up w/
Follow through day w/ vol next day
E2E Breakdown of X (Countertrend)
E2E Breakdown of X (Countertrend)
entered here (IC) @3.2
Last exit 5.68
intraday entry at 3.20
E2E Breakdown of NOW (Wave 3 Strategy) - wave (3) inside 5
0.618
E2E Breakdown of NOW (Wave 3 Strategy) - wave (3) inside 5
E2E Breakdown of NOW (Wave 3 Strategy) - wave (3) inside 5
entered 2.53
BIG money is made in the sitting and holding - JL
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