Unit 4 Capital Budgeting
Unit 4 Capital Budgeting
Capital Budgeting
4.0 INTRODUCTION
A finance manager is concerned with both financing as well as investment decisions.
Financing decisions relate to determination of the amount of long-term finance required
and the sources from which such finance is to be raised. He has to determine the
optimum capital structure keeping in view the cost and risk associated with each
source of finance. The methods for determining the amount of long-term finance
required and the technique of determining optimum capital structure have already
been explained in section B of the book. The sources from which long-term finance
is to be raised has already been explained in an earlier unit.
The investment decisions, also popularly termed as capital budgeting decisions,
require comparison of cost against benefits over a long period. For example, the
deployment of finances of additional plant and equipment cannot be recovered in
the short run. Such investment may affect revenues for the time period ranging
from two to twenty years or more. Such investment decisions involve a careful
consideration of various factors, viz., profitability, safety, liquidity, solvency, etc.
The present unit primarily deals with this important function of the finance
manager.
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Material 49
Capital Budgeting
4.2 CASES OF CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
A business organization has to quite often face the problem of capital investment
decisions. Capital investment refers to the investment in projects whose results would
NOTES be available only after a year. Investments in these projects are quite heavy and to
be made immediately, but the return will be available only after a period of time. The
following are some of the cases where heavy capital investment may be necessary:
(i) Replacements: Replacements of fixed assets may become necessary
either on account of their being worn out or becoming outdated on
account of new technology.
(ii) Expansion: A firm may have to expand its production capacity on
account of high demand for its products and inadequate production
capacity. This will need additional capital investment.
(iii) Diversification: A business may like to reduce its risk by operating in
several markets rather than in a single market. In such an event, capital
investment may become necessary for purchase of machinery and
facilities to handle the new products.
(iv) Research and Development: Large sums of money may have to be
expended for research and development in case of those industries where
technology is rapidly changing. In case large sums of money are needed
for equipment, these proposals will normally be included in the capital
budget.
(v) Miscellaneous: A firm may have to invest money in projects which do
not directly help in achieving profit-oriented goals. For example,
installation of pollution control equipment may by necessary on account
of legal requirements. Thus, funds will be required for such purposes
also.
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Material 51
Capital Budgeting On account of these reasons, capital expenditure decisions are among the class
of decisions which are best reserved for consideration by the highest level of
management. In case some parts of it are delegated, a system of effective control
by the top management should be evolved.
NOTES
4.5 KINDS OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROPOSALS
A firm may have several investment proposals for its consideration. It may adopt one
of them, some of them or all of them depending upon whether they are independent,
contingent or dependent or mutually exclusive.
(i) Independent proposals
These are proposals which do not compete with one another in a way that acceptance
of one precludes the possibility of acceptance of another. In case of such proposals
the firm may straightaway ‘accept or reject’ a proposal on the basis of a minimum
return on investment required. All those proposals which give a higher return than a
certain desired rate of return are accepted and the rest are rejected.
(ii) Contingent or dependent proposals
These are proposals whose acceptance depends on the acceptance of one or more
other proposals. For example a new machine may have to be purchased on
account of a substantial expansion of the plant. In this case investment in the
machine is dependent upon the expansion of the plant. When a contingent
investment proposal is made, it should also contain the proposal on which it is
dependent in order to have a better perspective of the situation.
(iii) Mutually exclusive proposals
These are proposals which compete with each other in a way that the acceptance
of one precludes the acceptance of other or others. For example, if a company
is considering investment in one of two temperature control systems, acceptance
of one system will rule out the acceptance of another. Thus, two or more mutually
exclusive proposals cannot both or all be accepted. Some technique has to be
used for selecting the better or the best one. Once this is done, other alternatives
automatically get eliminated.
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52 Material
S.No. Project Description Required Investment Capital Budgeting
1. 101 Purchase of new plant Rs 1,00,000
2. 102 Expansion of the existing plant 1,30,000
3. 103 Purchase of new sales office 1,50,000
4. 104 Introduction of a new product line 2,00,000 NOTES
In case the funds available are only Rs 1,50,000, Project 104 cannot be taken up
and it should, therefore, be rejected outright.
Computation of cash capital investment required
The term ‘capital investment required’ refers to the net cash outflow which is the sum
of all outflows and inflows occurring at zero time period.2 The net outflow is determined
by taking into account the following factors:
(i) Cost of the new project
(ii) Installation cost
(iii) Working capital
Investment in a new project may also result in increase or decrease of net
working capital requirements. For example, if the new project is expected to
increase sales investment in accounts receivables, inventories, cash balance, etc.,
are also likely to increase. A part of this increase in current assets may be offset
by increase in current liabilities for the balance additional funds will have to be
arranged. This amount should therefore be taken as a part of the initial capital.
The investment required in the form of networking capital will be recovered at
the end of the life of the project. This amount of working capital so recovered
will become part of cash inflow in the last year of the life of the project. However,
investment in working capital and the recovery of working capital will not balance
each other on account of time value of money.
It may further be noted that the amount of working capital may show a
continuous increase in each of the subsequent years on account of continuous
increase in sales. Such increase in working capital should not be taken as a part
of initial cash investment. It should rather be taken as an outflow of cash in the
year in which additional working capital is required.
Generally all capital investment proposals for increasing revenue require
additional working capital, while almost all capital investment proposals for
reduction in costs result in saving of working capital by increasing the firm’s
operational efficiency.
(iv) Proceeds from sale of asset
A new asset may be purchased for replacement of an old asset. The old asset
may therefore be sold away. The cash realized on account of such sale will
reduce the cost of new investment.
(v) Tax effects
The amount of profit or loss on the sale of the assets may affect the cash
flows on account of tax effects. The profit/loss is ascertained by taking into
account the cost of the asset, its book value and the amount realized on its sale.
The tax liability of the company will be different in each of the following cases:
(a) when the asset is sold at its book value
(b) when the asset is sold at a price higher than its book value but
lower than its cost
2 Refers to the time the expenditure is made to determine the initial investment requirement of the
proposed capital expenditure. Self-Instructional
Material 53
Capital Budgeting (c) when the asset is sold at a price higher than its cost
(d) when the asset is sold at a price lower than its book value
This will be clear with the help of the following illustration :
Illustration 4.1: A company purchased a machinery a few years back for
NOTES Rs 10,000. It wants to replace this machinery by a new one costing Rs 15,000. The
company is subject to income tax @ 50 per cent while capital gains tax
@ 30 per cent. The present book value of the machinery is Rs 6,000. Calculate
the net initial cash outflow if the company decides to purchase the new machine,
in each of the following cases, if the old machine is sold for:
(a) Rs 6,000; (b) Rs 8,000; (c) Rs 12,000; (d) Rs 4,000.
Solution:
(a) Cash required for purchase of the new machine Rs 15,000
Less: Cash realized on sale of the old machine 6,000
Net cash outflow 9,000
(b) Cash required for the purchase of the new machine Rs 15,000
Less: Amount realized on sale of old machine 8,000
7,000
Add: Income tax liability on profit
made on sale of machinery (2,000 × 50/100) 1,000
Net cash outflow 8,000
(c) Cash required for the purchase of new machine Rs 15,000
Less: Cash realized on sale of the old machine 12,000
3,000
Add: Income tax liability (4,000 × 50/100) 2,000
Capital gains tax liability (2,000 × 30/100) 600 2,600
Net cash outflow 5,600
(d) Cash required for purchase of new machinery Rs 15,000
Less: Cash realized on sale of the old machine 4,000
11,000
Less: Saving in tax liability on
account of loss on the sale of the old machine
(2,000 × 50/100)3 1,000
Net cash outflow 10,000
Note: It may be noted that the method of computing depreciation under the
Companies Act is different from that under the Income Tax Act. As per Section
350 of the Companies Act, 1956, loss or profit on sale of individual asset is to
be taken to the Profit and Loss Account as a balancing charge. However, as per
the current income tax provisions, the profit or loss on an individual item of a
fixed asset is not to be taken to the P & L Account. Depreciation is to be charged
on a block of assets or according to the Group Depreciation Method. The total
amount realized on sale of an individual asset comprising a block, is to be
credited to the ‘block of assets account’ and thus reducing the written down value
of the block of assets. Hence, there can be a profit or loss only when the whole
block of assets is sold or where the block of assets comprises only of one
individual asset which has been sold away.
The profit or loss computed in Illustration 4.1 as above for ‘tax effect’ has
been computed on the presumption that the sale is of an entire block of assets
comprising one or more than one asset(s).
3 The loss can either be adjusted against current operational profits or be carried forward for eight
years, under existing rules, for setting off against future profits.
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54 Material
(vi) Investment allowance: This is allowed to encourage capital investment in Capital Budgeting
machinery and equipment. In India this allowance was allowed at 20 per cent4
of the cost of new machinery and equipment for calculating income tax liability for
the year in which such asset was put into service. Such allowance thus reduces the
cost of the initial investment on the project. NOTES
Thus, the net cash outflow on account of capital investment proposal can be
ascertained as shown below:
Original cost of the asset xxx
Add: Installation cost xxx
Increase in working capital requirements xxx
Increase in tax liability xxx xxx
xxx
Less: Decrease in working capital requirements xxx
Decrease in tax liability xxx
Investment allowance (if any) xxx xxx
Net cash outflow xxx
Solution:
ESTIMATION OF CASH REQUIREMENT FOR REPLACEMENT
Cost of the new machine Rs 70,000
Add: Installation charges 10,000
Additional working capital required 5,000
Additional tax liability:
Income tax 5,000 × 50/100 2,500
Capital gains tax —
87,500
Less: Amount realized on sale of old machine 25,000
Investment allowance (70,000 × 20/100) 14,000 39,000
Net cash outflow 48,500
4 The investment allowance was 25% before 1st April, 1987. It was reduced to 20% w.e.f. 1st April,
1987. It has been discontinued w.e.f. 1st April, 1990.
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Material 55
Capital Budgeting capital is 10 per cent, the management will not like to accept a proposal which yields
a rate of return less than 10 per cent. The projects giving a yield below the desired
rate of return will, therefore, be rejected.
Cut-off point
NOTES
Cut-off point refers to the point below which a project would not be accepted. For
example, if 10 per cent is the desired rate of return, the cut-off rate is 10 per cent.
The cut-off point may also be in terms of period. For example, if the management
desires that the investment in the project should be recouped in three years, the period
of three years would be taken as the cut-off period. A project incapable of generating
necessary cash to pay for the initial investment in the project within three years will
not be accepted.
3. Return expected from the investment: Capital investment decisions are
made in anticipation of increased return in the future. It is therefore very necessary
to estimate the future return or benefits accruing from the investment proposals.
There are two criteria available for quantifying benefits from capital investment
decisions. They are (i) accounting profit and (ii) cash flows. The term accounting
profit is identical with the income concept used in accounting. While in estimating
cash flows, depreciation charges and other amortization charges of fixed assets
are not subtracted from gross revenue because no cash expenditure is involved.
The difference between the two will be clear with the following example.
Example
Benefit as per Benefit as per
Accounting Cash flow
approach approach
Sales (i) Rs 10,000 Rs 10,000
Less: Cost of sales (ii) :
Direct material 3,000 3,000
Direct labour 2,000 2,000
Depreciation 1,000 —
Indirect expenses 1,000 1,000
7,000 6,000
Net income/cash flow before tax (i) – (ii) 3,000 4,000
Tax (say at 50 per cent of net income of Rs 3,000) 1,500 1,500
Net income/cash after tax 1,500 2,500
The above example shows that the amount of cash flow is Rs 1,000 more
than the amount of accounting profit. The accounting approach shows that only
Rs 1,500 is available after meeting all expenses, while the cash flow approach
shows that Rs 2,500 is available for investment.
The cash flow approach for determination of benefit from a capital investment
project is better as compared to the accounting profit approach on account of the
following reasons:
(i) Determination of economic value
While making capital budgeting decisions, a firm is interested in determining the
economic value of the project which can only be determined by comparing the
cash inflows (benefits) with the cash outflows associated with the project. The
firm can by comparing them to find out for itself whether the future economic
inflows are sufficiently large to warrant the initial investment. The accounting
profit approach allocates the cost of investment over the economic useful life of
the asset in the form of depreciation rather than at the time when the cost is
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56 Material
actually incurred. It, therefore, fails to reflect the original need for cash at the time Capital Budgeting
of investment. It also does not bring out clearly the actual size of cash inflows and
outflows in later years. On account of these reasons the cash flow approach is more
appropriate for capital budgeting decisions.
(ii) Accounting ambiguities NOTES
Accounting profit approach is full of ambiguities on account of different accounting
policies and practices, regarding valuation of inventory, allocation of costs,
calculation of depreciation and amortization of various other expenses. The amount
of profit may therefore vary according to accounting policies and practices adopted
while preparing the accounts. However, there will be only one set of cash flows
associated with a project. Obviously, therefore, the cash flow approach is superior
to the accounting profit approach.
(iii) Time value of money
Under usual accounting practices revenue is considered to be realized not at the
time when the cash is received, but at the time the sale is made. It means the
amount of profit shown by the books may simply be a paper figure if the sales
are not realized. Similarly, expenditure is recognized as being made not when the
payment is made out, but at the time it is incurred. Thus, the time taken in
realizing or making payments is completely ignored. The cash flow approach
recognizes the time value of money by comparing actual cash inflows and cash
outflows. Moreover, in order to have a better picture even the future cash inflows
are discounted and their present worth is found out.
On account of the above reasons, the accounting profit approach, though
quite useful in measuring performance of an enterprise, is less useful as a tool
for managerial decisions.
Conventional and non-conventional cash flows: In case of conventional cash
flows, an initial cash outflow is followed by a series of cash inflows whether of
uniform or of different amounts. Most of the capital budgeting decisions follow
this pattern. For example, a firm may spend Rs 5,000 on capital asset in zero time
period and may receive Rs 1,000 each year for eight years.
In case of unconventional cash flows, initial cash outflow is not followed by
a series of cash inflows. In other words, there may be not one but a series of cash
outflows followed by a series of cash inflows. For example, a firm may purchase
a plant for a sum of Rs 10,000. This cash outflow may be followed by cash
inflows of Rs 3,000 each year for five years. However, after five years the asset
may need overhauling resulting in a cash outflow of Rs 3,000. This may give a
new lease of life to the asset and it may be followed by a series of cash inflows.
This practice may continue in future years also.
4. Ranking of the investment proposals: When a number of projects appear
to be acceptable on the basis of their profitability the projects will be ranked in
order of their profitability in order to determine the most profitable project.
Ranking of capital investment proposals is particularly necessary in the following
two circumstances:
(a) Where capital is rationed, i.e., there is a limit on funds available for
investment. This aspect is being discussed in detail later in the unit.
(b) Where, two or more investment opportunities are mutually exclusive, i.e.,
only one of the opportunities can be undertaken.
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Material 57
Capital Budgeting Thus, the objective of ranking is to put the capital available to the best possible
use. This will be clear from the following illustration.
Illustration 4.3: A Ltd is considering the following five projects for capital
expenditure. The company can spare a sum of Rs 1,50,000 and expect a minimum
NOTES return of 15 per cent before tax on the investment. The details of the projects are
as under:
Projects Capital expenditure Estimated savings Percentage return
after tax on investment
(before tax)
(i) (ii) (iii) (iv)
A Rs 50,000 Rs 5,000 20
B 75,000 9,000 24
C 1,00,000 8,000 16
D 1,25,000 25,000 40
E 1,50,000 28,000 37
Tax rate may be taken at 50 per cent.
Solution:
On the basis of the information given, project D seems to be the most profitable,
since it is giving the highest percentage return on investment. However, in case
this project is taken up Rs 25,000 will be the surplus amount available with the
company for alternative investment. In case project D is taken up, the full amount
of Rs 1,50,000 would be used up. The difference between the additional investment
required and the additional income before tax is Rs 25,000 and Rs 6,000
respectively giving a return of 24 per cent on the balance of Rs 25,000. In case
such an opportunity is not available, the company should take up project E.
5. Risk and uncertainty: Different capital investment proposals have different
degrees of risk and uncertainty. There is a slight difference between risk and
uncertainty. Risk involves situations in which the probabilities of a particular
event occuring are known whereas in uncertainty, these probabilities are not
known. Of course in most cases these two terms are used interchangeably. Risk
in capital investment decisions may be due to general economic conditions,
competition, technological developments, consumer preferences, labour condition,
etc. On account of these reasons the revenues, costs and economic life of a
particular investment are not certain. While evaluating capital investment proposals,
proper adjustment should therefore be made for risk and uncertainty.
Rs 20,000
=
Rs 5,000
The annual cash inflow is calculated by taking into account the amount of net
income on account of the asset (or project) before depreciation but after taxation.
The income so earned, if expressed as a percentage of initial investment, is
termed as ‘unadjusted rate to return’. In the above case, it will be calculated as
follows:
Annual Return
Unadjusted Rate of Return = × 100
Initial Investment
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Material 59
Capital Budgeting
Rs 5, 000
100 25 per cent
Rs 20, 000
Uneven cash inflows
NOTES In the above example, we have presumed that the annual cash inflows are uniform.
However, it may not always be so. The cash flow each year may be different. In
such a case cumulative cash inflows will be calculated and by interpolation, the exact
payback period can be calculated. For example, if the project requires an initial
investment of Rs 20,000 and the annual cash inflows for five years are
Rs 6,000, Rs 8,000, Rs 5,000, Rs 4,000 and Rs 4,000 respectively, the payback
period will be calculated as follows:
Year Cash Inflows Cumulative Cash Inflows
1 Rs 6,000 Rs 6,000
2 8,000 14,000
3 5,000 19,000
4 4,000 23,000
5 4,000 27,000
The above table shows that in three years Rs 19,000 has been recovered. Rs
1,000 is left out of initial investment. In the fourth year the cash inflow is Rs
4,000. It means the payback period is between three to four years, ascertained as
follows:
1,000
Payback Period = 3 years + = 3.25 years
4,000
Accept or reject criterion
The payback period can be used as a criterion to accept or reject an investment
proposal. A project whose actual payback period is more than what has been
predetermined by the management will be straightaway rejected. The fixation of
the maximum acceptable payback period is generally done by taking into account
the reciprocal of the cost of capital. For example, if the cost of capital is 20 per
cent the maximum acceptable payback period would be fixed at five years. This
can also be termed as cut-off point. Usually projects having a payback
period of more than five years are not entertained because of greater
uncertainties.
Illustration 4.4 An engineering company is considering the purchase of a machine
for its immediate expansion programme. There are three possible machines suitable
for the purpose. Their details are as follows:
Machines
1 2 3
(Rs) (Rs) (Rs)
Capital Cost 3,00,000 3,00,000 3,00,000
Sales (at standard prices) 5,00,000 4,00,000 4,50,000
Net Cost of Production:
Direct Material 40,000 50,000 48,000
Direct Labour 50,000 30,000 36,000
Factory Overheads 60,000 50,000 58,000
Administration Costs 20,000 10,000 15,000
Selling and Distribution Costs 10,000 10,000 10,000
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60 Material
The economic life of machine No. 1 is two years, while it is three years for the Capital Budgeting
other two. The scrap values are Rs 40,000, Rs 25,000 and Rs 30,000 respectively.
Sales are expected to be at the rates shown for each year during the full
economic life of the machines. The costs relate to annual expenditure resulting from
each machine. NOTES
Tax to be paid is expected at 50 per cent of the net earnings of each year. It may
be assumed that all payables and receivables will be settled promptly, strictly on a
cash basis with no outstanding from one accounting year to another. Interest on
capital has to be paid at 8 per cent per annum.
You are requested to show which machine would be the most profitable investment
on the principle of ‘payback method’.
Solution:
STATEMENT SHOWING THE NET CASH FLOW OF THREE MACHINES
Machine 1 Machine 2 Machine 3
Rs Rs Rs
Capital Cost 3,00,000 3,00,000 3,00,000
Sales (i) 5,00,000 4,00,000 4,50,000
Cost of Production 1,50,000 1,30,000 1,42,000
Administration Cost 20,000 10,000 15,000
Selling and Distribution Cost 10,000 10,000 10,000
Total Cost (ii) 1,80,000 1,50,000 1,67,000
Profit before depreciation and interest (i) - (ii) - (iii) 3,20,000 2,50,000 2,83,000
Depreciation:
Cost less scrap value
1,30,000 91,667 90,000
Economic life
Interest on borrowings 24,000 24,000 24,000
Depreciation and Interest (iv ) 1,54,000 1,15,667 1,14,000
Profit before tax (iii) - (iv) 1,66,000 1,34,333 1,69,000
Taxation (50 per cent) 83,000 67,167 84,500
Profit after tax 83,000 67,166 84,500
Add: Depreciation 1,30,000 91,667 90,000
Net Cash Inflow 2,13,000 1,58,833 1,74,500
Payback period 1.41 years 1,89 years 1.72 years
Machine No. 1 is most profitable.
Note:
(i) It has been presumed that interest on borrowings throughout the economic life of the asset.
(ii) Factory overheads do not include depreciation.
(iii) No borrowings will be required for working capital.
Merits
The payback method has the following merits:
1. The method is very useful in evaluation of those projects which involve high
uncertainty. Political instability, rapid technological development of cheap
substitutes, etc., are some of the reasons which discourage one to take up
projects having a long gestation period. Payback method is useful in such
cases.
2. The method makes it clear that no profit arises till the payback period is
over. This helps new companies in deciding when they should start paying
dividends.
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Material 61
Capital Budgeting 3. The method is simple to understand and easy to work out.
4. The method reduces the possibility of loss on account of obsolescence as
the method prefers investment in short-term projects.
NOTES Demerits
The method has the following demerits.
1. The method ignores the returns generated by a project after its payback
period. Projects having long gestation period will never be taken up if
this method is followed though they may yield high returns for a long
period. Consider the following example.
Example Project A Project B
Initial Investment Rs 10,000 Rs 10,000
Cash Inflows:
Year 1 4,000 3.000
2 4,000 3,000
3 2.000 3,000
4 —— 3,000
5 —— 3,000
Payback Period 3 years 3.33 years
In the above case Project A has a shorter payback period and therefore it
should be preferred over B. But this may not be rational decision since project
B continues to give return after the payback period which fact has been completely
ignored. As a matter of fact, on the whole, Project B is more profitable as
compared to Project A
2. The method does not take into account the time value of money. In other
words, it ignores the interest which is an important factor in making sound
investment decisions. A rupee tomorrow is worth less than a rupee today. The
following example makes this point clear:
Example. There are two projects A and B. The cost of the project is
Rs 30,000 in each case. The cash inflows are as under:
Cash Inflows
Year Project ‘A’ Project ‘B’
1 Rs 10,000 Rs 2.000
2 10,000 4,000
3 10,000 24,000
The payback period is three years in both the cases. However, project A
should be preferred as compared to project B because of speedy recovery of the
initial investment.
Discounted Payback Period Method. The method discussed above is
Traditional Payback Period Method. However in order to overcome the criticism
that this method does not take into account the time value of money, the discounted
payback period method is recommended. In case of this method, the present
value of cash inflows arising at different time intervals at the desired rate of
interest (depending upon the cost of capital) are found out. The present values
so calculated are now taken as the real cash inflows for determination of the
payback period. This technique can better be understood by the students after
studying NPV Method discussed in the following pages.
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62 Material
2. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method or Time Adjusted Technique Capital Budgeting
The discounted cash flow technique is an improvement of the payback period method.
It takes into account both the interest factor as well as the return after the payback
period. The method involves three stages:
NOTES
(i) Calculation of cash flows, i.e., both inflows and outflows (preferably after
tax) over the full life of the asset.
(ii) Discounting the cash flows so calculated by a discount factor.
(iii) Aggregating discounted cash inflows and comparing the total with the
discounted cash outflows.
Discounted cash flow technique thus recognizes that Re 1 of today (the cash
outflow) is worth more than Re 1 received at a future date (cash inflow).
Discounted cash flow methods for evaluating capital investment proposals are of
three types as explained below:
(a) The Net Present Value (NPV) Method
This is generally considered to be the best method for evaluating the capital
investment proposals. In case of this method cash inflows and cash outflows
associated with each project are first worked out. The present value of these cash
inflows and outflows is then calculated at the rate of return acceptable to the
management. This rate of return is considered as the cut-off rate and is generally
determined on the basis of cost of capital suitably adjusted to allow for the risk
element involved in the project. Cash outflows represent the investment and
commitments of cash in the project at various points of time. The working capital
is taken as a cash outflow in the year the project starts commercial production.
Profit after tax but before depreciation represents cash inflows. The Net Present
Value (NPV) is the difference between the total present value of future cash
inflows and the total present value of future cash outflows.
The equation for calculating NPV in case of conventional cash flows can be
put as follows:
R1 R2 R3 Rn
NPV 1
(I K )1 (I K )2 (I K )3 (I K )n
In case of non-conventional cash inflows (i.e., where there are a series of
cash inflows as well cash outflows) the equation for calculating NPV is as follows:
R1 R2 R3 Rn
NPV
(I K )1 (I K )2 (I K )3 (I K )n
I1 I2 I3 In
I0 n
(I K )1 (I K )2 (I K )3 (I K )n
where, NPV = Net present value, R = Cash inflows at different time periods,
K = Cost of capital or Cut-off rate, I = Cash outflows at different time periods.
Accept or reject criterion
The net present value can be used as an ‘accept or reject’ criterion. In case the
NPV is positive (i.e., present value of cash inflows is more than present value of
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Material 63
Capital Budgeting cash outflows) the project should be accepted. However, if the NPV is negative (i.e.,
present value of cash inflows is less than the present value of cash outflows) the
project should be rejected. Symbolically, the accept/reject criterion can be put as
follows:
NOTES
where NPV > Zero accept the proposal
NPV < Zero reject the proposal
Or where PV > C accept the proposal
PV < C reject the proposal
PV stands for Present Value of Cash Inflows and C for Present Value of Cash
Outflows (or outlays).
Illustration 4.5: Calculate the net present value for a small sized project requiring
an initial investment of Rs 20,000, and which provides a net cash inflow of Rs 6,000
each year for six years. Assume the cost of funds to be 8 per cent per annum and
that there is no scrap value.
Solution: The present value of an annuity of Re 1 for six years at 8 per cent
per annum interest is Rs 4.623.
Hence, the present value of Rs 6,000 comes to:
6,000 × 4.623 = Rs 27,738
Less Initial Investment Rs 20,000
Net Present Value (NPV) Rs 7,738
Illustration 4.6: A choice is to be made between two competing projects which
require an equal investment of Rs 50,000 and are expected to generate net cash flows
as under:
Project I Project II
End of year 1 Rs 25,000 Rs 10,000
End of year 2 15,000 12,000
End of year 3 10,000 18,000
End of year 4 Nil 25,000
End of year 5 12,000 8,000
End of year 6 6,000 4,000
The cost of capital of the company is 10 per cent. The following are the Present
Value Factors @ 10 per cent per annum:
Year P.V. Factors
@ 10 per cent per annum
1 0.909
2 0.826
3 0.751
4 0.683
5 0.621
6 0.564
Which project proposal should be chosen and why? Evaluate the project proposals
under:
(a) Payback Period, and
(b) Discounted Cash Flow methods, pointing out their relative merits and
demerits.
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64 Material
Solution: Capital Budgeting
PAYBACK PERIOD METHOD
Project I Project II
Cash inflows Cum. cash Cash Cum. cash
inflows inflows inflows NOTES
End of year 1 Rs 25,000 Rs 25,000 Rs 10,000 Rs 10,000
End of year 2 15,000 40,000 12,000 22,000
End of year 3 10,000 50,000 18,000 40,000
End of year 4 Nil 50.000 25,000 65,000
End of year 5 12,000 62,000 8,000 73,000
End of year 6 6,000 68,000 4,000 77,000
Project I has the payback period of three years while project II has a payback
period of 3.4 years (i.e., Rs 40,000 in three years and Rs 10,000 in the fourth
year). Thus, Project I has to be preferred because it has a shorter payback period.
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD
Project I
Year Cash inflow Discount Present
factor at value
10 per cent
1 Rs 25,000 0.909 Rs 22,725
2 15,000 0.826 12,390
3 10,000 0.751 7,510
4 Nil 0.683 –
5 12,000 0.621 7,452
6 6,000 0.564 3,384
Total Present Value of Future Cash Inflows 53,461
Initial Investment 50,000
Net Present Value (NPV) 3,461
Project II
Year Cash inflow Discount Present
factor at Rs 10 value
per cent per annum Rs
1 10,000 0.909 9,090
2 12,000 0.826 9,912
3 18,000 0.751 13,518
4 25,000 0.683 17,075
5 8,000 0.621 4.968
6 4,000 0.564 2,256
Total Present Value of Future Cash Inflows 56,819
Initial Investment 50,000
Net Present Value (NPV) 6,819
15,000
Present Value Index for Project B = ×100 = 150 per cent
10,000
Illustration 4.7: On the basis of figures given in the previous illustration, state
which project is profitable according to the Present Value Index Method.
Solution:
Present value of future cash inflows
Present Value Index = × 100
Present value of future cash outflows
53,461
Project I = × 100 = 107 per cent (approx.)
50,000
56,819
Project II = × 100 = 114 per cent (approx.)
50,000
Since, Project II has a higher Present Value Index hence it is more profitable as
compared to Project I.
(c) Internal Rate of Return
Internal Rate of Return is that rate at which the sum of discounted cash inflows
equals the sum of discounted cash outflows. In other words, it is the rate which
discounts the cash flows to zero. It can be stated in the form of a ratio as
follows:
Cash inflows
1
Cash outflows
Thus, in case of this method the discount rate is not known but the cash
outflows and cash inflows are known. For example, if a sum of Rs 800 invested in
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66 Material
a project becomes Rs 1,000 at the end of a year, the rate of return comes to 25 per Capital Budgeting
cent, calculated as follows:
R
I=
where, I +r
NOTES
I = Cash Outflow, i.e., Initial Investment
R = Cash Inflow
r = Rate of Return Yielded by the Investment (or IRR)
Thus:
800 = 1,000/1 + r
or 800 r + 800 = 1,000
or 800 r = 200
or r = 200/800 = 0.25 or 25%
In case of return is over a number of years, the calculation would take the
following pattern in case of conventional cash flows:
R1 R2 R3 Rn
I= + + +
(1 + r ) 1
(1 + r ) 2
(1 + r ) 3
(1 + r ) n
In case of unconventional cash flows, the equation would be as follows:
⎛ R1 R2 R3 Rn ⎞
⎜⎜ + + + ......... ⎟=
⎝ (1 + r ) (1 + r )
1 2
(1 + r ) 3
(1 + r )n ⎟⎠
R1 R2 R3 Rn
I0 1 2 3
.........
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r ) n
where,
I = Cash outlay (or outflow) at different time periods.
R = Cash inflows at different time periods.
r = Rate of return yielded by the investment (or IRR).
Since I and R are known factors, r is the only factor to be calculated. However,
calculation will become very difficult over a long period if worked out according
to the above equations. Tabular values are, therefore, used.
Accept/Reject Criterion
Internal rate of return is the maximum rate of interest which an organization
can afford to pay on the capital invested in a project. A project would qualify to
be accepted if IRR exceeds the cut-off rate. While evaluating two or more projects,
a project giving a higher internal rate of return would be preferred. This is
because the higher the rate of return, the more profitable is the investment.
(1) Where cash inflows are uniform: In the case of those projects which result
in uniform cash inflows, the internal rate of return can be calculated by locating
the Factor in Annuity Table II. The factor is calculated as follows:
I
F=
C
where,
F = Factor to be located
I = Original investment
C = Cash inflow per year Self-Instructional
Material 67
Capital Budgeting Illustration 4.8: An equipment requires an initial investment of Rs 6,000. The
annual cash flow is estimated at Rs 2,000 for five years.
Calculate the internal rate or return.
Solution:
NOTES
The annual cash flow is uniform at Rs 2,000 for five years. Hence, the ‘Factor’
or the ‘Payback’ is 3, calculated by:
I 6,000
F= or F = Rs =3
C 2,000
This factor of 3 should be located in Table II 5 in the line of five years. The
discount percentage would be somewhere between 18 per cent (Rs 3.127 present
value of annuity of Re 1) and 20 per cent (Rs 2.99 present value of annuity of
Re 1). It indicates that the internal rate of return is more than 18 per cent but less
than 20 per cent. A more exact interpolation can be done (as explained in the next
illustration).
However, such an effort may not be very useful in the present case since
Rs 2.99 is very near to 3 and hence the internal rate of returns can be taken as
20 per cent.
Rs 2.99 is as a matter of fact the present value of Re 1 received annuity for
five years at 20 per cent interest rate. In case this amount is multiplied by the
annual cash inflow it will be equal to the initial investment as shown below:
Rs 2,000 × 2.99 = Rs 5,980 (or say Rs 6,000)
Relationship between payback reciprocal and rate of return
Payback reciprocal is exactly equal to the unadjusted rate of return. Unadjusted rate
means a rate which has not been adjusted by taking into account the time value of
money. For example, in the illustration given above the payback period comes to three
years. Its reciprocal is 1/3 or 0.33 or 33 per cent. The annual return is Rs 2,000 on
an investment of Rs 6,000. It also comes to 33 per cent.
Payback reciprocal also gives a reasonable approximation of the time-adjusted
rate of return as is proved by the above illustration. Of course for calculating the
discounted rate Table II has to be consulted. However, there are two assumptions
for the use of payback reciprocal:
(i) The useful life of the project/asset should be at least twice the payback
reciprocal. In any case the payback reciprocal will always exceed the
true or the discounted rate of return.
(ii) The cash inflows should be uniform over the life of the project/asset.
(2) Where cash inflows are not uniform: When cash inflows are not uniform,
the internal rate of return is calculated by making trial calculations in an attempt
to compute the correct interest rate which equates the present value of cash
inflows with the present value of cash outflows. In the process, cash inflows are
to be discounted by a number of trial rates. The first trial rate may be calculated
on the basis of the same formula which is used for determining the internal rate
of return when cash inflows are uniform, as explained above. However, in this
case ‘C’ stands for ‘annual average cash inflow’, in place of ‘annual cash inflow.’
After applying the first trial rate, the second trial rate is determined when the
total present value of the cash inflows is greater or less than the total present
Using the Internal Rate of Return Method suggest which project is preferable.
Solution:
The cash inflows are not uniform and hence the internal rate of return will have
to be calculated by the Trial and Error Method. In order to have an approximate idea
about such rate, it will be better to find out the ‘factor’. The factor reflects the same
relationship of investment and ‘cash inflows’ as in case of payback calculations: Thus,
I
F=
C
where, F = Factor to be located
I = Original investment
C = Average cash inflow per year
The ‘factor’ in case of project A would be:
11,000
F= = 3.14
3,500
The ‘factor’ in case of project B would be:
10,000
F= = 2.86
3,000
The factor thus calculated will be located in Table II on the line representing
number of years corresponding to estimated useful life of the asset. This would
give the estimated rate of return to be applied for discounting the cash inflows
for the internal rate of return.
In case of Project A, the rate comes to 10 per cent while in case of project
B it comes to 15 per cent.
Project A:
Year Cash Inflows Discounting Factor Present Value
at 10 per cent
1 Rs 6,000 0.909 Rs 5,454
2 2,000 0.826 1,652
3 1,000 0.751 751
4 5.000 0.683 3,415
Total Present Value 11,272
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Material 69
Capital Budgeting The present value at 10 per cent comes to Rs 11,272. The initial investment is
Rs 11,000. Internal rate of return may be taken approximately at 10 per cent.
In case more exactness is required another trial rate which is slightly higher than
10 per cent (since at this rate the present value is more than initial investment) may
NOTES be taken. Taking a rate of 12 per cent, the following results would emerge.
Year Cash Inflows Discounting Factor at 12 per cent Present Value
1 Rs 6,000 0.893 Rs 5,358
2 2,000 0.797 1,594
3 1,000 0.712 712
4 5,000 0.636 3,180
Total Present Value 10,844
The internal rate of return is thus more than 10 per cent, but less than 12 per
cent. The exact rate may be calculated as follows:
Difference in calculated
present value and required
net cash outlay
Internal Rate of Return = × Difference in rate
Difference in calculated
present values
11,272 − 11,000
= 10% + ×2
11,272 − 10,844
272
= 10% + × 2 = 11.3 per cent
428
The exact internal rate of return can also be calculated as follows:
At 10 per cent the present value is + 272.
At 12 per cent the present value is – 156.
The internal rate would, therefore, be between 10 per cent and 12 per cent
calculated as follows:
272
= 10 + ×2
272 + 156
= 10 + 1.3 = 11.3 per cent
Project B:
Year Cash Inflows Discount Factor Present Value
at 15 per cent
1 Rs 1,000 0.870 Rs 870
2 1,000 0. 756 756
3 2,000 0. 658 1,316
4 10,000 0.572 5,720
Present Value 8,662
Since present value at 15 per cent comes only to Rs 8,662, a lower rate of
discount should be taken. Taking a rate of 10 per cent, the following will be the
result:
Year Cash Inflows Discount Factor Present Value
at 10 per cent
1 Rs 1,000 0.909 Rs 909
2 1,000 0. 826 826
3 2,000 0.7518 1,502
4 10,000 0.683 6,830
Self-Instructional
Present Value 10,067
70 Material
The present value at 10 per cent comes to Rs 10,067 which is more or less equal Capital Budgeting
to the initial investment. Hence, the internal rate of return may be taken 10 per cent.
In order to have more exactness, the internal rate of return can be interpolated
as done in case of project A.
At 10 per cent the present value is + 67 NOTES
At 15 per cent the present value is – 1,338
67 67
10% + × 5 = 10 + ×5
67 + 1,338 1,405
= 10 + .24 = 10.24 per cent.
Thus, internal rate of return in case of Project ‘A’ is higher as compared to
Project ‘B’. Hence, Project ‘A’ is preferable.
Merits
The merits of discounted cash flow method are as follows:
(i) Discounted cash flow technique takes into account the time value of
money. Conceptually, it is better than other techniques such as payback
or accounting rate of return.
(ii) The method takes into account directly the amount of expenses and
revenues over the project’s life. In case of other methods simply their
averages are taken.
(iii) The method automatically gives more weight to those money values
which are nearer to the present period than those which are farther from
it. While in case of other methods, all money units are given the same
weight which seems to be unrealistic.
(iv) The method makes possible comparison of projects requiring different
capital outlays, having different lives and different timings of cash flows
at a particular moment of time because of discounting of all cash flows.
Demerits
The following are the demerits of discounted cash flow method:
(i) The method is difficult to understand and work out as compared to
other methods of ranking capital investment proposals.
(ii) The method takes into account only the cash inflows on account of a
capital investment decision. As a matter of fact the profitability or
otherwise of a capital investment proposal can be judged only when the
net income (and not the cash inflow) on account of operations is
considered.
(iii) The method is based on the presumption that cash inflows can be
reinvested at the discounting rate in the new projects. However, this
presumption does not always hold good because it all depends upon the
available investment opportunities.
Accounting or Average Rate of Return (ARR) Method
According to this method, the capital investment proposals are judged on the
basis of their relative profitability. For this purpose, capital employed and related
income are determined according to commonly accepted accounting principles
and practices over the entire economic life of the project and then the average
yield is calculated. Such a rate is termed as Accounting Rate of Return. It may
be calculated according to any of the following methods:
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Material 71
Capital Budgeting
Annual Average Net Earnings
(i) × 100
Original Investment
Self-Instructional
72 Material
Power per annum 2,000 4,500 Capital Budgeting
Consumable stores per annum 6,000 7,500
All other charges per annum 8,000 9,000
Material cost per unit 0.50 0.50
Selling price per unit 1.25 1.25 NOTES
Information regarding sales and cost of sales will hold good throughout the economic
life of each of the machines. Depreciation has to be charged according to the
straightline method.
Solution:
PROFITABILITY STATEMENT
Old Machine New Machine
Cost of the Machine (Rs) 40,000 60,000
Life of Machine (years) 10 10
Output (Units) 48,000 72,000
Sales Value (Rs) 60,000 90,000
Less: Cost of Sales :
Direct material 24,000 36,000
Wages 6,000 10,500
Power 2,000 4,500
Consumable stores 6,000 7,500
Other charges 8,000 9,000
Depreciation 4,000 50,000 6,000 73,500
Profit before tax 10,000 16,500
Tax at 50 per cent 5,000 8,250
Profit after tax 5,000 8,250
4.9 SUMMARY
z Capital investment refers to investments in projects whose results will be available
only after a year.
z Such projects require heavy capital outflow, and therefore, appropriate planning.
z Capital investment proposals can be classified as independent proposals, contingent
or dependent proposals and mutually exclusive proposals.
z The factors affecting capital investment decisions are: amount of investment,
minimum rate of return required on investment and the rate of return expected
from the investment.
z The capital budgeting appraisal methods are: Pay Back Period Method, Net
Present Value Method, Present Value Index Method and Accounting Rate of
Return Method.
z Profitability Index: It is the ratio of the total present value of future cash
inflows with the total present value of future cash outflows. It is also known as
excess present value index or benefits/costs ratio.
NOTES
4.11 ANSWERS TO ‘CHECK YOUR PROGRESS’
1. Capital budgeting decisions require large capital outlays.
2. Independent proposals are those which do not compete with one another in a way
that acceptance of one precludes the possibility of acceptance of another.
3. Cut-off point refers to the point below which a project would not be accepted.
4. Cash inflows represent the cash profit or return generated by the project year
after year.
5. The payback method is very useful in evaluation of those projects which involve
high uncertainty.
6. Unadjusted rate means a rate which has not been adjusted by taking into account
the time value of money.
Short-Answer Questions
1. State whether each of the following statements is True or False:
(a) The Internal Rate of Return and Net Present Value are synonymous terms.
(b) Cash flows from a project can be estimated accurately.
(c) Cash flows from a project can be worked out only on the basis of
certain probabilities.
(d) The inflation and deflation factors need not be taken into account while
estimating future cash inflows since it is difficult to predict future price
changes.
(e) It is imperative to make an estimate regarding likely increase in costs on
account of possibility of delay in implementing a project.
(f) No additional working capital will be required in case of an expansion of an
existing project.
(g) Tax concessions have no role to play in estimating the cash flows from a
project.
(h) Internal rate of return determines the maximum rate of interest that a firm
can afford to pay on the borrowings for a particular project.
(i) Payback method takes into account the cash flows after the payback period.
(j) Depreciation is considered while calculating the return on a project according
to the Accounting Rate of Return Method.
(k ) Discounted cash flow techniques takes into account the time value of money.
(l) There are no mathematical techniques available for dealing with risk and
uncertainty factors involved in determining future cash inflows from a project.
Self-Instructional
Material 75
Capital Budgeting Long-Answer Questions
1. ‘Payback method is a test of liquidity and not profitablility’. Discuss.
2. Explain briefly the following methods of ascertaining the profitability of capital
expenditure project bringing out merits and demerits of each:
NOTES (a) Payback method (b) Return on Investment method
3. ‘Capital expenditure decisions are by far the most important decisions in the field
of financial management’. Illustrate.
4. Discuss briefly the Net Present Value Method vs. Internal Rate of Return
Method of evaluation of projects.
5. What are the basic components of capital budgeting analysis ? Explain the
difference between IRR and NPV methods.
6. Explain the salient features of the ‘Present Value Method’ of project evaluation
and examine its rationality.
7. Explain the importance of proper planning and control of capital expenditure and
the various techniques that are used for comparative evaluation of mutually
exclusive capital expenditure proposals.
8. Discuss the methods used for evaluating and ranking investment proposals.
Compare the IRR Method with the NPV method.
The company has fixed three years payback period as the cut-off point.
[Ans. Project X should be accepted]
2. Each of the following projects requires a cash outlay of Rs 10,000. You are required
to suggest which project should be accepted if the standard payback period is five
years:
[Ans. Payback period in each case is four years. However, Project Y is the best out of
all since in its case the cash inflows are higher in the initial years].
3. Using the information given below, compute the payback period under (a) Traditional
Payback Method and (b) Discounted Payback Method and comment on the results:
Initial outlay Rs 80,000
Estimated life Five years
Self-Instructional
76 Material
Capital Budgeting
Profit after tax:
End of year 1 Rs 6,000
2 14,000
3 24,000
NOTES
4 16,000
5 Nil
Depreciation has been calculated under the straightline method. The cost of capital may
be taken at 20 per cent per annum and the P.V. of Re 1 at 20 per cent per annum is
given below :
Year 1 2 3 4 5
P.V. Factor 0.83 0.69 0.58 0.48 0.40
[Ans. (a) 2.7 years (b) 4.39 years]
[Hint. (i) Add depreciation of Rs 16,000 to net profit each year for determining cash
flows. (ii) Discount the cash flows for determining the present values for calculating
payback period according to method (b)].
4. There are two projects X and Y. X requires an investment of Rs 26,000 while Y requires
an investment of Rs 38,000. The cost of capital is 12 per cent. On the basis of the
following cash inflows and present value of Re 1 at 12 per cent, you are required to
state which project should be accepted:
Year Cash inflows Present Value of
Re 1 at 12 per cent
Project X Project Y
1 Rs 9,000 Rs 8,000 0.893
2 7,000 10,000 0.797
3 6,000 12,000 0.712
4 5,000 14,000 0.636
5 4,000 8,000 0.567
6 4,000 2,000 0.507
7 3,000 16,000 0.452
8 3,000 – 0.404
9 3,000 – 0.361
10 3,000 0.322
Self-Instructional
78 Material
Authors: S N Maheshwari, Sharad K Maheswari & Suneel K Maheshwari
Copyright © Authors, 2011
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