Maritime Equipment Suppliers 2018
Maritime Equipment Suppliers 2018
OCTOBER 2018
BY ANDERS HELSETH, CHRISTIAN SVANE MELLBYE AND
ERIK W. JAKOBSEN
Preface
2018 has been another challenging year for the Norwegian maritime industry,
although with clear signs of improvement from one year ago. We have asked
Menon Economics to review the current situation and get their predictions and
view on the future, based on results reported by the companies after year-end
2017 and extensive surveying among maritime equipment suppliers.
This publication is the fifth in its series ordered by the Federation of Norwegian
Industries and paints a brighter view of the short-term prospects in the industry
than last year’s publication. The industry has been successful in reorienting itself
towards new markets as a response to lower demand from the offshore oil and
gas segment.
The report describes changes that have occurred in the market and gives
interesting insight into how the companies have adapted in challenging markets.
We believe the toughest years of the recent downturn are behind us and we
trust the industry is well positioned for the upturn we think is coming.
We thank all the respondents in our companies that have taken the time to
respond to our call for data, we thank Menon Business Economics for a thorough
and well analysed report, and trust that the findings will be well received in the
industry.
Lars Gørvell-Dahll
Director, Maritime Branch, Federation of Norwegian Industries
Preliminary results and estimates for 2018 and 2019 show that the Norwegian maritime
equipment industry is set for growth. Revenues will increase in 2018 for the first time in four
years, while employment remains stable compared to 2017-levels. Strong growth in new
market segments, especially deliveries to exploration cruises and fishing ships, contributes to
increasing revenues in 2018. Growth is expected to accelerate in 2019 with an estimated 13 per
cent increase in revenue and a three per cent increase in employment.
The industry is once again profitable, and operating margins are expected to increase further.
However, profitability levels are low compared to the period pre-2014. Two key factors will
decide profitability in coming years: the industry’s ability to be profitable also in new key
markets with new products, and a comeback in the offshore oil and gas markets.
The Norwegian maritime equipment industry is still a key Norwegian industry. Production of
ship equipment employs 18 000 highly productive workers, each worker contributing close to
NOK 1 million in value added to the economy. 94 per cent of the equipment suppliers are small
and medium-sized companies and employ half of the 18 000 workers. The industry’s export
share is stable, proving its competitiveness against countries with significantly lower wage
rates. Two-thirds of ship equipment is exported directly abroad, while another 25 per cent is
exported indirectly through sales from Norwegian yards and other services supplied abroad.
Preface .................................................................................................................... 3
1. Summary............................................................................................................ 5
6. Appendix......................................................................................................... 24
6.1. Data registry and survey data...............................................................................................................................24
6.2. Delimiting the maritime industry.........................................................................................................................24
7. Geographical footprint................................................................................... 25
7.1. Employment and value added by county in 2017.............................................................................................. 25
Drilling
equipment
8
%
FIGURE 1: Distribution of revenues for ship equipment producers separated into ship equipment,
drilling equipment and non-maritime equipment, 2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
1 See “Delimiting the maritime industry” in the appendix for delimitation of the companies included.
Mechanical equipment
• Cranes, winches, propellers, engines etc
Design
• Ship design
Trade
• Agents, wholesalers and distributors
2 Dynamic positioning (abbreviated “DP”) systems are systems for keeping ships or other vessels such as rigs or FPSOs in the same
position above the seabed without the use of anchors, utilizing propellers and thrusters instead.
3.1. Increased activity in 2018, The companies surveyed believe growth is set to
strong growth expected in 2019 accelerate in 2019. 85 per cent of the companies
Strong growth in new market segments believe revenues will increase in 2019, and more
contributes to increasing revenues in 2018. Sales than 60 per cent believe in an increase of 10 per
of equipment to exploration cruises and ferries cent or more. Combined revenue is estimated to
are estimated to rise by 50 per cent in 2018. rise by 13 per cent in 2019, more than doubling
Norwegian yards have taken strong positions the speed of growth in 2018 (6 per cent). Larger
in the ferry and exploration cruise markets, and orderbooks back the expected turnaround in
equipment suppliers are increasingly shifting activity among ship equipment producers. Order
their focus towards deliveries to this market. reserves are up 4 per cent in 20183 (year-over-
A reorientation towards equipment for fisher- year) and now secure ten months of operations.
ies and aquaculture is proving profitable as
well, with sales towards this market segment Companies with a relatively high orientation
estimated to increase by more than 20 per cent towards deliveries for exploration cruises and
in 2018. Despite growth in new market seg- ferries, on average, expect the largest increase
ments, sales to offshore oil and gas and shipping in revenues for 2019. Fisheries and aquaculture-
markets still make up close to three-quarters of oriented producers also expect increasing
revenues. Continued weak offshore oil and gas revenues, while companies mainly directed
markets and stable revenue from the shipping towards the oil and gas markets expect growing
segment are expected to dampen overall growth income as well, but expectations fluctuate more
in 2018. than for producers less directed towards this
Offshore
wind
4
%
Cruise/ferries
12
%
Offshore O&G
Shipping
30
%
Fisheries
and
Shipping
aquaculture
FIGURE 2: Right: Market segmentation of revenues for ship equipment suppliers in 2018. Left: Each market segment’s
contribution to growth in revenue from 2017 to 2018. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
3 As of September 2018
Revenue
Employment
10
%
10
%
Growth,
year-‐over-‐year
5 % 5 %
0 % 0 %
-‐5 % -‐5 %
-‐10 % -‐10 %
-‐15 % -‐15 %
-‐20
%
-‐20
%
2015
2016
2017
2018E
2019E
FIGURE 3: Yearly change in revenue and employment for ship equipment suppliers, 2015-2019. Revenue and
employment are estimated for 2018 and 2019. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
market. Expectations among highly shipping- has more than doubled globally since 2015 4 , and
oriented producers vary with the average the orderbooks at the larger Norwegian yards
outlook indicating moderate growth. are filling up with new orders in the segment.
New contracts for passenger and cruise ships
contributed strongly to a 70 per cent increase
3.2. Deliveries towards exploration cruises, in backlog order value at Norwegian yards in
fishery- and offshore ships will be crucial for the past year5 , and now constitute close to
growth over the next years half the value of agreed future deliveries. New
Norwegian producers’ ability to capitalise in new orders for ferries continue to tick in as well.
market segments and the magnitude of growth These contracts, however, have less impact on
in the offshore oil and gas markets will likely the value of orderbooks, the average deal for
be crucial for revenue and profitability over the newbuilds being four times less than for explora-
next years. Deliveries to exploration cruises and tion cruises. Still, ferries now account for close to
fishing ships look particularly promising, while 10 per cent of backlog order value at Norwegian
demand from oil and gas markets will rise, but yards, rising from next to nothing a few years
the exact timing and size of the comeback is ago.
hard to predict.
Aug 16
Aug 17
Aug 18
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
FIGURE 4: Order backlog at Norwegian shipyards by ship type, 2015-2018. SOURCE: FEDERATION OF NORWEGIAN INDUSTRIES
healthy and favourable quota-situation. The big increasing interest rates we might see
question now is where this segment is heading. a subsequent strengthening of the
Many factors will determine its development: NOK.
200
150
100
50
-‐
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
FIGURE 5: Investments in oil and gas industry in Norway 2013-2018. Expected numbers for 2019. SOURCE: SSB
look bleak with the number of new contracts The ship equipment suppliers have in recent
falling in 2018 compared to 20178 . years been forced to cut profit margins to
be competitive. Operating margins were
negative in 2016 and 2017 but are estimated
3.3. Profitability is expected to to be positive again in 2018, and expected to
rise in 2018 and 2019 grow further in 2019. In tandem with increased
Ship equipment suppliers are operating in a activity, ship equipment suppliers will have to
global market and face competition from coun- improve profitability in the coming years to
tries with lower costs. To be competitive, the keep investors from moving their assets into
companies must deliver goods and services that other more profitable markets. The companies
have a higher correlation between quality and seem well positioned to capitalise on growing
cost than their competitors can provide. Profit markets, having taken the bulk of restructuring
margins can be interpreted as an indicator of costs in previous years, as well as being well set
the equipment suppliers’ ability to leverage their for eventual growth in the offshore oil and gas
capabilities and deliver goods that are valued markets.
higher than their input factors.
TABLE 1: Operating margins for ship equipment suppliers, 2015-2019. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
3.4. Acquisitions create larger units In February 2018, MacGregor, part of Finnish
Mergers and acquisitions have consolidated the Cargotec, announced an agreement to acquire
ownership among ship equipment suppliers and TTS Group’s marine and offshore divisions
created larger and more competitive units. Most for a reported EUR 87 million, expanding the
notably, Kongsberg Maritime has entered into company’s consolidated unit in Norway. In
an agreement to acquire Rolls-Royce Marine addition, Norsafe, Norway’s largest producer
for a reported NOK 5.3 billion, to be effectu- of lifeboats, was acquired by Danish Viking in
ated in 2019. Foreign investors found lucrative September 2018.
investments in the Norwegian market as well.
PHOTO: ABB
PHOTO: ROLLS-ROYCE
4.1.4. Strong growth potential
in offshore wind
Investments in the offshore wind market are
expected to increase in the coming five years.
14
SOURCE: CORVUS ENERGY
14 ttps://corvusenergy.com/corvus-energy-to-expand-production-in-response-to-high-demand-for-energy-storage/,
h
https://corvusenergy.com/corvus-energy-recognized-as-global-leader-in-clean-technology/
FIGURE 7: Forecast for the global installed capacity in offshore wind 2019-2023. SOURCE: BVG ASSOCIATES
Norwegian suppliers continue to prove they are Today, ships all around the world generate
capable of being world-leading in the develop- data. The data comes from motors, generators,
ment of new technologies. As an example, the sensors and other equipment. This data can
world’s first autonomous, zero emissions con- give valuable information that can lead to better
tainer ship will be ready for operations in 2020. operational choices being made, and hence
The ship is constructed at the Vard Group’s yard significant savings in operating costs.
in Brevik, and the Kongsberg Group is respon-
sible for development and delivery of critical From the digitalisation of the maritime sector
technologies onboard. arises the challenge to protect the systems
against cyber-attacks. Last year Maersk lost an
Kongsberg Digital predicts that 30 to 40 per estimated turnover of NOK 2.5 billion due to a
cent of the total world fleet will be digitalised data attack, and this summer, the US offices of
within five years, making digitalisation at sea a the Chinese container shipping company Cosco
billion-dollar market in the years to come. Shipping were hit by a cyber-attack.
Today, ships all around the world generate Cybersecurity at sea is receiving increased
data. The data comes from motors, generators, attention. Positioning itself in the market is
sensors and other equipment. This data can Kongsberg Digital, now also collaborating with
give valuable information that can lead to better the auditing company KPMG to raise awareness
operational choices being made, and hence of cyber knowledge and safety in the shipping
significant savings in operating costs. industry.
Ship equipment producers in Norway are known manufacturing of other mechanical and elec-
for quality and innovative solutions. Norway tronic products each contribute NOK 720 000
has been among the leading maritime nations in value added15 . The ship equipment supplier
for centuries, and ship equipment producers segment consists of manufacturers, designers,
play a vital role in the innovative power of the and traders of ship equipment, with activities
Norwegian maritime industry. at more than 1 300 locations in Norway. The
companies are spread across Norway with the
bulk of companies and employees in western
5.1. Production of ship equipment employs Norway and the broad Oslo area. Production of
18 000 highly productive workers ship equipment is relatively most important for
Production and sales of ship equipment gener- employment in Møre og Romsdal and Finnmark,
ate revenues of NOK 59 billion and employ with a contribution to employment of five and
18 000 people (2017). The industry is highly four per cent respectively. Buskerud, Vestfold,
productive, with each worker contributing Agder, and Hordaland all have shares of employ-
close to NOK 1 million in value added to the ment from ship equipment production between
national economy. In comparison, workers within 1.4 and 2.6 per cent.
FIGURE 8: Key results for ship equipment suppliers in 2017, and relative importance for employment by county.
SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
Norwegian ship
Shipyards in Foreign Activity
equipment 19 % 45 %
Norway shipping companies abroad
48.3 bn NOK
55
%
%
65
Norwegian shipping Activity
14 % companies 35 % in Norway
FIGURE 9: The value chains of the ship equipment industry – with direct and indirect exports16 , 2017.
SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
5.2. SMEs employ half of the workers and In addition, a large share of equipment sold to
performed better during the recession Norwegian yards and shipping companies is
SMEs account for 94 per cent of companies pro- used to produce exports, either through foreign
ducing ship equipment and employ half of the orders at Norwegian yards or as equipment
18 000 workers. Productivity at SMEs is close for Norwegian shipping companies supply-
to that of big companies, each worker creating ing services abroad. The high export rate has
a value added of NOK 950 000 in 2017. During been quite stable for several years, showing
the recession, SMEs have outperformed the big Norwegian equipment suppliers maintaining
companies in terms of growth and profitability. their competitiveness in the world market.
16 he data is based on the survey conducted in conjunction with this report. The split between Norwegian and foreign shipping
T
companies is based on an earlier survey conducted with yards in the Møre-region. There is some uncertainty around this spilt, as the
Møre yards might not be representative of all yards in Norway.
7 7000
6 6000
Employment
5
5000
4 4000
3 3000
2 2000
1 1000
-‐
0
Mechanical
Electronic
Design
Trade
Other
FIGURE 10: Value added and employment by types of ship equipment suppliers, 2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
added of NOK 1.1 million in 2017. Productivity in 10 per cent. The downturn in the offshore oil
the remaining categories is almost equal, each and gas markets has affected profits negatively,
worker contributing approximately NOK 900 resulting in negative profits for several groups
000 in value added. in 2016 and 2017. Producers of “other operating
equipment” stand alone in posting positive
All types of ship equipment suppliers are subject earnings each of the last two years. Operating
to the fluctuations of the markets, making profit margins are slightly better in 2017, and from
margins similar between groups. In the period 2018 onwards, all groups expect to be profitable
leading up to 2014, the designers posted the again.
highest average operating margins, well above
PHOTO: KONGSBRG
10
%
8
%
6
%
4
%
2
%
0
%
2004-‐2010
2011-‐2014
2015
2016
2017
-‐2
%
-‐4
%
FIGURE 11: Operating margins by types of ship equipment, 2004-2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
5.5. Maritime focus varies among companies Sales of drilling equipment have been hardest
The maritime dependency varies between hit by the downturn in the offshore markets,
companies. Some companies focus solely on the shedding 80 per cent of revenues from the peak
maritime market, while others deliver products in 2014. Revenue from ship equipment has proven
to a wide range of markets. Operations directed much more stable than revenue from drilling
towards ship equipment production made up 53 equipment. The ratio of ship equipment to non-
per cent of total revenues for companies supply- maritime equipment has gone down marginally
ing ship equipment in 2017. Non-ship equipment over the last years, showing that other markets
contributes 39 per cent of income while drilling become more important for several of the com-
equipment contributes the remaining 8 per cent. panies when the maritime markets are tough.
100
%
90
%
80
%
70
%
60
%
50
%
40
%
30
%
20
%
10
%
0
%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
FIGURE 12: Distribution of revenues for ship equipment producers separated into ship equipment, drilling equipment
and non-maritime equipment, 2004-2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
6.1. Data registry and survey data The subdivision into the various categories
The report is based on a registry of all of ship equipment is made by the companies’
Norwegian entities that deliver accounting valuation (from the questionnaire), or, if this
information to the national Brønnøysund was not available, by industry codes and our
Register Centre. Changes from previous editions knowledge of the companies.
are related to changes in companies that are
included or excluded. Minor changes in the Export data is mainly gathered through the
numbers can occur due to updated financial survey but also combined with information from
information for historical data. Changes may earlier studies Menon has completed.
also occur as some historical maritime shares
have been updated based on new information.
Official registries changed the way they counted 6.2. Delimiting the maritime industry
an employee in 2015. As a result, employment The size and significance of any industry are
numbers in 2014 and 2015 are not directly determined by how it is defined, and a clear
comparable. However, employment from 2015 and concise definition which puts definite limits
and onwards is directly comparable. on what is to be included and what is to be
excluded is of the essence. Menon developed
The survey was sent out in September 2018 to the following definition of the maritime industry
about 400 respondents and received a total of as part of the research project “A Knowledge-
66 responses. In addition to responses gathered Based Maritime Industry” from 2011:
in this project, Menon has collected information
from a large number of the GCE Blue Maritime – All businesses that own, operate, design,
Cluster through a similar survey in relation to build, supply equipment or specialist services
another project. These survey responses are to all types of ships and other floating
used for this project as well, bringing the total entities
number of respondents to 87.
The report focuses on companies which satisfy
To assure ourselves that the survey was repre- the above definition and excludes producers of
sentative for the whole ship equipment industry, drilling equipment from the main population17.
we focused on obtaining responses from all of The remaining companies are in the report
the largest companies, since these dominate referred to as producers or suppliers of ship
overall activity in the industry. We were mostly equipment.
successful in doing so. For non-responders
information has been gathered from alternative
sources.
17 Statistics Norway (SSB) includes drilling equipment in their definition of maritime equipment.
FIGURE 13: Employment by county in 2017, rounded to the nearest 100. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
4
Value
added,
NOK
billion
3
2
1
-‐
-‐1
-‐2
d
k
d
k
us
er
ld
er
ay
nd
al
nd
lo
ar
ar
u
ol
sd
6o
Os
gd
gd
sh
w
er
la
la
s6
m
nm
om
or
da
ga
er
-‐A
-‐A
Øs
sk
le
Ve
f
N
Fin
Ak
Ro
st
st
Bu
r
Te
g
R
Ho
Ve
Au
o
o
st
e
Re
ør
M
100
10
%
Revenue,
NOK
billion
80
8
%
60
6
%
40
4
%
20
2
%
-‐
0
%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
-‐20
-‐2
%
-‐40
-‐4
%
Revenue EBIT
FIGURE 15: - Revenue and operating margins for ship equipment producers, 2004-2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
30
Value
added,
NOK
billion
25
20
15
10
5
-‐
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Wage EBITDA
FIGURE 16: - Value added, divided into wage cost and EBITDA for ship equipment producers, 2004-2017.
SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
FIGURE 17: Key numbers by types of ship equipment in 2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
40
10
%
Value
added,
NOK
billion
30
8
%
6
%
20
4
%
10
2
%
0
0
%
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
-‐10
-‐2
%
-‐20
-‐4
%
Revenue EBIT
FIGURE 18: - Revenue and operating margins for producers of mechanical equipment, 2004-2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
16
8
%
Value
added,
NOK
billion
8 4 %
4 2 %
0
0
%
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
-‐4
-‐2
%
-‐8 -‐4 %
Revenue EBIT
FIGURE 20: Revenue and operating margins for producers of electrical and electronic equipment, 2004-2017.
SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
Revenue EBIT
FIGURE 22: Revenue and operating margins for producers of other operating equipment, 2004-2017.
SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
3,0
Value
added,
NOK
billion
2,5
2,0
1,5
1,0
0,5
0,0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
FIGURE 23: Value added, divided into wage cost and EBITDA for producers of other operating equipment, 2004-2017.
SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
15
25
%
Value
added,
NOK
billion
9 15 %
6 10 %
3 5 %
0
0
%
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
-‐3
-‐5
%
Revenue EBIT
FIGURE 24: Revenue and operating margins for traders of ship equipment, 2004-2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
6
Value
added,
NOK
billion
5
4
3
2
1
0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
FIGURE 25: - Value added, divided into wage cost and EBITDA for traders of ship equipment, 2004-2017.
SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
5
30
%
Value
added,
NOK
billion
Revenue EBIT
FIGURE 26: Revenue and operating margins for designers, 2004-2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS
2,0
Value
added,
NOK
billion
1,5
1,0
0,5
0,0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
FIGURE 27: Value added, divided into wage cost and EBITDA for designers, 2004-2017. SOURCE: MENON ECONOMICS