Input Output Analysis
Input Output Analysis
Professor Wassily Leontief in the late 1930s, in recognition of which he received the
Nobel Prize in Economic Science in 1973. Input–output has been a part of an
integrated framework of employment and social accounting metrics associated with
industrial production and other economic activity, as well as to accommodate more
explicitly such topics as international and interregional flows of products and
services or accounting for energy consumption and environmental pollution associated
with interindustry activity.
Fundamental Relationships
One essential set of data for an input–output model are monetary values of the
transactions between pairs of sectors (from each sector i to each sector j); these are
usually designated as zij . Sector j’s demand for inputs from other sectors during the
year will have been related to the amount of goods produced by sector j over that same
period. For example, the demand from the automobile sector for the output of the
steel
sector is very closely related to the output of automobiles, the demand for leather
by
the shoe-producing sector depends on the number of shoes being produced, etc.
In addition, in any country there are sales to purchasers who are more external or
exogenous to the industrial sectors that constitute the producers in the economy –
for
example, households, government, and foreign trade. The demands of these units –
and hence the magnitudes of their purchases from each of the industrial sectors – are
generally determined by considerations that are relatively unrelated to the amount
being
produced. For example, government demand for aircraft is related to broad changes
in national policy, budget levels, or defense needs; consumer demand for small cars
is
related to gasoline availability, and so on. The demand of these external units,
since it
tends to be much more for goods to be used as such and not to be used as an input to
an industrial production process, is generally referred to as final demand.
Assume that the economy can be categorized into n sectors. If we denote by xi the
total output (production) of sector i and by fi the total final demand for sector i’s
product,
we may write a simple equation accounting for the way in which sector i distributes
its
product through sales to other sectors and to final demand:
eqn.1
The zij terms represent interindustry sales by sector i (also known as intermediate sales)
to all sectors j (including itself, when j =i). Equation (1) represents the distribution
of sector i output. There will be an equation like this that identifies sales of the
output
of each of the n sectors:
Eqn .2
Let
eqn-3
Here and throughout this text we use lower-case bold letters for (column) vectors, as
in
f and x (so x_ is the corresponding row vector) and upper case bold letters for
matrices,
as in Z.With this notation, the information in (2) on the distribution of each sector
’s
sales can be compactly summarized in matrix notation as
x = Zi + f eqn.4
We use i to represent a column vector of 1’s (of appropriate dimension – here n).
This is
known as a “summation” vector (Section A.8, AppendixA). The important observation
is that post-multiplication of a matrix by i creates a column vector whose elements
are
the row sums of the matrix. Similarly, i_ is a row vector of 1’s, and
premultiplication of
a matrix by i_ creates a row vector whose elements are the column sums of the matrix.
We will use summation vectors often in this and subsequent chapters.
Consider the information in the jth column of z’s on the right-hand side:
These elements are sales to sector j – j’s purchases of the products of the various
producing sectors in the country; the column thus represents the sources and
magnitudes
of sector j’s inputs. Clearly, in engaging in production, a sector also pays for other
items –
for example, labor and capital – and uses other inputs as well, such as inventoried
items.