SPE GCS Annual Drilling
Symposium
Evaluating Barriers to Manage Drilling
Costs and Risks
Prosper Aideyan, P.E., Prozzane LLC
14 April 2016
Houston, Texas
Evaluating Barriers to Manage
Drilling Costs and Risks
Prosper Aideyan, P.E.
© Prozzane , LLC 2016
Contents
Risk Management
Barriers and Types
Barrier Evaluation
Barrier Effectiveness
Bow-ties and Example Risks and Barriers
Impact of Barriers on Drilling Optimization
Barrier Generation
Barrier Design and Selection
Inherently Safer Design/Practices
Other Example Bow-ties and Barriers to Risks
3
Risk Management
Risk Management: forecasting and evaluation of risks
together with the development of barriers to avoid or
minimize their impact
Identification
Assessment
Barriers generation
Barriers monitoring and review
4
Risk Management Process
A- Risk Identification B- Risk Assessment
• Review effect of deviation in B • Assign probability and Impact
measurable parameters • Determine acceptable risk
• Review possible change in
A • Cancel operations where
energy in the system risks cannot be accepted
• Energy – mechanical,
hydraulic, heat, chemical etc.
Risk
Management
D-Monitoring and Review
• Review risks and barriers at
pre-defined frequency D C C-Barriers Generation
• Evaluate effectiveness and
reliability of barriers
• Testing and validation of
• Preventative,
barriers
detection/control, mitigation
• Consider upgrading
barriers
procedural barriers to
• People, Process, Equipment
passive/active barriers
• Passive, Active, Procedural
• Source new barriers due to
better technology or
government regulation
• Establishing KPIs
Barriers
Barriers are simply “obstacle” to transfer/flow of energy
Energy release “hazard” are contained by multiple
barriers
Source: Process Safety – Recommended Practice on Key Performance
Indicators. Report No. 456, 2011
Types of Barriers
Preventative Barriers: Reduce likelihood of occurrence
Elimination
Prevention
Control/Detection Barriers: detection of risk events/control
(indicators)
Parameters trending such as ROP, WOB, d-exponent, MSE,Vibration,
Power etc.
Alarms
Can be use to determine the effectiveness of an action implemented
to address a risk
It can be used to validate/update design (design vs. Actual)
Mitigation Barriers: Minimize impact
Mitigations
Contingency plans
7
Barriers
Control/Detection
Elimination “Listening” Barriers: This
Reduces the
chance of
involves operational
occurrence parameters trending or
Prevention testing such as:
Decreasing
Effectiveness Torque and Drag
Detection/Control WOB, RPM, MW
Vibration/shocks
Mud properties
Mitigation D-exponent
Reduces
the impact Positive and in-flow testing
Contingency Plan Operation limits should be
defined with high and low
alarms
8
Comparison of Preventative and Mitigation
Barriers
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
9
Detection/Control Barriers
Power Graph
200
180
160 Desired region: Low MSE, High ROP
140
120
ROP, ft/hr
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
MSE, kpsi
Actual Data 100 HP 200 HP 400 HP 800 HP 1000 HP
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
10
Evaluation of Barriers (1)
Passive Barriers:
No human action or control logic required e.g. Blast walls,
casing, cement, mechanical plugs, etc.
Active Barriers:
Requires some form of human intervention or control logic
e.g. BOP activation, alarms etc.
Administrative/Procedural Barriers:
Full human action required – someone has to take action e.g.
Procedure to pump sweeps at defined intervals, procedure to
ensure pipe movement etc.
In most cases this should not form a basis of long term risk
reduction plan. It should be a temporary solution until an
active or passive barrier can be implemented
11
Evaluation of Barriers (2)
People:
Competency
Behavior (speak up, STOP)
Follow approved procedure or MOC to
change
Process/Procedures:
Company/industry standards
Procedures for interpreting and
responding to upsets e.g. Ballooning
Adequate procedure for tasks
Equipment:
Fit for purpose design/reliability
Inspection, testing, maintenance
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
12
Barriers Effectiveness
Barriers are more effective if they require less human
action and/or communication interface because of the
reduce probability of error and/or communication failure
Passive Active Barriers Administrative/Procedural
Barriers Barriers
13
Bow-ties and Example Risk Barriers
Bow-tie is a useful tool for building a framework of
barriers for any particular identified risk
It is a diagrammatic representation of barriers to a risk
event with preventative barriers on one end and
mitigation barriers on the opposite end of the risk event
Bow-tie makes it easier to spot barriers that need to be
strengthened for example presence of too many
procedural barriers
14
Example Risks and Barriers - Vibration
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
15
Example Risks and Barriers – Vibration
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
16
Example Risks and Barriers – Differential
Stuck Pipe
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
17
Example Risks and Barriers – Low ROP
Prevention: Bit & BHA design, mud motor selection/RSS,
mud design, drilling parameters, drilling practices such as
hole cleaning
Detection/Control: WOB, RPM, ROP, MSE, power graph &
vibration measurement and trending
Mitigation: Design BHA with anti-vibration tools, ROP
enhancer
Contingency: Plan to pull bit after wear, availability of
different bit types on location (PDC vs. rock bit), spares
on location
18
Example Risks and Barriers – Hole Cleaning
19 Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
Impact of Barriers on Drilling Optimization
Reduced well cost due to low
probability of NPT events
Reduce cost of recovery from
NPT event due to available
mitigation and contingency
barriers
Quick detection and control of
NPT events (parameters
monitoring & trending)
Real time provides quick detection
and better control
Effective barriers reduce the
chance of NPT events
People,
process/procedures/equipment are
barriers to risk events
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
20
Barriers Generation
Barrier creation is a technical
challenge that can be addressed by:
Using existing technology e.g. Use of
expandable liners
Modifying of existing technology e.g.
Development of RSS for onshore
application, casing drilling
High Impact, Low Cost High Impact, High Cost
Inventing new technologies where
Impact
appropriate and economical e.g. Ranging
etc.
Cost and impact of barriers should be
evaluated
Barrier options should be risk-
weighted to determine the most Low Impact, Low Cost Low Impact, High Cost
economical option
Incremental cost of developing a
barrier should not outweigh its benefit
and reliability Cost
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
21
Barrier Design & Selection Concepts (ISD)
Simplification: Avoid complex systems where possible, minimize number of weak links, select
barriers/designs that does not introduce other risks.
Design cement jobs to limit the use of DV/stage cement tools
Avoid foam cement in hydrocarbon zone
Substitution: Use materials that are less “hazardous” or design well components to reduce
risk
Use of heavy weight drill pipe instead of drill collars in horizontal wells
Use spiral drill collars in high angle wells to minimize the probability of differential stuck
pipe
Using rock bits to drill out cement plug
Moderation: Avoid excess processes/procedures, people and equipment/tools
Clear and concise procedures, well defined roles and responsibilities
Limit downhole tools to what is absolutely necessary
Optimize number of stabilizers and centralizers
Modification: Modify well design, mud design, BHA design etc. to address identified risks
Running PBL subs in BHA for lost circulation
Adding stabilizers to BHA to control vibration
Running intermediate casing/liner to isolate formation prone to wellbore instability
Improve mud salinity to address wellbore instability
22
Inherently Safer Design/Practices (ISD)
When possible, select designs that eliminates and/or reduce hazards rather than
controlling them (designs with preventative barriers). If cost prohibitive , select designs
robust enough to minimize impact of a risk event (designs with mitigation barriers)
Well Design:
Drilling away from faults or intercepting faults at 90 degrees to minimize wellbore exposure
within faults, drilling away from shallow gas prone area
Optimizing wellbore trajectory to minimize contacts force to reduce the chance of stuck pipe
Mud Design: 3500
Adequate mud weight, sufficient rheology for hole cleaning
3000
2500
Shear force (lbf)
Mud properties to address wellbore stability 2000
1500
Drilling procedures/practices: 1000
500
Minimize swab and surge 0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600
Proper connection make-up
Distance from Bit (ft)
Vertical Transverse
BHA Design:
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P.
Placing sensitive BHA components in section of BHA with low stress AIDEYAN
Stabilized BHA to prevent vibration and differential stuck pipe
Casing Design:
Setting high integrity casing prior to penetrating hydrocarbon zone
Using connections adequate for possible loads
Long string vs. Liner + tieback
23
Risk Management/Barriers – Other
Considerations
Risks/barrier generation can be transferred to third party
contractors through contracts and legal agreement. (barriers
are generated by people with more expertise)
for example the transfer of BOP NPT to rig contractors or BOP
manufacturers which forces them to perform rigorous testing,
inspection and maintenance
Barriers to identified common risk can be jointly developed by
companies that share same risk by forming a consortium
for example the development of capping stack by Marine Well
Containment Company (MWCC) or by participating in joint industry
project
24
Reference
Drilling Operations – Cost and Risk Management
www.sigmaquadrant.com
www.amazon.com
25
THANK YOU
QUESTIONS & COMMENTS
Evaluating Barriers to Manage Drilling Costs and Risks
Title
Presenter 26
Back-up
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Others Example Bow-ties and Risk Barriers
Tagging Casing Early
Well Collision
Casing Wear
Cementing
28
Tagging Casing Early while RIH
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
29
Well Collision Barriers
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
30
Casing Wear
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
31
Cementing
Source: Drilling Operations: Cost and Risk Management by P. AIDEYAN
32