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Probability Table PDF

This document contains a probability table showing the odds of a golfer shooting a score lower than their Handicap Index based on their Index range. The table lists odds ranging from 5 to 125,000 for net differentials from -0.9 to -10 or lower. It also provides an example of how to calculate a net differential using a player's Index, Course Rating, Slope Rating, and actual score to determine the probability of that score from the table.

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lesantiago
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2K views1 page

Probability Table PDF

This document contains a probability table showing the odds of a golfer shooting a score lower than their Handicap Index based on their Index range. The table lists odds ranging from 5 to 125,000 for net differentials from -0.9 to -10 or lower. It also provides an example of how to calculate a net differential using a player's Index, Course Rating, Slope Rating, and actual score to determine the probability of that score from the table.

Uploaded by

lesantiago
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Exceptional Tournament Score PROBABILITY TABLE

Appendix E, USGA Handicap System Manual, 2012-2015

What are the odds of a player with a certain Handicap Index


shooting a score lower than their Index? Check out this
chart!
Handicap Index Ranges
Net 5.9 or 6.0 – 13.0 - 22.0 - 31.0 or
Differential less 12.9 21.9 30.9 greater
0 to - 0.9 5 5 6 5 5
-1.0 to -1.9 10 10 10 8 7
-2.0 to -2.9 23 22 21 13 10
-3.0 to -3.9 57 51 43 23 15
-4.0 to -4.9 151 121 87 40 22
-5.0 to -5.9 379 276 174 72 35
-6.0 to -6.9 790 536 323 130 60
-7.0 to -7.9 2349 1200 552 229 101
-8.0 to -8.9 20111 4467 1138 382 185
-9.0 to -9.9 48219 27877 3577 695 359
-10.0 or less 125000 84300 37000 1650 874

The values in the table are the odds of shooting a net differential EQUAL TO
OR BETTER THAN the number in the left column.

*A net differential is the subtraction of a player’s Handicap Index from the


handicap differential for a particular T-score (Tournament Score). This
becomes a negative value when the player scores much better than his
Handicap Index.

Example: A player with a Handicap Index of 10.5 shoots a 74 from a set of


tees with a Course Rating of 70.2 and a Slope Rating of 126. The differential
for that score is a 3.8. Minus the Index from the Differential to see the
negative differential.

(74 – 70.2) = 3.8 x 113 / 126 = 3.8 Handicap Differential


3.8 – 10.5 = -7.1

From the chart, the probability is 1 in 1,200 that a player


with a 10.5 Index will shoot a 74 on
a course rated 70.2 / 126

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