Landslide Disaster Risk Management in Bosnia and Herzegovina - Rev
Landslide Disaster Risk Management in Bosnia and Herzegovina - Rev
Summary narrative:
Responding to the longer-term country needs related to disaster risk alleviation the project aims to strengthen
capacities of local governments in Bosnia and Herzegovina for landslide risk mitigation, thus contribute to safety
of the population and infrastructure in target areas, as well as to sustainability of development investments.
Specifically, the intervention will provide support to 9 landslide- and flood-affected local governments to
remediate and stabilise landslides through specific risk-reduction investments, as well as strengthen their
landslide management and monitoring capacities.
Project Period: 12 months (15 months for Total budget: USD 4,140,000
Government financial contributions) Allocated resources:
Japanese government: USD 2,940,000
Key Result Area (Strategic Plan): Resilience Government in Bosnia and Herzegovina: USD
1,200,000
Start date: March 2015
Unfunded budget: _________
End Date: March 2016 In-kind Contributions: _________
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
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SECTION I: PROJECT PROPOSAL
PART I: SITUATION ANALYSIS
1.1. Wider country context
In recent years, Bosnia and Herzegovina experienced significant progress in restoring peace and stability, as well
as in moving from post-war recovery to becoming a potential candidate to the European Union (EU). Since 1995,
the country has managed to alleviate the problem of internally displaced persons, rebuild a vast amount of
infrastructure devastated by war and restore peace, security and the freedom of movement throughout its
territory. In July 2008, the EU and Bosnia and Herzegovina signed the Stabilization and Association Agreement
(SAA), which creates a far-reaching contractual relationship between both sides entailing mutual rights and
obligations. The country has fulfilled all the requirements for visa liberalization and is gradually moving towards
meeting NATO and EU pre-accession requirements.
Nonetheless, considerable challenges still confront the country. The complex constitutional structure stemming
from the Dayton Peace Agreement is highly cumbersome. The country of 3.8 million people has 13 constitutions
(state, two entities, one autonomous district and 10 cantons), 14 legal systems and more than 140 ministries.
This governance structure has led to political deadlock, low investment and socio-economic inequalities, and high
levels of corruption. Slow legislative processes resulting from political stalemate further hamper progress. As was
manifested in the February 2014 wide-spread citizens’ protests, public trust in government is declining sharply.
After nearly 10 years of relatively stable economic growth, the country’s economic performance has deteriorated
markedly, partly because of the global economic crisis, but also because of the generally slow pace of transition
reforms. The unemployment rate, according to the ILO, stood at 27.5 per cent in 2014, while official government
figures placed it at 43.7 per cent. Following relatively robust average annual real GDP growth of +4.8 percent in
2000-2008, the economy of Bosnia and Herzegovina experienced a recession in 2009 (-2.7 per cent) and 2012 (-
1.2 per cent) in the wake of the global financial crisis. In 2014, GDP growth is forecast to slow to about +0.7 per
cent. The informal economy remains quite large.
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Bosnia and Herzegovina Floods 2014, Recovery Needs Assessment, June, 2014:
http://europa.ba/FloodsRecovery.aspx?lang=EN.
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capacity vary, with a large impact particularly in the enterprise and agriculture sector, affecting livelihoods and
future food supply. Many crops have been completely destroyed and livestock has been greatly affected, thus
threatening the livelihood of farmers in the short and medium term.
Mines and UXOs, which due to floods and landslides have migrated, contaminate more than 70 per cent of the
flood-affected zone (800 km2), while mine-awareness signs have been washed away.
Landslides
Landslides are a continuous and well know hazard for Bosnia and Herzegovina, and represent a complex and
ever-increasing problem for authorities at all levels, as well as for affected communities. The Risk Assessment for
Bosnia and Herzegovina adopted by the Council of Ministers in 2012 registers more than 1,800 active landslides
in the country. Landslides are typically activated due to temporary development of significant ground water
pressures along the slip planes, with actual mass displacement sometimes initiated within minutes or hours of
activation. Such conditions are likely to occur following significant rainstorms and snowmelt. None of the major
landslide areas that threaten villages are equipped with monitoring and warning instrumentation, so their
populations are vulnerable to landslide hazards.
The 1992-1995 war in the country caused massive migration of people, linked with illegal construction of houses
in sloping living areas, or alongside riverbeds. This is one of the main reasons for activation of landslides.
Furthermore, lack of spatial planning documentation based on geological analysis leads to unsustainable
territorial development and infrastructure investments, which in the long-term also causes landslide hazards.
Large scale deforestation along with faulty management practices have led to high vulnerability to landslides in
many regions of the country. Human activities relating to expansion on unsafe locations, unscientific mining,
haphazard construction of roads, dams and river training works ignoring natural features also contributed to
increased intensity of landslides.
Sudden snowmelt and intensive and considerable precipitation over a brief period of time are certainly of major
importance for the occurrence and intensity of landslide activity. Such is the case, for example, in Tuzla Canton,
where numerous landslides were activated each time there was more than 70 l/m2 rainfall within 24 hours since
2001.
At present, many local governments do not have maps of landslide-affected areas, while the need to create
comprehensive landslide cadastres and systemically monitor landslide activity remains.
Institutional set-up
The institutional set-up related to landslide management in Bosnia and Herzegovina is as follows: there are two
relevant entity-based institutions – i.e. the Geological Institute of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina
(FBiH), which is an independent directorate of the FBiH Government, and the Geological Institute of Republika
Srpska (RS) under the RS Ministry of Industry, Energy and Mining. Both of these institutions started the
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development of entity landslides cadastres; however, significant improvement of their capacity is necessary. At
the cantonal level within the FBiH there are also sector-related responsible institutions, as well as relevant
structures within local governments. Pursuant to the relevant legal framework at entity level, both cantonal and
local governments in the country have to prepare landslide cadastres and adopt regulative frameworks to govern
landslide hazard management. Local governments tend to have most accurate and detailed information related
to landslides on their territories. Institutional, technical and financial capacities for landslide management, risk
mitigation and cadastre vary greatly across local governments.
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UNDP managed to support authorities of Bosnia and Herzegovina in mobilizing, coordinating and effectively
delivering financial resources for recovery. In partnership with the EU and other bilateral counterparts, a financial
package of USD 75 million (primary financial contribution by the EU) has been fund-raised and consolidated in
an integrated recovery intervention for 2014-2015. Through this intervention, more than 4,000 homes, 125
public institutions (municipal buildings, schools, kindergartens, healthcare centres), 100 bridges and roads, 20
water and sanitation systems will be rehabilitated, and more than 3,000 jobs will be retained or created.
In addition, UNDP in Bosnia and Herzegovina has been progressively engaged in disaster risk reduction (DRR)
activities since 2004, utilizing its global knowledge and expertise. During the period 2004 - 2005, UNDP
implemented the Emergency Assistance to Flood Affected Areas Project, aiming to alleviate damages inflicted by
natural disasters. Later on, in 2007, it launched and effectively realized the Capacity Building for National Disaster
Risk Reduction Project, which supported the adoption of Law on Protection and Rescue of People and Material
Goods In Case of Natural and Other Disasters in Bosnia and Herzegovina and the establishment of the National
Headquarters (Coordination Body) for risk management. In 2009 UNDP, through the Global Risk Identification
Programme, and together with relevant entity institutions, initiated an intervention aiming to strengthen
institutional capacity for assessing disaster risks. This work culminated in the completion of the National Risk
Assessment in 2012. UNDP in Bosnia and Herzegovina currently implements 6 projects that address DRR
challenges, aiming at reduction of disaster risks through strengthening and promoting DRR related systems,
policies and capacities at all levels of government, as well as concrete flood- and landslide protection and risk
mitigation measures.
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also the institutional, economic, and social aspects of disaster mitigation. UNDP can leverage additional resources
from international and domestic institutions and is well placed to effectively coordinate this intervention with
other relevant stakeholders and donors in the country.
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- Construction of supporting structures and fortifications in solid ground (supstratum); these actions may
be conducted in sequencing phases, as relevant;
- Placement of simple warning signs.
The water from the drainage system released from remediated landslides will be transported to public sewers or
rivers, as appropriate.
This output will ensure remediation of 10 landslide-hazardous sites, thus directly positively affecting life of more
than 4,400 people in more than 1,200 housing units on landslide territories, alleviating human safety threats,
contributing to restoration of livelihoods and securing development investments.
Output 2: Institutional capacities of selected local governments for landslide management are strengthened
The project will support partner local governments to strengthen their landslide management capacity through
tailored technical assistance and training. Specifically, the project will support preliminary review of the landslide
cadastre status within target localities and identify critical gaps and recommendations to local administrations.
Technical advice and on-the-job assistance will be offered to relevant local government staff (Spatial Planning
Departments) to implement the recommendations provided by the review missions. In parallel, as relevant, the
project will support update and advancement of management tools for landslide cadastres, thus ensure
adequate information necessary for longer-term landslide management and risk mitigation. Importantly, the
project will offer technical assistance to local counterparts to conduct landslide monitoring and thus be aware of
the situation and potential landslide-related hazards on the territory of the local government. Simple electronic
tools for landslide monitoring and management will be introduced (GIS, monitoring software, etc.). The assistance in this
area will be complemented by the design of simple landslide monitoring guidelines for local governments, based
on existing internationally recognised methodologies. For that purpose, IT experts will be recruited, so as to assist
local governments in the update of cadastre process. All knowledge products under this output will be shared
with the entity Associations of Municipalities and Cities for further dissemination.
In addition, a specialised 6-day training programme and practical manual will be developed on “Landslide
Management and Risk Mitigation” and delivered to representatives of participating local governments in the
course of the project implementation. An international expert will be recruited to design the comprehensive
training programme (unique expertise of Japan might be utilised with this regard). A National expert will also be
recruited to contribute to the training programme and practical manual development. To sustain and expand the
knowledge in this area, the training programme will be handed over to the Training System for Local
Governments in Bosnia and Herzegovina, so it can be delivered to additional local governments country-wide.
In addition, the project will support the development of first of its kind comprehensive analysis of the existing
legal, institutional and policy framework related to landslide management in Bosnia and Herzegovina, so as assess
the gaps and provide sound recommendations for structural improvements. Particular focus will be placed on
identifying deficiencies and gaps at the local government level and providing adequate recommendations to
address them.
The project`s duration is 1 year (12 months), with possible extension activities related to the financial
contribution of the FBiH Government.
As previously mentioned, the project will work directly with 9 local governments in flood- and landslide affected
areas. Through its activities, the project will have indirect outreach to more than 488,000 citizens in target
localities.
Direct project beneficiaries will be:
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- 9 local governments (Doboj (RS), Goražde (FBiH), Maglaj (FBiH), Srebrenik (FBiH), Tuzla (FBiH), Vogošča
(FBiH), Zenica (FBiH), Zvornik (RS) and Žepče (FBiH):
- 27 representatives from relevant municipal departments who will be direct counterparts in project
implementation and will benefit from training and technical assistance;
- 4,400 people in more than 1,200 housing units on landslide territories;
- at least 10 representative from higher government level partner institutions (entity and state) who will be
engaged in project implementation.
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As crosscutting principles, the project will apply the concepts of “build back better” and “build back together”
within each locality, working jointly with local governments, local public institutions and communities to design
and implement recovery activities rapidly but inclusively.
Particular attention will be placed on environmental sustainability of project work, ensured through the
environmental impact assessments.
Gender equality principle will also be applied throughout project implementation, with particular relevance to
gender-sensitive analyses, equal participation of men and women in project activities and equal access to
improved living conditions in affected territories.
At present, UNDP implements interventions in almost 90 per cent of local governments country-wide. To respond
adequately to the complexity of local needs, UNDP undertook a regional approach to delivery of its multi-facetted
assistance via establishment of 5 regional field offices - respectively in Banja Luka, Bihać, Mostar, Srebrenica and
Sarajevo (Annex I). This existing organizational infrastructure will be instrumental for the project implementation,
where field offices/engineers will serve as extended hands to support and monitor project implementation in
target localities.
Partnership is also envisaged as horizontal project approach. Engagement, commitment and partnership will not
only be important for successful implementation of the project, but also a pre-condition for sustainability of its
results.
Visibility
Visibility, media-presence and public information sharing of project activities and achievements will be ensured
on a regular basis by the UNDP Communication Unit through: i) press events related to formal ceremonies or
highlight project results in the field, where representation of the Japanese cooperation office will be sought ii)
website posts; ii) social media posts; iv) display boards on investment site stating the contribution of the
Government of Japan to the project results; v) promotional and information materials; vi) photo and video stories
(“before” and “after” the work of the project) supported by the Government of Japan.
Information and press-statements will be in line with the Communication and visual identity requirements of the
Government of Japan as the primary donor of the project. The visual identity of the Government of Japan will be
visibly displayed on all locations, events and materials.
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2.5. Risk analysis and mitigation measures
The following risks for the project implementation and mitigation measures were identified:
Likelihood/
Type of risks Mitigation measures
probability
Lack of sufficient number of quality service Credible service providers will be made
providers to allow for delivery of Medium aware of upcoming tender processes
re/construction works/services. to encourage interest.
Discuss with counterparts contingency
Floods and heavy rainfall re-occur in spring
Medium measures, ideally based on disaster
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preparedness plans at the local level
Winter conditions delay re/construction Low- Plan carefully delivery of works, as per
works medium seasonal conditions
Careful mine surveillance and
Heavy mines and UXOs contamination at cooperation with relevant mine action
Medium
selected sites authorities and subsequent
adjustment of project activities
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UNDP will submit a written request to the Government of Japan for prior approval in case (1) the extension of
the project is required, and/or (2) the re-deployment of funds between approved project budget components is
required, if more than 20% increase or decrease is expected.
For any fund balances at the end of the project, UNDP will consult with the Government of Japan on its use.
The interest income should be treated in accordance with the Japan-UNDP agreement on Arrangement for the
Interest Income derived from Japan-UNDP Partnership Fund.
Reporting
The project will adopt the following reporting modalities:
- Interim Narrative Report submitted to the Project Board;
- Final Narrative Report submitted to the Government of Japan and to the Project Board;
- Final Financial Report submitted to the Government of Japan and to the Project Board.
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The following types of revisions may be made to this project document with the signature of the UNDP Resident
Representative only, provided s/he is assured that the other signatories of the project document have no
objections to the proposed changes:
(a) Revisions in, or addition of, any of the annexes of the project document;
(b) Revisions which do not involve significant changes in the immediate objectives, outputs, or activities of a
project, but are caused by the rearrangement of inputs already agreed to or by cost increases due to inflation;
and
(c) Mandatory annual revisions which re-phase the delivery of agreed project inputs or increased expert or other
costs due to inflation or take into account agency expenditure flexibility.
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SECTION II: RESULTS AND RESOURCES FRAMEWORK
RESPONSIBLE
INTENDED OUTPUTS INDICATIVE ACTIVITIES INPUTS (USD)
PARTIES
Output 1: Landslide risk in selected local governments is reduced
through technical and engineering measures Activity 1.1. Mitigation measures for 10
Baseline: 3,000 landslides activated during the May 2014 floods in active landslide sides
Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Indicator: Number and m2 of risk-mitigated landslides in target local Contractors services/companies 3,492,857.14
governments by the end of March 2016; Contractual services/individuals 100,800
Target: At least 10 landslides covering at least 600,000 m2 are Travel 12,000
remediated within partner local governments.
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Target: At least 27 local government staff from target local
governments.
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SECTION III: ANNUAL WORK PLAN
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ANNEXES
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Annex II: Project budget
Budget_landslides.xl
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