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Historic NIFTY PCR & VIX Datamining For SMR - Mudraa

The document discusses the Smart Money Ratio (SMR), which is calculated as the VIX divided by the PCR. It provides guidance that an SMR above 60 indicates the market may bounce back, while an SMR below 20 indicates the market may fall. It then provides links to access historic VIX and PCR data from the NSE website. Additional comments discuss using this historic data in Excel and prior instances where bearish crossovers of moving averages preceded declines in the market.

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Singh Sudip
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
459 views6 pages

Historic NIFTY PCR & VIX Datamining For SMR - Mudraa

The document discusses the Smart Money Ratio (SMR), which is calculated as the VIX divided by the PCR. It provides guidance that an SMR above 60 indicates the market may bounce back, while an SMR below 20 indicates the market may fall. It then provides links to access historic VIX and PCR data from the NSE website. Additional comments discuss using this historic data in Excel and prior instances where bearish crossovers of moving averages preceded declines in the market.

Uploaded by

Singh Sudip
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1/21/2017 Historic NIFTY PCR & VIX datamining for SMR ­ Mudraa.

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Historic NIFTY PCR & VIX datamining for SMR

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From : Niladri Jana (http://www.mudraa.com/otheruserpro.php?loginid=njana) at 06:03 PM ­ Nov 01, 2011 ( 5 years ago (2011­11­01T18:03:33+05:30) )

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SMR (Smart Money Ratio) = VIX / PCR
When SMR >= 60 Then Chances are Market May Bounce back (BULLISH) 
When SMR <= 20 Then Chances are Market May Fall (BEARISH)
How to get historic VIX & PCR values:

PCR: http://www.nseindia.com/content/fo/fo_businessgrowth.htm
VIX: http://www.nseindia.com/content/vix/hist_vix_data.htm
FYI...SMR as on 31st Oct 2011 = 20.0531

This needs a bit of manual copy paste job in a text file followed by conversion in excel.
I have many requests in Mudraa for historic VIX & PCR data ....so hope this helps!

From: Niladri Jana (http://www.mudraa.com/otheruserpro.php?loginid=njana) at 06:36 PM ­ Nov 01, 2011  
 

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1/21/2017 Historic NIFTY PCR & VIX datamining for SMR ­ Mudraa.com

NSE site started giving PCR EOD since APR 2009...here is the excel having Historic PCR from AP2009 to Oct2011

http://www.4shared.com/document/yL46RgPD/PCR.html

From: Niladri Jana (http://www.mudraa.com/otheruserpro.php?loginid=njana) at 08:31 PM ­ Nov 01, 2011  
 
Historic ET article ( not sure when it was written ): http://m.economictimes.com/PDAET/articleshow/msid­3999364,curpg­2.cms

The Death Trap 

The Nifty daily chart (the one in the middle) makes it absolutely clear that the trendline, drawn from the bottom made on the 27th of October has been decisively
broken. 

At the same time, it also tells us that the trendline is now around 3000, only above which, will the uptrend resume. Having broken the uptrend, the Nifty currently
finds itself in a very tight range, with clearly defined upper and lower ranges. So, these two horizontal lines should be used as stop­losses /triggers for all short­
term trades, with closes above being stop­losses for shorts and triggers for fresh long trades and closes below these lines being stop­losses for longs and
triggers for fresh short positions. 

While that takes care of the extreme short term, if you look from a slightly longer­term perspective, a very dangerous pattern (for bulls) is getting formed in
the Nifty. This pattern consists of first a bullish crossover of the 20 DMA above the 50 DMA, and then a bit of a downwards movement, followed by
gains for a few days and finally, the death nail ­ the bearish crossover of the 20 DMA below the 50 DMA. As is evident in the other Nifty daily chart, the last
two times this had happened ­ in May­June and July­August ­ the consequences had been nothing short of, in a trader's lingo, DEATH. 

As is clearly visible, even this time around, the bullish crossover has happened and has been followed by a meltdown and now the 20 DMA looks all set to do the
bearish crossover below the 50 DMA. Interestingly, the way the averages are placed, if this bearish crossover has to happen, it will, in most probabilities, happen
in the current week. So, if this happens sometime over this week, just do one thing ­ buy the 2500 February put and put them in a safe deposit vault. For, if recent
history is anything to go by, this bearish crossover will open up the downside, with targets of sub­2000 Nifty levels!

The above scenario repeated from 6th July 2011 ­ 4th Aug 2011. Clue from the past.

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In Reply to above Message (1 to 3 out of 3) ­ Latest Replies are put on Top | First | << Previous | Next >> | Last |

From : Sheetal Sharma (http://www.mudraa.com/otheruserpro.php?loginid=Dreamer) at 08:18 PM ­ Nov 01, 2011 ( 5 years ago
(2011­11­01T20:18:37+05:30) )

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if smr nt less then equal to 20...say for example 24 25 26 27..then?

From : Aliasgar Jiruwala (http://www.mudraa.com/otheruserpro.php?loginid=luckyali043) at 07:35 PM ­ Nov 01, 2011 ( 5 years
ago (2011­11­01T19:35:53+05:30) )

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Great .............thanks for imp info...

From : Vicky Chopra (http://www.mudraa.com/otheruserpro.php?loginid=vicky007) at 06:57 PM ­ Nov 01, 2011 ( 5 years ago
(2011­11­01T18:57:07+05:30) )

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veyr nice

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